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sequencelengths 24
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| heads
sequencelengths 24
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[
"Benjamin",
"Jacobson",
"&",
"Sons",
"has",
"been",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"specialist",
"firm",
"in",
"charge",
"of",
"trading",
"stock",
"in",
"UAL",
"Corp.",
"and",
"its",
"predecessors",
"since",
"the",
"early",
"1930s",
".",
"But",
"the",
"firm",
"has",
"never",
"had",
"a",
"day",
"like",
"yesterday",
".",
"At",
"first",
"UAL",
"did",
"n't",
"open",
"because",
"of",
"an",
"order",
"imbalance",
".",
"When",
"it",
"did",
"a",
"half-hour",
"into",
"the",
"session",
",",
"it",
"was",
"priced",
"at",
"$",
"150",
"a",
"share",
",",
"down",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"28",
"from",
"Monday",
"'s",
"close",
".",
"It",
"sank",
"further",
"to",
"as",
"low",
"as",
"$",
"145",
",",
"but",
"a",
"big",
"rally",
"developed",
"in",
"the",
"last",
"half",
"hour",
",",
"pushing",
"the",
"stock",
"back",
"up",
"to",
"close",
"at",
"$",
"170",
",",
"down",
"just",
"$",
"8.375",
"from",
"Monday",
".",
"In",
"the",
"process",
",",
"4.9",
"million",
"shares",
"traded",
",",
"making",
"UAL",
"the",
"second",
"most",
"active",
"issue",
"on",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
".",
"Munching",
"pizza",
"when",
"they",
"could",
"and",
"yelling",
"until",
"their",
"voices",
"gave",
"out",
",",
"the",
"two",
"Benjamin",
"Jacobson",
"specialists",
"at",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"'s",
"UAL",
"trading",
"post",
"yesterday",
"presided",
"over",
"what",
"can",
"only",
"be",
"described",
"as",
"a",
"financial",
"free-for-all",
".",
"``",
"It",
"was",
"chaotic",
".",
"But",
"we",
"like",
"to",
"call",
"it",
"`",
"controlled",
"chaos",
",",
"'",
"''",
"said",
"47-year-old",
"Robert",
"J.",
"Jacobson",
"Jr.",
",",
"grandson",
"of",
"the",
"firm",
"'s",
"founder",
".",
"He",
"manned",
"the",
"UAL",
"post",
"yesterday",
"with",
"Christopher",
"Bates",
",",
"33",
",",
"an",
"energetic",
"Long",
"Islander",
"who",
"'s",
"a",
"dead",
"ringer",
"for",
"actor",
"Nicolas",
"Cage",
".",
"Who",
"was",
"doing",
"all",
"the",
"selling",
"?",
"``",
"Options",
"traders",
",",
"arbitrage",
"traders",
"--",
"everyone",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Bates",
",",
"cooling",
"down",
"with",
"a",
"carton",
"of",
"apple",
"juice",
"after",
"the",
"close",
"yesterday",
".",
"Added",
"Mr.",
"Jacobson",
",",
"``",
"There",
"were",
"some",
"pretty",
"bad",
"losses",
"in",
"the",
"stock",
".",
"''",
"Big",
"Board",
"traders",
"said",
"a",
"200,000-share",
"buy",
"order",
"at",
"$",
"150",
"a",
"share",
"entered",
"by",
"Bear",
",",
"Stearns",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"which",
"was",
"active",
"in",
"UAL",
"stock",
"all",
"day",
",",
"is",
"what",
"set",
"off",
"the",
"UAL",
"crowd",
"in",
"the",
"late",
"afternoon",
".",
"A",
"subsequent",
"rally",
"in",
"UAL",
"helped",
"the",
"staggering",
"stock",
"market",
"stage",
"an",
"astonishing",
"recovery",
"from",
"an",
"80-point",
"deficit",
"to",
"finish",
"only",
"slightly",
"below",
"Monday",
"'s",
"close",
".",
"Both",
"Jacobson",
"traders",
",",
"who",
"had",
"been",
"hoping",
"UAL",
"trading",
"would",
"get",
"back",
"to",
"normal",
",",
"read",
"the",
"news",
"about",
"the",
"unraveling",
"of",
"UAL",
"takeover",
"plans",
"on",
"the",
"train",
"into",
"work",
"yesterday",
"morning",
".",
"The",
"news",
"told",
"them",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"while",
"longer",
"before",
"UAL",
"resumed",
"trading",
"like",
"a",
"regular",
"airline",
"stock",
"after",
"months",
"of",
"gyrations",
".",
"When",
"Mr.",
"Jacobson",
"walked",
"into",
"the",
"office",
"at",
"7:30",
"a.m.",
"EDT",
",",
"he",
"announced",
":",
"``",
"OK",
",",
"buckle",
"up",
".",
"''",
"Messrs.",
"Jacobson",
"and",
"Bates",
"walked",
"on",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"floor",
"at",
"about",
"8:45",
"a.m.",
"yesterday",
"and",
"immediately",
"spotted",
"trouble",
".",
"Already",
"entered",
"in",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"'s",
"computers",
"and",
"transmitted",
"to",
"their",
"post",
"were",
"sell",
"orders",
"for",
"65,000",
"UAL",
"shares",
".",
"The",
"UAL",
"news",
"had",
"already",
"caused",
"a",
"selling",
"furor",
"in",
"the",
"so-called",
"third",
"market",
",",
"in",
"which",
"firms",
"buy",
"and",
"sell",
"stock",
"away",
"from",
"the",
"exchange",
"floor",
".",
"UAL",
",",
"which",
"closed",
"on",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"Monday",
"at",
"$",
"178.375",
"a",
"share",
",",
"traded",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"market",
"afterward",
"as",
"low",
"as",
"$",
"158",
"a",
"share",
".",
"There",
"were",
"rumors",
"of",
"$",
"148-a-share",
"trades",
".",
"In",
"the",
"45",
"minutes",
"before",
"the",
"9:30",
"opening",
"bell",
",",
"the",
"Jacobson",
"specialists",
"kept",
"getting",
"sell",
"orders",
",",
"heavier",
"than",
"they",
"imagined",
".",
"And",
"at",
"9:15",
",",
"they",
"posted",
"a",
"$",
"135",
"to",
"$",
"155",
"``",
"first",
"indication",
",",
"''",
"or",
"the",
"price",
"range",
"in",
"which",
"the",
"stock",
"would",
"probably",
"open",
".",
"That",
"range",
"was",
"quickly",
"narrowed",
"to",
"$",
"145",
"to",
"$",
"155",
",",
"although",
"traders",
"surrounding",
"the",
"post",
"were",
"told",
"that",
"$",
"148",
"to",
"$",
"150",
"would",
"be",
"the",
"likely",
"target",
".",
"When",
"UAL",
"finally",
"opened",
"a",
"half",
"hour",
"late",
",",
"some",
"400,000",
"shares",
"traded",
"at",
"$",
"150",
".",
"There",
"was",
"``",
"selling",
"pressure",
"from",
"everyone",
",",
"''",
"said",
"one",
"trader",
".",
"This",
"month",
"'s",
"Friday-the-13th",
"market",
"plunge",
"spurred",
"by",
"UAL",
"news",
"was",
"n't",
"as",
"bad",
"for",
"the",
"Jacobson",
"specialists",
"as",
"yesterday",
"'s",
"action",
".",
"On",
"that",
"earlier",
"day",
",",
"the",
"stock",
"'s",
"trading",
"was",
"halted",
"at",
"a",
"critical",
"time",
"so",
"the",
"specialists",
"could",
"catch",
"their",
"breath",
".",
"Not",
"yesterday",
".",
"Mr.",
"Jacobson",
",",
"his",
"gray",
"hair",
"flying",
",",
"did",
"n't",
"wear",
"out",
"his",
"red-white-and-blue",
"sneakers",
",",
"but",
"he",
"sweat",
"so",
"much",
"he",
"considered",
"sending",
"out",
"for",
"a",
"new",
"shirt",
".",
"Mr.",
"Bates",
"usually",
"handles",
"day-to-day",
"UAL",
"trading",
"on",
"his",
"own",
".",
"But",
"yesterday",
",",
"the",
"heavy",
"trading",
"action",
"eventually",
"consumed",
"not",
"only",
"Messrs.",
"Jacobson",
"and",
"Bates",
"but",
"four",
"other",
"Jacobson",
"partners",
",",
"all",
"doing",
"their",
"specialist-firm",
"job",
"of",
"tugging",
"buyers",
"and",
"sellers",
"together",
"and",
"adjusting",
"prices",
"to",
"accommodate",
"the",
"market",
".",
"About",
"30",
"floor",
"traders",
"crammed",
"near",
"the",
"UAL",
"post",
"most",
"of",
"the",
"day",
",",
"and",
"probably",
"hundreds",
"more",
"came",
"and",
"went",
"--",
"a",
"``",
"seething",
"mass",
",",
"''",
"as",
"one",
"trader",
"described",
"it",
".",
"The",
"4.9",
"million-share",
"volume",
"flowing",
"through",
"the",
"Jacobson",
"specialist",
"operation",
"was",
"about",
"five",
"times",
"normal",
"for",
"the",
"stock",
".",
"The",
"heavy",
"buying",
"in",
"the",
"last",
"half",
"hour",
"led",
"the",
"specialists",
"to",
"take",
"special",
"steps",
".",
"The",
"Bear",
"Stearns",
"order",
"that",
"marked",
"the",
"late-day",
"turnaround",
"caused",
"a",
"``",
"massive",
"buying",
"effort",
"''",
"as",
"UAL",
"jumped",
"$",
"20",
"a",
"share",
"to",
"$",
"170",
"in",
"the",
"last",
"half",
"hour",
",",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Bates",
".",
"With",
"15",
"seconds",
"of",
"trading",
"to",
"go",
",",
"Mr.",
"Jacobson",
",",
"with",
"what",
"voice",
"he",
"had",
"left",
",",
"announced",
"to",
"the",
"trading",
"mob",
":",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"going",
"to",
"trade",
"one",
"price",
"on",
"the",
"bell",
".",
"''",
"That",
"meant",
"no",
"trading",
"would",
"occur",
"in",
"the",
"final",
"seconds",
",",
"as",
"a",
"way",
"of",
"making",
"sure",
"that",
"last-second",
"orders",
"are",
"n't",
"subjected",
"to",
"a",
"sudden",
"price",
"swing",
"that",
"would",
"upset",
"customers",
".",
"About",
"11,000",
"shares",
"sold",
"at",
"$",
"170",
"on",
"the",
"bell",
",",
"representing",
"about",
"eight",
"to",
"10",
"late",
"orders",
",",
"the",
"specialists",
"estimate",
".",
"Big",
"Board",
"traders",
"praised",
"the",
"Jacobson",
"specialists",
"for",
"getting",
"through",
"yesterday",
"without",
"a",
"trading",
"halt",
".",
"In",
"Chicago",
",",
"a",
"UAL",
"spokesman",
",",
"``",
"by",
"way",
"of",
"policy",
",",
"''",
"declined",
"to",
"comment",
"on",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"stock",
"or",
"the",
"specialists",
"'",
"performance",
".",
"Leaving",
"the",
"exchange",
"at",
"about",
"5",
"p.m.",
",",
"the",
"Jacobson",
"specialists",
"made",
"no",
"predictions",
"about",
"how",
"trading",
"might",
"go",
"today",
".",
"Said",
"Earl",
"Ellis",
",",
"a",
"Jacobson",
"partner",
"who",
"got",
"involved",
"in",
"the",
"UAL",
"action",
",",
"``",
"It",
"all",
"starts",
"all",
"over",
"again",
"''",
"today",
"."
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"the",
"``",
"principal",
"cause",
"''",
"of",
"homelessness",
"is",
"to",
"be",
"found",
"in",
"the",
"large",
"numbers",
"of",
"mentally",
"ill",
"and",
"substance-abusing",
"people",
"in",
"the",
"homeless",
"population",
".",
"We",
"have",
"made",
"no",
"such",
"statement",
".",
"It",
"is",
"clear",
"that",
"most",
"mentally",
"ill",
"people",
"and",
"most",
"alcoholics",
"do",
"not",
"become",
"homeless",
".",
"The",
"``",
"causes",
"''",
"of",
"homelessness",
"are",
"poorly",
"understood",
"and",
"complex",
"in",
"any",
"individual",
"case",
".",
"In",
"quoting",
"from",
"our",
"research",
"you",
"emphasized",
"the",
"high",
"prevalance",
"of",
"mental",
"illness",
"and",
"alcoholism",
".",
"You",
"did",
"not",
"note",
"that",
"the",
"homeless",
"people",
"we",
"examined",
"had",
"a",
"multitude",
"of",
"physical",
"disorders",
"in",
"addition",
"to",
"their",
"psychiatric",
"problems",
"and",
"substance",
"abuse",
".",
"They",
"suffered",
"from",
"malnutrition",
",",
"chest",
"diseases",
",",
"cardiovascular",
"disorders",
",",
"skin",
"problems",
",",
"infectious",
"diseases",
"and",
"the",
"aftereffects",
"of",
"assaults",
"and",
"rape",
".",
"Homeless",
"people",
"not",
"only",
"lack",
"safety",
",",
"privacy",
"and",
"shelter",
",",
"they",
"also",
"lack",
"the",
"elementary",
"necessities",
"of",
"nutrition",
",",
"cleanliness",
"and",
"basic",
"health",
"care",
".",
"In",
"a",
"recent",
"report",
",",
"the",
"Institute",
"of",
"Medicine",
"pointed",
"out",
"that",
"certain",
"health",
"problems",
"may",
"predispose",
"a",
"person",
"to",
"homelessness",
",",
"others",
"may",
"be",
"a",
"consequence",
"of",
"it",
",",
"and",
"a",
"third",
"category",
"is",
"composed",
"of",
"disorders",
"whose",
"treatment",
"is",
"difficult",
"or",
"impossible",
"if",
"a",
"person",
"lacks",
"adequate",
"shelter",
".",
"The",
"interactions",
"between",
"health",
"and",
"homelessness",
"are",
"complex",
",",
"defying",
"sweeping",
"generalizations",
"as",
"to",
"``",
"cause",
"''",
"or",
"``",
"effect",
".",
"''",
"If",
"we",
"look",
"to",
"the",
"future",
",",
"preventing",
"homelessness",
"is",
"an",
"important",
"objective",
".",
"This",
"will",
"require",
"us",
"to",
"develop",
"a",
"much",
"more",
"sophisticated",
"understanding",
"of",
"the",
"dynamics",
"of",
"homelessness",
"than",
"we",
"currently",
"possess",
",",
"an",
"understanding",
"that",
"can",
"be",
"developed",
"only",
"through",
"careful",
"study",
"and",
"research",
".",
"William",
"R.",
"Breakey",
"M.D.",
"Pamela",
"J.",
"Fischer",
"M.D.",
"Department",
"of",
"Psychiatry",
"Johns",
"Hopkins",
"University",
"School",
"of",
"Medicine",
"Baltimore",
"A",
"study",
"by",
"Tulane",
"Prof.",
"James",
"Wright",
"says",
"homelessness",
"is",
"due",
"to",
"a",
"complex",
"array",
"of",
"problems",
",",
"with",
"the",
"common",
"thread",
"of",
"poverty",
".",
"The",
"study",
"shows",
"that",
"nearly",
"40",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"homeless",
"population",
"is",
"made",
"up",
"of",
"women",
"and",
"children",
"and",
"that",
"only",
"25",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"homeless",
"exhibits",
"some",
"combination",
"of",
"drug",
",",
"alcohol",
"and",
"mental",
"problems",
".",
"According",
"to",
"Dr.",
"Wright",
",",
"homelessness",
"is",
"``",
"simultaneously",
"a",
"housing",
"problem",
",",
"an",
"employment",
"problem",
",",
"a",
"demographic",
"problem",
",",
"a",
"problem",
"of",
"social",
"disaffiliation",
",",
"a",
"mental",
"health",
"problem",
",",
"a",
"family",
"violence",
"problem",
",",
"a",
"problem",
"created",
"by",
"the",
"cutbacks",
"in",
"social",
"welfare",
"spending",
",",
"a",
"problem",
"resulting",
"from",
"the",
"decay",
"of",
"the",
"traditional",
"nuclear",
"family",
",",
"and",
"a",
"problem",
"intimately",
"connected",
"to",
"the",
"recent",
"increase",
"in",
"the",
"number",
"of",
"persons",
"living",
"below",
"the",
"poverty",
"level",
".",
"''",
"Leighton",
"E.",
"Cluff",
"M.D.",
"President",
"Robert",
"Wood",
"Johnson",
"Foundation",
"Princeton",
",",
"N.J",
".",
"To",
"quote",
"the",
"highly",
"regarded",
"director",
"of",
"a",
"privately",
"funded",
"drop-in",
"center",
"for",
"the",
"homeless",
"in",
"New",
"York",
":",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"'re",
"homeless",
",",
"you",
"do",
"n't",
"sleep",
"for",
"fear",
"of",
"being",
"robbed",
"or",
"murdered",
".",
"After",
"your",
"first",
"three",
"weeks",
"of",
"sleep",
"deprivation",
",",
"you",
"'re",
"scarcely",
"in",
"touch",
"with",
"reality",
"any",
"more",
";",
"without",
"psychiatric",
"treatment",
",",
"you",
"may",
"well",
"be",
"unable",
"to",
"fend",
"for",
"yourself",
"ever",
"again",
".",
"''",
"Some",
"of",
"the",
"homeless",
",",
"obviously",
",",
"had",
"pre-existing",
"mental",
"illness",
"or",
"addiction",
".",
"But",
"many",
"others",
"have",
"fallen",
"through",
"cracks",
"in",
"the",
"economy",
"into",
"the",
"grim",
",",
"brutal",
"world",
"of",
"our",
"city",
"streets",
".",
"Once",
"there",
",",
"what",
"ways",
"of",
"escape",
"are",
"open",
"to",
"them",
"other",
"than",
"drink",
",",
"drugs",
"or",
"insanity",
"?",
"Maxwell",
"R.D.",
"Vos",
"Brooklyn",
",",
"N.Y",
".",
"You",
"dismiss",
"as",
"``",
"sentimental",
"''",
"the",
"view",
"that",
"the",
"reduction",
"of",
"federal",
"housing-assistance",
"programs",
"by",
"77",
"%",
"might",
"have",
"played",
"a",
"significant",
"role",
"in",
"the",
"increased",
"number",
"of",
"men",
"and",
"women",
"sleeping",
"on",
"our",
"city",
"streets",
"during",
"the",
"Reagan-Bush",
"years",
".",
"There",
"is",
"no",
"sign",
"that",
"you",
"bothered",
"to",
"consider",
"the",
"inverse",
"of",
"your",
"logic",
":",
"namely",
",",
"that",
"mental",
"illness",
"and",
"substance",
"abuse",
"might",
"be",
"to",
"some",
"degree",
"consequences",
"rather",
"than",
"causes",
"of",
"homelessness",
".",
"Your",
"research",
"stopped",
"when",
"a",
"convenient",
"assertion",
"could",
"be",
"made",
".",
"Robert",
"S.",
"Jenkins",
"Cambridge",
",",
"Mass",
".",
"Of",
"the",
"approximately",
"200",
"sponsors",
"of",
"the",
"recent",
"march",
"in",
"Washington",
"for",
"the",
"homeless",
",",
"you",
"chose",
"to",
"cite",
"such",
"groups",
"as",
"the",
"National",
"Association",
"of",
"Home",
"Builders",
"and",
"the",
"International",
"Union",
"of",
"Bricklayers",
"and",
"Allied",
"Craftsmen",
",",
"insinuating",
"that",
"the",
"march",
"got",
"its",
"major",
"support",
"from",
"self-serving",
"groups",
"that",
"``",
"know",
"a",
"good",
"thing",
"when",
"they",
"see",
"it",
",",
"''",
"and",
"that",
"the",
"crusade",
"was",
"based",
"on",
"greed",
"or",
"the",
"profit",
"motive",
".",
"But",
"is",
"n't",
"the",
"desire",
"for",
"profit",
"the",
"driving",
"force",
"behind",
"those",
"who",
"subscribe",
"to",
",",
"and",
"advertise",
"in",
",",
"your",
"paper",
"?",
"Why",
"did",
"n't",
"you",
"mention",
"the",
"YMCA",
"or",
"the",
"YWCA",
"or",
"Catholic",
"Charities",
"USA",
"or",
"a",
"hundred",
"other",
"nonprofit",
"organizations",
"that",
"participated",
"in",
"the",
"march",
"?",
"As",
"for",
"the",
"findings",
"on",
"the",
"203",
"Baltimore",
"homeless",
"who",
"underwent",
"psychiatric",
"examinations",
",",
"I",
"suggest",
"you",
"conduct",
"your",
"own",
"survey",
".",
"Choose",
"203",
"business",
"executives",
",",
"including",
",",
"perhaps",
",",
"someone",
"from",
"your",
"own",
"staff",
",",
"and",
"put",
"them",
"out",
"on",
"the",
"streets",
",",
"to",
"be",
"deprived",
"for",
"one",
"month",
"of",
"their",
"homes",
",",
"families",
"and",
"income",
".",
"I",
"would",
"predict",
"that",
"within",
"a",
"short",
"time",
"most",
"of",
"them",
"would",
"find",
"Thunderbird",
"a",
"satisfactory",
"substitute",
"for",
"Chivas",
"Regal",
"and",
"that",
"their",
"``",
"normal",
"''",
"phobias",
",",
"anxieties",
",",
"depressions",
"and",
"substance",
"abuse",
"would",
"increase",
"dramatically",
".",
"Ruth",
"K.",
"Nelson",
"Cullowhee",
",",
"N.C",
"."
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"''",
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".",
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".",
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".",
"Mrs.",
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".",
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"``",
"landing",
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",",
"she",
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"determined",
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"the",
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".",
"Mrs.",
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"wo",
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".",
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"the",
"Canadian",
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"must",
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"removed",
"before",
"such",
"contracts",
"are",
"concluded",
"."
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"Philip",
"Morris",
"Cos.",
"is",
"launching",
"a",
"massive",
"corporate",
"advertising",
"campaign",
"that",
"will",
"put",
"the",
"tobacco",
"giant",
"'s",
"name",
"in",
"TV",
"commercials",
"for",
"the",
"first",
"time",
"since",
"the",
"early",
"1950s",
",",
"when",
"it",
"stopped",
"advertising",
"its",
"namesake",
"cigarette",
"brand",
"on",
"television",
".",
"The",
"campaign",
",",
"a",
"patriotic",
"celebration",
"of",
"the",
"200th",
"anniversary",
"of",
"the",
"Bill",
"of",
"Rights",
",",
"does",
"n't",
"mention",
"cigarettes",
"or",
"smoking",
";",
"cigarette",
"ads",
"have",
"been",
"prohibited",
"on",
"television",
"since",
"1971",
".",
"But",
"even",
"before",
"it",
"begins",
",",
"the",
"campaign",
"is",
"drawing",
"fire",
"from",
"anti-smoking",
"advocates",
",",
"who",
"criticize",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"'s",
"attempt",
"to",
"bolster",
"its",
"beleaguered",
"image",
"by",
"wrapping",
"itself",
"in",
"the",
"document",
"that",
"is",
"a",
"cornerstone",
"of",
"American",
"democracy",
".",
"Philip",
"Morris",
",",
"which",
"became",
"the",
"U.S.",
"'s",
"largest",
"food",
"company",
"last",
"year",
"with",
"its",
"$",
"12.9",
"billion",
"acquisition",
"of",
"Kraft",
"Inc.",
",",
"seems",
"determined",
"to",
"evolve",
"beyond",
"its",
"roots",
"in",
"Marlboro",
"country",
".",
"The",
"company",
"'s",
"research",
"suggests",
"that",
"its",
"name",
"recognition",
"among",
"most",
"consumers",
"remains",
"unusually",
"low",
",",
"although",
"its",
"array",
"of",
"brands",
"--",
"including",
"Maxwell",
"House",
"coffee",
",",
"Jell-O",
",",
"Cheez",
"Whiz",
",",
"and",
"Miller",
"beer",
"--",
"blanket",
"supermarket",
"shelves",
".",
"The",
"company",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"spend",
"about",
"$",
"30",
"million",
"a",
"year",
"on",
"its",
"two-year",
"corporate",
"campaign",
",",
"created",
"by",
"WPP",
"Group",
"'s",
"Ogilvy",
"&",
"Mather",
"unit",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"The",
"initial",
"spots",
"will",
"appear",
"during",
"morning",
"and",
"prime-time",
"news",
"shows",
".",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"hopes",
"that",
"by",
"taking",
"its",
"Bill",
"of",
"Rights",
"theme",
"to",
"the",
"airwaves",
",",
"in",
"addition",
"to",
"publications",
",",
"it",
"will",
"reach",
"the",
"broadest",
"possible",
"audience",
".",
"Until",
"now",
",",
"its",
"corporate",
"ads",
",",
"mainly",
"promoting",
"its",
"sponsorship",
"of",
"the",
"arts",
",",
"have",
"appeared",
"almost",
"exclusively",
"in",
"newspapers",
"and",
"magazines",
".",
"``",
"Most",
"people",
"--",
"whether",
"in",
"Toledo",
",",
"Tucson",
"or",
"Topeka",
"--",
"have",
"n't",
"got",
"a",
"clue",
"who",
"we",
"are",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Guy",
"L.",
"Smith",
",",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"'s",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"corporate",
"affairs",
".",
"``",
"If",
"they",
"think",
"well",
"of",
"the",
"company",
"through",
"our",
"support",
"of",
"the",
"Bill",
"of",
"Rights",
",",
"it",
"follows",
"they",
"'ll",
"think",
"well",
"of",
"our",
"products",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Smith",
"says",
"the",
"Bill",
"of",
"Rights",
"commercial",
",",
"which",
"trumpets",
"the",
"themes",
"of",
"liberty",
"and",
"freedom",
"of",
"expression",
",",
"is",
"n't",
"designed",
"to",
"have",
"any",
"special",
"appeal",
"for",
"smokers",
".",
"Although",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"typically",
"tries",
"to",
"defend",
"the",
"rights",
"of",
"smokers",
"with",
"free-choice",
"arguments",
",",
"``",
"this",
"has",
"nothing",
"to",
"do",
"with",
"cigarettes",
",",
"nor",
"will",
"it",
"ever",
",",
"''",
"the",
"spokesman",
"says",
".",
"But",
"some",
"anti-smoking",
"activists",
"disagree",
",",
"expressing",
"anger",
"at",
"what",
"they",
"see",
"as",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"attempt",
"to",
"purchase",
"innocence",
"by",
"association",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'m",
"outraged",
"because",
"this",
"company",
"is",
"portraying",
"itself",
"at",
"the",
"heart",
"of",
"American",
"culture",
"and",
"political",
"freedom",
"and",
"in",
"fact",
"it",
"'s",
"a",
"killer",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Michael",
"Pertschuk",
",",
"former",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"Federal",
"Trade",
"Commission",
"and",
"a",
"tobacco-industry",
"critic",
".",
"``",
"It",
"should",
"be",
"treated",
"like",
"the",
"Medellin",
"-LCB-",
"drug",
"-RCB-",
"mafia",
",",
"not",
"the",
"Founding",
"Fathers",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Pertschuk",
"adds",
"that",
"the",
"new",
"commercial",
"dovetails",
"perfectly",
"with",
"major",
"aspects",
"of",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"'s",
"political",
"strategy",
".",
"These",
"include",
"trying",
"to",
"protect",
"its",
"print",
"advertising",
"by",
"invoking",
"the",
"First",
"Amendment",
",",
"and",
"wooing",
"blacks",
"by",
"portraying",
"itself",
"as",
"a",
"protector",
"of",
"civil",
"rights",
".",
"(",
"The",
"commercial",
"features",
",",
"among",
"others",
",",
"the",
"voice",
"of",
"Martin",
"Luther",
"King",
"Jr.",
",",
"the",
"slain",
"civil",
"rights",
"leader",
".",
")",
"Many",
"marketers",
"say",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"'s",
"approach",
"will",
"be",
"effective",
",",
"but",
"they",
"agree",
"that",
"the",
"ads",
"'",
"implied",
"smoking",
"message",
"is",
"unmistakable",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"clever",
",",
"subliminal",
"advertising",
"that",
"really",
"says",
",",
"`",
"Smokers",
"have",
"rights",
",",
"too",
",",
"'",
"''",
"says",
"Al",
"Ries",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"Trout",
"&",
"Ries",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"Greenwich",
",",
"Conn.",
",",
"marketing",
"strategy",
"firm",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"designed",
"to",
"get",
"the",
"wagons",
"in",
"a",
"circle",
"and",
"defend",
"the",
"smoking",
"franchise",
".",
"''",
"Richard",
"Winger",
",",
"a",
"partner",
"at",
"Boston",
"Consulting",
"Group",
",",
"adds",
":",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"very",
"popular",
"to",
"drape",
"yourself",
"in",
"the",
"flag",
"these",
"days",
".",
"If",
"you",
"can",
"do",
"that",
"and",
"at",
"the",
"same",
"time",
"send",
"a",
"message",
"that",
"supports",
"your",
"business",
",",
"that",
"'s",
"brilliant",
".",
"''",
"RJR",
"Nabisco",
"Inc.",
"and",
"American",
"Brands",
"Inc.",
"say",
"they",
"have",
"no",
"plans",
"to",
"follow",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"'s",
"lead",
".",
"(",
"Indeed",
",",
"RJR",
"Nabisco",
"is",
"currently",
"under",
"fire",
"for",
"having",
"sent",
"80-second",
"videotapes",
"touting",
"its",
"Now",
"brand",
"to",
"consumers",
"who",
"smoke",
"American",
"Brands",
"'",
"Carltons",
".",
")",
"Despite",
"the",
"criticism",
",",
"Philip",
"Morris",
"'s",
"corporate",
"campaign",
"runs",
"little",
"risk",
"of",
"getting",
"yanked",
"off",
"the",
"tube",
".",
"``",
"They",
"are",
"n't",
"showing",
"James",
"Madison",
"taking",
"a",
"puff",
"or",
"lighting",
"up",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Laurence",
"Tribe",
",",
"a",
"professor",
"of",
"constitutional",
"law",
"at",
"Harvard",
"University",
".",
"``",
"All",
"they",
"are",
"trying",
"to",
"do",
"is",
"borrow",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"legitimacy",
"of",
"the",
"Bill",
"of",
"Rights",
"itself",
"."
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[
"Tandy",
"Corp.",
",",
"citing",
"sluggish",
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"of",
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"goods",
",",
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"income",
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"3.3",
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"30",
".",
"The",
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",",
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"the",
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"of",
"flat-to-lower",
"earnings",
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"retailer",
",",
"disappointed",
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".",
"Tandy",
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"fell",
"$",
"1.375",
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"to",
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"$",
"44",
"in",
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"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"composite",
"trading",
".",
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"the",
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"$",
"62.8",
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",",
"or",
"73",
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"a",
"share",
",",
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"64.9",
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",",
"or",
"72",
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"a",
"share",
",",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"The",
"company",
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"actively",
"repurchasing",
"its",
"shares",
",",
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"expense",
"and",
"reducing",
"its",
"interest",
"income",
".",
"Tandy",
"had",
"86.3",
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"30",
",",
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"90",
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"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"Revenue",
"rose",
"5",
"%",
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"$",
"937",
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".",
"Tandy",
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"sales",
"at",
"its",
"Radio",
"Shack",
"stores",
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",",
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"lack",
"of",
"hot",
",",
"new",
"products",
".",
"``",
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",",
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"Dennis",
"Telzrow",
",",
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",",
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".",
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"and",
"expanding",
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"Grid",
"Systems",
"Corp.",
"subsidiary",
",",
"which",
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"businesses",
",",
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"``",
"it",
"'s",
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"enough",
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"the",
"problems",
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"Shack",
".",
"''",
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"Shack",
"stores",
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"more",
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"2",
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"earlier",
",",
"he",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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"3.64",
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"share",
",",
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"30",
".",
"Barry",
"Bryant",
",",
"an",
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"Burnham",
"Lambert",
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",",
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".",
"Mr.",
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".",
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",",
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"earnings",
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"to",
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",",
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"be",
"the",
"quarter",
"."
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[
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[
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[
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[
"Dayton",
"Hudson",
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"yesterday",
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",",
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".",
"Dayton",
"Hudson",
"'s",
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",",
"representing",
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",",
"had",
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"60",
"and",
"$",
"65",
"for",
"the",
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".",
"Dayton",
"Hudson",
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"62.875",
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";",
"the",
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".",
"The",
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"shares",
"next",
"Thursday",
".",
"Tendered",
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".",
"In",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"composite",
"trading",
",",
"Dayton",
"rose",
"$",
"1",
"to",
"$",
"61.125",
"."
