diff --git "a/data/0228_meta_merge_df.csv" "b/data/0228_meta_merge_df.csv" new file mode 100644--- /dev/null +++ "b/data/0228_meta_merge_df.csv" @@ -0,0 +1,11268 @@ +Model_x,Release Date,model,MMLU,GSM8,Humanities,SocialSciences,STEM,Other,Longbench,Question,Model_y,Start Time,End Time,Acc,Right Possibility +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4739043301265581 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4700359482354282 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4737084826069815 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4697948886421643 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.476579651063676 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.542188010818772 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4630954051652275 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4804022021217043 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.45262190613078 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4664932460948971 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.476622561469344 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5472721832122122 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5327995453653117 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5211737699679475 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4681639329562954 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4866698262617676 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5316243949817687 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.540059936237441 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5245201921995707 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5253940286217479 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5262915173930185 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5260956698734418 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4739043301265581 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5240101488874744 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4895120281183672 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.562883655900095 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A triumph over the mite-y?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4799920676615862 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.487376420569925 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.516550243032689 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4741609700557303 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5303679814904834 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.555118597772656 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4507254249374796 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5269295181117121 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5106044701455439 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4665853119753618 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4850790584555578 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4887933001688424 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.503571367834087 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4622568093890677 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4846539442231228 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4715753961474812 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5110276231727737 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4569414514840747 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Does Proxima have Planets?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5395994314001551 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5138853177460049 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4748275015141196 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4949326059404455 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5278576181675716 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4676921356500302 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4746594111166658 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5179778581562622 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.47502081252106 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5356536708339716 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5328355571110923 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4680436192023591 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4935900947750924 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4684022361133754 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5205295339295137 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5190075334247718 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5072987515834347 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4880159942210341 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.485370030924538 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4703737275421012 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4787362373298253 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4754706090888494 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4657211686281557 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is Arnold alive?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.478014186347527 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4679925469650731 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.473358588549516 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5065355754623713 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5221374166599908 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4624766976992315 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4832277716354293 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4733525779389059 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4786143078756304 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4723512822940873 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4460442452803929 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4564046864617175 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4887052616470232 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.462899273470921 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4898387975800589 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4738002423293964 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4742874079899199 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4731029132656258 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4848113043940635 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4814371070487515 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4635781400408953 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4858194067588751 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4929582121070402 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4625701546562504 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4931976986266482 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.534099988388 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5017241310973851 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4739818553246543 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4763689698658717 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.472441749824753 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4621645957199716 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.524627941320052 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4814274678502942 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4562973713007351 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4814899443818492 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5147576171591737 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5628241158181306 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4682965582259318 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.484047968859678 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4801691383115769 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4891321467408432 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5392050703694546 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4722507649454868 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5160658960546076 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4485072340866985 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5433916210894789 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.555594424242604 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4746594111166658 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.523033331314614 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4621578123315139 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4818628001659286 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4811698060320355 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4959840221063235 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4870159067879391 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5335067539051028 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4819856195823331 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4725709175847604 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4659066446232477 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4814899443818492 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4713121448349174 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.484132314309124 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4795711275096457 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4920006825967688 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4616141434373593 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4822769317366156 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4640262295924112 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5365202132337255 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5148962526313572 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4771036009745178 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4634672815705351 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.496428632165913 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4749753890411215 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.459504478661196 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.563304083313051 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4719447840272402 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5199893401555817 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4695239070019084 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.454505737058499 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5280552159727597 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4652078331760932 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5170002472210019 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5069925510646076 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5319200001654032 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4776012084373805 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4646381909356514 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5365724975826895 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4964539601634382 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.453935344946468 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4777923981418603 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4741609700557303 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5212637626701747 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4790199594363076 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5144886962445457 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4707725778595751 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.473040428574474 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4617536896900763 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4810152913345026 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.509327276042872 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.520821285372743 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4850044983805899 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4760457493345232 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4718041385660728 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4449404309702873 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5304722070723292 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4845010910131578 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4771152368020681 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4893633071332232 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4816259247133703 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.477458898554164 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.472894815883963 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4591079319266547 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4752111795312098 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4575492506778387 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4711858074713826 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.476760941559434 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4744171456847579 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,First human head transplant in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.484535871729281 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4739723594833588 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5268970867343741 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5351272211138175 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4887237168693535 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4863670162746507 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4510245892009216 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4848113043940635 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4582128825130597 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4635264411709884 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4739043301265581 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4955158152965247 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4669267656472681 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4829258960105299 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4438278699861462 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.520821285372743 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4763955119175205 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4598853978027033 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4658068781394208 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5606863063694094 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.470754142118128 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.473731872171751 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4867455302962234 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5236853008544933 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5172887024308784 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4794448639179264 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5342972010273669 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5274398141555239 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.483096024233429 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4740936698049591 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.506756345491646 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4690319381443727 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4508552391428461 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.486741812009182 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4480439735453849 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5161234400549264 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5256623623256916 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5081692076175995 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4789086271530703 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4804115605032022 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4810033005397743 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5219694853427536 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4718607506943222 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4805063397785948 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.531427047469635 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5253405888833342 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.517234548877195 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4674374574381832 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4874127320448445 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.475398669234753 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4574639246996282 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4930074489353924 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4790332813878014 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4812701940383121 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4658246007554297 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4599400637625591 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4676027047349328 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5281392493056778 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4655718070254902 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4906727239571281 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5209667186121986 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.535398489616134 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.463837848511956 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5301646660981982 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4657211686281557 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5396516609420151 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5318716211394506 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.484047968859678 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4982638958658963 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4764144340781467 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.476771949908666 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4791401299534481 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4788858034222825 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is Westworld located on an island?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4959184580096928 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Airships by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4931511133296422 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4805063397785948 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4843800842769844 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4828162004983434 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4929082770234801 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4875912010050452 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5376981067914857 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4700359482354282 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4552242416759419 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4887911159330939 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4795939181477384 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4599624478391604 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4759713368612029 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4695035504473839 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4716214407428223 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4480301011429283 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5253940286217479 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4427169713753014 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4737894802949193 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4927012484165652 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4796031623338354 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5288141925286174 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.476946676778904 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5203101792962498 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4914837896023165 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4661459088596374 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4597646070902746 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.496212193675234 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4669357405318718 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.472441749824753 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4602044211675926 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4755833463242724 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.517234548877195 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5533673727996529 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4617863770668844 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5016666604938546 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4554753958305689 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4737084826069815 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4692761919323049 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4711206144147625 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.511558633972037 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4768207500789405 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4784306609348945 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4870470446867473 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4838186023913293 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4850471950941936 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4656505218016563 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4805063397785948 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4662675343975297 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4913801644535004 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4756685841594802 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4966443456847925 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.496212193675234 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4906727239571281 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4772883667393608 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4825870824792798 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4911356806470981 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4562192768125753 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5074844708517818 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4688485939872805 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4911980924880186 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4916115254115016 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4887839331608624 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4805293314379139 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4701093491498115 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5319180090964849 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5275582501752469 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4730799491081979 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4814274678502942 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4629393815588549 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4735346909187487 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4790332813878014 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5190879411960951 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4575851747563527 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4807063829596069 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4906260984783392 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4761843636377033 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4779422540835182 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.443034483354064 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.483701428668266 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4683220570175304 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4629393815588549 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4510914696188157 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.477633983350733 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4606081208885133 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.554576212907574 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4715718480726298 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4779055543010758 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4902356165739839 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4748534488631913 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4650570548417856 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4787650413540569 +Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4943184263741699 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5083674195934156 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5420060160693255 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5103078176886584 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4545404725968239 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.555328055262369 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5594193784340039 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4814899443818492 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4598283238030207 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4800106598444182 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.504608164450626 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5776279652871574 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.519098983103371 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.447367090410583 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4765796510636759 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.474598159261804 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.484257173797978 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5106366928667768 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.539327463551228 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4934214322767656 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4913801644535004 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5445740884781963 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4554259115218037 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5079993174032311 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5603109789415781 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5710087542468825 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A triumph over the mite-y?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5494828852152743 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4772883667393608 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4895303263788473 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5299640517645718 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5732969990490727 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.3823067245060999 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4425623670886925 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5793079232403268 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5774953651858118 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5279039375244551 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5493137680864774 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5645724408223822 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5255518342200467 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5674350102545368 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4878811618465122 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.592858793487971 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4112375715239994 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Does Proxima have Planets?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5109872419775099 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5532326077454249 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5092582009614421 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5296680783053302 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.423205144647473 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5456738465591124 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4584295167832 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5265237508651331 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5364648243717562 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5657927480252788 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.447217260617186 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5211141965777175 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4752269126650376 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5121927042988743 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4689519161340501 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5085098164814612 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5068023013733518 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4758570539052239 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5296725875035011 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4354202198754547 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5371407641822042 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5299043861496653 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is Arnold alive?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4804022021217043 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4086570519396779 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5277492350545132 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5121188381534878 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4579884124962547 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5565485977267541 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4358395523837514 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4130325110862393 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.486210394332113 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.448695006705697 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5101508893146327 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4911903391077941 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5610966726928057 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5574376329113074 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5533673727996529 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4127040652403217 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5191294142919036 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4906114322816009 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5471963510585154 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5518388359186125 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4826157057662545 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4384579666282193 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5364316714836945 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.4921266351073405 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4277109966749883 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4655718070254902 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5444681846811213 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5293778879892553 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5894233184900834 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.535339208135645 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4619783052838299 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5465889332274663 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.3769631543638634 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.6039776512029501 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.475071602196827 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4242911080825195 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4845843266089863 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5623129341416144 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5356536708339716 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5568953648550379 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5484163238465528 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4503735724168604 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5925886218774816 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.6186901934831985 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4597646070902746 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4828393609177743 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4503437588242351 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4342669688541659 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5684704335355422 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.432994099667355 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5675457101845918 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5383858565626407 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4337256058045607 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5290933131488005 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4728159476133806 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5129003621695283 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4621578123315139 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,1.0,0.5490223356754607 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4483712023560328 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5960852265890809 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5350302349609753 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4700359482354282 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4351499618330398 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5667631011305079 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4664683160676598 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4895303263788473 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.426629713729046 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5155885077113841 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5156199157230156 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.6372343109050465 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4555318153188787 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5252079675779868 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4076154549651647 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4356113149500173 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.424189090671801 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.452524404873952 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.452524404873952 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.513419595165274 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.50763299474575 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.6112292534208243 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4499172547922691 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5880553797799671 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.474233372005226 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4655718070254902 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4738230823609346 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5309680618556273 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4499869736530281 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5065355754623713 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.492064158537681 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4320470040958755 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4804022021217043 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4688522671949332 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5612296060632884 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5470303711575484 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5790850112937279 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4898491106853672 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5062108606511191 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4159633661438761 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5268198708474517 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4826157057662545 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.552438044874211 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5232505463373724 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.6140466814531971 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4807787077893918 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4325195068976654 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4856785949313333 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.460672536448772 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5535571898360083 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4689839744498218 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5384231222838993 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4675713583086304 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.598687660112452 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5779899869453264 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,First human head transplant in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5495876999729056 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4495327791097802 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5574376329113074 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5628646751981532 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4906987475507857 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5520495600792843 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5838167638971014 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5217053888096504 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4763757522285525 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4499172547922691 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5171606390822256 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.461016779312316 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5347266090414073 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5453297388885201 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.510867853259157 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5057140369420544 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5088879525646431 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5683548976140322 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5348272321212596 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5094775376641013 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5340381803161751 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5411490824137458 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5366314963869099 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5719606519009518 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4582151273469095 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4264631330069377 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5442191471144682 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4206757478512505 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.3992072210188327 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4687906266262437 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5085098164814612 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4616141434373593 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4861146822539951 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.6062687205456873 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4741609700557302 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4883741888213494 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5100996361784311 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5112340641020214 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5286766288371745 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5803628345284928 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4598183813435363 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5262915173930184 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5500433048197352 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4408855041692474 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.523239058440566 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5332840382511314 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4914837896023165 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4504123000270943 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4917020067690149 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5070917229765198 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5136952037234115 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5876783187236132 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5121927042988743 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.546593395966079 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4785845384732758 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5314544701312309 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4655905812913753 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.6120981616607826 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5595490483841767 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5199893401555817 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5705533474011203 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is Westworld located on an island?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.3953292968836966 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5109272215754752 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5099489354325856 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6164663248924738 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.519098983103371 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5837114622406198 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5203968376661645 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5782241468831419 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5419181826570103 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4851291471708371 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5207135268607098 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Airships by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5586862100938726 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4689519161340501 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5390293491238641 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4555318153188787 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4927012484165652 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.546593395966079 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4273471694017483 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5790850112937279 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.539599431400155 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5546353474700472 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4076154549651647 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5067110063555247 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4041567558181195 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.569608684825214 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4760184150288955 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4754296423515171 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4291232552792095 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4271281444412774 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4760662092380453 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5309680618556273 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4701093491498115 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5522476005411522 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.403857761433657 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5069439979482607 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5763667067017789 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5097548596169542 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.6406716634049279 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4570030115462959 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5517830244363874 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4289912457531176 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4361789074585951 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5369867219843609 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4919035417783534 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4875026035157896 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5277492350545132 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5573011034403839 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5633519492753045 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5322133826606285 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5714500517154213 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5720341868926501 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.562955252333047 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5052354107481527 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.6197564354896381 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5210826448978734 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.589920409262554 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5510914736289488 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5593219285478055 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5080638168854459 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4732398804219287 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5614425755309471 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4821504455938653 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.576291633743848 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5214154615267241 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5790688823945704 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5449235741535944 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4802734026394578 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5324745459044733 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,0.0,0.4505751545983155 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5471567261786069 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4932889936444753 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4798766476342337 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.49337787068122 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5066662716330296 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5259506866640473 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.570177863610886 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5332840382511314 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5559592742830429 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5391757357635238 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4887659358979786 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5463489659229674 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4844114922886159 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5374882014050824 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5668246936489909 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5758000536158003 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.6109547967961761 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5621765008857981 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4249890741470983 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5356536708339716 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4914901835185387 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4603109479889455 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4863979147981726 +Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5585536347077283 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4836124290590847 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4646559959253018 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4522986264900312 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4822297099767683 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4597646070902746 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5274951708257061 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4707650911403196 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4740493133359527 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4675713583086304 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4674374574381832 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.485718171714586 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5169426634623426 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.530084099260317 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5225375009092752 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4557341741426587 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4752727138455847 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5247730873349624 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5234203489363239 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5296725875035011 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5227116332606392 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5087710299733246 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5332489581468334 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4667510418531665 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5347266090414073 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4843800842769844 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5132419358644674 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A triumph over the mite-y?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4661535361057435 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4817432797909529 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.507575177910776 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4652594931699358 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5335628986042535 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5493438172739535 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.451938117555257 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5183403916638715 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4695035504473839 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4739366883173527 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4819897773075497 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4671526400705771 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4754706090888494 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4797408274031225 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4814899443818492 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4558673600531633 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4729992651345235 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Does Proxima have Planets?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5504672208902198 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4680436192023591 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.527122670863023 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.475071602196827 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4711858074713826 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5347266090414073 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4570030115462959 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4628592358177957 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5413102288236212 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4633014081802359 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5285403709822651 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5201233523657662 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4661807482804477 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.525766627994774 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4823082737874536 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.525766627994774 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4751789816433237 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5312093733737562 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.469435519655474 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4709066868511995 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4811410263123732 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4722507649454868 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4632003037483266 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4741609700557303 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is Arnold alive?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.446767392254575 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4824633365032592 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4695807612256146 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4759898511125256 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5183403916638715 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4734762491348668 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4691115492503987 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4652877183159261 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4727542879102602 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4471676496673583 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4678358878488383 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4604786559722175 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4598283238030207 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4809615898743669 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4807787077893918 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4848531208913145 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4837455670697003 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4689519161340501 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4765640914876553 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4737084826069815 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4726301263744449 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.474598159261804 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4752727138455847 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4832038780879517 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4534066040339209 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5312093733737562 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4602828584746941 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4843800842769844 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4762084564986188 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4570950231192887 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4772883667393608 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5383858565626407 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4759898511125256 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4831996042202062 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4596990675494852 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5282716991859553 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5505877399096356 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4918745203806116 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4701846685963043 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4678358878488383 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.453622069436318 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.543369005270649 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5347405068300641 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4661807482804477 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.459031761295169 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5431093312097648 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5313723451537814 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4682965582259318 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4707650911403196 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.515033061705309 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4531891331841613 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4798766476342337 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5330097668720997 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4760184150288955 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5498339973124778 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4592740976170943 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4575492506778387 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4434251301026893 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4912672636609999 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4404548596782933 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4709066868511995 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.475825315488025 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4646559959253018 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4701846685963043 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4752269126650376 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4559158721443514 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.525401840738196 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5161234400549264 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4516082614026887 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4616141434373593 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4815751667586671 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4652877183159261 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4796031623338354 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5350396613772689 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.476579651063676 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5401146021972967 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4687306497230722 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5366314963869099 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4558673600531633 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4469042386221445 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5413560783874318 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.514384518751706 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5347405068300641 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4710469191024299 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.475825315488025 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5339612341135138 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4588561311619054 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4717283008140447 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4540028573936196 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.541827482377437 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4678358878488383 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4545140960090326 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4521469144383725 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5188589736876268 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4762315202536815 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4753867865169073 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5220307545548839 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5402353929097253 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.476771949908666 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4600246519018698 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4588561311619054 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4686276548462186 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4640262295924112 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4918040128854498 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5256185719206541 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4606603218203841 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4836124290590847 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4725407451648794 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4655718070254902 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4664683160676598 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4686276548462186 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.47502081252106 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4714596290177348 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4672600277213476 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4718607506943222 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4568642536974525 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5286282661978132 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4722507649454868 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5243346355857349 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,First human head transplant in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.475429642351517 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4443653999653639 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.49236700525425 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4737084826069815 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4791787146272571 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4612429526511947 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4667510418531665 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4731201107136553 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.469336773380858 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4655718070254902 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.47502081252106 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5484163238465527 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4529696288424517 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4672600277213476 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4883741888213494 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4826909021800813 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.540631852012456 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4751789816433237 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4749676409408754 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.484132314309124 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.527369873625555 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5347266090414073 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4911120474353568 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5183965998246414 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5319038575347713 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4847375674250531 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4640262295924112 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5090080342137535 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4813171135277395 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4738230823609346 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.471991966631776 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4669902331279003 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5320074530349269 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5399148845555657 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5243709164772914 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4829126397463384 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4847375674250531 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4600851154444342 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5102549719487298 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.477782335363118 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.475825315488025 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5253405888833342 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5418598303479447 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5163957100183888 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.464601510383866 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4805293314379139 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4717283008140447 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4832038780879517 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4758570539052239 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4756653644142651 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4638640184840629 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4695035504473839 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4541907187518152 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4771152368020681 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5241429460947761 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4608645278628804 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4762315202536815 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.526641411450484 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5327399722786523 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4626863244461435 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5262915173930185 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4553347998594796 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.523053323221096 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4752269126650376 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5395994314001551 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4846202378829159 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Airships by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4637003404801486 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.464660791864355 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is Westworld located on an island?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5270007348654764 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4621578123315139 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.474598159261804 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4520706970743689 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5384231222838993 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.484132314309124 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.468604234301244 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.472877329136977 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4756290835227086 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4830573365376573 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4789598006798858 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4591819500678424 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.459031761295169 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4916325804065845 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4738230823609346 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4630305549679923 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5344281929745098 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4508976860033804 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4749676409408754 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4596836758896683 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4600851154444342 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4657679224450345 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5270007348654764 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.523239058440566 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4571605055313318 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4585144844165497 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4672600277213476 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4851895190457661 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4837455670697003 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4494122600903644 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4697340172317585 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4818261916061694 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4748671951524337 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5508440621842428 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5298153314036957 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4483332315241188 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4504123000270943 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4420097104676631 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.449666019712998 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4710469191024299 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4793221453477271 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5144280231924383 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4559158721443514 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4763955119175205 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4706221120107446 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4494122600903644 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4818261916061694 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.476771949908666 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4760184150288955 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4927541304885564 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4826157057662545 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4588561311619054 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.459438921313363 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4655718070254902 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4488970140124912 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4916325804065845 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.466681890422602 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5454859039909674 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4649697650390246 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4911120474353568 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.477782335363118 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.475825315488025 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4691115492503987 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4696634757892163 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5236242477714474 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5309680618556273 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4758570539052239 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4692695513285567 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4549281734097052 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.476946676778904 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4732398804219287 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4511868979336244 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5367996962516735 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.476760941559434 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4921881357207956 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4577282665613447 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4799103187721903 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4681283788605493 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4828393609177743 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4575492506778387 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4677866173393716 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.476760941559434 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4652733909585926 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4916325804065845 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.532781192140237 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4749676409408754 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4607110849715025 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4638314008682437 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4911120474353568 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4573687158467061 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4841566349442653 +Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4902924821408063 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5423675129997332 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5309680618556273 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5100488979399806 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5348989132062605 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5177702900232317 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4522418469881156 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5170873602536615 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.5481594141621928 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5430585485159253 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.527621619327044 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4552242416759419 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4687906266262437 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5144886962445457 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5090487856690837 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4846202378829158 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.484230852871738 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4805293314379139 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.517234548877195 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.3824587063219272 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5070917229765199 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.49290827702348 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4916837415586252 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5428394944686682 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4116513751852821 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A triumph over the mite-y?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5322133826606285 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5271471902113894 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4632565414234447 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5169339726506148 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4532618480153861 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.529037057737934 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,1.0,0.5132419358644674 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4830660273493852 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.523420348936324 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5669040501955986 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.556354895108716 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5127263749387547 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5571265121601465 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5520495600792843 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5561751368294078 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5264653090812512 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5369694450320077 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5144886962445457 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Does Proxima have Planets?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.444671944737631 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5406080351800289 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5521655020050666 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4828393609177743 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5344464091010395 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5223799175501296 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,0.0,0.4778028794296212 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5237915435013812 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4916325804065844 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.471295963489202 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5149209415444422 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5554702146947673 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.439487259876084 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5612296060632884 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4174297935376853 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5462346549875677 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5304265753544222 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.585634137379071 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5337324656024702 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5392889150284975 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5180102226924502 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4925155291482181 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.508967648124217 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5606246326667835 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is Arnold alive?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4846986569306182 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5132419358644674 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4534066040339209 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.50812936486469 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5185100556181508 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5206778546522728 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5579946831703796 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5650924017786845 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5183403916638715 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5212637626701747 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5767610295844771 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4951692324437752 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.555328055262369 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4788858034222825 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5641604476162486 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5691198014748678 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5109272215754752 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5555691463066826 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5299043861496653 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5383495804105365 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5716679966550652 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5080638168854459 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5356536708339716 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5220307545548839 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5087710299733247 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5303365242107836 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5781219382451123 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4816034001753587 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.52497918747894 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5525871272227856 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5283785592571777 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4325649897454632 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5078733648926594 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5803777601039839 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5248210183566763 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5591279800317924 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5460232035558019 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5195022960916296 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4461938577720225 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5267601195780712 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,0.0,0.49134285659018 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5095226579074725 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4786226656228607 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5552004346619533 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.453157900581156 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5348272321212596 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5483334482626805 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4373932416523995 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5511029859875087 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,0.0,0.486580404834726 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.6093175418435606 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5376643644100025 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5810956417872526 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4854056067100542 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5317034417740683 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.604497977717112 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5442169133020403 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5393918791114868 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5755050334651687 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.4793221453477272 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4257237897751055 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.51058043091515 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5068488866703578 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5488131020663757 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5389383359229475 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.546377930563682 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5094775376641013 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5111092824828375 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4787362373298253 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,1.0,0.5176138537308502 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4584295167832001 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4546702611114799 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4438248631705922 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5384231222838993 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5369694450320077 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5257835608059445 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4920006825967688 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5672974756343347 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5465889332274663 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4802734026394578 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5127360978978377 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5266414114504839 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4714596290177348 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5627115024538233 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5397171415253059 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5092155461261434 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4836124290590847 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5140807829033678 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5575586948471993 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5640478234841578 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5681997184824407 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4561264880533892 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5854989273022455 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5997670031401171 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5731553927910565 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.507575177910776 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4738230823609346 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5264653090812512 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5953037081113766 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5623129341416144 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5178495544061347 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.6048286963687791 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5157149035012311 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5617707438711501 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5474755951260479 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5709465968834664 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5399148845555657 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5090487856690837 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4793221453477272 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5317034417740683 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,First human head transplant in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5825702064623147 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5299043861496653 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5500433048197352 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5278780342278095 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5246132134830928 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5393274635512278 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5129003621695283 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5777943495827923 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,0.0,0.4828393609177743 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5675457101845918 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5470303711575484 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5436839598080008 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5582706068545278 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5438975774335936 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5747773570131928 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.552438044874211 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4619060256471057 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4671526400705771 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.619764700014137 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4666818904226021 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4407558026152072 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.573486257423439 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5884892648195589 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4271393129339742 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5469748073527511 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4915974297871608 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.546593395966079 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5258390299442697 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.559713649267193 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4546702611114799 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5449907634383158 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5549913716957745 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4534066040339209 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5405610786866369 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5372443185233167 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5364648243717562 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4580818173429897 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4927541304885564 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4723481024490319 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5449235741535944 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5492899454765517 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5644541926113568 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,1.0,0.5359737704075888 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5654970770692034 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5793404184094828 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5114265815625848 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5298906508501885 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4929082770234801 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5838167638971014 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5070417878929598 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5082979932309852 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5236242477714474 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.469336773380858 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5202591725968775 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4677866173393715 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.5067110063555247 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4325835984734368 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5205363853967651 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5607668383395752 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5722186788565526 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5991085697544697 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5691737846825168 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5054345685835784 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5531319780689512 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4937891393488809 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5244088565107554 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Airships by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5251328048475663 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5494828852152743 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5223731097438693 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5667631011305079 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5631529812258647 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5317034417740683 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5573382746262104 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is Westworld located on an island?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4765796510636759 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5670778436432129 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4943184263741699 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5327399722786524 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5860903115909772 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4945948051678682 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4687906266262437 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5234359085123448 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5071937481739118 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5732465878545073 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4935068585522257 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4372692209258502 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4729992651345236 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5149955016194101 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.527621619327044 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4916674381858807 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5324745459044733 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5889584890899068 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5098509418574412 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.569318150295772 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.541068447179393 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.4935900947750925 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5254556793170408 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4933337283669705 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5295222708875802 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5162544329302996 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5239337907619548 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5516667684758811 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4528432738213931 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5220850680147571 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4836124290590847 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5580701058739532 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5674164015265631 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5224567916386864 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5735368669930623 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5972006081563793 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5591144958307526 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5283785592571777 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5532795417377365 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5351592681286027 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.569318150295772 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5441326399468367 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5119737581985222 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.448695006705697 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5936355083786841 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5225445561021019 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4722507649454868 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5445246041694309 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5879641352293828 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5486263082112245 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5763218799074524 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5234054438313848 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5136020852018274 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4692695513285567 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.507575177910776 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5920193777176388 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.492647588833994 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5275582501752469 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5754114475417278 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5189482673127591 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4434939541897531 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5626067583476004 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5145943932899458 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5722186788565526 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5642717110501086 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5623129341416144 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5252948433296605 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5606405247740996 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5927458012532077 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5176917262125464 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5949857935227716 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5275582501752469 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.6059682048734351 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5157842271984716 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5121927042988743 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.604497977717112 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5059877376896297 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.548061882444743 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.532781192140237 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5461043420593263 +Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5786820142714918 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4888758498306281 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4995333994915579 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4730148148369072 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4695427408837849 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4859017237387147 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5067467741983211 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4867912322715866 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4750526278876097 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4880163991772141 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4770825407351848 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.468295571491975 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5143542028784855 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5079709195344946 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5098956209289582 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4733090401082612 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4735756681036372 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5080162924449376 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5235777018974949 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5134696858876662 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5108719195021785 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5075001375316934 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4840331482661846 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5159668517338154 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5099560114032908 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4944112770343867 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5087988684194079 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A triumph over the mite-y?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4823782033347817 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.497378166690647 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5095221836557414 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4788182255941597 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5082200119289252 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5250944234634077 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4591990591134716 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5162982848161068 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4886225151867349 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5006412636828721 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5085408324073143 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4784821788555481 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5066147905723406 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5132271130847863 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4981976171195333 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4659710041704116 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4888771613197964 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Does Proxima have Planets?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5199320736543913 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4615318657197768 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5179908340773391 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4762362617544886 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4859926646222878 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5219311995812593 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4643767712387182 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4742770743687788 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5311632760205486 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4930254768385833 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5177573201272181 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5071678281310541 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4932370749193221 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4930236921332847 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5075685486377881 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4929623085929404 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4819790611122688 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5164699564115968 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4696900312497905 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4819106124904642 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4784362025889819 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4931476988424736 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4831272322849445 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4683054737442922 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4892678859555742 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is Arnold alive?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4826706259532417 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4920936785670888 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4582049451978544 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.500785035021411 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5223571206274764 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4802102840543276 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4594183288317556 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4736424737580426 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4652042342755557 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4732275067820263 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4998751972210498 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4817724547274115 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4800505005319923 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5197231030705916 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4668323818626209 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5065253570511064 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4977244072075119 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4888441276031242 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.514903681087892 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5050736859628698 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4770307517759403 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.516813948824397 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.49503172173663 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4537278662065897 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4793362602820359 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5007376323345502 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.503916679332409 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4706268997254118 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.465410463990048 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5028113398960575 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5094698815356262 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5249747556599271 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4863566131272882 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4960200903801662 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4683503352392647 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5153924428847958 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5338198292212948 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4630347637332588 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5096136554996303 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4827505571775647 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4827880302857598 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5308493996944852 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4765967229197978 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5226641266429883 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4820396465410735 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5190151070658983 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5311052804996972 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4830391771087955 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4845951846996615 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4857825650092177 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4766616004631759 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5049958830116809 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4911634493994256 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4835115329792732 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5276362989365238 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4871158953613493 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4832813157499444 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4791831168217281 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5006582070250222 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4654783238058265 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4686457712353528 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5224633775261122 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4741549857692304 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5049350909302758 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4757899759512008 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4711839691088966 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5212289097905989 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5075534874799275 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4690377531411062 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4730416705517888 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4775931561286246 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4733600728327923 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5066172353360633 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5356696589783756 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4820213875452871 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5223246505767096 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4691764530232543 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5254974744160068 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4640390576014095 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4713694393821295 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4975314345004149 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5089156502757364 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5048190384811051 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.50964371220511 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.488012367344294 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.542927025927045 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4842222199891384 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5105130477646433 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5004485123556623 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4631471999836573 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5400566030493974 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4864000405830627 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.488532774263225 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5167775647490973 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4978748091385222 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4926898455989513 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4655603705081274 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5154249650807918 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5406594384229151 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4925951065040412 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5083591290841282 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4774294472857066 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5015966272155208 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4902399797680676 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5074608341478302 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.515282521442987 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.456253253055167 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5116198167509545 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4726192412088325 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4626682789237679 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4916248883732809 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4888813451818296 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4869548962400883 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4945311498037753 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5087161013640062 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4632037660934952 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.497765343022991 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4657145956787794 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,First human head transplant in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4817521198177045 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5079487028535911 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4833858770700076 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5042284183522532 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5185802011771834 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4888441276031242 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4958294008626018 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4777875351145406 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4921127151665521 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4849965830338674 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5011204153723644 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4670575793551699 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4833416422118293 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5352829432651711 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4623157164597871 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4914149119462568 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4902515707481493 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4953668419466041 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5268796543172233 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4978351866608465 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4783139362270842 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4926118807958429 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5194285227637586 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5036031956873706 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5104736160939449 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5141852228970057 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.524130948636369 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4906813331613665 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5077773316523028 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5079692575823185 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4935867702959101 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4738261940575071 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4773140123482984 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4881707638672417 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5164593480463711 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5452551838555694 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.520711066083356 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4914171177050281 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5140408849197838 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5011991640392948 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4844930444085504 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5140605131990501 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4734317340895372 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5005664416177249 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5098407989806799 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5215692401058707 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5076229743009542 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5236989181797693 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4975805651737148 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4864305642357868 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5009285016967588 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5268690540409361 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4787428998861598 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4806300366585534 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4847997014770953 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4848090037085678 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5050275805980113 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.482329765957448 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4828763076892176 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5191990430991245 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5076678147049329 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4738957921222905 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5105397510301009 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4593671433036201 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.50990030359512 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5169865187040735 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5187549354655884 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5219596857461115 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is Westworld located on an island?