Model_x,Release Date,model,MMLU,GSM8,Humanities,SocialSciences,STEM,Other,Longbench,Question,Model_y,Start Time,End Time,Acc,Right Possibility
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4739043301265581
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4700359482354282
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4737084826069815
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4697948886421643
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.476579651063676
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.542188010818772
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4630954051652275
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4804022021217043
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.45262190613078
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4664932460948971
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.476622561469344
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5472721832122122
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5327995453653117
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5211737699679475
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4681639329562954
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4866698262617676
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5316243949817687
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.540059936237441
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5245201921995707
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5253940286217479
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5262915173930185
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5260956698734418
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4739043301265581
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5240101488874744
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4895120281183672
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.562883655900095
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A triumph over the mite-y?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4799920676615862
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.487376420569925
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.516550243032689
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4741609700557303
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5303679814904834
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.555118597772656
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4507254249374796
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5269295181117121
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5106044701455439
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4665853119753618
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4850790584555578
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4887933001688424
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.503571367834087
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4622568093890677
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4846539442231228
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4715753961474812
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5110276231727737
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4569414514840747
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Does Proxima have Planets?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5395994314001551
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5138853177460049
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4748275015141196
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4949326059404455
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5278576181675716
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4676921356500302
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4746594111166658
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5179778581562622
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.47502081252106
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5356536708339716
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5328355571110923
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4680436192023591
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4935900947750924
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4684022361133754
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5205295339295137
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4925378675296392
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5190075334247718
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5072987515834347
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4880159942210341
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.485370030924538
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4703737275421012
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4787362373298253
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4754706090888494
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4657211686281557
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is Arnold alive?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.478014186347527
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4679925469650731
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.473358588549516
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5065355754623713
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5221374166599908
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4624766976992315
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4832277716354293
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4733525779389059
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4786143078756304
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4723512822940873
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4460442452803929
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4564046864617175
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4887052616470232
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.462899273470921
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4898387975800589
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4738002423293964
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4742874079899199
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4731029132656258
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4848113043940635
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4814371070487515
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4635781400408953
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4858194067588751
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4929582121070402
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4625701546562504
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4931976986266482
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.534099988388
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5017241310973851
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4739818553246543
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4763689698658717
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.472441749824753
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4621645957199716
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.524627941320052
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4814274678502942
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4562973713007351
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4814899443818492
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5147576171591737
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5628241158181306
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4682965582259318
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.484047968859678
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4801691383115769
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4891321467408432
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5392050703694546
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4722507649454868
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5160658960546076
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4485072340866985
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5433916210894789
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.555594424242604
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4746594111166658
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.523033331314614
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4621578123315139
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4818628001659286
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4811698060320355
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4959840221063235
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4870159067879391
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5335067539051028
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4819856195823331
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4725709175847604
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4659066446232477
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4814899443818492
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4713121448349174
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.484132314309124
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4795711275096457
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4920006825967688
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4616141434373593
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4822769317366156
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4640262295924112
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5365202132337255
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5148962526313572
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4771036009745178
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4634672815705351
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.496428632165913
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4749753890411215
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.459504478661196
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.563304083313051
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4719447840272402
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5199893401555817
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4695239070019084
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.454505737058499
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5280552159727597
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4652078331760932
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5170002472210019
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5069925510646076
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5319200001654032
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4776012084373805
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4646381909356514
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5365724975826895
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4964539601634382
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.453935344946468
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4777923981418603
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4741609700557303
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5212637626701747
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4790199594363076
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5144886962445457
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4707725778595751
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.473040428574474
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4617536896900763
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4810152913345026
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.509327276042872
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.520821285372743
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4850044983805899
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4760457493345232
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4718041385660728
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4449404309702873
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5304722070723292
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4845010910131578
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4771152368020681
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4893633071332232
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4816259247133703
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.477458898554164
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.472894815883963
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4591079319266547
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4752111795312098
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4575492506778387
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4711858074713826
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.476760941559434
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4744171456847579
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,First human head transplant in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.484535871729281
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4739723594833588
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5268970867343741
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5351272211138175
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4887237168693535
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4863670162746507
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4510245892009216
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4848113043940635
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4582128825130597
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4635264411709884
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4739043301265581
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4955158152965247
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4669267656472681
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4829258960105299
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4438278699861462
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.520821285372743
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4763955119175205
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4598853978027033
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4643463291660283
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4658068781394208
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5606863063694094
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.470754142118128
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.473731872171751
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4867455302962234
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5236853008544933
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5172887024308784
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4794448639179264
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5342972010273669
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5274398141555239
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.483096024233429
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4740936698049591
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.506756345491646
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4690319381443727
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4508552391428461
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.486741812009182
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4480439735453849
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5161234400549264
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5256623623256916
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5081692076175995
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4789086271530703
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4804115605032022
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4810033005397743
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5219694853427536
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4718607506943222
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4805063397785948
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.531427047469635
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5253405888833342
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.517234548877195
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4674374574381832
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4874127320448445
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.475398669234753
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4574639246996282
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4930074489353924
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4790332813878014
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4812701940383121
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4658246007554297
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4599400637625591
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4676027047349328
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5281392493056778
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4655718070254902
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4906727239571281
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5209667186121986
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.535398489616134
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.463837848511956
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5301646660981982
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4657211686281557
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5396516609420151
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5318716211394506
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.484047968859678
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4982638958658963
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4764144340781467
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.476771949908666
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4791401299534481
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4788858034222825
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is Westworld located on an island?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4959184580096928
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Airships by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4931511133296422
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4805063397785948
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4843800842769844
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4828162004983434
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4929082770234801
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4875912010050452
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5376981067914857
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4700359482354282
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4552242416759419
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4887911159330939
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4795939181477384
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4599624478391604
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4759713368612029
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4695035504473839
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4716214407428223
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4480301011429283
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5253940286217479
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4427169713753014
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4737894802949193
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4927012484165652
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4796031623338354
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5288141925286174
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.476946676778904
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5203101792962498
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4914837896023165
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4661459088596374
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4597646070902746
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.496212193675234
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4669357405318718
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.472441749824753
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4602044211675926
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4755833463242724
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.517234548877195
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5533673727996529
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4617863770668844
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5016666604938546
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4554753958305689
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4737084826069815
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4692761919323049
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4711206144147625
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.511558633972037
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4768207500789405
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4784306609348945
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4870470446867473
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4838186023913293
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4850471950941936
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4656505218016563
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4805063397785948
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4662675343975297
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4913801644535004
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4756685841594802
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4966443456847925
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.496212193675234
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4906727239571281
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4772883667393608
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4825870824792798
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4911356806470981
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4562192768125753
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5074844708517818
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4688485939872805
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4911980924880186
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4916115254115016
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4887839331608624
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4805293314379139
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4701093491498115
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5319180090964849
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5275582501752469
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4730799491081979
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4814274678502942
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4629393815588549
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4735346909187487
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4790332813878014
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5190879411960951
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4575851747563527
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4807063829596069
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4906260984783392
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4761843636377033
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4779422540835182
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.443034483354064
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.483701428668266
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4683220570175304
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4629393815588549
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4510914696188157
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.477633983350733
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4606081208885133
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.554576212907574
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4715718480726298
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4779055543010758
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4902356165739839
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4748534488631913
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4650570548417856
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4787650413540569
Baichuan2-13B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-13B-Base,58.1,52.7,51.54,66.2,47.89,65.24,62.55,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Baichuan2-13B-Base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4943184263741699
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5083674195934156
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5420060160693255
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5103078176886584
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4545404725968239
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.555328055262369
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5594193784340039
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4814899443818492
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4598283238030207
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4800106598444182
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.504608164450626
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5776279652871574
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.519098983103371
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.447367090410583
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4765796510636759
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.474598159261804
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.484257173797978
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5106366928667768
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.539327463551228
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4934214322767656
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4913801644535004
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5445740884781963
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4554259115218037
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5079993174032311
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5603109789415781
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5710087542468825
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A triumph over the mite-y?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5494828852152743
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4772883667393608
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4895303263788473
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5299640517645718
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5732969990490727
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.3823067245060999
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4425623670886925
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5793079232403268
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5774953651858118
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5279039375244551
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5493137680864774
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5645724408223822
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5255518342200467
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5674350102545368
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4878811618465122
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.592858793487971
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4112375715239994
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Does Proxima have Planets?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5109872419775099
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5532326077454249
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5092582009614421
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5296680783053302
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.423205144647473
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5456738465591124
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4584295167832
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5265237508651331
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5364648243717562
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5657927480252788
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.447217260617186
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5211141965777175
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4752269126650376
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5121927042988743
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4689519161340501
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5085098164814612
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5068023013733518
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4758570539052239
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5296725875035011
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4354202198754547
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5371407641822042
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5299043861496653
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is Arnold alive?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4804022021217043
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4086570519396779
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5277492350545132
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5121188381534878
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4579884124962547
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5565485977267541
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4358395523837514
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4130325110862393
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.486210394332113
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.448695006705697
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5101508893146327
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4911903391077941
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5610966726928057
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5574376329113074
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5533673727996529
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4127040652403217
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5191294142919036
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4906114322816009
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5471963510585154
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5518388359186125
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4826157057662545
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4384579666282193
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5364316714836945
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.4921266351073405
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4277109966749883
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4655718070254902
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5444681846811213
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5293778879892553
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5894233184900834
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.535339208135645
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4619783052838299
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5465889332274663
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.3769631543638634
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.6039776512029501
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.475071602196827
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4242911080825195
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4845843266089863
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5623129341416144
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5356536708339716
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5568953648550379
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5484163238465528
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4503735724168604
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5925886218774816
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.6186901934831985
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4597646070902746
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4828393609177743
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4503437588242351
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4342669688541659
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5684704335355422
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.432994099667355
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5675457101845918
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5383858565626407
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4337256058045607
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5290933131488005
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4728159476133806
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5129003621695283
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4621578123315139
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,1.0,0.5490223356754607
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4483712023560328
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5960852265890809
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5350302349609753
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4700359482354282
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4351499618330398
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5667631011305079
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4664683160676598
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4895303263788473
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.426629713729046
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5155885077113841
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5156199157230156
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.6372343109050465
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4555318153188787
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5252079675779868
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4076154549651647
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4356113149500173
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.424189090671801
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.452524404873952
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.452524404873952
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.513419595165274
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.50763299474575
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.6112292534208243
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4499172547922691
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5880553797799671
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.474233372005226
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4655718070254902
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4738230823609346
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5309680618556273
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4499869736530281
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5065355754623713
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.492064158537681
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4320470040958755
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4804022021217043
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4688522671949332
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5612296060632884
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5470303711575484
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5790850112937279
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4898491106853672
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5062108606511191
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4159633661438761
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5268198708474517
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4826157057662545
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.552438044874211
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5232505463373724
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.6140466814531971
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4807787077893918
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4325195068976654
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4856785949313333
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.460672536448772
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5535571898360083
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4689839744498218
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5384231222838993
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4675713583086304
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.598687660112452
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5779899869453264
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,First human head transplant in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5495876999729056
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4495327791097802
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5574376329113074
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5628646751981532
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4906987475507857
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5520495600792843
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5838167638971014
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5217053888096504
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4763757522285525
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4499172547922691
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5171606390822256
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.461016779312316
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5347266090414073
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5453297388885201
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.510867853259157
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5057140369420544
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5088879525646431
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5683548976140322
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5348272321212596
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5094775376641013
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5340381803161751
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5411490824137458
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5366314963869099
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5719606519009518
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4582151273469095
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4264631330069377
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5442191471144682
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4206757478512505
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.3992072210188327
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4687906266262437
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5085098164814612
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4616141434373593
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4861146822539951
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.6062687205456873
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4741609700557302
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4883741888213494
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5100996361784311
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5112340641020214
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5286766288371745
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5803628345284928
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4598183813435363
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5262915173930184
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5500433048197352
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4408855041692474
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.523239058440566
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5332840382511314
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4914837896023165
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4504123000270943
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4917020067690149
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5070917229765198
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5136952037234115
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5876783187236132
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5121927042988743
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.546593395966079
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4785845384732758
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5314544701312309
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4655905812913753
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.6120981616607826
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5595490483841767
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5199893401555817
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5705533474011203
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is Westworld located on an island?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.3953292968836966
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5109272215754752
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5099489354325856
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6164663248924738
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.519098983103371
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5837114622406198
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5203968376661645
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5782241468831419
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5419181826570103
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4851291471708371
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5207135268607098
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Airships by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5586862100938726
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4689519161340501
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5390293491238641
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4555318153188787
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4927012484165652
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.546593395966079
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4273471694017483
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5790850112937279
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.539599431400155
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5546353474700472
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4076154549651647
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5067110063555247
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4041567558181195
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.569608684825214
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4760184150288955
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4754296423515171
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4291232552792095
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4271281444412774
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4760662092380453
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5309680618556273
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4701093491498115
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5522476005411522
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.403857761433657
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5069439979482607
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5763667067017789
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5097548596169542
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.6406716634049279
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4570030115462959
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5517830244363874
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4289912457531176
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4361789074585951
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5369867219843609
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4919035417783534
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4875026035157896
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5277492350545132
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5573011034403839
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5633519492753045
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5322133826606285
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5714500517154213
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5720341868926501
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.562955252333047
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5052354107481527
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.6197564354896381
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5210826448978734
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.589920409262554
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5510914736289488
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5593219285478055
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5080638168854459
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4732398804219287
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5614425755309471
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4821504455938653
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.576291633743848
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5214154615267241
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5790688823945704
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5449235741535944
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4802734026394578
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5324745459044733
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,0.0,0.4505751545983155
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5471567261786069
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4932889936444753
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4798766476342337
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.49337787068122
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5066662716330296
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5259506866640473
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.570177863610886
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5332840382511314
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5559592742830429
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5391757357635238
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4887659358979786
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5463489659229674
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4844114922886159
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5374882014050824
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5668246936489909
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5758000536158003
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.6109547967961761
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5621765008857981
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4249890741470983
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5356536708339716
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4914901835185387
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4603109479889455
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4863979147981726
Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2023-06-24,Baichuan2-13B-Chat,52.1,55.0,50.71,65.19,47.13,65.01,,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Baichuan2-13B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5585536347077283
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4836124290590847
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4646559959253018
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4522986264900312
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4822297099767683
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4597646070902746
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5274951708257061
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4707650911403196
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4740493133359527
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4675713583086304
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4674374574381832
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.485718171714586
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5169426634623426
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.530084099260317
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5225375009092752
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4557341741426587
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4752727138455847
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5247730873349624
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5234203489363239
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5296725875035011
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5227116332606392
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5087710299733246
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5332489581468334
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4667510418531665
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5347266090414073
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4843800842769844
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5132419358644674
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A triumph over the mite-y?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4661535361057435
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4817432797909529
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.507575177910776
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4652594931699358
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5335628986042535
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5493438172739535
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.451938117555257
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5183403916638715
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4695035504473839
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4739366883173527
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4819897773075497
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4671526400705771
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4754706090888494
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4797408274031225
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4814899443818492
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4558673600531633
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4729992651345235
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Does Proxima have Planets?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5504672208902198
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4680436192023591
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.527122670863023
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.475071602196827
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4711858074713826
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5347266090414073
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4570030115462959
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4628592358177957
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5413102288236212
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4633014081802359
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5285403709822651
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5201233523657662
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4661807482804477
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4643463291660283
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.525766627994774
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4823082737874536
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.525766627994774
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4751789816433237
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5312093733737562
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.469435519655474
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4709066868511995
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4811410263123732
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4722507649454868
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4632003037483266
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4741609700557303
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is Arnold alive?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.446767392254575
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4824633365032592
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4695807612256146
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4759898511125256
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5183403916638715
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4734762491348668
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4691115492503987
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4652877183159261
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4727542879102602
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4471676496673583
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4678358878488383
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4604786559722175
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4598283238030207
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4809615898743669
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4807787077893918
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4848531208913145
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4837455670697003
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4689519161340501
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4765640914876553
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4737084826069815
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4726301263744449
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.474598159261804
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4752727138455847
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4832038780879517
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4534066040339209
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5312093733737562
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4602828584746941
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4843800842769844
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4762084564986188
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4570950231192887
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4772883667393608
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5383858565626407
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4759898511125256
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4831996042202062
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4596990675494852
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5282716991859553
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5505877399096356
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4918745203806116
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4701846685963043
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4678358878488383
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.453622069436318
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.543369005270649
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5347405068300641
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4661807482804477
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.459031761295169
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5431093312097648
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5313723451537814
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4682965582259318
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4707650911403196
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.515033061705309
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4531891331841613
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4798766476342337
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5330097668720997
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4760184150288955
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5498339973124778
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4592740976170943
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4575492506778387
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4434251301026893
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4912672636609999
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4404548596782933
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4709066868511995
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.475825315488025
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4646559959253018
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4701846685963043
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4752269126650376
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4559158721443514
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.525401840738196
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5161234400549264
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4516082614026887
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4616141434373593
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4815751667586671
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4652877183159261
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4796031623338354
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5350396613772689
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.476579651063676
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5401146021972967
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4687306497230722
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5366314963869099
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4558673600531633
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4469042386221445
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5413560783874318
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.514384518751706
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5347405068300641
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4710469191024299
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.475825315488025
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5339612341135138
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4588561311619054
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4717283008140447
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4540028573936196
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.541827482377437
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4678358878488383
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4545140960090326
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4521469144383725
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5188589736876268
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4762315202536815
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4753867865169073
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5220307545548839
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5402353929097253
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.476771949908666
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4600246519018698
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4588561311619054
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4686276548462186
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4640262295924112
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4918040128854498
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5256185719206541
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4606603218203841
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4836124290590847
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4725407451648794
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4655718070254902
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4664683160676598
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4686276548462186
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.47502081252106
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4714596290177348
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4672600277213476
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4718607506943222
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4568642536974525
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5286282661978132
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4722507649454868
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5243346355857349
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,First human head transplant in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.475429642351517
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4443653999653639
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.49236700525425
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4737084826069815
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4791787146272571
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4612429526511947
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4667510418531665
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4731201107136553
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.469336773380858
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4655718070254902
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.47502081252106
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5484163238465527
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4529696288424517
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4672600277213476
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4883741888213494
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4826909021800813
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.540631852012456
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4751789816433237
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4749676409408754
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.484132314309124
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.527369873625555
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5347266090414073
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4911120474353568
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5183965998246414
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5319038575347713
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4847375674250531
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4640262295924112
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5090080342137535
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4813171135277395
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4738230823609346
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.471991966631776
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4669902331279003
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5320074530349269
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5399148845555657
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5243709164772914
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4829126397463384
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4847375674250531
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4600851154444342
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5102549719487298
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.477782335363118
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.475825315488025
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5253405888833342
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5418598303479447
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5163957100183888
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.464601510383866
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4805293314379139
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4717283008140447
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4832038780879517
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4758570539052239
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4756653644142651
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4638640184840629
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4695035504473839
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4541907187518152
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4771152368020681
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5241429460947761
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4608645278628804
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4762315202536815
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.526641411450484
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5327399722786523
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4626863244461435
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5262915173930185
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4553347998594796
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.523053323221096
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4752269126650376
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5395994314001551
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4846202378829159
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4643463291660283
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Airships by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4637003404801486
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.464660791864355
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is Westworld located on an island?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5270007348654764
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4621578123315139
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.474598159261804
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4520706970743689
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5384231222838993
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.484132314309124
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.468604234301244
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.472877329136977
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4756290835227086
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4830573365376573
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4789598006798858
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4591819500678424
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.459031761295169
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4916325804065845
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4738230823609346
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4630305549679923
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5344281929745098
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4508976860033804
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4749676409408754
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4596836758896683
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4600851154444342
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4657679224450345
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5270007348654764
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.523239058440566
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4571605055313318
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4585144844165497
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4672600277213476
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4851895190457661
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4837455670697003
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4494122600903644
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4697340172317585
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4818261916061694
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4748671951524337
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5508440621842428
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5298153314036957
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4483332315241188
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4504123000270943
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4420097104676631
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.449666019712998
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4710469191024299
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4793221453477271
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5144280231924383
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4559158721443514
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4763955119175205
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4706221120107446
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4494122600903644
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4818261916061694
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.476771949908666
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4760184150288955
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4927541304885564
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4826157057662545
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4588561311619054
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.459438921313363
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4655718070254902
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4488970140124912
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4916325804065845
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.466681890422602
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5454859039909674
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4649697650390246
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4911120474353568
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.477782335363118
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.475825315488025
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4691115492503987
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4696634757892163
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5236242477714474
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5309680618556273
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4758570539052239
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4692695513285567
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4549281734097052
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.476946676778904
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4732398804219287
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4511868979336244
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5367996962516735
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.476760941559434
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4921881357207956
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4577282665613447
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4799103187721903
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4681283788605493
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4828393609177743
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4575492506778387
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4677866173393716
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.476760941559434
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4652733909585926
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4916325804065845
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.532781192140237
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4749676409408754
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4607110849715025
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4638314008682437
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4911120474353568
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4573687158467061
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4841566349442653
Baichuan2-7B-Base,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Base,54.0,24.4,46.87,58.73,42.63,58.9,16.32,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Baichuan2-7B-Base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4902924821408063
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5423675129997332
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5309680618556273
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5100488979399806
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5348989132062605
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5177702900232317
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4522418469881156
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4643463291660283
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5170873602536615
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.5481594141621928
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5430585485159253
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.527621619327044
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4552242416759419
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4687906266262437
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4643463291660283
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5144886962445457
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5090487856690837
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4846202378829158
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.484230852871738
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4805293314379139
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.517234548877195
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.3824587063219272
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5070917229765199
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.49290827702348
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4916837415586252
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5428394944686682
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4116513751852821
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A triumph over the mite-y?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5322133826606285
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5271471902113894
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4632565414234447
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5169339726506148
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4532618480153861
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.529037057737934
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,1.0,0.5132419358644674
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4830660273493852
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.523420348936324
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5669040501955986
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.556354895108716
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5127263749387547
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5571265121601465
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5520495600792843
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5561751368294078
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5264653090812512
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5369694450320077
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5144886962445457
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Does Proxima have Planets?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.444671944737631
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5406080351800289
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5521655020050666
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4828393609177743
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5344464091010395
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5223799175501296
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,0.0,0.4778028794296212
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5237915435013812
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4916325804065844
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.471295963489202
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5149209415444422
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5554702146947673
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.439487259876084
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5612296060632884
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4174297935376853
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5462346549875677
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5304265753544222
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.585634137379071
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5337324656024702
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5392889150284975
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5180102226924502
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4925155291482181
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.508967648124217
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5606246326667835
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is Arnold alive?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4846986569306182
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5132419358644674
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4534066040339209
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.50812936486469
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5185100556181508
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5206778546522728
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5579946831703796
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5650924017786845
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5183403916638715
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5212637626701747
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5767610295844771
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4951692324437752
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.555328055262369
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4788858034222825
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5641604476162486
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5691198014748678
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5109272215754752
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5555691463066826
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5299043861496653
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5383495804105365
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5716679966550652
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5080638168854459
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5356536708339716
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5220307545548839
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5087710299733247
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5303365242107836
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5781219382451123
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4816034001753587
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.52497918747894
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5525871272227856
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5283785592571777
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4325649897454632
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5078733648926594
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5803777601039839
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5248210183566763
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5591279800317924
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5460232035558019
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5195022960916296
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4461938577720225
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5267601195780712
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,0.0,0.49134285659018
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5095226579074725
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4786226656228607
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5552004346619533
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.453157900581156
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5348272321212596
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5483334482626805
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4373932416523995
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5511029859875087
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,0.0,0.486580404834726
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.6093175418435606
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5376643644100025
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5810956417872526
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4854056067100542
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5317034417740683
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.604497977717112
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5442169133020403
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5393918791114868
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5755050334651687
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.4793221453477272
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4257237897751055
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.51058043091515
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5068488866703578
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5488131020663757
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5389383359229475
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.546377930563682
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5094775376641013
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5111092824828375
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4787362373298253
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,1.0,0.5176138537308502
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4584295167832001
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4546702611114799
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4438248631705922
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5384231222838993
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5369694450320077
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5257835608059445
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4920006825967688
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5672974756343347
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5465889332274663
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4802734026394578
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5127360978978377
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5266414114504839
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4714596290177348
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5627115024538233
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5397171415253059
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5092155461261434
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4836124290590847
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5140807829033678
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5575586948471993
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5640478234841578
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5681997184824407
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4561264880533892
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5854989273022455
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5997670031401171
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5731553927910565
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.507575177910776
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4738230823609346
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5264653090812512
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5953037081113766
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5623129341416144
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5178495544061347
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.6048286963687791
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5157149035012311
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5617707438711501
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5474755951260479
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5709465968834664
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5399148845555657
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5090487856690837
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4793221453477272
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5317034417740683
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,First human head transplant in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5825702064623147
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5299043861496653
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5500433048197352
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5278780342278095
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5246132134830928
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5393274635512278
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5129003621695283
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5777943495827923
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,0.0,0.4828393609177743
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5675457101845918
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5470303711575484
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5436839598080008
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5582706068545278
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5438975774335936
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5747773570131928
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.552438044874211
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4619060256471057
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4671526400705771
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.619764700014137
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4666818904226021
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4407558026152072
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.573486257423439
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5884892648195589
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4271393129339742
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5469748073527511
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4915974297871608
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.546593395966079
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5258390299442697
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.559713649267193
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4546702611114799
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5449907634383158
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5549913716957745
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4534066040339209
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5405610786866369
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5372443185233167
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5364648243717562
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4580818173429897
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4927541304885564
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4723481024490319
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5449235741535944
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5492899454765517
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5644541926113568
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,1.0,0.5359737704075888
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5654970770692034
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5793404184094828
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5114265815625848
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5298906508501885
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4929082770234801
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5838167638971014
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5070417878929598
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5082979932309852
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5236242477714474
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.469336773380858
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5202591725968775
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4677866173393715
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.5067110063555247
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4325835984734368
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5205363853967651
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5607668383395752
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5722186788565526
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5991085697544697
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5691737846825168
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5054345685835784
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5531319780689512
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4937891393488809
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5244088565107554
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Airships by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5251328048475663
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5494828852152743
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5223731097438693
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5667631011305079
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5631529812258647
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5317034417740683
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5573382746262104
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is Westworld located on an island?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4765796510636759
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5670778436432129
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4943184263741699
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5327399722786524
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5860903115909772
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4945948051678682
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4687906266262437
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5234359085123448
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5071937481739118
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5732465878545073
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4935068585522257
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4372692209258502
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4729992651345236
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5149955016194101
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.527621619327044
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4916674381858807
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5324745459044733
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5889584890899068
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5098509418574412
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.569318150295772
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.541068447179393
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.4935900947750925
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5254556793170408
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4933337283669705
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5295222708875802
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5162544329302996
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5239337907619548
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5516667684758811
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4528432738213931
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5220850680147571
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4836124290590847
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5580701058739532
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5674164015265631
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5224567916386864
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5735368669930623
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5972006081563793
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5591144958307526
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5283785592571777
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5532795417377365
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5351592681286027
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.569318150295772
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5441326399468367
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5119737581985222
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.448695006705697
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5936355083786841
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5225445561021019
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4722507649454868
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5445246041694309
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5879641352293828
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5486263082112245
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5763218799074524
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5234054438313848
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5136020852018274
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4692695513285567
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.507575177910776
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5920193777176388
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.492647588833994
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5275582501752469
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5754114475417278
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5189482673127591
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4434939541897531
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5626067583476004
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5145943932899458
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5722186788565526
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5642717110501086
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5623129341416144
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5252948433296605
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5606405247740996
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5927458012532077
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5176917262125464
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5949857935227716
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5275582501752469
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.6059682048734351
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5157842271984716
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5121927042988743
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.604497977717112
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5059877376896297
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.548061882444743
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.532781192140237
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5461043420593263
Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2023-08-24,Baichuan2-7B-Chat,52.9,32.0,46.44,58.82,41.93,59.22,32.22,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Baichuan2-7B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5786820142714918
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4888758498306281
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4995333994915579
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4730148148369072
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4695427408837849
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4859017237387147
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5067467741983211
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4867912322715866
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4750526278876097
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4880163991772141
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4770825407351848
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.468295571491975
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5143542028784855
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5079709195344946
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5098956209289582
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4733090401082612
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4735756681036372
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5080162924449376
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5235777018974949
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5134696858876662
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5108719195021785
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5075001375316934
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4840331482661846
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5159668517338154
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5099560114032908
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4944112770343867
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5087988684194079
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A triumph over the mite-y?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4823782033347817
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.497378166690647
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5095221836557414
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4788182255941597
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5082200119289252
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5250944234634077
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4591990591134716
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5162982848161068
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4886225151867349
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5006412636828721
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5085408324073143
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4784821788555481
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5066147905723406
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5132271130847863
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4981976171195333
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4659710041704116
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4888771613197964
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Does Proxima have Planets?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5199320736543913
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4615318657197768
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5179908340773391
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4762362617544886
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4859926646222878
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5219311995812593
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4643767712387182
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4742770743687788
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5311632760205486
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4930254768385833
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5177573201272181
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5071678281310541
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4932370749193221
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4930236921332847
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5075685486377881
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4929623085929404
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4819790611122688
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5164699564115968
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4696900312497905
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4819106124904642
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4784362025889819
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4931476988424736
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4831272322849445
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4683054737442922
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4892678859555742
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is Arnold alive?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4826706259532417
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4920936785670888
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4582049451978544
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.500785035021411
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5223571206274764
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4802102840543276
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4594183288317556
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4736424737580426
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4652042342755557
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4732275067820263
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4998751972210498
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4817724547274115
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4800505005319923
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5197231030705916
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4668323818626209
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5065253570511064
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4977244072075119
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4888441276031242
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.514903681087892
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5050736859628698
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4770307517759403
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.516813948824397
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.49503172173663
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4537278662065897
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4793362602820359
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5007376323345502
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.503916679332409
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4706268997254118
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.465410463990048
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5028113398960575
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5094698815356262
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5249747556599271
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4863566131272882
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4960200903801662
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4683503352392647
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5153924428847958
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5338198292212948
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4630347637332588
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5096136554996303
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4827505571775647
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4827880302857598
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5308493996944852
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4765967229197978
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5226641266429883
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4820396465410735
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5190151070658983
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5311052804996972
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4830391771087955
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4845951846996615
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4857825650092177
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4766616004631759
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5049958830116809
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4911634493994256
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4835115329792732
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5276362989365238
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4871158953613493
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4832813157499444
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4791831168217281
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5006582070250222
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4654783238058265
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4686457712353528
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5224633775261122
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4741549857692304
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5049350909302758
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4757899759512008
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4711839691088966
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5212289097905989
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5075534874799275
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4690377531411062
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4730416705517888
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4775931561286246
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4733600728327923
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5066172353360633
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5356696589783756
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4820213875452871
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5223246505767096
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4691764530232543
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5254974744160068
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4640390576014095
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4713694393821295
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4975314345004149
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5089156502757364
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5048190384811051
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.50964371220511
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.488012367344294
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.542927025927045
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4842222199891384
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5105130477646433
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5004485123556623
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4631471999836573
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5400566030493974
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4864000405830627
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.488532774263225
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5167775647490973
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4978748091385222
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4926898455989513
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4655603705081274
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5154249650807918
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5406594384229151
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4925951065040412
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5083591290841282
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4774294472857066
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5015966272155208
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4902399797680676
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5074608341478302
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.515282521442987
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.456253253055167
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5116198167509545
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4726192412088325
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4626682789237679
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4916248883732809
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4888813451818296
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4869548962400883
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4945311498037753
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5087161013640062
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4632037660934952
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.497765343022991
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4657145956787794
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,First human head transplant in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4817521198177045
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5079487028535911
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4833858770700076
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5042284183522532
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5185802011771834
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4888441276031242
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4958294008626018
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4777875351145406
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4921127151665521
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4849965830338674
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5011204153723644
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4670575793551699
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4833416422118293
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5352829432651711
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4623157164597871
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4914149119462568
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4902515707481493
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4953668419466041
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5268796543172233
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4978351866608465
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4783139362270842
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4926118807958429
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5194285227637586
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5036031956873706
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5104736160939449
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5141852228970057
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.524130948636369
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4906813331613665
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5077773316523028
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5079692575823185
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4935867702959101
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4738261940575071
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4773140123482984
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4881707638672417
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5164593480463711
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5452551838555694
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.520711066083356
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4914171177050281
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5140408849197838
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5011991640392948
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4844930444085504
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5140605131990501
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4734317340895372
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5005664416177249
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5098407989806799
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5215692401058707
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5076229743009542
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5236989181797693
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4975805651737148
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4864305642357868
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5009285016967588
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5268690540409361
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4787428998861598
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4806300366585534
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4847997014770953
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4848090037085678
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5050275805980113
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.482329765957448
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4828763076892176
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5191990430991245
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5076678147049329
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4738957921222905
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5105397510301009
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4593671433036201
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.50990030359512
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5169865187040735
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5187549354655884
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5219596857461115