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[
"Since",
"its",
"founding",
"in",
"1818",
",",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
",",
"the",
"standard-bearer",
"of",
"the",
"Ivy",
"League",
"look",
",",
"has",
"eschewed",
"flashy",
"sales",
"promotions",
"and",
"fashion",
"trends",
"--",
"the",
"rules",
"that",
"most",
"retailers",
"live",
"by",
".",
"But",
"with",
"sales",
"growth",
"sluggish",
"and",
"other",
"men",
"'s",
"stores",
"putting",
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"the",
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",",
"the",
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"retailer",
"can",
"no",
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"afford",
"such",
"a",
"smug",
"attitude",
".",
"So",
"two",
"weeks",
"ago",
",",
"thousands",
"of",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"charge",
"customers",
"--",
"customers",
"conditioned",
"to",
"wait",
"for",
"twice-yearly",
"clearance",
"sales",
"--",
"got",
"a",
"surprise",
":",
"an",
"invitation",
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"come",
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"buy",
"any",
"one",
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"for",
"25",
"%",
"off",
".",
"During",
"the",
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"promotion",
",",
"shoppers",
"at",
"the",
"Short",
"Hills",
",",
"N.J.",
",",
"store",
"lined",
"up",
"to",
"pay",
"for",
"big-ticket",
"items",
"like",
"coats",
"and",
"suits",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"not",
"all",
".",
"Departing",
"from",
"its",
"newspaper",
"ads",
"featuring",
"prim",
"sketches",
"of",
"a",
"suit",
"or",
"a",
"coat",
",",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"is",
"marketing",
"an",
"updated",
"image",
"in",
"a",
"new",
"campaign",
"that",
"carries",
"the",
"slogan",
",",
"``",
"The",
"Surprise",
"of",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
".",
"''",
"One",
"color",
"photo",
"displays",
"a",
"rainbow",
"of",
"dress",
"shirts",
"tied",
"in",
"a",
"knot",
";",
"another",
"picture",
"shows",
"neckties",
"with",
"bold",
"designs",
".",
"The",
"message",
"is",
"loud",
"and",
"clear",
":",
"This",
"is",
"not",
"your",
"father",
"'s",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
".",
"As",
"part",
"of",
"its",
"national",
"ad",
"pitch",
",",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"will",
"show",
"less",
"preppy",
"women",
"'s",
"clothes",
",",
"moving",
"away",
"from",
"its",
"floppy-tie",
"business",
"stereotype",
".",
"One",
"ad",
"shows",
"a",
"bright",
"red",
"jacket",
"paired",
"with",
"a",
"black",
"leather",
"skirt",
".",
"And",
"the",
"ad",
"copy",
"is",
"cheeky",
":",
"``",
"How",
"can",
"you",
"be",
"a",
"Wall",
"Street",
"hot",
"shot",
"without",
"at",
"least",
"one",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"suit",
"in",
"your",
"portfolio",
"?",
"''",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"hopes",
"that",
"shaking",
"its",
"time-honored",
"traditions",
"will",
"attract",
"more",
"young",
"men",
"and",
"more",
"women",
"and",
"change",
"consumer",
"perceptions",
"about",
"its",
"range",
"of",
"merchandise",
".",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"men",
"who",
"only",
"buy",
"their",
"shirts",
"and",
"underwear",
"here",
"or",
"younger",
"customers",
"who",
"only",
"buy",
"their",
"-LCB-",
"job",
"-RCB-",
"interview",
"suit",
"here",
",",
"''",
"says",
"William",
"Roberti",
",",
"chairman",
"and",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
"of",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
".",
"``",
"We",
"want",
"them",
"to",
"buy",
"more",
"of",
"their",
"wardrobe",
"here",
".",
"''",
"Industry",
"watchers",
"agree",
"that",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"is",
"long",
"overdue",
"in",
"updating",
"its",
"buttoned-down",
"image",
",",
"which",
"has",
"stunted",
"its",
"growth",
".",
"When",
"acquired",
"in",
"May",
"1988",
"by",
"British",
"retailer",
"Marks",
"&",
"Spencer",
"PLC",
",",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"'",
"annual",
"operating",
"profit",
"was",
"about",
"$",
"41.8",
"million",
"on",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"290.1",
"million",
".",
"Mr.",
"Roberti",
"concedes",
"that",
"since",
"the",
"$",
"750",
"million",
"takeover",
",",
"``",
"sales",
"growth",
"has",
"n't",
"been",
"dramatic",
".",
"''",
"For",
"the",
"11",
"months",
"ended",
"March",
"31",
",",
"operating",
"profit",
"at",
"the",
"52-store",
"chain",
"totaled",
"$",
"40.5",
"million",
"on",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"286.8",
"million",
".",
"As",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"jumps",
"into",
"the",
"fashion",
"fray",
",",
"it",
"will",
"be",
"playing",
"catch",
"up",
".",
"Many",
"clothiers",
",",
"especially",
"Ralph",
"Lauren",
",",
"have",
"cashed",
"in",
"on",
"the",
"recent",
"popularity",
"of",
"updated",
"Ivy",
"League",
"and",
"English",
"styles",
".",
"In",
"keeping",
"with",
"men",
"'s",
"broader",
"fashion",
"scope",
"today",
",",
"businessmen",
"are",
"dabbling",
"in",
"English",
"and",
"Italian",
"suits",
"that",
"are",
"conservative",
"but",
"not",
"stodgy",
".",
"The",
"rigid",
"Ivy",
"League",
"customer",
",",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"'",
"bread",
"and",
"butter",
",",
"meanwhile",
"is",
"becoming",
"extinct",
".",
"Thus",
",",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"has",
"lost",
"customers",
"to",
"stores",
"that",
"offer",
"more",
"variety",
"such",
"as",
"Paul",
"Stuart",
",",
"Barneys",
"New",
"York",
"and",
"Louis",
",",
"Boston",
".",
"``",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"no",
"longer",
"has",
"a",
"lock",
"on",
"the",
"-LCB-",
"Ivy",
"League",
"-RCB-",
"customer",
"who",
"is",
"status-conscious",
"about",
"his",
"clothes",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Charlie",
"Davidson",
",",
"president",
"of",
"the",
"Andover",
"Shop",
",",
"a",
"traditional",
"men",
"'s",
"store",
"in",
"Cambridge",
",",
"Mass",
".",
"By",
"making",
"a",
"break",
"from",
"tradition",
",",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"is",
"seeking",
"a",
"delicate",
"balance",
".",
"If",
"it",
"promotes",
"fashion",
"too",
"much",
",",
"the",
"shop",
"risks",
"alienating",
"its",
"old-line",
"customers",
";",
"by",
"emphasizing",
"``",
"value",
",",
"''",
"it",
"risks",
"watering",
"down",
"its",
"high-minded",
"mystique",
".",
"Fashion",
"industry",
"consultants",
"also",
"question",
"whether",
"the",
"company",
"can",
"make",
"significant",
"strides",
"in",
"its",
"women",
"'s",
"business",
",",
"given",
"that",
"its",
"customer",
"base",
"is",
"less",
"established",
"and",
"that",
"conservative",
"business",
"dress",
"for",
"women",
"is",
"on",
"the",
"decline",
".",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"'",
"aim",
"is",
"for",
"20",
"%",
"of",
"total",
"sales",
"to",
"come",
"from",
"the",
"women",
"'s",
"department",
",",
"up",
"from",
"the",
"current",
"12",
"%",
".",
"``",
"Everybody",
"forgets",
"that",
"there",
"are",
"fashion",
"cycles",
"in",
"classic",
"merchandise",
",",
"''",
"observes",
"Carol",
"Farmer",
",",
"a",
"retail",
"consultant",
".",
"``",
"For",
"women",
",",
"dressing",
"for",
"success",
"in",
"a",
"real",
"structured",
"way",
"is",
"over",
".",
"''",
"Despite",
"these",
"challenges",
",",
"Marks",
"&",
"Spencer",
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",",
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"name",
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"presence",
".",
"Marks",
"&",
"Spencer",
"plans",
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"roughly",
"18",
"more",
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"stores",
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"next",
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".",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
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"30",
"outlets",
"in",
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"and",
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"shops",
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"Kong",
".",
"Marks",
"&",
"Spencer",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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":",
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",",
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",",
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"plants",
"in",
"Paterson",
",",
"N.J.",
",",
"and",
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"'",
"departments",
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"20",
"stores",
".",
"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"is",
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"its",
"stores",
".",
"Wednesday",
",",
"it",
"will",
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"7",
"million",
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"flagship",
"store",
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"Avenue",
".",
"With",
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",",
"the",
"store",
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"signature",
"wood-and-brass",
"look",
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".",
"More",
"shirts",
"and",
"sweaters",
"will",
"be",
"laid",
"out",
"on",
"tables",
",",
"instead",
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"behind",
"glass",
"cases",
",",
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"can",
"``",
"walk",
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"and",
"touch",
"them",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Roberti",
"says",
".",
"Because",
"the",
"biggest",
"growth",
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"menswear",
"is",
"in",
"casual",
"sportswear",
",",
"Brooks",
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"is",
"chasing",
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"business",
".",
"The",
"entire",
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"floor",
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"Madison",
"Avenue",
"store",
"is",
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"featuring",
"items",
"such",
"as",
"ski",
"sweaters",
",",
"leather",
"backpacks",
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"$",
"42",
"wool",
"baseball",
"hat",
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"store",
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"crest",
".",
"The",
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",",
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",",
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"department",
",",
"where",
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"fabrics",
".",
"``",
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"is",
"that",
"we",
"are",
"very",
"conservative",
"and",
"we",
"only",
"sell",
"one",
"type",
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"suit",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Roberti",
"says",
",",
"referring",
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"Brooks",
"Brothers",
"'",
"signature",
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"``",
"sack",
"suit",
",",
"''",
"with",
"a",
"center-vented",
"jacket",
"and",
"boxy",
"fit",
".",
"But",
"it",
"now",
"offers",
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"two-button",
"versions",
"and",
"suits",
"with",
"a",
"tapered",
"fit",
".",
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"plans",
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"add",
"suits",
"cut",
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"men",
"with",
"broader",
"upper",
"bodies",
".",
"Next",
"spring",
",",
"nearly",
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"pants",
",",
"compared",
"with",
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"none",
"a",
"couple",
"of",
"years",
"ago",
".",
"Says",
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"Roberti",
":",
"``",
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"want",
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"the",
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"on",
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":",
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"--",
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",",
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"A",
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".",
"Two",
"years",
"later",
",",
"he",
"opened",
"one",
"in",
"West",
"Germany",
".",
"He",
"also",
"noticed",
"that",
"foreign",
"makers",
"were",
"introducing",
"many",
"variations",
"on",
"the",
"traditional",
"fur",
",",
"and",
"he",
"decided",
"to",
"follow",
"suit",
".",
"By",
"combining",
"his",
"strengths",
"in",
"innovation",
"and",
"quality",
"control",
"with",
"the",
"lower",
"costs",
"of",
"production",
"abroad",
",",
"he",
"says",
"he",
"has",
"been",
"able",
"to",
"produce",
"high-quality",
"goods",
"at",
"low",
"cost",
".",
"To",
"maintain",
"control",
"over",
"production",
"and",
"avoid",
"overdependence",
"on",
"foreign",
"sources",
",",
"he",
"says",
"he",
"still",
"makes",
"most",
"of",
"his",
"furs",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"But",
"six",
"years",
"ago",
"he",
"also",
"began",
"importing",
"from",
"the",
"Far",
"East",
".",
"Inspired",
"by",
"imports",
",",
"Mr.",
"Rosen",
"now",
"makes",
"fur",
"muffs",
",",
"hats",
"and",
"flings",
".",
"This",
"year",
"he",
"produced",
"a",
"men",
"'s",
"line",
"and",
"offers",
"dyed",
"furs",
"in",
"red",
",",
"cherry",
"red",
",",
"violet",
",",
"royal",
"blue",
"and",
"forest",
"green",
".",
"He",
"has",
"leather",
"jackets",
"from",
"Turkey",
"that",
"are",
"lined",
"with",
"eel",
"skin",
"and",
"topped",
"off",
"with",
"raccoon-skin",
"collars",
".",
"From",
"Asia",
",",
"he",
"has",
"mink",
"jackets",
"with",
"floral",
"patterns",
"made",
"by",
"using",
"different",
"colored",
"furs",
".",
"Next",
"he",
"will",
"be",
"testing",
"pictured",
"embroidery",
"(",
"called",
"kalega",
")",
"made",
"in",
"the",
"Far",
"East",
".",
"He",
"plans",
"to",
"attach",
"the",
"embroidery",
"to",
"the",
"backs",
"of",
"mink",
"coats",
"and",
"jackets",
".",
"Besides",
"adding",
"to",
"sales",
",",
"leathers",
"also",
"attract",
"retailers",
"who",
"may",
"buy",
"furs",
"later",
",",
"he",
"adds",
".",
"Other",
"furriers",
"have",
"also",
"benefited",
"from",
"leathers",
".",
"Seymour",
"Schreibman",
",",
"the",
"65-year-old",
"owner",
"of",
"Schreibman",
"Raphael",
"Furs",
"Inc.",
",",
"treats",
"the",
"reverse",
"side",
"of",
"a",
"Persian",
"lambskin",
"to",
"produce",
"a",
"reversible",
"fur-and-leather",
"garment",
".",
"He",
"says",
"it",
"accounts",
"for",
"25",
"%",
"of",
"total",
"sales",
".",
"Mr.",
"Rosen",
"is",
"also",
"pushing",
"retail",
"sales",
".",
"This",
"year",
"he",
"bought",
"two",
"stores",
",",
"one",
"in",
"Brooklyn",
"and",
"one",
"in",
"Queens",
".",
"Other",
"furriers",
"have",
"also",
"placed",
"more",
"weight",
"on",
"retailing",
".",
"Golden",
"Feldman",
"Furs",
"Inc.",
"began",
"retailing",
"aggressively",
"eight",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"and",
"now",
"retail",
"sales",
"account",
"for",
"about",
"20",
"%",
"of",
"gross",
"income",
".",
"In",
"other",
"moves",
",",
"Mr.",
"Rosen",
"says",
"he",
"bought",
"a",
"truck",
"three",
"years",
"ago",
"to",
"reach",
"more",
"retailers",
".",
"Since",
"then",
"he",
"has",
"expanded",
"his",
"fleet",
"and",
"can",
"now",
"bring",
"his",
"furs",
"to",
"the",
"front",
"door",
"of",
"retailers",
"as",
"far",
"away",
"as",
"the",
"Midwest",
".",
"Small",
"retailers",
"who",
"ca",
"n't",
"afford",
"to",
"travel",
"to",
"his",
"New",
"York",
"showroom",
"have",
"become",
"fair",
"game",
".",
"Such",
"moves",
"have",
"helped",
"Mr.",
"Rosen",
"weather",
"the",
"industry",
"slump",
"of",
"recent",
"years",
".",
"The",
"industry",
"enjoyed",
"six",
"prosperous",
"years",
"beginning",
"in",
"1980",
",",
"but",
"since",
"1986",
"sales",
"have",
"languished",
"at",
"their",
"$",
"1.8",
"billion",
"peak",
".",
"Large",
"furriers",
"such",
"as",
"Antonovich",
"Inc.",
",",
"Fur",
"Vault",
"Inc.",
"and",
"Evans",
"Inc.",
"all",
"reported",
"losses",
"in",
"their",
"latest",
"fiscal",
"years",
".",
"Aftereffects",
"of",
"the",
"1987",
"stock",
"market",
"crash",
"head",
"the",
"list",
"of",
"reasons",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"competition",
"has",
"glutted",
"the",
"market",
"with",
"both",
"skins",
"and",
"coats",
",",
"driving",
"prices",
"down",
".",
"The",
"animal-rights",
"movement",
"has",
"n't",
"helped",
"sales",
".",
"Warm",
"winters",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"two",
"years",
"have",
"trimmed",
"demand",
",",
"too",
",",
"furriers",
"complain",
".",
"And",
"those",
"who",
"did",
"n't",
"move",
"some",
"production",
"overseas",
"suffer",
"labor",
"shortages",
".",
"``",
"The",
"intensive",
"labor",
"needed",
"to",
"manufacture",
"furs",
"-LCB-",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"-RCB-",
"is",
"not",
"as",
"available",
"as",
"it",
"was",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Schreibman",
",",
"who",
"is",
"starting",
"overseas",
"production",
".",
"But",
"even",
"those",
"who",
"have",
"found",
"a",
"way",
"to",
"cope",
"with",
"the",
"imports",
"and",
"the",
"slump",
",",
"fear",
"that",
"furs",
"are",
"losing",
"part",
"of",
"their",
"allure",
".",
"``",
"People",
"are",
"promoting",
"furs",
"in",
"various",
"ways",
"and",
"taking",
"the",
"glamour",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"fur",
"business",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Stephen",
"Sanders",
",",
"divisional",
"merchandise",
"manager",
"for",
"Marshall",
"Field",
"'s",
"department",
"store",
"in",
"Chicago",
".",
"``",
"You",
"ca",
"n't",
"make",
"a",
"commodity",
"out",
"of",
"a",
"luxury",
",",
"''",
"insists",
"Mr.",
"Purnick",
",",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"furrier",
".",
"He",
"contends",
"that",
"chasing",
"consumers",
"with",
"low-priced",
"imports",
"will",
"harm",
"the",
"industry",
"in",
"the",
"long",
"run",
"by",
"reducing",
"the",
"prestige",
"of",
"furs",
".",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Rosen",
"responds",
":",
"``",
"Whatever",
"people",
"want",
"to",
"buy",
",",
"I",
"'ll",
"sell",
".",
"The",
"name",
"of",
"the",
"game",
"is",
"to",
"move",
"goods",
"."
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[
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[
"The",
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"Atari",
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",",
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"Poquet",
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",",
"meanwhile",
",",
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"can",
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"1-2-3",
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",",
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"At",
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"Swavely",
",",
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",",
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"the",
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"--",
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"``",
"a",
"real",
"computer",
"in",
"a",
"package",
"so",
"small",
"you",
"can",
"take",
"it",
"everywhere",
".",
"''",
"The",
"market",
"is",
"so",
"new",
",",
"nobody",
"knows",
"yet",
"how",
"big",
"it",
"can",
"be",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'ve",
"had",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"people",
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"me",
"services",
"to",
"find",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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"$",
"5",
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"or",
"$",
"3.5",
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",",
"it",
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"matter",
".",
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"'s",
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".",
"''",
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"the",
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"portables",
",",
"which",
"now",
"comprise",
"12",
"%",
"of",
"all",
"personal",
"computer",
"sales",
".",
"Laptops",
"--",
"generally",
"anything",
"under",
"15",
"pounds",
"--",
"have",
"become",
"the",
"fastest-growing",
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"computer",
"segment",
",",
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"sales",
"doubling",
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".",
"Responding",
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"that",
"demand",
",",
"however",
",",
"has",
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"a",
"variety",
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".",
"Making",
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".",
"It",
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",",
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"microprocessors",
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".",
"Size",
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"also",
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"screen",
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".",
"The",
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"sniping",
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"get",
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".",
"A",
"Poquet",
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",",
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",",
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"Portfolio",
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"three",
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"the",
"Poquet",
"needs",
"only",
"two",
".",
"Both",
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"are",
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"by",
"notebook",
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",",
"who",
"argue",
"that",
"they",
"'re",
"too",
"small",
"--",
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"Poquet",
"also",
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"groups",
",",
"admits",
"Gerry",
"Purdy",
",",
"director",
"of",
"marketing",
".",
"Poquet",
",",
"trying",
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"avoid",
"the",
"``",
"gadget",
"''",
"label",
",",
"responded",
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"the",
"tag",
"line",
",",
"``",
"The",
"Poquet",
"PC",
"--",
"a",
"Very",
"Big",
"Computer",
".",
"''",
"Despite",
"the",
"sniping",
",",
"few",
"question",
"the",
"inevitability",
"of",
"the",
"move",
"to",
"small",
"machines",
"that",
"do",
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"make",
"compromises",
".",
"Toward",
"that",
"end",
",",
"experts",
"say",
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"Toshiba",
",",
"Zenith",
"and",
"now",
"Compaq",
".",
"Compaq",
"'s",
"new",
"machines",
"are",
"considered",
"a",
"direct",
"threat",
"to",
"start-up",
"firms",
"like",
"Dynabook",
"Inc.",
",",
"which",
"introduced",
"in",
"June",
"a",
"computer",
"that",
",",
"like",
"Compaq",
"'s",
",",
"uses",
"an",
"Intel",
"286",
"microprocessor",
"and",
"has",
"a",
"hard",
"disk",
"drive",
".",
"But",
"the",
"Dynabook",
"product",
"is",
"twice",
"as",
"heavy",
"and",
"costs",
"more",
"than",
"Compaq",
"'s",
".",
"Compaq",
"'s",
"announcement",
"also",
"spells",
"trouble",
"for",
"Zenith",
",",
"which",
"last",
"year",
"had",
"28",
"%",
"of",
"the",
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"laptop",
"market",
"but",
"recently",
"agreed",
"to",
"sell",
"its",
"computer",
"business",
"to",
"Cie.",
"des",
"Machines",
"Bull",
",",
"the",
"French",
"government-owned",
"computer",
"maker",
".",
"Zenith",
"holders",
"will",
"vote",
"in",
"December",
"on",
"the",
"proposed",
"$",
"635",
"million",
"sale",
",",
"a",
"price",
"that",
"could",
"slip",
"because",
"it",
"is",
"pegged",
"to",
"Zenith",
"'s",
"share",
"and",
"sales",
".",
"Compaq",
"is",
"already",
"taking",
"aim",
"at",
"Zenith",
"'s",
"market",
"share",
".",
"Rod",
"Canion",
",",
"Compaq",
"'s",
"president",
"and",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
",",
"notes",
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"'s",
"$",
"2,000",
"MinisPort",
"uses",
"an",
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"unconventional",
"''",
"two-inch",
"floppy",
"disk",
",",
"whereas",
"Compaq",
"'s",
"new",
"machines",
"use",
"the",
"more",
"common",
"3",
"1/2-inch",
"disk",
".",
"John",
"P.",
"Frank",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Zenith",
"Data",
"Systems",
",",
"simply",
"shrugs",
"off",
"such",
"criticism",
",",
"noting",
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"3",
"1/2-inch",
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"``",
"unconventional",
"''",
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"they",
"first",
"replaced",
"five-inch",
"disks",
".",
"``",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"look",
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"it",
"as",
"not",
"being",
"a",
"standard",
",",
"we",
"look",
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"it",
"as",
"a",
"new",
"standard",
",",
"''",
"he",
"argues",
".",
"Analysts",
"do",
"n't",
"see",
"it",
"that",
"way",
".",
"``",
"I",
"ca",
"n't",
"imagine",
"that",
"you",
"'ll",
"talk",
"to",
"anyone",
"who",
"wo",
"n't",
"tell",
"you",
"this",
"is",
"dynamite",
"for",
"Compaq",
"and",
"a",
"stopper",
"for",
"everyone",
"else",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Gene",
"Talsky",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Professional",
"Marketing",
"Management",
"Inc",
".",
"Adds",
"Bill",
"Lempesis",
",",
"senior",
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"analyst",
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"DataQuest",
",",
"a",
"high-technology",
"market",
"research",
"firm",
":",
"``",
"We",
"basically",
"think",
"that",
"these",
"are",
"very",
"hot",
"products",
".",
"The",
"problem",
"Compaq",
"is",
"going",
"to",
"have",
"is",
"that",
"they",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"make",
"enough",
"of",
"them",
".",
"''",
"Compaq",
"'s",
"machines",
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"the",
"3",
"1/2-inch",
"floppy",
"disk",
"drive",
",",
"a",
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"an",
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"slot",
"for",
"a",
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"--",
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"words",
",",
"almost",
"all",
"the",
"capabilities",
"of",
"a",
"typical",
"office",
"machine",
".",
"Others",
"undoubtedly",
"will",
"follow",
",",
"but",
"most",
"analysts",
"believe",
"Compaq",
"has",
"at",
"least",
"a",
"six-month",
"lead",
"on",
"the",
"competition",
".",
"Toshiba",
"'s",
"line",
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"portables",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"features",
"the",
"T-1000",
",",
"which",
"is",
"in",
"the",
"same",
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"class",
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"much",
"slower",
"and",
"has",
"less",
"memory",
",",
"and",
"the",
"T-1600",
",",
"which",
"also",
"uses",
"a",
"286",
"microprocessor",
",",
"but",
"which",
"weighs",
"almost",
"twice",
"as",
"much",
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"is",
"three",
"times",
"the",
"size",
".",
"A",
"third",
"model",
",",
"marketed",
"in",
"Japan",
",",
"may",
"hit",
"the",
"U.S.",
"by",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"first",
"quarter",
"of",
"1990",
",",
"but",
"by",
"then",
",",
"analysts",
"say",
",",
"Compaq",
"will",
"have",
"established",
"itself",
"as",
"one",
"of",
"three",
"major",
"players",
".",
"What",
"about",
"Big",
"Blue",
"?",
"International",
"Business",
"Machines",
"Corp.",
",",
"analysts",
"say",
",",
"has",
"been",
"burned",
"twice",
"in",
"trying",
"to",
"enter",
"the",
"laptop",
"market",
"and",
"shows",
"no",
"signs",
"of",
"trying",
"to",
"get",
"into",
"notebooks",
"anytime",
"soon",
"."
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"compound",
"compound",
"nsubj:pass",
"punct",
"nsubj",
"parataxis",
"punct",
"aux",
"aux:pass",
"root",
"advmod",
"mark",
"advcl",
"mark",
"xcomp",
"det",
"compound",
"obj",
"cc",
"conj",
"det",
"obj",
"mark",
"acl",
"mark",
"xcomp",
"case",
"obl",
"advmod",
"advmod",
"punct"
] |
[
"Investors",
"in",
"the",
"over-the-counter",
"market",
"dumped",
"banking",
"and",
"insurance",
"issues",
",",
"sending",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"composite",
"index",
"lower",
"for",
"the",
"third",
"consecutive",
"session",
".",
"All",
"Nasdaq",
"industry",
"indexes",
"finished",
"lower",
",",
"with",
"financial",
"issues",
"hit",
"the",
"hardest",
".",
"Despite",
"some",
"early",
"computer-guided",
"program",
"buying",
",",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"composite",
"fell",
"1.39",
"to",
"451.37",
".",
"The",
"OTC",
"market",
"now",
"has",
"declined",
"in",
"eight",
"of",
"the",
"past",
"11",
"sessions",
".",
"The",
"Nasdaq",
"bank",
"index",
"fell",
"5.00",
"to",
"432.61",
",",
"while",
"the",
"insurance",
"index",
"fell",
"3.56",
"to",
"528.56",
",",
"and",
"the",
"``",
"other",
"finance",
"''",
"index",
"dropped",
"3.27",
"to",
"529.32",
".",
"The",
"largest",
"financial",
"issues",
",",
"as",
"measured",
"by",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"financial",
"index",
",",
"tumbled",
"3.23",
"to",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"the",
"index",
"of",
"the",
"100",
"biggest",
"non-financial",
"stocks",
",",
"the",
"Nasdaq",
"100",
",",
"gained",
"0.47",
"to",
"438.15",
".",
"Profit-taking",
"accounted",
"for",
"much",
"of",
"the",
"slide",
"in",
"OTC",
"stock",
"prices",
",",
"according",
"to",
"David",
"Mills",
",",
"senior",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"Boston",
"Company",
"Advisers",
".",
"He",
"said",
"many",
"portfolio",
"managers",
",",
"whose",
"year-end",
"bonuses",
"are",
"tied",
"to",
"annual",
"performance",
",",
"are",
"selling",
"now",
"rather",
"than",
"risk",
"seeing",
"their",
"gains",
"erode",
"further",
".",
"``",
"The",
"profit",
"locking-in",
"is",
"definitely",
"going",
"on",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Mills",
",",
"whose",
"firm",
"manages",
"$",
"600",
"million",
"for",
"Boston",
"Co",
".",
"Tax-loss",
"sellers",
",",
"those",
"investors",
"who",
"sell",
"loss-making",
"stocks",
"so",
"they",
"can",
"deduct",
"their",
"losses",
"from",
"this",
"year",
"'s",
"income",
",",
"are",
"also",
"getting",
"out",
",",
"Mr.",
"Mills",
"said",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"helping",
"put",
"pressure",
"on",
"both",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"winners",
"and",
"its",
"losers",
".",
"``",
"The",
"stocks",
"that",
"have",
"been",
"the",
"best",
"are",
"having",
"big",
"pullbacks",
",",
"and",
"the",
"ones",
"that",
"have",
"been",
"the",
"worst",
"are",
"getting",
"clobbered",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Mills",
"said",
".",
"He",
"expects",
"the",
"market",
"to",
"sink",
"further",
"and",
"to",
"reach",
"a",
"low",
"sometime",
"next",
"month",
"or",
"in",
"December",
".",
"The",
"selling",
"by",
"money",
"managers",
"and",
"individual",
"investors",
"is",
"turning",
"traders",
"bearish",
"as",
"well",
".",
"``",
"We",
"are",
"advising",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"our",
"clients",
"to",
"make",
"moves",
"that",
"make",
"sense",
"to",
"them",
",",
"rather",
"than",
"waiting",
"until",
"the",
"last",
"minute",
",",
"because",
"things",
"have",
"been",
"so",
"volatile",
",",
"''",
"said",
"William",
"Sulya",
",",
"head",
"of",
"OTC",
"trading",
"at",
"A.G.",
"Edwards",
"&",
"Sons",
"in",
"St.",
"Louis",
".",
"Ralph",
"Costanza",
",",
"head",
"of",
"the",
"OTC",
"trading",
"department",
"at",
"Smith",
"Barney",
",",
"Harris",
"Upham",
",",
"said",
"many",
"market",
"players",
"are",
"awaiting",
"some",
"resolution",
"of",
"the",
"current",
"debate",
"over",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Much",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"recent",
"volatility",
"has",
"been",
"blamed",
"on",
"this",
"large-scale",
"computerized",
"trading",
"technique",
"that",
"can",
"send",
"stock",
"prices",
"surging",
"or",
"plummeting",
"in",
"a",
"matter",
"of",
"minutes",
".",
"The",
"problem",
"has",
"been",
"particularly",
"damaging",
"to",
"the",
"OTC",
"market",
",",
"traditionally",
"a",
"base",
"for",
"the",
"small",
"investor",
".",
"Weisfield",
"'s",
"surged",
"14",
"to",
"53",
"after",
"agreeing",
"in",
"principle",
"to",
"be",
"acquired",
"by",
"a",
"unit",
"of",
"Ratners",
"Group",
"for",
"$",
"50",
"a",
"share",
".",
"The",
"stock",
"jumped",
"9",
"1/2",
"Friday",
",",
"when",
"the",
"company",
"announced",
"it",
"was",
"in",
"takeover",
"talks",
".",
"Ratners",
"and",
"Weisfield",
"'s",
"said",
"they",
"expect",
"to",
"sign",
"definitive",
"agreements",
"shortly",
"and",
"to",
"complete",
"the",
"transaction",
"by",
"Dec.",
"15",
".",
"Mid-State",
"Federal",
"Savings",
"Bank",
"advanced",
"1",
"1/2",
"to",
"20",
"1/4",
"after",
"it",
"said",
"it",
"is",
"in",
"talks",
"with",
"a",
"possible",
"acquirer",
".",
"The",
"bank",
"said",
"the",
"talks",
"resulted",
"from",
"solicitations",
"by",
"its",
"financial",
"adviser",
".",
"Jaguar",
"assumed",
"its",
"recently",
"customary",
"place",
"on",
"the",
"OTC",
"most",
"active",
"list",
"as",
"its",
"American",
"depository",
"receipts",
"gained",
"1/4",
"to",
"11",
"7/8",
"on",
"volume",
"of",
"1.2",
"million",
"shares",
"and",
"Daimler-Benz",
"joined",
"the",
"list",
"of",
"companies",
"interested",
"in",
"the",
"British",
"car",
"maker",
".",
"Daimler",
"said",
"it",
"has",
"had",
"talks",
"with",
"Jaguar",
"about",
"possible",
"joint",
"ventures",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"General",
"Motors",
"and",
"Ford",
"Motor",
"continue",
"their",
"pursuit",
"of",
"the",
"company",
".",
"Ford",
"has",
"acquired",
"more",
"than",
"13",
"%",
"of",
"Jaguar",
"'s",
"shares",
",",
"and",
"GM",
"has",
"received",
"U.S.",
"regulatory",
"clearance",
"to",
"buy",
"15",
"%",
".",
"ShowBiz",
"Pizza",
"Time",
"gained",
"1",
"1/2",
"to",
"13",
".",
"The",
"company",
"reported",
"third-quarter",
"operating",
"profit",
"of",
"37",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"12",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
".",
"A",
"third-quarter",
"charge",
"of",
"$",
"3.5",
"million",
"related",
"to",
"planned",
"restaurant",
"closings",
"resulted",
"in",
"a",
"net",
"loss",
"for",
"the",
"quarter",
".",
"Employers",
"Casualty",
",",
"which",
"reported",
"a",
"$",
"53.9",
"million",
"third-quarter",
"loss",
"late",
"Friday",
",",
"fell",
"2",
"1/4",
"to",
"13",
"3/4",
".",
"The",
"loss",
"was",
"largely",
"due",
"to",
"a",
"$",
"55.2",
"million",
"addition",
"to",
"reserves",
".",
"Employers",
"Casualty",
"had",
"a",
"loss",
"of",
"$",
"3.6",
"million",
"in",
"the",
"year-earlier",
"quarter",
".",
"Old",
"Stone",
"fell",
"1",
"5/8",
"to",
"13",
"1/2",
".",
"Late",
"Friday",
",",
"the",
"company",
"reported",
"a",
"loss",
"of",
"$",
"51.3",
"million",
"for",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"after",
"earning",
"$",
"9.2",
"million",
"a",
"year",
"before",
".",
"The",
"loss",
"came",
"after",
"a",
"$",
"23.3",
"million",
"addition",
"to",
"loan-loss",
"reserves",
".",
"The",
"bank",
"made",
"a",
"$",
"4.5",
"million",
"provision",
"in",
"the",
"1988",
"quarter",
".",
"Old",
"Stone",
"repeated",
"projections",
"that",
"it",
"will",
"be",
"profitable",
"for",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
"and",
"will",
"about",
"break",
"even",
"for",
"the",
"year",
".",
"Abraham",
"Lincoln",
"Federal",
"Savings",
"Bank",
"sank",
"4",
"to",
"13",
"1/2",
"after",
"announcing",
"a",
"shakeup",
"that",
"will",
"change",
"senior",
"management",
"and",
"reorganize",
"the",
"bank",
"'s",
"mortgage",
"business",
"as",
"a",
"separate",
"unit",
".",
"The",
"bank",
"also",
"said",
"it",
"will",
"establish",
"a",
"loan-loss",
"reserve",
"of",
"$",
"2.5",
"million",
"to",
"$",
"4",
"million",
"against",
"a",
"construction",
"loan",
"that",
"is",
"in",
"default",
".",
"The",
"bank",
",",
"which",
"previously",
"said",
"it",
"was",
"for",
"sale",
",",
"said",
"it",
"has",
"received",
"no",
"offers",
"and",
"that",
"its",
"board",
"will",
"review",
"whether",
"to",
"continue",
"soliciting",
"bids",
"."