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4818539178040167 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4770182223344346 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4616098800015465 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.502364934876256 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5072756533085179 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5216789524765648 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4879500677884119 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5266089831655663 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4779954902597894 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4786189569590168 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Airships by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.494889895681719 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4955333496339725 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4864953885473747 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5019377697338119 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4899334865979556 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.499510292410029 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4674440735119125 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5045710406377389 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4698852223889321 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4780273098298119 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4945903596397737 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5001756095715272 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5077811348412671 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4764843854360823 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4744449032106729 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4769345276704674 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5073671012102068 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4928291584499668 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4685790296543509 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4683759546447173 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5023511532001973 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4868012827088342 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4977326187394313 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4755653750406615 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4871014986317263 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5029888711837762 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5045789025939356 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5260948211110921 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5273285392400441 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.491333821857028 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4824901770379365 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4623686874238177 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4774878887085025 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5033090001459718 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5144518407111819 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5109931288266578 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.481957165103034 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4964967844993895 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4859440507904582 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4840452739600165 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4907053692341323 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5267740363575921 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5129982609888684 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5039737356606538 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4901650947614281 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5057158374193165 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4936003421277417 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4836912088320042 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5000465980805885 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.473485209456218 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4708766473297933 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4703732763871017 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4903354933535357 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5338256597333018 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4994869273876312 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5185255734709705 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4851605691593238 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.520493018329568 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4687946781118036 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4929339675462221 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4985941037794573 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5257899848801133 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4834329404314339 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4797989995683975 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5018814994896881 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.485808815950925 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4872305086816954 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4981529174322056 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4728415521544949 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5080496455502114 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4719357382615161 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4992869537474878 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4932449131609063 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4823194090686211 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4851267975124083 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4907632381763152 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4860514605990894 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4917577088193196 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4772202324655442 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5025907425897669 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5469468923518657 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4997207519263668 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.491464394840199 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.501944587020286 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4777050328115501 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4632189916037292 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4976545670470084 +Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5082133264086766 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4504185834409328 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4535699548247541 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4668993122197242 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4570826120850095 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4579427489788568 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5299640517645718 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4623728597285439 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4663968828790292 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4519035616075426 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4672188078597629 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4337548973544311 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5356536708339716 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5371338809923021 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5309821534384196 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4674771767798117 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4771115245243029 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5344690490159498 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5382316801133598 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5169426634623426 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5752663260942905 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will this question resolve in the negative?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5016778460510608 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4551021049419694 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5448978950580305 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5460232035558019 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4667790528189297 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5363435572675299 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A triumph over the mite-y?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4781245726539726 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4670806566452604 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5321227377850712 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4622280636062066 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5393918791114867 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5448788923735801 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4609232263535155 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5303779693596933 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4772883667393608 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.469261275688577 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4530214613699562 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4723622038313108 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4758808031242865 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4908685953116473 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4677319847878949 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4708275625010804 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4652005840719878 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Does Proxima have Planets?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5316833792869443 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4630915398866742 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.555172154110976 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4588965808121425 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4706503493188012 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5452346297504286 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4555121503053242 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4620729940259066 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5391864866977332 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4794233926160762 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5149724808378467 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5391354721371195 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4817154742241559 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4677866173393716 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5256975024887458 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4576907042864875 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5470565873710203 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5353776779014914 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4709164015882733 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4660058315161055 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4694259472076499 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4694259472076499 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4637202590270146 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4637389859715296 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4747739116770609 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4552795306644381 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4641086604387777 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is Arnold alive?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4860036575196728 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4637003404801486 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5332840382511312 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4727344977449689 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4674374574381832 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4713233711628255 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4701128916977167 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4652078331760932 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4580198553825917 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4709201007360939 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"How important are ""time crystals""?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.475429642351517 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.464533348317876 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4637479355158698 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4706221120107446 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4552989518258284 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4631815196514022 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4722507649454868 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4663773483284821 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4918988571477974 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4653665540813141 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4709922067322029 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4711206144147625 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4748275015141196 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5379412348686904 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4564932816023219 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4726421913930899 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4495327791097802 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4619160115542768 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4594195994154323 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5113046058562062 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4673024477960629 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4611893397466772 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4641763204547244 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5415704832168 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.544524604169431 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4687197200885494 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4719447840272402 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4558804524485874 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4810517326872409 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5321054784819228 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4646340550729174 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5256185719206541 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4497668145812018 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5498339973124778 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5462590839587109 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5280769416297111 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4782745574701302 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4584295167832 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4583500962485686 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5129281522943221 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4525967827595168 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5410187171502927 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4806726183295567 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4421520929992307 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4909648390511204 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4572338438050537 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.45883127817829 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4605544202155375 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4782515234532793 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4729180965358579 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4528432738213931 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4823724538982876 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4538355569241225 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.514935794202099 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5148892136513235 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4638247876095485 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4587272197098586 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4724613570949558 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4607110849715025 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4660149232281877 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5308746470510134 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4729563541685959 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Giant robot battle: is it on?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5162280644135873 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4726151509791031 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4671101961141993 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.554296327899658 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4582606291202006 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.518284525775844 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5314897981449456 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5217632439513842 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4721527404591008 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4699487361427089 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5580701058739532 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5049998333399998 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4882693010632099 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4700359482354282 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4712058986116088 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.542719666917937 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4663968828790292 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4653334866465961 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4774090083819247 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5209800405636924 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.480392354181779 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.476333487542186 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5306268899112174 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5331147200206594 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4812341153166919 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4537653450124323 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5316477751844046 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4864286736126334 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4621935109268489 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4709066868511995 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4561431465695147 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4610616640770525 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4512786840598274 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.481763517049727 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4671206862835416 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4596551015998767 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4724037632375142 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4582128825130597 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4699025027973505 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4576287477789735 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4590031370509055 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.454109610512268 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,First human head transplant in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.444671944737631 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5400240724411787 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4409336530127447 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4525885221385715 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4559964896748816 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5696282850650551 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4706221120107446 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4839504697481332 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4528107659875099 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4535655608941991 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4538355569241225 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4651202660354774 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4679925469650731 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4769899488273872 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5305231209728702 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4485203631978095 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4835585613792335 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4788927088246592 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4657793891988296 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5395848802104882 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4649423158587493 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4463524265841614 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4667470928568915 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5345601877487016 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5477265922186916 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4573206061323628 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5384614186251481 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.522541101445836 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4769240354318516 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4781245726539726 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will May Day protests turn violent?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5306307397265139 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4574204533447984 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4796492579859749 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4390463945376995 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4712058986116088 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5348490650570528 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.530663226619142 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5391757357635238 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4589533428982563 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4735096759754236 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5396767512947095 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4606081208885133 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4591430265102393 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4682965582259318 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5212422665629017 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5254880920536782 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5133301737382323 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4794233926160762 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4547751025336838 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4724947558711949 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4541386980236153 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4763689698658717 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.472877329136977 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4695214030446601 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4730704818882879 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4422506526911386 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4671397706347295 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5463177635789853 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4606922134896484 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4800106598444182 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5419901153863456 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5183107731681871 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4655535908989605 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5275052441288051 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4597646070902746 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.472366391567632 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5307958838676234 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5386022729948445 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4591471513337766 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4745119079463218 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4945417015572688 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.520996049255844 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4571605055313318 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4479083386804886 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4679925469650731 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4858908434787584 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4850471950941936 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Airships by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.475071602196827 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.457280333082063 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4723709063332715 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4661459088596374 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4731029132656258 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4386227963998705 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is Westworld located on an island?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5209237337871366 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4618645997211641 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4438790907650621 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4619381837624896 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4739366883173527 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4362984672513709 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4705727684794961 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4448202612571158 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5406080351800289 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4447322480688984 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4528432738213931 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4950659496413497 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5451784563597355 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4732578663077293 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5310191758949991 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.46549273123493 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.46363217788749 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4678358878488383 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.454719584256449 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4576118696142073 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.452450208245175 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4608967924619145 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.556911647401456 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5425795466552016 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4545140960090326 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4413427663838085 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4618796740944075 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4534484626655839 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4441120632787854 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4596316258258277 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5409528278856613 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5013661168191642 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4717873208768358 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.446816527294382 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4989035105296648 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4577929903775464 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4557438260114803 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.443050262800579 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4741609700557303 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4783684893515201 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4674808383030057 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4481637967778348 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.469261275688577 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.470125918383966 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4554753958305689 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4601363337630909 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4602828584746941 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5458170569129932 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4614029080760303 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4694949473005436 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4782745574701302 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4692170636519218 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4776464896184505 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4576118696142073 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5404519337857652 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5366314963869099 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4610880187285845 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4652303379511224 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4581903434371769 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4635479338644428 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4503925727985737 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4603308986451325 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5393353938315386 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4329460634720208 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4817154742241559 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.466792076337327 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4623112074772434 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4493926344647596 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4640360138577162 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.467383068557084 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4198697091967225 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4633224841241813 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4517451926783533 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4525819539561658 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5290835984117267 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4698434099753519 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.491936183114554 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4739043301265581 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.467637897208072 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4735541143781439 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4632877893439173 +HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.46471841897267 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5016605794279417 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5011473937288288 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5030062285631814 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4924789973587307 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5044858384278503 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5065715576116998 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4948084424808827 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.497317062566255 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4913405358193467 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5071815669825348 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5196996763432388 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5146795415068879 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5043221218688276 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5203952656266914 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4860091592287033 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4917770414940068 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5062083682368765 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5255735580573484 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4950444135951517 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4973087999375194 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4975885305314357 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5069660706015942 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4930339293984059 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5094355596046312 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4801603132771029 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4795058232961309 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A triumph over the mite-y?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4882156293582291 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5029883587205236 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5209349743284533 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4879036434810151 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5035145940763122 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,0.0,0.4982869659778878 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.473955778338861 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5033209789506032 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5124264301902322 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.508462493366891 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5113631988168612 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.495909645821349 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4930631871832809 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4942170541323617 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4972093325713378 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4962348175089195 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5032296644126159 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4941292989029784 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Does Proxima have Planets?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5060351783431263 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5014998214800255 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5010242196284649 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.490762572176883 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5114599330869345 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4991989124885004 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4867632301919545 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,0.0,0.4984555004073665 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4712774943003127 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.501882106480789 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5184942891707538 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4851834891724811 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4982831371747067 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4705150298741929 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.516307334402385 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.525155569304905 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4921458440282736 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5152270861967373 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4961304866766671 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4833686637456498 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.500252748713525 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4953299635551639 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5017032320741515 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4997237452896773 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4830784788250633 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is Arnold alive?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4992112225126344 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4943877852760115 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4880421950736609 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5064929323087491 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4866028992709245 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4832524535701378 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4829930475524287 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4860534365743244 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4825042234605901 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5042630669692675 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4862972314871713 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5043065544352872 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4711932580434337 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4858934191511507 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4818536306033874 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4989041803161578 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4818642373493109 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5103384491507159 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4963860347409711 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4987300667747807 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4963935637482446 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4953843430716775 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5021041667575319 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5167554325665182 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4990773108889615 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4912696111031443 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.493967443956051 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4816701308706551 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4899384856983778 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5125457402392123 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.48331886261815 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4939266926738415 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4793287656701299 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4975207800215835 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5026378706857731 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5065709524992114 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4868756120485328 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4764552015949992 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5035633151388431 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5262019165106941 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5054830370966203 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4882074637442732 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4900747324589544 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.507614411034209 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5020354788369386 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4993980583520438 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4892272730219996 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5178863169489427 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4859750380923471 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4896057710947534 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4976994535626402 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5050937520548197 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.510160156763531 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5114657527744984 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5016406646902523 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4764533127227358 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4989209640102319 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4831522427004578 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4983390496565683 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4812451082847293 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.490723296173269 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5086531897145581 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4819773622669615 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5006347167303605 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5003022992979598 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4979769595990578 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.494883719239407 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4852721366960849 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4971600106119258 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4863557669383987 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4918171687110546 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5027246499487187 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4835033962537406 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4911750013134875 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.486696986707033 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4863794613382762 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5020498324969448 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.486360151318822 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5146196246161936 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4854787952042021 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4950586151022941 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4773368893025418 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4978026862111256 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5127493302051966 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4940587075290986 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5005382368999982 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.497752603945459 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4930351516828988 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4984101545680224 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4844505020276691 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5191638765470716 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4929760705118886 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4836932176895966 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.488191548290763 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4939148739706854 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5150793205168553 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5095530491722966 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4984538844484833 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4994840485092623 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4871100403391716 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4862241063668548 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4893370528690537 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4920225186271605 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5224891987591639 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5069673053349507 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4809179110035765 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4884900200670665 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4985526000059851 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4973380189212105 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5061988191352156 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4721120982943379 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4956114574156871 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4917740935035093 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4967924979971954 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4912123161838549 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,First human head transplant in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4936531090379444 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.5 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4954651021072771 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4847272751038746 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5252228928514572 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5073453488749681 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4987300667747807 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.495519627348734 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4961245840327184 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4938339477631995 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4875736113503066 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4814093164673228 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4776034847021573 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4776923695910957 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5217330128575164 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.51644148853056 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4772327330200931 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5010749132093962 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4740730103223114 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5121701234559971 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4942332766900415 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4915117603871389 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4973619397357577 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5139644381676581 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5116182794938998 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5124236526688151 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4972350385755713 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5198755806144957 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4964673658482863 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4947606474380205 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5045817409286015 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5035456489828612 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5063898155814586 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5014998235120091 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4915316716379596 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5222011011754168 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5280225559304688 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4997413239544798 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4865219559603728 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5025203734059802 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4846335619842268 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4949399213250127 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4894980818590631 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5138454171167111 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5173833846623351 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5114551241866326 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4860792702775444 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5003023614685078 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5022264698268926 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4930668966104668 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4985751053987591 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4881261691153423 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4961506530433667 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4896875177280306 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4723466383360105 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4820245774960987 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5127583993504694 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4832950509496365 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.452039160692076 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5195809670063716 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5135190432510842 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4777228314168059 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4979881781484536 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.5018389466645625 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5107714903556864 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4836114913451294 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5232718241507741 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4832996024496157 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4883425612987043 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4874051278606791 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Airships by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5047113067665104 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is Westworld located on an island?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4931332155607791 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4888740064976443 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5059438477016489 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4975402362118959 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4921340753957585 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4812197220537853 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.51754497482651 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4888117296550252 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4845237639847891 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4901119351251891 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4821116331400765 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4997177261151301 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5031271125451587 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4658798927858801 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4937736902158053 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5049757479796543 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4425909600297772 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5194176737238729 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4826248261329929 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4845981612264838 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5041420037924267 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5004190569294438 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4980415910367409 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4873770769924343 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5012672318781763 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5069913695343751 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4812142720777215 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.488649732311068 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4997034499204092 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4807932536336671 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5034134310652223 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5064431845389351 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4963229020427049 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5041159718897764 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5028755537333454 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.49846401529565 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4712926295541317 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4971754197723372 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4897222258399376 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4922161293996587 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4935900311030461 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5075271288170162 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4902086279253838 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4948059218457609 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5028229555923982 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4891045115103031 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4970302721603409 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4900087817254226 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4810054476485225 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4909337382966352 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4894284202766299 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5034408882761129 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5061521839201012 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4799569908365528 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4889085121296584 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5008554402103614 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4873812138288555 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4846521843170617 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4963685255883745 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5030329480629747 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5031761447636727 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4808664817402085 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4909767435545326 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5045122841145573 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4809943273715481 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5118378673810249 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5256194153731961 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4907151844428262 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4858919337573044 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4840147804733528 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4664129725738896 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4896381225679756 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4947382661166536 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4976152447676982 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4835807393815879 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4886536910363735 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4867067996444674 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4919573544590125 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5012086551271198 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.495805686703713 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4769224514259743 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5077345304006576 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5016576795738766 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5091563257256239 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4967801257918245 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.518116494913812 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5016080390759953 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4780298750906797 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4860224210807942 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4944377000091711 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.479788555224239 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4812176668864185 +Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5201573893900326 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4767415692163141 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.47848053470527 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4841029468867398 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4751510431304699 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4845139501862918 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5149744835807568 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4760051980932315 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4818919416260019 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4646358402774934 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4756725921531085 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4763411760660995 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5253433664550917 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5523900539557909 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5147755194485633 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4743787110813812 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4851988391475714 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5247708918151726 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5179743080342454 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5212415299387985 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5496397746257033 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5092883716245651 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5289544577820888 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4710455422179112 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5305781031593628 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.476864801541329 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5417636820663922 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A triumph over the mite-y?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4893953913823008 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4840868917777879 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5413826085964197 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4748155851539418 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5296412402162536 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5240898567277459 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4778467618849231 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.520406944996965 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4840554978866955 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4824282737854272 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4798245741953794 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4836508087607136 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4810072675697635 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4833769501421374 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4756361722878134 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4661743065335855 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4757586379926404 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4505822789016067 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Does Proxima have Planets?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5206960927245055 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5115678015476717 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4793460152847169 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4794820676749405 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5137384047606162 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4751669421505597 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4688032940489475 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.516959517286702 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4804598959231854 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5218800219793875 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5405456690873018 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4696745668501565 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4873376287088511 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4728735893419489 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5215968196446459 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5173477688132105 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.480075026468847 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5232398500171002 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.466170186541641 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4681411138140152 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4765709185736181 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4711104747403838 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4800249957147265 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4810760579832619 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4732161996796012 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is Arnold alive?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4849883664789026 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4664581322148273 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4691791534598632 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5127142448976296 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4810025492245748 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4848903205288549 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4607340327986506 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4666762418842203 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4824456687356026 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4703589748696573 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4792511209725674 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4728506080922785 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4801166009955368 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4837204996646911 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4811762477649751 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4778000753903297 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4828902320646985 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4807383659054883 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4664498116188176 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4514774482500435 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4961714019582742 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4815798933963803 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4813634475611757 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4714228070471634 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5269341259705703 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4774522099720131 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4679890700905881 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4792913840623996 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.473809431858766 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4882441230253073 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5219826075156966 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4788922757512725 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.481359954249932 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4818961607721157 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5167408372694485 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5364196616345791 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4876759052545209 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4683552447913479 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4856193526372735 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4882382669352755 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5313483989223416 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5163168407546945 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4822418615768332 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4554481584784695 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5088961220953137 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5432708452740589 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4855533849040916 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5182742721008133 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4934803239013423 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.481079532789731 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4741663115514498 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5204856877526858 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4854900055312691 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5232211305330462 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4754043299754489 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4803250323826246 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4861313767189518 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.481264993190051 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4728238443268704 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4762324279501753 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4886459499564033 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4733875036278301 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.472422302543197 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4783433651036122 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4766846156802966 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5275087898284355 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5143693413206873 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4928556174676029 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4698220261671538 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4684977287470863 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4670968598483844 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5255948576533186 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4753449287437457 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.51559121285345 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4814510666381309 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5203123045988431 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4717011806327871 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4770231818077986 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5184284004965306 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5136834781014001 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5171051267959268 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4726317132688431 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4820233255474545 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5447306212153458 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4829598187256876 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4630383611164791 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4737452821302351 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4836010211171416 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5120644494359864 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4803117952273864 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4855664821647869 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5177100744050264 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4643059652028337 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4746035965932981 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4818970811325359 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5213897736140298 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4868846876095404 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5185234930875757 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4798784977360704 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4712824417790274 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4844416007447746 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4794530180576262 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4788951655597195 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4852191481822054 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4824227726386264 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4332758555044639 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5254899355896998 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4882208164910936 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4828551734930731 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4714308452168085 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4824420437240074 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4831807089079953 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4740385622545906 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4785627739327465 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,First human head transplant in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4762239167853121 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5209703026034608 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4670451131921416 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4529401049725188 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.537636229945494 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4688307670029926 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4838933623533979 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4778000753903297 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.469728476730967 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5026047690012471 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4814769219111027 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4774283561977528 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4730661791389918 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4814619046676768 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4756553991841357 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5169679975078381 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4791326386229164 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4808969826457581 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4702041102378308 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4807174733811278 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5298029218981526 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4765354688439107 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4578000596495152 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4825746381701954 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5253136321211075 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5163754483167253 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4891742568483632 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5561281223621661 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.521029870440392 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4851699737113484 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4687281255297347 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5225227622392231 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.480387150712271 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4743529230971659 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4842048527963299 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.487338078540304 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5271676046031611 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5271013266696158 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5302044661070913 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4743990390452324 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4836958486419196 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4811488692237012 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5399587575572917 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4818929092116886 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.481818823449451 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5215634380246152 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5245157297382119 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5187477547555994 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4811837063525892 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4726414921788382 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4810010123529238 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4782757424162366 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5011277817329716 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4705729788406168 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4785761172375295 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4753644848320837 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4762787295714087 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4657035972425993 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5339807193136318 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.473252641780946 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4659692555001362 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5240867612637656 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5197764669252556 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4794505485851881 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.526130650448135 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4880356518665945 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.479840869239257 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5260365595502416 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5275429832056623 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.483272379302 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4819105736596503 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Airships by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4792650262368521 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4798884305387002 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4875717870673611 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4726886384932909 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4747343049621684 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4794412146034643 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4726521961654896 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5246978088740623 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is Westworld located on an island?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5143310756414307 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.478878936253841 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4895363603274854 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4821552861692461 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4788803063335192 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4846569411569988 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4754702980785683 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4662517854861022 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4736960639535365 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4792537636580499 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4669642010088622 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5259176019250679 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4729430703588523 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.450667693544359 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4796827176398845 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5018519327906433 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4846033036161776 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5224408547407104 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4830684360016438 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5231633531156232 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4815608867148613 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4726424346758703 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4582448821766696 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4881498917607895 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4759421093615107 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4875006031971253 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4754061741395775 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4783189514960533 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5035098306619722 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5280424874349954 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4784700587479134 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4662496522006954 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.471076781380401 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4732717975064056 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4781917674134341 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4816337229422417 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.516321411521057 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4826799020495976 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4830082670904294 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4969108065381406 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4832566923946472 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4915497940346153 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4732899057636083 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4987607240535366 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4735154028203362 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4839105713106901 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4732505991585187 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4881018360807044 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4814508636472412 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4788693516573054 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4779843529000563 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4847601416179288 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.481256709311407 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4730278883984137 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.520759669511395 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4778740319626912 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4835288892177551 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4878368451089115 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.48213993340239 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4732364784997833 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4726177043218827 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5239230337334235 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5190108575206628 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4845087796217158 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4761226116549097 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4831297310633008 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.476555733172506 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4648325089085233 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4825191755649561 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.468110108428231 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5241681184266623 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4828603207887927 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4768721607761043 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4761238392916235 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4743070740328055 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4800480320291686 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4757767222124621 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4739590783897524 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4719047375219905 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4865657559582985 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4735581038673891 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.527754766262966 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4691892575363984 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4799033473801998 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4748473524759554 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4767525584227 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4703475386668693 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4796488665884243 +Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4844536393612566 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.520480337921616 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4886383197811632 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4628017766981184 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4954956173567694 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5225445561021019 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4782745574701302 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5261199912451259 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5404519337857652 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.462654713217235 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4955753367436801 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5740696623141146 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4863979147981726 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5060603092623249 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4608645278628804 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5136578037753422 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5251185017547778 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4772883667393608 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5253405888833342 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4826659090652185 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5796723664454246 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4510245892009216 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4837719355864127 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5162280644135873 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5107741939995185 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.564289530993919 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4468040287682158 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5558879367212145 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4374719102851753 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.493548745122901 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4961832802421174 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5180644232036269 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4868451417938393 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4542567057971651 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4733263180802452 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.508981069861596 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5109272215754752 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5076917008615782 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5625634662503929 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5154589888394742 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5602934129062741 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5414931389463463 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5041321373285406 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4629061162019703 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5093156920477888 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.4968153296910178 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5271471902113894 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5408920680733453 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4967532923862721 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5062889764956471 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4629253150248136 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5320536298873835 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5382029095347629 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4198027482561548 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4424526762866112 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5069439979482607 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5058820815673682 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4252888696819377 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4464758500191454 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5092155461261434 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5231622182342255 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4965517788063458 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5064931414477742 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.54823660816288 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.503205084304795 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.524045608076175 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5027322132420815 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5070417878929598 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5667631011305079 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5295949952186921 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.555328055262369 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5121927042988743 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4862103943321131 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4955358329119728 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5295707140437738 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4785078749604463 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4921059191647895 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5063690822338524 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5320986517899182 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5550927285920998 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5440035103251184 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5656274976919963 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5227116332606392 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5215178015880435 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.525358933427554 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5152391810935798 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.477458898554164 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5135836132087468 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5282997422391009 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5236665124578139 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5151468791086855 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5825702064623147 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5023923262415956 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5257503933882128 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5199280882170755 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.496323595667371 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5182845257758442 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5394859512702193 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.522420851491873 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4778625833400092 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5267125097290858 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5070917229765199 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.471010146964234 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,0.0,0.479463614603235 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5317575824947361 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5453297388885201 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.479463614603235 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5152237194120827 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5056177411230129 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5030120117578207 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4840818143769872 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4842819103455581 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5437026286992648 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,0.0,0.4965986919230811 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5337324656024702 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5078940808352105 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4687906266262437 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5110479252663312 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5501901106699748 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4468505844660528 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5397929647207581 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,0.0,0.4951692324437752 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5312093733737563 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5825702064623147 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5044246632563198 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.6035234661764438 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.485441009944404 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5441027737584234 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5338985360125902 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5178495544061347 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5549716938190299 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4717283008140448 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.5161234400549263 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5120458614418767 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5441027737584234 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4655718070254902 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5213545231428923 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,0.0,0.4674877994643183 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5272952414133147 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4821504455938653 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5327626013523019 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5252593773834813 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4966443456847925 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,1.0,0.507352411166006 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4625701546562504 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4906987475507857 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5138853177460049 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.503731274016853 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5243709164772913 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5767091049125712 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5634556095716579 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5518133302331701 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5403532185111201 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5120944145533364 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5322133826606283 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.528320172117258 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.514281828285414 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5285261032551332 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4864897758865953 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4911120474353568 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4737809777103147 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5271840523866195 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5233474946163019 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4965986919230812 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.474641066572446 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5129003621695283 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4762084564986187 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5356536708339716 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.495391835549374 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5595748083859149 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5732936552664211 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4753893620790012 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5584789976861617 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5807576873115002 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4938778569970083 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5057800893208229 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5093156920477888 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4862239599054923 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5218610539716015 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5729225860817025 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.542996988453704 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4752948596205884 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5112340641020213 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5342320775549654 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5024752273043226 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.471549751266064 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5152391810935798 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5784824419729697 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5029585453527718 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4911251925304824 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5058136914711074 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4825941009719155 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5030863805520918 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5364417368816429 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.503571367834087 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5506073655352404 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5076136246612677 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.514281828285414 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5063287759061954 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.524627941320052 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.49337787068122 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4964539601634382 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5093156920477888 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5233164098038501 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5478530855616275 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5070917229765198 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.523239058440566 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5364520661355572 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4428734878398535 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5168712298201406 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5446000526357239 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4309280761987866 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.6042192955873859 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4629061162019704 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,0.0,0.4919361831145541 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5136329837253493 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5102725268946674 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5264176841104667 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.46462612530246 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5522281456863466 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5267125097290858 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5185100556181508 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4940122623103703 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5199893401555817 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4613300328458447 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5175983613920182 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5362996595198514 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5710293259306524 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4674374574381832 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5565927047198995 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5137328090110693 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5045870272703888 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5368354289035474 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,1.0,0.5222076018581396 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5042917400892997 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.522565306282406 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5265706902823604 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4958334297812715 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.4965753960185349 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4874503350720761 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5375016939898951 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5124973964842103 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.5019230674405052 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5112975118470058 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5152624325749469 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5133301737382324 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.529037057737934 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5469748073527511 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5270819034641421 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5341084341302113 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.516550243032689 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4687906266262437 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4969879882421792 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5818263428769723 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.525507701967344 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5115673521643301 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5241191968757134 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4777923981418603 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.505952099771186 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5447757583240581 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5439117353614964 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5241191968757134 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.485718171714586 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5347266090414073 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4633685036130901 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5031645147077625 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5345601877487016 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5074251966654628 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4679925469650731 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.5094925301671976 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5112066998311575 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5670778436432129 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5132127822002726 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5192212922106081 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4850344116240864 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4584295167832 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4800106598444182 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5187052778593532 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5468108668158387 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.5031249593105316 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5049749601931517 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4889885648662231 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5130860161412026 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.51979163372766 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5088748074695175 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5119025128376735 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5061346614676304 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5114265815625848 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5179778581562623 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5177440247048039 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5290677155401674 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4872639021021623 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5224065076016263 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5037036359648392 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4856154812482939 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.53542442016874 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5097075178591937 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4817599225930672 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5256916391192213 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4941523134244496 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5266103471436341 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5580225855229798 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5337324656024702 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4878072957011257 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5138853177460049 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5352674246587077 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5038167197578826 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4678358878488383 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5094775376641013 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.568273163711485 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5251045004963912 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5082865340146282 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5298557450702304 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5121927042988743 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5243709164772913 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.453157900581156 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5332840382511312 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.502499979166875 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4937503255004896 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.472441749824753 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4762084564986187 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5162105328632659 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5429560458668654 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4888907175171625 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5144190777705365 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5564953071045275 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5458428712336039 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5121335397101529 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4967105737739025 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4903393666618882 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5369694450320077 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5165229071953926 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5034013080769189 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.474641066572446 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5371111134171961 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5041321373285405 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5186249188559294 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4966216730325768 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5457432942028348 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4900510645674145 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5358859028766995 +Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5374298453437496 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5108091264608374 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4228662440885053 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4701211122371492 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4881911727425119 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4365147112059633 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5195977978782956 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4745301147165097 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5331267571140275 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4628017766981184 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4706221120107446 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5571811717609633 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5095682097661227 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5069439979482606 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4876058452933844 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4965986919230812 