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is Westworld located on an island?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4818539178040167
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4770182223344346
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4616098800015465
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.502364934876256
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5072756533085179
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5216789524765648
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4879500677884119
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5266089831655663
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4779954902597894
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4786189569590168
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Airships by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.494889895681719
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4955333496339725
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4864953885473747
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5019377697338119
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4899334865979556
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.499510292410029
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4674440735119125
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5045710406377389
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4698852223889321
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4780273098298119
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4945903596397737
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5001756095715272
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5077811348412671
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4764843854360823
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4744449032106729
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4769345276704674
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5073671012102068
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4928291584499668
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4685790296543509
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4683759546447173
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5023511532001973
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4868012827088342
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4977326187394313
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4755653750406615
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4871014986317263
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5029888711837762
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5045789025939356
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5260948211110921
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5273285392400441
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.491333821857028
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4824901770379365
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4623686874238177
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4774878887085025
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5033090001459718
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5144518407111819
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5109931288266578
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.481957165103034
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4964967844993895
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4859440507904582
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4840452739600165
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4907053692341323
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5267740363575921
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5129982609888684
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5039737356606538
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4901650947614281
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5057158374193165
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4936003421277417
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4836912088320042
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5000465980805885
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.473485209456218
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4708766473297933
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4703732763871017
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4903354933535357
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5338256597333018
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4994869273876312
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5185255734709705
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4851605691593238
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.520493018329568
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4687946781118036
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4929339675462221
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4985941037794573
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5257899848801133
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4834329404314339
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4797989995683975
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5018814994896881
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.485808815950925
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4872305086816954
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4981529174322056
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4728415521544949
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5080496455502114
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4719357382615161
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4992869537474878
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4932449131609063
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4823194090686211
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4851267975124083
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4907632381763152
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4860514605990894
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4917577088193196
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4772202324655442
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5025907425897669
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5469468923518657
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4997207519263668
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.491464394840199
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.501944587020286
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4777050328115501
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4632189916037292
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4976545670470084
Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2023-09-24,Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,53.06,9.0,73.1,75.0,34.8,44.0,23.83,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Colossal-LLaMA-2-7b-base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5082133264086766
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4504185834409328
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4535699548247541
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4668993122197242
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4570826120850095
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4579427489788568
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5299640517645718
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4623728597285439
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4663968828790292
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4519035616075426
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4672188078597629
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4337548973544311
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5356536708339716
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5371338809923021
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5309821534384196
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4674771767798117
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4771115245243029
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5344690490159498
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5382316801133598
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5169426634623426
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5752663260942905
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will this question resolve in the negative?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5016778460510608
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4551021049419694
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5448978950580305
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5460232035558019
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4667790528189297
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5363435572675299
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A triumph over the mite-y?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4781245726539726
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4670806566452604
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5321227377850712
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4622280636062066
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5393918791114867
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5448788923735801
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4609232263535155
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5303779693596933
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4772883667393608
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.469261275688577
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4530214613699562
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4723622038313108
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4758808031242865
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4908685953116473
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4677319847878949
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4708275625010804
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4652005840719878
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Does Proxima have Planets?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5316833792869443
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4630915398866742
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.555172154110976
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4588965808121425
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4706503493188012
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5452346297504286
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4555121503053242
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4620729940259066
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5391864866977332
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4794233926160762
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5149724808378467
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5391354721371195
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4817154742241559
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4677866173393716
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5256975024887458
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4576907042864875
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5470565873710203
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5353776779014914
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4709164015882733
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4660058315161055
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4694259472076499
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4694259472076499
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4637202590270146
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4637389859715296
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4747739116770609
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4552795306644381
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4641086604387777
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is Arnold alive?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4860036575196728
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4637003404801486
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5332840382511312
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4727344977449689
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4674374574381832
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4713233711628255
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4701128916977167
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4652078331760932
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4580198553825917
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4709201007360939
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"How important are ""time crystals""?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.475429642351517
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.464533348317876
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4637479355158698
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4706221120107446
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4552989518258284
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4631815196514022
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4722507649454868
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4663773483284821
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4918988571477974
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4653665540813141
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4709922067322029
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4711206144147625
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4748275015141196
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5379412348686904
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4564932816023219
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4726421913930899
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4495327791097802
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4619160115542768
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4594195994154323
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5113046058562062
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4673024477960629
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4611893397466772
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4641763204547244
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5415704832168
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.544524604169431
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4687197200885494
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4719447840272402
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4558804524485874
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4810517326872409
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5321054784819228
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4646340550729174
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5256185719206541
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4497668145812018
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5498339973124778
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5462590839587109
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4643463291660283
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5280769416297111
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4782745574701302
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4584295167832
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4583500962485686
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5129281522943221
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4525967827595168
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5410187171502927
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4806726183295567
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4421520929992307
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4909648390511204
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4572338438050537
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.45883127817829
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4605544202155375
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4782515234532793
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4729180965358579
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4528432738213931
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4823724538982876
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4538355569241225
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.514935794202099
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5148892136513235
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4638247876095485
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4587272197098586
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4724613570949558
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4607110849715025
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4660149232281877
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5308746470510134
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4729563541685959
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Giant robot battle: is it on?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5162280644135873
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4726151509791031
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4671101961141993
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.554296327899658
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4582606291202006
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.518284525775844
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5314897981449456
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5217632439513842
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4721527404591008
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4699487361427089
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5580701058739532
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5049998333399998
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4882693010632099
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4700359482354282
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4712058986116088
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.542719666917937
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4663968828790292
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4653334866465961
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4774090083819247
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5209800405636924
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.480392354181779
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.476333487542186
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5306268899112174
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5331147200206594
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4812341153166919
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4537653450124323
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5316477751844046
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4864286736126334
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4621935109268489
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4709066868511995
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4561431465695147
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4610616640770525
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4512786840598274
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.481763517049727
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4671206862835416
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4596551015998767
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4724037632375142
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4582128825130597
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4699025027973505
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4576287477789735
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4590031370509055
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.454109610512268
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,First human head transplant in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.444671944737631
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5400240724411787
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4409336530127447
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4525885221385715
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4559964896748816
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5696282850650551
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4706221120107446
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4839504697481332
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4528107659875099
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4535655608941991
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4538355569241225
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4651202660354774
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4679925469650731
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4769899488273872
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5305231209728702
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4485203631978095
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4835585613792335
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4788927088246592
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4657793891988296
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5395848802104882
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4649423158587493
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4463524265841614
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4667470928568915
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5345601877487016
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5477265922186916
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4573206061323628
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5384614186251481
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.522541101445836
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4769240354318516
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4781245726539726
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will May Day protests turn violent?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5306307397265139
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4574204533447984
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4796492579859749
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4390463945376995
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4712058986116088
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5348490650570528
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.530663226619142
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5391757357635238
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4589533428982563
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4735096759754236
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5396767512947095
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4606081208885133
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4591430265102393
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4682965582259318
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5212422665629017
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5254880920536782
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5133301737382323
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4794233926160762
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4547751025336838
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4724947558711949
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4541386980236153
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4763689698658717
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.472877329136977
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4695214030446601
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4730704818882879
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4422506526911386
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4671397706347295
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5463177635789853
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4606922134896484
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4800106598444182
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5419901153863456
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5183107731681871
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4655535908989605
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5275052441288051
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4597646070902746
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.472366391567632
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5307958838676234
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5386022729948445
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4591471513337766
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4745119079463218
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4945417015572688
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.520996049255844
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4571605055313318
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4479083386804886
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4679925469650731
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4858908434787584
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4850471950941936
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Airships by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.475071602196827
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.457280333082063
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4723709063332715
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4661459088596374
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4731029132656258
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4386227963998705
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is Westworld located on an island?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5209237337871366
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4618645997211641
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4438790907650621
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4619381837624896
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4739366883173527
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4362984672513709
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4705727684794961
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4448202612571158
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5406080351800289
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4447322480688984
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4528432738213931
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4950659496413497
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5451784563597355
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4732578663077293
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5310191758949991
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.46549273123493
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4643463291660283
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.46363217788749
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4678358878488383
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.454719584256449
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4576118696142073
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.452450208245175
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4608967924619145
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.556911647401456
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5425795466552016
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4545140960090326
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4413427663838085
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4618796740944075
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4534484626655839
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4441120632787854
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4596316258258277
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5409528278856613
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5013661168191642
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4717873208768358
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.446816527294382
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4989035105296648
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4577929903775464
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4557438260114803
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.443050262800579
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4643463291660283
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4741609700557303
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4783684893515201
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4674808383030057
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4481637967778348
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.469261275688577
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.470125918383966
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4554753958305689
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4601363337630909
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4602828584746941
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5458170569129932
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4614029080760303
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4694949473005436
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4782745574701302
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4692170636519218
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4776464896184505
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4576118696142073
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5404519337857652
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5366314963869099
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4610880187285845
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4652303379511224
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4581903434371769
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4635479338644428
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4503925727985737
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4603308986451325
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5393353938315386
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4329460634720208
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4817154742241559
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.466792076337327
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4623112074772434
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4493926344647596
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4640360138577162
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.467383068557084
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4198697091967225
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4633224841241813
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4517451926783533
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4525819539561658
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5290835984117267
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4698434099753519
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.491936183114554
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4739043301265581
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.467637897208072
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4735541143781439
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4632877893439173
HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2023-11-15,HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,33.04,9.3,32.58,34.94,28.29,36.66,19.33,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",HF_RWKV_v5-Eagle-7B,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.46471841897267
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5016605794279417
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5011473937288288
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5030062285631814
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4924789973587307
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5044858384278503
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5065715576116998
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4948084424808827
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.497317062566255
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4913405358193467
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5071815669825348
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5196996763432388
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5146795415068879
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5043221218688276
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5203952656266914
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4860091592287033
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4917770414940068
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5062083682368765
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5255735580573484
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4950444135951517
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4973087999375194
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4975885305314357
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5069660706015942
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4930339293984059
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5094355596046312
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4801603132771029
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4795058232961309
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A triumph over the mite-y?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4882156293582291
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5029883587205236
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5209349743284533
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4879036434810151
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5035145940763122
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,0.0,0.4982869659778878
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.473955778338861
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5033209789506032
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5124264301902322
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.508462493366891
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5113631988168612
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.495909645821349
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4930631871832809
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4942170541323617
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4972093325713378
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4962348175089195
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5032296644126159
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4941292989029784
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Does Proxima have Planets?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5060351783431263
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5014998214800255
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5010242196284649
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.490762572176883
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5114599330869345
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4991989124885004
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4867632301919545
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,0.0,0.4984555004073665
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4712774943003127
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.501882106480789
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5184942891707538
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4851834891724811
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4982831371747067
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4705150298741929
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.516307334402385
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.525155569304905
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4921458440282736
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5152270861967373
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4961304866766671
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4833686637456498
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.500252748713525
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4953299635551639
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5017032320741515
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4997237452896773
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4830784788250633
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is Arnold alive?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4992112225126344
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4943877852760115
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4880421950736609
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5064929323087491
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4866028992709245
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4832524535701378
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4829930475524287
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4860534365743244
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4825042234605901
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5042630669692675
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4862972314871713
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5043065544352872
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4711932580434337
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4858934191511507
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4818536306033874
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4989041803161578
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4818642373493109
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5103384491507159
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4963860347409711
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4987300667747807
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4963935637482446
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4953843430716775
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5021041667575319
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5167554325665182
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4990773108889615
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4912696111031443
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.493967443956051
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4816701308706551
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4899384856983778
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5125457402392123
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.48331886261815
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4939266926738415
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4793287656701299
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4975207800215835
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5026378706857731
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5065709524992114
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4868756120485328
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4764552015949992
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5035633151388431
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5262019165106941
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5054830370966203
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4882074637442732
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4900747324589544
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.507614411034209
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5020354788369386
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4993980583520438
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4892272730219996
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5178863169489427
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4859750380923471
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4896057710947534
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4976994535626402
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5050937520548197
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.510160156763531
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5114657527744984
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5016406646902523
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4764533127227358
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4989209640102319
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4831522427004578
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4983390496565683
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4812451082847293
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.490723296173269
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5086531897145581
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4819773622669615
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5006347167303605
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5003022992979598
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4979769595990578
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.494883719239407
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4852721366960849
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4971600106119258
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4863557669383987
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4918171687110546
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5027246499487187
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4835033962537406
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4911750013134875
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.486696986707033
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4863794613382762
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5020498324969448
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.486360151318822
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5146196246161936
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4854787952042021
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4950586151022941
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4773368893025418
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4978026862111256
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5127493302051966
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4940587075290986
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5005382368999982
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.497752603945459
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4930351516828988
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4984101545680224
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4844505020276691
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5191638765470716
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4929760705118886
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4836932176895966
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.488191548290763
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4939148739706854
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5150793205168553
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5095530491722966
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4984538844484833
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4994840485092623
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4871100403391716
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4862241063668548
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4893370528690537
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4920225186271605
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5224891987591639
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5069673053349507
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4809179110035765
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4884900200670665
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4985526000059851
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4973380189212105
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5061988191352156
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4721120982943379
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4956114574156871
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4917740935035093
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4967924979971954
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4912123161838549
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,First human head transplant in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4936531090379444
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.5
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4954651021072771
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4847272751038746
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5252228928514572
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5073453488749681
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4987300667747807
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.495519627348734
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4961245840327184
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4938339477631995
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4875736113503066
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4814093164673228
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4776034847021573
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4776923695910957
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5217330128575164
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.51644148853056
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4772327330200931
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5010749132093962
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4740730103223114
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5121701234559971
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4942332766900415
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4915117603871389
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4973619397357577
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5139644381676581
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5116182794938998
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5124236526688151
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4972350385755713
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5198755806144957
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4964673658482863
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4947606474380205
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5045817409286015
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5035456489828612
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5063898155814586
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5014998235120091
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4915316716379596
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5222011011754168
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5280225559304688
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4997413239544798
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4865219559603728
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5025203734059802
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4846335619842268
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4949399213250127
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4894980818590631
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5138454171167111
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5173833846623351
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5114551241866326
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4860792702775444
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5003023614685078
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5022264698268926
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4930668966104668
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4985751053987591
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4881261691153423
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4961506530433667
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4896875177280306
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4723466383360105
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4820245774960987
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5127583993504694
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4832950509496365
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.452039160692076
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5195809670063716
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5135190432510842
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4777228314168059
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4979881781484536
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.5018389466645625
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5107714903556864
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4836114913451294
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5232718241507741
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4832996024496157
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4883425612987043
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4874051278606791
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Airships by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5047113067665104
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is Westworld located on an island?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4931332155607791
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4888740064976443
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5059438477016489
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4975402362118959
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4921340753957585
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4812197220537853
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.51754497482651
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4888117296550252
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4845237639847891
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4901119351251891
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4821116331400765
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4997177261151301
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5031271125451587
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4658798927858801
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4937736902158053
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5049757479796543
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4425909600297772
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5194176737238729
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4826248261329929
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4845981612264838
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5041420037924267
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5004190569294438
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4980415910367409
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4873770769924343
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5012672318781763
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5069913695343751
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4812142720777215
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.488649732311068
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4997034499204092
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4807932536336671
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5034134310652223
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5064431845389351
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4963229020427049
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5041159718897764
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5028755537333454
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.49846401529565
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4712926295541317
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4971754197723372
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4897222258399376
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4922161293996587
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4935900311030461
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5075271288170162
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4902086279253838
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4948059218457609
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5028229555923982
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4891045115103031
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4970302721603409
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4900087817254226
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4810054476485225
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4909337382966352
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4894284202766299
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5034408882761129
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5061521839201012
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4799569908365528
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4889085121296584
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5008554402103614
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4873812138288555
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4846521843170617
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4963685255883745
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5030329480629747
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5031761447636727
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4808664817402085
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4909767435545326
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5045122841145573
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4809943273715481
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5118378673810249
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5256194153731961
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4907151844428262
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4858919337573044
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4840147804733528
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4664129725738896
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4896381225679756
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4947382661166536
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4976152447676982
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4835807393815879
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4886536910363735
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4867067996444674
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4919573544590125
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5012086551271198
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.495805686703713
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4769224514259743
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5077345304006576
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5016576795738766
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5091563257256239
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4967801257918245
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.518116494913812
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5016080390759953
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4780298750906797
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4860224210807942
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4944377000091711
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.479788555224239
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Llama-2-13b-hf,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4812176668864185
Llama-2-13b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-13b-hf,55.77,22.8,76.0,82.0,28.6,46.4,7.39,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Llama-2-13b-hf,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5201573893900326
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4767415692163141
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.47848053470527
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4841029468867398
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4751510431304699
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4845139501862918
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5149744835807568
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4760051980932315
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4818919416260019
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4646358402774934
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4756725921531085
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4763411760660995
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5253433664550917
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5523900539557909
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5147755194485633
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4743787110813812
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4851988391475714
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5247708918151726
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5179743080342454
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5212415299387985
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5496397746257033
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5092883716245651
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5289544577820888
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4710455422179112
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5305781031593628
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.476864801541329
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5417636820663922
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A triumph over the mite-y?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4893953913823008
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4840868917777879
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5413826085964197
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4748155851539418
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5296412402162536
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5240898567277459
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4778467618849231
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.520406944996965
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4840554978866955
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4824282737854272
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4798245741953794
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4836508087607136
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4810072675697635
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4833769501421374
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4756361722878134
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4661743065335855
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4757586379926404
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4505822789016067
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Does Proxima have Planets?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5206960927245055
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5115678015476717
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4793460152847169
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4794820676749405
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5137384047606162
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4751669421505597
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4688032940489475
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.516959517286702
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4804598959231854
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5218800219793875
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5405456690873018
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4696745668501565
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4873376287088511
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4728735893419489
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5215968196446459
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5173477688132105
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.480075026468847
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5232398500171002
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.466170186541641
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4681411138140152
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4765709185736181
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4711104747403838
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4800249957147265
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4810760579832619
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4732161996796012
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is Arnold alive?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4849883664789026
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4664581322148273
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4691791534598632
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5127142448976296
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4810025492245748
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4848903205288549
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4607340327986506
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4666762418842203
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4824456687356026
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4703589748696573
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4792511209725674
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4728506080922785
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4801166009955368
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4837204996646911
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4811762477649751
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4778000753903297
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4828902320646985
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4807383659054883
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4664498116188176
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4514774482500435
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4961714019582742
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4815798933963803
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4813634475611757
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4714228070471634
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5269341259705703
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4774522099720131
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4679890700905881
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4792913840623996
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.473809431858766
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4882441230253073
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5219826075156966
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4788922757512725
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.481359954249932
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4818961607721157
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5167408372694485
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5364196616345791
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4876759052545209
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4683552447913479
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4856193526372735
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4882382669352755
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5313483989223416
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5163168407546945
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4822418615768332
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4554481584784695
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5088961220953137
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5432708452740589
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4855533849040916
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5182742721008133
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4934803239013423
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.481079532789731
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4741663115514498
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5204856877526858
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4854900055312691
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5232211305330462
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4754043299754489
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4803250323826246
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4861313767189518
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.481264993190051
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4728238443268704
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4762324279501753
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4886459499564033
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4733875036278301
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.472422302543197
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4783433651036122
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4766846156802966
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5275087898284355
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5143693413206873
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4928556174676029
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4698220261671538
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4684977287470863
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4670968598483844
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5255948576533186
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4753449287437457
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.51559121285345
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4814510666381309
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5203123045988431
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4717011806327871
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4770231818077986
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5184284004965306
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5136834781014001
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5171051267959268
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4726317132688431
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4820233255474545
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5447306212153458
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4829598187256876
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4630383611164791
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4737452821302351
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4836010211171416
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5120644494359864
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4803117952273864
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4855664821647869
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5177100744050264
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4643059652028337
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4746035965932981
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4818970811325359
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5213897736140298
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4868846876095404
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5185234930875757
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4798784977360704
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4712824417790274
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4844416007447746
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4794530180576262
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4788951655597195
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4852191481822054
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4824227726386264
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4332758555044639
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5254899355896998
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4882208164910936
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4828551734930731
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4714308452168085
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4824420437240074
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4831807089079953
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4740385622545906
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4785627739327465
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,First human head transplant in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4762239167853121
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5209703026034608
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4670451131921416
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4529401049725188
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.537636229945494
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4688307670029926
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4838933623533979
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4778000753903297
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.469728476730967
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5026047690012471
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4814769219111027
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4774283561977528
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4730661791389918
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4814619046676768
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4756553991841357
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5169679975078381
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4791326386229164
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4808969826457581
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4702041102378308
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4807174733811278
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5298029218981526
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4765354688439107
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4578000596495152
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4825746381701954
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5253136321211075
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5163754483167253
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4891742568483632
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5561281223621661
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.521029870440392
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4851699737113484
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4687281255297347
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5225227622392231
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.480387150712271
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4743529230971659
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4842048527963299
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.487338078540304
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5271676046031611
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5271013266696158
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5302044661070913
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4743990390452324
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4836958486419196
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4811488692237012
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5399587575572917
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4818929092116886
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.481818823449451
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5215634380246152
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5245157297382119
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5187477547555994
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4811837063525892
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4726414921788382
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4810010123529238
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4782757424162366
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5011277817329716
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4705729788406168
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4785761172375295
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4753644848320837
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4762787295714087
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4657035972425993
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5339807193136318
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.473252641780946
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4659692555001362
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5240867612637656
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5197764669252556
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4794505485851881
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.526130650448135
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4880356518665945
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.479840869239257
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5260365595502416
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5275429832056623
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.483272379302
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4819105736596503
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Airships by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4792650262368521
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4798884305387002
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4875717870673611
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4726886384932909
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4747343049621684
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4794412146034643
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4726521961654896
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5246978088740623
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is Westworld located on an island?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5143310756414307
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.478878936253841
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4895363603274854
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4821552861692461
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4788803063335192
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4846569411569988
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4754702980785683
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4662517854861022
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4736960639535365
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4792537636580499
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4669642010088622
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5259176019250679
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4729430703588523
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.450667693544359
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4796827176398845
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5018519327906433
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4846033036161776
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5224408547407104
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4830684360016438
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5231633531156232
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4815608867148613
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4726424346758703
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4582448821766696
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4881498917607895
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4759421093615107
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4875006031971253
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4754061741395775
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4783189514960533
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5035098306619722
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5280424874349954
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4784700587479134
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4662496522006954
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.471076781380401
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4732717975064056
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4781917674134341
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4816337229422417
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.516321411521057
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4826799020495976
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4830082670904294
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4969108065381406
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4832566923946472
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4915497940346153
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4732899057636083
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4987607240535366
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4735154028203362
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4839105713106901
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4732505991585187
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4881018360807044
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4814508636472412
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4788693516573054
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4779843529000563
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4847601416179288
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.481256709311407
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4730278883984137
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.520759669511395
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4778740319626912
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4835288892177551
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4878368451089115
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.48213993340239
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4732364784997833
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4726177043218827
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5239230337334235
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5190108575206628
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4845087796217158
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4761226116549097
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4831297310633008
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.476555733172506
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4648325089085233
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4825191755649561
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.468110108428231
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5241681184266623
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4828603207887927
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4768721607761043
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4761238392916235
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4743070740328055
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4800480320291686
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4757767222124621
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4739590783897524
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4719047375219905
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4865657559582985
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4735581038673891
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.527754766262966
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4691892575363984
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4799033473801998
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4748473524759554
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4767525584227
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4703475386668693
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Llama-2-7b-hf,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4796488665884243
Llama-2-7b-hf,2023-07-18,Llama-2-7b-hf,46.87,14.4,70.2,65.0,38.4,42.2,15.29,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Llama-2-7b-hf,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4844536393612566
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.520480337921616
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4886383197811632
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4628017766981184
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4954956173567694
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5225445561021019
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4782745574701302
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5261199912451259
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5404519337857652
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.462654713217235
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4955753367436801
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5740696623141146
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4863979147981726
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5060603092623249
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4608645278628804
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5136578037753422
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5251185017547778
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4772883667393608
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5253405888833342
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4826659090652185
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5796723664454246
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4510245892009216
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4837719355864127
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5162280644135873
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5107741939995185
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.564289530993919
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4468040287682158
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5558879367212145
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4374719102851753
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.493548745122901
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4961832802421174
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5180644232036269
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4868451417938393
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4542567057971651
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4733263180802452
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.508981069861596
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5109272215754752
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5076917008615782
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5625634662503929
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5154589888394742
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5602934129062741
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5414931389463463
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5041321373285406
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4629061162019703
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5093156920477888
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.4968153296910178
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5271471902113894
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5408920680733453
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4967532923862721
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5062889764956471
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4629253150248136
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5320536298873835
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5382029095347629
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4198027482561548
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4424526762866112
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5069439979482607
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5058820815673682
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4252888696819377
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4464758500191454
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5092155461261434
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5231622182342255
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4965517788063458
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5064931414477742
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.54823660816288
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.503205084304795
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.524045608076175
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5027322132420815
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5070417878929598
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5667631011305079
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5295949952186921
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.555328055262369
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5121927042988743
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4862103943321131
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4955358329119728
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5295707140437738
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4785078749604463
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4921059191647895
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5063690822338524
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5320986517899182
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5550927285920998
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5440035103251184
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5656274976919963
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5227116332606392
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5215178015880435
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.525358933427554
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5152391810935798
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.477458898554164
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5135836132087468
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5282997422391009
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5236665124578139
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5151468791086855
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5825702064623147
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5023923262415956
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5257503933882128
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5199280882170755
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.496323595667371
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5182845257758442
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5394859512702193
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.522420851491873
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4778625833400092
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5267125097290858
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5070917229765199
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.471010146964234
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,0.0,0.479463614603235
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5317575824947361
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5453297388885201
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.479463614603235
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5152237194120827
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5056177411230129
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5030120117578207
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4840818143769872
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4842819103455581
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5437026286992648
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,0.0,0.4965986919230811
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5337324656024702
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5078940808352105
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4687906266262437
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5110479252663312
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5501901106699748
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4468505844660528
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5397929647207581
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,0.0,0.4951692324437752
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5312093733737563
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5825702064623147
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5044246632563198
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.6035234661764438
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.485441009944404
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5441027737584234
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5338985360125902
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4925378675296392
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5178495544061347
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5549716938190299
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4717283008140448
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.5161234400549263
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5120458614418767
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5441027737584234
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4655718070254902
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5213545231428923
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,0.0,0.4674877994643183
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5272952414133147
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4821504455938653
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5327626013523019
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5252593773834813
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4966443456847925
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,1.0,0.507352411166006
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4625701546562504
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4906987475507857
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5138853177460049
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.503731274016853
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5243709164772913
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5767091049125712
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5634556095716579
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5518133302331701
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5403532185111201
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5120944145533364
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5322133826606283
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.528320172117258
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.514281828285414
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5285261032551332
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4864897758865953
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4911120474353568
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4737809777103147
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5271840523866195
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5233474946163019
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4965986919230812
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.474641066572446
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5129003621695283
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4762084564986187
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5356536708339716
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.495391835549374
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5595748083859149
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5732936552664211
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4753893620790012
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5584789976861617
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5807576873115002
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4938778569970083
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5057800893208229
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5093156920477888
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4862239599054923
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5218610539716015
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5729225860817025
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.542996988453704
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4752948596205884
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5112340641020213
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5342320775549654
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5024752273043226
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.471549751266064
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5152391810935798
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5784824419729697
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5029585453527718
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4911251925304824
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5058136914711074
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4825941009719155
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5030863805520918
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5364417368816429
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.503571367834087
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5506073655352404
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5076136246612677
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.514281828285414
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5063287759061954
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.524627941320052
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.49337787068122
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4964539601634382
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5093156920477888
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5233164098038501
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5478530855616275
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5070917229765198
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.523239058440566
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5364520661355572
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4428734878398535
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5168712298201406
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5446000526357239
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4309280761987866
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.6042192955873859
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4629061162019704
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,0.0,0.4919361831145541
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5136329837253493
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5102725268946674
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5264176841104667
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.46462612530246
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5522281456863466
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5267125097290858
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5185100556181508
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4940122623103703
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5199893401555817
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4613300328458447
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5175983613920182
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5362996595198514
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5710293259306524
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4674374574381832
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5565927047198995
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5137328090110693
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5045870272703888
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5368354289035474
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,1.0,0.5222076018581396
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5042917400892997
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.522565306282406
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5265706902823604
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4958334297812715
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.4965753960185349
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4874503350720761
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5375016939898951
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5124973964842103
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.5019230674405052
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5112975118470058
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5152624325749469
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5133301737382324
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.529037057737934
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5469748073527511
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5270819034641421
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5341084341302113
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.516550243032689
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4687906266262437
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4969879882421792
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5818263428769723
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.525507701967344
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5115673521643301
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5241191968757134
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4777923981418603
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.505952099771186
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5447757583240581
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5439117353614964
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5241191968757134
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.485718171714586
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5347266090414073
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4633685036130901
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5031645147077625
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5345601877487016
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5074251966654628
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4679925469650731
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.5094925301671976
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5112066998311575
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5670778436432129
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5132127822002726
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5192212922106081
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4850344116240864
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4584295167832
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4800106598444182
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5187052778593532
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5468108668158387
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.5031249593105316
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5049749601931517
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4889885648662231
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5130860161412026
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.51979163372766
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5088748074695175
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5119025128376735
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5061346614676304
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5114265815625848
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5179778581562623
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5177440247048039
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5290677155401674
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4872639021021623
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5224065076016263
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5037036359648392
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4856154812482939
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.53542442016874
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5097075178591937
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4817599225930672
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5256916391192213
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4941523134244496
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5266103471436341
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5580225855229798
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5337324656024702
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4878072957011257
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5138853177460049
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5352674246587077
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5038167197578826
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4678358878488383
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5094775376641013
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.568273163711485
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5251045004963912
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5082865340146282
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5298557450702304
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5121927042988743
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5243709164772913
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.453157900581156
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5332840382511312
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.502499979166875
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4937503255004896
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.472441749824753
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4762084564986187
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5162105328632659
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5429560458668654
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4888907175171625
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5144190777705365
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5564953071045275
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5458428712336039
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5121335397101529
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4967105737739025
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4903393666618882
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5369694450320077
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5165229071953926
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5034013080769189
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.474641066572446
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5371111134171961
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5041321373285405
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5186249188559294
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4966216730325768
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5457432942028348
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4900510645674145
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.5
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-14B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5358859028766995
Qwen-14B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-14B-Chat,66.5,59.0,58.24,74.78,56.87,70.78,38.72,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-14B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5374298453437496
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5108091264608374
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4228662440885053
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4701211122371492
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4881911727425119
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4365147112059633
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5195977978782956
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4745301147165097
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5331267571140275
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4628017766981184
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4706221120107446
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5571811717609633
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5095682097661227
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5069439979482606
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4876058452933844
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4965986919230812
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5260276405166412
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5182400774069328
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4881678898578756
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4946526103062298
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.538983220687684
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.3971485828890163
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5575944618382844
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4424055381617156
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4598709080099453
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5120400612476412
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4895848401126353
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4599759275588213
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5078118642792044
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4787362373298253
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.520821285372743
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,1.0,0.51098724197751
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5293778879892553
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4196111775055337
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.50763299474575
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5441326399468367
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5049998333399998
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5106935562766864
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4757472028371508
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.452524404873952
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4887659358979786
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4722507649454868
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5083162584413747
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5178495544061347
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5046294973287933
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.528320172117258
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4950740510055932
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4748112572345075
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4626863244461435
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5091314046883527
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.3885239134957419
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4679339787112079
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4799103187721903
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5155229601603083
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5095226579074725
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5305740527923501
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4718607506943222
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4821504455938653
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5085461761502256
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4351499618330398
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4677866173393716
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5213545231428923
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4846202378829159
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4788858034222825
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4384852600832211
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5568953648550379
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4865503305565089
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4534110667725338
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4613674764030288
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5042015817724268
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4867872177997275
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4959017311262769
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5106935562766864
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5159739434178388
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4442624653114098
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.476771949908666
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4537409160412891
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5195977978782956
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4959678293477533
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4846202378829159
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4820221418437377
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5402353929097253
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4865804048347259
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4833395034305885
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5480964383924574
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4833395034305885
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4393858747465546
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4573728832732215
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4612845494879659
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5214921250395538
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4868451417938393
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5041492823410229
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.496575396018535
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4584295167832
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.477080293810606
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5320415918570665
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4892489691601153
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4751560997254584
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4262941793623823
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5566694559504617
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5371982233018815
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4877073956145278
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.441785672207454
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4651617052846462
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,0.0,0.4915974297871608
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5659402039708967
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.48020836627234
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4917020067690149
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5045870272703888
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5180916459245126
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.520092267316529
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4634797867662746
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4793505948221451
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5135713263873666
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4676921356500302
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5038460779869267
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4578467760411432
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5173090978199186
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.5121927042988743
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4900510645674145
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5040815419903072
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4816596083361285
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4681283788605493
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4780361219172949
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4965035534978907
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5160372777566905