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[
"Wall",
"Street",
"Journal",
"reporters",
"called",
"companies",
"with",
"headquarters",
"or",
"facilities",
"in",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"in",
"a",
"bid",
"to",
"assess",
"the",
"damage",
"to",
"their",
"operations",
"caused",
"by",
"Tuesday",
"'s",
"earthquake",
".",
"The",
"calls",
"reached",
"many",
",",
"but",
"certainly",
"not",
"all",
",",
"of",
"the",
"publicly",
"held",
"companies",
"with",
"operations",
"in",
"the",
"area",
".",
"In",
"most",
"cases",
"damage",
"to",
"company",
"facilities",
"and",
"operations",
"was",
"minimal",
".",
"ADIA",
"SERVICES",
"INC.",
",",
"Menlo",
"Park",
",",
"temporary",
"personnel",
"agency",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"504",
"million",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"said",
"all",
"30",
"offices",
"in",
"Bay",
"area",
"were",
"working",
",",
"but",
"in",
"various",
"states",
"of",
"disarray",
".",
"Business",
"was",
"slow",
"because",
"many",
"companies",
"were",
"closed",
"yesterday",
".",
"ADVANCED",
"MICRO",
"DEVICES",
"INC.",
",",
"Sunnyvale",
",",
"integrated",
"circuit",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"1.12",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"only",
"minor",
"structural",
"damage",
".",
"Most",
"of",
"its",
"4,500",
"workers",
"were",
"at",
"work",
"yesterday",
",",
"and",
"no",
"production",
"slowdown",
"was",
"anticipated",
"as",
"long",
"as",
"electricity",
"remains",
"available",
".",
"AMDAHL",
"CORP.",
",",
"Sunnyvale",
",",
"computer",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"1.8",
"billion",
",",
"Amex",
",",
"was",
"closed",
"yesterday",
"and",
"no",
"damage",
"estimates",
"were",
"available",
".",
"AMERICAN",
"BUILDING",
"MAINTENANCE",
"INDUSTRIES",
"Inc.",
",",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"provider",
"of",
"maintenance",
"services",
",",
"annual",
"revenue",
"of",
"$",
"582",
"million",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"some",
"damage",
"to",
"headquarters",
"and",
"lost",
"phone",
"service",
",",
"but",
"operations",
"were",
"moved",
"to",
"a",
"branch",
"office",
"and",
"are",
"running",
"smoothly",
"thanks",
"to",
"a",
"decentralized",
"computer",
"system",
"the",
"company",
"had",
"developed",
"before",
"the",
"quake",
".",
"AMERICAN",
"PRESIDENT",
"COS.",
",",
"Oakland",
",",
"shipping",
"concern",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"2.2",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"little",
"damage",
"to",
"the",
"cranes",
",",
"dock",
"or",
"rail",
"track",
"at",
"its",
"container-ship",
"facility",
"near",
"the",
"collapsed",
"Route",
"880",
"overpass",
".",
"The",
"company",
"expects",
"to",
"work",
"a",
"ship",
"due",
"in",
"today",
"with",
"minimal",
"delays",
",",
"despite",
"sporadic",
"power",
".",
"ANACOMP",
"INC.",
",",
"Indianapolis",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"its",
"Xidex",
"Corp.",
"unit",
",",
"a",
"Sunnyvale",
"maker",
"of",
"computer",
"disks",
"and",
"microfilm",
"with",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"637",
"million",
",",
"had",
"only",
"minor",
"damage",
"and",
"is",
"fully",
"operational",
".",
"ANTHEM",
"ELECTRONICS",
"INC.",
",",
"San",
"Jose",
",",
"distributor",
"of",
"electronic",
"parts",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"about",
"$",
"300",
"million",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"sustained",
"very",
"little",
"damage",
",",
"anticipated",
"being",
"``",
"in",
"100",
"%",
"operating",
"condition",
"''",
"by",
"midday",
".",
"APPLE",
"COMPUTER",
"CO.",
",",
"Cupertino",
",",
"computer",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"4.07",
"billion",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"sustained",
"some",
"structural",
"damage",
".",
"Offices",
"were",
"closed",
"yesterday",
".",
"APPLIED",
"MATERIALS",
"INC.",
",",
"Santa",
"Clara",
",",
"maker",
"of",
"computer-chip",
"machine",
"systems",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"490",
"million",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"had",
"slight",
"damage",
"to",
"headquarters",
",",
"no",
"damage",
"to",
"manufacturing",
"plants",
".",
"Company",
",",
"with",
"1,750",
"workers",
"in",
"area",
",",
"is",
"fully",
"functional",
".",
"ATARI",
"CORP.",
",",
"Sunnyvale",
",",
"maker",
"of",
"personal",
"computers",
"and",
"software",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"700",
"million",
",",
"Amex",
",",
"had",
"minor",
"damage",
"and",
"expects",
"to",
"be",
"fully",
"operational",
"by",
"tomorrow",
".",
"BANKAMERICA",
"Corp.",
",",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"bank",
"holding",
"company",
",",
"annual",
"revenue",
"of",
"$",
"10.2",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"yesterday",
"had",
"no",
"power",
"at",
"its",
"headquarters",
",",
"80",
"of",
"its",
"433",
"Northern",
"California",
"branches",
"were",
"closed",
"and",
"250",
"of",
"750",
"automatic",
"teller",
"machines",
"were",
"closed",
"in",
"the",
"area",
".",
"Securities",
"trading",
"was",
"conducted",
"in",
"a",
"backup",
"facility",
"in",
"Concord",
".",
"BECHTEL",
"CORP.",
",",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"engineering",
"and",
"construction",
"concern",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"4",
"billion",
",",
"had",
"only",
"minor",
"structural",
"damage",
"at",
"its",
"three",
"buildings",
"in",
"the",
"city",
",",
"but",
"its",
"computers",
"were",
"knocked",
"out",
".",
"Backup",
"computer",
"tapes",
"were",
"hand-carried",
"to",
"an",
"IBM",
"office",
"in",
"Philadelphia",
",",
"and",
"the",
"company",
"expects",
"its",
"mainframe",
"to",
"be",
"up",
"in",
"a",
"few",
"days",
".",
"Workers",
",",
"except",
"for",
"senior",
"management",
",",
"were",
"asked",
"not",
"to",
"report",
"for",
"work",
"yesterday",
".",
"BIO-RAD",
"LABORATORIES",
"INC.",
",",
"Hercules",
",",
"biological",
"research",
"and",
"clinical-products",
"leader",
",",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"in",
"annual",
"sales",
",",
"Amex",
",",
"said",
"its",
"Richmond",
"warehouse",
"north",
"of",
"San",
"Francisco",
"was",
"closed",
"because",
"of",
"debris",
"and",
"fallen",
"shelves",
".",
"It",
"expects",
"to",
"be",
"fully",
"operational",
"by",
"next",
"week",
".",
"BORLAND",
"INTERNATIONAL",
",",
"Scotts",
"Valley",
",",
"personal",
"computer",
"and",
"software",
"designer",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"72",
"million",
",",
"had",
"heavy",
"damage",
"to",
"its",
"headquarters",
"and",
"was",
"conducting",
"business",
"from",
"its",
"parking",
"lot",
".",
"The",
"company",
"does",
"n't",
"expect",
"any",
"shipping",
"delays",
".",
"BUSINESSLAND",
"INC.",
",",
"San",
"Jose",
",",
"computer",
"retail",
"company",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"1.1",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"all",
"16",
"corporate",
"office",
"and",
"stores",
"in",
"the",
"area",
"were",
"open",
"with",
"the",
"exception",
"of",
"a",
"retail",
"center",
"in",
"San",
"Francisco",
"'s",
"business",
"district",
".",
"That",
"facility",
"should",
"reopen",
"today",
".",
"CARTER",
"HAWLEY",
"HALE",
"STORES",
"Inc.",
",",
"Los",
"Angeles",
",",
"retailer",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"2.79",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"nine",
"of",
"its",
"22",
"Emporium",
"stores",
"in",
"the",
"area",
"were",
"closed",
"because",
"of",
"water",
"damage",
",",
"broken",
"windows",
"and",
"fallen",
"displays",
".",
"A",
"spokesman",
"said",
"sales",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"be",
"hurt",
",",
"but",
"the",
"losses",
"are",
"covered",
"by",
"insurance",
".",
"CHEVRON",
"CORP.",
",",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"oil",
"company",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"25.2",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"minor",
"damage",
"to",
"downtown",
"headquarters",
",",
"but",
"structural",
"damage",
"closed",
"two",
"of",
"its",
"seven",
"buildings",
"in",
"San",
"Ramone",
"industrial",
"park",
".",
"Company",
"expects",
"to",
"be",
"fully",
"operational",
"by",
"next",
"week",
".",
"CLOROX",
"Co.",
",",
"Oakland",
",",
"consumer",
"products",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"1.36",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"was",
"closed",
"yesterday",
"but",
"plans",
"to",
"reopen",
"today",
"or",
"tomorrow",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"orders",
"are",
"being",
"routed",
"through",
"Kingsford",
"Products",
"unit",
"in",
"Louisville",
",",
"Ky.",
",",
"but",
"computer",
"problems",
"mean",
"they",
"must",
"be",
"processed",
"manually",
".",
"Expects",
"to",
"be",
"fully",
"operational",
"early",
"next",
"week",
".",
"COHERENT",
"INC.",
",",
"Palo",
"Alto",
",",
"laser",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"159",
"million",
",",
"was",
"closed",
"yesterday",
"but",
"expects",
"to",
"reopen",
"today",
".",
"CONSOLIDATED",
"FREIGHTWAYS",
"INC.",
",",
"Menlo",
"Park",
",",
"trucking",
"company",
",",
"$",
"2.69",
"billion",
"in",
"annual",
"sales",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"structural",
"damage",
"to",
"CF",
"Motor",
"Freight",
"subsidiary",
"'s",
"office",
"in",
"Palo",
"Alto",
",",
"no",
"damage",
"in",
"Menlo",
"Park",
".",
"COOPER",
"COMPANIES",
"INC.",
",",
"Palo",
"Alto",
",",
"medical",
"products",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"628",
"million",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"little",
"damage",
"and",
"was",
"in",
"full",
"operation",
"yesterday",
".",
"DAYTON",
"HUDSON",
"CORP.",
",",
"Minneapolis",
",",
"retailer",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"12.2",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"closed",
"seven",
"of",
"its",
"13",
"Bay-area",
"Target",
"discount",
"stores",
"and",
"nine",
"of",
"its",
"20",
"Mervyn",
"'s",
"department",
"stores",
"because",
"of",
"pending",
"reviews",
"by",
"structural",
"engineers",
"or",
"requests",
"from",
"authorities",
",",
"who",
"were",
"trying",
"to",
"keep",
"shoppers",
"off",
"the",
"freeways",
".",
"The",
"company",
"expects",
"to",
"reopen",
"three",
"Target",
"stores",
"and",
"all",
"but",
"two",
"Mervyn",
"'s",
"today",
"or",
"tomorrow",
".",
"DIASONICS",
"INC.",
",",
"South",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"maker",
"of",
"magnetic",
"resonance",
"imaging",
"equipment",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"281",
"million",
",",
"Amex",
",",
"had",
"minor",
"damage",
",",
"mostly",
"in",
"a",
"stockroom",
".",
"The",
"company",
"plans",
"to",
"be",
"fully",
"operational",
"today",
".",
"DIGITAL",
"EQUIPMENT",
"CORP.",
",",
"Maynard",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"computer",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"12.7",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"structural",
"damage",
"at",
"its",
"San",
"Francisco",
"sales",
"office",
"but",
"no",
"appreciable",
"damage",
"elsewhere",
"in",
"the",
"area",
",",
"including",
"its",
"Cupertino",
"plant",
".",
"DREYER'S",
"GRAND",
"ICE",
"CREAM",
"INC.",
",",
"Oakland",
",",
"ice",
"cream",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"225",
"million",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"said",
"it",
"is",
"delivering",
"ice",
"cream",
"wherever",
"roads",
"are",
"passable",
".",
"EVEREX",
"SYSTEMS",
"INC.",
",",
"Fremont",
",",
"maker",
"of",
"personal",
"computers",
"and",
"peripherals",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"377",
"million",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"had",
"minor",
"damage",
"and",
"was",
"almost",
"fully",
"operational",
"yesterday",
".",
"EXXON",
"Corp.",
",",
"New",
"York",
",",
"oil",
"company",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"its",
"refinery",
"northeast",
"of",
"San",
"Francisco",
"was",
"operating",
"at",
"a",
"slightly",
"reduced",
"rate",
"as",
"a",
"precaution",
"in",
"case",
"of",
"aftershocks",
".",
"FORD",
"MOTOR",
"CO.",
",",
"Dearborn",
",",
"Mich.",
",",
"auto",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"92.4",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"its",
"three",
"Ford",
"Aerospace",
"unit",
"facilities",
"in",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
",",
"including",
"a",
"satellite-assembly",
"operation",
"in",
"Palo",
"Alto",
",",
"had",
"no",
"major",
"damage",
".",
"GAP",
"Inc.",
",",
"San",
"Bruno",
",",
"clothing",
"retailer",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"1.25",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"expects",
"most",
"of",
"its",
"stores",
"to",
"return",
"to",
"full",
"operation",
"and",
"all",
"2,500",
"of",
"its",
"Bay-area",
"workers",
"to",
"be",
"back",
"at",
"work",
"by",
"today",
".",
"GENENTECH",
"INC.",
",",
"South",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"biotechnology",
"company",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"334.8",
"million",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"sustained",
"no",
"major",
"damage",
"and",
"expects",
"to",
"be",
"fully",
"operational",
"today",
".",
"GENERAL",
"ELECTRIC",
"CO.",
",",
"Fairfield",
",",
"Conn.",
",",
"consumer",
",",
"industrial",
"products",
"and",
"broadcasting",
"concern",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"50",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"its",
"GE",
"Nuclear",
"Energy",
"unit",
",",
"with",
"1,600",
"Bay-area",
"employees",
",",
"had",
"only",
"minor",
"damage",
"at",
"its",
"San",
"Jose",
"headquarters",
".",
"Business",
"was",
"n't",
"disrupted",
".",
"GENERAL",
"MOTORS",
"CORP.",
",",
"Detroit",
",",
"auto",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"123.6",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"sustained",
"about",
"10",
"injuries",
"to",
"workers",
"and",
"some",
"ruptured",
"water",
"mains",
"at",
"its",
"New",
"United",
"Motor",
"Manufacturing",
"Inc.",
"facility",
"in",
"Fremont",
",",
"a",
"joint",
"venture",
"with",
"Toyota",
"Motor",
"Corp",
".",
"There",
"was",
"limited",
"production",
"of",
"some",
"models",
"yesterday",
",",
"but",
"it",
"was",
"n't",
"clear",
"when",
"the",
"normal",
"750-car-a-day",
"pace",
"will",
"resume",
".",
"Plant",
"officials",
"are",
"still",
"assessing",
"damage",
"to",
"parts",
"suppliers",
"and",
"Port",
"of",
"Oakland",
"facilities",
"that",
"handle",
"shipments",
"to",
"the",
"plant",
".",
"GOLDEN",
"WEST",
"FINANCIAL",
"CORP.",
",",
"Oakland",
",",
"savings",
"and",
"loan",
",",
"annual",
"revenue",
"of",
"$",
"1.4",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"only",
"minor",
"damage",
"to",
"a",
"few",
"branches",
"and",
"no",
"injured",
"employees",
".",
"HEWLETT-PACKARD",
"Co.",
",",
"Palo",
"Alto",
",",
"personal",
"computer",
"and",
"electronic",
"equipment",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"9.8",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"there",
"will",
"be",
"a",
"``",
"minimal",
"suspension",
"''",
"of",
"manufacturing",
"for",
"an",
"undefined",
"period",
".",
"The",
"computer",
"system",
"was",
"operating",
",",
"so",
"orders",
"could",
"be",
"taken",
".",
"The",
"company",
"has",
"18,000",
"employees",
"and",
"more",
"than",
"70",
"buildings",
"in",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
".",
"One",
"building",
"in",
"Palo",
"Alto",
"may",
"be",
"damaged",
"beyond",
"repair",
".",
"Others",
"had",
"lesser",
"damage",
"and",
"there",
"were",
"no",
"injuries",
"among",
"workers",
".",
"Damage",
"will",
"be",
"``",
"easily",
"in",
"the",
"millions",
",",
"''",
"the",
"company",
"said",
".",
"HEXCEL",
"Corp.",
",",
"Dublin",
",",
"manufacturer",
"of",
"engineered",
"parts",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"399",
"million",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"little",
"damage",
"beyond",
"some",
"phone",
"trouble",
".",
"HOMESTAKE",
"MINING",
"CO.",
",",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"gold",
"and",
"general",
"miner",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"432.6",
"million",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"its",
"headquarters",
"was",
"closed",
"yesterday",
"because",
"of",
"power",
"failures",
"and",
"lack",
"of",
"water",
",",
"but",
"that",
"it",
"may",
"reopen",
"today",
".",
"It",
"expects",
"any",
"impact",
"on",
"its",
"business",
"to",
"be",
"slight",
".",
"HOMESTEAD",
"FINANCIAL",
"CORP.",
",",
"Millbrae",
",",
"financial",
"services",
"concern",
",",
"annual",
"revenue",
"of",
"$",
"562",
"million",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"said",
"three",
"of",
"its",
"17",
"Bay-area",
"branches",
"were",
"closed",
"yesterday",
".",
"The",
"company",
"expects",
"all",
"branches",
"to",
"reopen",
"today",
".",
"INMAC",
"CORP.",
",",
"Santa",
"Clara",
",",
"maker",
"of",
"computer",
"accessories",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"250",
"million",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"said",
"telephones",
"were",
"out",
"at",
"its",
"headquarters",
"but",
"service",
"should",
"be",
"restored",
"by",
"today",
".",
"The",
"company",
"said",
"it",
"was",
"doing",
"a",
"brisk",
"business",
"in",
"computer",
"power-surge",
"protectors",
",",
"cables",
"and",
"uninterruptable",
"power",
"sources",
".",
"INTEL",
"Corp.",
",",
"Santa",
"Clara",
",",
"semiconductor",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"2.87",
"billion",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"had",
"some",
"damage",
"and",
"few",
"people",
"were",
"at",
"work",
"yesterday",
".",
"INTERNATIONAL",
"BUSINESS",
"MACHINES",
"Corp",
",",
"Armonk",
",",
"N.Y.",
",",
"maker",
"of",
"business",
"machines",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"flooding",
"caused",
"by",
"broken",
"water",
"pipes",
"closed",
"its",
"San",
"Jose",
"plant",
",",
"which",
"makes",
"high-end",
"data-storage",
"devices",
".",
"The",
"plant",
"and",
"its",
"8,500",
"employees",
"gradually",
"will",
"resume",
"operations",
"over",
"the",
"next",
"several",
"days",
",",
"the",
"company",
"said",
".",
"Also",
"closed",
"yesterday",
"were",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"Santa",
"Teresa",
"software-development",
"lab",
"and",
"the",
"Almaden",
"research",
"center",
".",
"The",
"concern",
"'s",
"National",
"Service",
"Division",
"opened",
"a",
"center",
"for",
"emergency",
"service",
"in",
"Walnut",
"Creek",
"as",
"part",
"of",
"its",
"disaster-recovery",
"plan",
".",
"KAISER",
"ALUMINUM",
"&",
"CHEMICAL",
",",
"Oakland",
",",
"metal",
"and",
"chemical",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"2.22",
"billion",
",",
"had",
"slight",
"structural",
"damage",
"to",
"its",
"28-story",
"headquarters",
"building",
"and",
"employees",
"stayed",
"home",
"yesterday",
"to",
"allow",
"crews",
"to",
"clean",
"up",
".",
"LOCKHEED",
"CORP.",
",",
"Calabasas",
",",
"aerospace",
"and",
"defense",
"concern",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"10.59",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"its",
"Lockheed",
"Missiles",
"&",
"Space",
"division",
"closed",
"its",
"Santa",
"Cruz",
"test",
"facility",
"because",
"of",
"power",
"outages",
"and",
"landslides",
".",
"The",
"closing",
",",
"affecting",
"266",
"employees",
",",
"will",
"continue",
"at",
"least",
"until",
"roads",
"are",
"cleared",
".",
"It",
"was",
"n't",
"known",
"to",
"what",
"extent",
",",
"if",
"any",
",",
"the",
"facility",
"was",
"damaged",
".",
"It",
"also",
"was",
"n't",
"known",
"what",
"the",
"impact",
"will",
"be",
"on",
"the",
"division",
"'s",
"work",
",",
"which",
"includes",
"the",
"Navy",
"'s",
"Trident",
"submarine-based",
"missile",
"program",
"and",
"the",
"Air",
"Force",
"'s",
"Strategic",
"Defense",
"Initiative",
".",
"The",
"division",
"had",
"only",
"minor",
"damage",
"at",
"its",
"Sunnyvale",
"headquarters",
"and",
"plant",
"in",
"Palo",
"Altos",
",",
"and",
"no",
"delays",
"in",
"deliveries",
"are",
"expected",
".",
"LONGS",
"DRUG",
"STORES",
"INC.",
",",
"Walnut",
"Creek",
",",
"drugstore",
"chain",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"1.9",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"only",
"minor",
"damage",
"and",
"only",
"four",
"of",
"its",
"75",
"Bay-area",
"stores",
",",
"all",
"in",
"the",
"Santa",
"Cruz",
"area",
",",
"were",
"closed",
".",
"All",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"reopen",
"soon",
".",
"LSI",
"LOGIC",
"CORP.",
",",
"Milpitas",
",",
"maker",
"of",
"customized",
"integrated",
"circuits",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"550",
"million",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"has",
"halted",
"manufacturing",
"at",
"its",
"three",
"plants",
"in",
"the",
"area",
"while",
"they",
"are",
"inspected",
"for",
"structural",
"damage",
".",
"The",
"company",
"expects",
"to",
"resume",
"full",
"operations",
"by",
"today",
".",
"R.H.",
"MACY",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"New",
"York",
",",
"retailer",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"7",
"billion",
",",
"said",
"there",
"was",
"minor",
"damage",
"to",
"its",
"24",
"Macy",
"stores",
"and",
"nine",
"I.",
"Magnin",
"stores",
"in",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
".",
"MEASUREX",
"CORP.",
",",
"Cupertino",
",",
"maker",
"of",
"computer",
"integrated",
"manufacturing",
"processes",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"265",
"million",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"had",
"only",
"minor",
"damage",
"but",
"workers",
"spent",
"most",
"of",
"yesterday",
"cleaning",
"up",
".",
"NATIONAL",
"SEMICONDUCTOR",
"CORP.",
",",
"Santa",
"Clara",
",",
"semiconductor",
"maker",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"1.65",
"billion",
",",
"NYSE",
",",
"said",
"it",
"had",
"no",
"major",
"structural",
"damage",
"at",
"its",
"30",
"Bay-area",
"buildings",
",",
"but",
"two",
"workers",
"were",
"injured",
".",
"Production",
"resumed",
"yesterday",
".",
"Piping",
"in",
"a",
"waste-treatment",
"plant",
"needed",
"immediate",
"repairs",
".",
"NORDSTROM",
"INC.",
",",
"Seattle",
",",
"retailer",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"$",
"2.33",
"billion",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"five",
"of",
"this",
"59-store",
"chain",
"'s",
"nine",
"stores",
"in",
"the",
"Bay",
"Area",
"were",
"closed",
"yesterday",
",",
"damage",
"appears",
"primarily",
"cosmetic",
",",
"hopes",
"to",
"reopen",
"four",
"of",
"the",
"stores",
"by",
"today",
"and",
"the",
"fifth",
"by",
"Saturday",
".",
"ORACLE",
"SYSTEMS",
"CORP.",
",",
"Belmont",
",",
"provider",
"of",
"computer",
"programming",
"and",
"software",
"services",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"$",
"584",
"million",
",",
"four",
"of",
"12",
"offices",
"and",
"buildings",
"in",
"the",
"Belmont",
"and",
"San",
"Mateo",
"areas",
"were",
"closed",
",",
"95",
"%",
"of",
"computer",
"and",
"telephone",
"systems",
"are",
"operating",
",",
"expects",
"to",
"be",
"back",
"to",
"full",
"operation",
"by",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"week",
".",
"PACIFIC",
"GAS",
"&",
"ELECTRIC",
"CO.",
",",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"electric",
",",
"gas",
"and",
"water",
"supplier",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"$",
"7.6",
"billion",
",",
"some",
"minor",
"damage",
"to",
"headquarters",
",",
"undetermined",
"damage",
"to",
"four",
"nearby",
"substations",
",",
"severe",
"structural",
"damage",
"to",
"a",
"major",
"power",
"plant",
"at",
"Moss",
"Landing",
",",
"extensive",
"damage",
"to",
"gas",
"lines",
"and",
"electric",
"lines",
",",
"400,000",
"residences",
"without",
"electricity",
"and",
"69,000",
"without",
"gas",
",",
"can",
"not",
"reconnect",
"electricity",
"until",
"it",
"is",
"certain",
"there",
"are",
"no",
"gas",
"leaks",
",",
"no",
"predictions",
"on",
"when",
"this",
"will",
"happen",
".",
"PACIFIC",
"TELESIS",
"GROUP",
",",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"telecommunications",
"holding",
"company",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"9.5",
"billion",
",",
"no",
"damage",
"to",
"headquarters",
",",
"but",
"no",
"power",
",",
"the",
"power",
"failure",
"has",
"caused",
"a",
"delay",
"in",
"the",
"release",
"of",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"earnings",
"report",
",",
"major",
"concern",
"is",
"subsidiaries",
",",
"Pacific",
"Bell",
"and",
"Pacific",
"Telesis",
"Cellular",
",",
"both",
"of",
"which",
"sustained",
"damage",
"to",
"buildings",
",",
"structural",
"damage",
"to",
"several",
"cellular",
"sites",
"in",
"Santa",
"Cruz",
",",
"volume",
"of",
"calls",
"on",
"cellular",
"phones",
"10",
"times",
"the",
"usual",
",",
"causing",
"a",
"big",
"slowdown",
".",
"PROCTER",
"&",
"GAMBLE",
"CO.",
",",
"Cincinnati-based",
"company",
"'s",
"Folgers",
"Coffee",
"plant",
"in",
"South",
"San",
"Francisco",
"was",
"closed",
"following",
"the",
"earthquake",
",",
"no",
"injuries",
"or",
"major",
"damage",
",",
"other",
"plants",
"around",
"country",
"can",
"make",
"up",
"for",
"any",
"lost",
"production",
".",
"QUANTUM",
"CORP.",
",",
"Milpitas",
",",
"manufactures",
"rigid",
"disc",
"drives",
"for",
"small",
"business",
"computers",
",",
"word",
"processors",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"$",
"120.8",
"million",
",",
"OTC",
",",
"open",
"for",
"business",
",",
"minor",
"structural",
"damage",
".",
"RAYCHEM",
"CORP.",
",",
"Menlo",
"Park",
",",
"plastics",
"manufacturer",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"$",
"1",
"billion",
",",
"no",
"major",
"damage",
"and",
"no",
"production",
"slowdown",
"is",
"anticipated",
".",
"ROSS",
"STORES",
"INC.",
",",
"Newark",
",",
"discount",
"apparel",
"chain",
",",
"annual",
"sales",
"$",
"576",
"million",
",",
"two",
"of",
"28",
"stores",
"in",
"Bay",
"Area",
"closed",
",",
"both",
"could",
"open",
"as",
"early",
"as",
"today",
".",
"SAFEWAY",
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",",
"Oakland",
",",
"retail",
"food",
"chain",
",",
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"13.6",
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",",
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";",
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";",
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".",
"CHARLES",
"SCHWAB",
"&",
"CO.",
",",
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",",
"discount",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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"EDT",
".",
"SEAGATE",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
"OTC",
",",
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".",
"SOUTHERN",
"PACIFIC",
"TRANSPORTATION",
"CO.",
",",
"San",
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",",
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",",
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"2.41",
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",",
"had",
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",",
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".",
"St.",
"Louis",
"Southwestern",
"Railway",
"Co.",
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"halted",
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"Jose",
".",
"SUN",
"MICROSYSTEMS",
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",",
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"View",
",",
"maker",
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",",
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"1.77",
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",",
"OTC",
",",
"no",
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"little",
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".",
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".",
"TANDEM",
"COMPUTERS",
"INC.",
",",
"Cupertino",
",",
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",",
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"1.6",
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",",
"NYSE",
",",
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".",
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",",
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".",
"TRANSAMERICA",
"CORP.",
",",
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",",
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"insurance",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"VARIAN",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"VLSI",
"TECHNOLOGY",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"171.9",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"WATKINS-JOHNSON",
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",",
"defense-oriented",
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",",
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"292",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"WELLS",
"FARGO",
"&",
"CO.",
",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"3COM",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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[
"Program",
"trading",
"is",
"``",
"a",
"racket",
",",
"''",
"complains",
"Edward",
"Egnuss",
",",
"a",
"White",
"Plains",
",",
"N.Y.",
",",
"investor",
"and",
"electronics",
"sales",
"executive",
",",
"``",
"and",
"it",
"'s",
"not",
"to",
"the",
"benefit",
"of",
"the",
"small",
"investor",
",",
"that",
"'s",
"for",
"sure",
".",
"''",
"But",
"although",
"he",
"thinks",
"that",
"it",
"is",
"hurting",
"him",
",",
"he",
"doubts",
"it",
"could",
"be",
"stopped",
".",
"Mr.",
"Egnuss",
"'s",
"dislike",
"of",
"program",
"trading",
"is",
"echoed",
"by",
"many",
"small",
"investors",
"interviewed",
"by",
"Wall",
"Street",
"Journal",
"reporters",
"across",
"the",
"country",
".",
"But",
"like",
"Mr.",
"Egnuss",
",",
"few",
"expect",
"it",
"to",
"be",
"halted",
"entirely",
",",
"and",
"a",
"surprising",
"number",
"doubt",
"it",
"should",
"be",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"program",
"trading",
"is",
"basically",
"unfair",
"to",
"the",
"individual",
"investor",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Leo",
"Fields",
",",
"a",
"Dallas",
"investor",
".",
"He",
"notes",
"that",
"program",
"traders",
"have",
"a",
"commission",
"cost",
"advantage",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"quantity",
"of",
"their",
"trades",
",",
"that",
"they",
"have",
"a",
"smaller",
"margin",
"requirement",
"than",
"individual",
"investors",
"do",
"and",
"that",
"they",
"often",
"can",
"figure",
"out",
"earlier",
"where",
"the",
"market",
"is",
"heading",
".",
"But",
"he",
"blames",
"program",
"trading",
"for",
"only",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"volatility",
".",
"He",
"also",
"considers",
"the",
"market",
"overvalued",
"and",
"cites",
"the",
"troubles",
"in",
"junk",
"bonds",
".",
"He",
"adds",
":",
"``",
"The",
"market",
"may",
"be",
"giving",
"us",
"another",
"message",
",",
"that",
"a",
"recession",
"is",
"looming",
".",
"''",
"Or",
",",
"as",
"Dorothy",
"Arighi",
",",
"an",
"interior",
"decorator",
"in",
"Arnold",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"puts",
"it",
":",
"``",
"All",
"kinds",
"of",
"funny",
"things",
"spook",
"the",
"market",
"these",
"days",
".",
"''",
"But",
"she",
"believes",
"that",
"``",
"program",
"trading",
"creates",
"deviant",
"swings",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"not",
"a",
"sound",
"thing",
";",
"there",
"'s",
"no",
"inherent",
"virtue",
"in",
"it",
".",
"''",
"She",
"adds",
"that",
"legislation",
"curbing",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"``",
"a",
"darned",
"good",
"idea",
".",
"''",
"At",
"the",
"Charles",
"Schwab",
"&",
"Co.",
"office",
"in",
"Atlanta",
"'s",
"Buckhead",
"district",
",",
"a",
"group",
"of",
"investors",
"voices",
"skepticism",
"that",
"federal",
"officials",
"would",
"curb",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Citing",
"the",
"October",
"1987",
"crash",
",",
"Glenn",
"Miller",
"says",
",",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"like",
"the",
"last",
"crash",
"--",
"they",
"threatened",
",",
"but",
"no",
"one",
"did",
"anything",
".",
"''",
"A.",
"Donald",
"Anderson",
",",
"a",
"59-year-old",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"investor",
"who",
"says",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"'s",
"``",
"fluctuations",
"and",
"gyrations",
"give",
"me",
"the",
"heebie-jeebies",
",",
"''",
"does",
"n't",
"see",
"much",
"point",
"in",
"outlawing",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Those",
"who",
"still",
"want",
"to",
"do",
"it",
"``",
"will",
"just",
"find",
"some",
"way",
"to",
"get",
"around",
"''",
"any",
"attempt",
"to",
"curb",
"it",
".",
"Similarly",
",",
"Rick",
"Wamre",
",",
"a",
"31-year-old",
"asset",
"manager",
"for",
"a",
"Dallas",
"real-estate",
"firm",
",",
"would",
"like",
"to",
"see",
"program",
"trading",
"disappear",
"because",
"``",
"I",
"ca",
"n't",
"see",
"that",
"it",
"does",
"anything",
"for",
"the",
"market",
"or",
"the",
"country",
".",
"''",
"Yet",
"he",
"is",
"n't",
"in",
"favor",
"of",
"new",
"legislation",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"we",
"'ve",
"got",
"enough",
"securities",
"laws",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'d",
"much",
"rather",
"see",
"them",
"dealing",
"with",
"interest",
"rates",
"and",
"the",
"deficit",
".",
"''",
"Peter",
"Anthony",
",",
"who",
"runs",
"an",
"employment",
"agency",
"in",
"New",
"York",
",",
"decries",
"program",
"trading",
"as",
"``",
"limiting",
"the",
"game",
"to",
"a",
"few",
",",
"''",
"but",
"he",
"also",
"is",
"n't",
"sure",
"it",
"should",
"be",
"more",
"strictly",
"regulated",
".",
"``",
"I",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"denounce",
"it",
"because",
"denouncing",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"like",
"denouncing",
"capitalism",
",",
"''",
"he",
"explains",
".",
"And",
"surprising",
"numbers",
"of",
"small",
"investors",
"seem",
"to",
"be",
"adapting",
"to",
"greater",
"stock",
"market",
"volatility",
"and",
"say",
"they",
"can",
"live",
"with",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Glenn",
"Britta",
",",
"a",
"25-year-old",
"New",
"York",
"financial",
"analyst",
"who",
"plays",
"options",
"for",
"his",
"personal",
"account",
",",
"says",
"he",
"is",
"``",
"factoring",
"''",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"volatility",
"``",
"into",
"investment",
"decisions",
".",
"''",
"He",
"adds",
"that",
"program",
"trading",
"``",
"increases",
"liquidity",
"in",
"the",
"market",
".",
"You",
"ca",
"n't",
"hold",
"back",
"technology",
".",
"''",
"And",
"the",
"practice",
"should",
"n't",
"be",
"stopped",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"because",
"``",
"even",
"big",
"players",
"are",
"n't",
"immune",
"to",
"the",
"rigors",
"of",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"''",
"Also",
"in",
"New",
"York",
",",
"Israel",
"Silverman",
",",
"an",
"insurance-company",
"lawyer",
",",
"comments",
"that",
"program",
"trading",
"``",
"increases",
"volatility",
",",
"but",
"I",
"do",
"n't",
"think",
"it",
"should",
"be",
"banned",
".",
"There",
"'s",
"no",
"culprit",
"here",
".",
"The",
"market",
"is",
"just",
"becoming",
"more",
"efficient",
".",
"''",
"Arbitraging",
"on",
"differences",
"between",
"spot",
"and",
"futures",
"prices",
"is",
"an",
"important",
"part",
"of",
"many",
"financial",
"markets",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"He",
"adds",
"that",
"his",
"shares",
"in",
"a",
"company",
"savings",
"plan",
"are",
"invested",
"in",
"a",
"mutual",
"fund",
",",
"and",
"volatility",
",",
"on",
"a",
"given",
"day",
",",
"may",
"hurt",
"the",
"fund",
".",
"But",
"``",
"I",
"'m",
"a",
"long-term",
"investor",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"were",
"a",
"short-term",
"investor",
",",
"you",
"might",
"be",
"more",
"leery",
"about",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"''",
"Jim",
"Enzor",
"of",
"Atlanta",
"defends",
"program",
"trading",
"because",
"he",
"believes",
"that",
"it",
"can",
"bring",
"the",
"market",
"back",
"up",
"after",
"a",
"plunge",
".",
"``",
"If",
"we",
"have",
"a",
"real",
"bad",
"day",
",",
"the",
"program",
"would",
"say",
",",
"`",
"Buy",
",",
"'",
"''",
"he",
"explains",
".",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"could",
"get",
"the",
"rhythm",
"of",
"the",
"program",
"trading",
",",
"you",
"could",
"take",
"advantage",
"of",
"it",
".",
"''",
"What",
"else",
"can",
"a",
"small",
"investor",
"do",
"?",
"Scott",
"Taccetta",
",",
"a",
"Chicago",
"accountant",
",",
"is",
"going",
"into",
"money-market",
"funds",
".",
"Mr.",
"Taccetta",
"says",
"he",
"had",
"just",
"recouped",
"the",
"$",
"5,000",
"he",
"lost",
"in",
"the",
"1987",
"crash",
"when",
"he",
"lost",
"more",
"money",
"last",
"Oct.",
"13",
".",
"Now",
",",
"he",
"plans",
"to",
"sell",
"all",
"his",
"stocks",
"by",
"the",
"first",
"quarter",
"of",
"1990",
".",
"In",
"October",
",",
"before",
"the",
"market",
"dropped",
",",
"Mrs.",
"Arighi",
"of",
"Arnold",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"moved",
"to",
"sell",
"the",
"``",
"speculative",
"stocks",
"''",
"in",
"her",
"family",
"trust",
"``",
"so",
"we",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"withstand",
"all",
"this",
"flim-flammery",
"''",
"caused",
"by",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"She",
"believes",
"that",
"the",
"only",
"answer",
"for",
"individuals",
"is",
"to",
"``",
"buy",
"stocks",
"that",
"'ll",
"weather",
"any",
"storm",
".",
"''",
"Lucille",
"Gorman",
",",
"an",
"84-year-old",
"Chicago",
"housewife",
",",
"has",
"become",
"amazingly",
"immune",
"to",
"stock-market",
"jolts",
".",
"Mrs.",
"Gorman",
"took",
"advantage",
"of",
"low",
"prices",
"after",
"the",
"1987",
"crash",
"to",
"buy",
"stocks",
"and",
"has",
"hunted",
"for",
"other",
"bargains",
"since",
"the",
"Oct.",
"13",
"plunge",
".",
"``",
"My",
"stocks",
"are",
"all",
"blue",
"chips",
",",
"''",
"she",
"says",
".",
"``",
"If",
"the",
"market",
"goes",
"down",
",",
"I",
"figure",
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"'s",
"paper",
"profits",
"I",
"'m",
"losing",
".",
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"the",
"other",
"hand",
",",
"if",
"it",
"goes",
"way",
"sky",
"high",
",",
"I",
"always",
"sell",
".",
"You",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"get",
"yourself",
"too",
"upset",
"about",
"these",
"things",
"."
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[
"Boeing",
"Co.",
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"it",
"is",
"discussing",
"plans",
"with",
"three",
"of",
"its",
"regular",
"Japanese",
"suppliers",
"to",
"possibly",
"help",
"build",
"a",
"larger",
"version",
"of",
"its",
"popular",
"767",
"twin-jet",
".",
"The",
"discussions",
"are",
"still",
"in",
"preliminary",
"stages",
",",
"and",
"the",
"specific",
"details",
"have",
"n't",
"been",
"worked",
"out",
"between",
"the",
"Seattle",
"aerospace",
"company",
"and",
"Kawasaki",
"Heavy",
"Industries",
"Ltd.",
",",
"Mitsubishi",
"Heavy",
"Industries",
"Ltd.",
"and",
"Fuji",
"Heavy",
"Industries",
"Ltd",
".",
"The",
"three",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"build",
"the",
"body",
"sections",
"of",
"the",
"767",
",",
"accounting",
"for",
"a",
"combined",
"15",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"aircraft",
".",
"Japanese",
"press",
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"have",
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"the",
"Japanese",
"contribution",
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"rise",
"to",
"between",
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"and",
"25",
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"the",
"new",
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".",
"If",
"Boeing",
"goes",
"ahead",
"with",
"the",
"larger",
"767",
",",
"the",
"plane",
"could",
"hit",
"the",
"market",
"in",
"the",
"mid-1990s",
"."