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5260276405166412 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5182400774069328 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4881678898578756 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4946526103062298 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.538983220687684 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.3971485828890163 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5575944618382844 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4424055381617156 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4598709080099453 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5120400612476412 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4895848401126353 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4599759275588213 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5078118642792044 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4787362373298253 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.520821285372743 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,1.0,0.51098724197751 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5293778879892553 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4196111775055337 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.50763299474575 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5441326399468367 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5049998333399998 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5106935562766864 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4757472028371508 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.452524404873952 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4887659358979786 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4722507649454868 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5083162584413747 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5178495544061347 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5046294973287933 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.528320172117258 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4950740510055932 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4748112572345075 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4626863244461435 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5091314046883527 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.3885239134957419 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4679339787112079 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4799103187721903 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5155229601603083 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5095226579074725 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5305740527923501 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4718607506943222 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4821504455938653 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5085461761502256 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4351499618330398 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4677866173393716 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5213545231428923 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4846202378829159 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4788858034222825 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4384852600832211 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5568953648550379 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4865503305565089 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4534110667725338 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4613674764030288 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5042015817724268 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4867872177997275 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4959017311262769 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5106935562766864 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5159739434178388 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4442624653114098 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.476771949908666 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4537409160412891 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5195977978782956 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4959678293477533 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4846202378829159 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4820221418437377 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5402353929097253 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4865804048347259 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4833395034305885 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5480964383924574 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4833395034305885 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4393858747465546 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4573728832732215 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4612845494879659 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5214921250395538 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4868451417938393 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5041492823410229 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.496575396018535 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4584295167832 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.477080293810606 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5320415918570665 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4892489691601153 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4751560997254584 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4262941793623823 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5566694559504617 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5371982233018815 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4877073956145278 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.441785672207454 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4651617052846462 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,0.0,0.4915974297871608 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5659402039708967 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.48020836627234 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4917020067690149 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5045870272703888 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5180916459245126 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.520092267316529 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4634797867662746 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4793505948221451 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5135713263873666 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4676921356500302 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5038460779869267 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4578467760411432 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5173090978199186 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.5121927042988743 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4900510645674145 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5040815419903072 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4816596083361285 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4681283788605493 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4780361219172949 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4965035534978907 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5160372777566905 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4909512143309162 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4607949296305453 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5270007348654764 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4612429526511947 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5342599573544301 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5542256384368649 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4962963640351607 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5441122008298163 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4831524477753544 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4917362897397492 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5305740527923501 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4819083540754874 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5114265815625848 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5290798992639061 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.489132146740843 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4518405858378072 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,0.0,0.4348955333124374 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5079993174032311 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4871822961082876 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4894752390692466 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4865804048347259 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5093739015216608 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5157842271984716 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5360817491331001 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4814371070487515 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5129840932120608 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4962687259831471 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5399148845555657 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4628592358177957 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4932889936444753 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5038460779869267 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.473880008754874 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5516287976439672 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4746594111166658 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4846986569306182 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4585144844165497 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5105247609307534 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4676129770992003 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5303365242107836 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5507950395226532 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.433210278120968 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4890727784245248 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.495391835549374 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4854637597546782 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4811410263123732 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.515952031140322 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5299640517645718 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5198308616884231 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5034964465021093 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.49134285659018 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5393918791114867 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4869310819650718 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4604786559722175 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4820221418437377 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5445740884781963 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4873444757749314 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4707650911403196 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4480146304938495 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4472865602110406 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5132127822002726 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5353440040746982 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5237915435013812 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4833395034305885 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4781559899127441 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5257745066835182 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4884326478356698 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4701846685963043 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.522044523142372 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5340381803161751 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5275311807982621 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5440035103251184 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.3822979037433656 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5698112454177338 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4351499618330398 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.514774023199931 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4712058986116088 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4740118798715027 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4851895190457661 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4944446730568404 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5272952414133147 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5468108668158387 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5044246632563198 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4863047962765885 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4478646063999881 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4896387891811504 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5043477165042322 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4758641835765005 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4337256058045607 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4887052616470232 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.474381428079346 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4892489691601153 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4796031623338354 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4631815196514022 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5156199157230156 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4647643857415851 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4928576287261293 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4932889936444753 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5097548596169542 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5496074272014263 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5236789564389379 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4909919657862464 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5240777478913371 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5109471553936615 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5068961144017796 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5500827452077309 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4801075928000566 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5228151956624909 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5543301009788975 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4708663709279531 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5119737581985222 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4683680937162681 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5127631842181078 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5239815849711045 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4834314827887663 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4888907175171625 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4886383197811632 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4665571822403945 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4810033005397743 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5087327363390002 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5394657552244545 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5123431707221312 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4871822961082876 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5048542164141795 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5109272215754752 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4570950231192887 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4645565880818754 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4864286736126334 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5139628491300514 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.546593395966079 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4488970140124912 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4323397838812547 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4304537760607709 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4855113037554542 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5162105328632659 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4582370641613827 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5284054004781404 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4875544384664094 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5141805932411249 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4463524265841614 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5094328429311656 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5033848612495294 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4378234991142019 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.485718171714586 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.496212193675234 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4463524265841614 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5185100556181508 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5298153314036957 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5519853695061505 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4685455298687691 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4834770928046074 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4196075148079189 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4851528809663266 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4559964896748816 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4626863244461435 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.442121087112907 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5133301737382324 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4497118854897243 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4684629743719473 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5205013198573784 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4401491751799382 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4858194067588751 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.496428632165913 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.504739194562381 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4863047962765885 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4727047585866852 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4676129770992003 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5121188381534878 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4621578123315139 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5654124132133329 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4779878057966442 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.518256720209047 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4901490581425588 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4711858074713826 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.486728781563524 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4953705026712068 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5144886962445457 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5501105367157175 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4785078749604463 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4965887468859946 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5373136755538566 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5690741887140993 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.43090470868475 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4904317902338773 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4906260984783391 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5217254425298697 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4574673788466955 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.508848633571015 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4702731951360483 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4549249675714144 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4643463291660283 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.49489813625671 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4637812429715032 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4549249675714144 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4804977039083704 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5365080588411424 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4812294826874981 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.477158766099017 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4763490241515791 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4899003638215689 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4562267472967984 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4685455298687691 +Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4880023034692821 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5147016433692061 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5266020755478974 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5139628491300514 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5104151598873647 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5307304486714433 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4736531178946861 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5024154401469004 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5220786562868537 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.520821285372743 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5116611710204843 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5183315480595995 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4712359829017555 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4899207204689138 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.481743279790953 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.507935841462319 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4976635684079264 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4744845489755531 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4824838064839337 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4991166086930281 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5017985533937519 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4860371508699486 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5103671775479983 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4896328224520017 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5205198690447055 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.494868215397528 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.496192966973221 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5103433517636239 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4944032188433283 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5013888853166548 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.492574803334537 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5023147982767848 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4739366883173527 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4799103187721903 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4948719746829491 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5080638168854459 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5205013198573784 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5083791037470575 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.516408247469193 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4866342010452036 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.521293930369717 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5013661168191642 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5366985918197641 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5139557650720376 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4918745203806116 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.496052713585942 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4964789314464213 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5011520716939001 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4976635684079263 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5213773343771393 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5180772236878783 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5156199157230156 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5135102241134046 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4742076967332366 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4936826466601274 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4874608237010137 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5162777705075251 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4837455670697004 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5011961699667867 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4701128916977168 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5259329926025236 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5255333254692911 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5013888853166548 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4961539220130733 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.507935841462319 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.502173899345327 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5253405888833341 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5012077271197953 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5423319557489888 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5169206195605528 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.497435919913001 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4909250890799578 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4713854673127401 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.5059997120165879 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.517150132236617 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4847269751054411 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4900013331200346 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5395213440277825 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5056051463473952 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5198640165106412 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5120169162095304 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5336031171209707 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5213545231428923 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5190670546458076 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5030674461786483 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5373319702780349 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4896328224520018 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5217254425298697 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5295111142030818 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5100718974419184 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.510867853259157 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5180102226924502 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.4787577334370981 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5178495544061347 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5034883154953351 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5124087989949547 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5090899074702867 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5009025260956028 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5132180733166837 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5113149403305957 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.479630844735498 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4930560020517393 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5310659226565129 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4838019665071641 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5026041431194082 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,1.0,0.514363862720729 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5252444740640796 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5027472251014413 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4961241086448296 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5166604965694114 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5113616802188368 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5090663636561172 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.505952099771186 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5091230749648754 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.475429642351517 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4740332836236089 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4974747689455732 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4991228079175047 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4990494308030199 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,0.0,0.497435919913001 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5107826417285821 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4761544667416957 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4907417990385578 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5241041080294825 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.5025906503919949 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,1.0,0.5111317634845403 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4963054859587819 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5130178906923251 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5132322036953993 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4842394571288706 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5163493095537479 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5153013430693818 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.483215264449086 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4989082986780396 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4932436545083539 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5255077019673439 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5165229071953926 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5114015319666694 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,0.0,0.4853842820255182 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5048778940198114 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5010917013219603 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4782114819813853 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4949750435569002 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4850202570790857 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.492647588833994 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4922228495049003 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4905314351299994 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4868451417938393 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4819897773075497 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5134771268796169 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,0.0,0.4853937673494111 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5155551447093873 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4969388137589995 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5263730167755456 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4869821093076749 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5054110441535835 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5170388542610094 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5231049204879423 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4834770928046074 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4911251925304824 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5328793137164584 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5054582984427312 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5152534813082463 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5238582723332132 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5358295707872321 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4988151680945161 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5246834759402763 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.502499979166875 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5035046155023797 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5263981951626328 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4826019634686568 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5379172584481373 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4907417990385578 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.507352411166006 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5282948611950654 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4975247726956774 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4960000853311488 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4899116832087876 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5350547541826907 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5152126945431281 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5040414824195126 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4975247726956774 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5031779233080282 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5202591725968775 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.515427200432863 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4826659090652185 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.502173899345327 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5190670546458076 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5188799081902818 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5097075178591937 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5076917008615782 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4844547724297936 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5193701459216209 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4850790584555578 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5135508976600969 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5138853177460049 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.520480337921616 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5317491328360954 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4852983566307939 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5121927042988743 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5065785677232344 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5093447061474364 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5181912008979407 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5228923504402287 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4706221120107446 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4982638958658965 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5269346848542795 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4834131682250827 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5049503332908232 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5082152230622154 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5132322036953993 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4871822961082876 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4923082991384219 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4594799194498428 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5137465349023549 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5058591067938315 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5042734002147855 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4720024111161881 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5251185017547778 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5235252182023724 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4961140678793351 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4704426654389573 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5144886962445457 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4813519372967388 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4711858074713826 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4708663709279531 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5009025260956028 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5170665382084025 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5124973964842103 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5110903308867615 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4931323000702878 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5174347890583453 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5202017624236956 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5031645147077625 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5181267673072804 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,1.0,0.5074621324703608 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.514363862720729 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.4949240322582515 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.477579148508127 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5221529750306512 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5104696736211527 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.498655917216061 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4817789058386353 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4810517326872409 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4987922728802045 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4726834766204328 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4914642439895238 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5387570473488053 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5151775219877919 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4981617729879675 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4964115448669239 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5015723218612106 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.520592740303845 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5310335037032438 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5279975888838119 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5180772236878783 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5145698650557022 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5121597640563917 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4986486519390002 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.50763299474575 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5150816305300686 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4830162451686605 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5285403709822651 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.532616931442916 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4980468849340468 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5409338211008049 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4978813686119221 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5076136246612677 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5166604965694114 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4924754844991967 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4833395034305885 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5011312197893515 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4949496667108436 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5098996961817597 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4822769317366156 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4935570576747771 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4843800842769844 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5232625458146508 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5111713249144482 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5265375393676139 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4792695328085788 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5125544382881194 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5198308616884231 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5195068226955313 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,0.0,0.4823082737874535 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5184127226059408 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5074399270259654 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5141205380034302 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4823443002841487 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.518586473114753 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.514629969075462 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4764325708541482 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5022935618946309 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5072810386745407 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4868451417938393 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4875026035157896 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5233819480148145 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5319469408320915 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5054582984427312 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5143190002345266 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5021186313880779 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5223066116281302 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5251465511368086 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4783918456246261 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4962312271550952 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5219638780827052 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4863670162746507 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5024875416653254 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5131548582061607 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4967811603478249 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5182845257758442 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5258835772361777 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5345832465806133 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5088823141877813 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5089733953825759 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4784616129853668 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5152126945431281 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5187412158785352 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4817154742241559 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5102444677476691 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5184248332413329 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5086624994813019 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5161234400549263 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4712299710683687 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5025125416652994 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5024271654007478 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5314897981449456 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5171412943366911 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5009652497661415 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4961832802421174 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5126700980833895 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5029643921434658 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4961241086448296 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.514469642823217 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,0.0,0.4962406723446489 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.493548745122901 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5362491396279838 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4970588574525463 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5038167197578826 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.5095097226361418 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5274842299400397 +Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5122616920103961 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.488265066180055 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5106366928667769 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5242527971628492 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4929582121070402 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4617970904652371 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5046946977107682 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5109631548804431 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.51058043091515 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5038460779869267 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5362491396279838 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4756290835227087 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-7B,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4886383197811631 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4746760649787163 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5173198003277342 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.492647588833994 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4886897125197994 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5211737699679475 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4948719746829492 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4971751712983997 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5028248287016003 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4356305106148623 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-7B,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4631815196514022 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4883062263437607 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-7B,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5348894438981895 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4912596317047092 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4950740510055933 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4577282665613447 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,0.0,0.4937891393488809 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4787863274375458 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5244370364257445 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5530985190137533 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-7B,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4864897758865953 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.491018930138404 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5056815736258301 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5213140897411455 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5251045004963912 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5139963424803272 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4916674381858807 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.457811989181228 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5248414087632218 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5318716211394506 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4956522834957678 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5189782199668254 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5123737106645424 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5138086424051052 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5098412485540627 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4562973713007352 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5017123220729314 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5259201393283117 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-7B,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.557878912887093 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4501660026875221 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5050759677417485 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5154589888394742 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4952154570488692 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4955358329119729 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5194706685620861 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5095226579074725 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5194706685620861 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4640452177257749 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5149955016194101 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4668244130685017 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4786226656228607 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4772883667393608 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5083162584413747 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5108091264608374 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4787362373298253 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4950250398068482 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5307304486714433 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5103612108188496 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5121927042988743 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5205013198573784 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5178495544061347 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-7B,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5302659827682414 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5223731097438693 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5412964398814437 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.548044083869152 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4885864579459435 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-7B,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5021096921214572 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5349429451582145 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5204288724903542 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5323870229007998 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4892873539262475 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5214154615267241 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5093885677183989 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5081073974648354 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4887024881529942 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4918040128854498 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5189482673127591 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5165815949137029 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5046294973287931 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5121927042988743 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4779149319852429 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4959017311262769 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5318196841652789 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5020833212770899 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-7B,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4850044983805899 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,0.0,0.4913801644535004 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5205013198573784 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-7B,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.523420348936324 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4889885648662231 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5057140369420544 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.502192968394342 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5277492350545132 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5314084829800948 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4976635684079264 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5091453214101649 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,0.0,0.4842983582496771 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5126235794300751 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5317034417740683 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4955158152965246 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5044443273928169 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-7B,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4781692279162634 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-7B,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4901490581425588 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-7B,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5234054438313848 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5132712184364759 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5092155461261434 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-7B,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5088748074695175 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5139628491300514 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-7B,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.5097390278147961 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4808604204277943 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5218307720837366 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5334863841244653 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5050503332891563 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5127631842181078 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.521621123856006 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.4977477629807779 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-7B,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4712438893862462 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.5275145491092269 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5179410121929973 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5154817751424792 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5100488979399806 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5134582868629621 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5085219019495526 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-7B,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4897973347746699 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-7B,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4959184580096928 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4971751712983996 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4872908737242157 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4824633365032592 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,1.0,0.5061346614676304 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5099986668799654 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-7B,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5029411425474537 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4913801644535004 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5416432040340554 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5021276467321916 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-7B,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5344281929745097 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5156199157230156 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5266414114504839 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5232991761771308 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-7B,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4852114152521029 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5103078176886584 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-7B,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5070749994500934 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5224567916386864 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5408569734897606 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-7B,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4760457493345232 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.507352411166006 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5071085257453821 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4815872773940591 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5124198049367678 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5490223356754607 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4854812611020053 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5345194664720727 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5041840027547786 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-7B,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5222624985803155 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5316648825617195 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5038167197578826 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4949750435569003 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-7B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4910723774907236 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4572338438050537 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5262915173930184 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5215383870146332 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5227116332606392 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5085098164814612 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4930879979558266 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5081959871145502 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5139823674147087 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4936978127667791 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5091314046883527 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4894973434002406 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5498339973124778 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4939396907376751 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5105247609307534 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-7B,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5349429451582145 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5673452692154505 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5110114351337768 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.530084099260317 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5312093733737563 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5045453293304604 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-7B,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5025252310544267 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5503749580030629 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-7B,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,0.0,0.4918926025351646 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5300184999663469 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5080207022879117 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5024509607606302 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-7B,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5152391810935798 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5118461239863314 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4974874583347006 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5020491688548858 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.54823660816288 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4822559752951961 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4833395034305886 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5389832206876841 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5069120020441733 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-7B,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4899631075530795 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4957806908743042 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5171361430986443 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5103612108188496 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-7B,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.497854090429043 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Qwen-7B,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5168205733337349 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-7B,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5319200001654031 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5334694281883858 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.524570357648483 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5168712298201406 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4873123689277897 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5194706685620861 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5392449518138156 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5260181446753458 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-7B,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4919361831145541 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5089276225092765 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4901490581425588 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4866103449492933 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4975609949553931 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5084737648565953 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5174928576663897 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5093012524492143 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5214154615267241 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4925931344678305 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5289530808975701 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5467381519846138 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-7B,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4760009879920011 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5133896550507067 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4879250535751088 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5082865340146282 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4732398804219287 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5086947755916545 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5048075441471118 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4790541817550202 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.538570560705747 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5047391945623811 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4916325804065845 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5095226579074725 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5193037052035345 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5083325618141192 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5299043861496653 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5195977978782956 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4837719355864128 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5021096921214572 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.494818838308844 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4744409021905523 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4977375720018353 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4894195690848498 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4861146822539951 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-7B,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5133896550507067 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5402353929097253 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4916674381858807 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5049749601931517 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5084380173778285 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5017482446238479 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-7B,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5078733648926594 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4756948469135325 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5279039375244551 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.502499979166875 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5021276467321916 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4935625874859383 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5095226579074725 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5142141784562962 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5088748074695175 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.5128837453557653 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5120458614418767 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-7B,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5260181446753458 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4747689239079112 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5167401524222442 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4950001666600002 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5046510286352462 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5018115862757094 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5083325618141193 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.5077713948345198 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.51195944098794 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5393918791114868 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4893064437233134 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-7B,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5211513906167544 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5196942391158799 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4743083608807786 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5048778940198114 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5178495544061347 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-7B,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5138213627832241 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5045247633548685 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4883198823209856 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-7B,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5322133826606285 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4897450280512702 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5174058990280845 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5106366928667769 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5068802996246469 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4701442549297695 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4672188078597629 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5054642633214962 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5122926043854722 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5082865340146282 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5070088866629289 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.48804055901206 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4952154570488692 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4806859434802119 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-7B,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.507935841462319 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5071423712738706 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5100996361784311 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4775151752081998 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-7B,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5073886246802564 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5178495544061347 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.514558990055596 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5134496694434911 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.532633283504028 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4777923981418603 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.5 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,0.0,0.4877475514141034 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5604912978550681 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4738334510463314 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Qwen-7B,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5246106379209988 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5365327184294649 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5135102241134046 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4978070316056581 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5160372777566906 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4938274740874457 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5399148845555657 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5285403709822651 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5217254425298697 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4690870971003623 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5052081449613973 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.504739194562381 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5432442882397309 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-7B,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5546198751353111 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4973545220409378 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-7B,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5175366634967408 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5178495544061347 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-7B,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5334694281883858 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-7B,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5025380492665369 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.515952031140322 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-7B,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5092582009614421 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.502499979166875 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5021929683943419 +Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-7B,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5501268990253335 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4778625833400092 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4935236782782355 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4687906266262437 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4849443118188562 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4668852799793405 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5078609874297997 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4746969580853158 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4847527394717236 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4839627222433095 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4781508054558477 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4862322946958138 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5047682478136508 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5188083254235916 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5160698514208323 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.48362409276646 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4810435731576271 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5128177038917123 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5324402415752061 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5101612024199411 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5102725268946674 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5128034365232426 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5085743572297383 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4914256427702616 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5106725360146254 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4844877384562581 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5068574253590553 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4779422540835182 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4909003624426934 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.52497918747894 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4768207500789405 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5048778940198115 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5356536708339716 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4601063015977378 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5056815736258301 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4732398804219287 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5005010018363374 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4904773420925274 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4770993668323258 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4941863085288925 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4968354852922376 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4925931344678305 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4774785618903228 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4671833939698622 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4607499999379036 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5245293909111506 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5236242477714474 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4846202378829159 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4970998005074731 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5321134098932239 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4700359482354282 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4714134980464449 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5271162257554465 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.478490105416435 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5022935618946309 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5294071396130735 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4874127320448445 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5063826320020286 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.472373298561587 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5282716991859553 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4840260565821612 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5071423712738707 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5067045789594611 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4806962947964654 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4890414211708955 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4830891593342649 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4701999693457749 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4689808241050008 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4740850530637278 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4744922980326561 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4751935933613432 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4720209598875053 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4874727892625456 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5217982544416017 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4854538413114644 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4790762662128633 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5104407425304625 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4828162004983434 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4858314586275309 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4993036216201886 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4701312994353014 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4760137419652607 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4871351929593486 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4942107850373959 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4891321467408432 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4898537915441334 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.470754142118128 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4937814151939656 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4706909159211085 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4970862800693112 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4802585748760754 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4883495667722697 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4667790528189297 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4883313573816684 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.521841102809794 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4709164015882733 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4673952609289536 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4792801652707413 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4862802944844249 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4868451417938393 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5060603092623249 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4778050282154037 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5012499973958399 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4673911045528402 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.514774023199931 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5335590470843579 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4783154974035224 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4935900947750924 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4769666686853859 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4811014443253568 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.530758213976463 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5246132134830928 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4908839277624281 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4782017455583983 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5203849645768186 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5269295181117121 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4829258960105299 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5123101456271717 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4895364116205283 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4845843266089863 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4772883667393608 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5125456287644279 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4945654314164217 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5242527971628492 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4741609700557303 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4800719117829246 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4897783759921744 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4896803647748318 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4821504455938653 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4702619827864344 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4994407161169265 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4832651816485133 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4856498750495351 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4862802944844249 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4866368464774139 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5183740752866297 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5134956413295164 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4720120452744037 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4771346036074007 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4795833431037368 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4732016702942457 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4803624101328705 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5205896861908963 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4785845384732758 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5207304671914211 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4740936698049591 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4714052813852081 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5219157734665782 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4810847284976696 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5178495544061347 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5289150697886209 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5059520997711859 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.496346620342109 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4744126156324952 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5347539940839372 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4880974871623263 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4874127320448445 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4844448552906127 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4776012084373805 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5244166536757275 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4794233926160762 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.513916226774519 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4828049486948593 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5025458028473967 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.478748443155792 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4694146265912626 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5107126460737526 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5150556881811438 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4938205393709218 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4956522834957678 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4701846685963043 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4848224780122081 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4674374574381832 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5176275461017124 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.484535871729281 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4889491683316771 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.471834359988 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4834770928046074 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4902311283445842 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4678358878488383 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4707366066334114 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4971910407877089 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4729843930768487 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4826458625670112 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4709629422620661 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.478387178403326 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.477825206498291 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5176167256750603 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4825420298040422 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4695035504473839 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5205619630005006 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5192212922106082 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4937814151939656 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4982014466062481 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4770993668323258 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4732016702942457 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4804626274689091 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4833395034305885 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4695499238192083 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4938359287450505 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5348041812673245 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4819061432330053 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.490283908753011 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4831600105812353 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4726687800752666 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5234767006305452 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.480873534897321 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.487670661300058 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4811105062712276 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5124164532365401 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.520821285372743 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5015592465046653 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5171889908120966 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5154936903265128 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.480478678047907 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4934899512382892 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5216492192351365 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4846986569306182 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4839164418801079 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4841602316642855 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4802030742633827 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5234975301484697 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5389504567655602 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5131548582061607 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4850164780119819 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4993734339119342 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5108678532591568 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4972222507998301 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4909003624426934 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.483424443512422 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5263468821053138 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5240677642823868 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5138853177460049 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4879830837904696 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4950144102538928 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5060972587151367 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4677866173393716 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4870232308625309 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5063801641215155 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4740149397084887 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4791226577301659 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4780475945293689 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.483424443512422 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5277492350545132 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4870495292695357 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4763786284193692 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5190196896235536 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5092057584537679 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4821942648593832 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5196942391158799 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4690478931365666 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5380618162375104 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.497139619305298 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5112712997258158 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5028473496299544 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4890847039131588 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5119519847197708 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4748534488631913 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4699643934749777 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4806219558140401 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.479790428072831 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4879333778894902 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5268970867343741 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4857932986620891 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4807787077893918 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4812066292910035 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4782515234532793 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4811302476700089 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4973460971098848 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5063215022267945 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4867236757202206 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4684022361133754 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.465783898606298 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4896608414247047 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5008143315275393 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4777500731406924 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.476898180590239 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5175161935160661 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4802261459320748 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.477983594353523 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4928576287261293 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5114563278831847 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4730125010139712 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.506817759235038 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4732203990703697 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.484546501260201 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4811564698403832 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4791787146272571 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4784306609348945 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4736117648221132 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.506756345491646 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4802901169283943 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5170741039894701 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5301142614010528 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.489956708195069 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4802261459320748 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4718839956189153 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.475825315488025 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.478748443155792 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4891791790013677 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5227116332606392 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4879478276586464 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4710725293871852 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4878496147819773 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4801691383115769 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4834770928046074 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4822297099767683 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4806298540783792 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4936173679979714 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4944855177242737 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4937644956269102 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4811732885180073 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4733525779389059 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4774400770583732 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4694625154567892 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4715992309365009 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4825127787692428 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.488265066180055 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5206952403761826 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4734718279673395 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5113616802188369 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4893883861303441 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5072458695114436 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4806369945839928 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4676921356500302 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5185960696692262 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5268198708474517 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4892654534000036 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4801143010185688 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4842908861975873 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4789281511372396 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5111446506626691 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4801075928000566 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4927298189117624 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.501473473141202 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5091676766035412 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4920388894221543 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4871822961082876 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4740309503807161 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4820221418437377 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4829126397463384 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4927988518735544 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4870271336588802 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4851822058986039 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.504064951088788 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5331755869314982 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5034561661509831 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4767926432601004 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4798355041147413 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4921314002795516 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4701999693457749 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4803710274851314 +Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5082152230622154 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4730695857572952 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4765106905428719 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4743428291763151 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4810232594090651 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4605176541746742 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5153263806464636 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4618861641838259 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4915099342960846 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.458445889606191 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4919526266128711 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4869724726285707 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5239611608639364 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5297287251133347 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5197074012279328 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4792831574695663 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4807642194498481 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5224882387457852 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5353062760653082 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5265282926241435 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5440629707262308 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5092435479994929 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.53708707789241 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4629129221075901 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5155805438664091 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4880059301656762 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5242049461088731 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A triumph over the mite-y?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4760035998296404 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.470609251822191 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4900735641297707 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.484622526540481 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5202142454979819 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.546086490155463 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4637982732700044 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5103748036468506 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4887727853705629 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4796669834181001 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4817550600683034 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4664001482051725 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4892692889058723 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4821729292792078 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4796460446222543 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4822107885204973 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4630089624143145 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4761397857768548 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Does Proxima have Planets?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5265053294120878 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.4968465041414263 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4757593120274208 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4963489455692115 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5435258595165509 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4830534410408508 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4695571233918201 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5526716453190483 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4800403659690163 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.506473552218937 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4858687744758818 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4769762429953423 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4963611594284668 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4886986875147783 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.527753905686364 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4669973999272098 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5110343901891969 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4940416426783457 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.473753259044843 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4715276415792563 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4838138708113584 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4753817442781095 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4783627306643773 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4762695642920884 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4778660869405738 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4892521450909112 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is Arnold alive?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4658058592489602 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5042963763223802 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5087710027423404 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4791454753888911 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.480227980245228 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4840351068911601 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.502163334598671 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4410017386843264 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4724057011935361 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4676549915988293 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.476717132389305 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.475189545612007 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4963258249341327 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4811718121152153 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4873758412609607 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4785763200170799 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4938041988932031 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4860977194469925 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.47311958653698 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4917995771264751 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4545375351537637 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4949735533878028 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5325104756656373 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4790098530354722 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4630093953971302 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4887578123004732 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4727320771456569 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4718315010353075 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5240771703543426 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4798183116309265 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4677222232259121 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4720707646447834 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5176931680669976 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5484237389963932 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.496124280666961 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4677128998839753 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4603035233015541 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4454940109503605 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5333826865057326 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4719755676854326 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5202905735670753 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4653415668598327 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5536848469671978 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5332872703458155 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5170205017048014 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4840693423843798 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4489036014280315 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4690102424781135 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4920924217712091 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5173054610388383 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4723011797277349 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5222389848753547 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4762712836710522 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.514042832735032 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4686983512401525 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5052762400228914 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4671451969457831 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4814340526234495 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4714018915342605 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4722575140404719 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4765306938317252 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4836174830348972 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5074029707821142 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5276208649331425 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5083393779062026 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4655288484383439 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4742751988809665 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4829786805464398 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4712765283989567 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4892693943099379 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5589831408812195 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.469601241246969 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5433003694283864 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4677446816783993 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4707834968511084 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5367242452253951 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4588517237018895 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5145935838341901 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5055295723119911 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5161358019720594 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4849646950338429 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4635520635685249 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.540275492448569 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4962175348095229 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.45184349980955 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4813564120879336 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4820800761771075 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5360181604646126 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4829493133525206 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.502342344191756 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4721297009710816 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4657727881263593 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4703064066106731 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4674612099494035 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5300630341315906 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4897474405871373 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5336210263902492 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.493681086254427 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4842292360478958 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4878832149737542 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4603497661296972 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4943562602975868 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4665806201041879 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4709251230236993 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.470815871679572 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5317128026963858 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.492666134567276 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4663808556509931 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4930136852503219 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4789001037456729 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4801737476868777 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4780731058185091 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4853499519735751 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5037471926988714 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4862555379217645 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4760867365763001 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,First human head transplant in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4762123658767535 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5208121949003144 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.462333701000495 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5017723028472303 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4811718121152153 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4771897955607511 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4974565896175749 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4712130548184113 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.477504183459458 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4655064774861539 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4687002423428229 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4556469102756794 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5332545634547612 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4823700041212734 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4669469603723926 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.469130303909003 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.476345325125503 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5383919160836266 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.471582859342435 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4895642408899764 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.488645810962206 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5112673782867239 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5117701769943037 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4900738046541714 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5202777951026898 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4636366455564356 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4942475202490152 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4815014662095335 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5127236168978286 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4470985422839224 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.500000007543576 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4654022975020467 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4790594831351014 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5207911657965406 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5442455382321065 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4884274616281465 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4792300928803455 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4958998609819362 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5084789136384746 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4851090914407335 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4866289613363595 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5000000165534422 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5206220394558245 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5322599896379103 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5302868020513501 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4693834106998545 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5060937623553957 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4922021841043195 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4681883897827136 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5044093984622436 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4999999854466446 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4653564821268814 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4885200478738008 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4673235546077507 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4859579355614595 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5321400006296308 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.479368964063983 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4857204380811961 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5448980880515758 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.528879103233268 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4752823783072458 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.512745765931805 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4687215139612656 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4843869300448458 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5395569664659777 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5165040584022913 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5017948216988761 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5186798497456244 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4838518077848189 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5018275933959371 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is Westworld located on an island?