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4909512143309162
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4607949296305453
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5270007348654764
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4612429526511947
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5342599573544301
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5542256384368649
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4962963640351607
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5441122008298163
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4831524477753544
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4917362897397492
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5305740527923501
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4819083540754874
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5114265815625848
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5290798992639061
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.489132146740843
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4925378675296392
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4518405858378072
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,0.0,0.4348955333124374
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5079993174032311
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4871822961082876
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4894752390692466
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4865804048347259
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5093739015216608
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5157842271984716
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5360817491331001
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4814371070487515
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5129840932120608
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4962687259831471
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5399148845555657
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4628592358177957
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4932889936444753
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5038460779869267
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.473880008754874
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5516287976439672
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4746594111166658
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4846986569306182
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4585144844165497
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5105247609307534
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4676129770992003
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5303365242107836
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5507950395226532
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.433210278120968
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4890727784245248
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.495391835549374
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4854637597546782
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4811410263123732
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.515952031140322
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5299640517645718
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5198308616884231
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5034964465021093
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.49134285659018
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5393918791114867
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4869310819650718
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4604786559722175
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4820221418437377
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5445740884781963
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4873444757749314
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4707650911403196
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4480146304938495
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4472865602110406
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5132127822002726
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5353440040746982
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5237915435013812
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4833395034305885
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4781559899127441
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5257745066835182
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4643463291660283
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4884326478356698
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4701846685963043
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.522044523142372
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5340381803161751
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5275311807982621
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5440035103251184
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.3822979037433656
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5698112454177338
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4351499618330398
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.514774023199931
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4712058986116088
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4740118798715027
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4851895190457661
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4944446730568404
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5272952414133147
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5468108668158387
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5044246632563198
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4863047962765885
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4478646063999881
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4896387891811504
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5043477165042322
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4758641835765005
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4337256058045607
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4887052616470232
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.474381428079346
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4892489691601153
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4796031623338354
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4631815196514022
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5156199157230156
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4647643857415851
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4928576287261293
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4932889936444753
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5097548596169542
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5496074272014263
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5236789564389379
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4909919657862464
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5240777478913371
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5109471553936615
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5068961144017796
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5500827452077309
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4801075928000566
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5228151956624909
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5543301009788975
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4708663709279531
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5119737581985222
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4683680937162681
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5127631842181078
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5239815849711045
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4834314827887663
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4888907175171625
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4886383197811632
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4665571822403945
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4810033005397743
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5087327363390002
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5394657552244545
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5123431707221312
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4871822961082876
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5048542164141795
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5109272215754752
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4570950231192887
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4645565880818754
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4864286736126334
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5139628491300514
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.546593395966079
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4488970140124912
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4323397838812547
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4304537760607709
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4855113037554542
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5162105328632659
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4582370641613827
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5284054004781404
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4875544384664094
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5141805932411249
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4463524265841614
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5094328429311656
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5033848612495294
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4378234991142019
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.485718171714586
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.496212193675234
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4463524265841614
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5185100556181508
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5298153314036957
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5519853695061505
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4685455298687691
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4834770928046074
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4196075148079189
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4851528809663266
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4559964896748816
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4626863244461435
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.442121087112907
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5133301737382324
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4497118854897243
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4684629743719473
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5205013198573784
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4401491751799382
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4858194067588751
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.496428632165913
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.504739194562381
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4863047962765885
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4727047585866852
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4676129770992003
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5121188381534878
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4621578123315139
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5654124132133329
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4779878057966442
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.518256720209047
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4901490581425588
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4711858074713826
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4643463291660283
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.486728781563524
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4953705026712068
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5144886962445457
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5501105367157175
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4785078749604463
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4965887468859946
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5373136755538566
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5690741887140993
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.43090470868475
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4904317902338773
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4906260984783391
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5217254425298697
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4574673788466955
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.508848633571015
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4702731951360483
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4549249675714144
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-1_8B,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4643463291660283
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-1_8B,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.49489813625671
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4637812429715032
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4549249675714144
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4804977039083704
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5365080588411424
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4812294826874981
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-1_8B,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.477158766099017
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4763490241515791
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4899003638215689
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-1_8B,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4562267472967984
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4685455298687691
Qwen-1_8B,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B,45.3,32.0,40.77,50.93,37.04,51.92,35.4,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-1_8B,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4880023034692821
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5147016433692061
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5266020755478974
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5139628491300514
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5104151598873647
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5307304486714433
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4736531178946861
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5024154401469004
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5220786562868537
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.520821285372743
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5116611710204843
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5183315480595995
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4712359829017555
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4899207204689138
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.481743279790953
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.507935841462319
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4976635684079264
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4744845489755531
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4824838064839337
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4991166086930281
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5017985533937519
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4860371508699486
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5103671775479983
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4896328224520017
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5205198690447055
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.494868215397528
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.496192966973221
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5103433517636239
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4944032188433283
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5013888853166548
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.492574803334537
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5023147982767848
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4739366883173527
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4799103187721903
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4948719746829491
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5080638168854459
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5205013198573784
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5083791037470575
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.516408247469193
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4866342010452036
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.521293930369717
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5013661168191642
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5366985918197641
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5139557650720376
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4918745203806116
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.496052713585942
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4964789314464213
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5011520716939001
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4976635684079263
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5213773343771393
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5180772236878783
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5156199157230156
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5135102241134046
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4742076967332366
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4936826466601274
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4874608237010137
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5162777705075251
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4837455670697004
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5011961699667867
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4701128916977168
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5259329926025236
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5255333254692911
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5013888853166548
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4961539220130733
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.507935841462319
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.502173899345327
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5253405888833341
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5012077271197953
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5423319557489888
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5169206195605528
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.497435919913001
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4909250890799578
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4713854673127401
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.5059997120165879
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.517150132236617
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4847269751054411
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4900013331200346
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5395213440277825
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5056051463473952
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5198640165106412
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5120169162095304
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5336031171209707
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5213545231428923
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5190670546458076
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5030674461786483
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5373319702780349
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4896328224520018
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5217254425298697
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5295111142030818
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5100718974419184
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.510867853259157
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5180102226924502
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.4787577334370981
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5178495544061347
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5034883154953351
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5124087989949547
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5090899074702867
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5009025260956028
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5132180733166837
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5113149403305957
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.479630844735498
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4930560020517393
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,0.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5310659226565129
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4838019665071641
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5026041431194082
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,1.0,0.514363862720729
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5252444740640796
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5027472251014413
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4961241086448296
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5166604965694114
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5113616802188368
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5090663636561172
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.505952099771186
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5091230749648754
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.475429642351517
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4740332836236089
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4974747689455732
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4991228079175047
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4990494308030199
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,0.0,0.497435919913001
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5107826417285821
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4761544667416957
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4907417990385578
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5241041080294825
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.5025906503919949
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,1.0,0.5111317634845403
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4963054859587819
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5130178906923251
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5132322036953993
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4842394571288706
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5163493095537479
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5153013430693818
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.483215264449086
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4989082986780396
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4932436545083539
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5255077019673439
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5165229071953926
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5114015319666694
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,0.0,0.4853842820255182
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5048778940198114
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5010917013219603
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4782114819813853
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4949750435569002
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4850202570790857
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.492647588833994
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4922228495049003
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4905314351299994
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4868451417938393
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4819897773075497
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5134771268796169
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,0.0,0.4853937673494111
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5155551447093873
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4969388137589995
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5263730167755456
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4869821093076749
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5054110441535835
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5170388542610094
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5231049204879423
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4834770928046074
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4911251925304824
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5328793137164584
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5054582984427312
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5152534813082463
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5238582723332132
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5358295707872321
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4988151680945161
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5246834759402763
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.502499979166875
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5035046155023797
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5263981951626328
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4826019634686568
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5379172584481373
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4907417990385578
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.507352411166006
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5282948611950654
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4975247726956774
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4960000853311488
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4899116832087876
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5350547541826907
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5152126945431281
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5040414824195126
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4975247726956774
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5031779233080282
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5202591725968775
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.515427200432863
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4826659090652185
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.502173899345327
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5190670546458076
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5188799081902818
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5097075178591937
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5076917008615782
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4844547724297936
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5193701459216209
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4850790584555578
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5135508976600969
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5138853177460049
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.520480337921616
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5317491328360954
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4852983566307939
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5121927042988743
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5065785677232344
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5093447061474364
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5181912008979407
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5228923504402287
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4706221120107446
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4982638958658965
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5269346848542795
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4834131682250827
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5049503332908232
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5082152230622154
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5132322036953993
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4871822961082876
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4923082991384219
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4594799194498428
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5137465349023549
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5058591067938315
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5042734002147855
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4720024111161881
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5251185017547778
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5235252182023724
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4961140678793351
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4704426654389573
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5144886962445457
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4813519372967388
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4711858074713826
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4708663709279531
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5009025260956028
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5170665382084025
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5124973964842103
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5110903308867615
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4931323000702878
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5174347890583453
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5202017624236956
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5031645147077625
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5181267673072804
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,1.0,0.5074621324703608
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.514363862720729
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.4949240322582515
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.477579148508127
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5221529750306512
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5104696736211527
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.498655917216061
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4817789058386353
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4810517326872409
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4987922728802045
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4726834766204328
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4914642439895238
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5387570473488053
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5151775219877919
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4981617729879675
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4964115448669239
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5015723218612106
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.520592740303845
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5310335037032438
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5279975888838119
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5180772236878783
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5145698650557022
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5121597640563917
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4986486519390002
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.50763299474575
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5150816305300686
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4830162451686605
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5285403709822651
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.532616931442916
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4980468849340468
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5409338211008049
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4978813686119221
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5076136246612677
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5166604965694114
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4924754844991967
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4833395034305885
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5011312197893515
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4949496667108436
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5098996961817597
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4822769317366156
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4935570576747771
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4843800842769844
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5232625458146508
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5111713249144482
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5265375393676139
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4792695328085788
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5125544382881194
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5198308616884231
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5195068226955313
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,0.0,0.4823082737874535
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5184127226059408
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5074399270259654
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5141205380034302
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4823443002841487
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.518586473114753
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.514629969075462
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4764325708541482
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5022935618946309
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5072810386745407
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4868451417938393
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4875026035157896
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5233819480148145
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5319469408320915
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5054582984427312
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5143190002345266
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5021186313880779
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5223066116281302
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5251465511368086
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4783918456246261
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4962312271550952
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5219638780827052
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4863670162746507
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5024875416653254
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5131548582061607
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4967811603478249
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5182845257758442
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5258835772361777
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5345832465806133
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.5088823141877813
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5089733953825759
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4784616129853668
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5152126945431281
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5187412158785352
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4817154742241559
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5102444677476691
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5184248332413329
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5086624994813019
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5161234400549263
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4712299710683687
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5025125416652994
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5024271654007478
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5314897981449456
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5171412943366911
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5009652497661415
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4961832802421174
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5126700980833895
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5029643921434658
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4961241086448296
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.514469642823217
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,0.0,0.4962406723446489
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.493548745122901
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5362491396279838
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4970588574525463
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5038167197578826
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.5095097226361418
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5274842299400397
Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2023-11-30,Qwen-1_8B-Chat,43.99,4.0,39.91,50.08,38.47,49.73,14.39,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-1_8B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5122616920103961
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.488265066180055
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5106366928667769
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5242527971628492
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4929582121070402
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4617970904652371
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5046946977107682
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5109631548804431
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.51058043091515
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5038460779869267
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5362491396279838
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4756290835227087
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-7B,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4886383197811631
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4746760649787163
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5173198003277342
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.492647588833994
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4886897125197994
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5211737699679475
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4948719746829492
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4971751712983997
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5028248287016003
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4356305106148623
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-7B,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4631815196514022
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4883062263437607
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-7B,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5348894438981895
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4912596317047092
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4950740510055933
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4577282665613447
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,0.0,0.4937891393488809
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,1.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4787863274375458
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5244370364257445
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5530985190137533
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-7B,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4864897758865953
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.491018930138404
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5056815736258301
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5213140897411455
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5251045004963912
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5139963424803272
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4916674381858807
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.457811989181228
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5248414087632218
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5318716211394506
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4956522834957678
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5189782199668254
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5123737106645424
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5138086424051052
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5098412485540627
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4562973713007352
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5017123220729314
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5259201393283117
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-7B,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.557878912887093
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-7B,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4501660026875221
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5050759677417485
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5154589888394742
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4952154570488692
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4955358329119729
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5194706685620861
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5095226579074725
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5194706685620861
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4640452177257749
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5149955016194101
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4668244130685017
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4786226656228607
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4772883667393608
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5083162584413747
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5108091264608374
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4787362373298253
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4950250398068482
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5307304486714433
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5103612108188496
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5121927042988743
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5205013198573784
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5178495544061347
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-7B,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5302659827682414
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5223731097438693
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5412964398814437
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.548044083869152
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4885864579459435
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-7B,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5021096921214572
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5349429451582145
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5204288724903542
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5323870229007998
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4892873539262475
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5214154615267241
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5093885677183989
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5081073974648354
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4887024881529942
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4918040128854498
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5189482673127591
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5165815949137029
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5046294973287931
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5121927042988743
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4779149319852429
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4959017311262769
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5318196841652789
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5020833212770899
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-7B,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4850044983805899
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,0.0,0.4913801644535004
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5205013198573784
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-7B,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.523420348936324
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4889885648662231
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5057140369420544
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.502192968394342
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5277492350545132
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5314084829800948
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4976635684079264
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5091453214101649
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,0.0,0.4842983582496771
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5126235794300751
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5317034417740683
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4955158152965246
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5044443273928169
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-7B,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4781692279162634
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-7B,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4901490581425588
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-7B,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5234054438313848
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5132712184364759
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-7B,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5092155461261434
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-7B,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5088748074695175
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5139628491300514
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-7B,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.5097390278147961
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4808604204277943
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5218307720837366
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5334863841244653
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5050503332891563
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5127631842181078
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.521621123856006
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.4977477629807779
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-7B,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4712438893862462
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.5275145491092269
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5179410121929973
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5154817751424792
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5100488979399806
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5134582868629621
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5085219019495526
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-7B,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4897973347746699
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-7B,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4959184580096928
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4971751712983996
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4872908737242157
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4824633365032592
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,1.0,0.5061346614676304
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5099986668799654
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-7B,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5029411425474537
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4913801644535004
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5416432040340554
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5021276467321916
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-7B,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5344281929745097
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5156199157230156
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5266414114504839
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5232991761771308
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-7B,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4852114152521029
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5103078176886584
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-7B,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5070749994500934
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5224567916386864
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5408569734897606
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-7B,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4760457493345232
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.507352411166006
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5071085257453821
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4815872773940591
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5124198049367678
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5490223356754607
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4854812611020053
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5345194664720727
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5041840027547786
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-7B,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5222624985803155
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5316648825617195
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5038167197578826
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4949750435569003
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-7B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4910723774907236
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4572338438050537
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5262915173930184
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5215383870146332
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5227116332606392
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5085098164814612
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4930879979558266
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5081959871145502
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5139823674147087
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4936978127667791
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5091314046883527
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4894973434002406
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-7B,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5498339973124778
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4939396907376751
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5105247609307534
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-7B,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5349429451582145
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5673452692154505
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5110114351337768
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.530084099260317
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-7B,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5312093733737563
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5045453293304604
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-7B,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5025252310544267
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5503749580030629
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-7B,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,0.0,0.4918926025351646
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5300184999663469
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5080207022879117
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5024509607606302
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-7B,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5152391810935798
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5118461239863314
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4974874583347006
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5020491688548858
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.54823660816288
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4822559752951961
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4833395034305886
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5389832206876841
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5069120020441733
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-7B,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4899631075530795
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4957806908743042
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5171361430986443
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5103612108188496
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-7B,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.497854090429043
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Qwen-7B,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5168205733337349
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-7B,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5319200001654031
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5334694281883858
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.524570357648483
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5168712298201406
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4873123689277897
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5194706685620861
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5392449518138156
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5260181446753458
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-7B,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4919361831145541
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5089276225092765
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4901490581425588
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4866103449492933
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4975609949553931
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5084737648565953
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5174928576663897
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5093012524492143
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5214154615267241
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4925931344678305
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5289530808975701
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5467381519846138
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-7B,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4760009879920011
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5133896550507067
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4879250535751088
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.5082865340146282
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4732398804219287
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5086947755916545
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5048075441471118
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4790541817550202
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.538570560705747
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5047391945623811
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4916325804065845
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5095226579074725
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5193037052035345
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5083325618141192
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5299043861496653
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5195977978782956
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4837719355864128
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5021096921214572
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.494818838308844
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-7B,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4744409021905523
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4977375720018353
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4894195690848498
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4861146822539951
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-7B,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5133896550507067
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5402353929097253
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4916674381858807
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5049749601931517
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5084380173778285
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5017482446238479
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-7B,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5078733648926594
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4756948469135325
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5279039375244551
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.502499979166875
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5021276467321916
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4935625874859383
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5095226579074725
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5142141784562962
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5088748074695175
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.5128837453557653
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5120458614418767
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-7B,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5260181446753458
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-7B,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4747689239079112
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5167401524222442
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4950001666600002
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5046510286352462
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5018115862757094
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-7B,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5083325618141193
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.5077713948345198
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.51195944098794
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-7B,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5393918791114868
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4893064437233134
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-7B,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5211513906167544
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-7B,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5196942391158799
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4743083608807786
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5048778940198114
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5178495544061347
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-7B,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5138213627832241
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-7B,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5045247633548685
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4883198823209856
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-7B,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5322133826606285
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4897450280512702
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5174058990280845
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5106366928667769
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5068802996246469
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4701442549297695
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4672188078597629
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5054642633214962
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5122926043854722
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5082865340146282
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5070088866629289
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.48804055901206
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4952154570488692
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4806859434802119
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-7B,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.507935841462319
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5071423712738706
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5100996361784311
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4775151752081998
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-7B,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5073886246802564
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5178495544061347
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.514558990055596
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5134496694434911
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.532633283504028
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-7B,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4777923981418603
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.5
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,0.0,0.4877475514141034
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5604912978550681
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4738334510463314
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Qwen-7B,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5246106379209988
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-7B,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5365327184294649
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5135102241134046
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4978070316056581
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-7B,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5160372777566906
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4938274740874457
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-7B,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5399148845555657
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5285403709822651
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5217254425298697
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4690870971003623
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5052081449613973
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-7B,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.504739194562381
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-7B,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5432442882397309
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-7B,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5546198751353111
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-7B,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4973545220409378
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-7B,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5175366634967408
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-7B,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5178495544061347
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-7B,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5334694281883858
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-7B,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5025380492665369
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-7B,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.515952031140322
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-7B,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5092582009614421
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-7B,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.502499979166875
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-7B,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5021929683943419
Qwen-7B,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B,59.84,44.9,75.4,80.0,37.5,48.2,45.53,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-7B,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5501268990253335
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4778625833400092
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4935236782782355
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4687906266262437
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4849443118188562
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4668852799793405
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5078609874297997
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4746969580853158
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4847527394717236
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4839627222433095
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4781508054558477
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4862322946958138
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5047682478136508
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5188083254235916
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5160698514208323
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.48362409276646
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4810435731576271
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5128177038917123
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5324402415752061
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5101612024199411
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5102725268946674
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5128034365232426
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5085743572297383
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4914256427702616
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5106725360146254
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4844877384562581
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5068574253590553
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A triumph over the mite-y?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4779422540835182
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4909003624426934
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.52497918747894
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4768207500789405
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5048778940198115
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5356536708339716
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4601063015977378
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5056815736258301
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4732398804219287
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5005010018363374
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4904773420925274
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4770993668323258
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4941863085288925
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4968354852922376
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4925931344678305
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4774785618903228
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4671833939698622
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4607499999379036
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Does Proxima have Planets?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5245293909111506
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5236242477714474
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4846202378829159
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4970998005074731
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5321134098932239
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4700359482354282
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4714134980464449
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5271162257554465
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.478490105416435
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5022935618946309
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5294071396130735
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4874127320448445
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5063826320020286
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.472373298561587
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5282716991859553
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4840260565821612
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5071423712738707
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5067045789594611
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4806962947964654
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4890414211708955
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4830891593342649
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4701999693457749
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4689808241050008
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4740850530637278
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is Arnold alive?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4744922980326561
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4751935933613432
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4720209598875053
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4874727892625456
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5217982544416017
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4854538413114644
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4790762662128633
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5104407425304625
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4828162004983434
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4858314586275309
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4993036216201886
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4701312994353014
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4760137419652607
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4871351929593486
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4942107850373959
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4891321467408432
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4898537915441334
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.470754142118128
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4937814151939656
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4706909159211085
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4970862800693112
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4802585748760754
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4883495667722697
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4667790528189297
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4883313573816684
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.521841102809794
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4709164015882733
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4673952609289536
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4792801652707413
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4862802944844249
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4868451417938393
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5060603092623249
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4778050282154037
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5012499973958399
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4673911045528402
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.514774023199931
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5335590470843579
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4783154974035224
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4935900947750924
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4769666686853859
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4811014443253568
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.530758213976463
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5246132134830928
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4908839277624281
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4782017455583983
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5203849645768186
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5269295181117121
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4829258960105299
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5123101456271717
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4895364116205283
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4845843266089863
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4772883667393608
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5125456287644279
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4945654314164217
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5242527971628492
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4741609700557303
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4800719117829246
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4897783759921744
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4896803647748318
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4821504455938653
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4702619827864344
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4994407161169265
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4832651816485133
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4856498750495351
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4862802944844249
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4866368464774139
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5183740752866297
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5134956413295164
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4720120452744037
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4771346036074007
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4795833431037368
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4732016702942457
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4803624101328705
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5205896861908963
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4785845384732758
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5207304671914211
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4740936698049591
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4714052813852081
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5219157734665782
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4810847284976696
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5178495544061347
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5289150697886209
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5059520997711859
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.496346620342109
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4744126156324952
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5347539940839372
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4880974871623263
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4874127320448445
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4844448552906127
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4776012084373805
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5244166536757275
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4794233926160762
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.513916226774519
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4828049486948593
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5025458028473967
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.478748443155792
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4694146265912626
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5107126460737526
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5150556881811438
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4938205393709218
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4956522834957678
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4701846685963043
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4848224780122081
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4674374574381832
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5176275461017124
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.484535871729281
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4889491683316771
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.471834359988
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4834770928046074
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4902311283445842
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4678358878488383
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4707366066334114
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4971910407877089
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4729843930768487
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4826458625670112
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4709629422620661
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.478387178403326
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.477825206498291
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5176167256750603
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,First human head transplant in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4825420298040422
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4695035504473839
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5205619630005006
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5192212922106082
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4937814151939656
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4982014466062481
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4770993668323258
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4732016702942457
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4804626274689091
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4833395034305885
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4695499238192083
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4938359287450505
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5348041812673245
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4819061432330053
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.490283908753011
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4831600105812353
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4726687800752666
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5234767006305452
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.480873534897321
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.487670661300058
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4811105062712276
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5124164532365401
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.520821285372743
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5015592465046653
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5171889908120966
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5154936903265128
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.480478678047907
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4934899512382892
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5216492192351365
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4846986569306182
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4839164418801079
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4841602316642855
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4802030742633827
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5234975301484697
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5389504567655602
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5131548582061607
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4850164780119819
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4993734339119342
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5108678532591568
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4972222507998301
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4909003624426934
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.483424443512422
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5263468821053138
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5240677642823868
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5138853177460049
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4879830837904696
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4950144102538928
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5060972587151367
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4677866173393716
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4870232308625309
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5063801641215155
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4740149397084887
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4791226577301659
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4780475945293689
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.483424443512422
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5277492350545132
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4870495292695357
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4763786284193692
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5190196896235536
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5092057584537679
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4821942648593832
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5196942391158799
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4690478931365666
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5380618162375104
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.497139619305298
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5112712997258158
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5028473496299544
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4890847039131588
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is Westworld located on an island?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5119519847197708
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4748534488631913
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Airships by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4699643934749777
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4806219558140401
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.479790428072831
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4879333778894902
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5268970867343741
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4857932986620891
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4807787077893918
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4812066292910035
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4782515234532793
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4811302476700089
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4973460971098848
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5063215022267945
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4867236757202206
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4684022361133754
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.465783898606298
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4896608414247047
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5008143315275393
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4777500731406924
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.476898180590239
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5175161935160661
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4802261459320748
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.477983594353523
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4928576287261293
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5114563278831847
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4730125010139712
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.506817759235038
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4732203990703697
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.484546501260201
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4811564698403832
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4791787146272571
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4784306609348945
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4736117648221132
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.506756345491646
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4802901169283943
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5170741039894701
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5301142614010528
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.489956708195069
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4802261459320748
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4718839956189153
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.475825315488025
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.478748443155792
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4891791790013677
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5227116332606392
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4879478276586464
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4710725293871852
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4878496147819773
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4801691383115769
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4834770928046074
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4822297099767683
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4806298540783792
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4936173679979714
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4944855177242737
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4937644956269102
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4811732885180073
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4733525779389059
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4774400770583732
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4694625154567892
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4715992309365009
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4825127787692428
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.488265066180055
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5206952403761826
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4734718279673395
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5113616802188369
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4893883861303441
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5072458695114436
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4806369945839928
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4676921356500302
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5185960696692262
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5268198708474517
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4892654534000036
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4801143010185688
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4842908861975873
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4789281511372396
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5111446506626691
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4801075928000566
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4927298189117624
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.501473473141202
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5091676766035412
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4920388894221543
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4871822961082876
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4740309503807161
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4820221418437377
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4829126397463384
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4927988518735544
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4870271336588802
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4851822058986039
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.504064951088788
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5331755869314982
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5034561661509831
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4767926432601004
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4798355041147413
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4921314002795516
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4701999693457749
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Qwen-7B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4803710274851314
Qwen-7B-Chat,2023-09-24,Qwen-7B-Chat,57.0,54.0,47.86,64.32,46.91,61.64,33.89,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Qwen-7B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5082152230622154
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4730695857572952
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4765106905428719
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4743428291763151
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4810232594090651
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4605176541746742
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5153263806464636
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4618861641838259
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4915099342960846
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.458445889606191
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4919526266128711
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4869724726285707
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5239611608639364
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5297287251133347
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5197074012279328
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4792831574695663
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4807642194498481
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5224882387457852
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5353062760653082
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5265282926241435
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5440629707262308
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5092435479994929
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.53708707789241
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4629129221075901
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5155805438664091
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4880059301656762
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5242049461088731
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A triumph over the mite-y?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4760035998296404
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.470609251822191
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4900735641297707
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.484622526540481
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5202142454979819
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.546086490155463
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4637982732700044
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5103748036468506
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4887727853705629
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4796669834181001
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4817550600683034
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4664001482051725
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4892692889058723
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4821729292792078
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4796460446222543
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4822107885204973
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4630089624143145
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4761397857768548
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Does Proxima have Planets?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5265053294120878
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.4968465041414263
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4757593120274208
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4963489455692115
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5435258595165509
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4830534410408508
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4695571233918201
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5526716453190483
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4800403659690163
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.506473552218937
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4858687744758818
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4769762429953423
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4963611594284668
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4886986875147783
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.527753905686364
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4669973999272098
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5110343901891969
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4940416426783457
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.473753259044843
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4715276415792563
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4838138708113584
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4753817442781095
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4783627306643773
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4762695642920884
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4778660869405738
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4892521450909112
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is Arnold alive?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4658058592489602
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5042963763223802
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5087710027423404
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4791454753888911
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.480227980245228
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4840351068911601
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.502163334598671
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4410017386843264
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4724057011935361
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4676549915988293
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.476717132389305
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.475189545612007
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4963258249341327
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4811718121152153
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4873758412609607
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4785763200170799
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4938041988932031
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4860977194469925
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.47311958653698
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4917995771264751
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4545375351537637
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4949735533878028
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5325104756656373
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4790098530354722
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4630093953971302
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4887578123004732
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4727320771456569
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4718315010353075
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5240771703543426
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4798183116309265
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4677222232259121
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4720707646447834
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5176931680669976
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5484237389963932
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.496124280666961
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4677128998839753
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4603035233015541
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4454940109503605
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5333826865057326
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4719755676854326
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5202905735670753
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4653415668598327
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5536848469671978
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5332872703458155
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5170205017048014
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4840693423843798
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4489036014280315
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4690102424781135
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4920924217712091
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5173054610388383
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4723011797277349
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5222389848753547
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4762712836710522
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.514042832735032
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4686983512401525
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5052762400228914
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4671451969457831
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4814340526234495
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4714018915342605
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4722575140404719
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4765306938317252
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4836174830348972
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5074029707821142
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5276208649331425
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5083393779062026
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4655288484383439
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4742751988809665
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4829786805464398
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4712765283989567
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4892693943099379
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5589831408812195
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.469601241246969
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5433003694283864
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4677446816783993
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4707834968511084
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5367242452253951
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4588517237018895
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5145935838341901
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5055295723119911
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5161358019720594
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4849646950338429
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4635520635685249
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.540275492448569
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4962175348095229
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.45184349980955
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4813564120879336
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4820800761771075
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5360181604646126
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4829493133525206
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.502342344191756
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4721297009710816
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4657727881263593
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4703064066106731
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4674612099494035
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5300630341315906
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4897474405871373
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5336210263902492
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.493681086254427
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4842292360478958
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4878832149737542
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4603497661296972
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4943562602975868
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4665806201041879
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4709251230236993
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.470815871679572
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5317128026963858
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.492666134567276
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4663808556509931
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4930136852503219
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4789001037456729
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4801737476868777
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4780731058185091
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4853499519735751
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5037471926988714
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4862555379217645
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4760867365763001
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,First human head transplant in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4762123658767535
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5208121949003144
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.462333701000495
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5017723028472303
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4811718121152153
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4771897955607511
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4974565896175749
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4712130548184113
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.477504183459458
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4655064774861539
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4687002423428229
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4556469102756794
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5332545634547612
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4823700041212734
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4669469603723926
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.469130303909003
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.476345325125503
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5383919160836266
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.471582859342435
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4895642408899764
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.488645810962206
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5112673782867239
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5117701769943037
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4900738046541714
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5202777951026898
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4636366455564356
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4942475202490152
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4815014662095335
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5127236168978286
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4470985422839224
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.500000007543576
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4654022975020467
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4790594831351014
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5207911657965406
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5442455382321065
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4884274616281465
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4792300928803455
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4958998609819362
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5084789136384746
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4851090914407335
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4866289613363595
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5000000165534422
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5206220394558245
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5322599896379103
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5302868020513501
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4693834106998545
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5060937623553957
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4922021841043195
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4681883897827136
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5044093984622436
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4999999854466446
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4653564821268814
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4885200478738008
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4673235546077507
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4859579355614595
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5321400006296308
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.479368964063983
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4857204380811961
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5448980880515758
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.528879103233268
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4752823783072458
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.512745765931805
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4687215139612656
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4843869300448458
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5395569664659777
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5165040584022913
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5017948216988761
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5186798497456244
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4838518077848189
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5018275933959371
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is Westworld located on an island?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5152882654232169
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4877673861674762
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.482339492179327
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4934677127798185
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4606017078411154
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4764287004346511
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Airships by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4723477923755306
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4792296035219182
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4836787999713566
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4799224663006511
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4892852548383957
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4978141854150441
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4894622598471208
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4615028921779817
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4637066333960471
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4772609702223269
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5407069484647398
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4915561515499701
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4744878789554995
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4689028029187677
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4928120890431525
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4627716929555464
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5259902115744371
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.464433549551746
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5181019715585149
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4804325759032241
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4671679775812459
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4875456085395047
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4930492042374372
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4672908589104794
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4703847219648749
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4819117805291051
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4858736347955972
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5220268660313208
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5291557598691934
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4872876046690786
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4548229704330433
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4825705664581514
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4681573073805815
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4814175932950515
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4848129498588737
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5144434520090793
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4762391364839087
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4826055380597987
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5025296123359333
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4979110073405979
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5101197002144638
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4868778184343527
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4810806120281118
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4747856417037382
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5061759475875541
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4835974536039817
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.494849615977463
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4819910635196679
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.488611830166491
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4826925528558163
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.469925351926892
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4759299386990485
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5260468789180635
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4625929471588885
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4962900747996244
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4859819962298247
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4825326040753916
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4863047714794663
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.482500174638678
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.515790384459027
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5353856723213737
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4733430367150091
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4602471686368687
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4660010778692015
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4693388833707912
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4479036848380044
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4669632196333312
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.512969635053232
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.498200243420763
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.482876223970123
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4954715042647952
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4776880892429004
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4733785581146951
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Skywork-13B-base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4756465020505289
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Skywork-13B-base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.457991250285834