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[
"The",
"prices",
"of",
"corn",
"futures",
"contracts",
"jumped",
"amid",
"rumors",
"that",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"is",
"keeping",
"up",
"its",
"dizzying",
"October",
"buying",
"binge",
"of",
"U.S.",
"corn",
".",
"Those",
"rumors",
"were",
"confirmed",
"after",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"trading",
"yesterday",
"when",
"the",
"U.S.",
"Agriculture",
"Department",
"announced",
"that",
"the",
"Soviets",
"had",
"bought",
"1.2",
"million",
"metric",
"tons",
"of",
"U.S.",
"corn",
",",
"bringing",
"their",
"U.S.",
"corn",
"purchases",
"confirmed",
"so",
"far",
"this",
"month",
"to",
"about",
"five",
"million",
"metric",
"tons",
".",
"In",
"trading",
"at",
"the",
"Chicago",
"Board",
"of",
"Trade",
",",
"the",
"corn",
"contract",
"for",
"December",
"delivery",
"jumped",
"5.75",
"cents",
"a",
"bushel",
"to",
"settle",
"at",
"$",
"2.44",
"a",
"bushel",
".",
"The",
"Soviet",
"purchases",
"are",
"close",
"to",
"exceeding",
"what",
"some",
"analysts",
"had",
"expected",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"to",
"buy",
"this",
"fall",
",",
"the",
"season",
"in",
"which",
"it",
"usually",
"buys",
"much",
"of",
"the",
"corn",
"it",
"imports",
"from",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"That",
"pace",
"is",
"causing",
"some",
"analysts",
"to",
"speculate",
"that",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"might",
"soon",
"purchase",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"another",
"two",
"million",
"metric",
"tons",
".",
"One",
"sign",
"that",
"more",
"Soviet",
"purchases",
"are",
"possible",
"is",
"that",
"U.S.",
"grain",
"companies",
"yesterday",
"bought",
"an",
"unusually",
"large",
"amount",
"of",
"corn",
"futures",
"contracts",
".",
"That",
"sometimes",
"signals",
"that",
"they",
"are",
"laying",
"plans",
"to",
"export",
"corn",
".",
"By",
"some",
"estimates",
",",
"several",
"grain",
"companies",
"combined",
"bought",
"contracts",
"for",
"the",
"possession",
"of",
"roughly",
"one",
"million",
"metric",
"tons",
"of",
"corn",
".",
"By",
"buying",
"futures",
"contracts",
",",
"these",
"companies",
"attempt",
"to",
"protect",
"themselves",
"from",
"swings",
"in",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"the",
"corn",
"that",
"they",
"are",
"obligated",
"to",
"deliver",
".",
"Rumors",
"of",
"Soviet",
"interest",
"also",
"pushed",
"up",
"the",
"prices",
"of",
"soybean",
"futures",
"contracts",
".",
"Among",
"other",
"things",
",",
"the",
"Agriculture",
"Department",
"is",
"widely",
"thought",
"to",
"be",
"mulling",
"whether",
"to",
"subsidize",
"the",
"sale",
"of",
"soybean",
"oil",
"to",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
".",
"On",
"top",
"of",
"all",
"this",
",",
"corn",
"and",
"soybean",
"prices",
"rose",
"on",
"reports",
"that",
"the",
"Midwest",
"harvest",
"was",
"disrupted",
"by",
"a",
"freakishly",
"early",
"snow",
"storm",
"that",
"dumped",
"several",
"inches",
"in",
"parts",
"of",
"Indiana",
"and",
"Ohio",
".",
"The",
"harvest",
"delays",
",",
"however",
",",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"be",
"temporary",
".",
"Balmy",
"temperatures",
"are",
"forecast",
"for",
"next",
"week",
",",
"said",
"Robert",
"Lekberg",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"at",
"Farmers",
"Grain",
"&",
"Livestock",
"Corp.",
",",
"Chicago",
".",
"Many",
"farmers",
"used",
"the",
"jump",
"in",
"prices",
"to",
"sell",
"their",
"recently",
"harvested",
"crop",
"to",
"grain",
"elevator",
"companies",
".",
"The",
"heavy",
"selling",
"by",
"farmers",
"helped",
"to",
"damp",
"the",
"price",
"rally",
".",
"Wheat",
"futures",
"prices",
"rose",
"slightly",
".",
"In",
"other",
"commodity",
"markets",
"yesterday",
":",
"PRECIOUS",
"METALS",
":",
"Futures",
"prices",
"declined",
".",
"A",
"number",
"of",
"developments",
"were",
"negatively",
"interpreted",
"by",
"traders",
".",
"December",
"delivery",
"gold",
"fell",
"$",
"1.80",
"an",
"ounce",
"to",
"$",
"370.60",
".",
"December",
"silver",
"eased",
"2.7",
"cents",
"an",
"ounce",
"to",
"$",
"5.133",
".",
"January",
"platinum",
"was",
"down",
"$",
"3.60",
"an",
"ounce",
"at",
"$",
"491.10",
".",
"One",
"price-depressing",
"development",
"was",
"the",
"lower-than-expected",
"increase",
"of",
"only",
"0.2",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"consumer",
"price",
"index",
"for",
"September",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"said",
".",
"He",
"noted",
"that",
"the",
"``",
"core",
"inflation",
"rate",
",",
"''",
"which",
"excludes",
"food",
"and",
"energy",
",",
"was",
"also",
"low",
"at",
"0.2",
"%",
".",
"Other",
"news",
"that",
"weighed",
"on",
"the",
"market",
":",
"Initial",
"unemployment",
"claims",
"rose",
"by",
"62,000",
"last",
"week",
";",
"American",
"Telephone",
"&",
"Telegraph",
"Co.",
"will",
"reduce",
"its",
"managerial",
"staff",
"by",
"15,000",
"through",
"attrition",
";",
"the",
"oil",
"market",
"turned",
"weaker",
";",
"there",
"was",
"n't",
"any",
"investor",
"demand",
"for",
"bullion",
";",
"and",
"the",
"dollar",
"strengthened",
"during",
"the",
"day",
",",
"putting",
"pressure",
"on",
"gold",
".",
"Also",
",",
"the",
"analyst",
"said",
",",
"economic",
"circumstances",
"are",
"such",
"that",
"both",
"South",
"Africa",
"and",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
",",
"the",
"principal",
"gold",
"and",
"platinum",
"producers",
",",
"are",
"being",
"forced",
"to",
"continue",
"selling",
"the",
"metals",
".",
"Both",
"are",
"in",
"great",
"need",
"of",
"foreign",
"exchange",
",",
"and",
"South",
"Africa",
"is",
"also",
"under",
"pressure",
"to",
"meet",
"foreign",
"loan",
"commitments",
",",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"Putting",
"it",
"all",
"together",
",",
"we",
"have",
"a",
"negative",
"scenario",
"that",
"does",
"n't",
"look",
"like",
"it",
"will",
"improve",
"overnight",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"COPPER",
":",
"Futures",
"prices",
"recovered",
"in",
"quiet",
"trading",
".",
"The",
"December",
"contract",
"rose",
"1.50",
"cents",
"a",
"pound",
"to",
"$",
"1.2795",
".",
"That",
"contract",
"fell",
"a",
"total",
"of",
"5.75",
"cents",
"during",
"the",
"first",
"three",
"days",
"of",
"this",
"week",
",",
"mostly",
"in",
"reaction",
"to",
"last",
"Friday",
"'s",
"stock",
"market",
"plunge",
",",
"which",
"prompted",
"concern",
"that",
"it",
"might",
"signal",
"a",
"similar",
"sharp",
"slowing",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"economy",
"and",
"thus",
"reduced",
"demand",
"for",
"copper",
",",
"a",
"leading",
"industrial",
"metal",
".",
"In",
"recent",
"days",
",",
"however",
",",
"there",
"has",
"been",
"increased",
"purchasing",
"of",
"copper",
"in",
"London",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"said",
".",
"Some",
"of",
"this",
"buying",
"was",
"by",
"Japan",
",",
"which",
"has",
"had",
"its",
"supplies",
"sharply",
"reduced",
"by",
"long",
"production",
"stoppages",
"at",
"the",
"Bougainville",
"mine",
"in",
"Papua",
"New",
"Guinea",
",",
"Highland",
"Valley",
"mine",
"in",
"British",
"Columbia",
",",
"and",
"the",
"Cananea",
"mine",
"in",
"Mexico",
",",
"which",
"are",
"major",
"shippers",
"to",
"Japan",
".",
"The",
"increasing",
"likelihood",
"that",
"Cananea",
"and",
"Highland",
"Valley",
"will",
"soon",
"return",
"to",
"production",
"may",
"have",
"cut",
"some",
"of",
"that",
"purchasing",
",",
"but",
"even",
"if",
"any",
"of",
"these",
"mines",
"begin",
"operating",
"soon",
",",
"their",
"output",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"significant",
"until",
"at",
"least",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"year",
",",
"analysts",
"note",
".",
"So",
",",
"one",
"analyst",
"said",
",",
"even",
"though",
"the",
"long-term",
"production",
"problems",
"may",
"be",
"easing",
",",
"there",
"will",
"still",
"be",
"a",
"significant",
"need",
"for",
"copper",
"over",
"the",
"next",
"three",
"months",
",",
"when",
"inventories",
"will",
"remain",
"relatively",
"low",
".",
"ENERGY",
":",
"Crude",
"oil",
"prices",
"ended",
"mixed",
".",
"West",
"Texas",
"Intermediate",
"for",
"November",
"delivery",
"fell",
"14",
"cents",
"a",
"barrel",
"to",
"$",
"20.42",
".",
"But",
"so-called",
"outer",
"month",
"contracts",
"finished",
"higher",
".",
"For",
"instance",
",",
"December",
"contracts",
"for",
"WTI",
"rose",
"17",
"cents",
"to",
"$",
"20.42",
".",
"Most",
"energy",
"futures",
"opened",
"lower",
",",
"following",
"Wednesday",
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[
"A",
"few",
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",",
"I",
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"a",
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"''",
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"athletics",
"for",
"an",
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"of",
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"information",
"directors",
"and",
"others",
".",
"We",
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"concurred",
"that",
"not",
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"was",
"the",
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"sports",
"richly",
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",",
"but",
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".",
"Competition",
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"--",
"and",
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"probably",
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"--",
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"the",
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",",
"we",
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".",
"Comments",
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"reflected",
"widespread",
",",
"if",
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",",
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".",
"As",
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",",
"I",
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"a",
"man",
"who",
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"the",
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"director",
"of",
"a",
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"Ten",
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".",
"``",
"I",
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"back",
",",
"and",
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"would",
"a",
"lot",
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"counterparts",
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",",
"but",
"everybody",
"'s",
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"the",
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",",
"''",
"he",
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".",
"``",
"It",
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"like",
"the",
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"and",
"the",
"Russians",
":",
"Nobody",
"wants",
"to",
"disarm",
"first",
".",
"''",
"And",
"so",
"our",
"institutions",
"of",
"higher",
"learning",
"lurch",
"from",
"scandal",
"to",
"scandal",
"on",
"gridiron",
"and",
"basketball",
"court",
",",
"while",
"the",
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"mount",
".",
"Three",
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"books",
"make",
"the",
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"one",
"large",
"price",
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"the",
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"college-sports",
"show",
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"the",
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"that",
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"it",
".",
"They",
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":",
"``",
"A",
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"Meet",
":",
"A",
"Story",
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"Greed",
",",
"Corruption",
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"at",
"SMU",
"''",
"(",
"Macmillan",
",",
"221",
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",",
"$",
"18.95",
")",
"by",
"David",
"Whitford",
";",
"``",
"Big",
"Red",
"Confidential",
":",
"Inside",
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"(",
"Contemporary",
",",
"231",
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",",
"$",
"17.95",
")",
"by",
"Armen",
"Keteyian",
";",
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"``",
"Never",
"Too",
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"Die",
":",
"The",
"Death",
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"Len",
"Bias",
"''",
"(",
"Pantheon",
",",
"252",
"pages",
",",
"$",
"18.95",
")",
"by",
"Lewis",
"Cole",
".",
"The",
"pick",
"of",
"the",
"group",
"is",
"``",
"Payroll",
"''",
";",
"it",
"should",
"be",
"required",
"reading",
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"every",
"college",
"president",
".",
"It",
"chronicles",
"how",
",",
"over",
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",",
"Southern",
"Methodist",
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"bought",
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"in",
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"Conference",
",",
"only",
"to",
"find",
"itself",
"trapped",
"and",
"strangled",
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"the",
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"it",
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".",
"The",
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",",
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",",
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"``",
"death",
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"''",
"--",
"two",
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"without",
"football",
"--",
"for",
"repeated",
"rules",
"violations",
".",
"Given",
"current",
"headlines",
"about",
"the",
"University",
"of",
"Florida",
",",
"it",
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"the",
"last",
".",
"The",
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",",
"a",
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"a",
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",",
"Mr.",
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".",
"Mr.",
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"'s",
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"illustrated",
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"pinning",
"a",
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"a",
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"bulletin",
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"on",
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".",
"One",
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"working",
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"Mr.",
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"was",
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"generous",
"with",
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"10",
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"$",
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"bills",
"that",
"prospects",
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"``",
"Here",
"Comes",
"Santa",
"Claus",
"''",
"when",
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".",
"Paying",
"players",
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".",
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"the",
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",",
"two",
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",",
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"--",
"just",
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"everybody",
",",
"it",
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",",
"but",
"Donald",
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",",
"the",
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".",
"There",
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"a",
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"Mr.",
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",",
"having",
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",",
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"Bill",
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",",
"then",
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"(",
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"the",
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"!",
")",
"and",
"oil",
"man",
"Edwin",
"Cox",
",",
"chairman",
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".",
"``",
"You",
"stay",
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",",
"''",
"author",
"Whitford",
"quotes",
"Mr.",
"Clements",
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".",
"``",
"Go",
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"the",
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".",
"''",
"Which",
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",",
"and",
"quietly",
",",
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",",
"pleading",
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",",
"when",
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"hit",
"the",
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".",
"Mr.",
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"drew",
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",",
"and",
"on",
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".",
"Mr.",
"Keteyian",
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"do",
"most",
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"own",
"digging",
"on",
"University",
"of",
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"football",
",",
"which",
"is",
",",
"to",
"date",
",",
"high",
"and",
"dry",
"as",
"far",
"as",
"the",
"NCAA",
"is",
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".",
"Unfortunately",
",",
"he",
"gets",
"low",
"grades",
"as",
"an",
"investigative",
"reporter",
",",
"relying",
"heavily",
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"what",
"Chicago",
"'s",
"late",
"mayor",
",",
"Richard",
"J.",
"Daley",
",",
"called",
"``",
"insinuendo",
".",
"''",
"Discrepancies",
"go",
"unexplained",
"in",
"``",
"Confidential",
"''",
"(",
"one",
"ex-player",
"claims",
"he",
"received",
"$",
"4,000",
"to",
"$",
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"season",
"football",
"tickets",
"while",
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"said",
"theirs",
"brought",
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")",
",",
"and",
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",",
"like",
"who",
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"a",
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"driven",
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"tailback",
"Doug",
"Dubose",
",",
"he",
"simply",
"reprints",
"his",
"notes",
".",
"There",
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"gratuitous",
"references",
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"romantic",
"liaisons",
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"female",
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".",
"A",
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"--",
"that",
"star",
"flanker",
"Irving",
"Fryar",
"``",
"threw",
"''",
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"1984",
"Orange",
"Bowl",
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"a",
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"--",
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",",
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"more",
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"sofa",
",",
"along",
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",",
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"Dean",
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",",
"a",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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"``",
"Never",
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",",
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",",
"a",
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"."
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"obl",
"amod",
"nmod",
"acl",
"case",
"compound",
"obl",
"mark",
"xcomp",
"amod",
"amod",
"obj",
"mark",
"acl",
"det",
"obj",
"case",
"amod",
"nmod",
"case",
"det",
"nmod",
"punct"
] |
[
"West",
"Texas",
"Intermediate",
",",
"the",
"U.S.",
"benchmark",
"crude",
",",
"seemed",
"tethered",
"again",
"yesterday",
"in",
"trading",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Mercantile",
"Exchange",
".",
"Widely",
"expected",
"to",
"open",
"10",
"to",
"15",
"cents",
"a",
"barrel",
"higher",
"on",
"the",
"strength",
"of",
"statistics",
"from",
"the",
"American",
"Petroleum",
"Institute",
",",
"the",
"December",
"contract",
"managed",
"to",
"start",
"the",
"session",
"only",
"eight",
"cents",
"higher",
".",
"In",
"the",
"last",
"hour",
"of",
"the",
"trading",
"day",
",",
"December",
"contract",
"took",
"a",
"tumble",
"to",
"end",
"the",
"session",
"10",
"cents",
"lower",
"at",
"$",
"19.62",
"a",
"barrel",
".",
"And",
"now",
"that",
"the",
"price",
"has",
"fallen",
"below",
"$",
"19.65",
",",
"which",
"many",
"had",
"said",
"showed",
"considerable",
"resistance",
",",
"some",
"traders",
"and",
"analysts",
"figure",
"there",
"'s",
"little",
"to",
"stop",
"the",
"price",
"from",
"going",
"lower",
"on",
"technical",
"decisions",
".",
"With",
"no",
"petroleum-related",
"news",
"or",
"changes",
"in",
"the",
"fundamentals",
"to",
"dictate",
"price",
"moves",
",",
"``",
"technicians",
"are",
"wanting",
"to",
"sell",
"this",
"stuff",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Eric",
"Bolling",
"of",
"Edge",
"Trading",
"Corp",
".",
"``",
"And",
"short-term",
",",
"the",
"technicians",
"may",
"have",
"their",
"way",
".",
"''",
"The",
"market",
"quickly",
"discounted",
"the",
"weekly",
"inventory",
"report",
"showing",
"a",
"6.3",
"million",
"barrel",
"decrease",
"in",
"U.S.",
"crude",
"oil",
"stocks",
"as",
"the",
"legacy",
"of",
"Hurricane",
"Jerry",
".",
"That",
"storm",
"hit",
"the",
"Gulf",
"Coast",
"Oct.",
"13",
",",
"closing",
"the",
"Louisiana",
"Offshore",
"Oil",
"Port",
"for",
"a",
"time",
"and",
"preventing",
"tankers",
"from",
"unloading",
".",
"Next",
"week",
"'s",
"report",
"could",
"very",
"well",
"show",
"an",
"increase",
"in",
"crude",
"inventories",
".",
"Dismissing",
"the",
"trade",
"group",
"'s",
"numbers",
"left",
"traders",
"plenty",
"of",
"time",
"to",
"worry",
"anew",
"about",
"the",
"latest",
"reports",
"on",
"OPEC",
"production",
".",
"An",
"AP-Dow",
"Jones",
"survey",
"of",
"integrated",
"oil",
"companies",
",",
"independent",
"refiners",
",",
"and",
"oil",
"industry",
"consultants",
"indicates",
"that",
"the",
"Organization",
"of",
"Petroleum",
"Exporting",
"Countries",
"increased",
"its",
"production",
"to",
"22.2",
"million",
"barrels",
"a",
"day",
"in",
"September",
".",
"Estimates",
"suggest",
"October",
"'s",
"figure",
"may",
"be",
"even",
"higher",
".",
"That",
"level",
"of",
"production",
"is",
"n't",
"of",
"much",
"concern",
"as",
"long",
"as",
"demand",
"continues",
"strong",
",",
"analysts",
"said",
".",
"But",
"the",
"first",
"quarter",
"of",
"the",
"year",
"is",
"generally",
"the",
"weakest",
"and",
"OPEC",
"production",
"does",
"n't",
"seem",
"to",
"be",
"slackening",
"in",
"anticipation",
"of",
"that",
".",
"Also",
",",
"maintaining",
"current",
"demand",
"assumes",
"no",
"significant",
"slowdown",
"in",
"world",
"economies",
".",
"To",
"top",
"off",
"the",
"bearish",
"factors",
"affecting",
"yesterday",
"'s",
"trading",
",",
"late",
"October",
"weather",
",",
"especially",
"in",
"the",
"Northeast",
"U.S.",
",",
"continues",
"to",
"be",
"very",
"moderate",
",",
"leaving",
"heating",
"oil",
"futures",
"trading",
"lackluster",
".",
"``",
"We",
"are",
"n't",
"seeing",
"any",
"cold",
"weather",
"here",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Bolling",
"said",
"from",
"New",
"York",
".",
"In",
"other",
"commodity",
"markets",
"yesterday",
":",
"GRAINS",
"AND",
"SOYBEANS",
":",
"Soybean",
"and",
"corn",
"futures",
"prices",
"moved",
"higher",
"on",
"the",
"strength",
"of",
"buying",
"from",
"commodity",
"pool",
"managers",
"trying",
"to",
"profit",
"from",
"technical",
"price",
"trends",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"continued",
"export",
"strength",
".",
"A",
"leveling",
"off",
"of",
"farmer",
"selling",
"tied",
"to",
"the",
"harvest",
"also",
"removed",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"downward",
"pressure",
"on",
"futures",
"contract",
"prices",
".",
"Wheat",
"futures",
"prices",
"fell",
",",
"however",
",",
"at",
"least",
"partly",
"in",
"reaction",
"to",
"the",
"rumored",
"selling",
"of",
"futures",
"contracts",
"equal",
"to",
"several",
"million",
"bushels",
"of",
"wheat",
"by",
"commodity",
"speculator",
"Richard",
"Dennis",
".",
"Neither",
"Mr.",
"Dennis",
"nor",
"officials",
"of",
"his",
"Chicago",
"trading",
"company",
",",
"C&D",
"Commodities",
",",
"could",
"be",
"reached",
"for",
"comment",
".",
"As",
"for",
"corn",
"and",
"soybean",
"futures",
",",
"``",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"commission",
"house",
"buying",
"this",
"morning",
"and",
"computer-driven",
"buying",
"''",
"supported",
"prices",
"in",
"early",
"trading",
",",
"said",
"Steven",
"Freed",
",",
"a",
"futures",
"analyst",
"with",
"Dean",
"Witter",
"Reynolds",
"Inc.",
"in",
"Chicago",
".",
"Soybean",
"futures",
"for",
"November",
"delivery",
"gained",
"5.25",
"cents",
"a",
"bushel",
"to",
"close",
"at",
"$",
"5.66",
"a",
"bushel",
"on",
"the",
"Chicago",
"Board",
"of",
"Trade",
".",
"December",
"corn",
"futures",
"added",
"2.25",
"cents",
"a",
"bushel",
"to",
"close",
"at",
"$",
"2.4225",
"a",
"bushel",
"on",
"the",
"Board",
"of",
"Trade",
".",
"Announced",
"and",
"anticipated",
"purchases",
"from",
"foreign",
"countries",
"are",
"also",
"supporting",
"futures",
"prices",
".",
"``",
"Russian",
"ships",
"are",
"arriving",
"in",
"the",
"gulf",
"and",
"there",
"is",
"n't",
"enough",
"grain",
"in",
"the",
"pipeline",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Katharina",
"Zimmer",
",",
"a",
"futures",
"analyst",
"with",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"&",
"Co.",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"The",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"has",
"purchased",
"roughly",
"eight",
"million",
"tons",
"of",
"grain",
"this",
"month",
",",
"and",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"take",
"delivery",
"by",
"year",
"end",
",",
"analysts",
"said",
".",
"COTTON",
":",
"Futures",
"prices",
"rose",
"modestly",
",",
"but",
"trading",
"volume",
"was",
"n't",
"very",
"heavy",
".",
"The",
"December",
"contract",
"settled",
"at",
"73.97",
"cents",
"a",
"pound",
",",
"up",
"0.59",
"cent",
",",
"but",
"it",
"rose",
"as",
"high",
"as",
"74.20",
"cents",
".",
"Several",
"cotton",
"analysts",
"said",
"that",
"the",
"move",
"appeared",
"to",
"be",
"mostly",
"technical",
".",
"Traders",
"who",
"had",
"sold",
"contracts",
"earlier",
",",
"in",
"hopes",
"of",
"buying",
"them",
"back",
"at",
"lower",
"prices",
",",
"yesterday",
"were",
"buying",
"contracts",
"back",
"at",
"higher",
"prices",
"to",
"limit",
"their",
"losses",
".",
"Floor",
"traders",
"also",
"said",
"that",
"the",
"market",
"could",
"have",
"been",
"helped",
"by",
"rumors",
",",
"which",
"have",
"been",
"circulating",
"for",
"the",
"past",
"two",
"days",
",",
"about",
"China",
"purchasing",
"cotton",
".",
"The",
"rumor",
",",
"which",
"has",
"been",
"neither",
"confirmed",
"nor",
"denied",
",",
"has",
"China",
"buying",
"125,000",
"to",
"200,000",
"bales",
"for",
"near-term",
"delivery",
".",
"One",
"floor",
"trader",
"said",
"that",
"if",
"there",
"were",
"Chinese",
"purchases",
",",
"they",
"should",
"have",
"had",
"a",
"bigger",
"effect",
"on",
"the",
"market",
".",
"Another",
"said",
"that",
"if",
"China",
"was",
"a",
"buyer",
",",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"the",
"earliest",
"that",
"country",
"had",
"made",
"purchases",
"since",
"the",
"1979-80",
"crop",
"year",
",",
"and",
"thus",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"bullish",
"sign",
".",
"This",
"trader",
"characterized",
"the",
"recent",
"price",
"action",
"as",
"a",
"contest",
"between",
"the",
"fundamentalists",
",",
"who",
"see",
"higher",
"prices",
"ahead",
",",
"and",
"the",
"technicians",
",",
"who",
"are",
"basically",
"buying",
"cotton",
"toward",
"the",
"bottom",
"of",
"the",
"current",
"trading",
"range",
",",
"around",
"71",
"cents",
",",
"and",
"selling",
"it",
"when",
"the",
"price",
"climbs",
"more",
"than",
"74",
"cents",
".",
"This",
"trader",
"said",
"that",
"he",
"thought",
"the",
"market",
"would",
"turn",
"aggressively",
"bullish",
"from",
"a",
"technical",
"standpoint",
"if",
"the",
"December",
"contract",
"was",
"able",
"to",
"exceed",
"75.75",
"cents",
".",
"He",
"also",
"noted",
"that",
"stocks",
"on",
"Aug.",
"1",
",",
"1990",
",",
"are",
"currently",
"projected",
"at",
"3.3",
"million",
"bales",
",",
"the",
"smallest",
"end-of-season",
"supply",
"since",
"1985",
".",
"COCOA",
":",
"The",
"modest",
"sell-off",
",",
"which",
"started",
"on",
"Tuesday",
",",
"continued",
".",
"The",
"December",
"contract",
"ended",
"at",
"$",
"999",
"a",
"metric",
"ton",
",",
"down",
"$",
"15",
".",
"The",
"market",
"is",
"drifting",
",",
"at",
"least",
"partly",
",",
"because",
"of",
"a",
"lack",
"of",
"crop",
"information",
"out",
"of",
"Ghana",
"and",
"the",
"Ivory",
"Coast",
",",
"the",
"two",
"largest",
"African",
"producers",
".",
"Harry",
"Schwartz",
",",
"a",
"soft",
"commodity",
"specialist",
"for",
"Cargill",
"Investors",
"Services",
"in",
"New",
"York",
",",
"said",
"the",
"only",
"report",
"Ghana",
"has",
"issued",
"about",
"the",
"arrival",
"of",
"cocoa",
"from",
"the",
"interior",
"was",
"for",
"7,839",
"metric",
"tons",
"as",
"of",
"Oct.",
"12",
".",
"By",
"this",
"time",
"last",
"year",
",",
"he",
"noted",
",",
"arrivals",
"totaling",
"33,270",
"tons",
"had",
"been",
"announced",
".",
"A",
"similar",
"situation",
"apparently",
"exists",
"in",
"the",
"Ivory",
"Coast",
"with",
"no",
"figures",
"released",
"yet",
"this",
"year",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"55,000",
"tons",
"as",
"of",
"this",
"time",
"a",
"year",
"ago",
".",
"He",
"said",
"that",
"if",
"little",
"cocoa",
"actually",
"has",
"arrived",
"at",
"the",
"ports",
",",
"shipping",
"delays",
"could",
"result",
".",
"This",
"is",
"the",
"worry",
"that",
"probably",
"brought",
"steadiness",
"to",
"the",
"market",
"earlier",
"in",
"the",
"week",
",",
"he",
"said",
".",
"There",
"was",
"also",
"some",
"fear",
"that",
"without",
"Ivory",
"Coast",
"cocoa",
"a",
"large",
"French",
"cocoa",
"merchant",
",",
"Cie",
".",
"Financiere",
"Sucre",
"et",
"Denrees",
",",
"might",
"not",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"deliver",
"cocoa",
"against",
"the",
"contracts",
"it",
"had",
"sold",
"earlier",
"for",
"December",
"delivery",
"in",
"London",
".",
"However",
",",
"the",
"French",
"merchant",
"has",
"about",
"200,000",
"tons",
"of",
"old",
"crop",
"Ivory",
"Coast",
"cocoa",
"stored",
"in",
"the",
"Netherlands",
"from",
"an",
"agreement",
"it",
"had",
"negotiated",
"with",
"the",
"Ivory",
"Coast",
"last",
"spring",
".",
"Cargill",
"thinks",
"that",
"even",
"though",
"the",
"merchant",
"has",
"a",
"contract",
"stating",
"that",
"it",
"wo",
"n't",
"bring",
"this",
"cocoa",
"to",
"market",
"until",
"after",
"March",
"1991",
",",
"there",
"is",
"some",
"evidence",
"the",
"contract",
"has",
"been",
"modified",
".",
"This",
"modification",
",",
"apparently",
",",
"would",
"permit",
"the",
"French",
"merchant",
"to",
"deliver",
"this",
"cocoa",
",",
"if",
"necessary",
",",
"against",
"existing",
"short",
"positions",
"."
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"Computer",
"Sciences",
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"option",
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"which",
"compensation",
"has",
"n't",
"yet",
"been",
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".",
"Computer",
"Sciences",
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"will",
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"mail-processing",
"efficiency",
".",
"For",
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"March",
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",",
"Computer",
"Sciences",
"had",
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"$",
"1.3",
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"."
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[
"THE",
"SALES",
"PITCH",
"could",
"n't",
"sound",
"better",
".",
"First",
",",
"there",
"'s",
"the",
"name",
":",
"``",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
".",
"''",
"Better",
"than",
"all",
"those",
"offers",
"you",
"get",
"to",
"buy",
"securities",
"backed",
"by",
"nothing",
".",
"And",
"there",
"'s",
"more",
".",
"The",
"assets",
"backing",
"the",
"securities",
"come",
"from",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"country",
"'s",
"biggest",
"--",
"and",
"most",
"secure",
"--",
"institutions",
".",
"Most",
"earn",
"high",
"ratings",
"from",
"credit",
"agencies",
".",
"Their",
"yields",
"are",
"higher",
"than",
"those",
"of",
"U.S.",
"Treasury",
"issues",
".",
"And",
"the",
"booming",
"market",
"has",
"already",
"attracted",
"many",
"of",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"biggest",
"institutional",
"investors",
".",
"Ready",
"to",
"jump",
"?",
"Well",
",",
"think",
"twice",
".",
"The",
"concept",
"may",
"be",
"simple",
":",
"Take",
"a",
"bunch",
"of",
"loans",
",",
"tie",
"them",
"up",
"in",
"one",
"neat",
"package",
",",
"and",
"sell",
"pieces",
"of",
"the",
"package",
"to",
"investors",
".",
"But",
"the",
"simplicity",
"may",
"be",
"misleading",
".",
"Skeptics",
"say",
"the",
"slightly",
"higher",
"returns",
"are",
"n't",
"enough",
"to",
"compensate",
"for",
"the",
"extra",
"risk",
".",
"They",
"warn",
"that",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
"are",
"only",
"as",
"good",
"as",
"the",
"assets",
"and",
"credit",
"backing",
"that",
"support",
"them",
"--",
"and",
"those",
"are",
"hard",
"to",
"evaluate",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"the",
"securities",
"were",
"introduced",
"only",
"about",
"4",
"1/2",
"years",
"ago",
";",
"the",
"biggest",
"unknown",
"is",
"how",
"they",
"will",
"fare",
"in",
"a",
"recession",
".",
"``",
"A",
"lot",
"of",
"this",
"stuff",
"really",
"is",
"in",
"untested",
"waters",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Owen",
"Carney",
",",
"director",
"of",
"the",
"investment",
"securities",
"division",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"comptroller",
"of",
"the",
"currency",
".",
"``",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"know",
"how",
"this",
"whole",
"market",
"will",
"work",
"in",
"a",
"serious",
"economic",
"downturn",
".",
"''",
"Such",
"concerns",
",",
"however",
",",
"have",
"n't",
"stopped",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
"from",
"becoming",
"one",
"of",
"Wall",
"Street",
"'s",
"hottest",
"new",
"products",
".",
"Since",
"the",
"spring",
"of",
"1985",
",",
"financial",
"alchemists",
"have",
"transformed",
"a",
"wide",
"variety",
"of",
"debt",
"into",
"these",
"new",
"securities",
".",
"They",
"have",
"sold",
"issues",
"backed",
"by",
"car",
"loans",
",",
"boat",
"loans",
"and",
"recreational-vehicle",
"loans",
".",
"They",
"have",
"offered",
"bundles",
"of",
"homeequity",
"loans",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"packages",
"of",
"loans",
"used",
"to",
"buy",
"vacation",
"time-shares",
".",
"Last",
"year",
",",
"there",
"was",
"an",
"issue",
"of",
"``",
"death-backed",
"bonds",
"''",
"--",
"securities",
"backed",
"by",
"loans",
"to",
"life-insurance",
"policyholders",
".",
"Some",
"predict",
"there",
"will",
"be",
"``",
"Third",
"World",
"bonds",
",",
"''",
"backed",
"by",
"loans",
"to",
"Brazil",
",",
"Argentina",
"and",
"other",
"debt-ridden",
"nations",
".",
"And",
"the",
"biggest",
"volume",
"this",
"year",
"has",
"been",
"on",
"securities",
"backed",
"by",
"credit-card",
"receivables",
",",
"sometimes",
"known",
"as",
"``",
"plastic",
"bonds",
".",
"''",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"the",
"heyday",
"of",
"debt",
",",
"''",
"says",
"James",
"Grant",
",",
"editor",
"of",
"Grant",
"'s",
"Interest",
"Rate",
"Observer",
",",
"a",
"newsletter",
".",
"``",
"Before",
"the",
"sun",
"sets",
"on",
"the",
"'80s",
",",
"it",
"seems",
"nothing",
"will",
"be",
"left",
"unhocked",
".",
"''",
"The",
"result",
"is",
"a",
"$",
"45",
"billion",
"market",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Securities",
"Data",
"Co",
".",
"That",
"includes",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"9.5",
"billion",
"issued",
"through",
"August",
"of",
"this",
"year",
",",
"up",
"sharply",
"from",
"$",
"6.5",
"billion",
"in",
"the",
"comparable",
"1988",
"period",
"--",
"and",
"more",
"than",
"in",
"all",
"of",
"1987",
".",
"Most",
"issues",
"have",
"been",
"sold",
"to",
"professional",
"money",
"managers",
",",
"pension",
"funds",
",",
"bank",
"trust",
"departments",
"and",
"other",
"institutions",
".",
"But",
"wealthy",
"individuals",
"also",
"have",
"been",
"jumping",
"in",
",",
"and",
"lately",
"brokers",
"have",
"been",
"pushing",
"smaller",
"investors",
"into",
"the",
"asset-backed",
"market",
".",
"The",
"entry",
"fee",
"is",
"affordable",
":",
"Issues",
"typically",
"are",
"sold",
"in",
"minimum",
"denominations",
"of",
"$",
"1,000",
".",
"``",
"We",
"expect",
"additional",
"offerings",
"''",
"of",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
"targeted",
"toward",
"individual",
"investors",
",",
"says",
"Bill",
"Addiss",
",",
"a",
"senior",
"vice",
"president",
"at",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
"Hutton",
"Inc",
".",
"The",
"process",
"typically",
"begins",
"when",
"an",
"institution",
",",
"such",
"as",
"Citibank",
"or",
"Sears",
",",
"Roebuck",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"takes",
"a",
"pool",
"of",
"credit-card",
"or",
"other",
"receivables",
"and",
"sells",
"them",
"to",
"a",
"specially",
"created",
"trust",
".",
"The",
"trust",
"then",
"issues",
"securities",
"--",
"generally",
"due",
"in",
"five",
"years",
"or",
"less",
"--",
"that",
"are",
"underwritten",
"by",
"Wall",
"Street",
"brokerage",
"firms",
"and",
"offered",
"to",
"investors",
".",
"Issues",
"typically",
"come",
"with",
"``",
"credit",
"enhancements",
",",
"''",
"such",
"as",
"a",
"bank",
"letter",
"of",
"credit",
",",
"and",
"thus",
"have",
"received",
"high",
"credit",
"ratings",
".",
"Enthusiasts",
"say",
"the",
"booming",
"market",
"has",
"opened",
"up",
"a",
"valuable",
"new",
"source",
"of",
"funds",
"to",
"issuers",
",",
"while",
"providing",
"a",
"valuable",
"new",
"investment",
"for",
"individuals",
"and",
"institutions",
".",
"Asset-backed",
"securities",
"``",
"are",
"an",
"attractive",
"investment",
"compared",
"to",
"bank",
"certificates",
"of",
"deposit",
"or",
"other",
"corporate",
"bonds",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Craig",
"J.",
"Goldberg",
",",
"managing",
"director",
"and",
"head",
"of",
"the",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
"group",
"at",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"Capital",
"Markets",
".",
"But",
"skeptics",
"question",
"whether",
"asset-backed",
"bonds",
"offer",
"sufficient",
"rewards",
"to",
"compensate",
"for",
"the",
"extra",
"risks",
".",
"Consider",
"a",
"$",
"500",
"million",
"offering",
"of",
"9",
"%",
"securities",
"issued",
"last",
"spring",
"and",
"backed",
"by",
"Citibank",
"credit-card",
"receivables",
".",
"The",
"triple-A-rated",
"issue",
"offered",
"a",
"yield",
"of",
"only",
"about",
"0.5",
"percentage",
"point",
"above",
"four-year",
"Treasury",
"issues",
".",
"On",
"a",
"$",
"10,000",
"investment",
",",
"that",
"'s",
"a",
"difference",
"of",
"only",
"$",
"50",
"a",
"year",
".",
"That",
"kind",
"of",
"spread",
"can",
"be",
"critical",
"for",
"money",
"managers",
"who",
"buy",
"bonds",
"in",
"large",
"quantities",
"and",
"whose",
"livelihood",
"depends",
"on",
"outperforming",
"the",
"money",
"manager",
"across",
"the",
"street",
".",
"But",
"for",
"individuals",
"who",
"buy",
"much",
"smaller",
"amounts",
"and",
"care",
"less",
"about",
"relative",
"performance",
"than",
"in",
"preserving",
"what",
"they",
"have",
",",
"that",
"margin",
"is",
"meaningless",
".",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"'re",
"in",
"the",
"bond",
"business",
"playing",
"the",
"relative-performance",
"derby",
",",
"then",
"even",
"an",
"extra",
"25",
"basis",
"points",
"(",
"0.25",
"percentage",
"point",
")",
"becomes",
"an",
"important",
"consideration",
"on",
"a",
"career",
"basis",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Grant",
".",
"``",
"But",
"if",
"you",
"'re",
"an",
"individual",
"investing",
"money",
"and",
"trying",
"to",
"get",
"it",
"back",
"again",
",",
"then",
"that",
"is",
"n't",
"of",
"overwhelming",
"importance",
".",
"''",
"Moreover",
",",
"the",
"interest",
"on",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
"is",
"fully",
"taxable",
",",
"while",
"interest",
"on",
"Treasury",
"issues",
"is",
"tax-free",
"at",
"the",
"state",
"and",
"local",
"level",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"why",
"some",
"investment",
"managers",
",",
"such",
"as",
"Alex",
"Powers",
",",
"a",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"Chase",
"Manhattan",
"Bank",
"'s",
"private",
"banking",
"division",
",",
"do",
"n't",
"recommend",
"most",
"asset-backed",
"issues",
"for",
"individuals",
"in",
"high-tax",
"states",
",",
"such",
"as",
"New",
"York",
"or",
"California",
".",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Powers",
"has",
"purchased",
"asset-backed",
"issues",
"for",
"individuals",
"with",
"tax-deferred",
"accounts",
",",
"such",
"as",
"retirement",
"plans",
".",
"He",
"points",
"out",
"that",
"institutions",
"buying",
"asset-backed",
"issues",
"in",
"large",
"quantities",
"can",
"earn",
"higher",
"spreads",
"over",
"Treasurys",
"than",
"individuals",
"buying",
"smaller",
"amounts",
".",
"Another",
"concern",
"is",
"liquidity",
",",
"or",
"how",
"easily",
"a",
"security",
"can",
"be",
"converted",
"into",
"cash",
".",
"The",
"secondary",
",",
"or",
"resale",
",",
"market",
"for",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
"is",
"relatively",
"new",
"and",
"much",
"less",
"active",
"than",
"for",
"Treasury",
"issues",
".",
"That",
"could",
"make",
"it",
"tricky",
"for",
"investors",
"who",
"need",
"to",
"sell",
"their",
"holdings",
"quickly",
"before",
"the",
"securities",
"mature",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"particularly",
"true",
",",
"analysts",
"say",
",",
"for",
"certain",
"of",
"the",
"securities",
",",
"such",
"as",
"those",
"backed",
"by",
"time-share",
"loans",
".",
"``",
"You",
"could",
"see",
"massive",
"gyrations",
"here",
"because",
"it",
"'s",
"such",
"a",
"thinly",
"traded",
"market",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Jonathan",
"S.",
"Paris",
",",
"a",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"European",
"Investors",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"New",
"York",
"investment-management",
"firm",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"an",
"investor",
"who",
"wants",
"to",
"know",
"the",
"daily",
"value",
"of",
"Treasury",
"bonds",
",",
"or",
"corporate",
"bonds",
"traded",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
",",
"can",
"simply",
"check",
"newspaper",
"listings",
".",
"There",
"are",
"n't",
"any",
"such",
"listings",
"for",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
".",
"Evaluating",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
"poses",
"another",
"problem",
".",
"Investors",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"may",
"mistakenly",
"assume",
"that",
"the",
"bank",
"or",
"company",
"that",
"originally",
"held",
"the",
"assets",
"is",
"guaranteeing",
"the",
"securities",
".",
"It",
"is",
"n't",
".",
"The",
"front",
"cover",
"of",
"the",
"prospectus",
"for",
"the",
"Citibank",
"credit-card",
"receivables",
"offering",
"points",
"out",
"in",
"bold",
"capital",
"letters",
"that",
"the",
"certificates",
"represent",
"an",
"interest",
"only",
"in",
"the",
"specially",
"created",
"trust",
"and",
"``",
"do",
"not",
"represent",
"interests",
"in",
"or",
"obligations",
"of",
"the",
"banks",
",",
"Citibank",
"N.A.",
",",
"Citicorp",
"or",
"any",
"affiliate",
"thereof",
".",
"''",
"In",
"other",
"words",
",",
"if",
"there",
"'s",
"a",
"problem",
",",
"do",
"n't",
"expect",
"Citibank",
"to",
"come",
"to",
"the",
"rescue",
".",
"The",
"prospectus",
"also",
"notes",
"that",
"the",
"securities",
"are",
"not",
"guaranteed",
"by",
"any",
"government",
"agency",
".",
"That",
"means",
"investors",
"have",
"to",
"focus",
"on",
"the",
"quality",
"of",
"the",
"debt",
"that",
"lies",
"beneath",
"the",
"securities",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"on",
"the",
"credit",
"enhancement",
"for",
"the",
"issue",
"and",
"the",
"credit",
"ratings",
"the",
"issue",
"has",
"received",
".",
"That",
"also",
"is",
"n't",
"easy",
".",
"Take",
"the",
"``",
"credit",
"enhancements",
",",
"''",
"which",
"typically",
"include",
"a",
"bank",
"letter",
"of",
"credit",
"or",
"insurance",
"from",
"a",
"bond-insurance",
"company",
".",
"The",
"letter",
"of",
"credit",
"typically",
"is",
"not",
"offered",
"by",
"the",
"bank",
"selling",
"the",
"assets",
"to",
"back",
"the",
"securities",
".",
"Nor",
"does",
"it",
"cover",
"the",
"entire",
"portfolio",
".",
"Details",
"of",
"credit",
"enhancements",
"vary",
"widely",
"from",
"issue",
"to",
"issue",
".",
"Still",
",",
"they",
"play",
"a",
"crucial",
"role",
"in",
"winning",
"top",
"ratings",
"for",
"most",
"asset-backed",
"issues",
"--",
"which",
"in",
"turn",
"is",
"why",
"the",
"yield",
"above",
"Treasurys",
"is",
"so",
"slim",
".",
"But",
"skeptics",
"ask",
"why",
"you",
"should",
"bother",
"buying",
"this",
"stuff",
"when",
"you",
"can",
"get",
"only",
"slightly",
"lower",
"yields",
"on",
"government-guaranteed",
"paper",
".",
"When",
"you",
"buy",
"an",
"asset-backed",
"issue",
",",
"you",
"take",
"the",
"risk",
"that",
"a",
"bank",
"or",
"an",
"insurer",
"could",
"run",
"into",
"unexpected",
"difficulties",
".",
"If",
"a",
"bank",
"'s",
"credit",
"rating",
"was",
"lowered",
"because",
"of",
",",
"say",
",",
"its",
"loans",
"to",
"Third",
"World",
"nations",
",",
"that",
"could",
"also",
"affect",
"the",
"ratings",
",",
"liquidity",
"and",
"prices",
"of",
"the",
"asset-backed",
"issues",
"that",
"the",
"bank",
"supports",
".",
"Underwriters",
"insist",
"these",
"issues",
"are",
"constructed",
"to",
"withstand",
"extremely",
"tough",
"economic",
"conditions",
".",
"But",
"despite",
"the",
"credit",
"enhancements",
",",
"despite",
"the",
"high",
"ratings",
",",
"some",
"money",
"managers",
"still",
"worry",
"that",
"a",
"recession",
"could",
"wreak",
"havoc",
"on",
"the",
"underlying",
"assets",
".",
"At",
"a",
"time",
"when",
"Americans",
"are",
"leveraged",
"to",
"their",
"eyeballs",
",",
"asset-backed",
"investors",
"may",
"be",
"taking",
"a",
"heady",
"gamble",
"that",
"consumers",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"repay",
"loans",
"in",
"hard",
"times",
".",
"At",
"the",
"very",
"least",
",",
"a",
"recession",
"would",
"prompt",
"investors",
"to",
"buy",
"the",
"highest-quality",
"bonds",
"they",
"can",
"find",
"--",
"that",
"is",
",",
"Treasurys",
".",
"That",
"could",
"widen",
"the",
"yield",
"spread",
"between",
"Treasurys",
"and",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"make",
"it",
"tougher",
"to",
"unload",
"the",
"latter",
".",
"But",
"it",
"could",
"be",
"much",
"worse",
".",
"Some",
"analysts",
"are",
"especially",
"wary",
"of",
"credit-card",
"issues",
".",
"For",
"one",
"thing",
",",
"credit-card",
"loans",
"are",
"unsecured",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"they",
"fear",
"that",
"banks",
"have",
"been",
"overeager",
"to",
"issue",
"cards",
"to",
"the",
"public",
"--",
"giving",
"cards",
"to",
"too",
"many",
"big",
"spenders",
"who",
"will",
"default",
"during",
"a",
"recession",
".",
"``",
"A",
"day",
"of",
"reckoning",
"is",
"coming",
"where",
"we",
"think",
"the",
"market",
"will",
"place",
"a",
"high",
"premium",
"on",
"the",
"highest-quality",
"debt",
"issues",
",",
"and",
"therefore",
"we",
"think",
"the",
"best",
"debt",
"investment",
"is",
"U.S.",
"government",
"bonds",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Craig",
"Corcoran",
"of",
"Davis/Zweig",
"Futures",
"Inc.",
",",
"an",
"investment",
"advisory",
"firm",
".",
"What",
"about",
"triple-A-rated",
"asset-backed",
"issues",
"?",
"``",
"Nope",
",",
"we",
"still",
"say",
"to",
"stick",
"with",
"Treasurys",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Corcoran",
"replies",
".",
"Ratings",
",",
"he",
"notes",
",",
"``",
"are",
"subject",
"to",
"change",
".",
"''",
"All",
"this",
"makes",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
"seem",
"too",
"risky",
"for",
"many",
"people",
".",
"And",
"it",
"reminds",
"Raymond",
"F.",
"DeVoe",
"Jr.",
",",
"a",
"market",
"strategist",
"at",
"Legg",
"Mason",
"Wood",
"Walker",
"Inc.",
",",
"of",
"what",
"he",
"calls",
"``",
"DeVoe",
"'s",
"Unprovable",
"but",
"Highly",
"Probable",
"Theory",
"No.",
"1",
":",
"``",
"More",
"money",
"has",
"been",
"lost",
"reaching",
"for",
"yield",
"than",
"in",
"all",
"the",
"stock",
"speculations",
",",
"scams",
"and",
"frauds",
"of",
"all",
"time",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Herman",
"is",
"a",
"staff",
"reporter",
"in",
"The",
"Wall",
"Street",
"Journal",
"'s",
"New",
"York",
"bureau",
".",
"Volume",
"of",
"asset-backed",
"securities",
"issued",
"annually",
"*",
"Principal",
"amount",
"**",
"As",
"of",
"August",
"30",
"*",
"Principal",
"amount",
"Source",
":",
"Securities",
"Data",
"Co",
"."