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5152882654232169 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4877673861674762 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.482339492179327 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4934677127798185 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4606017078411154 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4764287004346511 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Airships by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4723477923755306 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4792296035219182 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4836787999713566 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4799224663006511 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4892852548383957 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4978141854150441 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4894622598471208 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4615028921779817 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4637066333960471 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4772609702223269 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5407069484647398 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4915561515499701 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4744878789554995 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4689028029187677 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4928120890431525 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4627716929555464 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5259902115744371 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.464433549551746 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5181019715585149 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4804325759032241 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4671679775812459 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4875456085395047 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4930492042374372 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4672908589104794 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4703847219648749 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4819117805291051 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4858736347955972 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5220268660313208 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5291557598691934 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4872876046690786 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4548229704330433 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4825705664581514 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4681573073805815 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4814175932950515 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4848129498588737 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5144434520090793 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4762391364839087 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4826055380597987 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5025296123359333 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4979110073405979 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5101197002144638 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4868778184343527 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4810806120281118 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4747856417037382 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5061759475875541 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4835974536039817 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.494849615977463 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4819910635196679 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.488611830166491 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4826925528558163 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.469925351926892 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4759299386990485 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5260468789180635 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4625929471588885 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4962900747996244 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4859819962298247 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4825326040753916 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4863047714794663 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.482500174638678 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.515790384459027 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5353856723213737 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4733430367150091 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4602471686368687 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4660010778692015 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4693388833707912 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4479036848380044 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4669632196333312 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.512969635053232 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.498200243420763 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.482876223970123 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4954715042647952 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4776880892429004 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4733785581146951 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4756465020505289 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.457991250285834 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.485843481718215 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4682213239617078 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4977470232508829 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5392315602973623 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4690001880028885 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4766725384054474 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.482427546457872 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4896954320236456 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4738627607134364 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4908449960344319 +Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.495566723648331 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4439778306458994 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4437284793537911 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4333591805646996 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4552698973052951 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4513622305118175 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5659225502525076 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.421551602237968 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.438990151874311 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4420678992113434 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4354367009626027 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4371144123051313 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5640726626836856 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5638451501950912 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5676287747640294 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4339777474495713 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4561884187499238 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5697162331210193 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5559877985763666 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5455266971410182 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.544494803726819 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will this question resolve in the negative?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5572653359148599 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5671945022109588 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4328054977890412 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5584771555063577 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4358974594104813 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.568593776787399 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A triumph over the mite-y?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4410850487281254 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4272922023569927 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5595923428401985 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4348292442120265 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.563184375783778 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5645759984054306 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4288180407688181 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5599923512574803 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4415366716191106 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4506695418734574 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4393635785172127 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4440094132097523 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4443109224030637 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4473027164371367 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4436913256920931 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.417098971280179 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4358659861162692 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Does Proxima have Planets?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5567955984512595 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4466526321736323 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.554866148800393 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4467764724408917 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4406722482352981 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5529321449949007 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4395203608773948 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4204650101775991 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5474252004347548 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4374657924262818 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5709827853391115 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5619632080371636 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4391662219125937 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4251055326985886 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5451303252865458 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4286505959441167 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5551542904748543 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4288817622461383 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5514277519753508 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.442990171362993 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4504023786406831 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4479913216814653 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4412649831463542 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4436207140324504 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4383322322535851 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4412068282545451 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is Arnold alive?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4313988383370302 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4299146962639257 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4258123247970529 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5562458193612083 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4356621223734048 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4287532389305712 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4346982743280407 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4330296544998043 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4348171268436142 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.444771435164492 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"How important are ""time crystals""?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4293455710243307 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4386186638837002 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4415219276122336 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4334252722197977 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4423398573334747 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4447734966439267 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4295739832917144 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4431239244707196 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4433377048842878 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4451667608609366 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4434710785946637 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4526714237639351 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4333979663678498 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4384496275263813 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5743433951022632 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4338337862106027 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4409990355513457 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4403764189434541 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4371902365496421 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4477687051875687 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5691417706304933 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4416314107327798 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4530486152994285 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4340956596483423 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5700091945016825 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5766595952052023 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.45737028943304 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4384614563583048 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4268630274660945 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4283930615169035 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5615075349882968 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.552208385669053 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4538663855756163 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4230758237926354 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5548681381590568 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5810518199448823 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4257487796568371 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4361443667117041 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5567312267895929 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4261004179117661 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.439713159618448 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5514303243843586 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4320918414575799 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5667532585691434 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4270847392219489 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4363304587503238 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4168292460950044 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4332161515030774 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4396228560568961 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4357543119035598 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4452936595097785 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4268043506113172 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4452027894639722 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4371061041937181 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4450973163927083 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5527637368763069 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5549430695874145 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4394725285326145 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4286317710717647 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4326650775333249 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4212750728235638 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4258847762167853 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5526863016854449 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.417330952471491 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Giant robot battle: is it on?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5849269755451225 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4312760145728636 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4333312960401637 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5709066388666764 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4343472441888606 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5425131427886634 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5556845064042721 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5624971574541653 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4409142740643961 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4470516954706812 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5688598743118767 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4475236793678114 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.43618986565613 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4255504219318017 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4448864876980448 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5389243608027134 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4527954580414324 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4434193901133232 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4445914062623441 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4598778025406148 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4432031094521321 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5610791679310432 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5637113494646534 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4468915277115937 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5546981589943343 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.446783800746384 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4421076855548775 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4411218666756749 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4341911217613428 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.442466813634676 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5696988593321344 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4333268165898293 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4436942114438437 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4430556053170016 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4460673043941874 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.454648319270499 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4345384727552003 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4386800352070301 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4368862342212673 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4552478516902593 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4272157118569449 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5585893345125279 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4246833790220005 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5613955848678962 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,First human head transplant in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.435717205945639 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4433042098427132 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4383193242160602 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4498231848162166 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4295739832917144 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4272859358270059 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4395700236882374 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4255869695229523 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4574668068765813 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4259133417739598 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.43322106314141 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.422051213560831 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.559492581798841 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4461825134225917 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4308765377803313 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4414231296088388 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4253612639462933 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5651441226274013 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4534414890523074 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4271326434263926 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4407902650495807 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5714550369166846 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5584960119951283 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.451249407120902 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.542765820982643 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5529511871862349 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4271681250724851 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.450581051886134 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will May Day protests turn violent?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5620417125258024 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4441698548664572 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4382867084455129 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.442423146436847 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.457563028992603 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5662534548964129 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5517897224075226 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5584024576850939 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4436433525798011 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4472302730704745 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4331562065955223 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5717880112827992 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4516944405148411 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.446236117452943 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5635413811033753 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5490287073647465 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5587070132076191 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.463036715684468 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4535573546502414 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4565376980745849 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4384696670824612 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.460575815144364 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4323178151314821 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4391095734199689 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4557726418762606 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4376185133856731 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4327230066356409 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5576448669259093 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4534234150475454 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4465034671773606 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5743366649439092 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5691043445264357 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4417258855268797 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5566937138206982 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4303153230951235 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5509502777547363 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.432805546452509 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5558153791089157 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4526878702825991 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is Westworld located on an island?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5597533542965353 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4439625421029575 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4472751447017437 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4486985131035592 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4452675745376417 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4543378805504315 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4402814459360315 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5771175528220177 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4357164704808897 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4485144185701641 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4467674544971657 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Airships by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4465917754473182 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4454115260359464 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4434414988380538 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4343248536140238 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4348137033331641 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4391014350954212 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4328089257464249 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4389723866611876 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4281414415466654 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4251821295493922 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5469040982413376 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.443927011134079 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4318459974760556 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4399957474129215 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4270530545167004 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5574823434206785 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5559368416029381 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.447197806986893 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4515462380213774 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4254611200040594 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4248479128013737 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4505967558749155 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4302746335677276 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4254182989877536 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4456042710949682 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4331000744169486 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5498858004396341 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5546884140282886 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4224854503379697 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4456583269859112 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4400488220506769 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4306220983994284 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4394371689252256 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4514173023257898 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5610819183382932 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4472081511076861 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4451458459014665 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4323421467432047 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4453546246667419 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4446546133046407 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4488558519159424 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4358775164027028 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4410433502315959 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4346338020115257 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4502084618530493 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4293477635915669 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4379458921918006 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4340942302183492 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.438881764484174 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4239787369031804 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4383600424408356 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4494827996177283 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5667276089087161 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4493311307664613 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4398553624464563 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.435049949973559 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4500801158587714 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4540642303513583 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4321979689781827 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5423017563371099 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.561504496385215 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4352634776575511 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4377375052591418 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4588484594301674 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4303127495308113 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4377136251079028 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4469389948836785 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5693011162941312 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4406168323475021 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4384053454938806 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4367843411889204 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4424030855041851 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4252747798985905 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4271602738662486 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4247919545810979 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4184297228495702 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.457291739555161 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4355463727533576 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4351538751905857 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.56786388855704 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4288460178759584 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4360067197065175 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4405608932503666 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4459492501956539 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4406172715316335 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4306874273266728 +TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4411428497358824 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Yi-6B,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4660640251228826 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Yi-6B,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4764374637704221 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Yi-6B,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4935525789722996 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Yi-6B,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4793020817885374 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4750358095042044 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Yi-6B,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5193636910622398 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Yi-6B,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4731558027859324 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Yi-6B,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4729406252066468 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4751094419258729 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Yi-6B,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4821628578022909 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4640512907425541 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Yi-6B,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5208565902026274 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Yi-6B,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5258332268726795 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Yi-6B,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4982125214364494 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Yi-6B,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.459717798197899 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Yi-6B,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4829868819493024 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Yi-6B,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5196216402180509 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Yi-6B,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5164698995820745 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4892366190558987 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5167177061915993 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Yi-6B,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.518728542601775 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Yi-6B,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5132373819302867 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Yi-6B,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4867626180697134 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Yi-6B,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.511711993419239 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Yi-6B,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4797464835869781 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Yi-6B,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5334166619216585 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A triumph over the mite-y?,Yi-6B,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4672415259223998 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Yi-6B,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.487953908332647 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Yi-6B,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5099412748795007 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Yi-6B,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4710251981940657 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Yi-6B,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5241702928499103 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Yi-6B,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5417442125348241 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4640516629472743 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Yi-6B,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.54548528478306 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Yi-6B,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4880071260389008 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Yi-6B,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4982425346000889 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Yi-6B,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4759580915335443 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Yi-6B,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4817625021851545 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Yi-6B,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4932524925844984 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Yi-6B,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4928131020796873 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Yi-6B,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4589022580055938 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Yi-6B,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4838218947149655 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Yi-6B,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.488411498118878 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Does Proxima have Planets?,Yi-6B,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5274048577650992 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Yi-6B,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4679471833686109 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5210806835445619 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Yi-6B,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4712693408429201 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Yi-6B,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4817374863330608 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5333654927033582 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Yi-6B,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4699937068946674 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Yi-6B,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4805146307600643 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Yi-6B,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5163331596936986 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Yi-6B,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4740257521081371 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Yi-6B,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5442432501248191 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Yi-6B,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5215902769618697 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Yi-6B,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4686310919803787 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Yi-6B,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.487712471242746 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Yi-6B,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4770250768280761 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Yi-6B,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5147158765259541 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5289268893655242 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Yi-6B,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4739043501480923 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Yi-6B,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5345692345894173 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Yi-6B,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4742365051963133 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Yi-6B,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.479496495247212 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Yi-6B,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5053700303228974 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Yi-6B,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4983033401033643 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Yi-6B,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4715291521643021 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Yi-6B,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4985982359428093 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is Arnold alive?,Yi-6B,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4721978557023872 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Yi-6B,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4762597344184885 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Yi-6B,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.461252100226303 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Yi-6B,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4982309430521481 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Yi-6B,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5241653093928679 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Yi-6B,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.481328733050545 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Yi-6B,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4669648482638878 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Yi-6B,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4767139942973037 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Yi-6B,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4578635410881982 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4783113553065825 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4705093177288928 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Yi-6B,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4811469616743001 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Yi-6B,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4898201565547349 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Yi-6B,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4754003591794903 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Yi-6B,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4824507393857181 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Yi-6B,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4774325222101264 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4736948633450654 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Yi-6B,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4685304515524715 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4623962866223371 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4720804046097127 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Yi-6B,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Yi-6B,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4717835968213072 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4852783331123509 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Yi-6B,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4835133584672151 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Yi-6B,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4548417440253478 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5300997134190457 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4874288257809572 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Yi-6B,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4731370656756127 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4713612692683384 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4680024287299073 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Yi-6B,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.476059441423792 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Yi-6B,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.534196014062654 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Yi-6B,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4923692234231864 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Yi-6B,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4734238211069014 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Yi-6B,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4649863720635238 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Yi-6B,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5155683488553199 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Yi-6B,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5373718234937118 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Yi-6B,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4604117808442123 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Yi-6B,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.477945498697367 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Yi-6B,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4540871492093207 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Yi-6B,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4589218028631489 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5410684685864807 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5246066221732353 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.469670058351486 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4533748149584428 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.52173289730078 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Yi-6B,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5455500937464909 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Yi-6B,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4744107528845658 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.51428680841756 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Yi-6B,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.481368991397123 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Yi-6B,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4755448363845148 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Yi-6B,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4870842483691481 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Yi-6B,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4959493775924513 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Yi-6B,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4982965249027192 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Yi-6B,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5355716722801855 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Yi-6B,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4742626439392783 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Yi-6B,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4669657429823361 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Yi-6B,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4665150826729736 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Yi-6B,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4983230016414183 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Yi-6B,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4642654344355971 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Yi-6B,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4584824553449007 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4848258271830803 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Yi-6B,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4695226381615184 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Yi-6B,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4685346466582668 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Yi-6B,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4831905170134786 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Yi-6B,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.483178244255254 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Yi-6B,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5356024690492873 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Yi-6B,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5332528748717424 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Yi-6B,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4678414710406828 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Yi-6B,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4658540582383181 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Yi-6B,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.481387381280882 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Yi-6B,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4806626808352209 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Yi-6B,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4723993250006118 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Yi-6B,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5322093257794527 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Yi-6B,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.47384656494778 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Yi-6B,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5422050652198012 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Yi-6B,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4649698173810788 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Yi-6B,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.453401610260838 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Yi-6B,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5047933650532694 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Yi-6B,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4748329819829694 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Yi-6B,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5176941881841816 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Yi-6B,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5274509752931289 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Yi-6B,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5299889071441861 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.468297899863289 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Yi-6B,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4747672544343539 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Yi-6B,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5413916989065868 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Yi-6B,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4859174908830171 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Yi-6B,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4826258204157694 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4779327267721044 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Yi-6B,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4776562773552989 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Yi-6B,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5148704954348731 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Yi-6B,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4607392868307965 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4647319449395636 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Yi-6B,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4785253533683689 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4617686126801139 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Yi-6B,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5262248856861369 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4740780280698757 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Yi-6B,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.531840143437012 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Yi-6B,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4710403886702368 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5166917469567449 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.470084774271122 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Yi-6B,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4820017550540234 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4779893020696278 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4868522823174544 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Yi-6B,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5394141882895251 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Yi-6B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4737834979865736 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Yi-6B,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4587147273901875 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.452719624699023 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4755610226796968 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Yi-6B,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4682817169109444 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Yi-6B,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4589946058803111 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Yi-6B,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4583296905702037 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.479136679374958 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4734657518405252 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4833493502449763 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Yi-6B,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4766726154266436 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Yi-6B,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4924617827413503 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Yi-6B,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4531203012198136 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4675177788646164 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Yi-6B,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4831026890938914 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5276324936746875 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Yi-6B,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5034531521805963 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,First human head transplant in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5016170462054822 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Yi-6B,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Yi-6B,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4795236135801083 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Yi-6B,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4668838316004103 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Yi-6B,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4652225793786104 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4737129829878609 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4703591498669632 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Yi-6B,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4675697904386036 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Yi-6B,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4777235782974584 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Yi-6B,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5262783332967447 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Yi-6B,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4714518827066145 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Yi-6B,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4731591473237248 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4745314771383987 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Yi-6B,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4705761383822333 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Yi-6B,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.516773122615611 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Yi-6B,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4807314468728334 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4754333200331735 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Yi-6B,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.468100720006798 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Yi-6B,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5268836224192296 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Yi-6B,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5346128473362206 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Yi-6B,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4879101339558455 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Yi-6B,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5250888724503181 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Yi-6B,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5147847394913452 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4873431537787928 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Yi-6B,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4787495915731196 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Yi-6B,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5203703094484468 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Yi-6B,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.482477030408888 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Yi-6B,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4829904614514734 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.48517746751641 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Yi-6B,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4891034492341329 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Yi-6B,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5298798919815049 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Yi-6B,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5134167070774631 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Yi-6B,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5218297454607037 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.482594828781432 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4967680619525824 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Yi-6B,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4826650229768875 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Yi-6B,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5230723267217341 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Yi-6B,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.473862183357161 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Yi-6B,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4834180537536814 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Yi-6B,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5208438011659628 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5372339182110102 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.541161707127277 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Yi-6B,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4839566008768846 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4763280436273748 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Yi-6B,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4688986720553709 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4825540957020472 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4793507432807613 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4874211047670575 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Yi-6B,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4597694797883113 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4697664756763833 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4537834349910396 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Yi-6B,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4776058977557891 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5314166869137453 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Yi-6B,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.481148098719926 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Yi-6B,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4910019263951096 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Yi-6B,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5266176695857381 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.534793231175231 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Yi-6B,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4781548122147115 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Yi-6B,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5353735539821269 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Yi-6B,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4471900417242833 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4930931094863411 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5234752542846368 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5406836970570612 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4857211249526148 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Yi-6B,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4730678769467173 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4777131001033243 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Yi-6B,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4599055318796587 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4674819923664957 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.47587997120325 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Yi-6B,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4770098402561496 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Yi-6B,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5357877638902664 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.475738600303896 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4753756197754936 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Yi-6B,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4883038392752809 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Airships by 2019?,Yi-6B,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.468502556585173 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Yi-6B,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4737110535816312 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Yi-6B,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4595394637014 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Yi-6B,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4694852114572732 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is Westworld located on an island?,Yi-6B,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5040383602610157 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4752396736728488 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4910475208562351 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4647659491547024 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4474534208682642 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Yi-6B,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4714518685589851 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4423727839679597 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.535331389977621 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4603902953096786 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Yi-6B,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4708425409271881 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Yi-6B,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.458239786878306 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Yi-6B,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4775991360945515 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Yi-6B,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5187226958087361 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5246203854792157 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Yi-6B,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.485223541154511 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Yi-6B,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4846317031875436 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4704351872118986 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Yi-6B,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4921263220310439 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4704462401810483 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Yi-6B,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4668895015025375 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Yi-6B,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4932448097942071 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.470786808996192 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Yi-6B,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4700933423693482 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Yi-6B,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5290987927016582 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.534915624027797 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Yi-6B,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4865202385562781 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Yi-6B,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4791851668648496 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Yi-6B,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4733508349060321 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Yi-6B,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4693068297508552 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Yi-6B,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4725620368969128 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Yi-6B,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4738675171022656 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Yi-6B,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5228671104699603 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Yi-6B,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4754749325235837 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.480704065692652 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4708045169242294 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4703754901680407 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4744374230577283 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.471989622821107 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4819132867779959 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4872239079768554 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4700668834676684 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Yi-6B,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4787596335700043 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4710750040885886 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4716227444683062 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Yi-6B,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4840458763150569 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Yi-6B,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.45479757141584 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Yi-6B,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4844138469599232 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4792821832899861 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4712435523972517 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Yi-6B,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5331769436464673 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Yi-6B,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4825052318722434 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Yi-6B,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5269800560022506 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Yi-6B,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4881758212226458 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Yi-6B,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Yi-6B,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4544709463349253 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Yi-6B,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4819555543125552 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5226550522530774 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Yi-6B,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5427318864864112 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4713835235619423 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Yi-6B,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.472627000141039 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Yi-6B,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4885393822228288 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4815308302912934 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4608784021160575 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4502283774684474 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Yi-6B,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.523468479010813 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Yi-6B,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4492282919502047 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4948569414532671 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Yi-6B,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.474688961912306 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Yi-6B,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4823241511015904 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4559018446423666 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Yi-6B,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4725593756811159 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Yi-6B,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4711349439491699 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Yi-6B,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4714753274625741 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Yi-6B,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4554683109348421 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Yi-6B,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4764924319120548 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Yi-6B,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4805519458604881 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Yi-6B,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5339032336625444 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Yi-6B,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4730209189693046 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Yi-6B,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4930285117091996 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Yi-6B,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4642813914817579 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Yi-6B,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4834087328877086 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Yi-6B,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4763282392233173 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.457234328735539 +Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Yi-6B,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4839845438140374 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4883343788617089 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4845187652988598 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4925108429577607 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4806892881481105 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4916006638884159 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5032457512972901 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4773817364993922 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4758023818661314 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4847703852132051 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4646334680649205 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.480136889465987 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.512415195997302 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5212451933243714 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.501038375748682 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4732830253334231 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4907257152887369 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5128007086473823 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5162999704007718 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5020207997461305 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4934044083025406 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5242637216911823 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5057258802860884 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4942741197139116 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.5 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4966996793390317 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5332107990796715 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A triumph over the mite-y?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4701551584442128 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5253058904440389 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5048530334632497 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4914543828983027 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5043471051311031 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5249797361443216 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4643812131340079 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5321691238940998 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.515947933281637 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5106076434846968 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5111386424627454 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4899624023597935 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5220530055099124 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5044843184784433 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4669057010129211 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4822852639612033 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.486196280367392 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4689084269943032 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Does Proxima have Planets?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.509093370146397 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.4961895919039721 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4861239184380286 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4917432717853259 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5305614030995378 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4697484155639488 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4888019482918309 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5234370739492757 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4784001159901405 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5217581685231497 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5119509691652715 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4703736192502136 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5057505341623202 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5011822958276538 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5102132682889653 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4785571979051741 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4870105872591826 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5103046299216942 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4867495668242549 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4836064512980036 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4918935346201705 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4703133016947408 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4975656271715479 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4661912359788007 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4943370875833676 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is Arnold alive?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4787014016944681 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5057810584441591 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5133051368522533 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.5066753869687133 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4854337090771593 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4824191245800604 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.480993848830722 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5118826870872311 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4874741246497893 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4788460412420382 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4921508413548028 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4801234668235694 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4929409987012911 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4977022082658625 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4923157598401558 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5026631854625435 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4737230969535532 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5046912243199673 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4641234389783765 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4765696950864263 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4893318506413017 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4939918484854497 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4704479373036765 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5196574388295601 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4799172401454859 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4870858763104073 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.517383708181418 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4872811942539616 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4810020691764219 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.517622170526197 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5022519065663984 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4923130731206529 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4740855705271778 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4859872553085698 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5351842619582594 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4606691182447145 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5057510827779388 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4892623573567053 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4728351839134962 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.545389299183955 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4988353593357832 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5188019873152059 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4678669515839768 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5009890296064756 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5309930416202965 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5024129338633496 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4941978539338184 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4698818301379605 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4809293903193521 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5186908220094018 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4844843457206312 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.497674000067997 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5264751975309142 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4711907335190755 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.485795872191279 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4562723959236255 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5088025272549678 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4584859523184188 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4687727290912408 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5260947071796032 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4881596339466849 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4894380258579353 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5011660766379424 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4893116850609471 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.521342699523194 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5129952631708186 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4744055864419607 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4675895285987268 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4934223407584258 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4888688982191917 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4819289552597665 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5302088418978774 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4754949986600508 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5362311437022912 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5011956629673082 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.456996964992882 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5122460381847957 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4776501646618714 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5053730410520845 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5112441382571082 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4995522101751829 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5072317033602474 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4897374522744857 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5414580445932182 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4751470321346691 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4951460165552069 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4898757203282634 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4673730221224386 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5153373769265328 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4728762226498684 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4938031580826809 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4726126426390775 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4836897357381116 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5213207713394552 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4840624532255808 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5195632250359259 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5245682201947888 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4837162861982504 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4856901086043596 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4700161001486324 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4747804217512141 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4968112294095787 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4748104827639298 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4602382613612331 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.485258521665303 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4724165616835004 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4987768408479872 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5385762351804128 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4733521138618324 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4580366271903013 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4769649616904303 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5025731670921785 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4948826434240844 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4700398940981739 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4920118716461282 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5239524301064348 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5061526147229715 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,First human head transplant in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5237412395386757 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4531304432792726 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5004364759924881 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4929409987012911 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4722019328261478 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4945362537145067 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4743358644975372 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4725740222784317 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4781521942408343 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.481021429196857 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4730280101366991 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5216181358529386 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.493230375791457 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4868808405778354 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4773598792409505 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4688073606827578 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5225416582899214 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5012075378801792 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.490034487250696 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.480016582658855 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5126424884643146 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5285566105755986 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5160372808951926 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.512505226513514 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5151536482593526 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.466271406440072 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5123242144840107 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5189940725356134 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5052670218145813 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4881058318856771 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4874630893236071 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4907775920940974 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5173004792411018 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5103227629176397 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5112966840672164 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4988817883196223 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5172656388810584 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4788915291975851 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5198718327476823 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4952273461823037 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4963947746083202 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5192959803809815 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5184630561920676 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5203236084576914 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5086066330251325 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4881881198178895 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4965294768567515 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4834722459421424 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4889469880236461 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.509645016055641 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4621644755316061 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4901453659442303 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4667280936616941 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4945444905706553 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5200988629749757 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4901685610717842 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4920138184312241 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5135901617348106 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5162056580742553 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4809102997260416 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5168592349454213 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4711434774623094 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5016080222416615 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5344243442221881 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4988892554509072 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5213338462731577 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4815103018549149 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4751070861675771 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4956309140465364 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is Westworld located on an island?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4813955622042393 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4759358851274436 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4832390162966558 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5180041652485504 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5062512315173879 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5012446064847241 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5346997701161871 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4818607049889449 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4847853737701894 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4943264571475764 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Airships by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4944035039393615 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4824234854830191 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.502300987453924 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4793203420455509 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4974557482743315 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4545077846950984 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5163538006976597 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4645222533387 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4915331858528738 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4673745121365047 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4804936787675865 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4891544018317398 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4637472478845295 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4840747878815469 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5047150759047343 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4818086717256282 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4984807408855046 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4768212963905657 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.483007396099465 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4899360948974278 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.475295671524236 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4899587648547526 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5024173549055971 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4933734918843744 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5165098906611809 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5235906972697146 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4866825270555621 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4872346461975122 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4680714267444478 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4850774030533961 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4930481842378266 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4979266311119021 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5115506626091928 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4776647129586079 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4774965819998967 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4988863524381476 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4976834613709969 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4810224538369209 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4870299143254299 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5074216742310113 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5225514126546105 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4912260790335548 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5085918746208236 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5036864046671188 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.495953179897574 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5099119775721174 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4676483852271992 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4784875510944957 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4822820491158311 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4867046002903056 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5335503456684849 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5092582898890716 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5227231407009548 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5010858935054348 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5343613906774738 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4634187951421478 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4914446661935526 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5010832333194453 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5337098979842478 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4895293195373347 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4953888325765556 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4885380300602652 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4716166110270859 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.500511291395354 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4975787251972209 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4809876439453365 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4896443580579292 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4979537200778015 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4812523150630986 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.506658091767879 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4691456928050901 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4790733297404387 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4688200452506676 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4834013637433157 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4805986354800396 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4827619522690651 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5098141852513516 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5326919098876548 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4779315279388696 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4738640287782287 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.487740477017726 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5151687179076353 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4830986424555195 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4717500619561237 +Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5053836320699725 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.524627941320052 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5101337472421019 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5079611105778458 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5020661039426861 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5207063825817251 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4549045795937283 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4882571932809494 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5014792856246725 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.5098026653320405 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5384231222838993 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.520821285372743 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4875026035157896 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4680961424652287 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.444671944737631 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4926331461068594 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5070417878929598 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4929582121070401 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.464598343127225 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.495951505482291 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will this question resolve in the negative?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4081236026348102 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5068023013733518 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4931976986266482 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4828192666178145 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5246510503726094 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4669599816261514 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A triumph over the mite-y?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4805293314379139 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.543582809286095 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4387703939367116 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5306364199688062 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.454505737058499 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,0.0,0.4932889936444753 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4826458625670112 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4480439735453849 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5412593493867024 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5288141925286174 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5349746366082597 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5332840382511314 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5071423712738706 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5055553269431596 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5458092812481848 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5489876434362994 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.496894449873875 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Does Proxima have Planets?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5102444677476691 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4442329857073724 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.3987316543876522 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5019999893334016 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5177230682633844 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4396890210584219 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5201579235268606 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4836124290590847 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,0.0,0.4852983566307939 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5235855659218532 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4907417990385578 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4342669688541659 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4982638958658963 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5268970867343741 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4407117594605356 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.50662212931878 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4888078400177122 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5207063825817251 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4550092365616842 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4978903078785428 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4883741888213494 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5285403709822651 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5033332839514952 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4839341039453924 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4832152644490861 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.532697552203937 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is Arnold alive?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5152624325749469 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5376981067914857 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5302179060601538 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5073524111660059 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.5107126460737526 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5386417201863551 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"How important are ""time crystals""?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5029239432767164 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5144468447435873 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5017123220729315 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5288793855852375 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4837115385590164 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.515498908986842 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.520821285372743 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5091453214101649 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5284246038525188 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.52497918747894 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5227116332606392 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5179778581562623 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5341348540180221 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.535404746470635 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5486620469533051 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4967742383038883 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5171165965869086 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5109506295698416 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5210718488627604 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5120400612476412 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5181484482949619 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4875801950632323 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5157691471282619 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4843800842769844 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5099986668799655 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5302659827682414 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5391255496578612 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5034482211936542 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5080638168854459 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.524207862401193 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5736784074525096 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4760457493345232 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5062108606511191 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5259506866640473 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.485718171714586 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5037036359648392 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5377743676176445 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.517929528769929 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5269522666041094 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5153013430693818 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4874328149847053 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4681639329562954 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5375110858547447 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4602291227157778 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5242234458814851 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5049667240463782 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5520559346961349 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5347696620488777 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.51098724197751 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5441326399468367 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4233366531422681 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.491936183114554 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5539845527641797 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.510867853259157 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5196867868906614 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5506947744507238 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5678582773066062 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.4938274740874456 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4735096759754236 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.5176917262125464 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.527105184116037 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.553498137317746 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4836042899816112 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.578142186927616 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.477579148508127 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Giant robot battle: is it on?