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.485843481718215
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4682213239617078
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4977470232508829
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5392315602973623
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4690001880028885
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4766725384054474
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Skywork-13B-base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.482427546457872
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4896954320236456
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Skywork-13B-base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4738627607134364
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Skywork-13B-base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4908449960344319
Skywork-13B-base,2023-10-22,Skywork-13B-base,62.1,55.0,56.62,70.13,47.19,67.69,23.48,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Skywork-13B-base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.495566723648331
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4439778306458994
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4437284793537911
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4333591805646996
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4552698973052951
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4513622305118175
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5659225502525076
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.421551602237968
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.438990151874311
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4420678992113434
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4354367009626027
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4371144123051313
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5640726626836856
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5638451501950912
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5676287747640294
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4339777474495713
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4561884187499238
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5697162331210193
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5559877985763666
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5455266971410182
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.544494803726819
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will this question resolve in the negative?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5572653359148599
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5671945022109588
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4328054977890412
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5584771555063577
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4358974594104813
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.568593776787399
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A triumph over the mite-y?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4410850487281254
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4272922023569927
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5595923428401985
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4348292442120265
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.563184375783778
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5645759984054306
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4288180407688181
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5599923512574803
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4415366716191106
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4506695418734574
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4393635785172127
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4440094132097523
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4443109224030637
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4473027164371367
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4436913256920931
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.417098971280179
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4358659861162692
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Does Proxima have Planets?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5567955984512595
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4466526321736323
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.554866148800393
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4467764724408917
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4406722482352981
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5529321449949007
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4395203608773948
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4204650101775991
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5474252004347548
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4374657924262818
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5709827853391115
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5619632080371636
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4391662219125937
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4251055326985886
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5451303252865458
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4286505959441167
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5551542904748543
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4288817622461383
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5514277519753508
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.442990171362993
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4504023786406831
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4479913216814653
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4412649831463542
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4436207140324504
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4383322322535851
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4412068282545451
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is Arnold alive?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4313988383370302
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4299146962639257
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4258123247970529
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5562458193612083
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4356621223734048
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4287532389305712
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4346982743280407
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4330296544998043
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4348171268436142
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.444771435164492
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"How important are ""time crystals""?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4293455710243307
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4386186638837002
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4415219276122336
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4334252722197977
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4423398573334747
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4447734966439267
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4295739832917144
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4431239244707196
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4433377048842878
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4451667608609366
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4434710785946637
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4526714237639351
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4333979663678498
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4384496275263813
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5743433951022632
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4338337862106027
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4409990355513457
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4403764189434541
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4371902365496421
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4477687051875687
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5691417706304933
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4416314107327798
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4530486152994285
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4340956596483423
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5700091945016825
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5766595952052023
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.45737028943304
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4384614563583048
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4268630274660945
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4283930615169035
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5615075349882968
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.552208385669053
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4538663855756163
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4230758237926354
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5548681381590568
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5810518199448823
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4257487796568371
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4361443667117041
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5567312267895929
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4261004179117661
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.439713159618448
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5514303243843586
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4320918414575799
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5667532585691434
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4270847392219489
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4363304587503238
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4168292460950044
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4332161515030774
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4396228560568961
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4357543119035598
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4452936595097785
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4268043506113172
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4452027894639722
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4371061041937181
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4450973163927083
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5527637368763069
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5549430695874145
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4394725285326145
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4286317710717647
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4326650775333249
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4212750728235638
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4258847762167853
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5526863016854449
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.417330952471491
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Giant robot battle: is it on?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5849269755451225
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4312760145728636
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4333312960401637
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5709066388666764
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4343472441888606
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5425131427886634
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5556845064042721
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5624971574541653
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4409142740643961
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4470516954706812
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5688598743118767
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4475236793678114
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.43618986565613
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4255504219318017
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4448864876980448
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5389243608027134
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4527954580414324
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4434193901133232
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4445914062623441
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4598778025406148
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4432031094521321
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5610791679310432
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5637113494646534
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4468915277115937
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5546981589943343
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.446783800746384
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4421076855548775
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4411218666756749
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4341911217613428
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.442466813634676
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5696988593321344
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4333268165898293
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4436942114438437
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4430556053170016
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4460673043941874
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.454648319270499
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4345384727552003
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4386800352070301
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4368862342212673
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4552478516902593
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4272157118569449
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5585893345125279
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4246833790220005
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5613955848678962
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,First human head transplant in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.435717205945639
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4433042098427132
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4383193242160602
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4498231848162166
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4295739832917144
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4272859358270059
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4395700236882374
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4255869695229523
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4574668068765813
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4259133417739598
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.43322106314141
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.422051213560831
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.559492581798841
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4461825134225917
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4308765377803313
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4414231296088388
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4253612639462933
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5651441226274013
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4534414890523074
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4271326434263926
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4407902650495807
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5714550369166846
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5584960119951283
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.451249407120902
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.542765820982643
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5529511871862349
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4271681250724851
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.450581051886134
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will May Day protests turn violent?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5620417125258024
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4441698548664572
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4382867084455129
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.442423146436847
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.457563028992603
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5662534548964129
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5517897224075226
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5584024576850939
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4436433525798011
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4472302730704745
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4331562065955223
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5717880112827992
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4516944405148411
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.446236117452943
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5635413811033753
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5490287073647465
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5587070132076191
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.463036715684468
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4535573546502414
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4565376980745849
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4384696670824612
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.460575815144364
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4323178151314821
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4391095734199689
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4557726418762606
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4376185133856731
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4327230066356409
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5576448669259093
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4534234150475454
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4465034671773606
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5743366649439092
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5691043445264357
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4417258855268797
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5566937138206982
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4303153230951235
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5509502777547363
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.432805546452509
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5558153791089157
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4526878702825991
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is Westworld located on an island?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5597533542965353
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4439625421029575
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4472751447017437
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4486985131035592
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4452675745376417
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4543378805504315
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4402814459360315
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5771175528220177
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4357164704808897
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4485144185701641
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4467674544971657
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Airships by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4465917754473182
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4454115260359464
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4434414988380538
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4343248536140238
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4348137033331641
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4391014350954212
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4328089257464249
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4389723866611876
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4281414415466654
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4251821295493922
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5469040982413376
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.443927011134079
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4318459974760556
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4399957474129215
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4270530545167004
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5574823434206785
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5559368416029381
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.447197806986893
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4515462380213774
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4254611200040594
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4248479128013737
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4505967558749155
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4302746335677276
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4254182989877536
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4456042710949682
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4331000744169486
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5498858004396341
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5546884140282886
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4224854503379697
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4456583269859112
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4400488220506769
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4306220983994284
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4394371689252256
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4514173023257898
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5610819183382932
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4472081511076861
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4451458459014665
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4323421467432047
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4453546246667419
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4446546133046407
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4488558519159424
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4358775164027028
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4410433502315959
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4346338020115257
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4502084618530493
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4293477635915669
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4379458921918006
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4340942302183492
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.438881764484174
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4239787369031804
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4383600424408356
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4494827996177283
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5667276089087161
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4493311307664613
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4398553624464563
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.435049949973559
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4500801158587714
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4540642303513583
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4321979689781827
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5423017563371099
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.561504496385215
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4352634776575511
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4377375052591418
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4588484594301674
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4303127495308113
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4377136251079028
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4469389948836785
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5693011162941312
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4406168323475021
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4384053454938806
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4367843411889204
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4424030855041851
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4252747798985905
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4271602738662486
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4247919545810979
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4184297228495702
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.457291739555161
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4355463727533576
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4351538751905857
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.56786388855704
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4288460178759584
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4360067197065175
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4405608932503666
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4459492501956539
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4406172715316335
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4306874273266728
TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2023-11-24,TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,25.98,2.1,22.2,28.0,32.1,23.5,5.05,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",TinyLlama-1.1B-Chat-v0.6,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4411428497358824
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Yi-6B,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4660640251228826
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Yi-6B,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4764374637704221
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Yi-6B,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4935525789722996
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Yi-6B,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4793020817885374
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4750358095042044
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Yi-6B,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5193636910622398
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Yi-6B,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4731558027859324
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Yi-6B,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4729406252066468
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4751094419258729
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Yi-6B,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4821628578022909
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4640512907425541
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Yi-6B,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5208565902026274
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Yi-6B,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5258332268726795
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Yi-6B,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4982125214364494
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Yi-6B,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.459717798197899
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Yi-6B,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4829868819493024
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Yi-6B,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5196216402180509
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Yi-6B,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5164698995820745
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4892366190558987
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5167177061915993
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Yi-6B,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.518728542601775
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Yi-6B,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5132373819302867
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Yi-6B,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4867626180697134
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Yi-6B,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.511711993419239
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Yi-6B,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4797464835869781
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Yi-6B,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5334166619216585
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A triumph over the mite-y?,Yi-6B,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4672415259223998
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Yi-6B,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.487953908332647
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Yi-6B,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5099412748795007
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Yi-6B,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4710251981940657
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Yi-6B,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5241702928499103
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Yi-6B,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5417442125348241
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4640516629472743
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Yi-6B,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.54548528478306
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Yi-6B,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4880071260389008
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Yi-6B,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4982425346000889
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Yi-6B,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4759580915335443
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Yi-6B,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4817625021851545
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Yi-6B,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4932524925844984
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Yi-6B,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4928131020796873
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Yi-6B,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4589022580055938
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Yi-6B,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4838218947149655
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Yi-6B,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.488411498118878
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Does Proxima have Planets?,Yi-6B,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5274048577650992
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Yi-6B,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4679471833686109
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5210806835445619
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Yi-6B,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4712693408429201
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Yi-6B,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4817374863330608
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5333654927033582
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Yi-6B,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4699937068946674
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Yi-6B,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4805146307600643
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Yi-6B,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5163331596936986
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Yi-6B,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4740257521081371
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Yi-6B,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5442432501248191
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Yi-6B,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5215902769618697
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Yi-6B,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4686310919803787
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Yi-6B,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.487712471242746
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Yi-6B,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4770250768280761
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Yi-6B,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5147158765259541
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5289268893655242
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Yi-6B,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4739043501480923
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Yi-6B,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5345692345894173
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Yi-6B,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4742365051963133
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Yi-6B,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.479496495247212
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Yi-6B,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5053700303228974
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Yi-6B,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4983033401033643
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Yi-6B,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4715291521643021
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Yi-6B,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4985982359428093
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is Arnold alive?,Yi-6B,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4721978557023872
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Yi-6B,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4762597344184885
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Yi-6B,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.461252100226303
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Yi-6B,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4982309430521481
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Yi-6B,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5241653093928679
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Yi-6B,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.481328733050545
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Yi-6B,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4669648482638878
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Yi-6B,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4767139942973037
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Yi-6B,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4578635410881982
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4783113553065825
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4705093177288928
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Yi-6B,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4811469616743001
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Yi-6B,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4898201565547349
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Yi-6B,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4754003591794903
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Yi-6B,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4824507393857181
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Yi-6B,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4774325222101264
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4736948633450654
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Yi-6B,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4685304515524715
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4623962866223371
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4720804046097127
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Yi-6B,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Yi-6B,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4717835968213072
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Yi-6B,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4852783331123509
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Yi-6B,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4835133584672151
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Yi-6B,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4548417440253478
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5300997134190457
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4874288257809572
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Yi-6B,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4731370656756127
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4713612692683384
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4680024287299073
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Yi-6B,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.476059441423792
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Yi-6B,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.534196014062654
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Yi-6B,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4923692234231864
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Yi-6B,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4734238211069014
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Yi-6B,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4649863720635238
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Yi-6B,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5155683488553199
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Yi-6B,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5373718234937118
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Yi-6B,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4604117808442123
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Yi-6B,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.477945498697367
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Yi-6B,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4540871492093207
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Yi-6B,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4589218028631489
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5410684685864807
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5246066221732353
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.469670058351486
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4533748149584428
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.52173289730078
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Yi-6B,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5455500937464909
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Yi-6B,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4744107528845658
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.51428680841756
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Yi-6B,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.481368991397123
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Yi-6B,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4755448363845148
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Yi-6B,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4870842483691481
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Yi-6B,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4959493775924513
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Yi-6B,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4982965249027192
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Yi-6B,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5355716722801855
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Yi-6B,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4742626439392783
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Yi-6B,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4669657429823361
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Yi-6B,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4665150826729736
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Yi-6B,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4983230016414183
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Yi-6B,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4642654344355971
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Yi-6B,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4584824553449007
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4848258271830803
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Yi-6B,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4695226381615184
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Yi-6B,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4685346466582668
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Yi-6B,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4831905170134786
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Yi-6B,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.483178244255254
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Yi-6B,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5356024690492873
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Yi-6B,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5332528748717424
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Yi-6B,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4678414710406828
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Yi-6B,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4658540582383181
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Yi-6B,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.481387381280882
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Yi-6B,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4806626808352209
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Yi-6B,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4723993250006118
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Yi-6B,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5322093257794527
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Yi-6B,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.47384656494778
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Yi-6B,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5422050652198012
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Yi-6B,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4649698173810788
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Yi-6B,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.453401610260838
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Yi-6B,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5047933650532694
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Yi-6B,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4748329819829694
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Yi-6B,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5176941881841816
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Yi-6B,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5274509752931289
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Yi-6B,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5299889071441861
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.468297899863289
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Yi-6B,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4747672544343539
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Yi-6B,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5413916989065868
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Yi-6B,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4859174908830171
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Yi-6B,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4826258204157694
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4779327267721044
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Yi-6B,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4776562773552989
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Yi-6B,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5148704954348731
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Yi-6B,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4607392868307965
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4647319449395636
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Yi-6B,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4785253533683689
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4617686126801139
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Yi-6B,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5262248856861369
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4740780280698757
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Yi-6B,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.531840143437012
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Yi-6B,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4710403886702368
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5166917469567449
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.470084774271122
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Yi-6B,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4820017550540234
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4779893020696278
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4868522823174544
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Yi-6B,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5394141882895251
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Yi-6B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4737834979865736
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Yi-6B,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4587147273901875
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.452719624699023
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4755610226796968
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Yi-6B,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4682817169109444
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Yi-6B,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4589946058803111
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Yi-6B,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4583296905702037
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.479136679374958
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4734657518405252
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4833493502449763
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Yi-6B,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4766726154266436
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Yi-6B,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4924617827413503
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Yi-6B,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4531203012198136
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4675177788646164
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Yi-6B,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4831026890938914
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5276324936746875
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Yi-6B,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5034531521805963
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,First human head transplant in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5016170462054822
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Yi-6B,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Yi-6B,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4795236135801083
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Yi-6B,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4668838316004103
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Yi-6B,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4652225793786104
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4737129829878609
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4703591498669632
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Yi-6B,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4675697904386036
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Yi-6B,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4777235782974584
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Yi-6B,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5262783332967447
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Yi-6B,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4714518827066145
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Yi-6B,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4731591473237248
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4745314771383987
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Yi-6B,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4705761383822333
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Yi-6B,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.516773122615611
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Yi-6B,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4807314468728334
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Yi-6B,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4754333200331735
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Yi-6B,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.468100720006798
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Yi-6B,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5268836224192296
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Yi-6B,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5346128473362206
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Yi-6B,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4879101339558455
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Yi-6B,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5250888724503181
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Yi-6B,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5147847394913452
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4873431537787928
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Yi-6B,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4787495915731196
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Yi-6B,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5203703094484468
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Yi-6B,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.482477030408888
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Yi-6B,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4829904614514734
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.48517746751641
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Yi-6B,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4891034492341329
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Yi-6B,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5298798919815049
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Yi-6B,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5134167070774631
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Yi-6B,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5218297454607037
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.482594828781432
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4967680619525824
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Yi-6B,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4826650229768875
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Yi-6B,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5230723267217341
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Yi-6B,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.473862183357161
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Yi-6B,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4834180537536814
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Yi-6B,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5208438011659628
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5372339182110102
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.541161707127277
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Yi-6B,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4839566008768846
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4763280436273748
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Yi-6B,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4688986720553709
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4825540957020472
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4793507432807613
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4874211047670575
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Yi-6B,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4597694797883113
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4697664756763833
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4537834349910396
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Yi-6B,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4776058977557891
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5314166869137453
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Yi-6B,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.481148098719926
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Yi-6B,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4910019263951096
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Yi-6B,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5266176695857381
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.534793231175231
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Yi-6B,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4781548122147115
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Yi-6B,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5353735539821269
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Yi-6B,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4471900417242833
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4930931094863411
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5234752542846368
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5406836970570612
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4857211249526148
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Yi-6B,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4730678769467173
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Yi-6B,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4777131001033243
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Yi-6B,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4599055318796587
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4674819923664957
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.47587997120325
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Yi-6B,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4770098402561496
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Yi-6B,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5357877638902664
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.475738600303896
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4753756197754936
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Yi-6B,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4883038392752809
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Airships by 2019?,Yi-6B,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.468502556585173
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Yi-6B,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4737110535816312
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Yi-6B,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4595394637014
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Yi-6B,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4694852114572732
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is Westworld located on an island?,Yi-6B,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5040383602610157
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4752396736728488
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4910475208562351
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4647659491547024
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Yi-6B,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4474534208682642
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Yi-6B,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4714518685589851
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4423727839679597
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.535331389977621
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4603902953096786
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Yi-6B,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4708425409271881
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Yi-6B,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.458239786878306
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Yi-6B,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4775991360945515
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Yi-6B,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5187226958087361
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5246203854792157
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Yi-6B,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.485223541154511
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Yi-6B,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4846317031875436
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4704351872118986
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Yi-6B,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4921263220310439
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Yi-6B,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4704462401810483
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Yi-6B,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4668895015025375
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Yi-6B,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4932448097942071
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Yi-6B,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.470786808996192
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Yi-6B,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4700933423693482
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Yi-6B,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5290987927016582
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.534915624027797
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Yi-6B,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4865202385562781
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Yi-6B,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4791851668648496
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Yi-6B,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4733508349060321
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Yi-6B,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4693068297508552
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Yi-6B,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4725620368969128
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Yi-6B,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4738675171022656
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Yi-6B,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5228671104699603
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Yi-6B,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4754749325235837
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.480704065692652
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4708045169242294
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4703754901680407
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4744374230577283
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.471989622821107
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4819132867779959
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4872239079768554
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4700668834676684
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Yi-6B,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4787596335700043
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4710750040885886
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4716227444683062
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Yi-6B,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4840458763150569
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Yi-6B,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.45479757141584
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Yi-6B,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4844138469599232
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4792821832899861
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Yi-6B,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4712435523972517
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Yi-6B,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5331769436464673
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Yi-6B,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4825052318722434
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Yi-6B,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5269800560022506
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Yi-6B,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4881758212226458
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Yi-6B,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Yi-6B,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4544709463349253
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Yi-6B,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4819555543125552
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5226550522530774
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Yi-6B,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5427318864864112
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4713835235619423
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Yi-6B,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.472627000141039
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Yi-6B,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4885393822228288
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Yi-6B,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4815308302912934
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4608784021160575
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4502283774684474
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Yi-6B,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.523468479010813
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Yi-6B,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4492282919502047
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Yi-6B,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4948569414532671
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Yi-6B,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.474688961912306
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Yi-6B,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4823241511015904
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Yi-6B,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4559018446423666
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Yi-6B,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4725593756811159
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Yi-6B,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4711349439491699
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Yi-6B,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4714753274625741
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Yi-6B,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4554683109348421
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Yi-6B,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4764924319120548
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Yi-6B,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4805519458604881
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Yi-6B,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5339032336625444
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Yi-6B,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4730209189693046
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Yi-6B,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4930285117091996
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Yi-6B,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4642813914817579
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Yi-6B,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4834087328877086
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Yi-6B,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4763282392233173
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Yi-6B,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.457234328735539
Yi-6B,2024-01-17,Yi-6B,64.11,12.1,83.0,85.0,42.9,45.8,38.89,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Yi-6B,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4839845438140374
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4883343788617089
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4845187652988598
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4925108429577607
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4806892881481105
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4916006638884159
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5032457512972901
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4773817364993922
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4758023818661314
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4847703852132051
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4646334680649205
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.480136889465987
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.512415195997302
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5212451933243714
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.501038375748682
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4732830253334231
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4907257152887369
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5128007086473823
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5162999704007718
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5020207997461305
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4934044083025406
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will this question resolve in the negative?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5242637216911823
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5057258802860884
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4942741197139116
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.5
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4966996793390317
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5332107990796715
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A triumph over the mite-y?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4701551584442128
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5253058904440389
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5048530334632497
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4914543828983027
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5043471051311031
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5249797361443216
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4643812131340079
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5321691238940998
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.515947933281637
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5106076434846968
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5111386424627454
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4899624023597935
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5220530055099124
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5044843184784433
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4669057010129211
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4822852639612033
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.486196280367392
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4689084269943032
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Does Proxima have Planets?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.509093370146397
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.4961895919039721
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4861239184380286
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4917432717853259
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5305614030995378
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4697484155639488
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4888019482918309
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5234370739492757
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4784001159901405
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5217581685231497
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5119509691652715
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4703736192502136
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5057505341623202
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5011822958276538
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5102132682889653
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4785571979051741
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4870105872591826
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5103046299216942
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4867495668242549
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4836064512980036
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4918935346201705
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4703133016947408
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4975656271715479
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4661912359788007
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4943370875833676
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is Arnold alive?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4787014016944681
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5057810584441591
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5133051368522533
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.5066753869687133
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4854337090771593
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4824191245800604
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"How important are ""time crystals""?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.480993848830722
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5118826870872311
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4874741246497893
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4788460412420382
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4921508413548028
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4801234668235694
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4929409987012911
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4977022082658625
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4923157598401558
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5026631854625435
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4737230969535532
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5046912243199673
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4641234389783765
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4765696950864263
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4893318506413017
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4939918484854497
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4704479373036765
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5196574388295601
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4799172401454859
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4870858763104073
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.517383708181418
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4872811942539616
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4810020691764219
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.517622170526197
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5022519065663984
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4923130731206529
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4740855705271778
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4859872553085698
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5351842619582594
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4606691182447145
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5057510827779388
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4892623573567053
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4728351839134962
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.545389299183955
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4988353593357832
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5188019873152059
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4678669515839768
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5009890296064756
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5309930416202965
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5024129338633496
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4941978539338184
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4698818301379605
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4809293903193521
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5186908220094018
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4844843457206312
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.497674000067997
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5264751975309142
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4711907335190755
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.485795872191279
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4562723959236255
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5088025272549678
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4584859523184188
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4687727290912408
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5260947071796032
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4881596339466849
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4894380258579353
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5011660766379424
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4893116850609471
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.521342699523194
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5129952631708186
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4744055864419607
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4675895285987268
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4934223407584258
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4888688982191917
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4819289552597665
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5302088418978774
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4754949986600508
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Giant robot battle: is it on?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5362311437022912
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5011956629673082
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.456996964992882
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5122460381847957
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4776501646618714
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5053730410520845
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5112441382571082
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4995522101751829
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5072317033602474
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4897374522744857
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5414580445932182
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4751470321346691
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4951460165552069
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4898757203282634
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4673730221224386
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5153373769265328
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4728762226498684
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4938031580826809
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4726126426390775
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4836897357381116
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5213207713394552
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4840624532255808
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5195632250359259
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5245682201947888
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4837162861982504
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4856901086043596
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4700161001486324
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4747804217512141
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4968112294095787
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4748104827639298
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4602382613612331
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.485258521665303
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4724165616835004
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4987768408479872
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5385762351804128
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4733521138618324
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4580366271903013
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4769649616904303
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5025731670921785
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4948826434240844
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4700398940981739
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4920118716461282
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5239524301064348
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5061526147229715
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,First human head transplant in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5237412395386757
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4531304432792726
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5004364759924881
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4929409987012911
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4722019328261478
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4945362537145067
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4743358644975372
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4725740222784317
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4781521942408343
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.481021429196857
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4730280101366991
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5216181358529386
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.493230375791457
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4868808405778354
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4773598792409505
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4688073606827578
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5225416582899214
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5012075378801792
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.490034487250696
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.480016582658855
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5126424884643146
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5285566105755986
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5160372808951926
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.512505226513514
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5151536482593526
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.466271406440072
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5123242144840107
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will May Day protests turn violent?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5189940725356134
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5052670218145813
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4881058318856771
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4874630893236071
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4907775920940974
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5173004792411018
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5103227629176397
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5112966840672164
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4988817883196223
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5172656388810584
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4788915291975851
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5198718327476823
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4952273461823037
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4963947746083202
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5192959803809815
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5184630561920676
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5203236084576914
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5086066330251325
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4881881198178895
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4965294768567515
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4834722459421424
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4889469880236461
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.509645016055641
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4621644755316061
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4901453659442303
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4667280936616941
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4945444905706553
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5200988629749757
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4901685610717842
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4920138184312241
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5135901617348106
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5162056580742553
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4809102997260416
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5168592349454213
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4711434774623094
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5016080222416615
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5344243442221881
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4988892554509072
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5213338462731577
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4815103018549149
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4751070861675771
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4956309140465364
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is Westworld located on an island?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4813955622042393
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4759358851274436
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4832390162966558
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5180041652485504
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5062512315173879
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5012446064847241
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5346997701161871
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4818607049889449
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4847853737701894
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4943264571475764
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Airships by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4944035039393615
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4824234854830191
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.502300987453924
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4793203420455509
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4974557482743315
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4545077846950984
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5163538006976597
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4645222533387
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4915331858528738
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4673745121365047
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4804936787675865
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4891544018317398
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4637472478845295
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4840747878815469
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5047150759047343
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4818086717256282
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4984807408855046
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4768212963905657
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.483007396099465
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4899360948974278
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.475295671524236
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4899587648547526
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5024173549055971
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4933734918843744
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5165098906611809
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5235906972697146
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4866825270555621
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4872346461975122
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4680714267444478
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4850774030533961
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4930481842378266
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4979266311119021
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5115506626091928
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4776647129586079
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4774965819998967
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4988863524381476
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4976834613709969
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4810224538369209
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4870299143254299
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5074216742310113
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5225514126546105
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4912260790335548
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5085918746208236
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5036864046671188
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.495953179897574
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5099119775721174
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4676483852271992
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4784875510944957
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4822820491158311
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4867046002903056
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5335503456684849
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5092582898890716
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5227231407009548
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5010858935054348
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5343613906774738
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4634187951421478
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4914446661935526
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5010832333194453
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5337098979842478
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4895293195373347
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4953888325765556
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4885380300602652
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4716166110270859
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.500511291395354
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4975787251972209
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4809876439453365
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4896443580579292
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4979537200778015
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4812523150630986
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.506658091767879
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4691456928050901
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4790733297404387
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,Yi-6B-Chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4688200452506676
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",Yi-6B-Chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4834013637433157
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4805986354800396
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4827619522690651
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5098141852513516
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5326919098876548
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),Yi-6B-Chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4779315279388696
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4738640287782287
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.487740477017726
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5151687179076353
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,Yi-6B-Chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4830986424555195
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,Yi-6B-Chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4717500619561237
Yi-6B-Chat,2024-01-17,Yi-6B-Chat,58.24,38.4,55.75,72.41,51.57,69.91,39.54,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",Yi-6B-Chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5053836320699725
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.524627941320052
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5101337472421019
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5079611105778458
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5020661039426861
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5207063825817251
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4549045795937283
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4882571932809494
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5014792856246725
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.5098026653320405
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5384231222838993
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.520821285372743
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4875026035157896
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4680961424652287
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.444671944737631
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4926331461068594
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5070417878929598
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4929582121070401
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.464598343127225
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.495951505482291
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will this question resolve in the negative?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4081236026348102
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5068023013733518
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4931976986266482
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4828192666178145
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5246510503726094
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4669599816261514
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A triumph over the mite-y?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4805293314379139
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.543582809286095
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4387703939367116
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5306364199688062
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.454505737058499
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,0.0,0.4932889936444753
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4826458625670112
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.4480439735453849
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5412593493867024
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5288141925286174
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5349746366082597
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5332840382511314
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5071423712738706
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5055553269431596
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5458092812481848
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5489876434362994
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.496894449873875
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Does Proxima have Planets?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5102444677476691
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4442329857073724
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.3987316543876522
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5019999893334016
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5177230682633844
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4396890210584219
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5201579235268606
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4836124290590847
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,0.0,0.4852983566307939
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5235855659218532
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4907417990385578
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4342669688541659
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4982638958658963
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5268970867343741
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4407117594605356
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.50662212931878
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4888078400177122
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5207063825817251
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4550092365616842
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4978903078785428
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4883741888213494
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5285403709822651
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5033332839514952
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4839341039453924
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4832152644490861
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.532697552203937
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is Arnold alive?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5152624325749469
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5376981067914857
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5302179060601538
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5073524111660059
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.5107126460737526
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5386417201863551
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"How important are ""time crystals""?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5029239432767164
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5144468447435873
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5017123220729315
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5288793855852375
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4837115385590164
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.515498908986842
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.520821285372743
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5091453214101649
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5284246038525188
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.52497918747894
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5227116332606392
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5179778581562623
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5341348540180221
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.535404746470635
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5486620469533051
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4967742383038883
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5171165965869086
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5109506295698416
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5210718488627604
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5120400612476412
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5181484482949619
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4875801950632323
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5157691471282619
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4843800842769844
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5099986668799655
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5302659827682414
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5391255496578612
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5034482211936542
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5080638168854459
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.524207862401193
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5736784074525096
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4760457493345232
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5062108606511191
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5259506866640473
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.485718171714586
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5037036359648392
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5377743676176445
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.517929528769929
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5269522666041094
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5153013430693818
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4874328149847053
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4681639329562954
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5375110858547447
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4602291227157778
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5242234458814851
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5049667240463782
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5520559346961349
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5347696620488777
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.51098724197751
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5441326399468367
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4233366531422681
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.491936183114554
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5539845527641797
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.510867853259157
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5196867868906614
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5506947744507238
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5678582773066062
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.4938274740874456
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4735096759754236
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.5176917262125464
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.527105184116037
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.553498137317746
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4836042899816112
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.578142186927616
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.477579148508127
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Giant robot battle: is it on?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4805293314379139
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5089918362099203
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5356536708339716
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.482765451122805
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4695499238192083
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4602291227157778
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4556722421092255
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4575492506778388
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5205108713116469
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5542896340766623
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,0.0,0.4771152368020681
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5781582536300565
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5017482446238479
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5151026169711996
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5040159778936765
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5390767736464844
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5379270059740934
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5131548582061607
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4570334093616555
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5297575370873893
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5336031171209707
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4710469191024299
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4704645330720635
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5618763146458459
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5414995069893126
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5144886962445457
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5477934146165572
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4919035417783534
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4955556726071831
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5563995792788694
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5102725268946674
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.520209571927169
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5307958838676234
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4898662527578981
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5703954032223431
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5446652001405203
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4799215174723718
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.520480337921616
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5389692798858496
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5136329837253494
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4739366883173528
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5406508171351665
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4956648485197406
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4921881357207955
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5257503933882127
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5519589839214306
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,First human head transplant in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5106366928667769
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5580082934802277
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5116645498437119
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5074621324703608
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5368020110652205
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.491936183114554
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4938653385323696
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.5236310301341283
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5146062326505889
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.52497918747894
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5251887427654924
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5244559937355553
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4953053022892317
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5278472595408992
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5305644803445261
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5453673688033087
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4925378675296392
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4652877183159261
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4854056067100541
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5561386619617434
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4961539220130733
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.39551794514912
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.50304874270356
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5577126441674732
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will May Day protests turn violent?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4658915658697887
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5017985533937518
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.534210424568227
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.529079899263906
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.490114282793143
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5016891827627318
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4690319381443727
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5398936984022622
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5599294928078038
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5195213219520929
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5284990579191411
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.520821285372743
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4720292326644265
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5265706902823604
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4930074489353924
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5015337375207429
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5760005263868363
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5418725018411876
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4800106598444182
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5299640517645717
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5335035964038882
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5275793409272228
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.52497918747894
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,1.0,0.5018656629833053
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.538682237146705
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.4918745203806115
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5018115862757094
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4822908752302163
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.4935900947750925
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4883354501562881
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.52497918747894
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4653839327092053
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.5284925882765708
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5328473599294229
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5069925510646076
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4653973602463497
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5726954644777142
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Airships by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.484047968859678
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.530027115122708
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5315977638866245
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is Westworld located on an island?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4264631330069377
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5861485828954425
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5222076018581396
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4925378675296392
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.517929528769929
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5370288550828068
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4713233711628255
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5555420671794956
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4970588574525463
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5793404184094828
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5303679814904834
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.516298571331734
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5680679119921564
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5185939622600726
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4535823184750577
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5696112743663695
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5083674195934156
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.548717132001046
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.503424603981465
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5092582009614421
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.526810418720352
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5399753480981302
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5247322744220013
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4931038855982204
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4590471721143387
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5180916459245125
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5094074918193384
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4937861707918607
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5279428827575743
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.595662410606538
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.515033061705309
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5093156920477888
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5272166609868949
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5035970602445037
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.4956332987974803
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,0.0,0.496268725983147
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5028248287016003
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5016891827627318
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5033783269674232
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5234359085123448
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5400375521608396
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.530496449552616
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.4869432675744067
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5304500761807917
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5040982688737231
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5440035103251184
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5251585914703583
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5624920322068154
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5104151598873647
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5234054438313848
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5019999893334016
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5581301118051057
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.574970039718162
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5139823674147087
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5272457120897398
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4967949156952049
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.5018115862757094
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.470754142118128
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5471963510585154
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.525618571920654
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.553001636269518
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5593219285478055
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.496428632165913
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5526611172386009
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4904773420925274
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4850141608672357
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4910723774907235
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5259690496192839
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5391255496578612
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,1.0,0.5054742338088046
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5166604965694114
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4920006825967688
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5614425755309471
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.483418405086297
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.552438044874211