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[
"LIN",
"Broadcasting",
"Corp.",
"said",
"it",
"wo",
"n't",
"take",
"a",
"position",
"on",
"a",
"revised",
"tender",
"offer",
"by",
"McCaw",
"Cellular",
"Communications",
"Inc.",
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"buy",
"LIN",
"and",
"has",
"asked",
"for",
"clarification",
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"the",
"offer",
".",
"The",
"new",
"offer",
",",
"which",
"seeks",
"50.3",
"%",
"of",
"the",
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"and",
"broadcasting",
"concern",
",",
"is",
"for",
"$",
"125",
"a",
"share",
"for",
"22",
"million",
"LIN",
"shares",
".",
"McCaw",
"'s",
"revised",
"tender",
"offer",
"would",
"require",
"McCaw",
"to",
"begin",
"an",
"auction",
"process",
"in",
"July",
"1994",
"that",
"would",
"buy",
"out",
"remaining",
"holders",
"at",
"a",
"per-share",
"price",
"roughly",
"equivalent",
"to",
"what",
"a",
"third",
"party",
"might",
"then",
"have",
"to",
"pay",
"for",
"all",
"of",
"LIN",
".",
"LIN",
"is",
"asking",
"McCaw",
"to",
"clarify",
"its",
"tender",
"offer",
",",
"which",
"challenges",
"an",
"agreement",
"between",
"BellSouth",
"Corp.",
"and",
"LIN",
"to",
"merge",
"their",
"cellular-telephone",
"businesses",
".",
"BellSouth",
"has",
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"that",
"it",
"would",
"``",
"shortly",
"respond",
"to",
"the",
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"proposal",
"in",
"as",
"full",
"and",
"effective",
"a",
"manner",
"as",
"is",
"warranted",
".",
"''",
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"LIN",
"board",
"said",
"holders",
"may",
"be",
"misled",
"by",
"the",
"provision",
"in",
"the",
"McCaw",
"proposal",
"that",
"``",
"guarantees",
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"market",
"value",
"after",
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"the",
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"and",
"the",
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"private",
"market",
"value",
"is",
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"''",
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".",
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"would",
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"to",
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"manner",
"which",
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"market",
"value",
"and",
"attractiveness",
"to",
"a",
"third-party",
"purchaser",
"in",
"five",
"years",
".",
"''",
"In",
"national",
"over-the-counter",
"trading",
",",
"LIN",
"closed",
"at",
"$",
"104.75",
",",
"down",
"$",
"2.75",
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[
"A",
"form",
"of",
"asbestos",
"once",
"used",
"to",
"make",
"Kent",
"cigarette",
"filters",
"has",
"caused",
"a",
"high",
"percentage",
"of",
"cancer",
"deaths",
"among",
"a",
"group",
"of",
"workers",
"exposed",
"to",
"it",
"more",
"than",
"30",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"researchers",
"reported",
".",
"The",
"asbestos",
"fiber",
",",
"crocidolite",
",",
"is",
"unusually",
"resilient",
"once",
"it",
"enters",
"the",
"lungs",
",",
"with",
"even",
"brief",
"exposures",
"to",
"it",
"causing",
"symptoms",
"that",
"show",
"up",
"decades",
"later",
",",
"researchers",
"said",
".",
"Lorillard",
"Inc.",
",",
"the",
"unit",
"of",
"New",
"York-based",
"Loews",
"Corp.",
"that",
"makes",
"Kent",
"cigarettes",
",",
"stopped",
"using",
"crocidolite",
"in",
"its",
"Micronite",
"cigarette",
"filters",
"in",
"1956",
".",
"Although",
"preliminary",
"findings",
"were",
"reported",
"more",
"than",
"a",
"year",
"ago",
",",
"the",
"latest",
"results",
"appear",
"in",
"today",
"'s",
"New",
"England",
"Journal",
"of",
"Medicine",
",",
"a",
"forum",
"likely",
"to",
"bring",
"new",
"attention",
"to",
"the",
"problem",
".",
"A",
"Lorillard",
"spokewoman",
"said",
",",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"an",
"old",
"story",
".",
"We",
"'re",
"talking",
"about",
"years",
"ago",
"before",
"anyone",
"heard",
"of",
"asbestos",
"having",
"any",
"questionable",
"properties",
".",
"There",
"is",
"no",
"asbestos",
"in",
"our",
"products",
"now",
".",
"''",
"Neither",
"Lorillard",
"nor",
"the",
"researchers",
"who",
"studied",
"the",
"workers",
"were",
"aware",
"of",
"any",
"research",
"on",
"smokers",
"of",
"the",
"Kent",
"cigarettes",
".",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"no",
"useful",
"information",
"on",
"whether",
"users",
"are",
"at",
"risk",
",",
"''",
"said",
"James",
"A.",
"Talcott",
"of",
"Boston",
"'s",
"Dana-Farber",
"Cancer",
"Institute",
".",
"Dr.",
"Talcott",
"led",
"a",
"team",
"of",
"researchers",
"from",
"the",
"National",
"Cancer",
"Institute",
"and",
"the",
"medical",
"schools",
"of",
"Harvard",
"University",
"and",
"Boston",
"University",
".",
"The",
"Lorillard",
"spokeswoman",
"said",
"asbestos",
"was",
"used",
"in",
"``",
"very",
"modest",
"amounts",
"''",
"in",
"making",
"paper",
"for",
"the",
"filters",
"in",
"the",
"early",
"1950s",
"and",
"replaced",
"with",
"a",
"different",
"type",
"of",
"filter",
"in",
"1956",
".",
"From",
"1953",
"to",
"1955",
",",
"9.8",
"billion",
"Kent",
"cigarettes",
"with",
"the",
"filters",
"were",
"sold",
",",
"the",
"company",
"said",
".",
"Among",
"33",
"men",
"who",
"worked",
"closely",
"with",
"the",
"substance",
",",
"28",
"have",
"died",
"--",
"more",
"than",
"three",
"times",
"the",
"expected",
"number",
".",
"Four",
"of",
"the",
"five",
"surviving",
"workers",
"have",
"asbestos-related",
"diseases",
",",
"including",
"three",
"with",
"recently",
"diagnosed",
"cancer",
".",
"The",
"total",
"of",
"18",
"deaths",
"from",
"malignant",
"mesothelioma",
",",
"lung",
"cancer",
"and",
"asbestosis",
"was",
"far",
"higher",
"than",
"expected",
",",
"the",
"researchers",
"said",
".",
"``",
"The",
"morbidity",
"rate",
"is",
"a",
"striking",
"finding",
"among",
"those",
"of",
"us",
"who",
"study",
"asbestos-related",
"diseases",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Dr.",
"Talcott",
".",
"The",
"percentage",
"of",
"lung",
"cancer",
"deaths",
"among",
"the",
"workers",
"at",
"the",
"West",
"Groton",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"paper",
"factory",
"appears",
"to",
"be",
"the",
"highest",
"for",
"any",
"asbestos",
"workers",
"studied",
"in",
"Western",
"industrialized",
"countries",
",",
"he",
"said",
".",
"The",
"plant",
",",
"which",
"is",
"owned",
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"Hollingsworth",
"&",
"Vose",
"Co.",
",",
"was",
"under",
"contract",
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"Lorillard",
"to",
"make",
"the",
"cigarette",
"filters",
".",
"The",
"finding",
"probably",
"will",
"support",
"those",
"who",
"argue",
"that",
"the",
"U.S.",
"should",
"regulate",
"the",
"class",
"of",
"asbestos",
"including",
"crocidolite",
"more",
"stringently",
"than",
"the",
"common",
"kind",
"of",
"asbestos",
",",
"chrysotile",
",",
"found",
"in",
"most",
"schools",
"and",
"other",
"buildings",
",",
"Dr.",
"Talcott",
"said",
".",
"The",
"U.S.",
"is",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"few",
"industrialized",
"nations",
"that",
"does",
"n't",
"have",
"a",
"higher",
"standard",
"of",
"regulation",
"for",
"the",
"smooth",
",",
"needle-like",
"fibers",
"such",
"as",
"crocidolite",
"that",
"are",
"classified",
"as",
"amphobiles",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Brooke",
"T.",
"Mossman",
",",
"a",
"professor",
"of",
"pathlogy",
"at",
"the",
"University",
"of",
"Vermont",
"College",
"of",
"Medicine",
".",
"More",
"common",
"chrysotile",
"fibers",
"are",
"curly",
"and",
"are",
"more",
"easily",
"rejected",
"by",
"the",
"body",
",",
"Dr.",
"Mossman",
"explained",
".",
"In",
"July",
",",
"the",
"Environmental",
"Protection",
"Agency",
"imposed",
"a",
"gradual",
"ban",
"on",
"virtually",
"all",
"uses",
"of",
"asbestos",
".",
"By",
"1997",
",",
"almost",
"all",
"remaining",
"uses",
"of",
"cancer-causing",
"asbestos",
"will",
"be",
"outlawed",
".",
"About",
"160",
"workers",
"at",
"a",
"factory",
"that",
"made",
"paper",
"for",
"the",
"Kent",
"filters",
"were",
"exposed",
"to",
"asbestos",
"in",
"the",
"1950s",
".",
"Areas",
"of",
"the",
"factory",
"were",
"particularly",
"dusty",
"where",
"the",
"crocidolite",
"was",
"used",
".",
"Workers",
"dumped",
"large",
"burlap",
"sacks",
"of",
"the",
"imported",
"material",
"into",
"a",
"huge",
"bin",
",",
"poured",
"in",
"cotton",
"and",
"acetate",
"fibers",
"and",
"mechanically",
"mixed",
"the",
"dry",
"fibers",
"in",
"a",
"process",
"used",
"to",
"make",
"filters",
".",
"Workers",
"described",
"``",
"clouds",
"of",
"blue",
"dust",
"''",
"that",
"hung",
"over",
"parts",
"of",
"the",
"factory",
",",
"even",
"though",
"exhaust",
"fans",
"ventilated",
"the",
"area",
".",
"``",
"There",
"'s",
"no",
"question",
"that",
"some",
"of",
"those",
"workers",
"and",
"managers",
"contracted",
"asbestos-related",
"diseases",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Darrell",
"Phillips",
",",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"human",
"resources",
"for",
"Hollingsworth",
"&",
"Vose",
".",
"``",
"But",
"you",
"have",
"to",
"recognize",
"that",
"these",
"events",
"took",
"place",
"35",
"years",
"ago",
".",
"It",
"has",
"no",
"bearing",
"on",
"our",
"work",
"force",
"today",
"."
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[
"From",
"a",
"helicopter",
"a",
"thousand",
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"above",
"Oakland",
"after",
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"earthquake",
"in",
"U.S.",
"history",
",",
"a",
"scene",
"of",
"devastation",
"emerges",
":",
"a",
"freeway",
"crumbled",
"into",
"a",
"concrete",
"sandwich",
",",
"hoses",
"pumping",
"water",
"into",
"once-fashionable",
"apartments",
",",
"abandoned",
"autos",
".",
"But",
"this",
"quake",
"was",
"n't",
"the",
"big",
"one",
",",
"the",
"replay",
"of",
"1906",
"that",
"has",
"been",
"feared",
"for",
"so",
"many",
"years",
".",
"Despite",
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"tragic",
"loss",
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"more",
"than",
"270",
"lives",
",",
"and",
"damage",
"estimated",
"in",
"the",
"billions",
",",
"most",
"businesses",
"and",
"their",
"plants",
"and",
"offices",
"in",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"were",
"n't",
"greatly",
"affected",
".",
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"of",
"the",
"region",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
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"a",
"day",
"or",
"two",
",",
"although",
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"transportation",
"problems",
"may",
"last",
"weeks",
"or",
"months",
".",
"A",
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"mitigating",
"more",
"widespread",
"damage",
"was",
"the",
"location",
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"epicenter",
"--",
"20",
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"more",
"than",
"50",
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".",
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"Of",
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".",
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"--",
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"linking",
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"terminals",
"and",
"telephones",
"than",
"to",
"its",
"location",
"astride",
"one",
"of",
"the",
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"'s",
"great",
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".",
"When",
"the",
"tremors",
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",",
"the",
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"'s",
"largely",
"unseen",
"high-tech",
"fabric",
"held",
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"well",
"despite",
"the",
"devastation",
"visible",
"from",
"the",
"air",
".",
"Michael",
"L.",
"Bandler",
",",
"vice",
"president",
"for",
"network",
"technology",
"at",
"Pacific",
"Bell",
"Telephone",
"Co.",
",",
"says",
"nearly",
"all",
"the",
"network",
"'s",
"computer",
"switches",
",",
"which",
"move",
"thousands",
"of",
"calls",
"a",
"minute",
"from",
"one",
"location",
"to",
"another",
",",
"changed",
"to",
"battery",
"power",
"when",
"the",
"city",
"lost",
"power",
".",
"The",
"battery",
"packs",
"have",
"enough",
"power",
"for",
"only",
"three",
"hours",
",",
"but",
"that",
"gave",
"emergency",
"crews",
"time",
"to",
"turn",
"on",
"an",
"emergency",
"system",
"that",
"runs",
"primarily",
"on",
"diesel",
"fuel",
".",
"Of",
"some",
"160",
"switches",
"in",
"Pacific",
"Bell",
"'s",
"network",
",",
"only",
"four",
"went",
"down",
".",
"One",
"of",
"those",
"was",
"in",
"Hollister",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"near",
"the",
"earthquake",
"'s",
"epicenter",
".",
"Few",
"telephone",
"lines",
"snapped",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"because",
"the",
"widely",
"used",
"fiber-optic",
"cable",
"has",
"been",
"installed",
"underground",
"with",
"25",
"extra",
"feet",
"of",
"cable",
"between",
"junction",
"points",
".",
"The",
"slack",
"absorbs",
"the",
"pulling",
"strain",
"generated",
"by",
"an",
"earthquake",
".",
"Nevertheless",
",",
"phone",
"service",
"was",
"sporadic",
";",
"many",
"computer",
"terminals",
"remained",
"dark",
",",
"and",
"by",
"late",
"yesterday",
"a",
"third",
"of",
"San",
"Francisco",
"remained",
"without",
"power",
".",
"Business",
"in",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"fourth-largest",
"metropolitan",
"region",
"was",
"nearly",
"paralyzed",
";",
"an",
"estimated",
"one",
"million",
"members",
"of",
"the",
"work",
"force",
"stayed",
"at",
"home",
".",
"The",
"economic",
"dislocation",
"was",
"as",
"abrupt",
"as",
"the",
"earthquake",
"itself",
",",
"as",
"virtually",
"all",
"businesses",
"shut",
"down",
".",
"The",
"$",
"125-billion-a-year",
"Bay",
"area",
"economy",
"represents",
"one-fourth",
"of",
"the",
"economy",
"of",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"most",
"populous",
"state",
"and",
"accounts",
"for",
"2",
"%",
"to",
"3",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"total",
"output",
"of",
"goods",
"and",
"services",
",",
"according",
"to",
"the",
"Center",
"for",
"Continuing",
"Study",
"of",
"the",
"California",
"Economy",
"in",
"Palo",
"Alto",
".",
"In",
"high-tech",
",",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"accounts",
"for",
"15",
"%",
"to",
"20",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"computer-related",
"industry",
".",
"``",
"This",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"major",
"disruption",
"for",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"economy",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Pauline",
"Sweezey",
",",
"the",
"chief",
"economist",
"at",
"the",
"California",
"Department",
"of",
"Finance",
".",
"``",
"Obviously",
",",
"things",
"are",
"going",
"to",
"have",
"to",
"go",
"on",
"hold",
"for",
"many",
"companies",
".",
"''",
"The",
"damage",
"to",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"'s",
"roadways",
"could",
"cause",
"significant",
"economic",
"hardship",
".",
"A",
"quarter",
"of",
"a",
"million",
"people",
"cross",
"the",
"Bay",
"Bridge",
"every",
"day",
",",
"far",
"more",
"than",
"the",
"100,000",
"that",
"use",
"the",
"Bay",
"Area",
"Rapid",
"Transit",
"system",
"(",
"BART",
")",
"--",
"which",
"was",
"working",
"but",
"was",
"n't",
"stopping",
"in",
"the",
"city",
"'s",
"Financial",
"District",
"yesterday",
"afternoon",
"because",
"electricity",
"was",
"shut",
"off",
"and",
"the",
"area",
"was",
"being",
"checked",
"for",
"gas",
"leaks",
".",
"California",
"state",
"transportation",
"officials",
"interviewed",
"by",
"telephone",
"say",
"they",
"nevertheless",
"do",
"n't",
"expect",
"serious",
"problems",
"for",
"commerce",
"in",
"and",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
".",
"All",
"major",
"roadways",
"except",
"Interstate",
"880",
",",
"known",
"as",
"the",
"Nimitz",
"Freeway",
",",
"and",
"the",
"Bay",
"Bridge",
"were",
"open",
"by",
"1",
"p.m.",
"yesterday",
".",
"Officials",
"expect",
"difficulty",
"routing",
"traffic",
"through",
"downtown",
"San",
"Francisco",
".",
"The",
"earthquake",
"caused",
"many",
"streets",
"to",
"buckle",
"and",
"crack",
",",
"making",
"them",
"impassible",
".",
"Other",
"roads",
"were",
"obstructed",
"by",
"collapsed",
"buildings",
"and",
"damaged",
"water",
"and",
"power",
"lines",
",",
"an",
"emergency",
"relief",
"spokesman",
"says",
".",
"San",
"Francisco",
"Mayor",
"Art",
"Agnos",
"estimated",
"the",
"damage",
"to",
"his",
"city",
"alone",
"at",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
".",
"But",
"many",
"predicted",
"that",
"the",
"commercial",
"disruption",
"would",
"be",
"short-lived",
".",
"Of",
"the",
"scores",
"of",
"companies",
"contacted",
"by",
"this",
"newspaper",
",",
"few",
"reported",
"any",
"damage",
"that",
"they",
"did",
"n't",
"expect",
"to",
"have",
"remedied",
"within",
"a",
"day",
"or",
"two",
".",
"It",
"is",
"possible",
",",
"of",
"course",
",",
"that",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"seriously",
"damaged",
"companies",
"could",
"n't",
"be",
"reached",
",",
"particularly",
"in",
"areas",
"nearest",
"the",
"epicenter",
".",
"Typical",
",",
"perhaps",
",",
"was",
"the",
"situation",
"at",
"New",
"United",
"Motor",
"Manufacturing",
"Inc.",
",",
"the",
"General",
"Motors",
"Corp.-Toyota",
"joint-venture",
"auto",
"plant",
"in",
"Fremont",
",",
"about",
"35",
"miles",
"south",
"of",
"Oakland",
".",
"Ten",
"of",
"the",
"plant",
"'s",
"workers",
"were",
"injured",
"when",
"the",
"quake",
"hit",
"about",
"a",
"half-hour",
"into",
"the",
"afternoon",
"shift",
";",
"seven",
"were",
"hospitalized",
".",
"Metal",
"racks",
"on",
"the",
"plant",
"floor",
"fell",
"over",
",",
"and",
"water",
"mains",
"ruptured",
",",
"a",
"spokeswoman",
"says",
".",
"The",
"plant",
"was",
"evacuated",
"and",
"workers",
"sent",
"home",
".",
"But",
"the",
"plant",
"was",
"able",
"to",
"resume",
"limited",
"production",
"of",
"its",
"Toyota",
"Corollas",
"and",
"Geo",
"Prizms",
"by",
"6",
"a.m.",
"yesterday",
",",
"and",
"absenteeism",
"was",
"only",
"7",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"work",
"force",
",",
"about",
"twice",
"normal",
".",
"Computer",
"maker",
"Hewlett-Packard",
"Co.",
",",
"based",
"in",
"Palo",
"Alto",
",",
"says",
"one",
"of",
"its",
"buildings",
"sustained",
"severe",
"damage",
"when",
"it",
"was",
"knocked",
"off",
"its",
"foundation",
".",
"Other",
"buildings",
"had",
"broken",
"glass",
",",
"dangling",
"light",
"fixtures",
"and",
"broken",
"pipes",
",",
"a",
"spokesperson",
"says",
",",
"estimating",
"the",
"cost",
"of",
"reconstruction",
"``",
"in",
"the",
"millions",
".",
"''",
"Most",
"banks",
"were",
"closed",
"but",
"were",
"expected",
"to",
"reopen",
"today",
"with",
"few",
"problems",
"anticipated",
".",
"At",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"Bank",
"of",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"Vice",
"President",
"Robert",
"Fienberg",
"says",
"operations",
"were",
"``",
"steaming",
"along",
"as",
"usual",
"''",
"yesterday",
"afternoon",
".",
"`",
"When",
"the",
"quake",
"hit",
",",
"we",
"turned",
"on",
"our",
"emergency",
"generator",
"and",
"brought",
"our",
"computers",
"up",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"The",
"Fed",
"serves",
"as",
"a",
"middleman",
"for",
"banks",
",",
"taking",
"checks",
"from",
"one",
"bank",
"and",
"sending",
"them",
"to",
"another",
",",
"an",
"operation",
"that",
"it",
"handled",
"smoothly",
"Tuesday",
"night",
"after",
"the",
"quake",
".",
"``",
"The",
"volume",
"we",
"received",
"from",
"the",
"banks",
"was",
"a",
"lot",
"lower",
"than",
"usual",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"A",
"disaster-contingency",
"plan",
"in",
"which",
"the",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"Fed",
"would",
"come",
"to",
"San",
"Francisco",
"'s",
"aid",
"was",
"n't",
"needed",
",",
"he",
"adds",
".",
"Most",
"of",
"the",
"telephone",
"problems",
"in",
"the",
"immediate",
"aftermath",
"stemmed",
"from",
"congestion",
".",
"The",
"telephone",
"network",
"simply",
"could",
"n't",
"handle",
"the",
"large",
"number",
"of",
"people",
"seeking",
"to",
"make",
"a",
"call",
"at",
"the",
"same",
"time",
".",
"The",
"volume",
"resulted",
"in",
"dial-tone",
"delays",
"that",
"were",
"as",
"short",
"as",
"15",
"seconds",
"and",
"as",
"long",
"as",
"five",
"minutes",
".",
"Mr.",
"Bandler",
"puts",
"traffic",
"volume",
"at",
"10",
"to",
"50",
"times",
"normal",
".",
"American",
"Telephone",
"&",
"Telegraph",
"Co.",
",",
"MCI",
"Communications",
"Inc.",
"and",
"United",
"Telecommunications",
"'",
"U",
"S",
"Sprint",
"unit",
"were",
"blocking",
"phone",
"calls",
"into",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"to",
"alleviate",
"congestion",
".",
"The",
"companies",
"block",
"traffic",
"much",
"as",
"highway",
"on-ramps",
"are",
"blocked",
"when",
"traffic",
"backs",
"up",
".",
"William",
"E.",
"Downing",
",",
"Pacific",
"Bell",
"'s",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"customer",
"services",
"for",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
",",
"says",
"most",
"long-distance",
"companies",
"were",
"blocking",
"about",
"50",
"%",
"of",
"all",
"calls",
".",
"Pacific",
"Telesis",
"says",
"its",
"Pacific",
"Bell",
"unit",
"also",
"was",
"blocking",
"about",
"50",
"%",
"of",
"its",
"calls",
"locally",
".",
"Ironically",
",",
"the",
"long-term",
"effect",
"of",
"the",
"earthquake",
"may",
"be",
"to",
"bolster",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"'s",
"economic",
"fortunes",
"and",
",",
"indeed",
",",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"gross",
"national",
"product",
".",
"It",
"may",
"also",
"lead",
"to",
"new",
"safeguards",
"in",
"major",
"construction",
"projects",
"such",
"as",
"double-deck",
"highways",
".",
"``",
"It",
"would",
"in",
"the",
"near-term",
"give",
"a",
"boost",
"to",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"economy",
"because",
"there",
"will",
"be",
"an",
"influx",
"of",
"people",
"to",
"help",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Beth",
"Burnham",
"Mace",
",",
"a",
"regional",
"economist",
"at",
"DRI/McGraw",
"Hill",
",",
"a",
"Lexington",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"forecasting",
"firm",
".",
"The",
"construction",
"industry",
"is",
"sure",
"to",
"feel",
"increased",
"demand",
".",
"``",
"There",
"will",
"be",
"a",
"big",
"influx",
"of",
"federal",
"dollars",
"and",
"gains",
"in",
"state",
",",
"federal",
"and",
"local",
"employment",
",",
"''",
"Ms.",
"Mace",
"says",
".",
"Adds",
"Stacy",
"Kotman",
",",
"an",
"economist",
"at",
"Georgia",
"State",
"University",
",",
"``",
"There",
"'s",
"nothing",
"positive",
"about",
"an",
"earthquake",
",",
"but",
"it",
"will",
"probably",
"generate",
"more",
"construction",
"activity",
".",
"''",
"Wall",
"Street",
"reacted",
"swiftly",
"yesterday",
"to",
"the",
"disaster",
"by",
"bidding",
"up",
"stocks",
"of",
"construction",
"and",
"related",
"companies",
".",
"Shares",
"of",
"Lone",
"Star",
"Industries",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"cement",
"maker",
",",
"rose",
"sharply",
"in",
"anticipation",
"of",
"stepped-up",
"demand",
".",
"In",
"Greenwich",
",",
"Conn.",
",",
"Lone",
"Star",
"spokesman",
"Michael",
"London",
"says",
",",
"``",
"Obviously",
"with",
"an",
"earthquake",
"of",
"this",
"size",
",",
"there",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"construction",
"projects",
"that",
"would",
"n't",
"otherwise",
"have",
"been",
"anticipated",
".",
"But",
"any",
"increase",
"is",
"n't",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"any",
"kind",
"of",
"a",
"surge",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"something",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"spread",
"out",
"over",
"a",
"long",
"period",
"of",
"time",
".",
"There",
"will",
"be",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"repair",
"work",
"that",
"wo",
"n't",
"require",
"the",
"quantities",
"of",
"cement",
"or",
"concrete",
"that",
"new",
"constructon",
"would",
".",
"''",
"Lone",
"Star",
"'s",
"San",
"Francisco",
"facilities",
"were",
"n't",
"damaged",
"in",
"the",
"quake",
".",
"The",
"earthquake",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"reduce",
"GNP",
"negligibly",
"in",
"the",
"near",
"term",
"and",
"then",
"could",
"raise",
"it",
"a",
"bit",
"as",
"rebuilding",
"begins",
".",
"The",
"first",
"effects",
"are",
",",
"of",
"course",
",",
"negative",
"as",
"work",
"is",
"disrupted",
"and",
"people",
"lose",
"income",
"and",
"cut",
"spending",
".",
"Corporate",
"profits",
"may",
"also",
"dip",
"initially",
".",
"Many",
"of",
"the",
"lost",
"tourism",
"dollars",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"recovered",
";",
"many",
"trips",
"delayed",
"never",
"take",
"place",
".",
"Subsequently",
",",
"however",
",",
"the",
"ill",
"effects",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"offset",
",",
"at",
"least",
"in",
"economic",
"terms",
",",
"as",
"construction",
"activity",
"begins",
".",
"Because",
"of",
"the",
"way",
"the",
"government",
"keeps",
"its",
"books",
",",
"the",
"damage",
"to",
"the",
"Bay",
"Bridge",
",",
"however",
"costly",
",",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"counted",
"as",
"a",
"minus",
".",
"The",
"money",
"spent",
"on",
"repairs",
"will",
"be",
"counted",
"as",
"a",
"plus",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"very",
"difficult",
"to",
"model",
"the",
"long-term",
"impact",
"of",
"this",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Andrew",
"Goldberg",
",",
"who",
"studies",
"the",
"public-policy",
"and",
"crisis-management",
"aspects",
"of",
"earthquakes",
"at",
"the",
"Center",
"for",
"Strategic",
"International",
"Studies",
"in",
"Washington",
",",
"D.C",
".",
"``",
"You",
"certainly",
"can",
"say",
"it",
"'s",
"going",
"to",
"be",
"extremely",
"severe",
".",
"We",
"really",
"are",
"talking",
"about",
"shutting",
"down",
"a",
"major",
"American",
"city",
"for",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"days",
",",
"maybe",
"for",
"a",
"few",
"weeks",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Goldberg",
"says",
"the",
"cost",
"of",
"the",
"earthquake",
"will",
"definitely",
"top",
"$",
"1",
"billion",
"and",
"could",
"reach",
"$",
"4",
"billion",
".",
"He",
"cautions",
"that",
"early",
"damage",
"estimates",
"are",
"often",
"low",
";",
"the",
"damage",
"totals",
"in",
"Hurricane",
"Hugo",
"increased",
"tenfold",
"as",
"more",
"information",
"was",
"received",
".",
"The",
"earthquake",
"damage",
",",
"of",
"course",
",",
"would",
"have",
"been",
"far",
"greater",
"if",
"the",
"epicenter",
"had",
"been",
"in",
"downtown",
"San",
"Francisco",
".",
"A",
"direct",
"hit",
"on",
"a",
"major",
"city",
",",
"Mr.",
"Goldberg",
"figures",
",",
"would",
"cause",
"$",
"20",
"billion",
"to",
"$",
"40",
"billion",
"of",
"damage",
".",
"Experts",
"caution",
"that",
"it",
"is",
"far",
"too",
"soon",
"for",
"reliable",
"estimates",
"of",
"the",
"quake",
"'s",
"total",
"damage",
",",
"but",
"it",
"'s",
"clear",
"that",
"insurers",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"pay",
"out",
"enormous",
"sums",
".",
"Jack",
"Byrne",
",",
"the",
"chairman",
"of",
"Fireman",
"'s",
"Fund",
"Corp.",
",",
"which",
"is",
"based",
"in",
"Novato",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"estimates",
"insured",
"losses",
"resulting",
"the",
"earthquake",
"could",
"total",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
".",
"The",
"impact",
"on",
"the",
"insurance",
"industry",
"``",
"will",
"be",
"big",
"and",
"harsh",
",",
"but",
"less",
"than",
"-LCB-",
"Hurricane",
"-RCB-",
"Hugo",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Byrne",
",",
"who",
"toured",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"by",
"car",
"yesterday",
"afternoon",
"to",
"get",
"a",
"sense",
"of",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"exposure",
"to",
"the",
"earthquake",
".",
"Mr.",
"Byrne",
"says",
"Fireman",
"'s",
"Fund",
"will",
"probably",
"pay",
"hundreds",
"of",
"millions",
"in",
"primary",
"claims",
",",
"but",
",",
"after",
"taxes",
"and",
"use",
"of",
"its",
"reinsurance",
"lines",
",",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"fourthquarter",
"charge",
"against",
"earnings",
"should",
"n't",
"top",
"$",
"50",
"million",
".",
"The",
"company",
"was",
"able",
"to",
"assess",
"its",
"damage",
"liability",
"quickly",
"because",
"it",
"has",
"computerized",
"maps",
"of",
"Northern",
"California",
"showing",
"the",
"exact",
"locations",
"of",
"all",
"the",
"property",
"it",
"insures",
".",
"Fireman",
"'s",
"Fund",
"had",
"claims",
"adjusters",
"on",
"the",
"streets",
"of",
"San",
"Francisco",
"right",
"after",
"sunrise",
"yesterday",
"and",
"was",
"paying",
"as",
"many",
"claims",
"as",
"it",
"could",
"right",
"on",
"the",
"spot",
".",
"Fireman",
"'s",
"Fund",
"insures",
"37,300",
"homes",
"and",
"autos",
"and",
"35,000",
"businesses",
"in",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
".",
"In",
"addition",
"to",
"paying",
"for",
"earthquake",
"and",
"fire",
"damage",
",",
"the",
"insurer",
"must",
"cover",
"worker-compensation",
"claims",
"and",
"also",
"losses",
"due",
"to",
"businesses",
"being",
"shut",
"down",
"by",
"lack",
"of",
"power",
"or",
"phone",
"service",
".",
"But",
"many",
"Californians",
"may",
"not",
"have",
"adequate",
"insurance",
"coverage",
"to",
"pay",
"for",
"damages",
"to",
"their",
"property",
".",
"The",
"Independent",
"Insurance",
"Agents",
"of",
"America",
"says",
"fewer",
"than",
"one",
"of",
"every",
"five",
"California",
"homeowners",
"has",
"earthquake",
"insurance",
".",
"A",
"somewhat",
"higher",
"percentage",
"of",
"people",
"living",
"in",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"have",
"bought",
"the",
"additional",
"insurance",
"protection",
",",
"but",
"the",
"great",
"majority",
"are",
"n't",
"covered",
".",
"Earthquake",
"insurance",
"typically",
"runs",
"$",
"200",
"or",
"more",
"a",
"year",
"for",
"a",
"small",
"house",
".",
"Whatever",
"the",
"long-term",
"economic",
"effect",
",",
"the",
"scene",
"from",
"the",
"helicopter",
"above",
"Oakland",
"is",
"one",
"of",
"tragedy",
".",
"Gargantuan",
"sections",
"of",
"a",
"double-decker",
"freeway",
"have",
"been",
"heaved",
"about",
"like",
"plastic",
"building",
"blocks",
".",
"Atop",
"them",
"sit",
"cars",
"and",
"trucks",
"abandoned",
"in",
"a",
"terrifying",
"scramble",
"to",
"safety",
"the",
"day",
"before",
".",
"In",
"areas",
"where",
"the",
"freeway",
"made",
"giant",
"concrete",
"sandwiches",
"of",
"itself",
"lie",
"cars",
"that",
"police",
"say",
"have",
"been",
"flattened",
"into",
"foot-thick",
"slabs",
".",
"On",
"the",
"periphery",
",",
"rescue",
"workers",
"seem",
",",
"from",
"the",
"air",
",",
"to",
"move",
"in",
"slow",
"motion",
".",
"They",
"peck",
"away",
"at",
"the",
"1",
"1/2-mile",
"section",
"of",
"rubble",
",",
"searching",
"for",
"more",
"of",
"the",
"250",
"people",
"thought",
"to",
"have",
"died",
"here",
".",
"About",
"20",
"other",
"deaths",
"were",
"also",
"attributed",
"to",
"the",
"earthquake",
".",
"The",
"heart",
"of",
"the",
"earthquake",
",",
"6.9",
"on",
"the",
"Richter",
"scale",
",",
"was",
"50",
"miles",
"to",
"the",
"south",
",",
"near",
"Santa",
"Cruz",
",",
"but",
"its",
"terrible",
"fist",
"struck",
"here",
"on",
"the",
"Nimitz",
"Freeway",
",",
"a",
"major",
"artery",
"serving",
"the",
"Bay",
"Bridge",
"between",
"Oakland",
"and",
"San",
"Francisco",
".",
"Along",
"the",
"way",
",",
"the",
"quake",
"toppled",
"a",
"mall",
"in",
"Santa",
"Cruz",
",",
"knocked",
"down",
"buildings",
"in",
"San",
"Francisco",
"'s",
"fashionable",
"Marina",
"District",
"and",
"sent",
"a",
"wall",
"of",
"bricks",
"crashing",
"on",
"motorists",
"in",
"the",
"city",
"'s",
"Financial",
"District",
".",
"Just",
"a",
"short",
"span",
"across",
"the",
"bay",
"to",
"the",
"west",
",",
"the",
"quake",
"also",
"showed",
"its",
"mettle",
":",
"A",
"four-square-block",
"area",
"of",
"the",
"Marina",
"District",
"lies",
"smoldering",
"under",
"a",
"steady",
"stream",
"of",
"seawater",
"being",
"pumped",
"onto",
"rubble",
"to",
"prevent",
"it",
"from",
"blazing",
"anew",
".",
"Many",
"of",
"the",
"buildings",
",",
"mostly",
"condominiums",
"and",
"apartments",
",",
"were",
"flattened",
"almost",
"instantly",
"as",
"the",
"underlying",
"soil",
"--",
"much",
"of",
"it",
"landfill",
"--",
"was",
"literally",
"turned",
"to",
"ooze",
"by",
"the",
"quake",
"'s",
"intensive",
"shaking",
",",
"rupturing",
"gas",
"lines",
".",
"Onlookers",
"say",
"three",
"persons",
"died",
"when",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"buildings",
"exploded",
"into",
"a",
"fireball",
"shortly",
"after",
"the",
"quake",
"struck",
".",
"Efforts",
"to",
"fight",
"the",
"blaze",
"were",
"hampered",
"because",
"water",
"mains",
"were",
"severed",
"as",
"well",
".",
"From",
"the",
"air",
",",
"ribbons",
"of",
"yellow",
"fire",
"hose",
"carry",
"water",
"from",
"the",
"bay",
"to",
"high-pressure",
"nozzles",
"trained",
"on",
"the",
"site",
".",
"As",
"onlookers",
"stand",
"behind",
"barricades",
",",
"helmeted",
"firemen",
"and",
"building",
"inspectors",
"survey",
"rows",
"of",
"nearby",
"buildings",
"that",
"were",
"twisted",
"from",
"their",
"foundations",
"and",
"seem",
"on",
"the",
"verge",
"of",
"collapse",
".",
"In",
"the",
"Marina",
"District",
",",
"residents",
"spent",
"yesterday",
"assessing",
"damage",
",",
"cleaning",
"up",
"and",
"trying",
"to",
"find",
"friends",
"and",
"neighbors",
".",
"Evelyn",
"Boccone",
",",
"85",
"years",
"old",
",",
"has",
"lived",
"in",
"the",
"district",
"most",
"of",
"her",
"life",
".",
"Her",
"parents",
"lost",
"everything",
"in",
"the",
"1906",
"earthquake",
".",
"``",
"Now",
",",
"we",
"realize",
"what",
"our",
"mothers",
"must",
"have",
"gone",
"through",
",",
"''",
"she",
"says",
".",
"``",
"We",
"always",
"heard",
"about",
"the",
"earthquake",
",",
"but",
"as",
"children",
"we",
"did",
"n't",
"always",
"listen",
"."