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4805293314379139 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5089918362099203 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5356536708339716 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.482765451122805 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4695499238192083 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4602291227157778 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4556722421092255 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4575492506778388 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5205108713116469 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5542896340766623 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,0.0,0.4771152368020681 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5781582536300565 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5017482446238479 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5151026169711996 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5040159778936765 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5390767736464844 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5379270059740934 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5131548582061607 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4570334093616555 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5297575370873893 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5336031171209707 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4710469191024299 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4704645330720635 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5618763146458459 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5414995069893126 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5144886962445457 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5477934146165572 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4919035417783534 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4955556726071831 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5563995792788694 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5102725268946674 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.520209571927169 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5307958838676234 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4898662527578981 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5703954032223431 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5446652001405203 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4799215174723718 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.520480337921616 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5389692798858496 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5136329837253494 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4739366883173528 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5406508171351665 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4956648485197406 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4921881357207955 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5257503933882127 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5519589839214306 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,First human head transplant in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5106366928667769 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5580082934802277 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5116645498437119 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5074621324703608 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5368020110652205 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.491936183114554 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4938653385323696 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5236310301341283 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5146062326505889 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.52497918747894 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5251887427654924 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5244559937355553 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4953053022892317 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5278472595408992 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5305644803445261 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5453673688033087 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4652877183159261 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4854056067100541 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5561386619617434 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4961539220130733 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.39551794514912 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.50304874270356 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5577126441674732 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will May Day protests turn violent?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4658915658697887 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5017985533937518 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.534210424568227 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.529079899263906 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.490114282793143 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5016891827627318 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4690319381443727 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5398936984022622 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5599294928078038 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5195213219520929 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5284990579191411 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.520821285372743 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4720292326644265 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5265706902823604 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4930074489353924 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5015337375207429 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5760005263868363 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5418725018411876 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4800106598444182 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5299640517645717 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5335035964038882 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5275793409272228 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.52497918747894 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,1.0,0.5018656629833053 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.538682237146705 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.4918745203806115 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5018115862757094 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4822908752302163 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.4935900947750925 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4883354501562881 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.52497918747894 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4653839327092053 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.5284925882765708 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5328473599294229 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5069925510646076 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4653973602463497 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5726954644777142 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Airships by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.484047968859678 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.530027115122708 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5315977638866245 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is Westworld located on an island?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4264631330069377 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5861485828954425 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5222076018581396 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.517929528769929 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5370288550828068 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4713233711628255 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5555420671794956 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4970588574525463 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5793404184094828 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5303679814904834 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.516298571331734 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5680679119921564 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5185939622600726 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4535823184750577 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5696112743663695 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5083674195934156 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.548717132001046 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.503424603981465 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5092582009614421 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.526810418720352 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5399753480981302 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5247322744220013 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4931038855982204 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4590471721143387 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5180916459245125 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5094074918193384 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4937861707918607 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5279428827575743 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.595662410606538 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.515033061705309 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5093156920477888 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5272166609868949 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5035970602445037 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.4956332987974803 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,0.0,0.496268725983147 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5028248287016003 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5016891827627318 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5033783269674232 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5234359085123448 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5400375521608396 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.530496449552616 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4869432675744067 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5304500761807917 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5040982688737231 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5440035103251184 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5251585914703583 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5624920322068154 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5104151598873647 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5234054438313848 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5019999893334016 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5581301118051057 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.574970039718162 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5139823674147087 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5272457120897398 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4967949156952049 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5018115862757094 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.470754142118128 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5471963510585154 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.525618571920654 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.553001636269518 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5593219285478055 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.496428632165913 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5526611172386009 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4904773420925274 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4850141608672357 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4910723774907235 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5259690496192839 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5391255496578612 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,1.0,0.5054742338088046 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5166604965694114 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4920006825967688 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5614425755309471 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.483418405086297 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.552438044874211 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.5 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5412964398814437 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5440035103251184 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5152391810935798 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4340597960291032 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4735096759754236 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5156199157230156 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.529037057737934 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5535571898360083 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4851291471708371 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5563498524472802 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.508162540062084 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5138853177460049 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.530937738962911 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5053189482832294 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5785689165914241 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4795711275096457 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5184479978191826 +baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5724785495102133 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5154782349362493 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4789492613951589 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4968782923835993 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4836392307962524 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5027188421527607 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4908529360167468 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4819897773075497 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4832435743545582 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4736552516139971 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4818608770753234 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4684999976407411 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4944306100998697 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5004868547633705 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4884210031044076 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4946500096342276 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.500497759915205 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5185673096754769 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5358614581296361 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4966571653758266 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5153936842602689 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will this question resolve in the negative?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4909100925297133 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4706043997996195 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5293956002003806 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.499462654693706 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.494900737740587 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4988956395650484 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A triumph over the mite-y?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.494749317879628 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5074390046665112 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4833036238573626 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5070989144272254 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4778133211847889 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5271635610629297 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4674258815579769 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5067110063555247 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5144036977332725 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5192315553502134 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5252398524680905 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5005558641400889 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5220661285423515 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5099765027781377 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5048923299689302 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.50888098855026 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5233551732538038 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Does Proxima have Planets?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5169358573577268 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4672753116038631 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.488558335785857 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5102287517266343 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5123763734538541 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5215233613379379 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4613805377279171 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4924817696961929 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5112947383529768 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4989806334204681 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5095966275499755 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4937987676019496 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5026068585479293 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5094141499455692 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4446070045109744 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4938115589344394 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4760751271814898 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5127564018451009 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5048411612430675 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5246342779078011 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5111635317458083 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5050249564430996 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.47480488194907 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4979210099022031 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5042091609367855 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4904643715880294 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is Arnold alive?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4932859899740225 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4789843513760357 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4837543660879744 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5146599408024192 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4832943865967121 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4852462401562698 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5053302884659827 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4747619076952061 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.500547045733582 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4708173215826916 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4744491922678658 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"How important are ""time crystals""?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4604517815275209 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4947120862929971 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5082128136327305 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5246713063688933 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5021253857108433 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5095885952028588 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5082184378346599 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4984670461930572 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5080942739141986 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5235571078607023 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4697435644210513 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5143364134258261 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4858207008593942 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5126363379803978 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.487564753911439 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4804708618290511 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5296135415494023 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4905572613699254 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4952027058502951 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5095947816103419 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5049178741894393 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4964467603247212 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4842211270933641 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4909584325320748 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5331508810405867 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4788514751120497 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4971575064613953 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4686172349838761 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5175366634967408 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.519438128155523 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5235535620050021 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5077556106024181 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5177980593604136 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5469478169277174 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4845882169893131 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5025367615924115 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4790774632630617 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.506149751365579 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4852829064152648 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4722507649454868 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5055450591594115 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5124365906117424 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4729125759294399 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4937322473306383 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5040052547805587 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5103731511522618 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4633770878846395 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4876982325683838 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4658754774003932 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5209627612920635 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5016638873687645 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4826157057662545 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4936929950917335 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5290550758768162 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4990014990807191 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4927419950573233 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4830475114718982 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5122251015632513 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4924938615456753 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5054619675952311 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5216081543753739 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4820447172907074 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Giant robot battle: is it on?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5047759741421913 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4715592047563309 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5108221219536982 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4734071630992588 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4895224920902341 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4973489113761881 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5153713216628044 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.493276101813527 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.514927408987461 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4960785117820764 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5162326944380555 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5190217616944048 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4834699079187258 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4903960586309433 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4957082599107004 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5138435410757509 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5165361229327177 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4884699192341312 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4994138337972574 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4990319469985512 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5220761551582636 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4975393899430477 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5045430349947218 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5240970730218238 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4909049260130642 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5162017812802631 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4990592673376968 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4773009320612969 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5068580306750239 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4970238446729532 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4843495368771833 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4848234684266936 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4587441998544498 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5072854588374898 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5128451387299667 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5051946182868511 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4910208097202896 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4892316061411241 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5441787839291492 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4979079619990054 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4983117678112247 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,First human head transplant in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.508468981037517 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.474622611715864 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5242205721253579 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5016882321887752 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5264244290005086 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4974554927041971 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4774709815234743 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4697435644210513 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.52497918747894 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4758379692346351 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4977678719714941 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5205524553178421 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4858337518999512 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4876568292778688 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4958531756518746 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.517234548877195 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4977851750623113 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4824994277960728 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4854692091367832 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5173859069731769 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5434738749109301 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.482480398138377 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4913986980729351 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.510009200069483 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5099714791775262 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5304809760953932 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5182239678715322 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.472943676264676 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5036156394550849 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4865043586704836 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5014984970119907 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will May Day protests turn violent?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5015822731991664 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5021096921214572 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4723434927804778 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5142726899587315 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4939368643779338 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5282748123388226 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5117166047041654 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4874118313075764 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4970149608379841 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5018083103797522 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4854208005802095 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5072533771315669 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4949188741094266 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5072458695114436 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4994824018412063 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5020428895514708 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5067318562671947 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4937987676019496 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5110346763034537 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4762366252882711 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5051122962760609 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5205426717506493 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5048411612430675 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4956690207377671 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4985465157221342 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4806517813218972 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5215251490102326 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.480907091525258 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4950084852970463 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5107187692095919 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5257778361967014 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4715579160135749 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5149448263179093 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4699100676166023 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.49894011817467 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5302469701321373 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5090128094435129 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5372224697390839 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is Westworld located on an island?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4787362373298253 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5015657568860103 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4827941367339903 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5324335360447254 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.504761760794195 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5180058423015493 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4965483783017135 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.527888932222152 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5078249619702541 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5063580387742557 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4782141735001228 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Airships by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4994152049450178 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.491812400317519 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5140691327823179 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5152546742039671 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4679397507328419 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4943537126417853 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5051752033341365 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.488979740922261 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4975984814835948 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4849630420299345 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4972051716457262 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4657353916035696 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4555531491163277 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5021141523053946 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5010090803656316 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4904114047971412 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5105530166444038 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4882899275427069 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4843125098827195 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4878320175770653 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5094081941769834 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4905055924345073 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4478035913562682 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4783372690474789 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5010917013219602 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4900013331200346 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5115155784424024 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5193686608286261 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4594634978049559 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5250996575398573 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.482468843884782 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5007923923635645 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5101753490918332 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5082722544205305 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5153063986221234 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5147110439835393 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4926530356251135 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5035536004347493 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5172717429382423 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5248798334874355 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5192104372838555 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4948341321610346 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4979112393049721 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5117685527506574 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5093911606354788 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4983987244496192 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5044173339915583 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5212208138475884 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4846078825392184 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.464314173035592 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5190794013830997 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4908870851958333 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4956684251983584 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5336409043900647 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5090154162485728 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5016997101665188 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5063847217002158 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4995229009081575 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4944905811179375 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5010758455693811 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.50378166748886 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4839111356880838 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4832766126354386 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4862699836448317 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5080475947068529 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4971751712983996 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4971607346640052 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4984317876827941 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4848616108622734 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5013686097206271 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4899421853249825 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5064374125140616 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4947680130768623 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5251360252866707 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.487070820896876 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4932102939309727 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4967863324168103 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4900484594578886 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5326139600988716 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5110985627615636 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.473035037235805 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4885640862496815 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.493262620051536 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5235912393862299 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4740031791865619 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5116937736562392 +baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.513770621333627 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.553909482945742 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.6562241679637553 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5626322521365158 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.6358460590542773 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5783699607937511 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.2788755907968703 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5926901127640091 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4890794069106048 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.6873044568266155 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5479215299767037 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5074621324703608 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.3839623881783798 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",chatglm3-6b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4631567030747533 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.2797439139411013 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5400389445008498 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5221867965811491 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4036201725613229 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4915778576054855 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4416792825303706 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.3221594102890741 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will this question resolve in the negative?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.394591129684781 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.429539992183092 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.570460007816908 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4157986085616494 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.6192238652345284 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",chatglm3-6b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.27439223002061 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A triumph over the mite-y?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5042681890044391 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5296984251464258 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4386121073060917 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.516873476411089 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4476330178816402 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5639971104417021 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4634039940572059 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.2859149547444967 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.6536956461019372 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.6397948043594784 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.7003030624760684 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",chatglm3-6b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5085807636722135 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.6823480639125935 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.6350999632710308 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.6926343476139183 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5811536216508059 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5772210788507095 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Does Proxima have Planets?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5106216312658549 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4783145712941107 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.406138595801768 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5748764090261153 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5551960819288041 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4599551550307046 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.429391881363702 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5174436007135831 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5261896016312764 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5613133074389371 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4473786781580781 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4189907988107217 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5647036391441694 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",chatglm3-6b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5764603893202054 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.3167380726385964 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4537000573572176 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4399866060131361 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5837226167780434 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.6530730026144574 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5558039074934417 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.573212185654392 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5211970282295175 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5029761553270468 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4717669599780364 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5843927076830336 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is Arnold alive?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.6331447487022248 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5478995307851767 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5735063464292159 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5654939771460528 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.484922954023911 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.6565422950032721 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"How important are ""time crystals""?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4827745820376279 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.7043761037225658 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5714370754614991 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",chatglm3-6b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5134655522047309 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5260224057319713 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.6903037271582346 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4508876382091979 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5628062040283909 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.555328055262369 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4677828486683467 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6497926230731809 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5380844272769051 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6935186330733009 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.575432002591262 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6789058541598161 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5660230666537063 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6115546952532274 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4623177794897909 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5142172395458059 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.4035005063768967 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4509130211304354 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5314739962560215 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5940524442481558 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5636899912534703 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5255352830110536 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4915460710776307 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5468931354903441 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.7239037666152859 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4926390999778735 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",chatglm3-6b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4651056566856115 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5549963668216629 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5860878740283713 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4800106598444182 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4659926399031742 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4979568123068463 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5360589630293511 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5986146303401028 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4707893633953772 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.6145423807598728 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,0.0,0.4241743434061136 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5625775913190862 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5157578911152796 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4971098587783842 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.362582230683145 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4790232458724033 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,chatglm3-6b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.66448890347053 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,chatglm3-6b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4436327004378548 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",chatglm3-6b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5872322359865539 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5698817767198037 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5211700367899365 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.6964672846472444 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5516013362207843 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5961949061345977 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,chatglm3-6b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4808689813814082 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4557120394318849 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.6978413138733954 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.463022384046896 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5993513235063054 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4797408274031225 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5356146665677192 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.493412977511957 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",chatglm3-6b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.3245691910979748 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4771120645667745 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5122033301609692 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4841075995262222 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5312322785669112 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.6300065464058872 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,0.0,0.4910373746917521 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",chatglm3-6b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5276381983187848 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Giant robot battle: is it on?,chatglm3-6b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4392663391795877 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4600956411741838 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5078831641385682 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4464594037163325 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4661402305415839 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4362663064519041 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,chatglm3-6b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4758461997976986 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.3721150830424415 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.6179022299517398 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5781522422981722 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5424388734199965 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5468320198463471 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",chatglm3-6b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5575996848075021 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.6381045719811269 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5165017083158479 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4909627851190431 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.6323751980885045 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",chatglm3-6b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.3450819186778785 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4552119048647278 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.6802540427344301 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",chatglm3-6b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5261339665913157 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.630242221015925 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.521126327187375 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.6267418637301759 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4180398900583087 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.6143334536490671 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.6619241885422206 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",chatglm3-6b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.6182374614810788 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5708940112206513 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5037906779405636 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5520364173434337 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4676056579370768 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.3909900592780487 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5812264708465736 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.6026058346972879 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4513278407262998 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5690778723724242 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5304177434004564 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.6169272750006971 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4649883174213292 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.6480232780013612 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5342405579142228 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.6581960712312557 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4351201317365241 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.7283728549599111 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.3710725543824233 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,First human head transplant in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5659698682545743 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4807039424213572 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,chatglm3-6b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.575432002591262 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.6928705855446663 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4893007239306552 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5205216063576246 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5785607238817806 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5946953228083027 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",chatglm3-6b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4887067402871963 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.6125086726746117 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,chatglm3-6b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5554884220072894 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,chatglm3-6b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.6197396146918942 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.6437255520225099 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4761250816221727 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.6584049655069086 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,0.0,0.4972170973826009 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5721607521411893 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4657268812284124 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5865768908437132 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4636061439224053 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.2972967353206948 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.6891776560283839 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.3696895424867534 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",chatglm3-6b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4202383233672504 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5841637660595939 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.6413252947170922 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will May Day protests turn violent?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4834108021069708 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",chatglm3-6b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5053892210517607 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,chatglm3-6b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4548627569798956 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4977169108448251 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.6614977520164069 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4453211013415808 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5006544498880412 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.3907277008320491 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5068011730617701 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.6750354370497611 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4967433410730791 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",chatglm3-6b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4160611645352147 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.6922897370554074 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5083458066714586 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.3769609364934777 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4117546603204304 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4112724364465616 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.6883745526490407 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.6644443095847269 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.6724190888046989 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,1.0,0.5807576873115002 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.659823678007521 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.6579356533842083 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,chatglm3-6b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4733263180802452 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.6017410812699155 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4927895344646255 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.6304247288030277 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.4371884939252514 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5176732426792723 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4569931076975924 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.3578090115140386 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4689053233608719 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5317887846256174 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.3430355859632708 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4534944913753239 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5663409533531636 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4346029829159411 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.3605855081814736 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.6733705121000408 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",chatglm3-6b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4920019369808137 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.541402953628547 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6019009408634766 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5384409098742053 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Airships by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5813168661148782 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5817593768418363 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4691603378313067 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.565831239141799 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6655696490562978 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6757033498426512 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5806473988647987 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.664009354847934 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is Westworld located on an island?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4869498672206329 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5448342472859402 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4533051525765161 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.6278946570414218 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.519162389031523 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5519798543340954 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4265828136051621 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5218030460371053 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4817703789316567 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.6199407237874085 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5626397017002666 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4918933207680652 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.6088926498420435 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5381467138696553 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4318850932801523 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.3295813904952417 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4811996259089144 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4761345984072083 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.589157429489138 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5985272975567492 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.571115455731137 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.5010689454585486 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5912907926638485 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.6638193250842436 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5509055547081121 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",chatglm3-6b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5069594614271913 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,0.0,0.4350818947998552 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5237915435013812 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4896405201713089 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.466384947792255 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5439805307325214 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",chatglm3-6b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.6285171608494621 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.6877091430933193 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.441990342991694 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5284761248771681 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.6419821583622759 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5720980811218721 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.6530642438816506 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.644116934161902 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.654043296539498 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.567559495441118 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.6505951910716992 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.6051455022529123 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.6577791496219256 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5871844432638841 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5996300798097182 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5096302996691755 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4593314211532369 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",chatglm3-6b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5642683591849826 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5879144892355462 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.6489074651604294 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5026684202961229 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,chatglm3-6b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.6082494732226471 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.633658184296488 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5470560517817213 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.6541455149241799 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.6282474989518095 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5087381863756184 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4208960506680596 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5045149274480816 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.6961408666040374 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.456728830030802 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",chatglm3-6b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.6499161655106057 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.6410007079596791 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4937466036285672 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5355842703628432 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5375188414080384 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4118960149391226 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4925021574957765 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5996359271038775 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.6752997489533165 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5062108606511191 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5735716820596192 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5992398581465315 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.7059954705373095 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",chatglm3-6b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.6350094100475053 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5099527433604927 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",chatglm3-6b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.6862608087183943 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,0.0,0.490101858989416 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),chatglm3-6b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5990037515818664 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,chatglm3-6b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5952349080476756 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5487640690744652 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,chatglm3-6b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.7064594549601093 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.546540612382841 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5794246251313925 +chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",chatglm3-6b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.7220772658762904 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5071937481739118 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5136020852018274 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4918040128854498 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5308884507496012 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4781161794593798 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4846582826730994 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4927541304885564 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4866698262617676 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5072987515834347 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5139823674147088 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4777923981418603 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5075182303038072 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5152624325749469 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5099489354325855 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5487952505666751 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will this question resolve in the negative?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4927012484165652 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5154989089868421 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4845010910131578 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5195977978782956 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4928062518260882 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5093447061474363 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A triumph over the mite-y?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4796031623338354 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5071971995917047 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5203968376661646 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.507518230303807 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4922486830673416 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5078118642792044 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5235855659218532 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5074068655321695 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5133301737382324 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4926905792463636 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5090899074702867 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4869310819650718 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5138853177460049 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Does Proxima have Planets?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4919361831145541 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.50858284782757 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.520821285372743 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5158676856908759 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4930074489353924 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4919035417783534 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5148104809542339 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5072987515834347 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.485718171714586 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4930074489353924 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4745443206829592 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.515714903501231 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4805293314379139 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4918745203806115 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4913052244083454 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4828393609177743 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5072987515834347 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4925931344678305 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4735346909187487 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4898491106853672 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4756290835227086 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is Arnold alive?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4918040128854498 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4930560020517394 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4925931344678305 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"How important are ""time crystals""?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4804977039083704 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4930560020517394 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4853539075431352 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4695035504473839 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4837455670697003 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4845010910131578 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.492647588833994 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4848531208913145 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5166604965694114 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4917483220823863 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5151886956059365 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4939027412848634 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5169339726506148 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5078733648926594 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4844682754468913 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5212637626701747 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4854056067100542 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5212637626701747 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5151468791086855 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4933337283669705 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4928576287261293 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4932889936444753 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5163957100183887 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5156199157230156 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4763955119175205 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5147016433692061 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5341348540180221 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4854056067100542 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5154989089868421 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4802734026394578 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4868451417938393 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4838765599450736 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4849669382946909 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4921266351073405 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5070417878929598 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.491770290622881 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5144886962445457 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4909919657862464 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5144886962445457 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4909100925297132 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.491770290622881 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4766252381532642 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4845843266089863 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4928576287261293 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5078118642792044 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4867580641355326 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.485718171714586 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4917362897397492 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4934214322767656 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5068961144017796 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4742164391940555 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Giant robot battle: is it on?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.477633983350733 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4860176325852912 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5074844708517818 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4938653385323696 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4863047962765885 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4849669382946909 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5082637102602507 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.482765451122805 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.491032351875783 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.492064158537681 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5071423712738707 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4847375674250531 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.484535871729281 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5243709164772914 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4916325804065844 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5078733648926594 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4860176325852912 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4846202378829159 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5314544701312309 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5197265973605422 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4921881357207956 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4867580641355326 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5138853177460049 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4931038855982204 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4924817696961929 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4852423828408264 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4829852956508608 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4789173551021266 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4860176325852912 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4851895190457661 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4929582121070402 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,First human head transplant in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.491936183114554 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5165229071953926 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.484535871729281 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5082979932309851 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4928028004082953 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4858194067588751 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4786105121328148 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.484257173797978 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4752727138455847 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4852423828408264 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5061346614676303 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5068961144017796 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4934644245376287 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.491151366428985 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5166604965694115 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4915515000026409 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4928062518260882 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4927541304885564 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5140807829033678 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5251887427654924 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.49187063513531 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4918040128854498 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5139823674147087 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will May Day protests turn violent?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4926475888339939 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5086198355464996 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4713717338021868 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4912672636609999 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4927012484165652 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4918119074143509 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5153797621170841 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4924817696961928 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4869310819650718 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.519889995913269 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4929582121070402 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4848531208913145 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5074068655321695 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.514180593241125 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5143214050686666 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5084380173778285 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.484230852871738 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4848973830288003 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4838765599450736 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4829852956508608 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5074621324703608 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4496347182475023 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.50858284782757 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5156199157230156 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4924817696961929 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4586439216125682 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5255518342200467 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5225445561021018 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4825652109416548 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4929082770234801 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5074068655321695 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5078118642792044 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.492064158537681 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is Westworld located on an island?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5084025702128392 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.507352411166006 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5075182303038072 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.507935841462319 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4846582826730994 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5203968376661646 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.484132314309124 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4709629422620661 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Airships by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4928576287261293 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4910723774907236 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5084380173778285 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4797408274031225 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4553431934491765 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4924817696961929 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4790332813878014 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4853539075431352 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5074068655321695 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4715718480726298 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4837455670697003 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5139823674147088 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5084380173778285 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4875801950632323 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4682965582259318 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5064931414477742 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4710469191024299 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4928062518260882 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4846202378829159 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5171606390822256 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.508229709377119 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4665571822403945 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4927012484165652 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.491936183114554 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4848531208913145 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5072987515834347 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.50763299474575 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4826909021800813 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4904773420925274 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4928062518260882 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4916674381858807 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4910723774907236 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4928062518260882 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4928028004082953 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4929082770234801 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5276518975509681 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4858194067588751 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5151026169711996 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4925931344678305 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4831287701798595 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4839860615156062 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5147016433692061 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.506756345491646 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5070917229765199 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,1.0,0.507352411166006 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4925378675296392 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4929082770234801 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5074251966654628 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.473358588549516 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4916674381858807 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4937891393488809 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4849669382946909 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5071937481739118 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4931038855982204 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4832698461737655 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4831287701798595 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4813171135277395 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4756653644142651 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4925931344678305 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4829126397463384 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5302659827682414 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4864897758865953 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4846582826730994 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4848973830288003 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.484005459097298 +falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5144280231924383 +interlm-20b,2023-09-18,interlm-20b,61.85,23.0,,,,,,,,,,, +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5713555425959226 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5643578667761743 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5323061723238947 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5472797797919875 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5222693797471416 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.430332004477659 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5678575266212023 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5504922818037811 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.5574500768055584 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5773590910565924 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5530539721879377 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.409663711191197 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4283249960920665 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4144851142187863 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5553974287604379 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.581492595202958 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4501316017343634 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4254656991547297 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4377593358994209 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4522702535734593 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will this question resolve in the negative?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4594160243634517 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4256075339124466 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5743924660875533 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4276570579481447 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.582758270360543 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.3870411761069681 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A triumph over the mite-y?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5586770853202467 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.6234331459740274 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4461555492343765 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5752533149669994 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4309775182582754 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,0.0,0.4780962198024276 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,1.0,0.5646329631318723 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.392148796547761 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5667554099995377 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5932358453298703 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.568311593158376 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5800650368347836 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5778945200963106 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.572643723434954 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.6013723923398628 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5734530824542299 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.540190493205455 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5284896071635373 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Does Proxima have Planets?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4517458133296071 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.2937553186839969 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5851228909460293 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5554321805170999 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.3854694357205779 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5539225695208916 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5748167918676571 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,0.0,0.4114151942848946 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5782419830996246 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4495711577297434 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.443427972300963 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5868613850255283 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5860903115909772 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4413806621084083 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5796903826298762 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4333911469227086 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4256117679444727 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.574180792049104 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5756568681315577 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5968459819081589 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5595070388505675 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5617671447688253 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5944255294691443 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5738478756411414 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5609959567833448 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is Arnold alive?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5440195851697499 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5613544228540369 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5787435983934827 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4278531794023741 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.5800100791121457 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5402421160355875 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5558408493343373 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5737079939769862 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"How important are ""time crystals""?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5474023971936015 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5952593896988436 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5693905578182827 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5529092048079841 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.62067152096545 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5930215704891273 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5808078680597025 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5694177493966728 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5891494983276463 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5884655434218796 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5727074642078746 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5381769162249089 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6697347998054478 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5890863236727593 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5687823859402193 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.540432505270347 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.4339844485968581 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5731807021340564 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5665484131842852 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5566546561277681 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.55459848086395 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.568542179811647 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4356025043376588 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5567128233538111 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5503199569004739 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.589814403503873 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4370750582455484 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,0.0,0.4070605840483857 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5749036939965425 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5647681458527853 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5825702064623147 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5658098298073919 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,0.0,0.4273471694017483 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5843819424374318 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4369295557429085 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5570975165413977 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,0.0,0.4268277159504866 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,0.0,0.4047795151138408 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5818651623859691 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4293462749987545 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5543178534034876 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5855569757256076 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5662597615666415 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4236781200925475 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5698476063889205 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,0.0,0.4373390426546371 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5477581530118844 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5701078964689192 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5700975522173588 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5764069634424089 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.531924543219948 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,1.0,0.5478357971230211 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5759862255262597 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5542811436543149 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5571528972674668 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5812759960293414 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5716362462835525 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.4246652252764653 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4210637890733312 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.6637426485261408 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5579480207688359 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5828692930978655 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5791441937271614 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5809973860301383 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,0.0,0.4884663577991138 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5714561157339862 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Giant robot battle: is it on?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4380412517732458 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5583218637124348 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5735848291082032 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4402190660199758 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,1.0,0.5724685201559097 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4421595414078223 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4136002830760963 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.378051799266595 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.576270313695453 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5652130067067469 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5163220257130388 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.563888677665222 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5759682975814822 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.565078689145458 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5739115496363951 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4679861389525175 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5851399775286416 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4422458778690676 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5568051618881135 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5695176332324262 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5738062570460599 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5747053541469991 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4463216501453503 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4205337025974871 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.568327311192681 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5741780863593509 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5726169865816472 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5248705595232577 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4340016154618004 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5809135732053152 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5679273390300581 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5707684949530218 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5722186788565526 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5905860392945971 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5335863477154178 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.559670976223446 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5789396017378544 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.6781258471484715 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5560652209090396 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5713160950269345 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.531977641103246 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4441737890623201 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5285403709822651 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,First human head transplant in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.565412413213333 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4484706117144674 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5918843610949743 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5842953340357396 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.6132333613778067 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5930215704891273 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5877228346167365 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5397910656202055 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5686985428424532 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.6459248257886674 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5708731530851922 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5624635256810515 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.553272966016323 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,0.0,0.448873572535175 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5982307260695857 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.6441277121422287 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5750586823074588 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.565568222354812 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,0.0,0.4401752499801372 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5564953071045275 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5302850553686292 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5687396603978386 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.423843460391565 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4510441148154508 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5756533288952517 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4454978535361866 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4277813211434473 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5566660724551504 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5745709250558863 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will May Day protests turn violent?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4350946815048508 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.6209535884645502 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5663199081519017 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5764974094282206 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5718964309593675 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4553983728093855 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,0.0,0.4283904633938742 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4136468512893835 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5887719941440599 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5788050240247028 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5720200339615196 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4250963060034575 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5693750292727933 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.568448227679192 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.449569135518064 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4224695785280884 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.42971381628666 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5712604268408216 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5792296611415205 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5843488999421481 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,1.0,0.5659016738945148 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5921437661672969 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5808212359231392 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5490722916625085 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5616994395142872 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,1.0,0.5401900114272414 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.582103730429572 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.4384579666282193 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5468929411212641 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5745311051540741 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.434799610142933 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4129276164277109 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5437236502353247 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4091225932406253 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.557278204309808 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4697530658540081 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4213094754926346 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5531000389691507 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5849603797604221 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is Westworld located on an island?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4247134079020106 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5718163146605162 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.57587300726579 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5643182863589953 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5798198486223807 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.579585054237665 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.577241248948871 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4406481207708946 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5982389220960843 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5523014196997307 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5676130876778905 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Airships by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6047495994154027 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5744783082680057 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6650799383097177 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.581517095047936 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5506515787243176 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5502799329575209 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5768303071919544 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5734530824542299 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5729189601476713 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5808196621866243 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5669529781696472 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4560402769070826 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.6027962130762647 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.584043296060547 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5725524112094823 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4117125059071456 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4568126349260609 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5769945507961262 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5611770342606595 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5693751860922697 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5732028620736379 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5668122215330105 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.6027312098195389 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5793226266173707 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5769490379905191 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5668674008325373 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.3590686279080476 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,0.0,0.4702031550278194 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5845013679385977 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5368843756957065 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5544081691681119 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.6586663974671488 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5871072858370788 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5656917517807034 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.416113953086147 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5703572121274536 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5578974460770577 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.64494473824504 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5768065209035086 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5816914763859042 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.6640444819454795 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5712604268408216 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5773962095660468 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5925130984805325 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5735298716307402 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5796723664454246 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.6092311711898604 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.558353567224553 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.564121108222937 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5459134583819181 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5630422927483273 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5655799671599111 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.456771251098782 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5605906986936798 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5805764600030118 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5879688618296195 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5848012354217702 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.6068163689935615 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5662597615666415 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.424482336744403 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,0.0,0.454432462075611 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.62369539332148 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,1.0,0.5737958596712478 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5642536227214972 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5744998555236523 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.592720634766524 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5805764600030118 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4259063630063466 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5468518681308684 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5785890753689066 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5594926752070456 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5774472582860393 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5932836644078575 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5878516793205228 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5575248530407213 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.6135733688152352 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.601601777326795 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5760577880085747 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5749104850301918 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,0.0,0.4453900542069278 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5616206364409855 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.567255612627887 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5696264860459972 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5705324026185287 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.5630822221130523 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5621936554032243 +internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5952593896988436 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4531557587597723 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4881418612403838 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4576144314671411 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4698673863751639 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4851139567425827 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5512426217905428 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4695270999523976 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4514328953792625 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4469567113720284 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4778413391418291 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4661373739682282 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5342579274608321 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.576105115466775 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5525884122450879 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4441409126721197 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4609299725582608 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5355946557159326 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5523995398328425 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5636053065256112 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5326839204793525 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will this question resolve in the negative?