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.5
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5412964398814437
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5440035103251184
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5152391810935798
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4340597960291032
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4735096759754236
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,baichuan-13b-chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5156199157230156
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",baichuan-13b-chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.529037057737934
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.5535571898360083
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4851291471708371
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5563498524472802
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.508162540062084
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5138853177460049
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),baichuan-13b-chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.530937738962911
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5053189482832294
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5785689165914241
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,baichuan-13b-chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4795711275096457
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,baichuan-13b-chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5184479978191826
baichuan-13b-chat,2023-06-24,baichuan-13b-chat,52.1,0.1,43.95,56.48,38.19,56.2,9.29,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",baichuan-13b-chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5724785495102133
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5154782349362493
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4789492613951589
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4968782923835993
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4836392307962524
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5027188421527607
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.4908529360167468
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4819897773075497
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4832435743545582
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4736552516139971
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4818608770753234
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4684999976407411
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.4944306100998697
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5004868547633705
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4884210031044076
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4946500096342276
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.500497759915205
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5185673096754769
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5358614581296361
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4966571653758266
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5153936842602689
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will this question resolve in the negative?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4909100925297133
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4706043997996195
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5293956002003806
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.499462654693706
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.494900737740587
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.4988956395650484
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A triumph over the mite-y?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.494749317879628
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5074390046665112
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4833036238573626
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5070989144272254
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4778133211847889
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5271635610629297
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4674258815579769
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5067110063555247
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5144036977332725
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5192315553502134
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5252398524680905
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5005558641400889
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5220661285423515
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5099765027781377
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5048923299689302
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.50888098855026
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5233551732538038
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Does Proxima have Planets?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5169358573577268
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4672753116038631
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.488558335785857
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5102287517266343
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5123763734538541
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5215233613379379
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4613805377279171
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4924817696961929
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5112947383529768
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4989806334204681
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5095966275499755
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4937987676019496
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5026068585479293
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5094141499455692
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4446070045109744
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4938115589344394
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4760751271814898
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5127564018451009
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5048411612430675
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5246342779078011
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5111635317458083
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5050249564430996
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.47480488194907
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4979210099022031
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5042091609367855
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4904643715880294
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is Arnold alive?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4932859899740225
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4789843513760357
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4837543660879744
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5146599408024192
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4832943865967121
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4852462401562698
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5053302884659827
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4747619076952061
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.500547045733582
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4708173215826916
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4744491922678658
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"How important are ""time crystals""?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4604517815275209
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4947120862929971
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5082128136327305
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5246713063688933
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5021253857108433
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5095885952028588
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5082184378346599
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4984670461930572
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5080942739141986
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5235571078607023
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4697435644210513
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5143364134258261
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4858207008593942
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5126363379803978
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.487564753911439
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4804708618290511
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5296135415494023
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4905572613699254
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4952027058502951
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5095947816103419
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5049178741894393
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4964467603247212
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4842211270933641
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4909584325320748
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5331508810405867
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4788514751120497
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4971575064613953
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4686172349838761
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5175366634967408
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.519438128155523
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5235535620050021
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5077556106024181
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5177980593604136
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5469478169277174
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4845882169893131
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5025367615924115
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4790774632630617
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.506149751365579
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4852829064152648
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4722507649454868
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5055450591594115
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5124365906117424
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4729125759294399
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4937322473306383
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5040052547805587
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5103731511522618
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4633770878846395
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4876982325683838
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4658754774003932
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5209627612920635
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5016638873687645
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4826157057662545
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4936929950917335
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5290550758768162
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4990014990807191
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4927419950573233
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4830475114718982
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5122251015632513
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4924938615456753
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5054619675952311
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5216081543753739
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4820447172907074
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Giant robot battle: is it on?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5047759741421913
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4715592047563309
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5108221219536982
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4734071630992588
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4895224920902341
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4973489113761881
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5153713216628044
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.493276101813527
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.514927408987461
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4960785117820764
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5162326944380555
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5190217616944048
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4834699079187258
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4903960586309433
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4957082599107004
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5138435410757509
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5165361229327177
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4884699192341312
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4994138337972574
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4990319469985512
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5220761551582636
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4975393899430477
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5045430349947218
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5240970730218238
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4909049260130642
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5162017812802631
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4990592673376968
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4773009320612969
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5068580306750239
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4970238446729532
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4843495368771833
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4848234684266936
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4587441998544498
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5072854588374898
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5128451387299667
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5051946182868511
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4910208097202896
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4892316061411241
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5441787839291492
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4979079619990054
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4983117678112247
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,First human head transplant in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.508468981037517
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.474622611715864
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5242205721253579
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5016882321887752
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5264244290005086
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4974554927041971
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4774709815234743
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4697435644210513
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.52497918747894
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4758379692346351
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4977678719714941
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5205524553178421
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4858337518999512
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4876568292778688
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4958531756518746
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.517234548877195
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4977851750623113
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4824994277960728
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4854692091367832
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5173859069731769
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5434738749109301
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.482480398138377
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4913986980729351
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.510009200069483
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5099714791775262
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5304809760953932
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5182239678715322
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.472943676264676
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5036156394550849
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4865043586704836
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5014984970119907
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will May Day protests turn violent?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5015822731991664
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5021096921214572
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4723434927804778
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5142726899587315
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4939368643779338
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5282748123388226
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5117166047041654
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4874118313075764
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4970149608379841
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5018083103797522
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4854208005802095
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5072533771315669
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4949188741094266
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5072458695114436
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4994824018412063
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5020428895514708
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5067318562671947
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4937987676019496
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5110346763034537
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4762366252882711
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5051122962760609
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5205426717506493
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5048411612430675
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4956690207377671
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4985465157221342
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4806517813218972
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5215251490102326
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.480907091525258
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4950084852970463
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5107187692095919
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5257778361967014
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4715579160135749
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5149448263179093
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4699100676166023
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.49894011817467
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5302469701321373
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5090128094435129
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5372224697390839
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is Westworld located on an island?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4787362373298253
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5015657568860103
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4827941367339903
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5324335360447254
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.504761760794195
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5180058423015493
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4965483783017135
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.527888932222152
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5078249619702541
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5063580387742557
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4782141735001228
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Airships by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4994152049450178
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.491812400317519
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5140691327823179
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5152546742039671
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4679397507328419
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4943537126417853
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5051752033341365
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.488979740922261
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4975984814835948
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4849630420299345
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4972051716457262
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4657353916035696
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4555531491163277
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5021141523053946
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5010090803656316
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4904114047971412
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5105530166444038
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4882899275427069
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4843125098827195
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4878320175770653
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5094081941769834
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4905055924345073
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4478035913562682
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4783372690474789
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5010917013219602
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4900013331200346
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5115155784424024
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5193686608286261
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4594634978049559
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5250996575398573
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.482468843884782
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5007923923635645
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5101753490918332
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5082722544205305
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5153063986221234
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5147110439835393
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4926530356251135
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5035536004347493
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5172717429382423
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5248798334874355
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5192104372838555
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4948341321610346
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4979112393049721
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5117685527506574
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5093911606354788
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4983987244496192
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5044173339915583
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5212208138475884
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4846078825392184
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.464314173035592
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5190794013830997
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4908870851958333
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.4956684251983584
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5336409043900647
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5090154162485728
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5016997101665188
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5063847217002158
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4995229009081575
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4944905811179375
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5010758455693811
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.50378166748886
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4839111356880838
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4832766126354386
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4862699836448317
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5080475947068529
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4971751712983996
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4971607346640052
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4984317876827941
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4848616108622734
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5013686097206271
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4899421853249825
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5064374125140616
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4947680130768623
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5251360252866707
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,baichuan-7b-chat,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.487070820896876
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",baichuan-7b-chat,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4932102939309727
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4967863324168103
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4900484594578886
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5326139600988716
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5110985627615636
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),baichuan-7b-chat,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.473035037235805
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4885640862496815
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.493262620051536
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5235912393862299
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,baichuan-7b-chat,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4740031791865619
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,baichuan-7b-chat,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5116937736562392
baichuan-7b-chat,2023-09-24,baichuan-7b-chat,42.8,9.1,40.83,46.96,35.17,47.28,23.3,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",baichuan-7b-chat,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.513770621333627
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.553909482945742
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.6562241679637553
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5626322521365158
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.6358460590542773
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5783699607937511
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.2788755907968703
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5926901127640091
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4890794069106048
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.6873044568266155
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5479215299767037
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5074621324703608
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.3839623881783798
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",chatglm3-6b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4631567030747533
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.2797439139411013
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5400389445008498
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5221867965811491
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4036201725613229
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4915778576054855
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4416792825303706
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.3221594102890741
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will this question resolve in the negative?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.394591129684781
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.429539992183092
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.570460007816908
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4157986085616494
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.6192238652345284
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",chatglm3-6b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.27439223002061
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A triumph over the mite-y?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5042681890044391
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5296984251464258
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4386121073060917
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.516873476411089
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4476330178816402
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5639971104417021
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4634039940572059
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.2859149547444967
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.6536956461019372
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.6397948043594784
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.7003030624760684
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",chatglm3-6b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5085807636722135
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.6823480639125935
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.6350999632710308
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.6926343476139183
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5811536216508059
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5772210788507095
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Does Proxima have Planets?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5106216312658549
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4783145712941107
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.406138595801768
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5748764090261153
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5551960819288041
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.4599551550307046
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.429391881363702
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5174436007135831
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5261896016312764
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5613133074389371
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4473786781580781
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4189907988107217
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5647036391441694
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",chatglm3-6b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5764603893202054
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.3167380726385964
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",chatglm3-6b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4537000573572176
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4399866060131361
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5837226167780434
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.6530730026144574
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5558039074934417
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.573212185654392
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5211970282295175
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5029761553270468
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4717669599780364
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5843927076830336
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is Arnold alive?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.6331447487022248
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5478995307851767
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5735063464292159
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5654939771460528
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.484922954023911
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.6565422950032721
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"How important are ""time crystals""?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4827745820376279
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.7043761037225658
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5714370754614991
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",chatglm3-6b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5134655522047309
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5260224057319713
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.6903037271582346
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4508876382091979
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5628062040283909
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.555328055262369
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4677828486683467
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6497926230731809
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5380844272769051
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6935186330733009
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.575432002591262
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6789058541598161
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5660230666537063
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6115546952532274
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4623177794897909
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5142172395458059
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.4035005063768967
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4509130211304354
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5314739962560215
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5940524442481558
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5636899912534703
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5255352830110536
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4915460710776307
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5468931354903441
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.7239037666152859
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4926390999778735
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",chatglm3-6b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4651056566856115
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5549963668216629
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5860878740283713
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4800106598444182
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4659926399031742
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4979568123068463
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5360589630293511
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5986146303401028
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4707893633953772
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.6145423807598728
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,0.0,0.4241743434061136
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5625775913190862
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5157578911152796
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4971098587783842
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.362582230683145
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4790232458724033
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,chatglm3-6b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.66448890347053
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,chatglm3-6b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4436327004378548
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",chatglm3-6b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5872322359865539
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5698817767198037
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5211700367899365
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,chatglm3-6b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.6964672846472444
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5516013362207843
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5961949061345977
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,chatglm3-6b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4808689813814082
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4557120394318849
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.6978413138733954
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.463022384046896
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5993513235063054
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4797408274031225
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5356146665677192
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.493412977511957
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",chatglm3-6b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.3245691910979748
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4771120645667745
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5122033301609692
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4841075995262222
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5312322785669112
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.6300065464058872
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,0.0,0.4910373746917521
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",chatglm3-6b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5276381983187848
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Giant robot battle: is it on?,chatglm3-6b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4392663391795877
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4600956411741838
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5078831641385682
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4464594037163325
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4661402305415839
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4362663064519041
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,chatglm3-6b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4758461997976986
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.3721150830424415
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.6179022299517398
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5781522422981722
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5424388734199965
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5468320198463471
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",chatglm3-6b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5575996848075021
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.6381045719811269
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5165017083158479
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4909627851190431
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.6323751980885045
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",chatglm3-6b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.3450819186778785
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4552119048647278
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.6802540427344301
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",chatglm3-6b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5261339665913157
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.630242221015925
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.521126327187375
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.6267418637301759
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4180398900583087
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.6143334536490671
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.6619241885422206
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",chatglm3-6b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.6182374614810788
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5708940112206513
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5037906779405636
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5520364173434337
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4676056579370768
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.3909900592780487
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5812264708465736
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.6026058346972879
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4513278407262998
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5690778723724242
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5304177434004564
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.6169272750006971
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4649883174213292
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.6480232780013612
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5342405579142228
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",chatglm3-6b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.6581960712312557
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4351201317365241
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.7283728549599111
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.3710725543824233
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,First human head transplant in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5659698682545743
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4807039424213572
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,chatglm3-6b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.575432002591262
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.6928705855446663
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4893007239306552
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5205216063576246
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,chatglm3-6b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5785607238817806
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,chatglm3-6b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5946953228083027
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",chatglm3-6b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4887067402871963
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.6125086726746117
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,chatglm3-6b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5554884220072894
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,chatglm3-6b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.6197396146918942
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.6437255520225099
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4761250816221727
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.6584049655069086
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,0.0,0.4972170973826009
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5721607521411893
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4657268812284124
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5865768908437132
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.4636061439224053
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.2972967353206948
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.6891776560283839
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.3696895424867534
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",chatglm3-6b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4202383233672504
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5841637660595939
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.6413252947170922
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will May Day protests turn violent?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4834108021069708
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",chatglm3-6b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5053892210517607
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,chatglm3-6b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4548627569798956
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4977169108448251
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.6614977520164069
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4453211013415808
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5006544498880412
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.3907277008320491
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5068011730617701
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.6750354370497611
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4967433410730791
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",chatglm3-6b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4160611645352147
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.6922897370554074
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5083458066714586
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.3769609364934777
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4117546603204304
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4112724364465616
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.6883745526490407
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.6644443095847269
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.6724190888046989
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,1.0,0.5807576873115002
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.659823678007521
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.6579356533842083
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,chatglm3-6b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4733263180802452
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.6017410812699155
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4927895344646255
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.6304247288030277
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.4371884939252514
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5176732426792723
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4569931076975924
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.3578090115140386
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4689053233608719
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5317887846256174
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.3430355859632708
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4534944913753239
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5663409533531636
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4346029829159411
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.3605855081814736
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.6733705121000408
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",chatglm3-6b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4920019369808137
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.541402953628547
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6019009408634766
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5384409098742053
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Airships by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5813168661148782
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",chatglm3-6b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5817593768418363
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4691603378313067
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.565831239141799
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6655696490562978
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6757033498426512
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5806473988647987
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.664009354847934
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is Westworld located on an island?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4869498672206329
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5448342472859402
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4533051525765161
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.6278946570414218
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.519162389031523
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5519798543340954
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4265828136051621
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5218030460371053
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4817703789316567
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.6199407237874085
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5626397017002666
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4918933207680652
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.6088926498420435
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5381467138696553
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",chatglm3-6b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4318850932801523
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.3295813904952417
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4811996259089144
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4761345984072083
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.589157429489138
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5985272975567492
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.571115455731137
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.5010689454585486
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5912907926638485
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.6638193250842436
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5509055547081121
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",chatglm3-6b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5069594614271913
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,0.0,0.4350818947998552
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,chatglm3-6b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5237915435013812
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4896405201713089
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.466384947792255
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.5439805307325214
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",chatglm3-6b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.6285171608494621
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,chatglm3-6b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.6877091430933193
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.441990342991694
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5284761248771681
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.6419821583622759
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.5720980811218721
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.6530642438816506
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.644116934161902
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.654043296539498
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.567559495441118
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.6505951910716992
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.6051455022529123
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.6577791496219256
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5871844432638841
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5996300798097182
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5096302996691755
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4593314211532369
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",chatglm3-6b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5642683591849826
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5879144892355462
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.6489074651604294
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5026684202961229
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,chatglm3-6b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.6082494732226471
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.633658184296488
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5470560517817213
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.6541455149241799
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.6282474989518095
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,chatglm3-6b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5087381863756184
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.4208960506680596
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5045149274480816
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.6961408666040374
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.456728830030802
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",chatglm3-6b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.6499161655106057
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.6410007079596791
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4937466036285672
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",chatglm3-6b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5355842703628432
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5375188414080384
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4118960149391226
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,chatglm3-6b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4925021574957765
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5996359271038775
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.6752997489533165
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5062108606511191
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5735716820596192
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,chatglm3-6b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5992398581465315
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,chatglm3-6b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.7059954705373095
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",chatglm3-6b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.6350094100475053
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,chatglm3-6b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5099527433604927
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",chatglm3-6b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.6862608087183943
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,chatglm3-6b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,0.0,0.490101858989416
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),chatglm3-6b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5990037515818664
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,chatglm3-6b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5952349080476756
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,chatglm3-6b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5487640690744652
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,chatglm3-6b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.7064594549601093
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,chatglm3-6b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.546540612382841
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,chatglm3-6b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5794246251313925
chatglm3-6b,2023-10-24,chatglm3-6b,61.4,72.0,46.12,59.12,42.82,56.49,,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",chatglm3-6b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.7220772658762904
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5071937481739118
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5136020852018274
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4918040128854498
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5308884507496012
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4781161794593798
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4846582826730994
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4927541304885564
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4866698262617676
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5072987515834347
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5139823674147088
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4777923981418603
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.5075182303038072
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5152624325749469
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5099489354325855
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5487952505666751
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will this question resolve in the negative?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4927012484165652
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5154989089868421
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4845010910131578
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5195977978782956
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4928062518260882
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5093447061474363
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A triumph over the mite-y?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4796031623338354
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5071971995917047
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5203968376661646
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.507518230303807
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4922486830673416
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5078118642792044
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5235855659218532
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5074068655321695
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5133301737382324
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4926905792463636
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.5090899074702867
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4869310819650718
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.5138853177460049
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Does Proxima have Planets?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4919361831145541
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.50858284782757
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.520821285372743
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5158676856908759
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4930074489353924
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4919035417783534
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5148104809542339
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5072987515834347
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.485718171714586
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4930074489353924
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4745443206829592
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.515714903501231
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4805293314379139
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4918745203806115
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4913052244083454
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4828393609177743
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5072987515834347
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4925931344678305
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4735346909187487
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4898491106853672
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4756290835227086
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is Arnold alive?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4918040128854498
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4930560020517394
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4925931344678305
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"How important are ""time crystals""?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4804977039083704
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4930560020517394
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4853539075431352
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4695035504473839
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4837455670697003
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4845010910131578
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.492647588833994
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4848531208913145
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5166604965694114
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4917483220823863
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5151886956059365
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4939027412848634
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5169339726506148
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5078733648926594
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4844682754468913
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5212637626701747
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4925378675296392
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4854056067100542
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5212637626701747
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5151468791086855
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4933337283669705
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4928576287261293
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4932889936444753
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5163957100183887
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5156199157230156
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4763955119175205
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5147016433692061
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5341348540180221
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4854056067100542
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5154989089868421
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4802734026394578
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4868451417938393
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4838765599450736
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4849669382946909
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4921266351073405
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5070417878929598
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.491770290622881
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5144886962445457
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4909919657862464
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5144886962445457
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4909100925297132
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.491770290622881
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4766252381532642
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4845843266089863
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4928576287261293
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5078118642792044
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4867580641355326
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.485718171714586
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4917362897397492
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4934214322767656
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5068961144017796
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4742164391940555
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Giant robot battle: is it on?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.477633983350733
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4860176325852912
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5074844708517818
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4938653385323696
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4863047962765885
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4849669382946909
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5082637102602507
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.482765451122805
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.491032351875783
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.492064158537681
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5071423712738707
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4847375674250531
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.484535871729281
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5243709164772914
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4916325804065844
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5078733648926594
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4860176325852912
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4846202378829159
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5314544701312309
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5197265973605422
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4921881357207956
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4867580641355326
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5138853177460049
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4931038855982204
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4924817696961929
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4925378675296392
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4852423828408264
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4829852956508608
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4789173551021266
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4860176325852912
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4851895190457661
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4929582121070402
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,First human head transplant in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.491936183114554
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5165229071953926
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.484535871729281
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5082979932309851
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4928028004082953
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4858194067588751
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4786105121328148
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.484257173797978
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4752727138455847
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4852423828408264
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5061346614676303
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5068961144017796
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4934644245376287
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.491151366428985
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5166604965694115
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4915515000026409
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4928062518260882
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4927541304885564
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5140807829033678
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5251887427654924
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.49187063513531
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4918040128854498
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5139823674147087
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will May Day protests turn violent?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4926475888339939
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5086198355464996
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4713717338021868
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4912672636609999
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4927012484165652
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4918119074143509
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5153797621170841
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4924817696961928
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4869310819650718
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.519889995913269
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4929582121070402
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4848531208913145
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5074068655321695
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.514180593241125
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5143214050686666
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5084380173778285
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.484230852871738
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4848973830288003
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4838765599450736
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4829852956508608
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5074621324703608
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4496347182475023
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.50858284782757
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5156199157230156
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4924817696961929
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4586439216125682
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5255518342200467
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5225445561021018
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4825652109416548
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4929082770234801
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5074068655321695
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5078118642792044
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.492064158537681
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is Westworld located on an island?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5084025702128392
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.507352411166006
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5075182303038072
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.507935841462319
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4846582826730994
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5203968376661646
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.484132314309124
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4709629422620661
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Airships by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4928576287261293
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4910723774907236
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5084380173778285
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4797408274031225
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4553431934491765
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4924817696961929
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4790332813878014
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4853539075431352
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4925378675296392
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5074068655321695
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4715718480726298
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4837455670697003
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5139823674147088
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5084380173778285
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4875801950632323
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4682965582259318
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5064931414477742
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4710469191024299
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4928062518260882
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4846202378829159
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5171606390822256
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.508229709377119
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4665571822403945
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4927012484165652
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.491936183114554
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4848531208913145
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5072987515834347
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4925378675296392
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.50763299474575
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4826909021800813
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4904773420925274
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4928062518260882
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4916674381858807
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4910723774907236
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4928062518260882
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4928028004082953
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4929082770234801
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5276518975509681
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4858194067588751
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5151026169711996
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4925931344678305
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4831287701798595
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4839860615156062
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5147016433692061
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.506756345491646
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.5070917229765199
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,1.0,0.507352411166006
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4925378675296392
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4929082770234801
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5074251966654628
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.473358588549516
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4916674381858807
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4937891393488809
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4849669382946909
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5071937481739118
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4931038855982204
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4832698461737655
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,falcon-rw-1b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4831287701798595
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4813171135277395
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",falcon-rw-1b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4756653644142651
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4925931344678305
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4829126397463384
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5302659827682414
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4864897758865953
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),falcon-rw-1b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4846582826730994
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,falcon-rw-1b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4848973830288003
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,falcon-rw-1b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.484005459097298
falcon-rw-1b,2023-04-24,falcon-rw-1b,25.28,0.5,29.2,28.0,29.5,28.9,5.31,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",falcon-rw-1b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5144280231924383
interlm-20b,2023-09-18,interlm-20b,61.85,23.0,,,,,,,,,,,
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,1.0,0.5713555425959226
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,1.0,0.5643578667761743
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5323061723238947
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5472797797919875
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,1.0,0.5222693797471416
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,0.0,0.430332004477659
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,1.0,0.5678575266212023
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,1.0,0.5504922818037811
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,1.0,0.5574500768055584
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5773590910565924
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,1.0,0.5530539721879377
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,0.0,0.409663711191197
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,0.0,0.4283249960920665
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4144851142187863
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,1.0,0.5553974287604379
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,1.0,0.581492595202958
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,0.0,0.4501316017343634
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4254656991547297
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4377593358994209
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,0.0,0.4522702535734593
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will this question resolve in the negative?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,0.0,0.4594160243634517
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4256075339124466
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5743924660875533
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4276570579481447
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.582758270360543
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,0.0,0.3870411761069681
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A triumph over the mite-y?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,1.0,0.5586770853202467
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.6234331459740274
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.4461555492343765
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,1.0,0.5752533149669994
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4309775182582754
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,0.0,0.4780962198024276
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,1.0,0.5646329631318723
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,0.0,0.392148796547761
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5667554099995377
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,1.0,0.5932358453298703
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,1.0,0.568311593158376
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,1.0,0.5800650368347836
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5778945200963106
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,1.0,0.572643723434954
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,1.0,0.6013723923398628
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,1.0,0.5734530824542299
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,1.0,0.540190493205455
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5284896071635373
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Does Proxima have Planets?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4517458133296071
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,0.0,0.2937553186839969
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5851228909460293
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,1.0,0.5554321805170999
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,0.0,0.3854694357205779
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,1.0,0.5539225695208916
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,1.0,0.5748167918676571
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,0.0,0.4114151942848946
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5782419830996246
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4495711577297434
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.443427972300963
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,1.0,0.5868613850255283
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,1.0,0.5860903115909772
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4413806621084083
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5796903826298762
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4333911469227086
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4256117679444727
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.574180792049104
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5756568681315577
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,1.0,0.5968459819081589
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,1.0,0.5595070388505675
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,1.0,0.5617671447688253
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,1.0,0.5944255294691443
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,1.0,0.5738478756411414
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5609959567833448
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is Arnold alive?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5440195851697499
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5613544228540369
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,1.0,0.5787435983934827
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4278531794023741
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,1.0,0.5800100791121457
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5402421160355875
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5558408493343373
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5737079939769862
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"How important are ""time crystals""?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5474023971936015
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5952593896988436
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5693905578182827
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5529092048079841
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,1.0,0.62067152096545
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5930215704891273
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5808078680597025
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5694177493966728
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5891494983276463
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5884655434218796
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5727074642078746
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5381769162249089
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.6697347998054478
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5890863236727593
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5687823859402193
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,1.0,0.540432505270347
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,0.0,0.4339844485968581
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5731807021340564
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5665484131842852
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5566546561277681
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.55459848086395
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.568542179811647
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,0.0,0.4356025043376588
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,1.0,0.5567128233538111
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5503199569004739
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,1.0,0.589814403503873
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,0.0,0.4370750582455484
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,0.0,0.4070605840483857
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5749036939965425
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5647681458527853
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5825702064623147
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,1.0,0.5658098298073919
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,0.0,0.4273471694017483
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5843819424374318
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4369295557429085
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,1.0,0.5570975165413977
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,0.0,0.4268277159504866
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,0.0,0.4047795151138408
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5818651623859691
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4293462749987545
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5543178534034876
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5855569757256076
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,1.0,0.5662597615666415
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4236781200925475
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5698476063889205
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,0.0,0.4373390426546371
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5477581530118844
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5701078964689192
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,1.0,0.5700975522173588
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5764069634424089
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,1.0,0.531924543219948
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,1.0,0.5478357971230211
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5759862255262597
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5542811436543149
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,1.0,0.5571528972674668
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,1.0,0.5812759960293414
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5716362462835525
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,0.0,0.4246652252764653
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4210637890733312
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,1.0,0.6637426485261408
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,1.0,0.5579480207688359
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5828692930978655
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,1.0,0.5791441937271614
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5809973860301383
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,0.0,0.4884663577991138
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,1.0,0.5714561157339862
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Giant robot battle: is it on?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,0.0,0.4380412517732458
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,1.0,0.5583218637124348
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5735848291082032
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4402190660199758
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,1.0,0.5724685201559097
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4421595414078223
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,0.0,0.4136002830760963
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.378051799266595
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,1.0,0.576270313695453
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,1.0,0.5652130067067469
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5163220257130388
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,1.0,0.563888677665222
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5759682975814822
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,1.0,0.565078689145458
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5739115496363951
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,0.0,0.4679861389525175
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,1.0,0.5851399775286416
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4422458778690676
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5568051618881135
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5695176332324262
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5738062570460599
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5747053541469991
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,0.0,0.4463216501453503
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4205337025974871
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.568327311192681
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,1.0,0.5741780863593509
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5726169865816472
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5248705595232577
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4340016154618004
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5809135732053152
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5679273390300581
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5707684949530218
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5722186788565526
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5905860392945971
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5335863477154178
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,1.0,0.559670976223446
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5789396017378544
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,1.0,0.6781258471484715
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,1.0,0.5560652209090396
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5713160950269345
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.531977641103246
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4441737890623201
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5285403709822651
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,First human head transplant in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.565412413213333
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4484706117144674
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5918843610949743
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5842953340357396
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,1.0,0.6132333613778067
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5930215704891273
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5877228346167365
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5397910656202055
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,1.0,0.5686985428424532
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,1.0,0.6459248257886674
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,1.0,0.5708731530851922
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,1.0,0.5624635256810515
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,1.0,0.553272966016323
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,0.0,0.448873572535175
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5982307260695857
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.6441277121422287
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5750586823074588
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,1.0,0.565568222354812
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,0.0,0.4401752499801372
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,1.0,0.5564953071045275
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5302850553686292
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5687396603978386
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,0.0,0.423843460391565
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4510441148154508
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5756533288952517
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4454978535361866
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4277813211434473
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5566660724551504
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,1.0,0.5745709250558863
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will May Day protests turn violent?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4350946815048508
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,1.0,0.6209535884645502
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5663199081519017
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5764974094282206
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5718964309593675
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,0.0,0.4553983728093855
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,0.0,0.4283904633938742
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4136468512893835
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,1.0,0.5887719941440599
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,1.0,0.5788050240247028
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5720200339615196
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4250963060034575
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,1.0,0.5693750292727933
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.568448227679192
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.449569135518064
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,0.0,0.4224695785280884
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,0.0,0.42971381628666
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,1.0,0.5712604268408216
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5792296611415205
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5843488999421481
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,1.0,0.5659016738945148
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5921437661672969
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,1.0,0.5808212359231392
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,1.0,0.5490722916625085
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,1.0,0.5616994395142872
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,1.0,0.5401900114272414
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,1.0,0.582103730429572
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,0.0,0.4384579666282193
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5468929411212641
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5745311051540741
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.434799610142933
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,0.0,0.4129276164277109
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,1.0,0.5437236502353247
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4091225932406253
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,1.0,0.557278204309808
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4697530658540081
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4213094754926346
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5531000389691507
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5849603797604221
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is Westworld located on an island?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4247134079020106
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5718163146605162
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.57587300726579
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5643182863589953
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5798198486223807
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.579585054237665
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.577241248948871
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4406481207708946
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5982389220960843
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5523014196997307
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5676130876778905
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Airships by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6047495994154027
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5744783082680057
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.6650799383097177
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.581517095047936
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5506515787243176
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5502799329575209
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5768303071919544
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5734530824542299
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5729189601476713
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5808196621866243
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5669529781696472
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4560402769070826
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,1.0,0.6027962130762647
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,1.0,0.584043296060547
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5725524112094823
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,0.0,0.4117125059071456
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4568126349260609
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5769945507961262
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,1.0,0.5611770342606595
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,1.0,0.5693751860922697
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.5732028620736379
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,1.0,0.5668122215330105
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,1.0,0.6027312098195389
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,1.0,0.5793226266173707
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,1.0,0.5769490379905191
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,1.0,0.5668674008325373
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,0.0,0.3590686279080476
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,0.0,0.4702031550278194
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5845013679385977
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5368843756957065
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,1.0,0.5544081691681119
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,1.0,0.6586663974671488
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5871072858370788
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,1.0,0.5656917517807034
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,0.0,0.416113953086147
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,1.0,0.5703572121274536
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,1.0,0.5578974460770577
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,1.0,0.64494473824504
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5768065209035086
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5816914763859042
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,1.0,0.6640444819454795
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5712604268408216
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5773962095660468
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5925130984805325
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,1.0,0.5735298716307402
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5796723664454246
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.6092311711898604
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,1.0,0.558353567224553
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,1.0,0.564121108222937
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,1.0,0.5459134583819181
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,1.0,0.5630422927483273
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,1.0,0.5655799671599111
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,0.0,0.456771251098782
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,1.0,0.5605906986936798
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5805764600030118
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5879688618296195
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5848012354217702
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,1.0,0.6068163689935615
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,1.0,0.5662597615666415
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,0.0,0.424482336744403
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,0.0,0.454432462075611
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,1.0,0.62369539332148
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,1.0,0.5737958596712478
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5642536227214972
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5744998555236523
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,1.0,0.592720634766524
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5805764600030118
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4259063630063466
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5468518681308684
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5785890753689066
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.5594926752070456
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5774472582860393
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,1.0,0.5932836644078575
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,1.0,0.5878516793205228
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,internlm-chat-7b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,1.0,0.5575248530407213
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,1.0,0.6135733688152352
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",internlm-chat-7b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,1.0,0.601601777326795
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,1.0,0.5760577880085747
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,1.0,0.5749104850301918
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,0.0,0.4453900542069278
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),internlm-chat-7b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5616206364409855
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,1.0,0.567255612627887
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5696264860459972
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5705324026185287
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,internlm-chat-7b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,1.0,0.5630822221130523
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,internlm-chat-7b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,1.0,0.5621936554032243
internlm-chat-7b,2023-06-06,internlm-chat-7b,50.8,34.0,46.08,58.56,40.28,56.68,9.73,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",internlm-chat-7b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,1.0,0.5952593896988436
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4531557587597723
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4881418612403838
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4576144314671411
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4698673863751639
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4851139567425827
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5512426217905428
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4695270999523976
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4514328953792625
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4469567113720284
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4778413391418291
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4661373739682282
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5342579274608321
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.576105115466775
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5525884122450879
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4441409126721197
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4609299725582608
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5355946557159326
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5523995398328425
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5636053065256112
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5326839204793525
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will this question resolve in the negative?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.570608263808108
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5585530996093311
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4414469003906689
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5603483056555405
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.462092473727378
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5416000290617735
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A triumph over the mite-y?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4423025379949308
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4701597201670477
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.567564698705219
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4544773223716641
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5398126189048955
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5395628743268137
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4357330376301888
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5325143767558091
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4692911650151631
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4843801960777292
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4597813260797062
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4317997801327808
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4640567099875735
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4666704090134664
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4549308207073662
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4190211276508283
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4570124044309055
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Does Proxima have Planets?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5227398057463375
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4465947737360207
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5273966979794109
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4713652569098828
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4540408394952136
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5410674245190696
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.464464209209367
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.444673665021993
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5464377671638523
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.440920279352853
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5548421235063594
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5704518142898285
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4296911042517357
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4710919442633546
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5365619162654975
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4532625146256422
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.56220655305197
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4642894073447501
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5504496395681948
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4375578282325897
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4450396017536099
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4593842394883865
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4668019250011871
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4387554289411284
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4728333174657211
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is Arnold alive?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4527633924427018
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4474809469826977
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4435115379716762
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4472229561107851
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5385010142606124
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4578722302768561
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4679100923388775
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.467993907189441
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4586081404190719
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4263161240549309
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4725859118331563
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4150135271696046
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"How important are ""time crystals""?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4532858591952713
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4637622138687685
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4810591975079903
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4593456964688203
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4889825269390698
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4754717295575407
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4512817443210452
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.477243671248134
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4449353489413408
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4325905073021491
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4722374372821029
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4608683912500195
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4286542890061307
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5437314280326836
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4588903131901731
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.440356100982693
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4747710076029338
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4544780140307343
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.447009159747883
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5360612099293349
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4637021644016531
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4568060663731842
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4425872639615738
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5352967677952908
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5824050905166678
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4725355430200793
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4547052993210321
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4759387418726121
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4345586768218719
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5514222225388145
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4538753691360627
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5430633876732469
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4491317445564722
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.544671562877759
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5966067953483806
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4802828547098141
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.539872802819097
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4719055719309825
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4702065018058002
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4524227350794013
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.571118195301979
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4553255901379327
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5430629851881927
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4634768593382089
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4628893451155769
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4647083781518153
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4479656414352811
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4354893812886949
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.450163126182225
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4181610106134628
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4493212423375085
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4517155477931279
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4384528433808093
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.460364561590788
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5526247202413206
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.519971672608355
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4679360193221375
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4193037500272533
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.461708353896472
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4461166207511505
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4550972989065942
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5183097018068883
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4338376582147381
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Giant robot battle: is it on?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5712767980309714
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4159818842756164
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4189355419616609
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5336048873745818
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4433966986969073
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5380750686117244
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5365279093216193
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5159025600089411
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4565749046101397
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4649576349221613
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5647721175196223
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4592446688113612
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4436703305977148
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4630952161357882
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4253094478286888
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5476279693009638