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".",
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",",
"''",
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"Malizia",
"Negus",
",",
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"Fund",
"Report",
".",
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"funds",
"invest",
"in",
"such",
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"as",
"short-term",
"Treasury",
"securities",
",",
"commercial",
"paper",
"and",
"certificates",
"of",
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",",
"all",
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"which",
"have",
"been",
"posting",
"lower",
"interest",
"rates",
"since",
"last",
"spring",
".",
"Individual",
"investors",
"can",
"still",
"get",
"better",
"yields",
"on",
"money",
"funds",
"than",
"on",
"many",
"other",
"short-term",
"instruments",
".",
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"yield",
"on",
"six-month",
"Treasury",
"bills",
"sold",
"at",
"Monday",
"'s",
"auction",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"was",
"just",
"7.77",
"%",
".",
"The",
"average",
"yield",
"on",
"six-month",
"CDs",
"of",
"$",
"50,000",
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"less",
"at",
"major",
"banks",
"was",
"7.96",
"%",
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"ended",
"Tuesday",
",",
"according",
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"Money",
"Markets",
",",
"a",
"New",
"York",
"information",
"service",
".",
"One",
"way",
"that",
"money",
"fund",
"managers",
"boost",
"yields",
"in",
"a",
"declining",
"rate",
"environment",
"is",
"by",
"extending",
"the",
"maturities",
"of",
"their",
"investments",
",",
"so",
"they",
"can",
"earn",
"the",
"current",
"higher",
"rates",
"for",
"a",
"longer",
"period",
".",
"The",
"average",
"maturity",
"of",
"the",
"taxable",
"funds",
"that",
"Donoghue",
"'s",
"follows",
"increased",
"by",
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",",
"its",
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".",
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"'re",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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"at",
"the",
"start",
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"year",
",",
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".",
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"9.62",
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".",
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"9",
"%",
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",",
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".",
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"a",
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",",
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"190-point",
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".",
"Economists",
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"A",
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"--",
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"Farm",
",",
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",",
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"breeding",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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"544,681",
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"have",
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",",
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"best",
"horses",
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".",
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"30",
",",
"1988",
",",
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"37",
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"on",
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"of",
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"757",
"million",
".",
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"under",
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",",
"including",
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"Saint",
"Laurent",
"and",
"Bill",
"Robinson",
"for",
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"Ralph",
"Lauren",
"for",
"women",
".",
"A",
"spokesman",
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"had",
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"of",
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"400",
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"1988",
".",
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"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"composite",
"trading",
",",
"West",
"Point-Pepperell",
"fell",
"25",
"cents",
"to",
"$",
"53.875",
"."
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[
"Consolidated",
"Papers",
"Inc.",
"said",
"it",
"plans",
"to",
"spend",
"$",
"495",
"million",
"on",
"new",
"paper-manufacturing",
"equipment",
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".",
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"used",
"in",
"magazines",
"and",
"by",
"commercial",
"printers",
"said",
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"the",
"expansion",
"is",
"planned",
"to",
"begin",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"quarter",
"of",
"1990",
".",
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"expansion",
"is",
"subject",
"to",
"approval",
"by",
"federal",
"and",
"Wisconsin",
"environmental",
"regulators",
"."
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[
"NBI",
"Inc.",
"said",
"that",
"it",
"can",
"not",
"pay",
"the",
"Oct.",
"31",
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"the",
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"ESOP",
"can",
"demand",
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"4,090,000",
"on",
"Nov.",
"30",
",",
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"said",
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"legally",
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"making",
"the",
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".",
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"pay",
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"of",
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"be",
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".",
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"also",
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"Securities",
"Inc.",
"as",
"its",
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"adviser",
"and",
"investment",
"banker",
"to",
"help",
"it",
"restructure",
"financially",
"and",
"improve",
"its",
"balance",
"sheet",
"."
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[
"Mexican",
"investor",
"Joel",
"Rocha",
"Garza",
"said",
"he",
"sold",
"a",
"block",
"of",
"600,000",
"shares",
"of",
"Smith",
"Laboratories",
"Inc.",
"common",
"stock",
"to",
"companies",
"affiliated",
"with",
"him",
".",
"In",
"a",
"filing",
"with",
"the",
"Securities",
"and",
"Exchange",
"Commission",
",",
"Mr.",
"Rocha",
"Garza",
"said",
"Biscayne",
"Syndicate",
"Inc.",
",",
"Lahus",
"II",
"Inc.",
",",
"and",
"Lahus",
"III",
"Inc.",
"bought",
"the",
"600,000",
"shares",
"on",
"Oct.",
"11",
"for",
"$",
"1.4",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"2.375",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Mr.",
"Rocha",
"Garza",
"said",
"that",
"he",
",",
"Clarendon",
"Group",
"Ltd.",
",",
"Biscayne",
",",
"Lahus",
"II",
",",
"and",
"Lahus",
"III",
"are",
"all",
"affiliated",
"and",
"hold",
"a",
"combined",
"stake",
"of",
"1,234,100",
"shares",
",",
"or",
"9.33",
"%",
".",
"Mr.",
"Rocha",
"Garza",
"has",
"said",
"he",
"wants",
"to",
"purchase",
"more",
"shares",
".",
"In",
"San",
"Diego",
",",
"Smith",
"Laboratories",
"President",
"Timothy",
"Wollaeger",
"said",
"the",
"transfer",
"of",
"the",
"shares",
"is",
"n't",
"significant",
"."
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[
"Investcorp",
",",
"New",
"York",
",",
"said",
"it",
"and",
"the",
"management",
"of",
"Sports",
"&",
"Recreation",
"Inc.",
"bought",
"the",
"operator",
"of",
"the",
"10-store",
"Sports",
"Unlimited",
"chain",
"for",
"some",
"$",
"40",
"million",
".",
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"investment",
"bank",
"becomes",
"majority",
"shareholder",
"in",
"Sports",
"&",
"Recreation",
",",
"a",
"10-year-old",
"sporting",
"goods",
"retailer",
",",
"said",
"Oliver",
"E.",
"Richardson",
",",
"a",
"member",
"of",
"Investcorp",
"'s",
"management",
"committee",
"and",
"a",
"director",
"of",
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".",
"Sports",
"Unlimited",
",",
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",",
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",",
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"of",
"$",
"59",
"million",
"for",
"the",
"year",
"ended",
"July",
"31",
".",
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"is",
"``",
"very",
"profitable",
"''",
"on",
"an",
"operating",
"basis",
",",
"Mr.",
"Richardson",
"said",
",",
"but",
"he",
"declined",
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"specify",
"numbers",
".",
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"1982",
",",
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"&",
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"managers",
"and",
"certain",
"passive",
"investors",
"purchased",
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"company",
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"Corp.",
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",",
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".",
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"the",
"latest",
"transaction",
",",
"management",
"bought",
"out",
"the",
"passive",
"investors",
"'",
"holding",
",",
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"said",
"."
] | [
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[
"This",
"year",
"is",
"the",
"75th",
"anniversary",
"of",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"System",
",",
"and",
"some",
"members",
"of",
"Congress",
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"it",
"'s",
"time",
"to",
"take",
"a",
"fresh",
"look",
"at",
"the",
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"'s",
"central",
"bank",
".",
"After",
"75",
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"there",
"may",
"be",
"a",
"few",
"things",
"that",
"are",
"worth",
"reexamining",
".",
"The",
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"Bank",
"setup",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"may",
"be",
"out",
"of",
"date",
".",
"In",
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"have",
"seemed",
"reasonable",
"to",
"give",
"Richmond",
",",
"Va.",
",",
"a",
"bank",
"and",
"allow",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"only",
"a",
"branch",
"of",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"bank",
",",
"but",
"times",
"have",
"changed",
".",
"Maybe",
"the",
"whole",
"regional",
"system",
"is",
"an",
"anachronism",
";",
"the",
"Fed",
",",
"after",
"all",
",",
"is",
"a",
"national",
"central",
"bank",
".",
"Some",
"of",
"the",
"would-be",
"reformers",
",",
"however",
",",
"want",
"to",
"restore",
"an",
"arrangement",
"we",
"once",
"had",
"--",
"or",
",",
"at",
"least",
",",
"part",
"of",
"it",
".",
"In",
"the",
"beginning",
",",
"the",
"treasury",
"secretary",
"and",
"the",
"comptroller",
"of",
"the",
"currency",
"were",
"both",
"ex",
"officio",
"members",
"of",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"Board",
".",
"But",
"in",
"1935",
",",
"when",
"Congress",
"was",
"trying",
"to",
"find",
"someone",
"or",
"something",
"to",
"blame",
"for",
"the",
"Great",
"Depression",
",",
"it",
"decided",
"to",
"drop",
"both",
"the",
"secretary",
"and",
"the",
"comptroller",
"from",
"the",
"board",
".",
"Carter",
"Glass",
",",
"a",
"former",
"treasury",
"secretary",
"who",
"was",
"then",
"back",
"in",
"Congress",
",",
"probably",
"influenced",
"the",
"decision",
".",
"He",
"said",
"that",
"when",
"he",
"was",
"on",
"the",
"board",
"he",
"felt",
"that",
"he",
"had",
"a",
"great",
"deal",
"of",
"power",
"and",
",",
"somehow",
",",
"he",
"did",
"n't",
"think",
"that",
"was",
"a",
"good",
"thing",
".",
"Times",
"have",
"changed",
".",
"Rep.",
"Byron",
"Dorgan",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"N.D",
".",
")",
"has",
"introduced",
"a",
"bill",
"in",
"Congress",
",",
"co-sponsored",
"by",
"Rep.",
"Lee",
"Hamilton",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Ind.",
")",
",",
"that",
"would",
"put",
"the",
"treasury",
"secretary",
"back",
"on",
"the",
"board",
".",
"There",
"is",
"doubt",
"that",
"the",
"change",
"would",
"accomplish",
"much",
"but",
"at",
"least",
"Congress",
",",
"as",
"in",
"1935",
",",
"would",
"be",
"doing",
"something",
".",
"So",
"far",
"no",
"one",
"has",
"suggested",
"putting",
"the",
"comptroller",
"back",
"on",
"the",
"board",
".",
"Nicholas",
"Brady",
",",
"the",
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"treasury",
"secretary",
",",
"is",
"of",
"course",
"aware",
"of",
"the",
"proposal",
",",
"and",
"he",
"does",
"n't",
"like",
"it",
"much",
".",
"Mr.",
"Dorgen",
"has",
"changed",
"tactics",
",",
"dropping",
"the",
"seat-for-the-secretary",
"idea",
".",
"That",
"may",
"have",
"pleased",
"the",
"secretary",
",",
"but",
"H.",
"Erich",
"Heinemann",
",",
"chief",
"economist",
"of",
"the",
"investment",
"firm",
"of",
"Ladenburg",
",",
"Thalmann",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"suggests",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Brady",
"may",
"figure",
"he",
"already",
"has",
"all",
"the",
"power",
"he",
"needs",
".",
"Like",
"most",
"treasury",
"secretaries",
",",
"Mr.",
"Brady",
"takes",
"a",
"keen",
"interest",
"in",
"monetary",
"matters",
",",
"of",
"course",
".",
"He",
"was",
",",
"in",
"fact",
",",
"taking",
"an",
"especially",
"keen",
"interest",
"in",
"board",
"matters",
"even",
"before",
"he",
"went",
"to",
"the",
"treasury",
".",
"After",
"the",
"October",
"1987",
"market",
"crash",
",",
"Mr.",
"Brady",
"as",
"a",
"private",
"citizen",
"headed",
"a",
"presidential",
"commission",
"that",
"tried",
"to",
"decide",
"what",
"went",
"wrong",
"and",
"what",
"should",
"be",
"done",
"about",
"it",
".",
"One",
"of",
"the",
"commission",
"'s",
"recommendations",
"was",
"that",
"a",
"single",
"agency",
",",
"probably",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
",",
"should",
"coordinate",
"regulation",
"of",
"all",
"financial",
"markets",
".",
"This",
"recommendation",
"might",
"have",
"encouraged",
"a",
"turf-hungry",
"bureaucrat",
"to",
"try",
"to",
"expand",
"his",
"power",
",",
"but",
"so",
"far",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"Chairman",
"Alan",
"Greenspan",
"has",
"n't",
"made",
"a",
"pitch",
"for",
"the",
"job",
".",
"The",
"Fed",
"has",
"plenty",
"of",
"responsibilities",
"in",
"times",
"of",
"market",
"turmoil",
"and",
"in",
"1987",
"and",
"again",
"in",
"1989",
"it",
"appears",
"to",
"have",
"handled",
"them",
"well",
".",
"Mr.",
"Brady",
"has",
"said",
"he",
"thought",
"government",
"agencies",
"in",
"the",
"latest",
"market",
"drop",
"were",
"better",
"prepared",
"to",
"coordinate",
"their",
"actions",
",",
"but",
"he",
"has",
"left",
"no",
"doubt",
"that",
"he",
"still",
"likes",
"the",
"ideas",
"the",
"commission",
"advanced",
"nearly",
"two",
"years",
"ago",
".",
"In",
"recent",
"weeks",
",",
"moreover",
",",
"Mr.",
"Brady",
"has",
"joined",
"other",
"administration",
"officials",
"in",
"trying",
"to",
"urge",
"the",
"Fed",
"toward",
"lower",
"interest",
"rates",
".",
"The",
"urging",
"admittedly",
"has",
"been",
"gentle",
".",
"In",
"an",
"interview",
"with",
"the",
"Washington",
"Post",
"in",
"early",
"October",
",",
"the",
"secretary",
"said",
"the",
"Fed",
"may",
"be",
"slightly",
"more",
"interested",
"in",
"curbing",
"inflation",
"than",
"the",
"administration",
"is",
",",
"while",
"the",
"administration",
"may",
"put",
"slightly",
"more",
"emphasis",
"on",
"spurring",
"economic",
"growth",
".",
"At",
"least",
"some",
"economists",
",",
"of",
"course",
",",
"would",
"argue",
"that",
"inflation",
"deserves",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"emphasis",
".",
"Earlier",
"this",
"month",
"the",
"St.",
"Louis",
"Fed",
"held",
"a",
"conference",
"to",
"assess",
"the",
"system",
"'s",
"first",
"75",
"years",
".",
"Allan",
"Meltzer",
",",
"a",
"Carnegie-Mellon",
"University",
"economist",
",",
"noted",
"that",
"the",
"Fed",
"'s",
"record",
"included",
"the",
"longest",
",",
"most",
"sustained",
",",
"peacetime",
"inflation",
"in",
"our",
"history",
",",
"dating",
"from",
"either",
"1966",
"or",
"1967",
"to",
"1989",
".",
"The",
"inflation-growth",
"argument",
"is",
"an",
"old",
"one",
",",
"but",
"Mr.",
"Brady",
",",
"on",
"the",
"board",
"or",
"off",
",",
"is",
"surely",
"trying",
"to",
"influence",
"Fed",
"policy",
".",
"Equally",
"importantly",
",",
"the",
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"secretary",
"has",
"spearheaded",
"the",
"administration",
"effort",
"to",
"bring",
"the",
"U.S.",
"dollar",
"down",
"by",
"shopping",
"avidly",
"for",
"West",
"German",
"marks",
"and",
"Japanese",
"yen",
".",
"The",
"treasury",
"can",
"do",
"something",
"on",
"its",
"own",
",",
"but",
"to",
"have",
"any",
"hope",
"of",
"success",
"it",
"needs",
"help",
"from",
"the",
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".",
"The",
"central",
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"has",
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",",
"but",
"apparently",
"not",
"especially",
"eagerly",
".",
"The",
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"has",
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"intervening",
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"foreign",
"currency",
"markets",
",",
"all",
"right",
",",
"but",
"through",
"August",
",",
"at",
"least",
",",
"it",
"appeared",
"to",
"be",
"``",
"sterilizing",
"''",
"the",
"intervention",
".",
"In",
"other",
"words",
",",
"it",
"was",
"offsetting",
"purchases",
"of",
"marks",
"and",
"yen",
"by",
"buying",
"dollars",
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"the",
"domestic",
"money",
"market",
".",
"Now",
",",
"sterilized",
"intervention",
"may",
"have",
"some",
"effect",
".",
"When",
"traders",
"see",
"the",
"Fed",
"is",
"in",
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"exchange",
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"it",
"may",
"make",
"them",
"tread",
"a",
"little",
"carefully",
",",
"for",
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".",
"But",
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"generally",
"accepted",
"that",
"sterilized",
"intervention",
"has",
"little",
"or",
"no",
"lasting",
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"currency",
"values",
".",
"After",
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"the",
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"may",
"have",
"stopped",
"sterilizing",
",",
"but",
"it",
"'s",
"hard",
"to",
"see",
"much",
"impact",
"on",
"the",
"dollar",
".",
"The",
"dollar",
"is",
"still",
"highly",
"volatile",
".",
"The",
"Fed",
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"let",
"interest",
"rates",
"slip",
"slightly",
",",
"but",
"whether",
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"was",
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",",
"the",
"gloomy",
"reports",
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"manufacturing",
"employment",
",",
"or",
"the",
"Friday",
"13",
"market",
"drop",
",",
"only",
"Mr.",
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"and",
"his",
"associates",
"know",
".",
"Earlier",
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",",
"Martin",
"Feldstein",
",",
"president",
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"the",
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"of",
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",",
"argued",
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"a",
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",",
"stable",
"exchange",
"rates",
"might",
"try",
"some",
"steady",
"stable",
"economic",
"policies",
".",
"Trying",
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"manage",
"exchange",
"rates",
"to",
"some",
"desired",
"level",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"``",
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"mean",
"diverting",
"monetary",
"and",
"fiscal",
"policies",
"from",
"their",
"customary",
"roles",
"and",
"thereby",
"risking",
"excessive",
"inflation",
"and",
"unemployment",
"and",
"inadequate",
"capital",
"formation",
".",
"''",
"The",
"more",
"we",
"think",
"about",
"it",
",",
"the",
"more",
"we",
"suspect",
"Mr.",
"Brady",
"does",
"indeed",
"have",
"enough",
"power",
"where",
"he",
"already",
"is",
"."
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"``",
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"R.I.",
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[
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"violation",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
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"the",
"Krasnoyarsk",
"radar",
".",
"--",
"``",
"Arms",
"Control",
"Reality",
",",
"''",
"Nov.",
"20",
",",
"1984",
",",
"the",
"first",
"of",
"some",
"20",
"Journal",
"editorials",
"saying",
"that",
"Krasnoyarsk",
"violated",
"the",
"ABM",
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".",
"--",
"``",
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"is",
"for",
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"track",
",",
"it",
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"is",
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"deployed",
",",
"''",
"the",
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"said",
".",
"``",
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"we",
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"it",
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"be",
"not",
"a",
"violation",
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"the",
"ABM",
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"at",
"this",
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".",
"''",
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"included",
"a",
"reporter",
"from",
"the",
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"York",
"Times",
",",
"aides",
"to",
"Sen.",
"Edward",
"M.",
"Kennedy",
"and",
"Rep.",
"Les",
"AuCoin",
",",
"and",
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"Council",
"staff",
"members",
".",
"--",
"The",
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"Post",
",",
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"9",
",",
"1987",
".",
"--",
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"has",
"taken",
"unprecedented",
"unilateral",
"measures",
"of",
"openness",
",",
"by",
"giving",
"American",
"representatives",
"a",
"possibility",
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"the",
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",",
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"no",
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"ABM",
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"on",
"the",
"part",
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"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
".",
"--",
"Letter",
"from",
"Eduard",
"Shevardnadze",
"to",
"U.N.",
"Secretary-General",
"Perez",
"de",
"Cuellar",
",",
"reported",
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"Tass",
",",
"June",
"10",
",",
"1988",
".",
"--",
"The",
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"station",
"equal",
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"the",
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",",
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"it",
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",",
"a",
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"ABM",
".",
"--",
"Eduard",
"Shevardnadze",
",",
"Oct.",
"23",
",",
"1989",
".",
"We",
"'re",
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",",
"we",
"guess",
",",
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"the",
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",",
"five",
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".",
"Perhaps",
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"apologists",
"will",
"now",
"accede",
".",
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"question",
",",
"something",
"intriguing",
"is",
"going",
"on",
"in",
"the",
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"chambers",
"of",
"the",
"Politburo",
".",
"As",
"it",
"bids",
"for",
"new",
"agreements",
",",
"new",
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"and",
"indeed",
"admission",
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",",
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"government",
"has",
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"it",
"has",
"a",
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"problem",
".",
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"after",
"70",
"years",
",",
"it",
"is",
"confessing",
"the",
"obvious",
",",
"hoping",
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"be",
"believed",
"about",
"other",
"things",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"not",
"enough",
".",
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"the",
"Soviets",
"want",
"to",
"be",
"believed",
",",
"they",
"need",
"to",
"start",
"telling",
"the",
"truth",
"about",
"more",
"than",
"the",
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"obvious",
".",
"Our",
"own",
"test",
"of",
"``",
"glasnost",
"'s",
"''",
"authenticity",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"Soviet",
"decision",
"to",
"open",
"itself",
"to",
"a",
"complete",
"international",
"examination",
"of",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"troubling",
"mysteries",
"in",
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"relations",
"--",
"the",
"reported",
"1979",
"anthrax",
"outbreak",
"at",
"a",
"Soviet",
"military",
"facility",
"in",
"Sverdlovsk",
".",
"The",
"U.S.",
"government",
"has",
"never",
"waivered",
"in",
"its",
"assessment",
"of",
"this",
"incident",
"as",
"an",
"accident",
"at",
"a",
"biological",
"weapons",
"facility",
"there",
",",
"and",
"hence",
"a",
"violation",
"of",
"the",
"1972",
"Biological",
"Weapons",
"Convention",
".",
"The",
"Pentagon",
"'s",
"recently",
"issued",
"``",
"Soviet",
"Military",
"Power",
",",
"''",
"though",
"in",
"general",
"adopting",
"a",
"softer",
"line",
",",
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"the",
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"assessment",
".",
"It",
"also",
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"testimony",
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"past",
"February",
":",
"An",
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"the",
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"and",
"Virology",
"Institute",
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"released",
"anthrax",
"germs",
"that",
"caused",
"a",
"significant",
"number",
"of",
"deaths",
".",
"Since",
"Mr.",
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"did",
"not",
"address",
"this",
"topic",
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"the",
"Supreme",
"Soviet",
",",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
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"official",
"position",
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"that",
"the",
"anthrax",
"deaths",
"were",
"caused",
"by",
"tainted",
"meat",
".",
"We",
"doubt",
"this",
"claim",
"just",
"as",
"we",
"doubted",
"Mr.",
"Shevardnadze",
"'s",
"assurance",
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"that",
"Krasnoyarsk",
"did",
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"violate",
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"ABM",
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".",
"And",
"just",
"as",
"we",
"did",
"not",
"believe",
"the",
"tendentious",
"claims",
"of",
"the",
"Congressmen",
"and",
"arms-control",
"advocates",
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",",
"we",
"are",
"in",
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"persuaded",
"by",
"the",
"assent",
"to",
"the",
"tainted-meat",
"theory",
"by",
"a",
"U.S.",
"team",
"of",
"scientists",
"who",
"met",
"with",
"Soviet",
"counterparts",
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"last",
"year",
".",
"The",
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"'",
"explanation",
"is",
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"the",
"anthrax",
"came",
"from",
"one",
"lot",
"of",
"animal",
"feed",
"made",
"from",
"the",
"bones",
"of",
"cattle",
"that",
"grazed",
"on",
"soil",
"that",
"was",
"naturally",
"infected",
"with",
"anthrax",
"spores",
".",
"Harvard",
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"Matthew",
"Meselson",
"--",
"who",
"we",
"read",
"has",
"sold",
"something",
"called",
"the",
"``",
"scientific",
"community",
"''",
"on",
"the",
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"that",
"``",
"yellow",
"rain",
"''",
"attacks",
"on",
"the",
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"Hmong",
"were",
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"the",
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"--",
"found",
"the",
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"``",
"completely",
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".",
"''",
"We",
"do",
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".",
"And",
"we",
"certainly",
"do",
"not",
"believe",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Gorbachev",
"or",
"any",
"of",
"his",
"emissaries",
"yet",
"deserve",
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"have",
"the",
"West",
"take",
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"word",
"for",
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".",
"Sverdlovsk",
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"glasnost",
"and",
"indeed",
"over",
"the",
"legitimacy",
"of",
"the",
"arms-control",
"process",
"itself",
".",
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"complaint",
",",
"as",
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"Krasnoyarsk",
",",
"is",
"no",
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".",
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"have",
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",",
"and",
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"have",
"not",
"been",
"pressed",
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"enough",
"by",
"the",
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".",
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"the",
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",",
"and",
"the",
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[
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"--",
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"you",
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".",
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".",
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"intercept",
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"receiver",
"slips",
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"somehow",
"be",
"advised",
"that",
"we",
"At",
"home",
"can",
"read",
"his",
"lips",
".",
"--",
"Dick",
"Emmons",
"."
] | [
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[
"Ohbayashi",
"Corp.",
"agreed",
"to",
"buy",
"E.W.",
"Howell",
"Co.",
",",
"the",
"U.S.",
"subsidiary",
"of",
"Selmer-Sande",
"AS",
",",
"of",
"Norway",
",",
"for",
"about",
"$",
"7",
"million",
".",
"Howell",
",",
"a",
"Port",
"Washington",
",",
"N.Y.",
",",
"construction",
"concern",
",",
"was",
"established",
"in",
"1891",
".",
"It",
"has",
"three",
"U.S.",
"branches",
".",
"Ohbayashi",
"officials",
"said",
"the",
"purchase",
"was",
"undertaken",
"to",
"participate",
"in",
"ventures",
"in",
"and",
"around",
"New",
"York",
"City",
".",
"They",
"said",
"Howell",
"is",
"particularly",
"successful",
"there",
"because",
"of",
"its",
"membership",
"cooperation",
"with",
"local",
"unions",
".",
"Ohbayashi",
"is",
"Japan",
"'s",
"second",
"largest",
"construction",
"company",
".",
"Until",
"now",
",",
"its",
"inability",
"to",
"form",
"membership",
"ties",
"with",
"organized",
"labor",
"has",
"kept",
"it",
"from",
"penetrating",
"the",
"lucrative",
"New",
"York",
"metropolitan",
"area",
"construction",
"market",
".",
"The",
"company",
"also",
"hopes",
"the",
"latest",
"acquisition",
"will",
"help",
"secure",
"large",
"construction",
"orders",
"from",
"Japanese",
"concerns",
"with",
"U.S.",
"operations",
".",
"Ohbayashi",
"cited",
"industry",
"publications",
"crediting",
"Howell",
",",
"currently",
"capitalized",
"at",
"$",
"2.2",
"million",
",",
"with",
"receiving",
"orders",
"valued",
"at",
"$",
"225",
"million",
"in",
"1988",
".",
"The",
"Japanese",
"company",
"received",
"orders",
"totaling",
"12.44",
"billion",
"yen",
"(",
"$",
"87.9",
"million",
")",
"from",
"its",
"U.S.",
"business",
"activities",
"during",
"the",
"fiscal",
"year",
"ended",
"in",
"March",
"."
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[
"J.P.",
"Industries",
"Inc.",
"said",
"it",
"signed",
"a",
"definitive",
"agreement",
"to",
"sell",
"its",
"Builders",
"'",
"Hardware",
"Group",
"to",
"closely",
"held",
"Nalcor",
"Inc.",
"of",
"Beverly",
"Hills",
",",
"Calif",
".",
"Terms",
"were",
"n't",
"disclosed",
",",
"but",
"a",
"J.P.",
"Industries",
"spokesman",
"said",
"the",
"amount",
"J.P.",
"Industries",
"will",
"get",
"for",
"the",
"group",
"is",
"``",
"a",
"little",
"better",
"than",
"expected",
"by",
"the",
"marketplace",
",",
"and",
"the",
"marketplace",
"had",
"been",
"expecting",
"$",
"25",
"million",
"to",
"$",
"30",
"million",
".",
"''",
"The",
"group",
"consists",
"of",
"Weslock",
"Corp.",
"and",
"JPI",
"Modern",
"Inc",
".",
"J.P.",
"Industries",
",",
"which",
"is",
"based",
"in",
"Ann",
"Arbor",
",",
"Mich.",
",",
"said",
"the",
"sale",
"completes",
"a",
"previously",
"announced",
"program",
"to",
"divest",
"itself",
"of",
"its",
"hardware",
"and",
"plumbing",
"supplies",
"operations",
".",
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"company",
"'s",
"remaining",
"business",
"is",
"the",
"manufacture",
"and",
"sale",
"of",
"engine",
"and",
"transmissions",
"products",
"for",
"industrial",
"and",
"transportation",
"applications",
"."