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.570608263808108 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5585530996093311 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4414469003906689 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5603483056555405 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.462092473727378 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5416000290617735 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A triumph over the mite-y?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4423025379949308 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4701597201670477 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.567564698705219 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4544773223716641 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5398126189048955 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5395628743268137 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4357330376301888 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5325143767558091 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4692911650151631 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4843801960777292 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4597813260797062 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4317997801327808 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4640567099875735 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4666704090134664 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4549308207073662 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4190211276508283 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4570124044309055 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Does Proxima have Planets?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5227398057463375 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4465947737360207 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5273966979794109 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4713652569098828 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4540408394952136 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5410674245190696 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.464464209209367 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.444673665021993 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5464377671638523 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.440920279352853 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5548421235063594 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5704518142898285 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4296911042517357 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4710919442633546 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5365619162654975 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4532625146256422 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.56220655305197 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4642894073447501 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5504496395681948 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4375578282325897 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4450396017536099 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4593842394883865 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4668019250011871 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4387554289411284 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4728333174657211 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is Arnold alive?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4527633924427018 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4474809469826977 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4435115379716762 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4472229561107851 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5385010142606124 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4578722302768561 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4679100923388775 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.467993907189441 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4586081404190719 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4263161240549309 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4725859118331563 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4150135271696046 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"How important are ""time crystals""?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4532858591952713 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4637622138687685 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4810591975079903 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4593456964688203 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4889825269390698 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4754717295575407 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4512817443210452 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.477243671248134 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4449353489413408 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4325905073021491 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4722374372821029 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4608683912500195 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4286542890061307 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5437314280326836 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4588903131901731 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.440356100982693 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4747710076029338 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4544780140307343 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.447009159747883 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5360612099293349 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4637021644016531 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4568060663731842 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4425872639615738 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5352967677952908 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5824050905166678 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4725355430200793 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4547052993210321 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4759387418726121 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4345586768218719 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5514222225388145 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4538753691360627 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5430633876732469 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4491317445564722 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.544671562877759 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5966067953483806 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4802828547098141 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.539872802819097 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4719055719309825 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4702065018058002 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4524227350794013 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.571118195301979 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4553255901379327 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5430629851881927 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4634768593382089 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4628893451155769 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4647083781518153 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4479656414352811 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4354893812886949 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.450163126182225 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4181610106134628 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4493212423375085 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4517155477931279 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4384528433808093 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.460364561590788 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5526247202413206 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.519971672608355 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4679360193221375 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4193037500272533 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.461708353896472 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4461166207511505 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4550972989065942 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5183097018068883 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4338376582147381 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Giant robot battle: is it on?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5712767980309714 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4159818842756164 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4189355419616609 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5336048873745818 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4433966986969073 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5380750686117244 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5365279093216193 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5159025600089411 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4565749046101397 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4649576349221613 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5647721175196223 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4592446688113612 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4436703305977148 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4630952161357882 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4253094478286888 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5476279693009638 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.450973041875353 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5545215651425677 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4684411981761819 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4263973236650886 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4519174460459916 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4501785936052058 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5518997248038348 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5529166496558418 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4702536842122487 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4784800682005997 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5085509199676699 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4600105582437229 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4574487615334499 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4500953733302851 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4160970328728329 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5570678847864818 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4619976203221222 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4246267355909969 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4440991062997046 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4722336295785277 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4533578795057782 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4915286207602778 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4457658302077109 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4427476723768586 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4386841129426299 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.558735593268118 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4717941115216139 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.427320016063153 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5478281305094144 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4701429773056305 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,First human head transplant in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4752742640726056 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4574295521926906 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4593456964688203 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4502320804520028 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.460860714189226 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4595253618230652 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4413998664456031 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4585807061018515 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4422896923050568 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4420639755004559 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5416640627327527 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4437360367052749 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4392324008053732 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4899212658649713 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4803100799834232 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.530140330291059 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.464463608677121 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4420658019437109 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4522954792248265 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5596645694167202 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5539059908999692 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4738336451366673 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5707167217218397 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5590558171682598 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4655674837128108 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.446794767254678 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will May Day protests turn violent?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.570075559425069 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4504707901599405 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4546642629534815 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4462618335686619 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4879397215300486 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5417190059847891 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5567296445464598 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5338548062194903 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4507631898522278 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4714667101819854 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4822609506080302 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5554279473632548 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4760486577661279 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4557267922292415 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5383607855247032 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.553479345419527 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5435740537517574 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4699553444177367 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4646599863142817 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4524647109750961 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4548706650460337 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4958011309398653 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4488708624586172 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.471567781613568 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4586314464552393 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.429641649691526 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4300249646202104 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5598897076864573 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.440800028040388 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4545516518090277 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5552115287565225 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5281730307037518 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4464627780846629 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5605730683175203 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4470319750798842 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4656577348623489 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5293216619735932 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5375681945100905 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.485705000755099 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4541203994609192 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4455873172118664 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4576388145802902 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Airships by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4548415518170707 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4516106872301463 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4523910016458638 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is Westworld located on an island?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5449910682509225 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5006731048005798 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4699995735287514 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4634896024670178 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4511502410716432 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4521004767178603 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5523063199164915 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4574015987911375 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4786256158554151 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4652449711642487 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4078845871206636 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4579508991604897 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.455733202475302 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.451072809795546 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.450339201012243 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5685108290652163 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4592934121698107 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4421936001356648 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4848807573280375 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.453315423015057 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.526724451091855 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5542841904609742 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4382057418857393 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4639046654372216 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4613119890493362 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.439586745587762 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.457440990311117 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4407769505598684 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4746991940505386 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.466287453672506 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4447187569835852 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5235832699451015 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5499376758771755 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4679882502735866 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4342464812643408 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4563128407171127 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4572621555238587 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.460959327660537 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4736066165261522 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5378683299442479 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4900303237370053 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4706913744684118 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4624904112230362 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4552164695319161 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4834048266616091 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4784794347041471 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.44754910568437 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4659810676957769 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4594027516979136 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4515899995929081 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4586286578842263 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4659565862887143 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4627237895382114 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.443608992435204 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4634463476603628 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.465013737745455 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.452551590593662 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5537306640648457 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4660440291129525 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4757071086554804 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4571773832253134 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4665895141931377 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4729801550961734 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4491562372072562 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5332328250556565 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5626811495811228 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.470264043963571 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4425470579317969 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4390865905628419 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4665260544758496 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5395481758089491 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4298705966155962 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4430693105016116 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.440247633606727 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4693218666868936 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4662578126554002 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4573315343792041 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4558651187844213 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4347474463988585 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4506203376586272 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4640402901687663 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4665948292278825 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4560918012782686 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4615849022502635 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.541397149966234 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4665669462882175 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4342319847794703 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.450813728279027 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4632819591661418 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4527762196706527 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4514406717224096 +llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4958357554557188 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4806227569493977 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4650941792342219 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4680765386028415 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4661253937356472 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4653709248187661 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5352001423233368 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4681645284940557 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4740904553124491 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4610937431395098 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.428334723661543 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4681897611873882 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5439389584774272 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",llama_hf_7b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5617982515743488 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.524148443957921 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4560579624471008 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4693823686623495 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.528454850555484 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.55154469444004 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5281613584732707 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5443212121590226 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will this question resolve in the negative?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5304246635261978 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4532016067080592 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5467983932919408 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5339256716640066 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4671385965735296 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",llama_hf_7b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5310653569864355 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A triumph over the mite-y?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4716077360359839 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4837537689086265 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.516063878208866 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4659862376485644 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5254455947159126 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5428891315398832 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.451822472559814 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5374306361908779 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4697837462082613 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4721221809302603 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4703213978535399 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",llama_hf_7b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4701286385556172 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.477926002968263 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.488657784724339 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4635298362863233 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4527858157394803 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4570388636625103 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Does Proxima have Planets?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.548821359003892 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4637923939232962 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.52979106334873 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4739189637622545 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.483524146330324 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5342543450802975 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4598501555149426 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4659619527227503 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5360153458362116 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4544804193819135 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5252645847587589 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5320469615819315 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4520091310216779 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",llama_hf_7b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4779375217813189 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5367008677729107 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5419342848105084 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5358551977909916 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4556535795481253 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4568063794555437 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4449032327812739 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4601589779373959 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4571986105075118 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4561772759087951 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4386026264141607 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4651474429466881 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4584332787743305 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is Arnold alive?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4675345537699865 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4528133153605805 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.453236054924777 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5278701763271406 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4835981140493135 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",llama_hf_7b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4666160163849233 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.442757222143551 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4480133521937988 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4524516813928757 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4623723458524132 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4615112186870814 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4683207710270679 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"How important are ""time crystals""?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.449745423661561 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4613012155969707 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.466338283517771 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4720101884210708 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4553231003015688 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4871706011126687 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4644904647234739 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4630160207953979 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.480497613622402 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4582270194166717 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4391047089934091 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4738051265619853 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5440288601934846 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4561784660344482 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.452171390279085 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4520210779723552 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4670345914027768 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4731173311875067 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5311468241649242 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4812568070060178 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.48083164057807 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4551631860504111 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",llama_hf_7b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5277452502799629 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5611425348716585 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4687004246645355 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4536688111137763 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4458749348273289 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4684275433258895 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5582341726508365 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4499816388113619 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5348999096094391 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4535400847186994 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5492989888001374 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5654239364636879 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4493123238447449 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4490150368427809 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4843527330985622 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5385579049546659 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,llama_hf_7b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4658765267889722 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,llama_hf_7b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5199262090624978 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",llama_hf_7b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4753016751255376 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.537908187319764 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4417842770676984 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4698908975405598 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4546460966087202 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.461746227161671 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,llama_hf_7b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4494609662523149 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4548653708504045 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4630457914154477 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4786422469568571 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4519386939471563 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4674962392796483 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4565620397059723 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5340890602821864 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",llama_hf_7b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5153710163273445 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4495444477814121 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4521465238597624 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4579113690933221 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4655491087561926 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4756163214619711 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5472611213172407 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",llama_hf_7b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4527835369023179 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Giant robot battle: is it on?,llama_hf_7b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5452919632580722 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4654564054212257 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4443122769933244 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5384403471620812 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4568079175947808 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,llama_hf_7b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5206483688228281 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5272012972316498 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5460197625018974 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4702405795629161 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4587698151215083 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5596265114656114 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",llama_hf_7b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.471431905342783 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4670010777019416 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4604515657242748 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4579766245163099 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5422710654723071 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.490665105877749 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4581390922554946 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",llama_hf_7b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.514385406422013 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4606453496022141 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4629246063566182 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",llama_hf_7b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4642674264319594 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5395377075461787 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4706611750119834 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5331395749180119 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4685868850172611 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4618591575722555 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",llama_hf_7b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4621821347658189 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4693838405080975 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4528065826960707 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4569015590379396 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4571297964792231 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4407233011986916 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5471305429543901 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4653727532617257 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4659914748844695 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4476385324744707 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.443637963998706 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.478341219877455 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.465769599166992 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4718309204500947 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.469288844222449 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.438373396317188 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,First human head transplant in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4471846916445939 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4644637268760139 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4542372880287647 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5330290065500652 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5552909730340204 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,llama_hf_7b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.480497613622402 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4557102490126112 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4559050777158122 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4709240993142147 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4629360136959379 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4550764553289523 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",llama_hf_7b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4592864145882808 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4679098004801261 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,llama_hf_7b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5552066731603864 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4543109775639345 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4572587226349268 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4589966397067209 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,llama_hf_7b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4622775846050624 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5462210213921449 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.469402152985824 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4647301576330796 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4554961320835607 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5417789169559954 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5355319404507608 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4724854825835412 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",llama_hf_7b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5285153514371603 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5382356155883887 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.477134635401403 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4653109413523264 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will May Day protests turn violent?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5414967158695739 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,llama_hf_7b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4677124102671453 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4607008394757543 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",llama_hf_7b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4713556118343774 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4784533531322765 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5401438076406138 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.546572545218304 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5292142741992703 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4685759608365181 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4704398605652563 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4659326363190624 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",llama_hf_7b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5339879395157724 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4710402383934627 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4589248521677794 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.535704566384799 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5446341596605028 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5325275728454596 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4675661245428254 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4694255772281331 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4724614127887862 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4478751185382009 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4788856157736876 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4691260783655376 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,llama_hf_7b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4704824931209811 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4658004443222973 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4497523442567958 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4583302588099499 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5504337191258948 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.454701191939548 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.469257527398358 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5370680225956348 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5256703572770669 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4848120521513151 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5456325211691514 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4468444289094155 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5390066323468605 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5335454192749705 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4706071352671158 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4756743028285222 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is Westworld located on an island?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5263030125287926 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4519887935340678 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4591367893991776 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4743007601491431 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Airships by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4645647686987555 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4605632172251535 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4568772123551725 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4570863084258095 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",llama_hf_7b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5421129741269403 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4709816563739274 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.476429384334957 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4582980210779013 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4552889923457331 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.458330788233448 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4731732244314707 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4546707232914911 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4504589735950894 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4446596776493501 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4639138984898416 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.442362421934937 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5355694039738257 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4561441924254557 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4682102020274594 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4465695193823555 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4581475544586728 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4683757291167537 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5475199763093734 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5434569992906976 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4762034290212385 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.463539505190208 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4544729550221545 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4681253409996115 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4646884617660509 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4512006615509165 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4776724028769454 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4846587192990884 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4562967409724637 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",llama_hf_7b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5433740888508267 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5371801156364838 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4736441201998859 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4512027572104131 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4633361828465299 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4364334075361947 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",llama_hf_7b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4649275270122964 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4716011029747264 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5444820108840858 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4619784875711253 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4722255306777007 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4487435097280177 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4690307988111995 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.473565207478183 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4681984976859143 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4536653294994863 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4561224081175446 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4619228233945763 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4637664846036568 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.460488510957978 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4685053574021168 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4585296560030643 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4484526722615615 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",llama_hf_7b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4485310888034306 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4530230882412793 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4716242317360562 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5469725681526441 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,llama_hf_7b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4593918770527306 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4763745876142669 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4728838403162328 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4609765484748803 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4627172044393857 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4471939151871462 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5403404200105246 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5508694806692289 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.481008967555225 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4541130580655572 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",llama_hf_7b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4818346370406174 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4659914401396247 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4444753109987547 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4545059311936298 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4355345120483243 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5415487429621455 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4828933846550344 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4502759423643601 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4784701520061796 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.43971455169661 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4554661084965583 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4667630070284981 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4631024719583831 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",llama_hf_7b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4603291514979936 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4562813933743972 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",llama_hf_7b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4559495582940754 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5440597158757232 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4632793757158488 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),llama_hf_7b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4925150000096139 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,llama_hf_7b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4502455072423318 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,llama_hf_7b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4799413485682983 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4598545243594211 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4556087992119972 +llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",llama_hf_7b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4867231057063689 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4685855203870577 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4556891612831564 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4672917625505312 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4693024337130492 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4633589358859013 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5572418212950676 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4586595904354421 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.464456566091361 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4299479768269661 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4508125957710869 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4722799160758208 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5524860787517525 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5360845339136929 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5278051055104678 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4581726503943873 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4702715916209257 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5256792566028521 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5519322997351113 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5297762057096602 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5183063646431834 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will this question resolve in the negative?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5316998275760136 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4475436807817158 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5524563192182841 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5346472498417729 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4717169164223086 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5474350889058517 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A triumph over the mite-y?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4777894932398693 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4829403074973033 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5305661532214765 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4636448333308221 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5399046177695529 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5680442033496942 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4593706228651392 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5214307233898954 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4721048461648775 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4753743375826459 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4879978453967106 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4883706441970291 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4569791945585428 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4763068696682739 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4508507893643309 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4819008128070352 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Does Proxima have Planets?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.537901450041198 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4494690083177926 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5094599774995457 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4778196551455049 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4660819785313848 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5350986746760487 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4449255326632356 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4537125916532188 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5333221271720354 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4609206657271624 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5527513070662865 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5236466935568559 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4780658158404292 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4874570448478868 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5296406522549373 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4568869818070818 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5590903029047399 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5276353338924873 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4619337246305445 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4891272622031948 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4841568435114629 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4724678882530833 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.471813506793617 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4816112432209493 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4893939038886348 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4487053257821957 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is Arnold alive?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4632986697387497 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.460576009888435 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4889752292270656 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5268009323818674 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4456443805303288 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"How important are ""time crystals""?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4695772230290316 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.474123194671662 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4582695956150796 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4506700806294372 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4492155385859417 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4477809252019091 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4463232420792286 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4944133679053184 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4680596910065472 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4878819605542293 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4586058650258922 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4906931251877304 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4858827194441295 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4811247034198456 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4629179492191841 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4413313497442706 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4529285666909116 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4772437994223594 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4733342085471383 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5429418638166084 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4618263473651829 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4543602853843536 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4870877880538145 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4745355379070413 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4526945334731845 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5344399937856381 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.468066055641408 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4636036092742836 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4747067095198892 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5264815273797985 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5634653006499077 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4708720131059407 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4717449988747181 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4898529733338063 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4644891061389053 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5275078201250412 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4807616124098465 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5175365087056734 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4605632303880367 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5353708928732822 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5436342655839492 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4752369172158278 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5384261882777097 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.457666587177257 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4645205593309388 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4495960174804148 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.528168551339256 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4839371629551491 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.532179793187556 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4752048117067604 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4732680249189606 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4540870823122769 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4901050832449173 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4511695081891946 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4724156672110048 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4542422284302165 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4652251620058482 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4654131401707933 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4475996465517484 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.46111770192799 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5308238517767998 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5229014386820665 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4710823790008792 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4726931945906256 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.505472804223258 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4535436849739719 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4746265769519536 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5314204031956778 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4629250357338723 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Giant robot battle: is it on?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5583139081357054 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4786234792072545 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5434833168825366 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4643391502161553 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4639718991985301 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.505164517619263 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.541889321906818 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5341317106459322 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4344725625927488 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.464380310662276 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5743085061251576 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4650851239034858 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4912111963315744 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4702206785217265 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4791950910423163 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5244759267392041 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4636751452830064 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4917526002098611 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4569603850204354 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.529483865012303 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.460234999542499 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4690582758946378 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.541315733086241 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5203627132617017 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4774561393711715 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4364844825850804 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5559516890913979 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4603555517452545 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4768662282825108 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5029414672833237 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.465806607391227 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4686394603371125 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4816794957222751 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4810781209530948 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4635363191248104 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4740212209124448 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4708926698849087 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4865605923016917 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4550263901546644 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4674491484247761 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4580159023269911 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5225461262871157 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4466546856351157 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,First human head transplant in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4832173574032702 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4931672009594169 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4869707666381235 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5348816743048403 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4587104154298314 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4878819605542293 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4651979904893041 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4756274896251918 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4774884260118373 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.471513082819561 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4608358934555979 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4678574421290346 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4471170725375282 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5239344301044033 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4860658003492835 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4631557228449653 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4401821597252678 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4676847309544519 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5630316366130174 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4619008838990903 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4667175724175988 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4795069837964228 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5311313432537632 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5311531648645065 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4748213669278541 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5337088724144264 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.546089746004828 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4699510207543369 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4666672737916352 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will May Day protests turn violent?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.531549344669265 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.494319665326451 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.450194677348647 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4718276255405688 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4502667005560175 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5407721392542488 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5579579139064946 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5239507308826952 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4896341306290016 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4642308691351705 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4596895726231483 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5627098237199495 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.457834633473504 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4714959727629498 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5495799189024844 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.558763999957287 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5305520745929293 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4607028913116595 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4582453406657101 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4600491042674519 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4658435244256492 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4882275167065868 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4668922603281403 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4450137982623885 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4621237539174237 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4275488031252393 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4443283394974046 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5567899307887281 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4676309744052976 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4807810003282705 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5533057543078861 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.554191206516124 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.478974990090485 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5606232107283748 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4677807244217702 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5567013593381063 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4707503527303779 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5540449258985871 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4664478532282052 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.476169786593546 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.472500360301809 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4781227068143908 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4884106139997296 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4703732925166355 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.539767132190337 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4841026400747177 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4722751809257819 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4489797215874198 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Airships by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4863267389126406 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4676641796437013 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4766940941793897 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4468284528607485 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4734326693691263 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is Westworld located on an island?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5143973050726718 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.480032211554284 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.452386818274084 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.446275000743504 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4337941842928588 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4726033463611632 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5393929443800694 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4471480063315229 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4374417343944309 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4546513803278449 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4757026463684001 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4612209033660409 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5200107292532146 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5403924032816446 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4772795786271822 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4648493169491471 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4651906805142962 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4525542530529298 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4766126348799249 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4456009187713172 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4783116800264054 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4526900390116753 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4612247849913949 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5084032596887296 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5657338468609283 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4579598517261598 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4812612255210863 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4541054093458808 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4850443046518776 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4769471408671086 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4572781094228251 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5421720432778618 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4738144857757084 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4553558687165535 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4905075431536074 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4717596904042275 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4749484511936126 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4836796310824143 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4768811070617347 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4894012235444344 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4676445443584417 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4591195103884219 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4903422193000391 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4804372083411952 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.482784621055669 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4691691405911246 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.457678387036123 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4899589508295967 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4539923948389088 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5121893327852386 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4630177691055708 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4797721243739466 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4668307066913806 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4685694712754048 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4641986280621847 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4612016401990919 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5356702956698478 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5280922018387957 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4775568881262948 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4770800727319392 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4587384898573882 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5244746060646477 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4781759167650077 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4664431158349518 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4601611046935149 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4664425982717211 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.481481603166619 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4826532538632697 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4648227305903913 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4766921063214658 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4744684507126491 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4651129124448478 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4722719408335428 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4773518889958143 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4693934016025784 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4706477472711207 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5505613697018011 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4663376048881425 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4844236842743136 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4359967833187612 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4857245486819982 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4472664063156168 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4610956803516587 +mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.478280001554605 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",opt-13b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4639485694176096 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,opt-13b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4749705015359989 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,opt-13b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4700359482354282 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,opt-13b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4605136181481879 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,opt-13b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4635541636559814 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",opt-13b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.521178038068669 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,opt-13b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4510123565637007 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",opt-13b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4771346036074007 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",opt-13b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4550817028066048 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4620249287625315 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",opt-13b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4559861039418259 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,opt-13b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5215633798450179 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",opt-13b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5414169909427431 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,opt-13b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5237915435013811 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,opt-13b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4710349521284939 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,opt-13b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4852632335919041 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,opt-13b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5461560284636419 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,opt-13b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5380939743528943 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5495082963019748 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,opt-13b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5246930461651413 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will this question resolve in the negative?,opt-13b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.512437241291837 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,opt-13b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5493034024312236 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,opt-13b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4506965975687765 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",opt-13b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5211585278244677 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,opt-13b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4660989803720814 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",opt-13b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.526413956059796 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A triumph over the mite-y?,opt-13b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4670174122233512 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,opt-13b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4683190145393835 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,opt-13b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5423979407743511 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,opt-13b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4719705396613966 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,opt-13b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5367168295008518 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",opt-13b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5417844869877384 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4568343707058606 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,opt-13b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5285141477572808 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,opt-13b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4883934618410922 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",opt-13b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4704741495676643 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",opt-13b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4565009652163829 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",opt-13b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.470533848803454 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,opt-13b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4748504991246622 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,opt-13b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4701712095218306 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,opt-13b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4798762654452043 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,opt-13b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.456245742599648 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,opt-13b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4819570881595186 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Does Proxima have Planets?,opt-13b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5291403592458871 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,opt-13b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4405500284150449 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,opt-13b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5291775025876664 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,opt-13b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4609756380848139 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,opt-13b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.477084042802228 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,opt-13b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5352121288915297 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,opt-13b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.462597553631118 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,opt-13b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.461412653950377 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,opt-13b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.553763708766696 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,opt-13b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.487462175795839 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,opt-13b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.515915019965165 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,opt-13b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5391983151839865 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,opt-13b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4620297662168474 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",opt-13b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4832967062216391 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",opt-13b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5252658183443788 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,opt-13b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4727767419256746 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,opt-13b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5104057371263332 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,opt-13b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4750609698548365 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.527634897432546 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,opt-13b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4739237546667152 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,opt-13b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4663482721616696 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,opt-13b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4695252088972922 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,opt-13b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4598305827682338 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,opt-13b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4616487140108238 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,opt-13b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4599843103698691 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is Arnold alive?,opt-13b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4667439429859528 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,opt-13b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4618879128624661 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,opt-13b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4618415464390131 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,opt-13b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4906843079522112 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,opt-13b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.521979959887014 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",opt-13b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4608727436065673 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,opt-13b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4644039190868288 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,opt-13b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4645147345895396 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4752161500459803 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,opt-13b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4513847034621893 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,opt-13b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4577512557316852 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",opt-13b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4669725603997888 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"How important are ""time crystals""?",opt-13b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4457663504622872 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",opt-13b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4690460169309193 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,opt-13b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4686930471096168 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4667691868637356 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,opt-13b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4683658974318526 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,opt-13b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4749695828283698 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.472135478250884 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,opt-13b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4782334627547511 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,opt-13b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4632831704991482 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4756290835227086 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",opt-13b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4760346378108495 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,opt-13b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4770911495934326 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,opt-13b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4626317559292092 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,opt-13b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5399773271153885 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4824248261057894 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,opt-13b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4728012920339836 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4768449595094543 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,opt-13b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4561861443975601 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,opt-13b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4738660334086843 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,opt-13b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5283444709008391 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,opt-13b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4713854673127401 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",opt-13b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4693523473722678 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,opt-13b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.460963151452322 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",opt-13b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5283538276812529 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,opt-13b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5476194622751343 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",opt-13b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4806392249130332 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,opt-13b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4691889475664659 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",opt-13b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4565792965310489 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,opt-13b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4714467078314038 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,opt-13b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5557577341463743 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,opt-13b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4621348932043865 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,opt-13b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5367213274837828 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,opt-13b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4684727092387015 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5468108668158387 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,opt-13b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5421579066501241 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,opt-13b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.45936583097529 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5270449482909014 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,opt-13b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4503951952584565 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",opt-13b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.454311283767647 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,opt-13b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4757258117703144 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,opt-13b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.516294146711262 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",opt-13b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4767008238228691 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,opt-13b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5320367104306599 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",opt-13b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.491846216474463 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,opt-13b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4730729522391161 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,opt-13b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4577727854353069 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,opt-13b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4905748870748464 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,opt-13b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4638707959730433 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,opt-13b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4625559164847913 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,opt-13b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4852325862128399 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,opt-13b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4394663564059997 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,opt-13b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4590661788991951 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,opt-13b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4683966177238861 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,opt-13b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4625937409835108 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,opt-13b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5410439910869771 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",opt-13b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5283097710879006 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,opt-13b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4576992083664702 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,opt-13b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4647132466837773 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,opt-13b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4594278297814509 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,opt-13b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4593160193224453 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,opt-13b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.482405507437151 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,opt-13b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5392616351375272 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",opt-13b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4582405791662178 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Giant robot battle: is it on?,opt-13b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5647931930795735 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,opt-13b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4493629197909463 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,opt-13b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5477159845300577 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,opt-13b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4684922840134549 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,opt-13b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4572040498139652 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,opt-13b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5397376322689026 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,opt-13b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5318627251827803 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,opt-13b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5182603422273342 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,opt-13b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4739995831060313 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,opt-13b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4680367270620281 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,opt-13b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5532653259928901 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",opt-13b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4612649856116992 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,opt-13b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4830195730815629 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,opt-13b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4692400490281063 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,opt-13b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4693632493702879 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",opt-13b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5463489659229674 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,opt-13b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4502534659132389 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",opt-13b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5308712912575004 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4742175738856383 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,opt-13b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4436463012796562 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,opt-13b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4798496293936246 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",opt-13b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4447474561713466 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,opt-13b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5387528368732897 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,opt-13b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.550062112692469 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,opt-13b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4786687232746374 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4555772111382155 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4646130567623173 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4510083561110676 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,opt-13b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4781715285410859 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,opt-13b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5394406342350211 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,opt-13b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4760260749157979 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4618433548212388 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",opt-13b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5021440691908083 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,opt-13b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4940071363133992 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",opt-13b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4704888857969182 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,opt-13b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4606607654911407 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,opt-13b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.465810834777106 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,opt-13b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4522370506519934 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,opt-13b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4574079979371998 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,opt-13b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4626108199553048 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,opt-13b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4728399994955565 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,opt-13b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4648719771844279 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,First human head transplant in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4720542311442283 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",opt-13b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5384485360377209 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,opt-13b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5365724975826895 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,opt-13b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4488366024382831 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",opt-13b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4618839474810346 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,opt-13b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4498410569407199 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,opt-13b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4632831704991482 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,opt-13b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4868674278993443 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,opt-13b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4572495083219421 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,opt-13b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.459438921313363 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,opt-13b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4466860865208693 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,opt-13b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4570030115462959 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",opt-13b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4647388941466505 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,opt-13b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4956598312352048 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,opt-13b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5418863340200664 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,opt-13b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4614752368838771 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,opt-13b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4871595997883876 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,opt-13b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4740493133359527 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,opt-13b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4583983817693674 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,opt-13b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5482994035018289 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,opt-13b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4627312195177761 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,opt-13b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4763312259723718 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4663968828790292 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,opt-13b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.534204243023068 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",opt-13b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.51979163372766 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",opt-13b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4594985276411225 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,opt-13b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.525091014045163 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",opt-13b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5031559544808647 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4670101246585991 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,opt-13b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4763055776565711 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will May Day protests turn violent?,opt-13b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5287537286889418 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4407460294283375 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,opt-13b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4887163420211753 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",opt-13b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.452929498264058 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,opt-13b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4703093620047708 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,opt-13b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5361804746613443 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,opt-13b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5423661197790404 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,opt-13b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.527897545944558 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4883107818821584 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,opt-13b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4695645387919907 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,opt-13b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4805834798762377 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",opt-13b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.544902398044663 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,opt-13b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4742843136888148 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,opt-13b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4815048222253675 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",opt-13b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5251887427654924 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,opt-13b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5509423909319926 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5349623053382888 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",opt-13b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4742936974416482 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4661933902253651 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,opt-13b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.478940787287391 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,opt-13b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4653401511291813 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4783122278842425 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4853789411165151 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,opt-13b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4726933031846128 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,opt-13b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4599400637625591 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,opt-13b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4248559079144678 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,opt-13b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4681958639802409 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5191779459049177 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,opt-13b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4765587520189668 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,opt-13b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4846775415369403 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,opt-13b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5394308210436061 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,opt-13b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5385100941440314 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,opt-13b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4663291386051295 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,opt-13b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5409980632449545 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,opt-13b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4490890608108822 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.536906100399517 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,opt-13b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5399569402234851 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,opt-13b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4626150284262181 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4777528998227174 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,opt-13b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4746249933137685 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,opt-13b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4681930962430114 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Airships by 2019?,opt-13b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4541957661251422 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",opt-13b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4639585045056174 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,opt-13b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4462979839684869 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,opt-13b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4888510900190023 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,opt-13b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4925029049402512 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",opt-13b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5463866505680135 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is Westworld located on an island?,opt-13b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5273156523012592 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,opt-13b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4782003129979877 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,opt-13b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.454105238205404 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,opt-13b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4419140367861627 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,opt-13b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4622007328374913 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,opt-13b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4539056366746842 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,opt-13b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4782003129979877 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4779734490858451 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,opt-13b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4644032730407829 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4456843073624519 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4570030115462959 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,opt-13b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4670290467308965 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,opt-13b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5260921359886177 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,opt-13b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.446332617631482 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4840691391462137 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,opt-13b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4241999463841996 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,opt-13b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4474356936594218 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,opt-13b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.475565003379283 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",opt-13b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5344413262811839 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,opt-13b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4592479505657545 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,opt-13b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5358639170764868 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,opt-13b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4524676870685322 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,opt-13b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4570439541331345 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,opt-13b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4596040978675733 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,opt-13b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4750789725994919 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,opt-13b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4224341449247319 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,opt-13b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4613840192594095 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4706776241697234 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,opt-13b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.46895889096203 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",opt-13b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5621765008857981 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,opt-13b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5373225861319734 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,opt-13b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4704581091153205 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,opt-13b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4342315154865995 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,opt-13b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4603022253959471 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,opt-13b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4338134652976023 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",opt-13b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4789396710661455 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,opt-13b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4720156928473864 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,opt-13b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5286000318944654 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,opt-13b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4744783630198705 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,opt-13b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4696227118398299 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4615234333210088 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,opt-13b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4692058856949707 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4771845435969231 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4469854214359782 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4882604749387728 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,opt-13b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4777306202528584 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,opt-13b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4660637217589127 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",opt-13b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4789686455317761 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4473857508702367 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4621836838775764 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,opt-13b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4658966541664585 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,opt-13b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4706221120107446 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",opt-13b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4445203606911633 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,opt-13b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4728172817231316 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4585508642584962 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,opt-13b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5139144124110038 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,opt-13b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4792522034383299 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,opt-13b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4801516537299711 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,opt-13b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4798008133888311 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,opt-13b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4696207988047896 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,opt-13b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4486918778744012 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,opt-13b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4645085456140356 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",opt-13b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5316674360741644 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,opt-13b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5435836666880235 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",opt-13b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4714822130070049 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,opt-13b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.457084819014553 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",opt-13b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4456597937878035 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,opt-13b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4697389797588136 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4523374759329698 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",opt-13b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4596045338697233 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,opt-13b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5343821471505459 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4503780173540035 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,opt-13b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4811410263123732 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,opt-13b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4644112889807054 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,opt-13b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4580613517044715 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4629946190068477 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,opt-13b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4461923692687303 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,opt-13b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.471631188627894 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,opt-13b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4544153383415229 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",opt-13b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4606425593837324 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,opt-13b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4480186017127309 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",opt-13b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4787458473445249 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,opt-13b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5473596472762581 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,opt-13b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4572702566722966 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,opt-13b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4657776696747469 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,opt-13b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4787400988065681 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),opt-13b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.47635353096287 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,opt-13b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4583960119921423 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,opt-13b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4614192392885728 +opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",opt-13b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4705938203790979 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4726055231088423 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4741424273155564 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5019313208669138 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4854086480163504 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4802941241461803 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.520350742014025 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4695123663647262 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4889145493577356 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4639494863608684 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4775077497836262 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4623921872726557 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5042437252546039 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",opt-2.7b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5282567130243596 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5158950253496044 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4759310260238256 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.488778133894844 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5184047407934134 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5143039072348243 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5411672536548002 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5277492350545132 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will this question resolve in the negative?