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.450973041875353
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5545215651425677
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4684411981761819
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4263973236650886
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4519174460459916
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4501785936052058
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5518997248038348
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5529166496558418
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4702536842122487
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4784800682005997
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5085509199676699
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4600105582437229
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4574487615334499
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4500953733302851
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4160970328728329
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5570678847864818
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4619976203221222
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4246267355909969
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4440991062997046
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4722336295785277
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4533578795057782
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4915286207602778
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4457658302077109
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4427476723768586
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4386841129426299
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.558735593268118
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4717941115216139
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.427320016063153
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5478281305094144
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4701429773056305
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,First human head transplant in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4752742640726056
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4574295521926906
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4593456964688203
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4502320804520028
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.460860714189226
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4595253618230652
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4413998664456031
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4585807061018515
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4422896923050568
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4420639755004559
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5416640627327527
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4437360367052749
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4392324008053732
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4899212658649713
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4803100799834232
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.530140330291059
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.464463608677121
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4420658019437109
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4522954792248265
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5596645694167202
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5539059908999692
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4738336451366673
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5707167217218397
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5590558171682598
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4655674837128108
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.446794767254678
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will May Day protests turn violent?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.570075559425069
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4504707901599405
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4546642629534815
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4462618335686619
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4879397215300486
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5417190059847891
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5567296445464598
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5338548062194903
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4507631898522278
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4714667101819854
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4822609506080302
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5554279473632548
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4760486577661279
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4557267922292415
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5383607855247032
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.553479345419527
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5435740537517574
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4699553444177367
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4646599863142817
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4524647109750961
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4548706650460337
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4958011309398653
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4488708624586172
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.471567781613568
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4586314464552393
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.429641649691526
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4300249646202104
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5598897076864573
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.440800028040388
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4545516518090277
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5552115287565225
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5281730307037518
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4464627780846629
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5605730683175203
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4470319750798842
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4656577348623489
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5293216619735932
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5375681945100905
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.485705000755099
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4541203994609192
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4455873172118664
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4576388145802902
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Airships by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4548415518170707
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4516106872301463
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4523910016458638
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is Westworld located on an island?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5449910682509225
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5006731048005798
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4699995735287514
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4634896024670178
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4511502410716432
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4521004767178603
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5523063199164915
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4574015987911375
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4786256158554151
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4652449711642487
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4078845871206636
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4579508991604897
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.455733202475302
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.451072809795546
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.450339201012243
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5685108290652163
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4592934121698107
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4421936001356648
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4848807573280375
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.453315423015057
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.526724451091855
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5542841904609742
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4382057418857393
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4639046654372216
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4613119890493362
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.439586745587762
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.457440990311117
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4407769505598684
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4746991940505386
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.466287453672506
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4447187569835852
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5235832699451015
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5499376758771755
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4679882502735866
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4342464812643408
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4563128407171127
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4572621555238587
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.460959327660537
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4736066165261522
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5378683299442479
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4900303237370053
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4706913744684118
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4624904112230362
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4552164695319161
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4834048266616091
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4784794347041471
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.44754910568437
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4659810676957769
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4594027516979136
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4515899995929081
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4586286578842263
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4659565862887143
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4627237895382114
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.443608992435204
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4634463476603628
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.465013737745455
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.452551590593662
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5537306640648457
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4660440291129525
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4757071086554804
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4571773832253134
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4665895141931377
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4729801550961734
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4491562372072562
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5332328250556565
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5626811495811228
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.470264043963571
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4425470579317969
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4390865905628419
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4665260544758496
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5395481758089491
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4298705966155962
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4430693105016116
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.440247633606727
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4693218666868936
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4662578126554002
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4573315343792041
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4558651187844213
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4347474463988585
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4506203376586272
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4640402901687663
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4665948292278825
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4560918012782686
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4615849022502635
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.541397149966234
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4665669462882175
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4342319847794703
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.450813728279027
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4632819591661418
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4527762196706527
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,llama2-7b-chat-hf,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4514406717224096
llama2-7b-chat-hf,2023-07-18,llama2-7b-chat-hf,48.32,45.5,72.5,72.0,30.4,43.4,19.58,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",llama2-7b-chat-hf,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4958357554557188
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4806227569493977
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4650941792342219
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4680765386028415
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4661253937356472
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4653709248187661
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5352001423233368
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4681645284940557
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4740904553124491
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4610937431395098
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.428334723661543
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4681897611873882
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5439389584774272
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",llama_hf_7b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5617982515743488
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.524148443957921
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4560579624471008
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4693823686623495
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.528454850555484
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.55154469444004
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5281613584732707
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5443212121590226
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will this question resolve in the negative?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5304246635261978
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4532016067080592
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5467983932919408
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5339256716640066
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4671385965735296
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",llama_hf_7b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5310653569864355
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A triumph over the mite-y?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4716077360359839
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4837537689086265
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.516063878208866
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4659862376485644
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5254455947159126
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5428891315398832
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.451822472559814
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5374306361908779
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4697837462082613
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4721221809302603
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4703213978535399
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",llama_hf_7b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4701286385556172
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.477926002968263
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.488657784724339
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4635298362863233
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4527858157394803
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4570388636625103
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Does Proxima have Planets?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.548821359003892
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4637923939232962
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.52979106334873
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4739189637622545
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.483524146330324
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5342543450802975
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4598501555149426
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4659619527227503
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5360153458362116
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4544804193819135
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5252645847587589
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5320469615819315
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4520091310216779
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",llama_hf_7b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4779375217813189
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5367008677729107
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5419342848105084
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",llama_hf_7b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5358551977909916
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4556535795481253
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4568063794555437
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4449032327812739
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4601589779373959
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4571986105075118
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4561772759087951
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4386026264141607
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4651474429466881
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4584332787743305
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is Arnold alive?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4675345537699865
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4528133153605805
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.453236054924777
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5278701763271406
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4835981140493135
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",llama_hf_7b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4666160163849233
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.442757222143551
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4480133521937988
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4524516813928757
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4623723458524132
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4615112186870814
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4683207710270679
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"How important are ""time crystals""?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.449745423661561
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4613012155969707
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.466338283517771
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4720101884210708
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4553231003015688
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4871706011126687
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4644904647234739
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4630160207953979
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.480497613622402
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4582270194166717
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4391047089934091
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4738051265619853
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5440288601934846
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4561784660344482
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.452171390279085
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4520210779723552
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4670345914027768
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4731173311875067
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5311468241649242
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4812568070060178
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.48083164057807
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4551631860504111
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",llama_hf_7b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5277452502799629
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5611425348716585
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4687004246645355
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4536688111137763
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4458749348273289
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4684275433258895
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5582341726508365
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4499816388113619
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5348999096094391
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4535400847186994
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5492989888001374
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5654239364636879
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4493123238447449
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4490150368427809
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4843527330985622
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5385579049546659
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,llama_hf_7b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4658765267889722
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,llama_hf_7b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5199262090624978
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",llama_hf_7b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4753016751255376
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.537908187319764
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,llama_hf_7b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4417842770676984
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4698908975405598
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4546460966087202
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.461746227161671
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,llama_hf_7b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4494609662523149
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4548653708504045
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4630457914154477
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4786422469568571
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4519386939471563
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4674962392796483
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4565620397059723
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5340890602821864
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",llama_hf_7b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5153710163273445
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4495444477814121
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4521465238597624
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4579113690933221
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4655491087561926
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4756163214619711
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5472611213172407
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",llama_hf_7b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4527835369023179
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Giant robot battle: is it on?,llama_hf_7b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5452919632580722
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4654564054212257
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4443122769933244
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5384403471620812
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4568079175947808
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,llama_hf_7b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5206483688228281
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5272012972316498
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5460197625018974
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4702405795629161
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4587698151215083
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5596265114656114
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",llama_hf_7b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.471431905342783
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4670010777019416
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4604515657242748
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4579766245163099
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5422710654723071
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.490665105877749
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4581390922554946
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",llama_hf_7b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.514385406422013
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4606453496022141
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4629246063566182
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",llama_hf_7b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4642674264319594
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5395377075461787
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4706611750119834
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5331395749180119
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4685868850172611
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4618591575722555
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",llama_hf_7b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4621821347658189
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4693838405080975
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4528065826960707
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4569015590379396
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4571297964792231
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4407233011986916
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5471305429543901
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4653727532617257
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4659914748844695
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4476385324744707
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.443637963998706
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.478341219877455
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.465769599166992
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4718309204500947
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.469288844222449
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.438373396317188
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,First human head transplant in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4471846916445939
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",llama_hf_7b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4644637268760139
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4542372880287647
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5330290065500652
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5552909730340204
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,llama_hf_7b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.480497613622402
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4557102490126112
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4559050777158122
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,llama_hf_7b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4709240993142147
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4629360136959379
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,llama_hf_7b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4550764553289523
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",llama_hf_7b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4592864145882808
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4679098004801261
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,llama_hf_7b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5552066731603864
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4543109775639345
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4572587226349268
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4589966397067209
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,llama_hf_7b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4622775846050624
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5462210213921449
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.469402152985824
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4647301576330796
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4554961320835607
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5417789169559954
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5355319404507608
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4724854825835412
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",llama_hf_7b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5285153514371603
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5382356155883887
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.477134635401403
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4653109413523264
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will May Day protests turn violent?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5414967158695739
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,llama_hf_7b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4677124102671453
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4607008394757543
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",llama_hf_7b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4713556118343774
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4784533531322765
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5401438076406138
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.546572545218304
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5292142741992703
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4685759608365181
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4704398605652563
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4659326363190624
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",llama_hf_7b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5339879395157724
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4710402383934627
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4589248521677794
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.535704566384799
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5446341596605028
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5325275728454596
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4675661245428254
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4694255772281331
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4724614127887862
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4478751185382009
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4788856157736876
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4691260783655376
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,llama_hf_7b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4704824931209811
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4658004443222973
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4497523442567958
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4583302588099499
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5504337191258948
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.454701191939548
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.469257527398358
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5370680225956348
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5256703572770669
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4848120521513151
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5456325211691514
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4468444289094155
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5390066323468605
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5335454192749705
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4706071352671158
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4756743028285222
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is Westworld located on an island?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5263030125287926
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4519887935340678
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4591367893991776
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4743007601491431
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Airships by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4645647686987555
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",llama_hf_7b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4605632172251535
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4568772123551725
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4570863084258095
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",llama_hf_7b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5421129741269403
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4709816563739274
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.476429384334957
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4582980210779013
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4552889923457331
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.458330788233448
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4731732244314707
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4546707232914911
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4504589735950894
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4446596776493501
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4639138984898416
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.442362421934937
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5355694039738257
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4561441924254557
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4682102020274594
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4465695193823555
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4581475544586728
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4683757291167537
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",llama_hf_7b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5475199763093734
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5434569992906976
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4762034290212385
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.463539505190208
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4544729550221545
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4681253409996115
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4646884617660509
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4512006615509165
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4776724028769454
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4846587192990884
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4562967409724637
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",llama_hf_7b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5433740888508267
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5371801156364838
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,llama_hf_7b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4736441201998859
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4512027572104131
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4633361828465299
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4364334075361947
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",llama_hf_7b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4649275270122964
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,llama_hf_7b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4716011029747264
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5444820108840858
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4619784875711253
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4722255306777007
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4487435097280177
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4690307988111995
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.473565207478183
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4681984976859143
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4536653294994863
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4561224081175446
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4619228233945763
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4637664846036568
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.460488510957978
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4685053574021168
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4585296560030643
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4484526722615615
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",llama_hf_7b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4485310888034306
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4530230882412793
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4716242317360562
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5469725681526441
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,llama_hf_7b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4593918770527306
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4763745876142669
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4728838403162328
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4609765484748803
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4627172044393857
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,llama_hf_7b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4471939151871462
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5403404200105246
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5508694806692289
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.481008967555225
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4541130580655572
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",llama_hf_7b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4818346370406174
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4659914401396247
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",llama_hf_7b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4444753109987547
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4545059311936298
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4355345120483243
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5415487429621455
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,llama_hf_7b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4828933846550344
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4502759423643601
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4784701520061796
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.43971455169661
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4554661084965583
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,llama_hf_7b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4667630070284981
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,llama_hf_7b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4631024719583831
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",llama_hf_7b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4603291514979936
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,llama_hf_7b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4562813933743972
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",llama_hf_7b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4559495582940754
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,llama_hf_7b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5440597158757232
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,llama_hf_7b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4632793757158488
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),llama_hf_7b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4925150000096139
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,llama_hf_7b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4502455072423318
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,llama_hf_7b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4799413485682983
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,llama_hf_7b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4598545243594211
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,llama_hf_7b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4556087992119972
llama_hf_7b,2023-02-18,llama_hf_7b,46.87,10.0,31.99,31.75,28.35,36.63,4.7,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",llama_hf_7b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4867231057063689
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4685855203870577
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4556891612831564
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4672917625505312
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4693024337130492
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4633589358859013
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5572418212950676
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4586595904354421
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.464456566091361
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4299479768269661
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4508125957710869
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4722799160758208
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5524860787517525
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5360845339136929
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5278051055104678
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4581726503943873
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4702715916209257
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5256792566028521
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5519322997351113
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5297762057096602
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5183063646431834
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will this question resolve in the negative?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5316998275760136
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4475436807817158
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5524563192182841
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5346472498417729
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4717169164223086
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5474350889058517
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A triumph over the mite-y?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4777894932398693
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4829403074973033
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5305661532214765
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4636448333308221
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5399046177695529
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5680442033496942
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4593706228651392
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5214307233898954
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4721048461648775
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4753743375826459
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4879978453967106
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4883706441970291
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4569791945585428
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4763068696682739
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4508507893643309
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4819008128070352
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Does Proxima have Planets?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.537901450041198
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4494690083177926
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5094599774995457
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4778196551455049
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4660819785313848
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5350986746760487
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4449255326632356
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4537125916532188
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5333221271720354
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4609206657271624
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5527513070662865
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5236466935568559
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4780658158404292
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4874570448478868
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5296406522549373
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4568869818070818
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5590903029047399
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5276353338924873
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4619337246305445
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4891272622031948
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4841568435114629
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4724678882530833
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.471813506793617
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4816112432209493
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4893939038886348
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4487053257821957
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is Arnold alive?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4632986697387497
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.460576009888435
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4889752292270656
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5268009323818674
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4456443805303288
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"How important are ""time crystals""?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4695772230290316
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.474123194671662
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4582695956150796
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4506700806294372
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4492155385859417
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4477809252019091
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4463232420792286
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4944133679053184
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4680596910065472
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4878819605542293
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4586058650258922
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4906931251877304
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4858827194441295
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4811247034198456
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4629179492191841
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4413313497442706
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4529285666909116
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4772437994223594
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4733342085471383
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5429418638166084
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4618263473651829
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4543602853843536
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4870877880538145
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4745355379070413
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4526945334731845
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5344399937856381
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.468066055641408
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4636036092742836
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4747067095198892
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5264815273797985
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5634653006499077
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4708720131059407
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4717449988747181
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4898529733338063
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4644891061389053
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5275078201250412
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4807616124098465
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5175365087056734
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4605632303880367
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5353708928732822
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5436342655839492
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4752369172158278
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5384261882777097
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.457666587177257
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4645205593309388
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4495960174804148
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.528168551339256
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4839371629551491
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.532179793187556
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4752048117067604
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4732680249189606
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4540870823122769
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4901050832449173
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4511695081891946
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4724156672110048
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4542422284302165
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4652251620058482
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4654131401707933
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4475996465517484
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.46111770192799
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5308238517767998
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5229014386820665
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4710823790008792
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4726931945906256
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.505472804223258
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4535436849739719
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4746265769519536
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5314204031956778
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4629250357338723
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Giant robot battle: is it on?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5583139081357054
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4786234792072545
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5434833168825366
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4643391502161553
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4639718991985301
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.505164517619263
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.541889321906818
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5341317106459322
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4344725625927488
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.464380310662276
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5743085061251576
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4650851239034858
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4912111963315744
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4702206785217265
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4791950910423163
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5244759267392041
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4636751452830064
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4917526002098611
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4569603850204354
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.529483865012303
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.460234999542499
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4690582758946378
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.541315733086241
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5203627132617017
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4774561393711715
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4364844825850804
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5559516890913979
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4603555517452545
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4768662282825108
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5029414672833237
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.465806607391227
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4686394603371125
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4816794957222751
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4810781209530948
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4635363191248104
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4740212209124448
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4708926698849087
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4865605923016917
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4550263901546644
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4674491484247761
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4580159023269911
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5225461262871157
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4466546856351157
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,First human head transplant in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4832173574032702
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4931672009594169
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4869707666381235
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5348816743048403
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4587104154298314
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4878819605542293
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4651979904893041
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4756274896251918
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4774884260118373
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.471513082819561
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4608358934555979
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4678574421290346
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4471170725375282
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5239344301044033
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4860658003492835
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4631557228449653
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4401821597252678
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4676847309544519
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5630316366130174
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4619008838990903
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4667175724175988
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4795069837964228
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5311313432537632
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5311531648645065
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4748213669278541
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5337088724144264
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.546089746004828
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4699510207543369
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4666672737916352
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will May Day protests turn violent?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.531549344669265
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.494319665326451
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.450194677348647
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4718276255405688
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4502667005560175
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5407721392542488
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5579579139064946
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5239507308826952
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4896341306290016
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4642308691351705
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4596895726231483
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5627098237199495
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.457834633473504
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4714959727629498
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5495799189024844
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.558763999957287
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5305520745929293
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4607028913116595
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4582453406657101
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4600491042674519
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4658435244256492
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4882275167065868
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4668922603281403
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4450137982623885
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4621237539174237
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4275488031252393
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4443283394974046
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5567899307887281
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4676309744052976
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4807810003282705
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5533057543078861
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.554191206516124
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.478974990090485
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5606232107283748
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4677807244217702
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5567013593381063
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4707503527303779
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5540449258985871
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4664478532282052
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.476169786593546
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.472500360301809
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4781227068143908
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4884106139997296
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4703732925166355
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.539767132190337
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4841026400747177
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4722751809257819
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4489797215874198
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Airships by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4863267389126406
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4676641796437013
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4766940941793897
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4468284528607485
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4734326693691263
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is Westworld located on an island?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5143973050726718
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.480032211554284
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.452386818274084
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.446275000743504
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4337941842928588
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4726033463611632
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5393929443800694
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4471480063315229
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4374417343944309
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4546513803278449
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4757026463684001
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4612209033660409
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5200107292532146
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5403924032816446
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4772795786271822
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4648493169491471
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4651906805142962
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4525542530529298
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4766126348799249
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4456009187713172
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4783116800264054
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4526900390116753
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4612247849913949
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5084032596887296
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5657338468609283
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4579598517261598
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4812612255210863
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4541054093458808
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4850443046518776
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4769471408671086
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4572781094228251
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5421720432778618
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4738144857757084
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4553558687165535
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4905075431536074
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4717596904042275
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4749484511936126
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4836796310824143
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4768811070617347
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4894012235444344
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4676445443584417
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4591195103884219
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4903422193000391
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4804372083411952
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.482784621055669
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4691691405911246
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.457678387036123
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4899589508295967
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4539923948389088
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5121893327852386
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4630177691055708
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4797721243739466
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4668307066913806
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4685694712754048
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4641986280621847
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4612016401990919
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5356702956698478
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5280922018387957
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4775568881262948
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4770800727319392
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4587384898573882
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5244746060646477
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4781759167650077
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4664431158349518
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4601611046935149
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4664425982717211
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.481481603166619
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4826532538632697
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4648227305903913
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4766921063214658
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4744684507126491
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4651129124448478
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4722719408335428
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4773518889958143
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4693934016025784
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4706477472711207
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5505613697018011
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4663376048881425
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4844236842743136
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4359967833187612
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4857245486819982
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4472664063156168
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,mistral-7b-v0.1,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4610956803516587
mistral-7b-v0.1,2023-09-18,mistral-7b-v0.1,64.16,37.8,83.0,86.0,48.2,55.4,32.2,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",mistral-7b-v0.1,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.478280001554605
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",opt-13b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4639485694176096
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,opt-13b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4749705015359989
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,opt-13b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4700359482354282
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,opt-13b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4605136181481879
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,opt-13b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4635541636559814
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",opt-13b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.521178038068669
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,opt-13b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4510123565637007
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",opt-13b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4771346036074007
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",opt-13b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4550817028066048
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4620249287625315
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",opt-13b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4559861039418259
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,opt-13b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5215633798450179
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",opt-13b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5414169909427431
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,opt-13b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5237915435013811
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,opt-13b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4710349521284939
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,opt-13b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4852632335919041
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,opt-13b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5461560284636419
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,opt-13b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5380939743528943
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5495082963019748
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,opt-13b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5246930461651413
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will this question resolve in the negative?,opt-13b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.512437241291837
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,opt-13b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5493034024312236
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,opt-13b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4506965975687765
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",opt-13b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5211585278244677
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,opt-13b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4660989803720814
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",opt-13b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.526413956059796
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A triumph over the mite-y?,opt-13b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4670174122233512
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,opt-13b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4683190145393835
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,opt-13b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5423979407743511
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,opt-13b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4719705396613966
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,opt-13b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5367168295008518
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",opt-13b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5417844869877384
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4568343707058606
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,opt-13b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5285141477572808
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,opt-13b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4883934618410922
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",opt-13b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4704741495676643
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",opt-13b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4565009652163829
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",opt-13b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.470533848803454
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,opt-13b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4748504991246622
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,opt-13b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4701712095218306
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,opt-13b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4798762654452043
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,opt-13b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.456245742599648
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,opt-13b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4819570881595186
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Does Proxima have Planets?,opt-13b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5291403592458871
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,opt-13b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4405500284150449
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,opt-13b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5291775025876664
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,opt-13b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4609756380848139
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,opt-13b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.477084042802228
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,opt-13b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5352121288915297
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,opt-13b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.462597553631118
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,opt-13b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.461412653950377
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,opt-13b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.553763708766696
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,opt-13b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.487462175795839
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,opt-13b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.515915019965165
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,opt-13b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5391983151839865
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,opt-13b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4620297662168474
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",opt-13b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4832967062216391
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",opt-13b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5252658183443788
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,opt-13b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4727767419256746
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,opt-13b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5104057371263332
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,opt-13b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4750609698548365
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.527634897432546
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,opt-13b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4739237546667152
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,opt-13b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4663482721616696
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,opt-13b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4695252088972922
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,opt-13b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4598305827682338
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,opt-13b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4616487140108238
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,opt-13b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4599843103698691
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is Arnold alive?,opt-13b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4667439429859528
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,opt-13b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4618879128624661
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,opt-13b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4618415464390131
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,opt-13b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4906843079522112
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,opt-13b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.521979959887014
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",opt-13b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4608727436065673
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,opt-13b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4644039190868288
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,opt-13b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4645147345895396
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4752161500459803
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,opt-13b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4513847034621893
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,opt-13b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4577512557316852
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",opt-13b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4669725603997888
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"How important are ""time crystals""?",opt-13b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4457663504622872
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",opt-13b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4690460169309193
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,opt-13b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4686930471096168
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4667691868637356
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,opt-13b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4683658974318526
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,opt-13b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4749695828283698
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.472135478250884
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,opt-13b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4782334627547511
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,opt-13b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4632831704991482
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,opt-13b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4756290835227086
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",opt-13b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4760346378108495
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,opt-13b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4770911495934326
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,opt-13b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4626317559292092
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,opt-13b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5399773271153885
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4824248261057894
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,opt-13b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4728012920339836
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4768449595094543
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,opt-13b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4561861443975601
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,opt-13b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4738660334086843
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,opt-13b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5283444709008391
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,opt-13b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4713854673127401
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",opt-13b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4693523473722678
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,opt-13b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.460963151452322
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",opt-13b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5283538276812529
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,opt-13b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5476194622751343
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",opt-13b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4806392249130332
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,opt-13b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4691889475664659
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",opt-13b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4565792965310489
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,opt-13b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4714467078314038
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,opt-13b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5557577341463743
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,opt-13b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4621348932043865
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,opt-13b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5367213274837828
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,opt-13b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4684727092387015
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5468108668158387
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,opt-13b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5421579066501241
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,opt-13b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.45936583097529
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5270449482909014
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,opt-13b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4503951952584565
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",opt-13b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.454311283767647
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,opt-13b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4757258117703144
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,opt-13b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.516294146711262
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",opt-13b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4767008238228691
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,opt-13b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5320367104306599
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",opt-13b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.491846216474463
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,opt-13b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4730729522391161
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,opt-13b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4577727854353069
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,opt-13b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4905748870748464
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,opt-13b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4638707959730433
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,opt-13b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4625559164847913
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,opt-13b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4852325862128399
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,opt-13b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4394663564059997
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,opt-13b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4590661788991951
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,opt-13b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4683966177238861
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,opt-13b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4625937409835108
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,opt-13b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5410439910869771
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",opt-13b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5283097710879006
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,opt-13b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4576992083664702
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,opt-13b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4647132466837773
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,opt-13b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4594278297814509
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,opt-13b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4593160193224453
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,opt-13b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.482405507437151
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,opt-13b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5392616351375272
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",opt-13b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4582405791662178
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Giant robot battle: is it on?,opt-13b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5647931930795735
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,opt-13b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4493629197909463
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,opt-13b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5477159845300577
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,opt-13b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4684922840134549
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,opt-13b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4572040498139652
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,opt-13b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5397376322689026
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,opt-13b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5318627251827803
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,opt-13b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5182603422273342
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,opt-13b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4739995831060313
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,opt-13b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4680367270620281
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,opt-13b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5532653259928901
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",opt-13b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4612649856116992
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,opt-13b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4830195730815629
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,opt-13b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4692400490281063
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,opt-13b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4693632493702879
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",opt-13b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5463489659229674
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,opt-13b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4502534659132389
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",opt-13b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5308712912575004
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4742175738856383
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,opt-13b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4436463012796562
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,opt-13b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4798496293936246
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",opt-13b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4447474561713466
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,opt-13b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5387528368732897
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,opt-13b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.550062112692469
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,opt-13b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4786687232746374
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4555772111382155
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4646130567623173
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4510083561110676
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,opt-13b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4781715285410859
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,opt-13b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5394406342350211
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,opt-13b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4760260749157979
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4618433548212388
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",opt-13b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5021440691908083
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,opt-13b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4940071363133992
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",opt-13b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4704888857969182
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,opt-13b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4606607654911407
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,opt-13b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.465810834777106
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,opt-13b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4522370506519934
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,opt-13b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4574079979371998
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,opt-13b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4626108199553048
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,opt-13b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4728399994955565
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,opt-13b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4648719771844279
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,First human head transplant in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4720542311442283
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",opt-13b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5384485360377209
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,opt-13b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5365724975826895
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,opt-13b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4488366024382831
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",opt-13b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4618839474810346
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,opt-13b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4498410569407199
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,opt-13b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4632831704991482
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,opt-13b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4868674278993443
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,opt-13b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4572495083219421
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,opt-13b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.459438921313363
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,opt-13b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4466860865208693
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,opt-13b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4570030115462959
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",opt-13b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4647388941466505
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,opt-13b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4956598312352048
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,opt-13b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5418863340200664
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,opt-13b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4614752368838771
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,opt-13b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4871595997883876
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,opt-13b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4740493133359527
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,opt-13b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4583983817693674
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,opt-13b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5482994035018289
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,opt-13b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4627312195177761
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,opt-13b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4763312259723718
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,opt-13b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4663968828790292
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,opt-13b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.534204243023068
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",opt-13b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.51979163372766
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",opt-13b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4594985276411225
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,opt-13b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.525091014045163
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",opt-13b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5031559544808647
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4670101246585991
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,opt-13b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4763055776565711
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will May Day protests turn violent?,opt-13b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5287537286889418
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4407460294283375
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,opt-13b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4887163420211753
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",opt-13b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.452929498264058
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,opt-13b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4703093620047708
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,opt-13b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5361804746613443
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,opt-13b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5423661197790404
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,opt-13b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.527897545944558
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4883107818821584
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,opt-13b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4695645387919907
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,opt-13b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4805834798762377
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",opt-13b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.544902398044663
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,opt-13b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4742843136888148
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,opt-13b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4815048222253675
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",opt-13b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5251887427654924
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,opt-13b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5509423909319926
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5349623053382888
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",opt-13b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4742936974416482
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4661933902253651
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,opt-13b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.478940787287391
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,opt-13b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4653401511291813
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4783122278842425
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4853789411165151
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,opt-13b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4726933031846128
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,opt-13b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4599400637625591
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,opt-13b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4248559079144678
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,opt-13b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4681958639802409
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5191779459049177
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,opt-13b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4765587520189668
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,opt-13b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4846775415369403
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,opt-13b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5394308210436061
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,opt-13b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5385100941440314
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,opt-13b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4663291386051295
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,opt-13b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5409980632449545
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,opt-13b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4490890608108822
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.536906100399517
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,opt-13b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5399569402234851
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,opt-13b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4626150284262181
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,opt-13b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4777528998227174
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,opt-13b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4746249933137685
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,opt-13b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4681930962430114
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Airships by 2019?,opt-13b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4541957661251422
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",opt-13b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4639585045056174
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,opt-13b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4462979839684869
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,opt-13b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4888510900190023
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,opt-13b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4925029049402512
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",opt-13b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5463866505680135
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is Westworld located on an island?,opt-13b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5273156523012592
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,opt-13b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4782003129979877
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,opt-13b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.454105238205404
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,opt-13b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4419140367861627
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,opt-13b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4622007328374913
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,opt-13b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4539056366746842
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,opt-13b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4782003129979877
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4779734490858451
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,opt-13b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4644032730407829
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4456843073624519
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,opt-13b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4570030115462959
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,opt-13b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4670290467308965
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,opt-13b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5260921359886177
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,opt-13b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.446332617631482
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,opt-13b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4840691391462137
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,opt-13b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4241999463841996
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,opt-13b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4474356936594218
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,opt-13b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.475565003379283
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",opt-13b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5344413262811839
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,opt-13b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4592479505657545
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,opt-13b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5358639170764868
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,opt-13b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4524676870685322
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,opt-13b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4570439541331345
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,opt-13b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4596040978675733
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,opt-13b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4750789725994919
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,opt-13b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4224341449247319
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,opt-13b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4613840192594095
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,opt-13b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4706776241697234
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,opt-13b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.46895889096203
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",opt-13b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5621765008857981
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,opt-13b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5373225861319734
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,opt-13b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4704581091153205
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,opt-13b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4342315154865995
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,opt-13b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4603022253959471
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,opt-13b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4338134652976023
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",opt-13b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4789396710661455
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,opt-13b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4720156928473864
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,opt-13b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5286000318944654
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,opt-13b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4744783630198705
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,opt-13b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4696227118398299
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4615234333210088
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,opt-13b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4692058856949707
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4771845435969231
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4469854214359782
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4882604749387728
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,opt-13b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4777306202528584
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,opt-13b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4660637217589127
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",opt-13b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4789686455317761
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4473857508702367
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4621836838775764
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,opt-13b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4658966541664585
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,opt-13b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4706221120107446
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",opt-13b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4445203606911633
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,opt-13b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4728172817231316
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,opt-13b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4585508642584962
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,opt-13b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5139144124110038
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,opt-13b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4792522034383299
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,opt-13b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4801516537299711
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,opt-13b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4798008133888311
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,opt-13b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4696207988047896
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,opt-13b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4486918778744012
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,opt-13b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4645085456140356
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",opt-13b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5316674360741644
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,opt-13b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5435836666880235
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",opt-13b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4714822130070049
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,opt-13b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.457084819014553
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",opt-13b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4456597937878035
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,opt-13b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4697389797588136
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4523374759329698
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",opt-13b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4596045338697233
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,opt-13b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5343821471505459
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4503780173540035
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,opt-13b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4811410263123732
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,opt-13b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4644112889807054
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,opt-13b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4580613517044715
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,opt-13b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4629946190068477
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,opt-13b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4461923692687303
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,opt-13b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.471631188627894
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,opt-13b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4544153383415229
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",opt-13b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4606425593837324
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,opt-13b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4480186017127309
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",opt-13b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4787458473445249
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,opt-13b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5473596472762581
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,opt-13b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4572702566722966
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,opt-13b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4657776696747469
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,opt-13b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4787400988065681
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),opt-13b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.47635353096287
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,opt-13b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4583960119921423
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,opt-13b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4614192392885728
opt-13b,2022-05-11,opt-13b,24.9,1.7,31.0,27.0,36.6,25.9,,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",opt-13b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4705938203790979
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4726055231088423
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4741424273155564
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,1.0,0.5019313208669138
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4854086480163504
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4802941241461803
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.520350742014025
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4695123663647262
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4889145493577356
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4639494863608684
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4775077497836262
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4623921872726557
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5042437252546039
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",opt-2.7b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5282567130243596
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5158950253496044
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4759310260238256
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.488778133894844
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5184047407934134
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5143039072348243
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5411672536548002
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5277492350545132
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will this question resolve in the negative?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5248333514111316
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4669066885755181
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5330933114244819
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5291279639652553
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4855809222294634
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",opt-2.7b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5167646060098869
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A triumph over the mite-y?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4687668828015111
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,opt-2.7b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4822259514421931
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5162412379730461
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4709800980190304
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.521136637701934
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5379585464361224
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.471170856714666
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5175458599279636
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4887548563031073
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4742262031750515
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4871561703531356