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[
"In",
"another",
"reflection",
"that",
"the",
"growth",
"of",
"the",
"economy",
"is",
"leveling",
"off",
",",
"the",
"government",
"said",
"that",
"orders",
"for",
"manufactured",
"goods",
"and",
"spending",
"on",
"construction",
"failed",
"to",
"rise",
"in",
"September",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"the",
"National",
"Association",
"of",
"Purchasing",
"Management",
"said",
"its",
"latest",
"survey",
"indicated",
"that",
"the",
"manufacturing",
"economy",
"contracted",
"in",
"October",
"for",
"the",
"sixth",
"consecutive",
"month",
".",
"Its",
"index",
"inched",
"up",
"to",
"47.6",
"%",
"in",
"October",
"from",
"46",
"%",
"in",
"September",
".",
"Any",
"reading",
"below",
"50",
"%",
"suggests",
"the",
"manufacturing",
"sector",
"is",
"generally",
"declining",
".",
"The",
"purchasing",
"managers",
",",
"however",
",",
"also",
"said",
"that",
"orders",
"turned",
"up",
"in",
"October",
"after",
"four",
"months",
"of",
"decline",
".",
"Factories",
"booked",
"$",
"236.74",
"billion",
"in",
"orders",
"in",
"September",
",",
"nearly",
"the",
"same",
"as",
"the",
"$",
"236.79",
"billion",
"in",
"August",
",",
"the",
"Commerce",
"Department",
"said",
".",
"If",
"not",
"for",
"a",
"59.6",
"%",
"surge",
"in",
"orders",
"for",
"capital",
"goods",
"by",
"defense",
"contractors",
",",
"factory",
"orders",
"would",
"have",
"fallen",
"2.1",
"%",
".",
"In",
"a",
"separate",
"report",
",",
"the",
"department",
"said",
"construction",
"spending",
"ran",
"at",
"an",
"annual",
"rate",
"of",
"$",
"415.6",
"billion",
",",
"not",
"significantly",
"different",
"from",
"the",
"$",
"415.8",
"billion",
"reported",
"for",
"August",
".",
"Private",
"construction",
"spending",
"was",
"down",
",",
"but",
"government",
"building",
"activity",
"was",
"up",
".",
"The",
"figures",
"in",
"both",
"reports",
"were",
"adjusted",
"to",
"remove",
"the",
"effects",
"of",
"usual",
"seasonal",
"patterns",
",",
"but",
"were",
"n't",
"adjusted",
"for",
"inflation",
".",
"Kenneth",
"Mayland",
",",
"economist",
"for",
"Society",
"Corp.",
",",
"a",
"Cleveland",
"bank",
",",
"said",
"demand",
"for",
"exports",
"of",
"factory",
"goods",
"is",
"beginning",
"to",
"taper",
"off",
".",
"At",
"the",
"same",
"time",
",",
"the",
"drop",
"in",
"interest",
"rates",
"since",
"the",
"spring",
"has",
"failed",
"to",
"revive",
"the",
"residential",
"construction",
"industry",
".",
"``",
"What",
"sector",
"is",
"stepping",
"forward",
"to",
"pick",
"up",
"the",
"slack",
"?",
"''",
"he",
"asked",
".",
"``",
"I",
"draw",
"a",
"blank",
".",
"''",
"By",
"most",
"measures",
",",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"industrial",
"sector",
"is",
"now",
"growing",
"very",
"slowly",
"--",
"if",
"at",
"all",
".",
"Factory",
"payrolls",
"fell",
"in",
"September",
".",
"So",
"did",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"Board",
"'s",
"industrial-production",
"index",
".",
"Yet",
"many",
"economists",
"are",
"n't",
"predicting",
"that",
"the",
"economy",
"is",
"about",
"to",
"slip",
"into",
"recession",
".",
"They",
"cite",
"a",
"lack",
"of",
"``",
"imbalances",
"''",
"that",
"provide",
"early",
"warning",
"signals",
"of",
"a",
"downturn",
".",
"Inventories",
"are",
"closely",
"watched",
"for",
"such",
"clues",
",",
"for",
"instance",
".",
"Economists",
"say",
"a",
"buildup",
"in",
"inventories",
"can",
"provoke",
"cutbacks",
"in",
"production",
"that",
"can",
"lead",
"to",
"a",
"recession",
".",
"But",
"yesterday",
"'s",
"factory",
"orders",
"report",
"had",
"good",
"news",
"on",
"that",
"front",
":",
"it",
"said",
"factory",
"inventories",
"fell",
"0.1",
"%",
"in",
"September",
",",
"the",
"first",
"decline",
"since",
"February",
"1987",
".",
"``",
"This",
"conforms",
"to",
"the",
"`",
"soft",
"landing",
"'",
"scenario",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Elliott",
"Platt",
",",
"an",
"economist",
"at",
"Donaldson",
",",
"Lufkin",
"&",
"Jenrette",
"Securities",
"Corp",
".",
"``",
"I",
"do",
"n't",
"see",
"any",
"signs",
"that",
"inventories",
"are",
"excessive",
".",
"''",
"A",
"soft",
"landing",
"is",
"an",
"economic",
"slowdown",
"that",
"eases",
"inflation",
"without",
"leading",
"to",
"a",
"recession",
".",
"The",
"department",
"said",
"orders",
"for",
"nondurable",
"goods",
"--",
"those",
"intended",
"to",
"last",
"fewer",
"than",
"three",
"years",
"--",
"fell",
"0.3",
"%",
"in",
"September",
"to",
"$",
"109.73",
"billion",
"after",
"climbing",
"0.9",
"%",
"the",
"month",
"before",
".",
"Orders",
"for",
"durable",
"goods",
"were",
"up",
"0.2",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"127.03",
"billion",
"after",
"rising",
"3.9",
"%",
"the",
"month",
"before",
".",
"The",
"department",
"previously",
"estimated",
"that",
"durable-goods",
"orders",
"fell",
"0.1",
"%",
"in",
"September",
".",
"Factory",
"shipments",
"fell",
"1.6",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"234.4",
"billion",
"after",
"rising",
"5.4",
"%",
"in",
"August",
".",
"Shipments",
"have",
"been",
"relatively",
"level",
"since",
"January",
",",
"the",
"Commerce",
"Department",
"noted",
".",
"Manufacturers",
"'",
"backlogs",
"of",
"unfilled",
"orders",
"rose",
"0.5",
"%",
"in",
"September",
"to",
"$",
"497.34",
"billion",
",",
"helped",
"by",
"strength",
"in",
"the",
"defense",
"capital",
"goods",
"sector",
".",
"Excluding",
"these",
"orders",
",",
"backlogs",
"declined",
"0.3",
"%",
".",
"In",
"its",
"construction",
"spending",
"report",
",",
"the",
"Commerce",
"Department",
"said",
"residential",
"construction",
",",
"which",
"accounts",
"for",
"nearly",
"half",
"of",
"all",
"construction",
"spending",
",",
"was",
"off",
"0.9",
"%",
"in",
"September",
"to",
"an",
"annual",
"rate",
"of",
"$",
"191.9",
"billion",
".",
"David",
"Berson",
",",
"economist",
"for",
"the",
"Mortgage",
"Bankers",
"Association",
",",
"predicted",
"the",
"drop",
"in",
"interest",
"rates",
"eventually",
"will",
"boost",
"spending",
"on",
"single-family",
"homes",
",",
"but",
"probably",
"not",
"until",
"early",
"next",
"year",
".",
"Spending",
"on",
"private",
",",
"nonresidential",
"construction",
"was",
"off",
"2.6",
"%",
"to",
"an",
"annual",
"rate",
"of",
"$",
"99.1",
"billion",
"with",
"no",
"sector",
"showing",
"strength",
".",
"Government",
"construction",
"spending",
"rose",
"4.3",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"88",
"billion",
".",
"After",
"adjusting",
"for",
"inflation",
",",
"the",
"Commerce",
"Department",
"said",
"construction",
"spending",
"did",
"n't",
"change",
"in",
"September",
".",
"For",
"the",
"first",
"nine",
"months",
"of",
"the",
"year",
",",
"total",
"construction",
"spending",
"ran",
"about",
"2",
"%",
"above",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"level",
".",
"The",
"government",
"'s",
"construction",
"spending",
"figures",
"contrast",
"with",
"a",
"report",
"issued",
"earlier",
"in",
"the",
"week",
"by",
"McGraw-Hill",
"Inc.",
"'s",
"F.W.",
"Dodge",
"Group",
".",
"Dodge",
"reported",
"an",
"8",
"%",
"increase",
"in",
"construction",
"contracts",
"awarded",
"in",
"September",
".",
"The",
"goverment",
"counts",
"money",
"as",
"it",
"is",
"spent",
";",
"Dodge",
"counts",
"contracts",
"when",
"they",
"are",
"awarded",
".",
"The",
"government",
"includes",
"money",
"spent",
"on",
"residential",
"renovation",
";",
"Dodge",
"does",
"n't",
".",
"Although",
"the",
"purchasing",
"managers",
"'",
"index",
"continues",
"to",
"indicate",
"a",
"slowing",
"economy",
",",
"it",
"is",
"n't",
"signaling",
"an",
"imminent",
"recession",
",",
"said",
"Robert",
"Bretz",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"association",
"'s",
"survey",
"committee",
"and",
"director",
"of",
"materials",
"management",
"at",
"Pitney",
"Bowes",
"Inc.",
",",
"Stamford",
",",
"Conn",
".",
"He",
"said",
"the",
"index",
"would",
"have",
"to",
"be",
"in",
"the",
"low",
"40",
"%",
"range",
"for",
"several",
"months",
"to",
"be",
"considered",
"a",
"forecast",
"of",
"recession",
".",
"The",
"report",
"offered",
"new",
"evidence",
"that",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"export",
"growth",
",",
"though",
"still",
"continuing",
",",
"may",
"be",
"slowing",
".",
"Only",
"19",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"purchasing",
"managers",
"reported",
"better",
"export",
"orders",
"in",
"October",
",",
"down",
"from",
"27",
"%",
"in",
"September",
".",
"And",
"8",
"%",
"said",
"export",
"orders",
"were",
"down",
"last",
"month",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"6",
"%",
"the",
"month",
"before",
".",
"The",
"purhasing",
"managers",
"'",
"report",
"also",
"added",
"evidence",
"that",
"inflation",
"is",
"under",
"control",
".",
"For",
"the",
"fifth",
"consecutive",
"month",
",",
"purchasing",
"managers",
"said",
"prices",
"for",
"the",
"goods",
"they",
"purchased",
"fell",
".",
"The",
"decline",
"was",
"even",
"steeper",
"than",
"in",
"September",
".",
"They",
"also",
"said",
"that",
"vendors",
"were",
"delivering",
"goods",
"more",
"quickly",
"in",
"October",
"than",
"they",
"had",
"for",
"each",
"of",
"the",
"five",
"previous",
"months",
".",
"Economists",
"consider",
"that",
"a",
"sign",
"that",
"inflationary",
"pressures",
"are",
"abating",
".",
"When",
"demand",
"is",
"stronger",
"than",
"suppliers",
"can",
"handle",
"and",
"delivery",
"times",
"lengthen",
",",
"prices",
"tend",
"to",
"rise",
".",
"The",
"purchasing",
"managers",
"'",
"report",
"is",
"based",
"on",
"data",
"provided",
"by",
"more",
"than",
"250",
"purchasing",
"executives",
".",
"Each",
"of",
"the",
"survey",
"'s",
"indicators",
"gauges",
"the",
"difference",
"between",
"the",
"number",
"of",
"purchasers",
"reporting",
"improvement",
"in",
"a",
"particular",
"area",
"and",
"the",
"number",
"reporting",
"a",
"worsening",
".",
"For",
"the",
"first",
"time",
",",
"the",
"October",
"survey",
"polled",
"members",
"on",
"imports",
".",
"It",
"found",
"that",
"of",
"the",
"73",
"%",
"who",
"import",
",",
"10",
"%",
"said",
"they",
"imported",
"more",
"in",
"October",
"and",
"12",
"%",
"said",
"they",
"imported",
"less",
"than",
"the",
"previous",
"month",
".",
"While",
"acknowledging",
"one",
"month",
"'s",
"figures",
"do",
"n't",
"prove",
"a",
"trend",
",",
"Mr.",
"Bretz",
"said",
",",
"``",
"It",
"does",
"lead",
"you",
"to",
"suspect",
"imports",
"are",
"going",
"down",
",",
"or",
"at",
"least",
"not",
"increasing",
"that",
"much",
".",
"''",
"Items",
"listed",
"as",
"being",
"in",
"short",
"supply",
"numbered",
"only",
"about",
"a",
"dozen",
",",
"but",
"they",
"included",
"one",
"newcomer",
":",
"milk",
"and",
"milk",
"powder",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"an",
"odd",
"thing",
"to",
"put",
"on",
"the",
"list",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Bretz",
"noted",
".",
"He",
"said",
"that",
"for",
"the",
"second",
"month",
"in",
"a",
"row",
",",
"food",
"processors",
"reported",
"a",
"shortage",
"of",
"nonfat",
"dry",
"milk",
".",
"They",
"blamed",
"increased",
"demand",
"for",
"dairy",
"products",
"at",
"a",
"time",
"of",
"exceptionally",
"high",
"U.S.",
"exports",
"of",
"dry",
"milk",
",",
"coupled",
"with",
"very",
"low",
"import",
"quotas",
".",
"Pamela",
"Sebastian",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
".",
"Here",
"are",
"the",
"Commerce",
"Department",
"'s",
"figures",
"for",
"construction",
"spending",
"in",
"billions",
"of",
"dollars",
"at",
"seasonally",
"adjusted",
"annual",
"rates",
".",
"Here",
"are",
"the",
"Commerce",
"Department",
"'s",
"latest",
"figures",
"for",
"manufacturers",
"in",
"billions",
"of",
"dollars",
",",
"seasonally",
"adjusted",
"."
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"Several",
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".",
"``",
"What",
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"--",
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".",
"Pressure",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"wrote",
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",",
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"``",
"Their",
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"them",
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"''",
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"arbitrage",
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"Index",
"arbitragers",
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",",
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"accelerates",
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"increases",
"the",
"chance",
"for",
"a",
"crash",
".",
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"Richard",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"Contel",
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",",
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"Sanford",
"Weill",
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"Primerica",
"Corp.",
",",
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"Smith",
"Barney",
",",
"Harris",
"Upham",
"&",
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";",
"GTE",
"Corp.",
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"James",
"Johnson",
",",
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"ITT",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"Rand",
"Araskog",
".",
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"'",
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"some",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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"week",
"succeeded",
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".",
"Kemper",
"Corp.",
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"Financial",
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"Bear",
"Stearns",
",",
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"Stanley",
",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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[
"International",
"Business",
"Machines",
"Corp.",
"said",
"earnings",
"tumbled",
"30",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"even",
"a",
"bit",
"further",
"than",
"expected",
",",
"rendering",
"the",
"outlook",
"doubtful",
"for",
"the",
"next",
"few",
"quarters",
".",
"The",
"main",
"reason",
"was",
"a",
"delay",
"in",
"shipment",
"of",
"new",
"high-end",
"disk",
"drives",
",",
"a",
"business",
"that",
"accounts",
"for",
"some",
"10",
"%",
"of",
"IBM",
"'s",
"$",
"60",
"billion",
"of",
"annual",
"revenue",
".",
"IBM",
",",
"which",
"telegraphed",
"the",
"poor",
"results",
"three",
"weeks",
"ago",
",",
"also",
"cited",
"an",
"increase",
"in",
"its",
"leasing",
"business",
",",
"which",
"tends",
"to",
"lock",
"in",
"business",
"long-term",
"but",
"cut",
"revenue",
"in",
"the",
"near",
"term",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"IBM",
"noted",
"that",
"the",
"stronger",
"dollar",
"has",
"cut",
"the",
"value",
"of",
"overseas",
"revenue",
"and",
"earnings",
"when",
"they",
"are",
"translated",
"into",
"dollars",
".",
"Earnings",
"fell",
"to",
"$",
"877",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"1.51",
"a",
"share",
",",
"somewhat",
"below",
"securities",
"analysts",
"'",
"revised",
"expectations",
"of",
"around",
"$",
"1.60",
"a",
"share",
".",
"That",
"compared",
"with",
"the",
"year-earlier",
"$",
"1.25",
"billion",
",",
"or",
"$",
"2.10",
"a",
"share",
"--",
"which",
"was",
"inflated",
"by",
"a",
"15-cents-a-share",
"gain",
"from",
"the",
"sale",
"of",
"some",
"MCI",
"Communications",
"Corp.",
"stock",
"and",
"by",
"an",
"unspecified",
"amount",
"from",
"a",
"payment",
"by",
"Fujitsu",
"Ltd.",
"relating",
"to",
"a",
"software",
"dispute",
".",
"Revenue",
"climbed",
"4.3",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"14.31",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"13.71",
"billion",
".",
"IBM",
",",
"Armonk",
",",
"N.Y.",
",",
"remained",
"upbeat",
".",
"The",
"computer",
"giant",
",",
"whose",
"U.S.",
"results",
"have",
"been",
"dismal",
"for",
"years",
",",
"noted",
"that",
"revenue",
"rose",
"again",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"following",
"an",
"increase",
"in",
"the",
"second",
"period",
".",
"The",
"company",
"said",
"in",
"a",
"statement",
"that",
"``",
"demand",
"for",
"IBM",
"products",
"and",
"services",
"continues",
"to",
"be",
"good",
"world-wide",
".",
"We",
"do",
"not",
"see",
"anything",
"in",
"the",
"fundamentals",
"of",
"our",
"business",
"that",
"would",
"cause",
"us",
"to",
"change",
"our",
"strategy",
"of",
"investing",
"for",
"profitable",
"growth",
".",
"''",
"Securities",
"analysts",
",",
"however",
",",
"remained",
"downbeat",
".",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"1990",
"will",
"be",
"another",
"mediocre",
"year",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Steve",
"Milunovich",
"of",
"First",
"Boston",
".",
"Jay",
"Stevens",
"of",
"Dean",
"Witter",
"actually",
"cut",
"his",
"per-share",
"earnings",
"estimate",
"to",
"$",
"9",
"from",
"$",
"9.50",
"for",
"1989",
"and",
"to",
"$",
"9.50",
"from",
"$",
"10.35",
"in",
"1990",
"because",
"he",
"decided",
"sales",
"would",
"be",
"even",
"weaker",
"than",
"he",
"had",
"expected",
".",
"Both",
"estimates",
"would",
"mark",
"declines",
"from",
"the",
"1988",
"net",
"of",
"$",
"5.81",
"billion",
",",
"or",
"$",
"9.80",
"a",
"share",
",",
"which",
"itself",
"was",
"well",
"below",
"the",
"record",
"IBM",
"set",
"in",
"1984",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"said",
"he",
"kept",
"a",
"``",
"buy/hold",
"''",
"recommendation",
"on",
"the",
"stock",
"only",
"because",
"``",
"all",
"the",
"damage",
"has",
"been",
"done",
".",
"''",
"He",
"said",
"the",
"stock",
"has",
"n't",
"traded",
"below",
"1",
"1/2",
"times",
"book",
"value",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"10",
"years",
",",
"which",
"at",
"the",
"moment",
"computes",
"to",
"a",
"stock",
"price",
"of",
"$",
"100",
".",
"The",
"stock",
"closed",
"yesterday",
"at",
"$",
"103",
"a",
"share",
",",
"up",
"just",
"$",
"1",
"in",
"composite",
"trading",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"as",
"the",
"market",
"surged",
".",
"Analysts",
"worry",
"that",
"the",
"disk-drive",
"and",
"leasing",
"problems",
"will",
"last",
"at",
"least",
"through",
"the",
"first",
"quarter",
".",
"``",
"A",
"key",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"question",
"is",
",",
"how",
"soon",
"does",
"this",
"disk-drive",
"come",
"and",
"how",
"soon",
"does",
"production",
"ramp",
"up",
"?",
"''",
"said",
"Steve",
"Cohen",
"at",
"SoundView",
"Financial",
"Group",
".",
"``",
"And",
"the",
"input",
"I",
"'ve",
"had",
"from",
"customers",
"is",
"that",
"it",
"still",
"could",
"be",
"a",
"while",
".",
"''",
"On",
"leasing",
",",
"Bob",
"Djurdjevic",
"at",
"Annex",
"Research",
"said",
"he",
"thinks",
"IBM",
"has",
"hurt",
"itself",
"unnecessarily",
".",
"He",
"said",
"IBM",
"has",
"priced",
"its",
"leases",
"aggressively",
",",
"thinking",
"that",
"would",
"help",
"win",
"business",
".",
"But",
"he",
"said",
"IBM",
"would",
"have",
"won",
"the",
"business",
"anyway",
"as",
"a",
"sale",
"to",
"a",
"third",
"party",
"that",
"would",
"have",
"then",
"leased",
"the",
"equipment",
"to",
"the",
"customer",
".",
"He",
"said",
"IBM",
"has",
"not",
"only",
"hurt",
"its",
"short-term",
"revenue",
"outlook",
"but",
"has",
"also",
"been",
"losing",
"money",
"on",
"its",
"leases",
".",
"Bob",
"Bardagy",
",",
"executive",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"marketing",
"at",
"Comdisco",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"huge",
"leasing",
"firm",
",",
"said",
":",
"``",
"To",
"put",
"it",
"mildly",
",",
"IBM",
"Credit",
"has",
"been",
"doing",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"worst",
"economic",
"deals",
"of",
"any",
"leasing",
"company",
"we",
"have",
"ever",
"seen",
".",
"''",
"IBM",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"get",
"a",
"boost",
"soon",
"when",
"it",
"announces",
"some",
"new",
"versions",
"of",
"its",
"mainframes",
".",
"But",
"the",
"basic",
"technology",
"in",
"the",
"line",
"is",
"almost",
"five",
"years",
"old",
",",
"which",
"means",
"it",
"is",
"long",
"in",
"the",
"tooth",
",",
"and",
"competitors",
"are",
"rolling",
"out",
"strong",
"products",
"of",
"their",
"own",
".",
"IBM",
"is",
"gaining",
"momentum",
"in",
"the",
"personal-computer",
"market",
",",
"and",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"introduce",
"some",
"impressive",
"workstations",
"early",
"next",
"year",
".",
"But",
"it",
"'s",
"hard",
"to",
"squeeze",
"much",
"profit",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"personal-computer",
"business",
"these",
"days",
",",
"and",
"the",
"workstation",
"market",
",",
"while",
"important",
",",
"is",
"too",
"small",
"to",
"rely",
"on",
"for",
"much",
"growth",
".",
"The",
"disk",
"drives",
"will",
"doubtless",
"sell",
"well",
"when",
"they",
"finally",
"become",
"available",
".",
"But",
"the",
"AS/400",
",",
"IBM",
"'s",
"highly",
"successful",
"minicomputer",
"line",
",",
"is",
"losing",
"its",
"momentum",
",",
"and",
"some",
"analysts",
"said",
"sales",
"could",
"even",
"decline",
"in",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"IBM",
"'s",
"growth",
"in",
"software",
"in",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"was",
"just",
"8.8",
"%",
",",
"well",
"below",
"historical",
"levels",
"even",
"when",
"adjusted",
"to",
"reflect",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"payment",
"from",
"Fujitsu",
"and",
"the",
"stronger",
"dollar",
".",
"And",
"expenses",
",",
"up",
"7.9",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"quarter",
",",
"have",
"stayed",
"stubbornly",
"high",
".",
"In",
"the",
"nine",
"months",
",",
"IBM",
"earned",
"$",
"3.17",
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",",
"or",
"$",
"5.43",
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"share",
",",
"down",
"8.4",
"%",
"from",
"the",
"year-earlier",
"$",
"3.46",
"billion",
",",
"or",
"$",
"5.83",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Revenue",
"increased",
"6.5",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"42.25",
"billion",
"from",
"$",
"39.68",
"billion",
"."
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[
"Weatherford",
"International",
"Inc.",
"said",
"it",
"canceled",
"plans",
"for",
"a",
"preferred-stock",
"swap",
"but",
"may",
"resume",
"payment",
"of",
"dividends",
"on",
"the",
"stock",
",",
"and",
"added",
"that",
"it",
"expects",
"to",
"publicly",
"offer",
"about",
"10",
"million",
"common",
"shares",
".",
"The",
"company",
"said",
"it",
"planned",
"to",
"offer",
"an",
"undetermined",
"number",
"of",
"common",
"shares",
"in",
"exchange",
"for",
"the",
"585,000",
"shares",
"of",
"its",
"preferred",
"stock",
"outstanding",
".",
"The",
"exchange",
"ratio",
"was",
"never",
"established",
".",
"Weatherford",
"said",
"market",
"conditions",
"led",
"to",
"the",
"cancellation",
"of",
"the",
"planned",
"exchange",
".",
"The",
"energy-services",
"concern",
"said",
",",
"however",
",",
"that",
"in",
"January",
"1990",
",",
"it",
"may",
"resume",
"payments",
"of",
"dividends",
"on",
"the",
"preferred",
"stock",
".",
"Weatherford",
"suspended",
"its",
"preferred-dividend",
"payment",
"in",
"October",
"1985",
"and",
"said",
"it",
"has",
"n't",
"any",
"plans",
"to",
"catch",
"up",
"on",
"dividends",
"in",
"arrears",
"about",
"$",
"6",
"million",
",",
"but",
"will",
"do",
"so",
"some",
"time",
"in",
"the",
"future",
".",
"Additionally",
",",
"the",
"company",
"said",
"it",
"filed",
"with",
"the",
"Securities",
"and",
"Exchange",
"Commission",
"for",
"the",
"proposed",
"offering",
"of",
"10",
"million",
"shares",
"of",
"common",
"stock",
",",
"expected",
"to",
"be",
"offered",
"in",
"November",
".",
"The",
"company",
"said",
"Salomon",
"Brothers",
"Inc.",
"and",
"Howard",
",",
"Weil",
",",
"Labouisse",
",",
"Friedrichs",
"Inc.",
",",
"underwriters",
"for",
"the",
"offering",
",",
"were",
"granted",
"an",
"option",
"to",
"buy",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"an",
"additional",
"1.5",
"million",
"shares",
"to",
"cover",
"over-allotments",
".",
"Proceeds",
"will",
"be",
"used",
"to",
"eliminate",
"and",
"restructure",
"bank",
"debt",
".",
"Weatherford",
"currently",
"has",
"approximately",
"11.1",
"million",
"common",
"shares",
"outstanding",
"."
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[
"Troubled",
"Saatchi",
"&",
"Saatchi",
"Co.",
"has",
"attracted",
"offers",
"for",
"some",
"of",
"its",
"advertising",
"units",
",",
"with",
"potential",
"suitors",
"including",
"Interpublic",
"Group",
",",
"but",
"has",
"rejected",
"them",
",",
"people",
"familiar",
"with",
"the",
"company",
"said",
".",
"Industry",
"executives",
"said",
"Interpublic",
"approached",
"Saatchi",
"in",
"August",
"about",
"buying",
"its",
"Campbell-Mithun-Esty",
"unit",
",",
"but",
"was",
"turned",
"down",
"by",
"Chairman",
"Maurice",
"Saatchi",
".",
"More",
"recently",
",",
"Interpublic",
"inquired",
"about",
"one",
"of",
"Saatchi",
"'s",
"smaller",
"communications",
"companies",
"--",
"identified",
"as",
"the",
"Rowland",
"public",
"relations",
"firm",
"by",
"several",
"industry",
"executives",
"--",
"but",
"again",
"was",
"rebuffed",
",",
"they",
"said",
".",
"Interpublic",
"'s",
"chairman",
"and",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
",",
"Philip",
"Geier",
"Jr.",
",",
"made",
"the",
"pitches",
"in",
"visits",
"to",
"Mr.",
"Saatchi",
"in",
"London",
",",
"the",
"executives",
"said",
".",
"A",
"Saatchi",
"spokesman",
"declined",
"to",
"comment",
"about",
"Interpublic",
".",
"But",
"the",
"spokesman",
"confirmed",
"that",
"Saatchi",
"has",
"received",
"several",
"inquiries",
"from",
"companies",
"interested",
"in",
"acquiring",
"its",
"Campbell-Mithun",
"and",
"Rowland",
"units",
".",
"He",
"added",
",",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"no",
"intention",
"of",
"selling",
"either",
"business",
".",
"''",
"Interpublic",
"declined",
"comment",
".",
"The",
"offers",
"come",
"as",
"Saatchi",
"is",
"struggling",
"through",
"the",
"most",
"troubled",
"period",
"in",
"its",
"19-year",
"history",
".",
"Takeover",
"speculation",
"has",
"been",
"rife",
",",
"its",
"consulting",
"business",
"is",
"on",
"the",
"block",
",",
"and",
"its",
"largest",
"shareholder",
",",
"Southeastern",
"Asset",
"Management",
",",
"has",
"said",
"it",
"'s",
"been",
"approached",
"by",
"third",
"parties",
"regarding",
"a",
"possible",
"restructuring",
".",
"Analysts",
"have",
"continually",
"lowered",
"their",
"earnings",
"estimates",
"for",
"the",
"company",
",",
"and",
"their",
"outlook",
",",
"at",
"least",
"for",
"the",
"short",
"term",
",",
"is",
"bleak",
".",
"In",
"the",
"midst",
"of",
"the",
"current",
"turmoil",
",",
"Saatchi",
"is",
"attempting",
"to",
"shore",
"up",
"its",
"ad",
"businesses",
".",
"It",
"named",
"a",
"new",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
",",
"former",
"IMS",
"International",
"head",
"Robert",
"Louis-Dreyfus",
".",
"It",
"rebuffed",
"an",
"offer",
"by",
"Carl",
"Spielvogel",
",",
"head",
"of",
"Saatchi",
"'s",
"Backer",
"Spielvogel",
"Bates",
"unit",
",",
"to",
"lead",
"a",
"management",
"buy-out",
"of",
"all",
"or",
"part",
"of",
"Saatchi",
".",
"And",
"last",
"week",
",",
"people",
"close",
"to",
"Saatchi",
"said",
"Maurice",
"Saatchi",
"and",
"his",
"brother",
",",
"Charles",
",",
"would",
"lead",
"a",
"buy-out",
"if",
"a",
"hostile",
"bid",
"emerged",
".",
"But",
"Saatchi",
"'s",
"troubles",
"have",
"only",
"whipped",
"up",
"interest",
"among",
"outsiders",
"interested",
"in",
"picking",
"off",
"pieces",
"of",
"its",
"ad",
"businesses",
".",
"While",
"Saatchi",
"'s",
"major",
"agency",
"networks",
"--",
"Backer",
"Spielvogel",
"and",
"Saatchi",
"&",
"Saatchi",
"Advertising",
"--",
"would",
"be",
"difficult",
"for",
"any",
"ad",
"firm",
"to",
"buy",
"because",
"of",
"potential",
"client",
"conflicts",
",",
"its",
"smaller",
"businesses",
"are",
"quite",
"attractive",
".",
"Campbell-Mithun-Esty",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"has",
"had",
"big",
"problems",
"at",
"its",
"New",
"York",
"office",
",",
"but",
"offers",
"strong",
"offices",
"in",
"other",
"areas",
"of",
"the",
"country",
",",
"including",
"Minneapolis",
"and",
"Chicago",
".",
"That",
"would",
"would",
"make",
"it",
"appealing",
"to",
"a",
"network",
"such",
"as",
"Interpublic",
"that",
"already",
"has",
"a",
"healthy",
"New",
"York",
"presence",
".",
"(",
"While",
"there",
"would",
"be",
"some",
"client",
"conflicts",
",",
"they",
"would",
"n't",
"be",
"nearly",
"as",
"onerous",
"as",
"with",
"Saatchi",
"'s",
"other",
"agencies",
".",
")",
"Campbell-Mithun",
"also",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"sizable",
"addition",
"to",
"an",
"agency",
"network",
":",
"It",
"has",
"billings",
"of",
"about",
"$",
"850",
"million",
"and",
"blue-chip",
"clients",
"including",
"General",
"Mills",
",",
"Jeep/Eagle",
"and",
"Dow",
"Brands",
".",
"Rowland",
",",
"meanwhile",
",",
"has",
"expanded",
"aggressively",
",",
"and",
"now",
"ranks",
"as",
"the",
"fifth-largest",
"U.S.",
"public",
"relations",
"firm",
",",
"according",
"to",
"O'Dwyer's",
"Directory",
"of",
"Public",
"Relations",
"Firms",
".",
"It",
"would",
"be",
"attractive",
"to",
"an",
"agency",
"such",
"as",
"Interpublic",
",",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"few",
"big",
"agency",
"groups",
"without",
"an",
"affiliated",
"public",
"relations",
"firm",
"of",
"its",
"own",
".",
"Other",
"Saatchi",
"units",
"include",
"ad",
"agency",
"McCaffrey",
"&",
"McCall",
",",
"which",
"has",
"the",
"Mercedes",
"account",
"and",
"which",
"has",
"been",
"attempting",
"to",
"buy",
"itself",
"back",
";",
"and",
"Howard",
"Marlboro",
",",
"a",
"sports",
"and",
"event",
"marketing",
"firm",
".",
"Despite",
"Saatchi",
"'s",
"firm",
"stand",
"against",
"selling",
"its",
"ad",
"units",
",",
"U.S.",
"analysts",
"believe",
"the",
"company",
"may",
"ultimately",
"sell",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"smaller",
"units",
".",
"Mr.",
"Louis-Dreyfus",
",",
"in",
"a",
"recent",
"interview",
",",
"said",
"he",
"might",
"sell",
"``",
"a",
"marginal",
"agency",
"or",
"office",
".",
"''",
"Analysts",
"believe",
"he",
"may",
"ultimately",
"dispose",
"of",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"non-advertising",
"businesses",
".",
"Prudential",
"'s",
"Final",
"Four",
"Prudential",
"Insurance",
"Co.",
"of",
"America",
"said",
"it",
"selected",
"four",
"agencies",
"to",
"pitch",
"its",
"$",
"60",
"million",
"to",
"$",
"70",
"million",
"account",
".",
"In",
"addition",
"to",
"Backer",
"Spielvogel",
"Bates",
",",
"a",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"as",
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".",
"In",
"New",
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"trading",
",",
"American",
"Home",
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"rose",
"75",
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"$",
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[
"Labor",
"Secretary",
"Elizabeth",
"Dole",
"named",
"a",
"mediator",
"to",
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"resolve",
"the",
"lengthy",
"labor",
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"Mine",
"Workers",
"and",
"Pittston",
"Co",
".",
"W.J.",
"Usery",
"Jr.",
",",
"labor",
"secretary",
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"administration",
",",
"was",
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"mediate",
"talks",
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"strike",
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"the",
"UMW",
".",
"Previous",
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"between",
"Pittston",
",",
"of",
"Greenwich",
",",
"Conn.",
",",
"and",
"the",
"union",
"have",
"been",
"sporadic",
"and",
"unsuccessful",
".",
"The",
"union",
"called",
"the",
"strike",
"in",
"April",
"after",
"Pittston",
"refused",
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"sign",
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"UMW",
"'s",
"national",
"labor",
"pact",
".",
"Pittston",
"seeks",
"changes",
"in",
"health",
"and",
"pension",
"benefits",
",",
"among",
"other",
"things",
".",
"No",
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"for",
"formal",
"talks",
"was",
"set",
",",
"but",
"meetings",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"begin",
"soon",
"."