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5248333514111316 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4669066885755181 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5330933114244819 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5291279639652553 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4855809222294634 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",opt-2.7b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5167646060098869 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A triumph over the mite-y?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4687668828015111 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,opt-2.7b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4822259514421931 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5162412379730461 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4709800980190304 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.521136637701934 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5379585464361224 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.471170856714666 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5175458599279636 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4887548563031073 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4742262031750515 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4871561703531356 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",opt-2.7b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4873215589204546 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4919693891572624 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4732098028289246 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4803732655240524 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4864999061601369 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4985659695151967 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4801587665617553 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Does Proxima have Planets?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5182792853205331 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5152812354997294 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4807958680885374 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4813171135277395 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5374900868826744 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4861556813950876 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4813610999742748 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5272984089680655 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4889943152498158 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4971428882406045 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5217604393383433 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4763712802379241 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",opt-2.7b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4893672748515934 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5169017703749055 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5118648608217198 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4771085252673737 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5134505692547335 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4825033418171195 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4921567174372814 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4753391750216061 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4957398397327577 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4798109827071748 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4682428073157818 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4715982910673972 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.474641066572446 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is Arnold alive?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4819298525045754 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4865196248455188 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4985152233695952 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4970845811457499 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4626445863301386 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.485636137279271 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"How important are ""time crystals""?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4633667564085773 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.490237205166541 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4828627816237836 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4888613597829919 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.487564753911439 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",opt-2.7b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4777741293213147 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4661395812224814 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4918422158184498 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4810758193055016 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4759139737037139 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5076273610276731 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",opt-2.7b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4902226487420465 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4836303066265828 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4944240229929426 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4742262031750515 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4903127625253872 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4809021526348024 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4876420707295849 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5196903632551575 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4764680382030751 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4834721592776504 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4769536112325668 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4735516097260225 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4938878350452262 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5240891566236383 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4866484739522217 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4740724053610668 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4807194415497006 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",opt-2.7b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5194409949943086 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5275368256721193 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",opt-2.7b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4948490833289385 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4861042553797512 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4685822770127682 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4757261313171408 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5248404506225868 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4886204897034168 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5220732120774649 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4784693371314769 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5334220999396244 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5309879917810278 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4719396272254488 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5093832826043185 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.471985091014092 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4784616129853668 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,opt-2.7b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4691055551298536 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,opt-2.7b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5094869460241727 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",opt-2.7b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4961319989879863 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5258971655843407 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5006768948933331 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4793097515592174 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,opt-2.7b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4607874413041783 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.483856284476279 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,opt-2.7b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4525134407410391 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4730799491081979 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4850284385237593 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4950496667091768 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4752865170227022 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.476011807751409 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.491340884071372 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5097460578232218 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",opt-2.7b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5023999815681699 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4602975370492552 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4821249314984459 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4715047613219478 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4779851400242807 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4978943462919304 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5299101498669444 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",opt-2.7b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4697081502839554 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Giant robot battle: is it on?,opt-2.7b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5259593155897992 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4699366142082484 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4762582588638987 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.52152453080961 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4587632341626882 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5150863284449319 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,opt-2.7b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5046784639445819 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5203561542211828 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4741407402933223 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4983382631345144 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5239887885728607 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",opt-2.7b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4772087870353053 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5022017471777762 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4809345728803911 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.492237884797743 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",opt-2.7b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5079821878230047 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4825908145340325 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.480811476386323 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",opt-2.7b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4918138306029207 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4746566333450058 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4878545023490258 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",opt-2.7b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4727235393405481 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5082830144659698 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4888682365154597 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5178799365977618 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4861786372167758 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4897639201343675 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5244312726372173 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",opt-2.7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4896821502897334 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4810630693327041 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",opt-2.7b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4774861643035408 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4665713362405324 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4884577662800571 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4968847755128726 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4978052814538326 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4795825573912461 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4925931344678305 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4799465573356434 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4650529325742373 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4817254814734518 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4870681942176894 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4779069570776342 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5309910767643875 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4766776187729113 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5260265359932577 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4684304814109734 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4786138790971516 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,First human head transplant in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4821937681212341 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,opt-2.7b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4836303066265828 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4779040679970465 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4633068945536239 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.481506634961251 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4687436763040368 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4749626832466913 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",opt-2.7b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4690997808174222 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4716630504374153 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,opt-2.7b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5438589122504821 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4787822472914822 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,opt-2.7b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4851234397681123 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4600637165113947 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4897799585810713 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5411034191878574 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4726194313337456 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4786642010692534 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4857396042615893 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5298351384550519 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5179287006377256 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4846485611373013 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",opt-2.7b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4951924558528882 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5284124723892658 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4934531653558777 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4716201762833168 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will May Day protests turn violent?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5168540773370061 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4722064221381177 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",opt-2.7b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4813876600975731 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,opt-2.7b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4715088571893914 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,opt-2.7b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4748213156861606 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5292043227670837 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5358733404895766 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5087743045175683 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4865769854395935 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4875791386732627 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",opt-2.7b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5133853112481037 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4889804767909477 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4858359283706693 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4952172172589629 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.516116863619358 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5098915369798215 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5165655670350155 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4847935242155415 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4933816271234799 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4755742433384802 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4656835574563701 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4866819830728854 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4765430532600264 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,opt-2.7b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.48779703655631 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4877935603194892 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4574022341661508 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4877935603194892 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5222929026874261 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4716113812251465 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4859888299183331 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5265220654839036 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5278093045439961 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4687458380333448 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.514625456229391 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.469157874687911 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5165983763053515 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4777004269233273 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5317196396909406 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4876519136793157 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4818954304572094 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is Westworld located on an island?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5155659025610475 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4828747215803436 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4704903754770408 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.497691613815565 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4869540801703343 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4928576287261293 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4890418154792601 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",opt-2.7b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5276534132029689 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4792267453188208 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4672169102014346 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4759521781376356 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Airships by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4712074732037836 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",opt-2.7b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4765672578205842 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4987834573884481 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.486479033134497 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4775857710449928 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.486219502936168 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4570990147123145 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4730635221395601 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4576942845148941 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5156199157230156 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4838090164658896 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4808196510940252 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4812653746412727 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,opt-2.7b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.476272661257592 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5251131559221025 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5197376371944005 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.485133947039029 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4961283959637923 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4763895237600694 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.481915786584025 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4933764558618503 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4772062515677155 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.493098597838391 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4747708659454165 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.484437263056808 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",opt-2.7b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5301062241624478 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5375674434157364 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4686826688508887 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4777230911191734 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4848410398064508 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4801354907438505 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",opt-2.7b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4852114152521029 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4858993675603344 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5078599129674287 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,opt-2.7b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4706103785489189 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4781413397558222 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4875026035157896 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4816226318838681 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4928119968393344 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4908419901672298 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5088174279425732 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4783521743639081 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4966942630436328 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4978118301622515 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4887011858391559 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4845410111605258 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4751645471744687 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4754135460625054 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",opt-2.7b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4803183939423068 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4900568152100358 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4779091276904696 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5148295101664944 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,opt-2.7b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4869188735944758 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4953976195292779 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4975508862036066 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5001822157353736 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4860319513227408 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.476769785155281 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5169523412520605 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5252925103964701 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4907223534965753 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4800025886959971 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",opt-2.7b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.464469521589707 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.515754713815975 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4763617207695888 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4791955272669795 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4885666621682124 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4710385987431772 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4940395530531377 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.468739004660441 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4884635862729297 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4858240445178987 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4825327400868477 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4880457567868452 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4824827711773766 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",opt-2.7b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4651197488390313 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4617776714153662 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",opt-2.7b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4818834268239991 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.525640895290937 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),opt-2.7b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4735561177586334 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,opt-2.7b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.485239189716306 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,opt-2.7b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4866310942013547 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4814834189301375 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4883451590009202 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4682142195093015 +opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",opt-2.7b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4863227532790169 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",phi-1_5,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4715766100187135 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,phi-1_5,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4501080949742418 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,phi-1_5,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4610115690403674 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,phi-1_5,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4764242351207208 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4756795703010255 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",phi-1_5,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5456823781522133 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,phi-1_5,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4494744739829206 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",phi-1_5,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.487528223923084 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4733496110060472 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",phi-1_5,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4496876225038891 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4526604081710613 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,phi-1_5,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5012883048549266 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",phi-1_5,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5485129779295979 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,phi-1_5,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4837991039397891 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,phi-1_5,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.466376512258935 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,phi-1_5,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4731179211076536 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,phi-1_5,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5298620221486814 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5348067459686252 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,phi-1_5,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5189447258863444 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5090178755308779 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will this question resolve in the negative?,phi-1_5,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5060288527393327 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,phi-1_5,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5202969638930182 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,phi-1_5,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4797030361069818 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",phi-1_5,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4865473720013524 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,phi-1_5,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5060956589910806 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",phi-1_5,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5237974252163391 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A triumph over the mite-y?,phi-1_5,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4505303970799382 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,phi-1_5,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4884275290422346 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,phi-1_5,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.445089549306437 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,phi-1_5,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4543736206872812 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,phi-1_5,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5226269027402818 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",phi-1_5,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5527112075090292 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4403175824907198 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,phi-1_5,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5169275571393147 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,phi-1_5,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4712790434729229 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",phi-1_5,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.468625574941125 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",phi-1_5,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4694516148386115 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",phi-1_5,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4730286999701822 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,phi-1_5,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5044182893305776 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,phi-1_5,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.499344560569086 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,phi-1_5,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.452785411162999 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,phi-1_5,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4389301869686959 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,phi-1_5,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4718077352147595 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,phi-1_5,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4333539823402815 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Does Proxima have Planets?,phi-1_5,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5318839810618268 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5367615119516134 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,phi-1_5,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4643096507118178 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,phi-1_5,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4930975674492951 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5472292815680742 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,phi-1_5,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4718147515175466 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,phi-1_5,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4876216080982685 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,phi-1_5,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5490256689437321 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,phi-1_5,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5537641653719281 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,phi-1_5,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5417753691250431 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,phi-1_5,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4468723205838164 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,phi-1_5,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4579124195556439 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",phi-1_5,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4901126800197893 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,phi-1_5,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4880540339436152 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",phi-1_5,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4798497290701207 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,phi-1_5,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4995626112207338 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5438816867786511 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,phi-1_5,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4987389138827778 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,phi-1_5,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4625714974433779 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,phi-1_5,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4721710459721516 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,phi-1_5,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4810405773105639 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,phi-1_5,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4552956669191359 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,phi-1_5,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4690615418620225 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,phi-1_5,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4583812482724766 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,phi-1_5,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.450311768518399 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is Arnold alive?,phi-1_5,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.503227415483748 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,phi-1_5,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4956088207175386 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,phi-1_5,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.485079275804327 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,phi-1_5,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4974650761987409 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",phi-1_5,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4391188097864691 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,phi-1_5,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4562240098917731 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,phi-1_5,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4988095026169766 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4876833150148983 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,phi-1_5,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4831104729474747 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",phi-1_5,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4496751477131939 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4855563125714369 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",phi-1_5,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4709806911721673 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"How important are ""time crystals""?",phi-1_5,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4626272770964016 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,phi-1_5,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4819906992085415 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5063296645663687 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4988544173858248 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5222519096225606 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4885896178335298 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,phi-1_5,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4905605384769741 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,phi-1_5,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5010783724446658 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",phi-1_5,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4862363046429652 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,phi-1_5,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4814433498580355 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,phi-1_5,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4499289138010744 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,phi-1_5,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5021896473600278 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,phi-1_5,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5452891926294139 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5136572593328981 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5137321811469573 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,phi-1_5,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4876269899229832 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,phi-1_5,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4735119783128182 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4423956829544145 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,phi-1_5,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5256632887114032 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,phi-1_5,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4625656088155944 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",phi-1_5,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.465529747774247 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,phi-1_5,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4871267962537945 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",phi-1_5,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5217761811136974 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,phi-1_5,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5630251132449452 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",phi-1_5,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5087378487441868 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,phi-1_5,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4512950644025873 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,phi-1_5,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4726474801822379 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",phi-1_5,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4530202316522165 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5413793733430285 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4636264816182686 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5446363850074406 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4798197546254558 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5539890187025546 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,phi-1_5,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.57761077673697 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,phi-1_5,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4499652312272719 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",phi-1_5,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4812009539477018 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5085194022078555 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,phi-1_5,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4624186820434729 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,phi-1_5,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4861392372924956 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,phi-1_5,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4918258188176212 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",phi-1_5,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4792694671400214 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,phi-1_5,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5381771315350288 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,phi-1_5,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4612600787794219 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",phi-1_5,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4926371847403163 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,phi-1_5,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4124053424793335 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,phi-1_5,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5163526887338323 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,phi-1_5,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4442731705525778 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,phi-1_5,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4362480639825072 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,phi-1_5,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4702742232874852 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5027415581962251 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,phi-1_5,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4502412834926002 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,phi-1_5,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4648944028830561 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,phi-1_5,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.467794976882686 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,phi-1_5,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5455580592297196 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",phi-1_5,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4948380936549728 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,phi-1_5,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4644936712058504 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,phi-1_5,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4476104407277716 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,phi-1_5,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5045824684234504 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,phi-1_5,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4912596273532765 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,phi-1_5,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5440239313212308 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,phi-1_5,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.558693744413522 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",phi-1_5,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4534293873654512 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Giant robot battle: is it on?,phi-1_5,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5332589186176176 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,phi-1_5,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4786809500900491 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,phi-1_5,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4563075099881062 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,phi-1_5,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5491610721516551 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,phi-1_5,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4399520510420274 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,phi-1_5,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5201711073897232 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,phi-1_5,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5154916772036073 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,phi-1_5,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4901419324153253 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,phi-1_5,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4867461168850898 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4994261049234672 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,phi-1_5,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5435290525039304 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,phi-1_5,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5221844586075306 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",phi-1_5,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4858935597685196 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4952518453888646 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,phi-1_5,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4708881755433369 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",phi-1_5,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5248556827109839 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,phi-1_5,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4866031770165933 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5076040843179995 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.478410955496671 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",phi-1_5,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4627124195695957 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",phi-1_5,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.461750837542212 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.497212129436569 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,phi-1_5,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.52460285348722 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,phi-1_5,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5159139873252382 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5162320197630621 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4966497575015851 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4805953528487497 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,phi-1_5,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4288017134753794 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,phi-1_5,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4768230918190775 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4673216424735574 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",phi-1_5,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4553839301635392 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4618888369990222 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,phi-1_5,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5311226703952274 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5069262051433994 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",phi-1_5,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4601245851605289 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4790811866463604 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4696605360984714 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,phi-1_5,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4348695685577535 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,phi-1_5,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.47158583615873 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,phi-1_5,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5248085994660979 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4741339391332056 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",phi-1_5,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4612947725501179 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,phi-1_5,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4864100460846907 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,First human head transplant in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4681522353518038 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",phi-1_5,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5415272455684235 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5185901822562131 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,phi-1_5,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4343040497531943 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4496554711744405 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,phi-1_5,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4814433498580355 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,phi-1_5,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5123020165207082 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,phi-1_5,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4614649244070192 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,phi-1_5,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4782208370111743 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4639052491449896 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,phi-1_5,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4589421877078392 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",phi-1_5,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4805489104714623 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,phi-1_5,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4521970808123886 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,phi-1_5,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5421002112308506 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,phi-1_5,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4420781017242606 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,phi-1_5,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5068644530197658 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,phi-1_5,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4678335274611389 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4542339505671268 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,phi-1_5,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5319454497919186 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,phi-1_5,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4667721590907364 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5083167598709095 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,phi-1_5,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4780046908007516 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,phi-1_5,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5336671443851098 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",phi-1_5,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4790821749321594 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",phi-1_5,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4864759524794412 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",phi-1_5,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4209535688602882 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,phi-1_5,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5358752444560805 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,phi-1_5,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4920821213205723 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4906734008878142 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will May Day protests turn violent?,phi-1_5,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4852567039333303 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,phi-1_5,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4861652321168762 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",phi-1_5,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4538157260330314 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,phi-1_5,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4690837893633274 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4715848979491517 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,phi-1_5,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5462256109910975 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,phi-1_5,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,0.0,0.4742500730711506 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,phi-1_5,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4871898008003461 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.487835679458228 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4807473543858087 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,phi-1_5,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4433359041476816 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",phi-1_5,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5271153085415005 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,phi-1_5,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.463911885907887 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,phi-1_5,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.507686586880044 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",phi-1_5,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4520100816150989 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5308557104394849 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5251846291507883 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",phi-1_5,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4972780556507783 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.486590032348319 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,phi-1_5,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4811934775887397 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4864042948490247 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5089905518608221 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4993947519084681 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,phi-1_5,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4822362470926547 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4695990189016188 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4480844785713447 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,phi-1_5,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4896131240765857 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5082952925026861 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,phi-1_5,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5060231776699798 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,phi-1_5,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4992449731715784 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,phi-1_5,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.481751417568689 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5017931572717877 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,phi-1_5,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4119642599923165 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,phi-1_5,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4924178028377537 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,phi-1_5,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4574083891057849 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5709824649895942 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4787415932763113 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5075048473379903 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5114344106726546 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is Westworld located on an island?,phi-1_5,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4670187666803679 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,phi-1_5,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4955973923251514 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4693222572800541 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,phi-1_5,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4972194223081613 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5026449255082601 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5405357592573485 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,phi-1_5,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5013932281992153 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",phi-1_5,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5063679422633439 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4484339422193071 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4746300674567952 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,phi-1_5,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4781200930543278 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Airships by 2019?,phi-1_5,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4626927916667758 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",phi-1_5,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4715899530663555 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,phi-1_5,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4489202771823878 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,phi-1_5,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5002492386331562 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5190515669157627 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4400526378604072 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4430929239845572 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5046537431268626 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,phi-1_5,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.482670346699501 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4570788402895617 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5024120188052763 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.52880760235193 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,phi-1_5,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4406553680961497 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,phi-1_5,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4773554237346101 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,phi-1_5,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4450550005565993 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",phi-1_5,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.527855612350026 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5178696853264216 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,phi-1_5,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4770565059127704 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,phi-1_5,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4626336709070611 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,phi-1_5,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4576102504547637 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,phi-1_5,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.503223523059492 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4797469470283681 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,phi-1_5,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4473232567043339 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,phi-1_5,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4452736292903586 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4774313018630543 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,phi-1_5,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4405242828496405 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",phi-1_5,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5724761237013065 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5322612475323917 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,phi-1_5,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4582645834502142 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,phi-1_5,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5108687701611646 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,phi-1_5,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4472450564379951 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,phi-1_5,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4799598916641077 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",phi-1_5,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5096233835173439 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,phi-1_5,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4619173447576428 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,phi-1_5,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5070359126268079 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,phi-1_5,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4561568385869877 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4748666161002916 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.45518400187705 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5146751564369766 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5313422972865514 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.463283559858848 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5071810504271734 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4711407981132333 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5063662789160347 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",phi-1_5,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4924965672327541 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5055620704173747 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4596859126207903 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,phi-1_5,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4779338907138185 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,phi-1_5,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4366493407918181 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",phi-1_5,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.460370637917221 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4783508855488659 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4762043225455202 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,phi-1_5,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5439758296334748 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,phi-1_5,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4885026317012709 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,phi-1_5,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5400205889036449 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,phi-1_5,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5114053609794816 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,phi-1_5,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5278229795766062 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,phi-1_5,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4487910579788104 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,phi-1_5,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4740892682155723 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5228703462044417 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,phi-1_5,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5169391083688284 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4871707099064341 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,phi-1_5,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4883125806164 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",phi-1_5,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4645425924170441 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4631300754623003 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",phi-1_5,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4960976210054419 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,phi-1_5,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4728617385304041 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4772267904791556 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.530148800139168 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4967287923223765 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,phi-1_5,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.537543207062391 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,phi-1_5,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4907267302369741 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4487407969652557 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,phi-1_5,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4652469096134942 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,phi-1_5,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4689115669932727 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",phi-1_5,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4181289244373862 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,phi-1_5,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4934634029978186 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,phi-1_5,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4572885777881714 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",phi-1_5,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4836571322435271 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,phi-1_5,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5581073066216067 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,phi-1_5,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.469678549641529 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,phi-1_5,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4850630387435363 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),phi-1_5,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.494452101699285 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,phi-1_5,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4850778017838873 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,phi-1_5,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4516938860221762 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4912843236516592 +phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",phi-1_5,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4673812518044495 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",phi-2,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4569517325617228 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,phi-2,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4431171272018261 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,phi-2,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4289253513968791 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,phi-2,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4647104770706473 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,phi-2,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4372017341450312 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",phi-2,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5655519037915167 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,phi-2,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4489277491054504 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",phi-2,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4606980243653972 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",phi-2,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4414766327319294 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4311223395185047 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",phi-2,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4388125348008441 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,phi-2,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5599457113691965 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",phi-2,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.542028692592498 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,phi-2,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5352371519946375 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,phi-2,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4658654600250721 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,phi-2,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4553957658823697 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,phi-2,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5415232783149271 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,phi-2,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5340435758559388 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,phi-2,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5428130930561363 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,phi-2,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5438759502246452 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will this question resolve in the negative?,phi-2,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5572433179218135 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,phi-2,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5442683883151105 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,phi-2,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4557316116848895 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",phi-2,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.518682145096125 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,phi-2,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.504703363084069 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",phi-2,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5522522649326503 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A triumph over the mite-y?,phi-2,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4542388630684978 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,phi-2,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4754431063832603 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,phi-2,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5427447071911549 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,phi-2,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.451300255006123 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,phi-2,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5362718294706696 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",phi-2,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5807032445230311 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4256861912902283 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,phi-2,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5410843224156234 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,phi-2,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4927239859266168 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",phi-2,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4676412130418539 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",phi-2,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4665381759829011 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",phi-2,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4578941395029793 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,phi-2,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4703005044410649 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,phi-2,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4731220484262436 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,phi-2,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4547770871271072 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,phi-2,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.438754229307271 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,phi-2,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4553009190700134 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Does Proxima have Planets?,phi-2,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5719142979335194 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,phi-2,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.44151815591831 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,phi-2,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.549900136644722 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,phi-2,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4883502045611694 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,phi-2,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4371289511865974 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,phi-2,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5549071833085595 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,phi-2,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4409572408650467 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,phi-2,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4267377732662575 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,phi-2,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5478159212980911 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,phi-2,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4480650259074205 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,phi-2,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5762702418586153 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,phi-2,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5490251850010777 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,phi-2,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4567621450785022 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",phi-2,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4622590112432084 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,phi-2,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5562152936028439 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,phi-2,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4569472362161593 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,phi-2,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5333349737599808 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,phi-2,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4479991186198777 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",phi-2,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5296481754369602 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,phi-2,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4520322042690413 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,phi-2,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4517868495363908 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,phi-2,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4641731305892483 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,phi-2,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4375645510468881 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,phi-2,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4514883687227975 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,phi-2,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4415575596106744 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is Arnold alive?,phi-2,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4489459412536765 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,phi-2,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4702902291851312 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,phi-2,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4344508854028796 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,phi-2,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.447550979009411 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,phi-2,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5538108062271997 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",phi-2,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4667783345218942 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",phi-2,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4572650514758934 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"How important are ""time crystals""?",phi-2,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4393475534029785 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,phi-2,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4346425189756027 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,phi-2,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4566451517507062 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4459311735229274 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,phi-2,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4535531782547509 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",phi-2,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4430284171557072 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,phi-2,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4358199055398503 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",phi-2,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4735090704218458 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,phi-2,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4530567113979593 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,phi-2,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4851597446000799 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,phi-2,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4449350889309232 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,phi-2,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.440378823789209 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,phi-2,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4772223156434014 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,phi-2,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4672673477826385 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,phi-2,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4736751066263035 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,phi-2,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4638483978683194 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,phi-2,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4333704772401604 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,phi-2,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4607967048355712 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,phi-2,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5512740246383256 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,phi-2,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4384002686342279 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,phi-2,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4548617583544179 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,phi-2,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4524332499631971 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,phi-2,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.453208237486678 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,phi-2,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4680791835996502 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,phi-2,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5458857432183349 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,phi-2,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4402081016434764 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",phi-2,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4810616119304807 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,phi-2,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4413187132617597 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",phi-2,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5308183735793124 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,phi-2,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5905177205480212 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,phi-2,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4481069074159404 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",phi-2,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4861903237903455 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",phi-2,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4606590103961545 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,phi-2,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4570088863298853 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,phi-2,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5631125339330927 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,phi-2,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4637914777556116 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,phi-2,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5504711336190654 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,phi-2,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4117814888070022 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,phi-2,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5551822595743197 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,phi-2,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5735768043757654 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",phi-2,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4659928470068755 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,phi-2,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.458556749320442 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,phi-2,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.52193219122326 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,phi-2,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4603357357957155 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,phi-2,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4648822770483968 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,phi-2,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5158389167965087 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",phi-2,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4658335771956842 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,phi-2,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5606500941259412 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,phi-2,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4341615911264643 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",phi-2,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4509464883698653 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,phi-2,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4462220914953431 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,phi-2,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4708664476226986 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,phi-2,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4266285721331555 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,phi-2,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4372458151972837 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,phi-2,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4645443700272081 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,phi-2,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.460484638664263 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,phi-2,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.454221180655544 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,phi-2,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.445385600951011 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,phi-2,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4401297963586137 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,phi-2,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5456136302912188 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",phi-2,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5124785896805075 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,phi-2,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.418471874734693 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,phi-2,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4567437641660969 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,phi-2,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4659526255487743 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,phi-2,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4267931951852185 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,phi-2,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4612819782450392 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,phi-2,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5555011159601091 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",phi-2,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4427490826335286 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Giant robot battle: is it on?,phi-2,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5649315594238502 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,phi-2,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4450830187312137 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,phi-2,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4361760602831224 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,phi-2,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5614162774241922 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,phi-2,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4406309471810311 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,phi-2,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5284885975040604 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,phi-2,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5341033218993915 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,phi-2,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5569330371052233 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,phi-2,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4602782512744912 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,phi-2,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4608985526479958 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,phi-2,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5761984339977071 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,phi-2,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4711275968200768 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",phi-2,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4356579272470103 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,phi-2,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4356452627252386 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,phi-2,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4565987196632231 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",phi-2,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5571523505763638 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,phi-2,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4508894988524989 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",phi-2,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5169464520105216 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",phi-2,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4751903821187375 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4292118926647297 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,phi-2,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.462446343718304 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,phi-2,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.451522268388889 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,phi-2,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5329834850699368 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,phi-2,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4540610234600163 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,phi-2,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5502197838357561 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,phi-2,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.457267400600957 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,phi-2,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5600582965793017 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,phi-2,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4712771174235368 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",phi-2,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4177658610684108 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,phi-2,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4513047564737009 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",phi-2,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4615918955445615 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,phi-2,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4395129221246523 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,phi-2,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4693266392679656 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,phi-2,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4483954862981579 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,phi-2,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4430877454046636 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,phi-2,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.423687092341149 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,phi-2,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4517616114769676 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,phi-2,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4677520457087276 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,phi-2,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4717950209833969 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,phi-2,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4424732436810746 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,phi-2,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4489278551170367 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,phi-2,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4799547855160424 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,phi-2,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4428549106776308 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",phi-2,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4506244130258132 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,phi-2,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5351219766039377 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,First human head transplant in 2017?,phi-2,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4892049455875941 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,phi-2,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4258902801205036 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",phi-2,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5698677392510157 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,phi-2,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4530567113979593 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,phi-2,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4494639774141888 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,phi-2,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4216091276666391 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,phi-2,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4227475668479536 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,phi-2,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4487398769400088 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,phi-2,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4504432212549761 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",phi-2,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.447147284873526 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,phi-2,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4313904724505641 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,phi-2,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.558845162720444 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,phi-2,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4542955539855579 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,phi-2,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.448095139142497 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,phi-2,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4260409795546235 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,phi-2,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4515059031418353 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,phi-2,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5690209136456589 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,phi-2,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4601273848369319 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,phi-2,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.454451274800539 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,phi-2,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4692901614157339 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,phi-2,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5240832410328746 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",phi-2,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5214830155478716 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",phi-2,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4959117363348593 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",phi-2,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5272361924423887 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,phi-2,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5585965237570513 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,phi-2,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4449491955932048 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4763948014118139 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will May Day protests turn violent?,phi-2,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5244271100610355 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4654409137987364 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,phi-2,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4622065901353209 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",phi-2,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4447671943962124 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,phi-2,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4543472688407443 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,phi-2,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5421640215631269 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,phi-2,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5557284401189473 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,phi-2,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5316100918077908 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4440318900705791 