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",opt-2.7b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4873215589204546
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4919693891572624
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4732098028289246
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4803732655240524
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4864999061601369
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4985659695151967
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4801587665617553
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Does Proxima have Planets?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5182792853205331
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5152812354997294
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4807958680885374
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4813171135277395
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5374900868826744
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4861556813950876
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4813610999742748
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5272984089680655
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4889943152498158
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,0.0,0.4971428882406045
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5217604393383433
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4763712802379241
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",opt-2.7b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4893672748515934
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5169017703749055
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",opt-2.7b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5118648608217198
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4771085252673737
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5134505692547335
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4825033418171195
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4921567174372814
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4753391750216061
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4957398397327577
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4798109827071748
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4682428073157818
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4715982910673972
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.474641066572446
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is Arnold alive?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4819298525045754
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4865196248455188
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4985152233695952
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4970845811457499
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4626445863301386
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.485636137279271
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"How important are ""time crystals""?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4633667564085773
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.490237205166541
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4828627816237836
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4888613597829919
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.487564753911439
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",opt-2.7b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4777741293213147
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4661395812224814
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4918422158184498
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4810758193055016
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4759139737037139
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5076273610276731
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",opt-2.7b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4902226487420465
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4836303066265828
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4944240229929426
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4742262031750515
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4903127625253872
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4809021526348024
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4876420707295849
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5196903632551575
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4764680382030751
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4834721592776504
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4769536112325668
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4735516097260225
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4938878350452262
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5240891566236383
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4866484739522217
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4740724053610668
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4807194415497006
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",opt-2.7b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5194409949943086
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5275368256721193
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",opt-2.7b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4948490833289385
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4861042553797512
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4685822770127682
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4757261313171408
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5248404506225868
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4886204897034168
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5220732120774649
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4784693371314769
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5334220999396244
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5309879917810278
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4719396272254488
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5093832826043185
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.471985091014092
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4784616129853668
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,opt-2.7b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4691055551298536
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,opt-2.7b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5094869460241727
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",opt-2.7b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4961319989879863
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5258971655843407
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5006768948933331
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,opt-2.7b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4793097515592174
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,opt-2.7b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4607874413041783
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.483856284476279
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,opt-2.7b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4525134407410391
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4730799491081979
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4850284385237593
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4950496667091768
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4752865170227022
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.476011807751409
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.491340884071372
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5097460578232218
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",opt-2.7b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5023999815681699
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4602975370492552
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4821249314984459
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4715047613219478
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4779851400242807
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4978943462919304
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5299101498669444
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",opt-2.7b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4697081502839554
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Giant robot battle: is it on?,opt-2.7b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5259593155897992
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4699366142082484
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4762582588638987
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.52152453080961
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4587632341626882
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5150863284449319
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,opt-2.7b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5046784639445819
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5203561542211828
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4741407402933223
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4983382631345144
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5239887885728607
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",opt-2.7b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4772087870353053
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5022017471777762
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4809345728803911
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.492237884797743
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",opt-2.7b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5079821878230047
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4825908145340325
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.480811476386323
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",opt-2.7b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4918138306029207
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4746566333450058
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4878545023490258
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",opt-2.7b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4727235393405481
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5082830144659698
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4888682365154597
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5178799365977618
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4861786372167758
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4897639201343675
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5244312726372173
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",opt-2.7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4896821502897334
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4810630693327041
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",opt-2.7b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4774861643035408
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4665713362405324
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4884577662800571
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4968847755128726
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4978052814538326
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4795825573912461
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4925931344678305
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4799465573356434
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4650529325742373
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4817254814734518
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4870681942176894
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4779069570776342
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5309910767643875
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",opt-2.7b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4766776187729113
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5260265359932577
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4684304814109734
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4786138790971516
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,First human head transplant in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4821937681212341
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,opt-2.7b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4836303066265828
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4779040679970465
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,opt-2.7b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4633068945536239
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.481506634961251
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4687436763040368
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,opt-2.7b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4749626832466913
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",opt-2.7b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4690997808174222
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4716630504374153
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,opt-2.7b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5438589122504821
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4787822472914822
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,opt-2.7b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4851234397681123
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4600637165113947
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4897799585810713
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5411034191878574
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4726194313337456
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4786642010692534
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4857396042615893
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5298351384550519
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5179287006377256
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",opt-2.7b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4846485611373013
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",opt-2.7b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4951924558528882
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5284124723892658
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4934531653558777
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4716201762833168
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will May Day protests turn violent?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5168540773370061
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4722064221381177
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",opt-2.7b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4813876600975731
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,opt-2.7b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4715088571893914
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,opt-2.7b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4748213156861606
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5292043227670837
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5358733404895766
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5087743045175683
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4865769854395935
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4875791386732627
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",opt-2.7b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5133853112481037
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4889804767909477
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4858359283706693
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4952172172589629
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.516116863619358
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5098915369798215
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5165655670350155
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4847935242155415
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4933816271234799
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4755742433384802
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4656835574563701
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4866819830728854
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4765430532600264
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,opt-2.7b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.48779703655631
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4877935603194892
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4574022341661508
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4877935603194892
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5222929026874261
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4716113812251465
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4859888299183331
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5265220654839036
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5278093045439961
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4687458380333448
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.514625456229391
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.469157874687911
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5165983763053515
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4777004269233273
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5317196396909406
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4876519136793157
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4818954304572094
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is Westworld located on an island?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5155659025610475
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4828747215803436
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4704903754770408
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.497691613815565
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4869540801703343
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4928576287261293
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4890418154792601
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",opt-2.7b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5276534132029689
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4792267453188208
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4672169102014346
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4759521781376356
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Airships by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4712074732037836
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",opt-2.7b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4765672578205842
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4987834573884481
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.486479033134497
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4775857710449928
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.486219502936168
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4570990147123145
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4730635221395601
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4576942845148941
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5156199157230156
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4838090164658896
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4808196510940252
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4812653746412727
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,opt-2.7b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.476272661257592
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",opt-2.7b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5251131559221025
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5197376371944005
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.485133947039029
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4961283959637923
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4763895237600694
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.481915786584025
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,opt-2.7b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4933764558618503
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4772062515677155
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.493098597838391
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,opt-2.7b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4747708659454165
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.484437263056808
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",opt-2.7b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5301062241624478
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5375674434157364
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4686826688508887
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,opt-2.7b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4777230911191734
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4848410398064508
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4801354907438505
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",opt-2.7b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4852114152521029
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,opt-2.7b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4858993675603344
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5078599129674287
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,opt-2.7b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4706103785489189
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4781413397558222
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4875026035157896
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4816226318838681
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4928119968393344
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4908419901672298
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5088174279425732
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4783521743639081
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4966942630436328
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4978118301622515
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4887011858391559
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4845410111605258
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4751645471744687
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4754135460625054
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",opt-2.7b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4803183939423068
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4900568152100358
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4779091276904696
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5148295101664944
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,opt-2.7b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4869188735944758
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4953976195292779
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4975508862036066
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5001822157353736
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4860319513227408
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,opt-2.7b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.476769785155281
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5169523412520605
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5252925103964701
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4907223534965753
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4800025886959971
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",opt-2.7b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.464469521589707
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.515754713815975
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4763617207695888
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",opt-2.7b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4791955272669795
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,opt-2.7b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4885666621682124
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4710385987431772
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,opt-2.7b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4940395530531377
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.468739004660441
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4884635862729297
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4858240445178987
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4825327400868477
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,opt-2.7b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4880457567868452
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,opt-2.7b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4824827711773766
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",opt-2.7b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4651197488390313
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,opt-2.7b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4617776714153662
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",opt-2.7b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4818834268239991
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,opt-2.7b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.525640895290937
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),opt-2.7b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4735561177586334
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,opt-2.7b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.485239189716306
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,opt-2.7b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4866310942013547
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,opt-2.7b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4814834189301375
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,opt-2.7b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4883451590009202
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,opt-2.7b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4682142195093015
opt-2.7b,2022-05-11,opt-2.7b,25.43,0.2,26.67,24.63,26.86,24.01,66.67,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",opt-2.7b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4863227532790169
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",phi-1_5,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4715766100187135
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,phi-1_5,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4501080949742418
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,phi-1_5,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4610115690403674
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,phi-1_5,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4764242351207208
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4756795703010255
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",phi-1_5,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5456823781522133
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,phi-1_5,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4494744739829206
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",phi-1_5,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.487528223923084
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4733496110060472
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",phi-1_5,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4496876225038891
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4526604081710613
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,phi-1_5,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5012883048549266
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",phi-1_5,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5485129779295979
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,phi-1_5,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,0.0,0.4837991039397891
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,phi-1_5,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.466376512258935
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,phi-1_5,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4731179211076536
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,phi-1_5,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5298620221486814
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5348067459686252
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,phi-1_5,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5189447258863444
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5090178755308779
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will this question resolve in the negative?,phi-1_5,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5060288527393327
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,phi-1_5,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5202969638930182
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,phi-1_5,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4797030361069818
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",phi-1_5,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,0.0,0.4865473720013524
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,phi-1_5,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.5060956589910806
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",phi-1_5,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5237974252163391
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A triumph over the mite-y?,phi-1_5,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4505303970799382
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,phi-1_5,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4884275290422346
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,phi-1_5,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,0.0,0.445089549306437
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,phi-1_5,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4543736206872812
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,phi-1_5,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5226269027402818
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",phi-1_5,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5527112075090292
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4403175824907198
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,phi-1_5,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5169275571393147
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,phi-1_5,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4712790434729229
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",phi-1_5,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.468625574941125
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",phi-1_5,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4694516148386115
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",phi-1_5,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4730286999701822
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,phi-1_5,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,1.0,0.5044182893305776
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,phi-1_5,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.499344560569086
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,phi-1_5,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.452785411162999
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,phi-1_5,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4389301869686959
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,phi-1_5,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4718077352147595
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,phi-1_5,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4333539823402815
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Does Proxima have Planets?,phi-1_5,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5318839810618268
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5367615119516134
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,phi-1_5,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4643096507118178
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,phi-1_5,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4930975674492951
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5472292815680742
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,phi-1_5,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4718147515175466
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,phi-1_5,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4876216080982685
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,phi-1_5,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5490256689437321
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,phi-1_5,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,1.0,0.5537641653719281
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,phi-1_5,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5417753691250431
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,phi-1_5,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,0.0,0.4468723205838164
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,phi-1_5,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4579124195556439
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",phi-1_5,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4901126800197893
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,phi-1_5,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4880540339436152
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",phi-1_5,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4798497290701207
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,phi-1_5,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4995626112207338
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5438816867786511
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,phi-1_5,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4987389138827778
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,phi-1_5,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4625714974433779
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,phi-1_5,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4721710459721516
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,phi-1_5,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4810405773105639
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,phi-1_5,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4552956669191359
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,phi-1_5,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4690615418620225
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,phi-1_5,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4583812482724766
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,phi-1_5,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.450311768518399
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is Arnold alive?,phi-1_5,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,1.0,0.503227415483748
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,phi-1_5,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4956088207175386
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,phi-1_5,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.485079275804327
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,phi-1_5,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,0.0,0.4974650761987409
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",phi-1_5,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4391188097864691
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,phi-1_5,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4562240098917731
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,phi-1_5,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4988095026169766
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4876833150148983
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,phi-1_5,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4831104729474747
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",phi-1_5,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4496751477131939
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4855563125714369
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",phi-1_5,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4709806911721673
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"How important are ""time crystals""?",phi-1_5,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4626272770964016
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,phi-1_5,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4819906992085415
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5063296645663687
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4988544173858248
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,phi-1_5,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5222519096225606
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4885896178335298
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,phi-1_5,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4905605384769741
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,phi-1_5,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5010783724446658
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",phi-1_5,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4862363046429652
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,phi-1_5,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4814433498580355
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,phi-1_5,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4499289138010744
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,phi-1_5,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,1.0,0.5021896473600278
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,phi-1_5,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5452891926294139
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5136572593328981
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5137321811469573
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,phi-1_5,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4876269899229832
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,phi-1_5,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4735119783128182
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4423956829544145
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,phi-1_5,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5256632887114032
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,phi-1_5,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4625656088155944
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",phi-1_5,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.465529747774247
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,phi-1_5,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4871267962537945
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",phi-1_5,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5217761811136974
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,phi-1_5,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5630251132449452
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",phi-1_5,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,1.0,0.5087378487441868
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,phi-1_5,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4512950644025873
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,phi-1_5,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4726474801822379
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",phi-1_5,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4530202316522165
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5413793733430285
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4636264816182686
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5446363850074406
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4798197546254558
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5539890187025546
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,phi-1_5,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.57761077673697
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,phi-1_5,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4499652312272719
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",phi-1_5,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4812009539477018
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5085194022078555
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,phi-1_5,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4624186820434729
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,phi-1_5,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4861392372924956
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,phi-1_5,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.4918258188176212
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",phi-1_5,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4792694671400214
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,phi-1_5,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5381771315350288
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,phi-1_5,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4612600787794219
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",phi-1_5,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4926371847403163
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,phi-1_5,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4124053424793335
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,phi-1_5,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,1.0,0.5163526887338323
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,phi-1_5,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4442731705525778
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,phi-1_5,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4362480639825072
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,phi-1_5,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4702742232874852
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,1.0,0.5027415581962251
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,phi-1_5,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4502412834926002
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,phi-1_5,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4648944028830561
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,phi-1_5,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.467794976882686
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,phi-1_5,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5455580592297196
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",phi-1_5,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4948380936549728
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,phi-1_5,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4644936712058504
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,phi-1_5,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4476104407277716
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,phi-1_5,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5045824684234504
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,phi-1_5,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4912596273532765
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,phi-1_5,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5440239313212308
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,phi-1_5,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.558693744413522
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",phi-1_5,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4534293873654512
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Giant robot battle: is it on?,phi-1_5,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5332589186176176
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,phi-1_5,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4786809500900491
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,phi-1_5,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4563075099881062
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,phi-1_5,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5491610721516551
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,phi-1_5,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4399520510420274
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,phi-1_5,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5201711073897232
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,phi-1_5,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5154916772036073
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,phi-1_5,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,0.0,0.4901419324153253
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,phi-1_5,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4867461168850898
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4994261049234672
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,phi-1_5,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5435290525039304
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,phi-1_5,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5221844586075306
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",phi-1_5,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4858935597685196
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4952518453888646
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,phi-1_5,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4708881755433369
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",phi-1_5,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5248556827109839
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,phi-1_5,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4866031770165933
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5076040843179995
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.478410955496671
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",phi-1_5,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4627124195695957
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",phi-1_5,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.461750837542212
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.497212129436569
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,phi-1_5,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.52460285348722
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,phi-1_5,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5159139873252382
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5162320197630621
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4966497575015851
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4805953528487497
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,phi-1_5,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4288017134753794
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,phi-1_5,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4768230918190775
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4673216424735574
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",phi-1_5,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4553839301635392
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4618888369990222
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,phi-1_5,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5311226703952274
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5069262051433994
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",phi-1_5,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4601245851605289
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4790811866463604
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4696605360984714
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,phi-1_5,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4348695685577535
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,phi-1_5,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.47158583615873
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,phi-1_5,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,1.0,0.5248085994660979
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4741339391332056
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",phi-1_5,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4612947725501179
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,phi-1_5,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4864100460846907
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,First human head transplant in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4681522353518038
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",phi-1_5,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5415272455684235
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5185901822562131
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,phi-1_5,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4343040497531943
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4496554711744405
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,phi-1_5,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4814433498580355
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,phi-1_5,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5123020165207082
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,phi-1_5,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4614649244070192
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,phi-1_5,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4782208370111743
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4639052491449896
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,phi-1_5,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4589421877078392
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",phi-1_5,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4805489104714623
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,phi-1_5,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4521970808123886
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,phi-1_5,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5421002112308506
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,phi-1_5,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4420781017242606
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,phi-1_5,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,1.0,0.5068644530197658
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,phi-1_5,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4678335274611389
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4542339505671268
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,phi-1_5,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5319454497919186
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,phi-1_5,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4667721590907364
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,phi-1_5,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,1.0,0.5083167598709095
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,phi-1_5,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4780046908007516
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,phi-1_5,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5336671443851098
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",phi-1_5,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,0.0,0.4790821749321594
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",phi-1_5,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4864759524794412
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",phi-1_5,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,0.0,0.4209535688602882
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,phi-1_5,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5358752444560805
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,phi-1_5,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4920821213205723
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4906734008878142
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will May Day protests turn violent?,phi-1_5,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,0.0,0.4852567039333303
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,phi-1_5,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4861652321168762
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",phi-1_5,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4538157260330314
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,phi-1_5,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4690837893633274
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4715848979491517
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,phi-1_5,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5462256109910975
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,phi-1_5,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,0.0,0.4742500730711506
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,phi-1_5,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,0.0,0.4871898008003461
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.487835679458228
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4807473543858087
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,phi-1_5,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4433359041476816
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",phi-1_5,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5271153085415005
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,phi-1_5,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.463911885907887
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,phi-1_5,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,1.0,0.507686586880044
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",phi-1_5,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,0.0,0.4520100816150989
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5308557104394849
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5251846291507883
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",phi-1_5,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4972780556507783
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.486590032348319
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,phi-1_5,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4811934775887397
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4864042948490247
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,1.0,0.5089905518608221
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4993947519084681
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,phi-1_5,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4822362470926547
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4695990189016188
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4480844785713447
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,phi-1_5,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4896131240765857
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5082952925026861
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,phi-1_5,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5060231776699798
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,phi-1_5,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4992449731715784
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,phi-1_5,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,0.0,0.481751417568689
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5017931572717877
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,phi-1_5,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4119642599923165
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,phi-1_5,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,0.0,0.4924178028377537
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,phi-1_5,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4574083891057849
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5709824649895942
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4787415932763113
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5075048473379903
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,1.0,0.5114344106726546
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is Westworld located on an island?,phi-1_5,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4670187666803679
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,phi-1_5,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4955973923251514
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,phi-1_5,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4693222572800541
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,phi-1_5,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4972194223081613
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5026449255082601
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5405357592573485
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,phi-1_5,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5013932281992153
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",phi-1_5,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5063679422633439
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4484339422193071
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4746300674567952
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,phi-1_5,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4781200930543278
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Airships by 2019?,phi-1_5,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4626927916667758
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",phi-1_5,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4715899530663555
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,phi-1_5,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4489202771823878
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,phi-1_5,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5002492386331562
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5190515669157627
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4400526378604072
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4430929239845572
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,1.0,0.5046537431268626
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,phi-1_5,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.482670346699501
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4570788402895617
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,phi-1_5,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5024120188052763
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.52880760235193
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,phi-1_5,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4406553680961497
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,phi-1_5,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4773554237346101
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,phi-1_5,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4450550005565993
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",phi-1_5,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.527855612350026
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5178696853264216
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,phi-1_5,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4770565059127704
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,phi-1_5,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4626336709070611
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,phi-1_5,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4576102504547637
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,phi-1_5,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,1.0,0.503223523059492
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,phi-1_5,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4797469470283681
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,phi-1_5,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4473232567043339
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,phi-1_5,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4452736292903586
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,phi-1_5,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4774313018630543
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,phi-1_5,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4405242828496405
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",phi-1_5,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5724761237013065
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5322612475323917
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,phi-1_5,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4582645834502142
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,phi-1_5,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,1.0,0.5108687701611646
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,phi-1_5,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4472450564379951
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,phi-1_5,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4799598916641077
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",phi-1_5,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,1.0,0.5096233835173439
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,phi-1_5,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4619173447576428
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,phi-1_5,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5070359126268079
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,phi-1_5,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4561568385869877
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4748666161002916
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.45518400187705
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5146751564369766
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5313422972865514
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.463283559858848
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5071810504271734
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4711407981132333
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,1.0,0.5063662789160347
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",phi-1_5,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4924965672327541
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5055620704173747
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4596859126207903
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,phi-1_5,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4779338907138185
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,phi-1_5,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4366493407918181
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",phi-1_5,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.460370637917221
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4783508855488659
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,phi-1_5,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4762043225455202
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,phi-1_5,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5439758296334748
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,phi-1_5,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4885026317012709
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,phi-1_5,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5400205889036449
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,phi-1_5,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,1.0,0.5114053609794816
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,phi-1_5,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5278229795766062
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,phi-1_5,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4487910579788104
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,phi-1_5,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4740892682155723
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5228703462044417
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,phi-1_5,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5169391083688284
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4871707099064341
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,phi-1_5,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4883125806164
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",phi-1_5,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4645425924170441
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4631300754623003
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",phi-1_5,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4960976210054419
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,phi-1_5,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4728617385304041
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4772267904791556
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,phi-1_5,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,1.0,0.530148800139168
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,phi-1_5,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4967287923223765
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,phi-1_5,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,1.0,0.537543207062391
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,phi-1_5,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4907267302369741
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,phi-1_5,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4487407969652557
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,phi-1_5,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4652469096134942
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,phi-1_5,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4689115669932727
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",phi-1_5,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4181289244373862
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,phi-1_5,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4934634029978186
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,phi-1_5,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4572885777881714
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",phi-1_5,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4836571322435271
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,phi-1_5,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5581073066216067
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,phi-1_5,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.469678549641529
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,phi-1_5,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4850630387435363
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),phi-1_5,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.494452101699285
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,phi-1_5,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4850778017838873
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,phi-1_5,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4516938860221762
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,phi-1_5,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4912843236516592
phi-1_5,2023-08-18,phi-1_5,43.89,12.4,46.8,64.0,38.4,41.0,8.07,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",phi-1_5,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4673812518044495
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",phi-2,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4569517325617228
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,phi-2,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4431171272018261
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,phi-2,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4289253513968791
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,phi-2,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4647104770706473
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,phi-2,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4372017341450312
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",phi-2,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5655519037915167
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,phi-2,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4489277491054504
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",phi-2,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4606980243653972
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",phi-2,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4414766327319294
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4311223395185047
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",phi-2,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4388125348008441
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,phi-2,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5599457113691965
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",phi-2,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.542028692592498
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,phi-2,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5352371519946375
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,phi-2,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4658654600250721
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,phi-2,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4553957658823697
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,phi-2,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5415232783149271
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,phi-2,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5340435758559388
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,phi-2,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5428130930561363
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,phi-2,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5438759502246452
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will this question resolve in the negative?,phi-2,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5572433179218135
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,phi-2,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5442683883151105
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,phi-2,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4557316116848895
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",phi-2,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.518682145096125
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,phi-2,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,1.0,0.504703363084069
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",phi-2,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5522522649326503
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A triumph over the mite-y?,phi-2,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4542388630684978
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,phi-2,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4754431063832603
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,phi-2,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5427447071911549
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,phi-2,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.451300255006123
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,phi-2,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5362718294706696
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",phi-2,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5807032445230311
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4256861912902283
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,phi-2,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5410843224156234
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,phi-2,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4927239859266168
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",phi-2,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4676412130418539
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",phi-2,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4665381759829011
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",phi-2,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4578941395029793
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,phi-2,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4703005044410649
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,phi-2,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4731220484262436
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,phi-2,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4547770871271072
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,phi-2,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.438754229307271
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,phi-2,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4553009190700134
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Does Proxima have Planets?,phi-2,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5719142979335194
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,phi-2,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.44151815591831
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,phi-2,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.549900136644722
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,phi-2,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4883502045611694
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,phi-2,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4371289511865974
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,phi-2,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5549071833085595
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,phi-2,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4409572408650467
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,phi-2,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4267377732662575
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,phi-2,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5478159212980911
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,phi-2,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4480650259074205
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,phi-2,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5762702418586153
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,phi-2,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5490251850010777
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,phi-2,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4567621450785022
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",phi-2,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4622590112432084
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,phi-2,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5562152936028439
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,phi-2,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4569472362161593
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,phi-2,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5333349737599808
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,phi-2,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4479991186198777
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",phi-2,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5296481754369602
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,phi-2,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4520322042690413
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,phi-2,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4517868495363908
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,phi-2,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4641731305892483
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,phi-2,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4375645510468881
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,phi-2,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4514883687227975
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,phi-2,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4415575596106744
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is Arnold alive?,phi-2,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4489459412536765
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,phi-2,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4702902291851312
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,phi-2,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4344508854028796
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,phi-2,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.447550979009411
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,phi-2,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5538108062271997
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",phi-2,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4667783345218942
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",phi-2,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4572650514758934
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"How important are ""time crystals""?",phi-2,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4393475534029785
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,phi-2,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4346425189756027
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,phi-2,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4566451517507062
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4459311735229274
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,phi-2,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4535531782547509
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",phi-2,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4430284171557072
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,phi-2,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4358199055398503
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",phi-2,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4735090704218458
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,phi-2,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4530567113979593
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,phi-2,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4851597446000799
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,phi-2,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4449350889309232
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,phi-2,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.440378823789209
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,phi-2,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4772223156434014
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,phi-2,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4672673477826385
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,phi-2,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4736751066263035
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,phi-2,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4638483978683194
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,phi-2,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4333704772401604
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,phi-2,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4607967048355712
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,phi-2,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5512740246383256
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,phi-2,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4384002686342279
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,phi-2,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4548617583544179
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,phi-2,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4524332499631971
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,phi-2,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.453208237486678
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,phi-2,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4680791835996502
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,phi-2,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5458857432183349
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,phi-2,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4402081016434764
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",phi-2,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4810616119304807
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,phi-2,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4413187132617597
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",phi-2,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5308183735793124
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,phi-2,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5905177205480212
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,phi-2,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4481069074159404
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",phi-2,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4861903237903455
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",phi-2,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4606590103961545
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,phi-2,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4570088863298853
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,phi-2,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5631125339330927
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,phi-2,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4637914777556116
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,phi-2,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5504711336190654
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,phi-2,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4117814888070022
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,phi-2,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5551822595743197
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,phi-2,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5735768043757654
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",phi-2,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4659928470068755
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,phi-2,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.458556749320442
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,phi-2,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.52193219122326
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,phi-2,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4603357357957155
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,phi-2,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4648822770483968
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,phi-2,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5158389167965087
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",phi-2,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4658335771956842
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,phi-2,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5606500941259412
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,phi-2,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4341615911264643
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",phi-2,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4509464883698653
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,phi-2,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4462220914953431
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,phi-2,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4708664476226986
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,phi-2,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4266285721331555
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,phi-2,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4372458151972837
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,phi-2,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4645443700272081
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,phi-2,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.460484638664263
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,phi-2,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.454221180655544
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,phi-2,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.445385600951011
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,phi-2,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4401297963586137
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,phi-2,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5456136302912188
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",phi-2,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5124785896805075
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,phi-2,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.418471874734693
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,phi-2,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4567437641660969
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,phi-2,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4659526255487743
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,phi-2,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4267931951852185
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,phi-2,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4612819782450392
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,phi-2,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5555011159601091
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",phi-2,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4427490826335286
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Giant robot battle: is it on?,phi-2,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5649315594238502
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,phi-2,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4450830187312137
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,phi-2,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4361760602831224
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,phi-2,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5614162774241922
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,phi-2,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4406309471810311
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,phi-2,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5284885975040604
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,phi-2,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5341033218993915
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,phi-2,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5569330371052233
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,phi-2,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4602782512744912
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,phi-2,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4608985526479958
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,phi-2,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5761984339977071
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,phi-2,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4711275968200768
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",phi-2,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4356579272470103
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,phi-2,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4356452627252386
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,phi-2,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4565987196632231
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",phi-2,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5571523505763638
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,phi-2,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4508894988524989
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",phi-2,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5169464520105216
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",phi-2,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4751903821187375
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4292118926647297
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,phi-2,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.462446343718304
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,phi-2,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.451522268388889
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,phi-2,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5329834850699368
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,phi-2,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4540610234600163
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,phi-2,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5502197838357561
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,phi-2,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.457267400600957
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,phi-2,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5600582965793017
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,phi-2,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4712771174235368
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",phi-2,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4177658610684108
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,phi-2,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4513047564737009
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",phi-2,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4615918955445615
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,phi-2,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4395129221246523
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,phi-2,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4693266392679656
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,phi-2,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4483954862981579
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,phi-2,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4430877454046636
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,phi-2,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.423687092341149
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,phi-2,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4517616114769676
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,phi-2,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4677520457087276
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,phi-2,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4717950209833969
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,phi-2,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4424732436810746
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,phi-2,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4489278551170367
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,phi-2,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4799547855160424
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,phi-2,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4428549106776308
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",phi-2,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4506244130258132
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,phi-2,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5351219766039377
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,First human head transplant in 2017?,phi-2,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4892049455875941
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,phi-2,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4258902801205036
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",phi-2,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5698677392510157
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,phi-2,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4530567113979593
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,phi-2,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4494639774141888
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,phi-2,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4216091276666391
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,phi-2,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4227475668479536
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,phi-2,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4487398769400088
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,phi-2,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4504432212549761
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",phi-2,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.447147284873526
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,phi-2,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4313904724505641
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,phi-2,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.558845162720444
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,phi-2,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4542955539855579
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,phi-2,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.448095139142497
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,phi-2,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4260409795546235
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,phi-2,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4515059031418353
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,phi-2,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5690209136456589
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,phi-2,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4601273848369319
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,phi-2,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.454451274800539
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,phi-2,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4692901614157339
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,phi-2,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5240832410328746
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",phi-2,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5214830155478716
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",phi-2,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4959117363348593
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",phi-2,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5272361924423887
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,phi-2,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5585965237570513
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,phi-2,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4449491955932048
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4763948014118139
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will May Day protests turn violent?,phi-2,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5244271100610355
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4654409137987364
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,phi-2,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4622065901353209
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",phi-2,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4447671943962124
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,phi-2,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4543472688407443
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,phi-2,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5421640215631269
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,phi-2,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5557284401189473
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,phi-2,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5316100918077908
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4440318900705791
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,phi-2,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4616093572858137
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",phi-2,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5478051412770109
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,phi-2,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4635552442952355
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,phi-2,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4576318248301392
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,phi-2,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4628251158976226
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",phi-2,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5379014530008617
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,phi-2,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5443266994694864
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5392593324728163
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",phi-2,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4666534243335448
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,phi-2,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4728203044783695
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4610464476517384
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,phi-2,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4577059272448591
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4739311291366979
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.46820934588592
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,phi-2,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4314737993511345
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,phi-2,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4543235567313775
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,phi-2,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4159396793386855
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,phi-2,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4329042328692122
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5500683881004342
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,phi-2,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4781838838848932
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,phi-2,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4838872952191104
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,phi-2,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5446640652171983
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,phi-2,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5450192348661416
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,phi-2,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4688039465482459
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,phi-2,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5515753710539979
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,phi-2,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.439115840558517
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.544172151779035
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,phi-2,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4541308928240657
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,phi-2,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5326061625759204
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,phi-2,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.483334138237569
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,phi-2,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4488948850160428
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,phi-2,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4756538816594955
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,phi-2,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4659611223882614
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Airships by 2019?,phi-2,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4522671343396748
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",phi-2,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4591513488970289
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,phi-2,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4353333917154293
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,phi-2,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4599077930167393
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",phi-2,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5639199176508787
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,phi-2,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.456845955930685
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,phi-2,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5071787177033782
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,phi-2,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4758056099138668
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is Westworld located on an island?,phi-2,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4828054935227311
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,phi-2,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4458452222438803
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,phi-2,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.456635110838846
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,phi-2,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4290381110167718
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4566662258602046
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4432967455098835
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,phi-2,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4116518245376134
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,phi-2,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4715779586680186
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,phi-2,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4817123604900143
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,phi-2,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5613008417807854
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,phi-2,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4402905042765157
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,phi-2,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4725154085300537
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,phi-2,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4220939678808295
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,phi-2,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4272672504529431
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,phi-2,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.44034891974833
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",phi-2,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5414824436707628
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,phi-2,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4628141480912671
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,phi-2,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5526770264112266
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,phi-2,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4535681935702624
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,phi-2,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4499970220400334
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,phi-2,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4417638128742993
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,phi-2,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4799344005897888
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,phi-2,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4211940129814821
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,phi-2,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.440964236242867
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,phi-2,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4686142621746436
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,phi-2,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4323204512702343
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",phi-2,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5960746656902058
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,phi-2,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5550936035866842
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,phi-2,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4468514345544878
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,phi-2,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4671413764299627
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,phi-2,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4236908970768843
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,phi-2,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4292015997380781
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",phi-2,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4492380268103805
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,phi-2,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4566411268782122
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,phi-2,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5590232208418997
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,phi-2,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4574587764573231
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,phi-2,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4694822717202599
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,phi-2,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4379315615147823
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,phi-2,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.465648327155264
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,phi-2,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,1.0,0.5003013860081917
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,phi-2,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4320788399387409
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,phi-2,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4540120092578144
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,phi-2,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4749148927135069
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,phi-2,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4407728249729913
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",phi-2,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4710942197698738
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,phi-2,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.470322552315467
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,phi-2,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4344896862083158
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,phi-2,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.465064538441704
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,phi-2,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4498029870895917
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",phi-2,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4384739545734651
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,phi-2,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4656210486736744
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,phi-2,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4469853874920486
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,phi-2,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5615342914205308
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,phi-2,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4522520403493852
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,phi-2,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.5094442422822633
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,phi-2,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4574160431804293
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,phi-2,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,1.0,0.5011467320147444
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,phi-2,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4253157198516409
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,phi-2,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4366950267711549
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",phi-2,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5284284555770976
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,phi-2,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5578738452916878
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",phi-2,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4559042735131389
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,phi-2,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4546663327006932
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",phi-2,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4479170037970899
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",phi-2,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4264523241531917
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,phi-2,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4669278738550974
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,phi-2,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4394214754163015
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,phi-2,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4502355092521746
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,phi-2,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5338339996180259
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,phi-2,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4570476188983127
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,phi-2,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4743566806359107
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,phi-2,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4825522905996867
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,phi-2,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4759513113633787
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,phi-2,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.442670506720515
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,phi-2,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4396093488641443
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,phi-2,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4630816423417211
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",phi-2,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4312201701668944
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,phi-2,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4467556864858816
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",phi-2,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4577027863959936
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,phi-2,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5479006301505911
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,phi-2,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4473525195418173
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,phi-2,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4532945306448916
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),phi-2,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4576852369404817
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,phi-2,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4479442641450695
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,phi-2,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4367507189294242
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,phi-2,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4440551404812286
phi-2,2023-12-24,phi-2,58.11,54.8,69.0,77.0,49.1,47.6,5.49,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",phi-2,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4634769519285917
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",pythia-12b,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4825652109416548
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,pythia-12b,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4760573415346237
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,pythia-12b,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4765396571794803
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4793861246122063
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,pythia-12b,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4775985934260027
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",pythia-12b,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5160802435262513
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,pythia-12b,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.4706221120107446
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",pythia-12b,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4653334866465961
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4700532357772895
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.469844335618637
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",pythia-12b,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4906770713294007
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,pythia-12b,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5301650326286775
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",pythia-12b,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5093324164193416
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,pythia-12b,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5167895509736418
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,pythia-12b,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4699515076852468
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,pythia-12b,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4726971227191239
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,pythia-12b,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5228598690346725
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5509674003267344
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,pythia-12b,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5262806462012034