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[
"Japanese",
"investment",
"in",
"Southeast",
"Asia",
"is",
"propelling",
"the",
"region",
"toward",
"economic",
"integration",
".",
"Interviews",
"with",
"analysts",
"and",
"business",
"people",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"suggest",
"that",
"Japanese",
"capital",
"may",
"produce",
"the",
"economic",
"cooperation",
"that",
"Southeast",
"Asian",
"politicians",
"have",
"pursued",
"in",
"fits",
"and",
"starts",
"for",
"decades",
".",
"But",
"Japan",
"'s",
"power",
"in",
"the",
"region",
"also",
"is",
"sparking",
"fears",
"of",
"domination",
"and",
"posing",
"fresh",
"policy",
"questions",
".",
"The",
"flow",
"of",
"Japanese",
"funds",
"has",
"set",
"in",
"motion",
"``",
"a",
"process",
"whereby",
"these",
"economies",
"will",
"be",
"knitted",
"together",
"by",
"the",
"great",
"Japanese",
"investment",
"machine",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Robert",
"Hormats",
",",
"vice",
"chairman",
"of",
"Goldman",
"Sachs",
"International",
"Corp",
".",
"In",
"the",
"past",
"five",
"years",
",",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"have",
"tripled",
"their",
"commitments",
"in",
"Asia",
"to",
"$",
"5.57",
"billion",
".",
"In",
"Thailand",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"the",
"government",
"'s",
"Board",
"of",
"Investment",
"approved",
"$",
"705.6",
"million",
"of",
"Japanese",
"investment",
"in",
"1988",
",",
"10",
"times",
"the",
"U.S.",
"investment",
"figure",
"for",
"the",
"year",
".",
"Japan",
"'s",
"commitment",
"in",
"Southeast",
"Asia",
"also",
"includes",
"steep",
"increases",
"in",
"foreign",
"assistance",
"and",
"trade",
".",
"Asia",
"'s",
"other",
"cash-rich",
"countries",
"are",
"following",
"Japan",
"'s",
"lead",
"and",
"pumping",
"capital",
"into",
"the",
"region",
".",
"In",
"Taiwan",
"and",
"South",
"Korea",
",",
"rising",
"wages",
"are",
"forcing",
"manufacturers",
"to",
"seek",
"other",
"overseas",
"sites",
"for",
"labor-intensive",
"production",
".",
"These",
"nations",
",",
"known",
"as",
"Asia",
"'s",
"``",
"little",
"tigers",
",",
"''",
"also",
"are",
"contributing",
"to",
"Southeast",
"Asia",
"'s",
"integration",
",",
"but",
"their",
"influence",
"will",
"remain",
"subordinate",
"to",
"Japan",
"'s",
".",
"For",
"recipient",
"countries",
"such",
"as",
"Thailand",
"and",
"Malaysia",
",",
"the",
"investment",
"will",
"provide",
"needed",
"jobs",
"and",
"spur",
"growth",
".",
"But",
"Asian",
"nations",
"'",
"harsh",
"memories",
"of",
"their",
"military",
"domination",
"by",
"Japan",
"in",
"the",
"early",
"part",
"of",
"this",
"century",
"make",
"them",
"fearful",
"of",
"falling",
"under",
"Japanese",
"economic",
"hegemony",
"now",
".",
"Because",
"of",
"budget",
"constraints",
"in",
"Washington",
",",
"the",
"U.S.",
"encourages",
"Japan",
"to",
"share",
"economic",
"burdens",
"in",
"the",
"region",
".",
"But",
"it",
"resists",
"yielding",
"political",
"ground",
".",
"In",
"the",
"coming",
"decade",
",",
"analysts",
"say",
",",
"U.S.-Japanese",
"relations",
"will",
"be",
"tested",
"as",
"Tokyo",
"comes",
"to",
"terms",
"with",
"its",
"new",
"status",
"as",
"the",
"region",
"'s",
"economic",
"behemoth",
".",
"Japan",
"'s",
"swelling",
"investment",
"in",
"Southeast",
"Asia",
"is",
"part",
"of",
"its",
"economic",
"evolution",
".",
"In",
"the",
"past",
"decade",
",",
"Japanese",
"manufacturers",
"concentrated",
"on",
"domestic",
"production",
"for",
"export",
".",
"In",
"the",
"1990s",
",",
"spurred",
"by",
"rising",
"labor",
"costs",
"and",
"the",
"strong",
"yen",
",",
"these",
"companies",
"will",
"increasingly",
"turn",
"themselves",
"into",
"multinationals",
"with",
"plants",
"around",
"the",
"world",
".",
"To",
"capture",
"the",
"investment",
",",
"Southeast",
"Asian",
"nations",
"will",
"move",
"to",
"accommodate",
"Japanese",
"business",
".",
"These",
"nations",
"'",
"internal",
"decisions",
"``",
"will",
"be",
"made",
"in",
"a",
"way",
"not",
"to",
"offend",
"their",
"largest",
"aid",
"donor",
",",
"largest",
"private",
"investor",
"and",
"largest",
"lender",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Richard",
"Drobnick",
",",
"director",
"of",
"the",
"international",
"business",
"and",
"research",
"program",
"at",
"the",
"University",
"of",
"Southern",
"California",
"'s",
"Graduate",
"School",
"of",
"Business",
".",
"Japanese",
"money",
"will",
"help",
"turn",
"Southeast",
"Asia",
"into",
"a",
"more",
"cohesive",
"economic",
"region",
".",
"But",
",",
"analysts",
"say",
",",
"Asian",
"cooperation",
"is",
"n't",
"likely",
"to",
"parallel",
"the",
"European",
"Common",
"Market",
"approach",
".",
"Rather",
",",
"Japanese",
"investment",
"will",
"spur",
"integration",
"of",
"certain",
"sectors",
",",
"says",
"Kent",
"Calder",
",",
"a",
"specialist",
"in",
"East",
"Asian",
"economies",
"at",
"the",
"Woodrow",
"Wilson",
"School",
"for",
"Public",
"and",
"Internatonal",
"Affairs",
"at",
"Princeton",
"University",
".",
"In",
"electronics",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"a",
"Japanese",
"company",
"might",
"make",
"television",
"picture",
"tubes",
"in",
"Japan",
",",
"assemble",
"the",
"sets",
"in",
"Malaysia",
"and",
"export",
"them",
"to",
"Indonesia",
".",
"``",
"The",
"effect",
"will",
"be",
"to",
"pull",
"Asia",
"together",
"not",
"as",
"a",
"common",
"market",
"but",
"as",
"an",
"integrated",
"production",
"zone",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Goldman",
"Sachs",
"'s",
"Mr.",
"Hormats",
".",
"Countries",
"in",
"the",
"region",
"also",
"are",
"beginning",
"to",
"consider",
"a",
"framework",
"for",
"closer",
"economic",
"and",
"political",
"ties",
".",
"The",
"economic",
"and",
"foreign",
"ministers",
"of",
"12",
"Asian",
"and",
"Pacific",
"nations",
"will",
"meet",
"in",
"Australia",
"next",
"week",
"to",
"discuss",
"global",
"trade",
"issues",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"regional",
"matters",
"such",
"as",
"transportation",
"and",
"telecommunications",
".",
"Participants",
"will",
"include",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"Australia",
",",
"Canada",
",",
"Japan",
",",
"South",
"Korea",
"and",
"New",
"Zealand",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"the",
"six",
"members",
"of",
"the",
"Association",
"of",
"Southeast",
"Asian",
"Nations",
"--",
"Thailand",
",",
"Malaysia",
",",
"Singapore",
",",
"Indonesia",
",",
"the",
"Philippines",
"and",
"Brunei",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"the",
"U.S.",
"this",
"year",
"offered",
"its",
"own",
"plan",
"for",
"cooperation",
"around",
"the",
"Pacific",
"rim",
"in",
"a",
"major",
"speech",
"by",
"Secretary",
"of",
"State",
"James",
"Baker",
",",
"following",
"up",
"a",
"proposal",
"made",
"in",
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"by",
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"Prime",
"Minister",
"Bob",
"Hawke",
".",
"The",
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".",
"``",
"In",
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",",
"as",
"in",
"Europe",
",",
"a",
"new",
"order",
"is",
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",",
"''",
"Mr.",
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".",
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",",
"with",
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",",
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".",
"''",
"But",
"maintaining",
"U.S.",
"influence",
"will",
"be",
"difficult",
"in",
"the",
"face",
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"Japanese",
"dominance",
"in",
"the",
"region",
".",
"Japan",
"not",
"only",
"outstrips",
"the",
"U.S.",
"in",
"investment",
"flows",
"but",
"also",
"outranks",
"it",
"in",
"trade",
"with",
"most",
"Southeast",
"Asian",
"countries",
"(",
"although",
"the",
"U.S.",
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"the",
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"trade",
"partner",
"for",
"all",
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"Asia",
")",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"the",
"Japanese",
"government",
",",
"now",
"the",
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"'s",
"largest",
"aid",
"donor",
",",
"is",
"pumping",
"far",
"more",
"assistance",
"into",
"the",
"region",
"than",
"the",
"U.S.",
"is",
".",
"While",
"U.S.",
"officials",
"voice",
"optimism",
"about",
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"'s",
"enlarged",
"role",
"in",
"Asia",
",",
"they",
"also",
"convey",
"an",
"undertone",
"of",
"caution",
".",
"``",
"There",
"'s",
"an",
"understanding",
"on",
"the",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"that",
"Japan",
"has",
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"expand",
"its",
"functions",
"''",
"in",
"Asia",
",",
"says",
"J.",
"Michael",
"Farren",
",",
"undersecretary",
"of",
"commerce",
"for",
"trade",
".",
"``",
"If",
"they",
"approach",
"it",
"with",
"a",
"benevolent",
",",
"altruistic",
"attitude",
",",
"there",
"will",
"be",
"a",
"net",
"gain",
"for",
"everyone",
".",
"''",
"Some",
"Asian",
"nations",
"are",
"apprehensive",
"about",
"Washington",
"'s",
"demand",
"that",
"Tokyo",
"step",
"up",
"its",
"military",
"spending",
"to",
"ease",
"the",
"U.S.",
"security",
"burden",
"in",
"the",
"region",
".",
"The",
"issue",
"is",
"further",
"complicated",
"by",
"uncertainty",
"over",
"the",
"future",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"'s",
"leases",
"on",
"military",
"bases",
"in",
"the",
"Philippines",
"and",
"by",
"a",
"possible",
"U.S.",
"troop",
"reduction",
"in",
"South",
"Korea",
".",
"Many",
"Asians",
"regard",
"a",
"U.S.",
"presence",
"as",
"a",
"desirable",
"counterweight",
"to",
"Japanese",
"influence",
".",
"``",
"No",
"one",
"wants",
"the",
"U.S.",
"to",
"pick",
"up",
"its",
"marbles",
"and",
"go",
"home",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Hormats",
"says",
".",
"For",
"their",
"part",
",",
"Taiwan",
"and",
"South",
"Korea",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"step",
"up",
"their",
"own",
"investments",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"decade",
"to",
"try",
"to",
"slow",
"the",
"Japanese",
"juggernaut",
".",
"``",
"They",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"Japan",
"to",
"monopolize",
"the",
"region",
"and",
"sew",
"it",
"up",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Chong-sik",
"Lee",
",",
"professor",
"of",
"East",
"Asian",
"politics",
"at",
"the",
"University",
"of",
"Pennsylvania",
"."
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".",
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".",
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"1,850",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
"bidding",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"stake",
",",
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"thought",
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"10",
"%",
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"Analysts",
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"is",
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"a",
"takeover",
",",
"however",
",",
"and",
"its",
"officials",
"could",
"n't",
"be",
"reached",
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[
"Japan",
"is",
"going",
"on",
"a",
"capital-spending",
"binge",
"that",
"could",
"make",
"its",
"trade",
"surpluses",
"even",
"harder",
"to",
"shrink",
".",
"Its",
"capital",
"spending",
"is",
"growing",
"at",
"double-digit",
"rates",
"for",
"the",
"second",
"year",
"in",
"a",
"row",
",",
"and",
"its",
"superefficient",
"producers",
"of",
"everything",
"from",
"cars",
"to",
"computer",
"chips",
"are",
"rushing",
"to",
"expand",
"capacity",
",",
"modernize",
"factories",
"and",
"develop",
"new",
"products",
".",
"``",
"The",
"boom",
"'s",
"so",
"huge",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mitsuru",
"Saito",
",",
"an",
"economist",
"at",
"Sanwa",
"Research",
"Institute",
",",
"``",
"it",
"makes",
"you",
"think",
"of",
"the",
"Golden",
"'60s",
",",
"''",
"when",
"Japan",
"developed",
"rapidly",
".",
"The",
"more",
"factories",
"and",
"robots",
"Japanese",
"manufacturers",
"add",
",",
"the",
"more",
"they",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"export",
",",
"and",
"the",
"less",
"their",
"domestic",
"customers",
"will",
"need",
"to",
"import",
".",
"At",
"Canon",
"Inc.",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"sales",
"are",
"up",
"nearly",
"20",
"%",
"this",
"year",
";",
"so",
",",
"the",
"maker",
"of",
"cameras",
"and",
"computer",
"printers",
"is",
"doing",
"what",
"any",
"Japanese",
"company",
"would",
"do",
"under",
"the",
"circumstances",
":",
"It",
"is",
"increasing",
"capital",
"spending",
"--",
"by",
"60",
"%",
".",
"It",
"is",
"building",
",",
"among",
"other",
"things",
",",
"a",
"new",
"laser-beam-printer",
"factory",
"in",
"western",
"Japan",
"that",
"can",
"produce",
"up",
"to",
"150,000",
"printers",
"next",
"year",
".",
"Some",
"70",
"%",
"of",
"them",
"are",
"to",
"be",
"exported",
"to",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"Even",
"companies",
"in",
"smokestack",
"industries",
"wrestling",
"with",
"world-wide",
"overcapacity",
"are",
"joining",
"the",
"boom",
".",
"Japan",
"'s",
"steelmakers",
"are",
"raising",
"capital",
"spending",
"22",
"%",
"this",
"year",
"to",
"$",
"4.8",
"billion",
".",
"Hitachi",
"Zosen",
"Corp.",
",",
"a",
"shipbuilder",
"buried",
"in",
"debt",
"just",
"a",
"few",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"will",
"build",
"a",
"machinery",
"plant",
",",
"its",
"first",
"expansion",
"in",
"14",
"years",
".",
"So",
"big",
"is",
"the",
"capital-spending",
"boom",
"that",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"'",
"outlays",
"in",
"Japan",
"topped",
"American",
"companies",
"'",
"domestic",
"outlays",
"by",
"$",
"521.4",
"billion",
"to",
"$",
"494.8",
"billion",
"in",
"the",
"12",
"months",
"ended",
"March",
"31",
"even",
"though",
"Japan",
"'s",
"total",
"output",
"of",
"goods",
"and",
"services",
"is",
"less",
"than",
"two-thirds",
"America",
"'s",
".",
"From",
"a",
"financial",
"standpoint",
",",
"the",
"boom",
"could",
"n't",
"come",
"at",
"a",
"better",
"time",
".",
"Many",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"expect",
"record",
"profits",
"this",
"fiscal",
"year",
",",
"and",
"Japanese",
"interest",
"rates",
",",
"though",
"up",
"a",
"bit",
"recently",
",",
"are",
"still",
"low",
".",
"And",
"in",
"a",
"business",
"system",
"where",
"shareholders",
"have",
"few",
"rights",
"and",
"expect",
"only",
"modest",
"dividends",
",",
"companies",
"can",
"plow",
"their",
"profits",
"back",
"into",
"plant",
"and",
"equipment",
".",
"But",
"some",
"economists",
"and",
"government",
"officials",
"here",
"are",
"n't",
"applauding",
".",
"They",
"fear",
"that",
"the",
"boom",
"may",
"be",
"too",
"big",
"for",
"Japan",
"'s",
"or",
"anyone",
"else",
"'s",
"good",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"an",
"explosive",
"cocktail",
"''",
"thrown",
"at",
"the",
"world",
",",
"says",
"Kenneth",
"Courtis",
",",
"senior",
"economist",
"at",
"the",
"Tokyo",
"unit",
"of",
"Deutsche",
"Bank",
"Group",
".",
"The",
"Ministry",
"of",
"International",
"Trade",
"and",
"Industry",
"is",
"so",
"concerned",
"that",
"it",
"recently",
"took",
"the",
"unusual",
"step",
"of",
"urging",
"Japanese",
"auto",
"companies",
"to",
"exercise",
"caution",
"in",
"capital",
"spending",
".",
"MITI",
"officials",
"hope",
"to",
"avoid",
"yet-another",
"source",
"of",
"trade",
"friction",
"with",
"the",
"U.S.",
"even",
"though",
"export",
"restraints",
"currently",
"limit",
"Japanese",
"car",
"exports",
"to",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"Not",
"everyone",
"is",
"worried",
",",
"however",
".",
"Some",
"economists",
"--",
"and",
"many",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"--",
"are",
"puzzled",
"by",
"the",
"warnings",
".",
"The",
"investment",
"boom",
"is",
"mainly",
"sparked",
",",
"they",
"say",
",",
"by",
"strong",
"domestic",
"demand",
"and",
"is",
"n't",
"likely",
"to",
"increase",
"exports",
"sharply",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"much",
"investment",
"is",
"n't",
"aimed",
"at",
"increasing",
"capacity",
".",
"According",
"to",
"a",
"survey",
"of",
"some",
"2,400",
"large",
"companies",
"by",
"the",
"Japan",
"Development",
"Bank",
",",
"expanded",
"capacity",
"is",
"the",
"goal",
"of",
"just",
"51.8",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"outlays",
";",
"for",
"manufacturers",
"alone",
",",
"the",
"figure",
"is",
"32",
"%",
".",
"The",
"manufacturers",
"said",
"14.2",
"%",
"of",
"their",
"spending",
"is",
"designed",
"to",
"improve",
"products",
"or",
"add",
"new",
"ones",
",",
"17.5",
"%",
"is",
"to",
"cut",
"costs",
",",
"12.5",
"%",
"is",
"for",
"research",
"and",
"development",
",",
"and",
"the",
"rest",
"is",
"for",
"maintenance",
"and",
"other",
"purposes",
".",
"But",
"the",
"worriers",
"remain",
"unconvinced",
".",
"With",
"Japan",
"running",
"enormous",
"trade",
"surpluses",
"against",
"much",
"of",
"the",
"world",
",",
"they",
"think",
"that",
"Japan",
"should",
"meet",
"the",
"increased",
"domestic",
"demand",
"by",
"importing",
"more",
".",
"And",
"eventually",
",",
"they",
"contend",
",",
"domestic",
"demand",
"will",
"weaken",
",",
"forcing",
"companies",
"to",
"emphasize",
"exports",
"again",
".",
"``",
"If",
"there",
"'s",
"a",
"further",
"drive",
"to",
"export",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Nobuyuki",
"Arai",
",",
"an",
"economist",
"at",
"the",
"Japan",
"Development",
"Bank",
",",
"``",
"that",
"'ll",
"be",
"a",
"problem",
".",
"''",
"Even",
"in",
"the",
"short",
"run",
",",
"the",
"investment",
"boom",
"could",
"exacerbate",
"a",
"disturbing",
"trend",
":",
"Japanese",
"exports",
"are",
"showing",
"surprisingly",
"little",
"tendency",
"to",
"ease",
".",
"Japanese",
"auto",
"makers",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"are",
"increasing",
"their",
"production",
"capacity",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
";",
"the",
"additional",
"production",
"should",
",",
"in",
"part",
",",
"replace",
"imported",
"vehicles",
"with",
"locally",
"manufactured",
"ones",
".",
"But",
"although",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"increased",
"their",
"U.S.",
"auto",
"output",
"by",
"42",
"%",
"from",
"January",
"to",
"September",
"compared",
"with",
"the",
"year-earlier",
"period",
",",
"their",
"exports",
"to",
"the",
"U.S.",
"will",
"drop",
"only",
"9",
"%",
"this",
"year",
",",
"Nikko",
"Research",
"Center",
"estimates",
".",
"In",
"contrast",
"to",
"previous",
"economic",
"booms",
",",
"Japanese",
"auto",
"companies",
"are",
"n't",
"just",
"trying",
"to",
"boost",
"production",
".",
"Many",
"are",
"pouring",
"money",
"into",
"developing",
"high-quality",
"products",
"to",
"target",
"affluent",
"consumers",
"and",
",",
"to",
"some",
"extent",
",",
"to",
"avoid",
"direct",
"combat",
"with",
"cheaper",
"cars",
"from",
"South",
"Korea",
"and",
"Taiwan",
".",
"Others",
"are",
"replacing",
"older",
"facilities",
"with",
"flexible",
"assembly",
"lines",
"on",
"which",
"different",
"models",
"can",
"be",
"turned",
"out",
"at",
"once",
".",
"So",
"many",
"companies",
"are",
"investing",
"in",
"high-tech",
"machinery",
"that",
"Fanuc",
"Ltd.",
",",
"a",
"robot",
"maker",
",",
"also",
"had",
"to",
"build",
"a",
"new",
"plant",
".",
"The",
"buildup",
"is",
"``",
"making",
"Japan",
"clearly",
"more",
"efficient",
",",
"more",
"technologically",
"advanced",
"and",
"more",
"competitive",
",",
"''",
"declares",
"a",
"Western",
"diplomat",
"in",
"Tokyo",
".",
"But",
"whatever",
"its",
"effects",
"on",
"exports",
"and",
"imports",
",",
"Japan",
"'s",
"investment",
"boom",
"during",
"the",
"past",
"two",
"years",
"has",
"been",
"stimulated",
"at",
"least",
"partly",
"by",
"soaring",
"domestic",
"demand",
".",
"Japan",
"'s",
"marathon",
"economy",
",",
"growing",
"at",
"4.3",
"%",
"this",
"year",
",",
"is",
"now",
"in",
"its",
"35th",
"month",
"of",
"expansion",
",",
"and",
"some",
"economists",
"are",
"betting",
"that",
"the",
"boom",
"will",
"outlast",
"the",
"record",
"57-month",
"expansion",
"in",
"the",
"late",
"1960s",
".",
"Japanese",
"consumers",
"are",
"increasingly",
"eager",
"to",
"spend",
"their",
"money",
",",
"especially",
"on",
"high-priced",
"goods",
"such",
"as",
"29-inch",
"television",
"sets",
"and",
"luxury",
"cars",
".",
"Nissan",
"Motor",
"Co.",
"'s",
"domestic",
"auto",
"sales",
"are",
"up",
"20",
"%",
"this",
"year",
"largely",
"because",
"its",
"expensive",
"Cima",
",",
"Sylvia",
"and",
"Cefiro",
"models",
"are",
"in",
"heavy",
"demand",
".",
"``",
"One",
"dealer",
"told",
"me",
"that",
"if",
"he",
"had",
"more",
"cars",
",",
"he",
"'d",
"sell",
"them",
"right",
"away",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Takuro",
"Endo",
",",
"Nissan",
"executive",
"vice",
"president",
".",
"He",
"adds",
"that",
"the",
"company",
"is",
"trying",
"to",
"keep",
"up",
"with",
"demand",
"``",
"by",
"overworking",
"''",
"its",
"employees",
".",
"Similarly",
",",
"Honda",
"Motor",
"Co.",
"'s",
"sales",
"are",
"so",
"brisk",
"that",
"workers",
"grumble",
"they",
"have",
"n't",
"had",
"a",
"Saturday",
"off",
"in",
"years",
",",
"despite",
"the",
"government",
"'s",
"encouragement",
"of",
"more",
"leisure",
"activity",
".",
"With",
"demand",
"growing",
"and",
"workers",
"in",
"short",
"supply",
",",
"many",
"Japanese",
"manufacturers",
"are",
"spending",
"heavily",
"on",
"automation",
".",
"Among",
"them",
"are",
"the",
"shipbuilders",
",",
"which",
"had",
"halved",
"their",
"shipyard",
"work",
"forces",
"to",
"cut",
"costs",
"during",
"a",
"prolonged",
"slump",
"in",
"demand",
"but",
"now",
"are",
"capturing",
"an",
"increased",
"share",
"of",
"the",
"strengthening",
"global",
"market",
".",
"Sasebo",
"Heavy",
"Industries",
"Co.",
",",
"a",
"medium-sized",
"shipbuilder",
",",
"expects",
"its",
"sales",
"to",
"increase",
"30",
"%",
"this",
"year",
",",
"largely",
"because",
"of",
"rising",
"demand",
"for",
"oil",
"tankers",
".",
"Once",
"one",
"Japanese",
"company",
"steps",
"up",
"its",
"investments",
",",
"the",
"whole",
"industry",
"follows",
".",
"Because",
"most",
"businesses",
"put",
"market",
"share",
"above",
"profitability",
",",
"to",
"let",
"a",
"competitor",
"'s",
"addition",
"to",
"capacity",
"go",
"unmatched",
"is",
"to",
"concede",
"defeat",
".",
"The",
"emphasis",
"on",
"market",
"share",
"is",
"evident",
"at",
"Daikin",
"Industries",
"Ltd.",
",",
"Japan",
"'s",
"biggest",
"maker",
"of",
"industrial",
"air",
"conditioners",
".",
"Seeing",
"new",
"office",
"buildings",
"sprout",
"up",
"and",
"its",
"sales",
"soar",
",",
"Daikin",
"is",
"building",
"another",
"plant",
",",
"which",
"will",
"lift",
"its",
"production",
"capacity",
"50",
"%",
".",
"The",
"expansion",
"is",
"aimed",
"not",
"just",
"at",
"meeting",
"demand",
"but",
"also",
"at",
"expanding",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"market",
"share",
"to",
"30",
"%",
"from",
"27",
"%",
"currently",
".",
"Besides",
",",
"Daikin",
"'s",
"major",
"competitors",
",",
"Hitachi",
"Ltd.",
"and",
"Mitsubishi",
"Heavy",
"Industries",
"Ltd.",
",",
"``",
"are",
"all",
"adding",
"production",
"lines",
",",
"''",
"a",
"Daikin",
"spokesman",
"says",
".",
"``",
"Until",
"now",
",",
"we",
"were",
"trying",
"to",
"increase",
"productivity",
"with",
"the",
"facilities",
"we",
"already",
"had",
".",
"But",
"we",
"ca",
"n't",
"produce",
"enough",
"anymore",
".",
"''",
"The",
"competition",
"is",
"even",
"more",
"heated",
"in",
"the",
"auto",
"industry",
",",
"where",
"companies",
"are",
"racing",
"one",
"another",
"in",
"a",
"world-wide",
"market",
".",
"Nissan",
"aims",
"to",
"expand",
"its",
"25",
"%",
"share",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"to",
"30",
"%",
"by",
"spending",
"$",
"141",
"million",
"on",
"a",
"plant",
"in",
"southern",
"Japan",
"that",
"could",
"make",
"as",
"many",
"as",
"240,000",
"cars",
"a",
"year",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"Toyota",
"Motor",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"$",
"247",
"million",
"buildup",
"is",
"increasing",
"its",
"annual",
"capacity",
"by",
"180,000",
"cars",
",",
"and",
"Honda",
"is",
"spending",
"$",
"317",
"million",
"on",
"expansion",
".",
"Mazda",
"Motor",
"Corp.",
"is",
"still",
"considering",
"its",
"options",
",",
"but",
"it",
"boldly",
"aims",
"to",
"double",
"its",
"annual",
"domestic",
"sales",
"to",
"800,000",
"cars",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"four",
"years",
".",
"Those",
"who",
"are",
"n't",
"worried",
"about",
"how",
"Japanese",
"manufacturers",
"'",
"investments",
"will",
"affect",
"trade",
"note",
"that",
"many",
"new",
"products",
"are",
"n't",
"replacements",
"for",
"imports",
".",
"Although",
"imports",
"account",
"for",
"less",
"than",
"1",
"%",
"of",
"beer",
"sales",
"in",
"Japan",
",",
"Asahi",
"Breweries",
"Ltd.",
",",
"which",
"has",
"been",
"gaining",
"share",
"with",
"its",
"popular",
"dry",
"beer",
",",
"plans",
"to",
"fend",
"off",
"Japanese",
"competitors",
"by",
"pouring",
"$",
"1.06",
"billion",
"into",
"facilities",
"to",
"brew",
"50",
"%",
"more",
"beer",
".",
"But",
"new-product",
"development",
"will",
"make",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"stronger",
",",
"and",
"big",
"investments",
"in",
"``",
"domestic",
"''",
"industries",
"such",
"as",
"beer",
"will",
"make",
"it",
"even",
"tougher",
"for",
"foreign",
"competitors",
"to",
"crack",
"the",
"Japanese",
"market",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"much",
"of",
"the",
"investment",
"boom",
"is",
"in",
"high-tech",
"fields",
"in",
"which",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"have",
"only",
"limited",
"foreign",
"competition",
";",
"so",
",",
"more",
"investment",
"practically",
"assures",
"more",
"exports",
".",
"Toshiba",
"Corp.",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"is",
"spending",
"$",
"986",
"million",
"on",
"two",
"new",
"plants",
"to",
"build",
"four-megabit",
"dynamic",
"random",
"access",
"memories",
",",
"the",
"next",
"generation",
"of",
"computer",
"chips",
".",
"The",
"product",
"is",
"n't",
"widely",
"used",
"yet",
",",
"but",
"Toshiba",
",",
"which",
"has",
"already",
"beaten",
"everyone",
"else",
"in",
"producing",
"the",
"current-generation",
"one-megabit",
"DRAMs",
",",
"believes",
"that",
"its",
"early",
"investment",
"will",
"heighten",
"its",
"chances",
"of",
"beating",
"its",
"competitors",
"again",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"important",
"to",
"gain",
"leadership",
",",
"''",
"a",
"Toshiba",
"spokesman",
"says",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"Toshiba",
"'s",
"Japanese",
"rivals",
",",
"Hitachi",
",",
"Fujitsu",
"Ltd.",
"and",
"NEC",
"Corp.",
",",
"are",
"n't",
"sitting",
"still",
".",
"After",
"doubling",
"production",
"in",
"one",
"plant",
",",
"NEC",
"is",
"spending",
"$",
"275",
"million",
"to",
"build",
"another",
"plant",
"that",
",",
"in",
"two",
"years",
",",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"make",
"a",
"million",
"four-megabit",
"DRAMs",
"a",
"year",
".",
"The",
"new",
"chip",
"plants",
"``",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"excessive",
"investment",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Hajime",
"Sasaki",
",",
"an",
"NEC",
"vice",
"president",
".",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"enough",
"products",
"to",
"make",
"and",
"the",
"markets",
"to",
"sell",
"these",
"products",
".",
"''",
"Some",
"of",
"Japan",
"'s",
"goods",
"being",
"produced",
"as",
"a",
"result",
"of",
"the",
"investment",
"boom",
"are",
"already",
"successful",
"overseas",
".",
"Toyota",
"'s",
"$",
"35,000",
"Lexus",
"automobile",
",",
"a",
"luxury",
"model",
"that",
"it",
"started",
"shipping",
"to",
"the",
"U.S.",
"only",
"last",
"month",
",",
"is",
"racking",
"up",
"orders",
"at",
"a",
"time",
"when",
"U.S.-made",
"luxury-car",
"sales",
"are",
"slow",
".",
"Toyota",
"plans",
"to",
"raise",
"Lexus",
"exports",
"when",
"a",
"new",
"plant",
"starts",
"up",
"next",
"year",
".",
"What",
"if",
"its",
"sales",
"weaken",
"someday",
"?",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"have",
"a",
"caveat",
"competitor",
"attitude",
".",
"If",
"excess",
"capacity",
"develops",
",",
"they",
"say",
",",
"not",
"everyone",
"will",
"suffer",
".",
"The",
"losers",
"will",
"be",
"those",
"with",
"the",
"least",
"attractive",
"products",
",",
"and",
"many",
"of",
"them",
",",
"analysts",
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",",
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"companies",
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] |
[
"While",
"worry",
"grows",
"about",
"big",
"Japanese",
"investments",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"Japan",
"'s",
"big",
"trading",
"companies",
"are",
"rapidly",
"increasing",
"their",
"stake",
"in",
"America",
"'s",
"smaller",
"business",
".",
"For",
"Japan",
",",
"the",
"controversial",
"trend",
"improves",
"access",
"to",
"American",
"markets",
"and",
"technology",
".",
"But",
"for",
"small",
"American",
"companies",
",",
"it",
"also",
"provides",
"a",
"growing",
"source",
"of",
"capital",
"and",
"even",
"marketing",
"help",
".",
"Take",
"the",
"deal",
"with",
"Candela",
"Laser",
"Corp.",
",",
"a",
"Wayland",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"manufacturer",
"of",
"high-tech",
"medical",
"devices",
",",
"which",
"three",
"years",
"ago",
"set",
"its",
"sights",
"on",
"Japan",
"as",
"an",
"export",
"market",
".",
"Partly",
"to",
"help",
"clear",
"the",
"myriad",
"obstacles",
"facing",
"any",
"overseas",
"company",
"trying",
"to",
"penetrate",
"Japan",
",",
"tiny",
"Candela",
"turned",
"to",
"Mitsui",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"one",
"of",
"Japan",
"'s",
"largest",
"trading",
"companies",
",",
"for",
"investment",
".",
"In",
"a",
"joint-venture",
"deal",
",",
"Mitsui",
"guided",
"Candela",
"through",
"Tokyo",
"'s",
"bureaucratic",
"maze",
".",
"It",
"eventually",
"secured",
"Ministry",
"of",
"Health",
"import",
"approval",
"for",
"two",
"Candela",
"laser",
"products",
"--",
"one",
"that",
"breaks",
"up",
"kidney",
"stones",
"and",
"another",
"that",
"treats",
"skin",
"lesions",
".",
"At",
"last",
"count",
",",
"Candela",
"had",
"sold",
"$",
"4",
"million",
"of",
"its",
"medical",
"devices",
"in",
"Japan",
".",
"The",
"deal",
"also",
"gave",
"Mitsui",
"access",
"to",
"a",
"high-tech",
"medical",
"product",
".",
"``",
"They",
"view",
"this",
"as",
"a",
"growth",
"area",
"so",
"they",
"went",
"about",
"it",
"with",
"a",
"systematic",
"approach",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Richard",
"Olsen",
",",
"a",
"Candela",
"vice",
"president",
".",
"Indeed",
",",
"for",
"many",
"Japanese",
"trading",
"companies",
",",
"the",
"favorite",
"U.S.",
"small",
"business",
"is",
"one",
"whose",
"research",
"and",
"development",
"can",
"be",
"milked",
"for",
"future",
"Japanese",
"use",
".",
"The",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"bankroll",
"many",
"small",
"U.S.",
"companies",
"with",
"promising",
"products",
"or",
"ideas",
",",
"frequently",
"putting",
"their",
"money",
"behind",
"projects",
"that",
"commercial",
"banks",
"wo",
"n't",
"touch",
".",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"have",
"financed",
"small",
"and",
"medium-sized",
"U.S.",
"firms",
"for",
"years",
",",
"but",
"in",
"recent",
"months",
",",
"the",
"pace",
"has",
"taken",
"off",
".",
"In",
"the",
"first",
"half",
"of",
"1989",
"alone",
",",
"Japanese",
"corporations",
"invested",
"$",
"214",
"million",
"in",
"minority",
"positions",
"in",
"U.S.",
"companies",
",",
"a",
"61",
"%",
"rise",
"from",
"the",
"figure",
"for",
"all",
"of",
"1987",
",",
"reports",
"Venture",
"Economics",
"Inc",
".",
"The",
"Needham",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"concern",
"tracks",
"investments",
"in",
"new",
"businesses",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"of",
"course",
",",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"Japanese",
"investments",
"involved",
"outright",
"purchase",
"of",
"small",
"U.S.",
"firms",
".",
"Heightened",
"Japanese",
"interest",
"in",
"American",
"small",
"business",
"parallels",
"an",
"acceleration",
"of",
"investments",
"giving",
"Japanese",
"companies",
"control",
"of",
"large",
",",
"highly",
"visible",
"U.S.",
"corporations",
",",
"such",
"as",
"Columbia",
"Pictures",
"Entertainment",
"Inc",
".",
"Only",
"this",
"week",
",",
"it",
"was",
"announced",
"that",
"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
"Co.",
"had",
"acquired",
"a",
"51",
"%",
"stake",
"in",
"Rockefeller",
"Group",
",",
"which",
"owns",
"New",
"York",
"'s",
"prestigious",
"Rockefeller",
"Center",
".",
"While",
"the",
"small",
"deals",
"are",
"far",
"less",
"conspicuous",
",",
"they",
"add",
"to",
"Japanese",
"penetration",
"of",
"the",
"U.S.",
"market",
".",
"As",
"the",
"deals",
"also",
"improve",
"Japanese",
"access",
"to",
"American",
"technology",
"and",
"market",
"knowledge",
",",
"they",
"feed",
"American",
"anxieties",
"in",
"this",
"area",
",",
"too",
".",
"Even",
"a",
"low-tech",
"product",
"like",
"plate",
"glass",
"can",
"catch",
"a",
"trading",
"company",
"'s",
"fancy",
"if",
"there",
"'s",
"a",
"strategic",
"fit",
".",
"Free",
"State",
"Glass",
"Industries",
"of",
"Warrenton",
",",
"Va.",
",",
"a",
"small",
"fabricator",
"of",
"architectural",
"glass",
",",
"was",
"foundering",
"under",
"its",
"original",
"management",
".",
"Last",
"year",
",",
"Mitsubishi",
"International",
"Corp.",
",",
"the",
"New",
"York-based",
"arm",
"of",
"Mitsubishi",
"Corp.",
",",
"bought",
"controlling",
"interest",
"in",
"the",
"glass",
"company",
"in",
"a",
"joint",
"venture",
"with",
"Ronald",
"Bodner",
",",
"a",
"glass",
"industry",
"executive",
"and",
"Mitsubishi",
"consultant",
".",
"The",
"deal",
"is",
"chiefly",
"designed",
"to",
"give",
"Mitsubishi",
"a",
"window",
"on",
"the",
"U.S.",
"glass",
"industry",
",",
"says",
"Ichiro",
"Wakui",
",",
"an",
"executive",
"in",
"Mitsubishi",
"'s",
"general",
"merchandise",
"department",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"not",
"just",
"a",
"simple",
"investment",
"in",
"a",
"small",
"company",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Wakui",
"says",
".",
"``",
"We",
"want",
"to",
"see",
"the",
"glass",
"market",
"from",
"the",
"inside",
",",
"not",
"the",
"outside",
".",
"''",
"Mitsubishi",
"'s",
"investment",
"in",
"Free",
"State",
"is",
"``",
"very",
"small",
"...",
"less",
"than",
"$",
"4",
"million",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Wakui",
"says",
".",
"Mr.",
"Bodner",
"declines",
"to",
"comment",
"on",
"the",
"arrangement",
".",
"Trading",
"companies",
"such",
"as",
"Mitsubishi",
",",
"Mitsui",
",",
"C.",
"Itoh",
"&",
"Co.",
"and",
"Nissho-Iwai",
"Corp.",
",",
"which",
"make",
"many",
"of",
"the",
"Japanese",
"investments",
"in",
"small",
"U.S.",
"concerns",
",",
"have",
"no",
"U.S.",
"counterpart",
".",
"These",
"vertically",
"integrated",
"combines",
",",
"some",
"of",
"which",
"got",
"their",
"start",
"in",
"Japan",
"'s",
"feudal",
"period",
",",
"deal",
"globally",
"in",
"commodities",
",",
"construction",
"and",
"manufacturing",
".",
"They",
"operate",
"ships",
"and",
"banks",
".",
"``",
"All",
"the",
"``",
"sogo-shosha",
"''",
"are",
"looking",
"for",
"new",
"business",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Arthur",
"Klauser",
",",
"adviser",
"to",
"the",
"president",
"of",
"Mitsui",
",",
"U.S.A.",
",",
"using",
"the",
"Japanese",
"term",
"for",
"the",
"largest",
"of",
"the",
"global",
"trading",
"houses",
".",
"Adds",
"Takeshi",
"Kondo",
",",
"senior",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"C.",
"Itoh",
"America",
"Inc.",
":",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"a",
"great",
"interest",
"in",
"making",
"investments",
",",
"particularly",
"in",
"new",
"ventures",
".",
"''",
"A",
"host",
"of",
"electronics",
"firms",
"in",
"California",
"'s",
"Silicon",
"Valley",
"were",
"financed",
"with",
"trading-company",
"venture",
"capital",
".",
"Profit",
",",
"at",
"least",
"in",
"the",
"short",
"term",
",",
"is",
"usually",
"a",
"secondary",
"goal",
".",
"``",
"Strategic",
"objectives",
",",
"not",
"financial",
"return",
",",
"drive",
"many",
"of",
"the",
"deals",
",",
"''",
"says",
"a",
"Venture",
"Economics",
"spokesman",
".",
"In",
"investing",
"on",
"the",
"basis",
"of",
"future",
"transactions",
",",
"a",
"role",
"often",
"performed",
"by",
"merchant",
"banks",
",",
"trading",
"companies",
"can",
"cut",
"through",
"the",
"logjam",
"that",
"small-company",
"owners",
"often",
"face",
"with",
"their",
"local",
"commercial",
"banks",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"the",
"classic",
"problem",
"of",
"the",
"small",
"businessman",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Malcolm",
"Davies",
",",
"managing",
"director",
"of",
"Trading",
"Alliance",
"Corp.",
"of",
"New",
"York",
".",
"``",
"People",
"are",
"queuing",
"at",
"the",
"door",
"to",
"take",
"his",
"product",
"but",
"he",
"does",
"n't",
"have",
"the",
"working",
"capital",
"to",
"make",
"the",
"thing",
"and",
"commercial",
"banks",
"are",
"very",
"unsympathetic",
".",
"They",
"want",
"assets",
",",
"they",
"want",
"a",
"balance",
"sheet",
",",
"which",
"has",
"no",
"relation",
"to",
"the",
"business",
"a",
"company",
"can",
"generate",
".",
"''",
"Adds",
"Mitsui",
"'s",
"Mr.",
"Klauser",
":",
"``",
"Unlike",
"corporations",
"in",
"this",
"country",
",",
"trading",
"companies",
"are",
"n't",
"so",
"much",
"interested",
"in",
"a",
"high",
"return",
"on",
"investment",
"as",
"they",
"are",
"on",
"increasing",
"trade",
"flows",
".",
"To",
"the",
"extent",
"they",
"can",
"do",
"this",
",",
"they",
"'re",
"quite",
"content",
"to",
"get",
"a",
"return",
"on",
"investment",
"of",
"1",
"%",
"to",
"2",
"%",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Klauser",
"says",
"Mitsui",
"has",
"75",
"U.S.",
"subsidiaries",
"in",
"which",
"it",
"holds",
"35",
"%",
"interest",
"or",
"more",
"and",
"the",
"trading",
"company",
"hopes",
"to",
"double",
"the",
"number",
"of",
"its",
"U.S.",
"affiliates",
"in",
"1990",
".",
"Sales",
"by",
"these",
"subsidiaries",
"in",
"the",
"fiscal",
"year",
"ending",
"last",
"March",
"were",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"17",
"billion",
".",
"A",
"1",
"%",
"to",
"2",
"%",
"return",
"on",
"$",
"17",
"billion",
"``",
"ai",
"n't",
"hay",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Klauser",
"says",
"."
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