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,phi-2,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4616093572858137 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",phi-2,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5478051412770109 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,phi-2,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4635552442952355 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,phi-2,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4576318248301392 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,phi-2,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4628251158976226 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",phi-2,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5379014530008617 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,phi-2,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5443266994694864 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5392593324728163 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",phi-2,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4666534243335448 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,phi-2,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4728203044783695 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4610464476517384 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,phi-2,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4577059272448591 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4739311291366979 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.46820934588592 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,phi-2,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4314737993511345 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,phi-2,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4543235567313775 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,phi-2,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4159396793386855 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,phi-2,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4329042328692122 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5500683881004342 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,phi-2,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4781838838848932 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,phi-2,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4838872952191104 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,phi-2,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5446640652171983 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,phi-2,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5450192348661416 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,phi-2,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4688039465482459 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,phi-2,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5515753710539979 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,phi-2,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.439115840558517 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.544172151779035 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,phi-2,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4541308928240657 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,phi-2,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5326061625759204 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.483334138237569 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,phi-2,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4488948850160428 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,phi-2,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4756538816594955 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,phi-2,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4659611223882614 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Airships by 2019?,phi-2,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4522671343396748 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",phi-2,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4591513488970289 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,phi-2,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4353333917154293 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,phi-2,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4599077930167393 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",phi-2,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5639199176508787 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,phi-2,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.456845955930685 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,phi-2,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5071787177033782 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,phi-2,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4758056099138668 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is Westworld located on an island?,phi-2,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4828054935227311 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,phi-2,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4458452222438803 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,phi-2,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.456635110838846 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,phi-2,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4290381110167718 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4566662258602046 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4432967455098835 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4116518245376134 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,phi-2,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4715779586680186 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4817123604900143 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,phi-2,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5613008417807854 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,phi-2,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4402905042765157 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,phi-2,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4725154085300537 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,phi-2,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4220939678808295 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,phi-2,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4272672504529431 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,phi-2,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.44034891974833 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",phi-2,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5414824436707628 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,phi-2,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4628141480912671 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,phi-2,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5526770264112266 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,phi-2,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4535681935702624 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,phi-2,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4499970220400334 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,phi-2,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4417638128742993 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,phi-2,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4799344005897888 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,phi-2,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4211940129814821 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,phi-2,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.440964236242867 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4686142621746436 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,phi-2,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4323204512702343 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",phi-2,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5960746656902058 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,phi-2,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5550936035866842 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,phi-2,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4468514345544878 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,phi-2,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4671413764299627 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,phi-2,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4236908970768843 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,phi-2,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4292015997380781 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",phi-2,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4492380268103805 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,phi-2,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4566411268782122 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,phi-2,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5590232208418997 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,phi-2,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4574587764573231 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,phi-2,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4694822717202599 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,phi-2,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4379315615147823 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,phi-2,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.465648327155264 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,phi-2,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5003013860081917 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,phi-2,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4320788399387409 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,phi-2,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4540120092578144 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,phi-2,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4749148927135069 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,phi-2,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4407728249729913 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",phi-2,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4710942197698738 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,phi-2,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.470322552315467 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,phi-2,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4344896862083158 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,phi-2,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.465064538441704 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,phi-2,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4498029870895917 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",phi-2,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4384739545734651 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,phi-2,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4656210486736744 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,phi-2,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4469853874920486 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,phi-2,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5615342914205308 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,phi-2,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4522520403493852 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,phi-2,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5094442422822633 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,phi-2,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4574160431804293 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,phi-2,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5011467320147444 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,phi-2,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4253157198516409 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,phi-2,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4366950267711549 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",phi-2,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5284284555770976 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,phi-2,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5578738452916878 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",phi-2,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4559042735131389 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,phi-2,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4546663327006932 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",phi-2,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4479170037970899 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",phi-2,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4264523241531917 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,phi-2,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4669278738550974 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,phi-2,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4394214754163015 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,phi-2,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4502355092521746 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,phi-2,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5338339996180259 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,phi-2,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4570476188983127 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,phi-2,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4743566806359107 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,phi-2,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4825522905996867 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,phi-2,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4759513113633787 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,phi-2,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.442670506720515 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,phi-2,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4396093488641443 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,phi-2,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4630816423417211 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",phi-2,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4312201701668944 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,phi-2,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4467556864858816 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",phi-2,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4577027863959936 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,phi-2,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5479006301505911 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,phi-2,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4473525195418173 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,phi-2,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4532945306448916 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),phi-2,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4576852369404817 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,phi-2,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4479442641450695 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,phi-2,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4367507189294242 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,phi-2,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4440551404812286 +phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",phi-2,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4634769519285917 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",pythia-12b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4825652109416548 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,pythia-12b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4760573415346237 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,pythia-12b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4765396571794803 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4793861246122063 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,pythia-12b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4775985934260027 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",pythia-12b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5160802435262513 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,pythia-12b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4706221120107446 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",pythia-12b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4653334866465961 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4700532357772895 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.469844335618637 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",pythia-12b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4906770713294007 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,pythia-12b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5301650326286775 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",pythia-12b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5093324164193416 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,pythia-12b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5167895509736418 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,pythia-12b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4699515076852468 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,pythia-12b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4726971227191239 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,pythia-12b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5228598690346725 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5509674003267344 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,pythia-12b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5262806462012034 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5168988912587811 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will this question resolve in the negative?,pythia-12b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5049259489944067 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,pythia-12b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5363752242162638 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,pythia-12b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4636247757837362 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",pythia-12b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5193001838809981 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,pythia-12b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4824936869344456 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",pythia-12b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5277725645810878 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A triumph over the mite-y?,pythia-12b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4746107941110543 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,pythia-12b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5052954771903442 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,pythia-12b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5357139335108434 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,pythia-12b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4762862168635091 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,pythia-12b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5144917383835496 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",pythia-12b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5182332583612611 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4685795137454426 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,pythia-12b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5279914159296013 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,pythia-12b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4862827004955344 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",pythia-12b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4740972840537912 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",pythia-12b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4854023796968563 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",pythia-12b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4644398682617222 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,pythia-12b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4715644111411693 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,pythia-12b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4739256832228079 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,pythia-12b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4606779857327736 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,pythia-12b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4815997620147102 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,pythia-12b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4981312379375862 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,pythia-12b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.478745093931628 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Does Proxima have Planets?,pythia-12b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5315905172989632 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5155932323432306 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,pythia-12b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4872560501800687 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,pythia-12b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4819425887267033 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5280712260238716 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,pythia-12b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4736741930616583 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,pythia-12b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4822359144151398 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,pythia-12b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5272982274264653 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,pythia-12b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4801556045543228 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,pythia-12b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5299401570047257 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,pythia-12b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5368148795183239 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,pythia-12b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4886850596694044 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",pythia-12b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4784993229181299 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,pythia-12b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5218852324178764 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",pythia-12b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5215889177095179 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,pythia-12b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4732765184107571 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,pythia-12b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4831118168394325 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5440035103251184 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,pythia-12b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4706686364375912 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,pythia-12b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4743403789561474 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,pythia-12b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4975292204710103 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,pythia-12b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4908082105712855 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,pythia-12b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4764666760468836 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,pythia-12b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4724836744164483 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,pythia-12b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5039760593276905 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is Arnold alive?,pythia-12b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4675271309363018 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,pythia-12b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4547788048723465 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,pythia-12b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4918737806202076 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,pythia-12b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5292476709240264 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",pythia-12b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4605463926562078 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4921220970238362 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,pythia-12b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4612728505961367 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,pythia-12b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4824772984916686 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,pythia-12b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4856524161986442 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",pythia-12b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4886383197811632 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",pythia-12b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4634501773047984 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5012205020510535 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"How important are ""time crystals""?",pythia-12b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4638372690423423 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,pythia-12b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4874810280800997 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,pythia-12b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.47957371991692 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",pythia-12b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4776038679092528 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4633539384901274 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4826118319312631 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,pythia-12b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4718136557871581 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,pythia-12b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.482519442541248 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4918601879253089 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4708331508928241 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,pythia-12b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4694279877396031 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,pythia-12b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4820580400641984 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,pythia-12b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5069550362676478 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,pythia-12b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4706762302070684 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.476791613670206 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4704064341881906 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.457449142306016 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,pythia-12b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4733811999633414 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,pythia-12b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.532615903558344 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,pythia-12b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4850615325218219 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",pythia-12b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4709189348018159 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,pythia-12b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.477551894107492 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",pythia-12b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5266993709133991 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,pythia-12b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5154106670031169 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",pythia-12b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4722061002967633 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,pythia-12b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4835936781287792 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",pythia-12b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4664738747124282 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,pythia-12b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4797858361675595 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5282357792519552 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.518869752329991 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4714963280595872 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4821504455938653 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5338780714546325 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,pythia-12b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5257907168930525 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,pythia-12b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4687312597823866 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",pythia-12b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4775151752081999 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,pythia-12b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4649820939771985 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5171597932278131 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,pythia-12b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4739422048755462 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,pythia-12b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5235838854189987 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",pythia-12b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5018037439790678 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,pythia-12b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5204251351028503 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",pythia-12b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4912331260606901 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,pythia-12b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,pythia-12b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4933987762335095 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,pythia-12b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4905557857659389 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,pythia-12b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4746723594746186 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,pythia-12b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.481459452877696 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,pythia-12b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4658334704753192 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4795093905777862 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,pythia-12b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4784840974574926 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,pythia-12b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4905813704970796 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,pythia-12b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.511190072979482 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,pythia-12b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5219972446101312 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",pythia-12b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5320723544019665 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,pythia-12b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4891486957702498 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,pythia-12b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4826037097260084 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,pythia-12b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4836168774031821 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,pythia-12b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4765672578205842 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,pythia-12b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4829781374351576 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,pythia-12b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.514384518751706 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",pythia-12b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4556900511804307 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Giant robot battle: is it on?,pythia-12b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5371598975250588 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,pythia-12b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4832977788304013 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,pythia-12b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4799506642722908 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,pythia-12b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5281943231882033 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,pythia-12b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4673963662985337 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,pythia-12b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5301939248671919 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,pythia-12b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.526484761066347 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,pythia-12b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5169467058899024 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,pythia-12b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4606487620990379 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4909971416980603 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,pythia-12b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5467508370251657 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",pythia-12b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4816596083361285 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,pythia-12b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4943626028145173 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4815982732616684 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,pythia-12b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5016790981655691 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",pythia-12b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5188606120423978 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,pythia-12b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4700035974320658 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4907112257135005 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4971725089341147 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",pythia-12b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4984087748203771 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4894793394798395 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",pythia-12b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4868348047029056 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,pythia-12b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5309906677666081 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,pythia-12b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4832967062216391 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5263753444336445 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4837060256279444 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4748384938147882 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4676899318158276 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",pythia-12b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4840101935854569 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,pythia-12b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4722286112241498 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4615153833395857 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,pythia-12b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5256783232163253 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4908943286107536 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,pythia-12b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4881911727425119 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",pythia-12b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.474876904271272 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,pythia-12b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4965582521082856 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4710555786780669 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4841545854496428 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,pythia-12b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4972299452382869 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,pythia-12b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4909919657862464 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.485514435370256 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",pythia-12b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5420618755098607 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,First human head transplant in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4740113345886124 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,pythia-12b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4919572155250151 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5334036960325301 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4871227276505199 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,pythia-12b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4874511954557624 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",pythia-12b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4942506793038211 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,pythia-12b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.47957371991692 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,pythia-12b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.478474671721703 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,pythia-12b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4862866259146703 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,pythia-12b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4789492613951589 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4689856849034636 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,pythia-12b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.492351643327534 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",pythia-12b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4683976930956657 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,pythia-12b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4715035873394587 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,pythia-12b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5359729315480395 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4729778266704578 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,pythia-12b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4710222704398936 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,pythia-12b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4805819317951378 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,pythia-12b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4809686447754049 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,pythia-12b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5393746091210984 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,pythia-12b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4736355858707912 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4888995245197762 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,pythia-12b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4889285561700076 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,pythia-12b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5361400735610702 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",pythia-12b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5286910474081279 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",pythia-12b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4732083096201521 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",pythia-12b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5216231798549724 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,pythia-12b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5255931809572278 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,pythia-12b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4810598851989299 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4780016320658703 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will May Day protests turn violent?,pythia-12b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5047672087030908 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4794905987217751 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",pythia-12b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4835103809335309 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,pythia-12b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4645389235679071 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,pythia-12b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4846202378829159 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,pythia-12b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5295295272519092 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,pythia-12b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5310294372611315 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,pythia-12b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5155046286963484 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4708053048859594 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.470856868603209 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",pythia-12b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5313268367249067 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,pythia-12b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4827722739843793 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,pythia-12b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4828110091879035 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,pythia-12b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4701358978315088 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",pythia-12b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.515540138062593 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5169642889486379 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5314692000050116 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",pythia-12b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4774090083819247 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,pythia-12b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4901302105078052 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4730729522391161 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4694146265912626 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4730504588299372 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4915077853679029 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,pythia-12b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4843800842769844 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.482765451122805 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4762272952441754 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,pythia-12b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4835450390997928 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5325459421202801 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,pythia-12b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4970171867651373 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,pythia-12b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4565910402372319 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,pythia-12b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5219121853190731 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5311611122341373 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,pythia-12b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4730156836518928 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,pythia-12b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5358859028766995 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,pythia-12b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4614189312801509 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5328320667764508 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4832845138328587 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5255350291024334 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4781854988476688 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,pythia-12b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4981701820024297 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4895582106106258 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4973769409325697 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,pythia-12b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4770837355539453 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",pythia-12b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5374641601705121 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.466654048785983 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4557085047783603 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,pythia-12b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4693288216696473 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",pythia-12b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4620166404768597 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,pythia-12b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4641847105008958 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,pythia-12b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4796623899503276 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Airships by 2019?,pythia-12b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.466235041771292 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.464237999484202 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,pythia-12b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5063341205844533 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is Westworld located on an island?,pythia-12b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5258390299442697 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4979691419561401 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.454210290251928 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4676464568816869 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.488118434393997 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,pythia-12b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4607949296305453 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4491460275645134 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4638670544019868 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.529082722212816 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,pythia-12b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4468816080352776 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,pythia-12b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4668652813650922 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,pythia-12b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5045084440847083 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",pythia-12b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5245537513504275 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,pythia-12b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4863608197210783 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5410836360523943 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,pythia-12b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.492496902951122 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,pythia-12b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4933311881683537 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,pythia-12b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4724622083744251 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4831503221699393 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,pythia-12b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4560962656741692 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,pythia-12b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4787408948130546 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4739552183200747 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,pythia-12b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4757602566208559 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",pythia-12b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5242199656148421 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5286536627262548 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,pythia-12b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4828498677633829 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,pythia-12b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4507819831335544 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,pythia-12b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4794578782297162 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,pythia-12b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4637987244192681 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",pythia-12b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4884458169208336 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,pythia-12b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4792267453188208 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,pythia-12b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5404668504847183 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,pythia-12b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4962300431682813 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4717401245521359 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4811792325568054 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4816892268318129 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4724239695583671 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4773251259873535 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.485759426317064 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4870718477056779 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.475753128143511 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",pythia-12b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4857551512197022 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4741276781394595 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4671577697169405 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,pythia-12b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4713429160848832 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,pythia-12b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4761146851720942 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",pythia-12b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4570783764047701 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4834599250963148 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4768054158039443 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,pythia-12b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5174395566137162 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,pythia-12b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4995215312465279 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,pythia-12b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4842304714532077 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,pythia-12b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4680557552780333 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,pythia-12b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4685923624748431 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,pythia-12b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4694656236145129 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,pythia-12b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.475107302069545 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5028225506623551 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,pythia-12b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5258585922869736 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4836722180750538 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,pythia-12b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4698080178877767 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",pythia-12b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5032495209726798 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4658506780293173 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",pythia-12b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4824567934598601 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4747707282221012 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4789404535171209 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,pythia-12b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5134991736589836 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4813294398071254 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,pythia-12b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4819184574549014 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,pythia-12b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5040833937872883 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4827196510163704 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,pythia-12b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.474441899398087 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,pythia-12b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.485667010363264 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",pythia-12b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4860902181110921 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,pythia-12b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.484005459097298 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,pythia-12b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4655281366894268 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",pythia-12b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4749648571041358 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,pythia-12b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5360568171290685 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),pythia-12b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4720393789410653 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,pythia-12b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4711928489551669 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,pythia-12b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4831384985009485 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,pythia-12b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4877285629930113 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,pythia-12b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4748614693571971 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4766808904528373 +pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",pythia-12b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4859398958274666 +vicuna-7b-v1.5,2023-07-24,vicuna-7b-v1.5,50.82,8.1,71.3,76.0,44.6,42.8,20.39,,,,,, +xverse-13b,2023-08-06,xverse-13b,55.1,18.0,,,,,,,,,,, +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4427041728831666 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.475400620587993 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4619239052224957 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4203923788667345 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4455940972388919 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5971253912516999 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.433897332614824 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4572930237138574 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4035132191609382 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4809737879747797 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.40515875420149 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5497000239103673 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5738986047814123 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5248198148821016 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4382556291109389 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4459069374420604 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5340942321987289 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5278917095704198 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5965793308414167 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will this question resolve in the negative?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.511968486128592 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.566514920318976 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.433485079681024 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.524758501906089 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4686700827132858 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5498456740139924 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A triumph over the mite-y?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.456316006999041 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5185875503592942 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5062441055146603 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4669202887384792 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4624123345233308 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.585606358718066 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.42581600210756 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5094587442815098 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5777863572516888 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4791544657401447 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4799559757150396 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4898094259791468 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4827059182403672 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4457335155366791 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4790929692739053 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4364833810900447 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4982093081236041 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4294616272890746 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Does Proxima have Planets?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5142584645383785 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5022795646454874 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.452138027540423 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4806543020900303 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5458675635670536 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4145503458066408 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4064723516497118 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5561405572825544 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4486931342418303 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5702283537821025 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5144882792506777 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4982527617642652 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4800374399655399 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5252297110732431 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5315120525112176 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.584527844090311 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4528028438425628 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4555091417042526 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4838147954163185 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4881678834504309 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4982254153128845 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4551235452617769 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4814605804840361 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4619476468576636 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4435796845206811 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is Arnold alive?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4756157402817683 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4299595112157156 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.491291352793104 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5407856808915461 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4561556419980356 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.3980796015610943 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4685794271042943 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.404917688409201 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4301741011235622 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4301544049548149 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4171333040918544 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4827461567349989 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"How important are ""time crystals""?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4211035300176166 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4723623422542106 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.439900673761144 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5033166384972005 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4660265596239327 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.3957144589624117 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4143685745411551 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4857736169240829 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4757615529462613 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4871748445159548 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4548402383568349 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4620664846216463 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5705462115584915 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4172861227130105 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4660220084651227 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5151890558388278 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4385635667031652 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4465368831073016 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5378080363742023 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4652044161332298 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4488040936926546 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5027461945698158 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5592573316734958 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4437313652214673 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4368806713765836 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.478951289489271 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4256238852304221 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5597927183918725 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4966651270916189 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5400405886542887 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4161077082770538 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5495965407377268 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5704873367767975 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5465093813723565 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4814530656935909 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4611757122672545 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4177445593926608 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4444152563675976 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.46439590161356 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5439890174823887 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4829812660923468 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4676905103782708 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4080190835807109 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4966485458318991 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4165856809087027 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4426948856897889 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4836149121200181 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.472657852357149 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.434284900536862 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4548699557237509 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5146675282446962 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5415155820157884 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4682280792126641 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4486729533188326 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4487975380309407 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5016795252430896 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4140036650236584 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5475562316469322 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.429865219554543 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Giant robot battle: is it on?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5781170740445882 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.46860719982191 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4444939565747047 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.55219964945441 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4531215015093501 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5013720459569435 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5631679781873085 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5580328976641427 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4540168523003402 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4293040895475328 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5855501495195767 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5090248423822158 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4250105382271782 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4568380988814529 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4594711262357023 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5328509693721382 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4409835119089732 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4866700633508425 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5647714770382417 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4802302480586362 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4689241904560137 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4272919041356534 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5529961281772744 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.539147638645284 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4613534282400705 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4052475497376797 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4721559459014352 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4231153307448669 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4521374246472047 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4763408335589416 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4897937697576617 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4729432387792973 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.3919907709260581 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5956716226114835 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4758911016467592 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4129686047937269 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4683582910939209 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.3900063946103697 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4725179475243051 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4390106886448029 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4318161860487722 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4425263392063452 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5446168633516393 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,First human head transplant in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5165042830495504 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4271347535674245 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4489904896567041 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4618755359372777 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5641190590108267 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5033166384972005 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4718046386251618 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4552608428206962 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.469284115947603 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4803784285078684 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4435402263508829 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4638499291755544 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4423617132389232 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5450823459057066 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4738467599591324 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4504408158720633 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4526347555812363 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4443622010046313 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.60758308040941 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4935516894041415 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4840498073238407 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4430885559604217 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5240424788379228 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5545740868657795 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5092752077393881 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5473335121254188 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.6135868907193935 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4641187397888189 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4479504620724333 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will May Day protests turn violent?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5312663274897675 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.453303387142611 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5537234107302933 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4552454905734005 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4460568270015523 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5693836556759211 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5881372840298424 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5821755565343618 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4758212021955157 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4407307648334337 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4456338659754504 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5585352626243636 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4425777600930196 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4386239787918044 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5462181250199661 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5517015416851281 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5499384505093894 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4655955003671883 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5257192284868655 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4684620624605464 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4684094173247516 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4880798507902079 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4859184972201902 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4193480779904966 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4602702599880945 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4217967970780324 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4089623224795509 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.588442636531236 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5124470176122528 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4713310870677998 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5896046793077265 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5545868176739107 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4793493298933614 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.6073574209659414 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4473471170997215 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5695162168687034 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4613785613974465 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5691053288179855 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.485291469149081 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4944909380228445 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4514157889256863 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4755322893476298 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4621801120308911 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4644277337377413 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4591208614416205 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4980047405890764 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4842324901061669 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Airships by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4884500709138983 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4613485412410583 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5527451441816552 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4224435635564281 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4518025749042575 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4312955218392352 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is Westworld located on an island?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4771903980036623 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4211602665541984 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4820497320218924 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.408137023944203 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4392450452114752 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4341566944562364 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.539341446833711 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4112028090681762 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4350713704852296 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4366250195895447 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4834011244789054 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4624453833955707 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.510997209016211 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5462585501040855 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4465456153635168 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4409696121094741 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4492927223944947 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4249312098359117 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4553626766865657 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4250186160149699 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4722679963095691 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4487493230581395 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4536023759599534 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5263837815223127 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.581185794990581 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4735159440681297 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4488332515357915 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4353710466033068 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4797350520307097 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4861385721245506 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4410011863112746 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5722457417009319 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4636884708887322 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4649658501585287 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4856292530678675 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4722934651995042 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4906985961956784 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4815325336311614 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4763795265382063 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4945282457766145 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4626212185946291 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4270275973812664 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4884626159241117 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5123838787050878 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4744599520536665 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4809889017081363 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4557050176090392 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4701209677154672 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4219234938460303 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5178848943441963 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4867365652113349 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.571536514325381 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4400476281049776 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4713246635272431 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4741368489878573 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4442163842505045 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5609017487093262 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5356764115459047 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4536104070951087 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4708034827234746 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4338591587675929 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4293545314382272 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.449108039046376 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4751654180143854 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5431110928164331 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4652879497793198 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5713707653120248 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4819389283915294 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5119098986934252 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4438713420324966 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4956849068254442 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4415194229493848 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.466743912555026 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4591494876311857 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4708733232354786 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4376040410312252 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5912165747213285 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5194495263390633 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4362519909346873 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4433745779813879 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4722062747168847 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.3982684897940666 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4209649058495406 +zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4723787849442503 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4696041428397739 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4719830251550266 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4404588083340021 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4628886724336459 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4567629887007733 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5292875673992383 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.484337619517757 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4954059557368681 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4684120104531638 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4693380088997207 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4613509950860164 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5242387610329454 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",zhongjing-base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5274589082749287 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5131565795374624 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4885449122924257 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4671514602395027 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5322220492258114 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5163622205957707 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5383044384957175 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5260564070163611 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will this question resolve in the negative?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5002295329917985 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5247102567254851 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4752897432745148 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5426784059050778 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4788075537110332 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",zhongjing-base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5238350691801985 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A triumph over the mite-y?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4685950413168114 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,zhongjing-base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4771129761190117 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5138133639253802 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4701641882014445 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5275010193585721 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5327258007485882 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4501708506196965 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5297642896620145 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4714146542307476 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4839789065452144 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4793677858940644 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",zhongjing-base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4545540465116611 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4763961160031774 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.483811961060922 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4704521496311985 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4731751298854438 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.455902917802453 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Does Proxima have Planets?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5256004961552815 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4339978675154714 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5506196928871895 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4727282099403534 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4742492296296269 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.552449572561084 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4710881737781179 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4712527095430485 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5554878287616203 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4758494101865154 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5319495147866096 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5169031285862349 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4529006623605382 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",zhongjing-base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4732477795098874 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5245127161341185 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4764478254392982 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5257587752495541 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5301825947484144 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4782965958586684 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4670847848693466 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4551719382028932 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4703619886083468 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4778073565502957 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4574287418508383 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4530323249493413 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is Arnold alive?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4686010844515839 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4666959276332494 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4734120475361802 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4675012658137317 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5335125761716032 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.469331781664513 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4642705376371868 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",zhongjing-base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4678051656178584 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4874285860262487 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4731475769903669 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4711460392248739 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4608512671254411 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4943968547633456 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"How important are ""time crystals""?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4875904542705406 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4081912019436507 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",zhongjing-base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4716529019254554 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4625794616171337 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4631722743822866 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.473397579822027 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4720918994211087 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4603679318995185 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4733748322000939 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4743093376106285 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.472244847571465 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.446821948487787 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5322374522315549 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4659572790985049 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4683829765514187 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4423622435265077 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4696050886777927 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4824825654103523 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5285316790352907 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4734796527608449 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4647618271715407 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.444639571609261 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",zhongjing-base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5336561993101361 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.556180165355378 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",zhongjing-base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4792698973387717 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4468235238459518 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4666051617400831 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4691172013368999 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5487503696419895 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5526247880566353 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4552250888333096 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.469942659154753 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5534236589445506 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5536763593798028 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4666512066889424 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5179666606851983 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4736712969411057 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4844806476553923 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,zhongjing-base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4834038331511087 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,zhongjing-base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5247511758389172 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",zhongjing-base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4685507148435783 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5227306526467754 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4757254092822591 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4630967700213126 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,zhongjing-base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.470391465038923 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4771191777364023 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,zhongjing-base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4586759391402097 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4517898406650582 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4962492161605392 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4684947821694592 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4729826518520086 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.478741927470352 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4777336615269762 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5461669862440545 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",zhongjing-base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5424247458434295 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4584184385222219 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4602461746634383 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4675062759950857 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.471360057989849 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4848759711764379 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5354791088731268 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",zhongjing-base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4784281442063698 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Giant robot battle: is it on?,zhongjing-base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5320900602928051 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4551500806604154 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5490317833433094 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4588958019239043 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4565174292563921 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5281456846214456 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,zhongjing-base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5443027509394529 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5307698416206986 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4809804917441255 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4620008892728438 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5433463577713622 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4777558337860652 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",zhongjing-base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4658927004807081 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4792377124568657 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4533752000605896 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",zhongjing-base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5542959229578936 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4611172275936783 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4668324346294657 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",zhongjing-base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.449805228126399 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4518705411950753 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4829799571755368 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",zhongjing-base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5167359893350438 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5207900230845299 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4758558449568615 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5531359571321184 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4831562970911958 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4514460423807531 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4574888786157487 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",zhongjing-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4499310824845246 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4778336589058494 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5232668418438836 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4618422422920669 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",zhongjing-base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4934878997017822 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4498957670561072 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4838869895575611 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4513021672407543 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4850704220814168 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4694849701226553 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4629219471694111 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4641400840746478 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4736307717886855 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4935681909638494 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4269278137661456 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4586629942390313 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4623835257847481 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,First human head transplant in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.45373127897146 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5259934431976608 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5441200914485042 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,zhongjing-base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4625794616171337 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5207666955128515 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.440978911717551 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4574880718474409 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4561894057264848 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4692227880725694 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",zhongjing-base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.464183718340715 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4786926865918649 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,zhongjing-base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5414549755502335 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4428655292630247 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4579844048570611 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.495881834087783 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,zhongjing-base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4716160860097023 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5297476259394025 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4700965126404488 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4632253073179138 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4835873010153471 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5222923794617986 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5270679135426977 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4934930539299704 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",zhongjing-base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5472730900574434 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5239447177384702 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4784585444197957 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4705588233991482 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will May Day protests turn violent?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5296384254039637 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,zhongjing-base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4581123703049445 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?",zhongjing-base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4522122193154415 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,zhongjing-base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4916916260186955 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4747072227314041 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5334930928585171 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5312672850555955 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5345043899548514 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4724688246656675 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4771553488338089 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4782203485245991 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",zhongjing-base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.526568042272824 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4696864003093614 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4678117459837983 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5196175376981518 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5374550797162716 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5213554676644453 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4800269314631778 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4843888706517485 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4848983819352645 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4447207738529701 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4767492596174796 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4791698435905804 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,zhongjing-base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4711108973565277 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4731219714621936 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4697970042008698 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4818215204695731 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5260931496345425 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4689876719690782 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4762506920422487 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5286533014700694 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5242952563465606 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4710981906278175 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5344711853066998 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4574238668879452 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4764038573755075 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5389582004032866 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5194254731710644 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4889237165591142 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4672605940805416 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",zhongjing-base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4828677538783792 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4847398953315541 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4898005295593522 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4630360175158828 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4748369770552065 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4692119112496346 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4461224274597919 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Airships by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4683356567230142 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is Westworld located on an island?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.523989321878872 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4769671589972066 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",zhongjing-base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5235964231464583 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4734516040595622 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4531717800693164 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4752352419173475 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4842124464966965 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.479282068613699 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4526588806416454 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4716938975221728 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.448013906772265 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4785720030949485 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4755263811575636 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5117904313381316 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4583765115419176 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4638489298180819 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,zhongjing-base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4543471978887968 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5145087202651113 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.52337832956786 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4488313599149712 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4500468228014326 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4684492029334954 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.473479391219138 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4450099867989163 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4594556524423625 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.474757393495104 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4772348495418157 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4715519895565059 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",zhongjing-base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5507457726347157 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5345636594403216 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4823760413736689 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4836373715667149 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4689374901989535 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4556820573885089 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",zhongjing-base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4805429249128974 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4688210437952297 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5318961868784768 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,zhongjing-base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4673495540389134 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4765202382661003 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4602614094586604 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4555533376586603 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4888805777031775 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4856665141034181 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4823832264665372 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4778349792804355 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4647352905741405 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4849019546279353 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.462071435146939 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4577347495128115 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4648585324690327 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.473886932242973 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",zhongjing-base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4429035376625851 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4530324156131894 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4750854621025778 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5557343317292089 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,zhongjing-base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4612840567439885 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4862035590482051 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.480896614445396 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4837560029829494 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4567340942857399 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4774729252214201 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5258423776774543 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5444053408817167 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4630186619869886 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4596123025920409 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?",zhongjing-base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4631493605598542 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4543728268581865 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4760656304293078 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4860297060600098 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5228414918012726 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4506439904493419 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4684894277555894 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4827385824054554 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4765990752058801 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4531263958180509 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4607715106452671 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4953174600717277 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4689225679595578 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",zhongjing-base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4468166489401213 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4524435846820659 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",zhongjing-base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4802191138170135 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5280063212433579 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,zhongjing-base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4844899306870457 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,zhongjing-base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.457134350946307 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),zhongjing-base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4826701578911921 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4634813101532918 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4808013929683153 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4875290109342893 +zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",zhongjing-base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4727455458950328