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5168988912587811
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will this question resolve in the negative?,pythia-12b,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5049259489944067
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,pythia-12b,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5363752242162638
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,pythia-12b,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4636247757837362
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",pythia-12b,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5193001838809981
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,pythia-12b,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4824936869344456
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",pythia-12b,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5277725645810878
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A triumph over the mite-y?,pythia-12b,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4746107941110543
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,pythia-12b,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5052954771903442
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,pythia-12b,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5357139335108434
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,pythia-12b,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4762862168635091
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,pythia-12b,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5144917383835496
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",pythia-12b,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5182332583612611
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4685795137454426
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,pythia-12b,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5279914159296013
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,pythia-12b,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4862827004955344
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",pythia-12b,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4740972840537912
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",pythia-12b,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4854023796968563
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",pythia-12b,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4644398682617222
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,pythia-12b,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4715644111411693
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,pythia-12b,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4739256832228079
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,pythia-12b,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4606779857327736
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,pythia-12b,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4815997620147102
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,pythia-12b,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4981312379375862
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,pythia-12b,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.478745093931628
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Does Proxima have Planets?,pythia-12b,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5315905172989632
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5155932323432306
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,pythia-12b,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4872560501800687
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,pythia-12b,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4819425887267033
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5280712260238716
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,pythia-12b,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4736741930616583
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,pythia-12b,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4822359144151398
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,pythia-12b,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5272982274264653
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,pythia-12b,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4801556045543228
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,pythia-12b,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5299401570047257
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,pythia-12b,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5368148795183239
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,pythia-12b,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4886850596694044
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",pythia-12b,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4784993229181299
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,pythia-12b,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5218852324178764
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",pythia-12b,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5215889177095179
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,pythia-12b,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4732765184107571
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,pythia-12b,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4831118168394325
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5440035103251184
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,pythia-12b,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4706686364375912
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,pythia-12b,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4743403789561474
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,pythia-12b,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4975292204710103
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,pythia-12b,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4908082105712855
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,pythia-12b,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4764666760468836
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,pythia-12b,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4724836744164483
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,pythia-12b,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,1.0,0.5039760593276905
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is Arnold alive?,pythia-12b,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4675271309363018
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,pythia-12b,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4547788048723465
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,pythia-12b,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4918737806202076
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,pythia-12b,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5292476709240264
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",pythia-12b,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4605463926562078
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4921220970238362
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,pythia-12b,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4612728505961367
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,pythia-12b,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4824772984916686
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,pythia-12b,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4856524161986442
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",pythia-12b,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4886383197811632
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",pythia-12b,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4634501773047984
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,1.0,0.5012205020510535
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"How important are ""time crystals""?",pythia-12b,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4638372690423423
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,pythia-12b,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4874810280800997
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,pythia-12b,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.47957371991692
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",pythia-12b,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4776038679092528
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4633539384901274
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4826118319312631
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,pythia-12b,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4718136557871581
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,pythia-12b,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.482519442541248
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4918601879253089
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,pythia-12b,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4708331508928241
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,pythia-12b,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4694279877396031
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,pythia-12b,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4820580400641984
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,pythia-12b,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5069550362676478
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,pythia-12b,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4706762302070684
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.476791613670206
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4704064341881906
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.457449142306016
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,pythia-12b,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4733811999633414
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,pythia-12b,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.532615903558344
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,pythia-12b,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4850615325218219
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",pythia-12b,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4709189348018159
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,pythia-12b,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.477551894107492
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",pythia-12b,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5266993709133991
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,pythia-12b,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5154106670031169
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",pythia-12b,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4722061002967633
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,pythia-12b,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4835936781287792
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",pythia-12b,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4664738747124282
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,pythia-12b,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4797858361675595
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5282357792519552
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.518869752329991
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4714963280595872
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4821504455938653
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5338780714546325
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,pythia-12b,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5257907168930525
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,pythia-12b,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4687312597823866
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",pythia-12b,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4775151752081999
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,pythia-12b,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4649820939771985
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5171597932278131
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,pythia-12b,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4739422048755462
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,pythia-12b,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5235838854189987
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",pythia-12b,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5018037439790678
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,pythia-12b,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5204251351028503
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",pythia-12b,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4912331260606901
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,pythia-12b,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,1.0,0.5
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,pythia-12b,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4933987762335095
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,pythia-12b,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4905557857659389
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,pythia-12b,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4746723594746186
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,pythia-12b,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.481459452877696
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,pythia-12b,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4658334704753192
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4795093905777862
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,pythia-12b,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4784840974574926
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,pythia-12b,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4905813704970796
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,pythia-12b,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.511190072979482
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,pythia-12b,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5219972446101312
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",pythia-12b,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5320723544019665
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,pythia-12b,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4891486957702498
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,pythia-12b,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4826037097260084
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,pythia-12b,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4836168774031821
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,pythia-12b,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4765672578205842
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,pythia-12b,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4829781374351576
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,pythia-12b,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.514384518751706
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",pythia-12b,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4556900511804307
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Giant robot battle: is it on?,pythia-12b,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5371598975250588
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,pythia-12b,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4832977788304013
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,pythia-12b,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4799506642722908
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,pythia-12b,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5281943231882033
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,pythia-12b,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4673963662985337
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,pythia-12b,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5301939248671919
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,pythia-12b,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.526484761066347
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,pythia-12b,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5169467058899024
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,pythia-12b,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4606487620990379
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4909971416980603
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,pythia-12b,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5467508370251657
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",pythia-12b,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4816596083361285
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,pythia-12b,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4943626028145173
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4815982732616684
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,pythia-12b,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,1.0,0.5016790981655691
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",pythia-12b,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5188606120423978
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,pythia-12b,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4700035974320658
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4907112257135005
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4971725089341147
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",pythia-12b,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4984087748203771
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4894793394798395
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",pythia-12b,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4868348047029056
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,pythia-12b,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5309906677666081
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,pythia-12b,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4832967062216391
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5263753444336445
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4837060256279444
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4748384938147882
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4676899318158276
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",pythia-12b,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4840101935854569
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,pythia-12b,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4722286112241498
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4615153833395857
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,pythia-12b,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5256783232163253
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4908943286107536
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,pythia-12b,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4881911727425119
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",pythia-12b,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.474876904271272
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,pythia-12b,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4965582521082856
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4710555786780669
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4841545854496428
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,pythia-12b,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4972299452382869
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,pythia-12b,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4909919657862464
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.485514435370256
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",pythia-12b,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5420618755098607
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,First human head transplant in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4740113345886124
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,pythia-12b,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4919572155250151
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5334036960325301
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4871227276505199
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,pythia-12b,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4874511954557624
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",pythia-12b,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4942506793038211
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,pythia-12b,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.47957371991692
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,pythia-12b,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.478474671721703
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,pythia-12b,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4862866259146703
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,pythia-12b,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4789492613951589
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4689856849034636
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,pythia-12b,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.492351643327534
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",pythia-12b,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4683976930956657
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,pythia-12b,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4715035873394587
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,pythia-12b,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5359729315480395
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4729778266704578
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,pythia-12b,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4710222704398936
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,pythia-12b,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4805819317951378
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,pythia-12b,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4809686447754049
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,pythia-12b,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5393746091210984
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,pythia-12b,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4736355858707912
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,pythia-12b,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4888995245197762
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,pythia-12b,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4889285561700076
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,pythia-12b,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5361400735610702
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",pythia-12b,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5286910474081279
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",pythia-12b,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4732083096201521
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",pythia-12b,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5216231798549724
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,pythia-12b,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5255931809572278
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,pythia-12b,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4810598851989299
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4780016320658703
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will May Day protests turn violent?,pythia-12b,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5047672087030908
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4794905987217751
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",pythia-12b,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4835103809335309
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,pythia-12b,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4645389235679071
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,pythia-12b,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4846202378829159
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,pythia-12b,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5295295272519092
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,pythia-12b,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5310294372611315
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,pythia-12b,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5155046286963484
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4708053048859594
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.470856868603209
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",pythia-12b,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5313268367249067
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,pythia-12b,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4827722739843793
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,pythia-12b,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4828110091879035
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,pythia-12b,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4701358978315088
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",pythia-12b,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.515540138062593
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5169642889486379
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5314692000050116
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",pythia-12b,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4774090083819247
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,pythia-12b,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4901302105078052
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4730729522391161
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4694146265912626
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4730504588299372
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4915077853679029
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,pythia-12b,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4843800842769844
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.482765451122805
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4762272952441754
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,pythia-12b,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4835450390997928
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5325459421202801
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,pythia-12b,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4970171867651373
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,pythia-12b,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4565910402372319
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,pythia-12b,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5219121853190731
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5311611122341373
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,pythia-12b,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4730156836518928
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,pythia-12b,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5358859028766995
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,pythia-12b,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4614189312801509
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5328320667764508
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4832845138328587
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5255350291024334
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4781854988476688
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,pythia-12b,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4981701820024297
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4895582106106258
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4973769409325697
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,pythia-12b,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4770837355539453
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",pythia-12b,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5374641601705121
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.466654048785983
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4557085047783603
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,pythia-12b,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4693288216696473
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",pythia-12b,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4620166404768597
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,pythia-12b,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4641847105008958
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,pythia-12b,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4796623899503276
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Airships by 2019?,pythia-12b,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.466235041771292
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,pythia-12b,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.464237999484202
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,pythia-12b,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5063341205844533
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is Westworld located on an island?,pythia-12b,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5258390299442697
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4979691419561401
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.454210290251928
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4676464568816869
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.488118434393997
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,pythia-12b,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4607949296305453
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,pythia-12b,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4491460275645134
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4638670544019868
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.529082722212816
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,pythia-12b,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4468816080352776
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,pythia-12b,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4668652813650922
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,pythia-12b,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,1.0,0.5045084440847083
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",pythia-12b,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5245537513504275
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,pythia-12b,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4863608197210783
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5410836360523943
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,pythia-12b,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.492496902951122
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,pythia-12b,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4933311881683537
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,pythia-12b,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4724622083744251
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,pythia-12b,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4831503221699393
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,pythia-12b,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4560962656741692
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,pythia-12b,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4787408948130546
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,pythia-12b,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4739552183200747
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,pythia-12b,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4757602566208559
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",pythia-12b,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5242199656148421
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5286536627262548
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,pythia-12b,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4828498677633829
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,pythia-12b,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4507819831335544
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,pythia-12b,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4794578782297162
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,pythia-12b,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4637987244192681
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",pythia-12b,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4884458169208336
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,pythia-12b,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4792267453188208
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,pythia-12b,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5404668504847183
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,pythia-12b,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4962300431682813
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4717401245521359
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4811792325568054
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4816892268318129
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4724239695583671
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4773251259873535
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.485759426317064
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4870718477056779
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.475753128143511
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",pythia-12b,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4857551512197022
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4741276781394595
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4671577697169405
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,pythia-12b,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4713429160848832
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,pythia-12b,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4761146851720942
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",pythia-12b,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4570783764047701
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4834599250963148
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,pythia-12b,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4768054158039443
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,pythia-12b,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5174395566137162
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,pythia-12b,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4995215312465279
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,pythia-12b,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4842304714532077
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,pythia-12b,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4680557552780333
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,pythia-12b,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4685923624748431
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,pythia-12b,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4694656236145129
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,pythia-12b,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.475107302069545
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5028225506623551
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,pythia-12b,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5258585922869736
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4836722180750538
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,pythia-12b,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4698080178877767
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",pythia-12b,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,1.0,0.5032495209726798
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4658506780293173
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",pythia-12b,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4824567934598601
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4747707282221012
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,pythia-12b,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4789404535171209
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,pythia-12b,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5134991736589836
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,pythia-12b,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4813294398071254
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,pythia-12b,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4819184574549014
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,pythia-12b,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5040833937872883
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,pythia-12b,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4827196510163704
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,pythia-12b,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.474441899398087
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,pythia-12b,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.485667010363264
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",pythia-12b,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4860902181110921
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,pythia-12b,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.484005459097298
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,pythia-12b,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4655281366894268
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",pythia-12b,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4749648571041358
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,pythia-12b,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5360568171290685
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),pythia-12b,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4720393789410653
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,pythia-12b,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4711928489551669
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,pythia-12b,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4831384985009485
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,pythia-12b,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4877285629930113
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,pythia-12b,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4748614693571971
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,pythia-12b,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4766808904528373
pythia-12b,2023-02-24,pythia-12b,26.76,1.7,30.4,29.0,33.0,31.9,,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",pythia-12b,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4859398958274666
vicuna-7b-v1.5,2023-07-24,vicuna-7b-v1.5,50.82,8.1,71.3,76.0,44.6,42.8,20.39,,,,,,
xverse-13b,2023-08-06,xverse-13b,55.1,18.0,,,,,,,,,,,
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4427041728831666
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.475400620587993
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4619239052224957
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4203923788667345
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4455940972388919
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5971253912516999
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.433897332614824
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4572930237138574
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4035132191609382
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4809737879747797
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.40515875420149
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5497000239103673
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5738986047814123
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5248198148821016
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4382556291109389
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4459069374420604
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5340942321987289
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,0.0,0.5
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5278917095704198
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5965793308414167
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will this question resolve in the negative?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.511968486128592
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.566514920318976
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.433485079681024
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.524758501906089
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4686700827132858
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5498456740139924
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A triumph over the mite-y?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.456316006999041
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,1.0,0.5185875503592942
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5062441055146603
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4669202887384792
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,0.0,0.4624123345233308
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.585606358718066
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.42581600210756
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5094587442815098
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,1.0,0.5777863572516888
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4791544657401447
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4799559757150396
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4898094259791468
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4827059182403672
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.4457335155366791
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4790929692739053
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4364833810900447
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.4982093081236041
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4294616272890746
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Does Proxima have Planets?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5142584645383785
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5022795646454874
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.452138027540423
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4806543020900303
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.5458675635670536
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4145503458066408
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4064723516497118
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5561405572825544
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4486931342418303
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5702283537821025
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5144882792506777
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4982527617642652
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4800374399655399
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5252297110732431
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5315120525112176
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.584527844090311
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4528028438425628
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4555091417042526
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4838147954163185
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4881678834504309
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4982254153128845
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4551235452617769
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4814605804840361
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4619476468576636
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4435796845206811
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is Arnold alive?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4756157402817683
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4299595112157156
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.491291352793104
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5407856808915461
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.4561556419980356
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.3980796015610943
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4685794271042943
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.404917688409201
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4301741011235622
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4301544049548149
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4171333040918544
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4827461567349989
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"How important are ""time crystals""?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4211035300176166
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4723623422542106
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.439900673761144
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,1.0,0.5033166384972005
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4660265596239327
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.3957144589624117
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4143685745411551
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4857736169240829
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4757615529462613
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4871748445159548
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4548402383568349
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.4620664846216463
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5705462115584915
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4172861227130105
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4660220084651227
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,1.0,0.5151890558388278
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4385635667031652
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4465368831073016
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5378080363742023
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4652044161332298
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,1.0,0.5
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.4488040936926546
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5027461945698158
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.5592573316734958
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4437313652214673
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4368806713765836
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.478951289489271
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4256238852304221
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5597927183918725
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4966651270916189
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5400405886542887
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.4161077082770538
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5495965407377268
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5704873367767975
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5465093813723565
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4814530656935909
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4611757122672545
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4177445593926608
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4444152563675976
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,0.0,0.46439590161356
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,1.0,0.5
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5439890174823887
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4829812660923468
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4676905103782708
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.4080190835807109
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4966485458318991
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4165856809087027
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4426948856897889
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4836149121200181
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.472657852357149
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.434284900536862
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.4548699557237509
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,1.0,0.5146675282446962
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5415155820157884
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,0.0,0.4682280792126641
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4486729533188326
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4487975380309407
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,1.0,0.5016795252430896
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.4140036650236584
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,1.0,0.5
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5475562316469322
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.429865219554543
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Giant robot battle: is it on?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5781170740445882
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.46860719982191
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4444939565747047
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.55219964945441
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4531215015093501
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5013720459569435
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5631679781873085
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5580328976641427
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4540168523003402
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4293040895475328
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5855501495195767
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,1.0,0.5090248423822158
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4250105382271782
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4568380988814529
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4594711262357023
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5328509693721382
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4409835119089732
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4866700633508425
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5647714770382417
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4802302480586362
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4689241904560137
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4272919041356534
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5529961281772744
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.539147638645284
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4613534282400705
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4052475497376797
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4721559459014352
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4231153307448669
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4521374246472047
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4763408335589416
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4897937697576617
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4729432387792973
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.3919907709260581
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5956716226114835
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4758911016467592
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4129686047937269
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4683582910939209
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.3900063946103697
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4725179475243051
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4390106886448029
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4318161860487722
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4425263392063452
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5446168633516393
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,First human head transplant in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5165042830495504
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4271347535674245
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4489904896567041
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4618755359372777
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5641190590108267
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,1.0,0.5033166384972005
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,0.0,0.4718046386251618
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4552608428206962
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.469284115947603
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4803784285078684
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4435402263508829
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.4638499291755544
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4423617132389232
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5450823459057066
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4738467599591324
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4504408158720633
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4526347555812363
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4443622010046313
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.60758308040941
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4935516894041415
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4840498073238407
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4430885559604217
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5240424788379228
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5545740868657795
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,1.0,0.5092752077393881
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5473335121254188
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.6135868907193935
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4641187397888189
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4479504620724333
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will May Day protests turn violent?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5312663274897675
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.453303387142611
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,1.0,0.5537234107302933
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4552454905734005
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4460568270015523
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5693836556759211
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5881372840298424
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5821755565343618
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4758212021955157
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4407307648334337
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4456338659754504
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.5585352626243636
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4425777600930196
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4386239787918044
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5462181250199661
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5517015416851281
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5499384505093894
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4655955003671883
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,1.0,0.5257192284868655
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4684620624605464
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4684094173247516
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4880798507902079
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4859184972201902
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4193480779904966
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4602702599880945
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4217967970780324
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4089623224795509
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.588442636531236
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,1.0,0.5124470176122528
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4713310870677998
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5896046793077265
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5545868176739107
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4793493298933614
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.6073574209659414
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4473471170997215
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5695162168687034
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4613785613974465
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5691053288179855
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.485291469149081
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4944909380228445
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4514157889256863
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4755322893476298
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4621801120308911
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4644277337377413
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4591208614416205
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4980047405890764
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4842324901061669
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Airships by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4884500709138983
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4613485412410583
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5527451441816552
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4224435635564281
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4518025749042575
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4312955218392352
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is Westworld located on an island?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4771903980036623
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4211602665541984
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4820497320218924
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.408137023944203
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4392450452114752
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4341566944562364
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.539341446833711
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4112028090681762
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4350713704852296
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4366250195895447
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4834011244789054
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4624453833955707
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.510997209016211
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.5462585501040855
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4465456153635168
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4409696121094741
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4492927223944947
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.4249312098359117
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4553626766865657
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4250186160149699
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.4722679963095691
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4487493230581395
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4536023759599534
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5263837815223127
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.581185794990581
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4735159440681297
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4488332515357915
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4353710466033068
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4797350520307097
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4861385721245506
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4410011863112746
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5722457417009319
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4636884708887322
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4649658501585287
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4856292530678675
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4722934651995042
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4906985961956784
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4815325336311614
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4763795265382063
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4945282457766145
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4626212185946291
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4270275973812664
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4884626159241117
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,1.0,0.5123838787050878
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4744599520536665
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.4809889017081363
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4557050176090392
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4701209677154672
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4219234938460303
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5178848943441963
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4867365652113349
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,1.0,0.571536514325381
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.4400476281049776
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4713246635272431
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4741368489878573
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4442163842505045
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5609017487093262
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5356764115459047
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4536104070951087
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4708034827234746
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4338591587675929
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4293545314382272
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.449108039046376
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4751654180143854
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5431110928164331
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4652879497793198
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,1.0,0.5713707653120248
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4819389283915294
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,1.0,0.5119098986934252
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4438713420324966
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4956849068254442
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,zephyr-7b-beta,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4415194229493848
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.466743912555026
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",zephyr-7b-beta,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4591494876311857
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4708733232354786
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4376040410312252
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5912165747213285
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,1.0,0.5194495263390633
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),zephyr-7b-beta,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4362519909346873
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4433745779813879
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4722062747168847
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,zephyr-7b-beta,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.3982684897940666
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,zephyr-7b-beta,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4209649058495406
zephyr-7b-beta,2023-10-26,zephyr-7b-beta,60.7,11.3,80.7,78.0,34.8,51.2,35.74,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",zephyr-7b-beta,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4723787849442503
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Google make a ""watershed"" announcement about quantum computing in early December?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-13,2015-12-16,0.0,0.4696041428397739
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will NASA's K2 Mission detect a potentially habitable planet in 2015?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-03,2016-01-15,0.0,0.4719830251550266
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-10,2016-01-16,0.0,0.4404588083340021
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-02,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4628886724336459
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-11,2016-02-01,0.0,0.4567629887007733
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-11,2016-02-11,1.0,0.5292875673992383
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the experimental Wendelstein 7-X stellarator fusion device be a success?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-02,2016-02-15,0.0,0.484337619517757
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the AI's major professional society take a position on ""killer robots""?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-08,2016-02-18,0.0,0.4954059557368681
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?",zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2016-02-28,0.0,0.4684120104531638
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-02,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4693380088997207
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2016-03-01,0.0,0.4613509950860164
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-27,2016-03-03,1.0,0.5242387610329454
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?",zhongjing-base,2015-12-20,2016-03-15,1.0,0.5274589082749287
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-10,2016-03-17,1.0,0.5131565795374624
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the SEC approve the IEX's application to operate as a registered exchange?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-19,2016-03-21,0.0,0.4885449122924257
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-18,2016-03-29,0.0,0.4671514602395027
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-18,2016-03-31,1.0,0.5322220492258114
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,How many Tesla Model 3 orders in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5163622205957707
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-27,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5383044384957175
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-01,1.0,0.5260564070163611
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will this question resolve in the negative?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-18,2016-04-05,1.0,0.5002295329917985
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-25,2016-04-08,1.0,0.5247102567254851
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-03,2016-04-08,0.0,0.4752897432745148
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-13,2016-04-13,1.0,0.5426784059050778
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-31,2016-04-15,0.0,0.4788075537110332
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"[Tutorial:] Will Metaculus have over one thousand users signed up by May 1, 2016.",zhongjing-base,2015-12-07,2016-05-01,1.0,0.5238350691801985
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A triumph over the mite-y?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-31,2016-05-02,0.0,0.4685950413168114
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Ambulance chasing the LHC diphoton resonance,zhongjing-base,2016-03-13,2016-05-12,0.0,0.4771129761190117
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-17,2016-05-25,1.0,0.5138133639253802
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Facebook flight-test the Aquila drone in the U.S early this year?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-13,2016-06-03,0.0,0.4701641882014445
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-08,2016-06-07,1.0,0.5275010193585721
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable habitation module inflate, attach to the ISS, and be inhabitable?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-28,2016-06-09,1.0,0.5327258007485882
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2016-06-16,0.0,0.4501708506196965
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-16,2016-06-24,1.0,0.5297642896620145
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is Nefertiti's tomb adjacent to King Tut's?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-02,2016-06-30,0.0,0.4714146542307476
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will superparticles be discovered at the Large Hadron Collider by July 8, 2016?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-06,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4839789065452144
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-07,2016-07-10,0.0,0.4793677858940644
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"New Tesla ""Top Secret Master Plan"" revealed this week?",zhongjing-base,2016-07-11,2016-07-18,0.0,0.4545540465116611
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-17,2016-07-23,0.0,0.4763961160031774
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Edward Snowden tweet about Pokemon Go by July 26?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-12,2016-07-26,0.0,0.483811961060922
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-13,2016-07-27,0.0,0.4704521496311985
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is market volatility set to strongly increase?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-25,2016-08-04,0.0,0.4731751298854438
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Has a new boson been discovered at the LHC?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-16,2016-08-15,0.0,0.455902917802453
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Does Proxima have Planets?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-21,2016-08-23,1.0,0.5256004961552815
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will AI systems that can generate a synopsis of a viewed video soon exist?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-30,2016-08-23,0.0,0.4339978675154714
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-22,2016-08-26,1.0,0.5506196928871895
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-20,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4727282099403534
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Wikileaks release a significant augmentation to the Equation Group cyberespionage archive?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-18,2016-09-01,0.0,0.4742492296296269
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-16,2016-09-02,1.0,0.552449572561084
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-13,2016-09-14,0.0,0.4710881737781179
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2016 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-02,2016-09-16,0.0,0.4712527095430485
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,SpaceX's blueprint to Mars presented in late September?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-05,2016-09-28,1.0,0.5554878287616203
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-02,2016-10-10,0.0,0.4758494101865154
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Metaculus add a meta discussion feature?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-30,2016-10-15,1.0,0.5319495147866096
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-14,2016-10-20,1.0,0.5169031285862349
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A posteriori statistics and five for seven or better on stock dips?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-01,2016-10-21,0.0,0.4529006623605382
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?",zhongjing-base,2015-12-27,2016-11-06,0.0,0.4732477795098874
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-17,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5245127161341185
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-05,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4764478254392982
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-03,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5257587752495541
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?",zhongjing-base,2015-11-12,2016-11-09,1.0,0.5301825947484144
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-03,2016-11-09,0.0,0.4782965958586684
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-20,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4670847848693466
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-21,2016-11-10,0.0,0.4551719382028932
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Does Stephen Hawking's September paper contain the essence of a solution to the black hole information paradox?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-04,2016-11-14,0.0,0.4703619886083468
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-02,2016-11-18,0.0,0.4778073565502957
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-15,2016-12-02,0.0,0.4574287418508383
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-14,2016-12-04,0.0,0.4530323249493413
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is Arnold alive?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-16,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4686010844515839
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Are there physical systems with properties that are impossible in principle to predict?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-10,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4666959276332494
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-12,2016-12-05,0.0,0.4734120475361802
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-28,2016-12-14,0.0,0.4675012658137317
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-21,2016-12-20,1.0,0.5335125761716032
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the ""Project Blue"" campaign to kick-start a planet-imaging camera of Alpha Centauri reach its goal on Kickstarter?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-26,2016-12-24,0.0,0.469331781664513
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-29,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4642705376371868
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Wikileaks publish the full ""Panama Papers"" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?",zhongjing-base,2016-04-06,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4678051656178584
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-23,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4874285860262487
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,The Galaxy has disappeared from view for a third of humanity; will there be a growing movement to bring it back?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-19,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4731475769903669
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-12,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4711460392248739
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"In 2016, will gravitational wave astronomy discover something completely new?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-17,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4608512671254411
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Twin Prime Conjecture be positively resolved in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4943968547633456
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"How important are ""time crystals""?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-05,2016-12-30,0.0,0.4875904542705406
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Google release a chatbot in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-30,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4081912019436507
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will ""Planet Nine"" be discovered in 2016?",zhongjing-base,2016-01-19,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4716529019254554
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4625794616171337
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A complete buyout of Pebble by Fitbit by end of year?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-02,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4631722743822866
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Planet Nine be found in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-18,2017-01-01,0.0,0.473397579822027
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,[Tutorial:] Will a magnitude 6.0+ Earthquake hit California this year?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-31,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4720918994211087
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-22,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4603679318995185
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-17,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4733748322000939
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will police officers in the United States shoot and kill more than 1000 people in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-07,2017-01-01,0.0,0.4743093376106285
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the German Government bail out Deutsche Bank?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-03,2017-01-09,0.0,0.472244847571465
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,More attention to potential evidence for a fifth fundamental force?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-14,2017-01-09,0.0,0.446821948487787
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-04,2017-01-18,1.0,0.5322374522315549
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-15,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4659572790985049
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4683829765514187
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-30,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4423622435265077
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. Senate in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-27,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4696050886777927
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Obama pardon Snowden?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-14,2017-01-20,0.0,0.4824825654103523
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-18,2017-01-23,1.0,0.5285316790352907
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Planet Nine Emerge from Hiding Soon?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-22,2017-01-27,0.0,0.4734796527608449
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-09,2017-02-14,0.0,0.4647618271715407
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-14,2017-02-16,0.0,0.444639571609261
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?",zhongjing-base,2017-01-13,2017-02-23,1.0,0.5336561993101361
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Seeing single photons: more research to come?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-22,2017-02-25,1.0,0.556180165355378
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before March 1, 2017?",zhongjing-base,2017-01-11,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4792698973387717
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-22,2017-03-01,0.0,0.4468235238459518
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-13,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4666051617400831
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"More ""Live(s) you can save"" in 2016?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-18,2017-03-09,0.0,0.4691172013368999
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Higher US housing prices in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-01,2017-03-27,1.0,0.5487503696419895
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-03,2017-03-30,1.0,0.5526247880566353
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A merger of Bayer and Monsanto by Q1 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-14,2017-03-30,0.0,0.4552250888333096
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-03,2017-04-15,0.0,0.469942659154753
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-10,2017-04-16,1.0,0.5534236589445506
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-22,2017-04-25,1.0,0.5536763593798028
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Solid metallic hydrogen: how much impact?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-05,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4666512066889424
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the California Drought end in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-26,2017-05-01,1.0,0.5179666606851983
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-12,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4736712969411057
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in ""select agent"" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-23,2017-05-01,0.0,0.4844806476553923
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Marine le Pen win the French presidential Election ?,zhongjing-base,2017-03-09,2017-05-08,0.0,0.4834038331511087
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?,zhongjing-base,2017-05-13,2017-05-16,1.0,0.5247511758389172
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"OK, fine, can FIVE human Go masters defeat AlphaGo?",zhongjing-base,2017-05-24,2017-05-26,0.0,0.4685507148435783
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-08,2017-05-31,1.0,0.5227306526467754
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is Graph Isomorphism solvable in Polynomial Time?,zhongjing-base,2015-11-05,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4757254092822591
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the (theoretical) existence of ""dark matter hair"" change the way we look for dark matter?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-23,2017-06-02,0.0,0.4630967700213126
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!,zhongjing-base,2016-04-06,2017-06-03,0.0,0.470391465038923
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-04,2017-06-09,0.0,0.4771191777364023
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,LISA chosen by ESA to move forward?,zhongjing-base,2017-04-19,2017-06-21,0.0,0.4586759391402097
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,World population forecast to peak before 2100?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-20,2017-06-22,0.0,0.4517898406650582
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Disney own Twitter by the end of Q2 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-29,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4962492161605392
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-22,2017-06-25,0.0,0.4684947821694592
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a successful proof of concept for a hyperloop be demonstrated by mid-2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-11,2017-06-28,0.0,0.4729826518520086
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Uber drivers win a class-action lawsuit to define them as employees?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-18,2017-07-05,0.0,0.478741927470352
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-07,2017-07-17,0.0,0.4777336615269762
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Clear skies during totality at the Grand Tetons?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-20,2017-08-22,1.0,0.5461669862440545
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will there be a Game of Thrones episode airing in 2017, in which Jon Snow bends the knee to Daenerys Targaryen?",zhongjing-base,2017-03-12,2017-08-27,1.0,0.5424247458434295
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-23,2017-09-03,0.0,0.4584184385222219
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A jump in market volatility over the coming month?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-12,2017-09-14,0.0,0.4602461746634383
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Chinese Crypto-shutdown?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-08,2017-09-15,0.0,0.4675062759950857
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2017 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-30,2017-09-19,0.0,0.471360057989849
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will AI defeat human in the 2017 Angry Birds challenge?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-05,2017-09-22,0.0,0.4848759711764379
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-28,2017-10-03,1.0,0.5354791088731268
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the upcoming ""Last Jedi"" augmented reality game be a success?",zhongjing-base,2017-08-27,2017-10-06,0.0,0.4784281442063698
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Giant robot battle: is it on?,zhongjing-base,2017-03-31,2017-10-14,1.0,0.5320900602928051
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,More stories in the NY times about SEC regulation of initial coin offerings?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-01,2017-10-16,0.0,0.4551500806604154
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-25,2017-10-17,1.0,0.5490317833433094
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Short-term increase in Market Volatility?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-14,2017-10-17,0.0,0.4588958019239043
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-23,2017-10-21,0.0,0.4565174292563921
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-13,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5281456846214456
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Any charges by end of 2017 by FBI's investigation of Russia-Trump campaign ties?,zhongjing-base,2017-03-22,2017-10-30,1.0,0.5443027509394529
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Passing the torch: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Nasdaq Index value?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-02,2017-11-02,1.0,0.5307698416206986
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Michael Flynn be charged with a crime by Veteran's day?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-17,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4809804917441255
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Bitcoin and Ethereum be the two highest market-cap cryptocurrencies for all of November 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-29,2017-11-12,0.0,0.4620008892728438
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-20,2017-11-14,1.0,0.5433463577713622
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Bitcoin Cash fade into oblivion?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4777558337860652
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?",zhongjing-base,2016-04-05,2017-11-16,0.0,0.4658927004807081
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-14,2017-11-18,0.0,0.4792377124568657
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A downturn in the cryptocurrency market as a whole?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-31,2017-11-20,0.0,0.4533752000605896
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"A major ""theft"" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?",zhongjing-base,2017-09-01,2017-11-21,1.0,0.5542959229578936
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will another significant website be outed for on-the-sly in-browser cryptocoin mining By Nov. 15?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-25,2017-11-24,0.0,0.4611172275936783
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4668324346294657
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Amazon to accept, or set a date to accept, Bitcoin payment by Dec. 1?",zhongjing-base,2017-10-26,2017-12-01,0.0,0.449805228126399
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Another ICO-related SEC alert published in November 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-30,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4518705411950753
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Ethereum hit 75% of Bitcoin's market cap during November 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-01,0.0,0.4829799571755368
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Trump go two more months without uttering the words ""Bitcoin"" or ""Cryptocurrency""?",zhongjing-base,2017-09-23,2017-12-01,1.0,0.5167359893350438
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-22,2017-12-04,1.0,0.5207900230845299
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a country other than China shut down a cryptocurrency exchange by Dec. 1?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-14,2017-12-05,0.0,0.4758558449568615
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-31,2017-12-05,1.0,0.5531359571321184
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-30,2017-12-21,0.0,0.4831562970911958
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4514460423807531
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Evidence for deviations from canonical black holes from LIGO?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-02,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4574888786157487
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Amazon award a $1M ""Alexa Prize"" for a chatbot in 2017?",zhongjing-base,2016-12-13,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4499310824845246
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-01-06,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4778336589058494
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-28,2018-01-03,1.0,0.5232668418438836
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Xenon1T experiment discover WIMP dark matter?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-30,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4618422422920669
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.",zhongjing-base,2016-07-08,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4934878997017822
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Artificial pancreas goes mainstream in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-10,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4498957670561072
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be a financial crisis in China in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-03,2018-01-03,0.0,0.4838869895575611
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-22,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4513021672407543
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-11,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4850704220814168
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Solid metallic hydrogen: will it superconduct at room temperature?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4694849701226553
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-02,2018-01-04,0.0,0.4629219471694111
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-21,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4641400840746478
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a record-setting brown dwarf be discovered by the end of 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-10,2018-01-05,0.0,0.4736307717886855
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Mochizuki's proof of the ""abc conjecture"" be formally accepted by the mathematics community by the end of 2017?",zhongjing-base,2016-02-07,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4935681909638494
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-22,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4269278137661456
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4586629942390313
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-09,2018-01-09,0.0,0.4623835257847481
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,First human head transplant in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-02,2018-01-09,0.0,0.45373127897146
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Julian Assange still be in the Ecuadorian embassy at the start of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-17,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5259934431976608
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-14,2018-01-09,1.0,0.5441200914485042
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?,zhongjing-base,2017-05-20,2018-01-10,0.0,0.4625794616171337
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-20,2018-01-12,1.0,0.5207666955128515
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-05,2018-01-14,0.0,0.440978911717551
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?,zhongjing-base,2015-12-19,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4574880718474409
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-13,2018-01-14,0.0,0.4561894057264848
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?,zhongjing-base,2016-08-13,2018-01-18,0.0,0.4692227880725694
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Clinical trials of a ""universal"" snakebite antidote?",zhongjing-base,2016-07-23,2018-01-26,0.0,0.464183718340715
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-10,2018-01-31,0.0,0.4786926865918649
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?,zhongjing-base,2017-04-19,2018-02-03,1.0,0.5414549755502335
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Transiting exoplanet within 5 parsecs by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-04,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4428655292630247
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,At last? Clinical trials of a vaccine for the common cold?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-02,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4579844048570611
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-20,2018-02-04,0.0,0.495881834087783
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value?,zhongjing-base,2017-12-08,2018-02-04,0.0,0.4716160860097023
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-26,2018-02-06,1.0,0.5297476259394025
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will SpaceX launch for Mars in the 2018 window?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-27,2018-02-08,0.0,0.4700965126404488
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-30,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4632253073179138
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-22,2018-02-22,0.0,0.4835873010153471
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-01,2018-03-02,1.0,0.5222923794617986
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-04,2018-04-02,1.0,0.5270679135426977
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?",zhongjing-base,2016-11-30,2018-04-04,0.0,0.4934930539299704
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will Trump finish the year without mentioning the phrase ""Artificial Intelligence""?",zhongjing-base,2017-09-23,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5472730900574434
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-20,2018-04-10,1.0,0.5239447177384702
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Jared Kushner be charged with a crime by Tax Day 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-12,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4784585444197957
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-25,2018-04-17,0.0,0.4705588233991482
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will May Day protests turn violent?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-16,2018-05-02,1.0,0.5296384254039637
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize?,zhongjing-base,2017-01-24,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4581123703049445
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers?  Or something else?",zhongjing-base,2016-04-09,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4522122193154415
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Are we in a simulated reality? Part I,zhongjing-base,2016-07-08,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4916916260186955
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-28,2018-06-05,0.0,0.4747072227314041
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-30,2018-06-08,1.0,0.5334930928585171
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-09,2018-06-12,1.0,0.5312672850555955
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will anyone be jailed by mid-2018 as a result of the Trump-Russia investigation?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-11,2018-06-15,1.0,0.5345043899548514
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-28,2018-06-20,0.0,0.4724688246656675
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-12-03,2018-06-21,0.0,0.4771553488338089
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-23,2018-07-01,0.0,0.4782203485245991
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will there be a new all-time peak in google trends for ""russia"" by 2019?",zhongjing-base,2017-08-18,2018-07-01,1.0,0.526568042272824
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-19,2018-07-03,0.0,0.4696864003093614
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-28,2018-07-05,0.0,0.4678117459837983
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-25,2018-07-31,1.0,0.5196175376981518
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-16,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5374550797162716
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Sci-Hub be online in August 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-27,2018-08-02,1.0,0.5213554676644453
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-21,2018-08-03,0.0,0.4800269314631778
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-24,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4843888706517485
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-01,0.0,0.4848983819352645
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,First commercial crewed spaceflight by September 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-28,2018-09-08,0.0,0.4447207738529701
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-19,2018-09-09,0.0,0.4767492596174796
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-10,2018-09-27,0.0,0.4791698435905804
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will (some of) China's space station land on land?,zhongjing-base,2017-10-17,2018-10-05,0.0,0.4711108973565277
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-19,2018-10-06,0.0,0.4731219714621936
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-27,2018-10-07,0.0,0.4697970042008698
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Donald Trump have a 50% approval rating at some point before the November 2018 mid-term elections?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-07,2018-11-06,0.0,0.4818215204695731
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-05,2018-11-08,1.0,0.5260931496345425
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Where will Amazon locate its second headquarters?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-30,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4689876719690782
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-21,2018-11-13,0.0,0.4762506920422487
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-02,2018-11-28,1.0,0.5286533014700694
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2018-12-03,1.0,0.5242952563465606
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-21,2018-12-11,0.0,0.4710981906278175
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-18,2018-12-12,1.0,0.5344711853066998
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Successful test of anti-insect Laser fence?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-24,2018-12-18,0.0,0.4574238668879452
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-15,2018-12-20,0.0,0.4764038573755075
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will NASA's InSight Mars Mission Launch in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-21,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5389582004032866
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-08,2018-12-20,1.0,0.5194254731710644
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-29,2018-12-23,0.0,0.4889237165591142
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-02,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4672605940805416
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will a personal computer based on ""The Machine"" technology be put to market by end of 2018?",zhongjing-base,2016-06-29,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4828677538783792
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Tesla go out of business before 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-20,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4847398953315541
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-12-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4898005295593522
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-11,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4630360175158828
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-11-22,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4748369770552065
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the banana plague reach Latin America?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-19,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4692119112496346
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Attempted crewed  SpaceX flight in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-13,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4461224274597919
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Airships by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2016-07-16,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4683356567230142
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is Westworld located on an island?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-22,2018-12-31,1.0,0.523989321878872
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-17,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4769671589972066
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will ""Rentberry"" auction-style apartment rental model succeed?",zhongjing-base,2017-06-09,2018-12-31,1.0,0.5235964231464583
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the US take military action in N. Korea?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-25,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4734516040595622
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-06,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4531717800693164
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-12,2018-12-31,0.0,0.4752352419173475
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-06,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4842124464966965
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-28,2019-01-01,0.0,0.479282068613699
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-20,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4526588806416454
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-12,2019-01-01,0.0,0.4716938975221728
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-15,2019-01-02,0.0,0.448013906772265
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-16,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4785720030949485
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-23,2019-01-02,0.0,0.4755263811575636
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will public domain day happen in the U.S. in 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-16,2019-01-02,1.0,0.5117904313381316
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-07,2019-01-03,0.0,0.4583765115419176
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-09,2019-01-11,0.0,0.4638489298180819
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A is in the I of the beholder #2: Wow this AI is very realistic,zhongjing-base,2016-04-06,2019-01-19,0.0,0.4543471978887968
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?",zhongjing-base,2016-03-17,2019-01-21,1.0,0.5145087202651113
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-05-17,2019-02-01,1.0,0.52337832956786
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-23,2019-02-01,0.0,0.4488313599149712
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-24,2019-02-03,0.0,0.4500468228014326
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-15,2019-02-06,0.0,0.4684492029334954
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will  a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-07,2019-02-26,0.0,0.473479391219138
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?,zhongjing-base,2017-02-11,2019-03-21,0.0,0.4450099867989163
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-05,2019-03-25,0.0,0.4594556524423625
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Allen Telescope Array discover anything in its SETI search of red dwarf stars over the next two years?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-15,2019-04-01,0.0,0.474757393495104
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?,zhongjing-base,2015-10-26,2019-04-23,0.0,0.4772348495418157
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-17,2019-04-30,0.0,0.4715519895565059
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Pandemic series: federal funding of ""gain of function research of concern"" in 2016-18?",zhongjing-base,2016-06-11,2019-05-16,1.0,0.5507457726347157
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2019-05-23,1.0,0.5345636594403216
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?,zhongjing-base,2016-02-22,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4823760413736689
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-14,2019-06-02,0.0,0.4836373715667149
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will new evidence emerge for the frequency of solar superflares?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-19,2019-06-13,0.0,0.4689374901989535
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-27,2019-06-19,0.0,0.4556820573885089
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will radical new ""low-energy nuclear reaction"" technologies prove effective before 2019?",zhongjing-base,2016-01-05,2019-06-28,0.0,0.4805429249128974
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019?,zhongjing-base,2018-01-20,2019-07-01,0.0,0.4688210437952297
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-14,2019-12-19,1.0,0.5318961868784768
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious,zhongjing-base,2016-04-15,2019-12-21,0.0,0.4673495540389134
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-12-31,2019-12-26,0.0,0.4765202382661003
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-09,2019-12-27,0.0,0.4602614094586604
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-08,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4555533376586603
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-13,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4888805777031775
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-03-10,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4856665141034181
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will EVE Online die by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-01-07,2019-12-30,0.0,0.4823832264665372
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the market cap of Ethereum be higher than that of Bitcoin by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-05-29,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4778349792804355
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-25,2019-12-31,0.0,0.4647352905741405
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-07,2020-01-03,0.0,0.4849019546279353
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-27,2020-01-04,0.0,0.462071435146939
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-10,2020-01-04,0.0,0.4577347495128115
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A medical pathway to complete painlessness?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-25,2020-01-12,0.0,0.4648585324690327
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-11,2020-03-29,0.0,0.473886932242973
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?",zhongjing-base,2017-04-27,2020-05-16,0.0,0.4429035376625851
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-22,2020-05-21,0.0,0.4530324156131894
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will General Fusion meets its plasma temperature targets by mid-2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-06-06,2020-06-01,0.0,0.4750854621025778
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-27,2020-07-04,1.0,0.5557343317292089
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature?,zhongjing-base,2017-01-30,2020-07-18,0.0,0.4612840567439885
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-14,2020-08-02,0.0,0.4862035590482051
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-25,2020-08-19,0.0,0.480896614445396
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-01,2020-08-21,0.0,0.4837560029829494
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-12,2020-09-27,0.0,0.4567340942857399
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?,zhongjing-base,2016-03-11,2020-11-03,0.0,0.4774729252214201
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will quantum computing ""supremacy” be achieved by 2025?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-05,1.0,0.5258423776774543
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2016-12-09,2020-12-19,1.0,0.5444053408817167
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2020-12-22,0.0,0.4630186619869886
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Flying cars (finally) arriving by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2017-06-06,2020-12-31,0.0,0.4596123025920409
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?",zhongjing-base,2016-04-10,2021-01-01,0.0,0.4631493605598542
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-07,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4543728268581865
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation?",zhongjing-base,2018-02-23,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4760656304293078
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will North Korea attack another country by the end of 2020?,zhongjing-base,2017-08-09,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4860297060600098
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-10,2021-01-03,1.0,0.5228414918012726
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-05-13,2021-01-03,0.0,0.4506439904493419
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option?,zhongjing-base,2018-02-24,2021-01-04,0.0,0.4684894277555894
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-23,2021-01-16,0.0,0.4827385824054554
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2018-03-03,2021-01-19,0.0,0.4765990752058801
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-02,2021-03-15,0.0,0.4531263958180509
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,20 more languages extinct by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2016-09-02,2021-08-08,0.0,0.4607715106452671
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?,zhongjing-base,2018-04-17,2022-01-04,0.0,0.4953174600717277
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?,zhongjing-base,2016-04-06,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4689225679595578
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"by 2021, will SLAC complete an ""accelerator-on-a-chip"" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?",zhongjing-base,2016-01-03,2022-03-17,0.0,0.4468166489401213
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?,zhongjing-base,2017-10-04,2022-03-21,0.0,0.4524435846820659
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"By 2022-10-01, Will Catalonia become an independent state?",zhongjing-base,2017-10-02,2022-10-02,0.0,0.4802191138170135
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?,zhongjing-base,2017-07-10,2022-12-19,1.0,0.5280063212433579
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?,zhongjing-base,2017-01-12,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4844899306870457
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,A major United States earthquake by 2023?,zhongjing-base,2017-10-09,2023-01-01,0.0,0.457134350946307
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?),zhongjing-base,2018-02-13,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4826701578911921
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?,zhongjing-base,2017-09-22,2023-01-01,0.0,0.4634813101532918
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?,zhongjing-base,2016-10-11,2023-01-18,0.0,0.4808013929683153
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?,zhongjing-base,2017-11-21,2023-02-09,0.0,0.4875290109342893
zhongjing-base,2023-09-24,zhongjing-base,48.23,26.0,75.4,69.0,39.3,45.2,3.36,"Will KIC 9832227 go ""red nova"" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?",zhongjing-base,2018-03-02,2024-01-01,0.0,0.4727455458950328